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BCU

Bethune-Cookman 6 at UCF 73

UCF
2026 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2026 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
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Win probability · UCF
modelUCF aheadBCU aheadconfidence bandkey playUCF scoreBCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:31 · (03:38) #40 I.Gallagher-Cheetham punt 37 yards to the UCF34 #86 C.Hinshaw return 13 yards to the UCF47 (#5 M.Stinnett; #6 N.Lassiter)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 132Pregame prior+28.3Home team on offense+35.6Score differential+27.5Blowout margin+16.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+11.3Garbage-time factor+7.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:11: (03:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III rush right for 5 yards gain to the BCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:11 #15 W.Stone kick attempt good (H: #97 M.Denaburg, LS: #44 K.Hicks) — UCF win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:54: (14:57) Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short middle to #3 J.Bibbs caught at BCU07, for 23 yards to the BCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:54, 1ST DOWN #15 W.Stone kick attempt good (H: #97 M.Denaburg, LS: #44 K.Hicks) — UCF win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:50: (01:50) #11 L.Chambers rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:50 #15 W.Stone kick attempt good (H: #97 M.Denaburg, LS: #44 K.Hicks) — UCF win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCF made the numbers' call on 3 of 3BCU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 11:32BCU 4th & 1 at BCU 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:34BCU 4th & 1 at BCU 46, down 14
    Close callPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:55BCU 4th & 12 at BCU 21, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:58BCU 4th & 7 at BCU 28, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:45UCF 4th & 7 at UCF 45, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:45BCU 4th & 18 at BCU 12, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:19UCF 4th & 15 at BCU 16, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%
    81% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:15BCU 4th & 12 at BCU 23, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:27BCU 4th & 13 at BCU 22, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:35BCU 4th & 8 at BCU 27, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:31BCU 4th & 6 at BCU 29, down 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:50BCU 4th & 9 at BCU 26, down 66
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:28BCU 4th & 15 at BCU 15, down 73
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:12UCF 4th & 24 at BCU 40, up 73
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCF made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 11:02UCF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:42UCF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:11UCF Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:54UCF Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:50UCF Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:02UCF Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:10UCF Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 5:42UCF Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:02UCF Touchdown, up 65 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 14:56UCF Touchdown, up 72 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 3:181% → 1%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.3%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Jefferson pass complete short left to #22 Z.Mobley caught at BCU24, for 9 yards to the BCU34 (#7 A.Jackson; #6 I.Nixon)Similar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
99.3%
(14:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Jefferson pass incomplete short left to #9 J.Evans thrown to BCU44 broken up by #7 A.JacksonSimilar
Q1 14:17
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
99.3%
(14:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Jefferson pass complete short right to #6 R.Shaw II caught at BCU38, for 5 yards to the BCU39 (#2 J.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
99.2%
(13:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 R.Brown rush right for 2 yards gain to the BCU41 (#38 J.Jennings; #12 A.Koumba)Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+4
99.2%
(13:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 R.Brown rush left for 4 yards gain to the BCU45 (#1 J.Bellamy)Similar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+3
99.1%
(12:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Jefferson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BCU48 (#20 L.Carter)Similar
Q1 11:32
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
99.1%
(11:43) #40 I.Gallagher-Cheetham punt 26 yards to the UCF26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 2TD
2 plays · 74 yds · 0:2499% → 99%
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
99.1%
(11:33) Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short right to #5 J.Derry caught at UCF30, for 10 yards to the UCF36 (#6 N.Lassiter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
99.1%
(11:08) Shotgun #26 D.Watson rush middle for 64 yards gain to the BCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:02, 1ST DOWN #15 W.Stone kick attempt good (H: #97 M.Denaburg, LS: #44 K.Hicks)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 3INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-47
99.1%
Jayden Williams 47 Yd Interception Return (Will Stone Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 3:011% → 1%
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.1%
(10:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Robinson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BCU26 (#10 S.Edwards)Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
99.1%
(09:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Jefferson pass complete short right to #17 W.Anderson caught at BCU36, for 11 yards to the BCU37, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
99.1%
(09:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Robinson rush right for 4 yards loss to the BCU33 (#10 S.Edwards)Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 14
OWN 33
0
99.1%
(08:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Jefferson pass incomplete short middle to #13 M.McCants thrown to BCU43Similar
Q1 8:29
3RD & 14
OWN 33
+13
99.1%
(08:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Jefferson rush middle for 13 yards gain to the BCU46 (#21 T.Bartrum; #8 D.Henderson)Similar
Q1 7:34
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+4
99.0%
(07:47) #40 I.Gallagher-Cheetham punt 43 yards to the UCF11 #7 A.Jackson return 4 yards to the UCF15 (#0 I.Washburn; #13 M.McCants)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 5TD
11 plays · 85 yds · 4:1299% → 99%
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
99.1%
(07:34) Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short right to #6 R.Farmer caught at UCF20, for 6 yards to the UCF21, out of bounds at UCF21Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+11
99.1%
(07:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Swint rush middle for 11 yards gain to the UCF32 (#12 J.Williams; #15 S.McCall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
99.0%
(06:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short left to #18 C.Piening caught at UCF38, for 18 yards to the UCF50 (#0 I.Washburn), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
50
+8
99.0%
(06:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Swint rush middle for 8 yards gain to the BCU42 (#5 M.Stinnett)Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+9
99.0%
(05:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short left to #5 J.Derry caught at BCU45, for 9 yards to the BCU33 (#5 M.Stinnett), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.0%
(04:55) Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass incomplete short right to #0 D.Wade thrown to BCU18Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
99.0%
(04:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 D.Watson rush left for 5 yards gain to the BCU28 (#12 J.Williams; #11 T.Rigby)Similar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+9
99.0%
(04:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III rush right for 9 yards gain to the BCU19 (#24 A.Ross), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
99.0%
(03:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short middle to #18 C.Piening caught at BCU07, for 12 yards to the BCU07 (#11 T.Rigby), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY BCU Pass Interference declinedSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.0%
(03:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 D.Watson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BCU05 (#10 L.Lurry Jr)Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.2%
(03:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III rush right for 5 yards gain to the BCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:11 #15 W.Stone kick attempt good (H: #97 M.Denaburg, LS: #44 K.Hicks)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 2:041% → 1%
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
99.2%
(03:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Jefferson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BCU13 (#20 L.Carter; #10 S.Edwards)Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+10
99.2%
(02:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Jefferson rush left for 10 yards gain to the BCU23 (#20 L.Carter), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.1%
(01:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Jefferson pass incomplete short left to #9 J.Evans thrown to BCU27Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
99.2%
(01:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 R.Brown rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BCU26 (#92 J.Lafontant)Similar
Q1 1:04
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
99.1%
(01:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Jefferson pass incomplete short right to #6 R.Shaw II thrown to BCU32 QB hurried by #10 S.EdwardsSimilar
Q1 1:04
4TH & 7
OWN 26
+5
99.2%
PENALTY BCU Delay Of Game 5 yards from BCU26 to BCU21. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 0:55
4TH & 12
OWN 21
0
99.2%
(01:00) #40 I.Gallagher-Cheetham punt 25 yards to the BCU46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 7TD
5 plays · 46 yds · 0:4999% → 100%
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+18
99.2%
(00:54) Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short left to #3 J.Bibbs caught at BCU41, for 18 yards to the BCU28 (#12 J.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.2%
(00:24) Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass incomplete deep middle to #2 T.Hornes thrown to BCU00Similar
Q1 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+5
99.1%
(00:18) Shotgun #26 D.Watson rush right for 5 yards gain to the BCU23 (#4 M.Lloyd; #18 S.Gay)Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+23
99.5%
(14:57) Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short middle to #3 J.Bibbs caught at BCU07, for 23 yards to the BCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:54, 1ST DOWN #15 W.Stone kick attempt good (H: #97 M.Denaburg, LS: #44 K.Hicks)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:561% → 0%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.5%
PENALTY BCU Illegal Formation 5 yards from BCU25 to BCU20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
99.6%
(14:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 I.Daniel rush right for 2 yards gain to the BCU22 (#21 T.Bartrum)Similar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
99.6%
(14:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 I.Daniel rush right for 2 yards gain to the BCU22 fumbled by #27 I.Daniel at BCU22 forced by #21 T.Bartrum recovered by BCU Bethune-Cookman at BCU22, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 14:27
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+5
99.6%
(14:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 Z.Mobley rush middle for 5 yards gain to the BCU27 (#24 T.Curtis; #11 K.Talley)Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+1
99.6%
(13:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Jefferson rush left for 1 yard gain to the BCU28 (#6 I.Nixon; #11 K.Talley)Similar
Q2 12:58
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+4
99.6%
(13:04) #40 I.Gallagher-Cheetham punt 34 yards to the UCF38 #7 A.Jackson return 4 yards to the UCF42 (#11 T.Rigby)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:03100% → 100%
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
99.5%
(12:56) #6 R.Farmer rush left for 6 yards gain to the UCF48 (#18 S.Gay)Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+2
99.5%
(12:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Swint rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UCF50 (#18 S.Gay)Similar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 2
50
0
99.5%
(11:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass incomplete short right to #11 L.Chambers thrown to BCU47 QB hurried by #10 L.Lurry JrSimilar
Q2 11:52
4TH & 2
50
+5
99.5%
PENALTY UCF Delay Of Game 5 yards from UCF50 to UCF45. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 11:45
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
99.5%
(11:47) #49 A.Bertrams punt 55 yards to the BCU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:550% → 0%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-9
99.6%
(11:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Jefferson pass incomplete short middle thrown to BCU17 QB hurried by #24 T.Curtis PENALTY BCU Intentional Grounding (#5 T.Jefferson)Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 19
OWN 11
+1
99.6%
(11:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Robinson rush right for 1 yard gain to the BCU12 (#10 S.Edwards)Similar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 18
OWN 12
0
99.6%
(10:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Jefferson pass incomplete short left to #6 R.Shaw II thrown to BCU26Similar
Q2 10:45
4TH & 18
OWN 12
0
99.6%
(10:49) #40 I.Gallagher-Cheetham punt 36 yards to the BCU48, out of bounds at BCU48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 11FG
7 plays · 32 yds · 3:18100% → 100%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.6%
(10:45) Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass incomplete short right thrown to BCU40 QB hurried by #2 J.EvansSimilar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+11
99.5%
(10:36) Shotgun #26 D.Watson rush middle for 11 yards gain to the BCU37 (#0 I.Washburn; #6 N.Lassiter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+26
99.5%
(10:10) Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete deep right to #5 J.Derry caught at BCU16, for 26 yards to the BCU11 (#3 J.Cummings), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
99.6%
(09:28) Shotgun #11 L.Chambers rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BCU09 (#7 J.Davis; #6 N.Lassiter)Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+4
99.5%
(08:49) Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BCU05 (#10 L.Lurry Jr; #1 S.Sparrow Jr.)Similar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 4
OPP 5
-11
99.6%
(07:59) Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III sacked for loss of 11 yards to the BCU16 (#11 T.Rigby)Similar
Q2 7:19
4TH & 15
OPP 16
+34
99.6%
(07:20) #15 W.Stone field goal attempt from 34 yards GOOD (H: #97 M.Denaburg, LS: #44 K.Hicks), clock 07:19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 12FUMBLE
8 plays · 12 yds · 3:100% → 0%
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.6%
(07:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Jefferson pass complete short left to #81 C.Oxendine caught at BCU36, for 11 yards to the BCU36 (#14 K.Johnson) PENALTY BCU Illegal Shift 5 yards from BCU25 to BCU20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
99.6%
(06:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 Z.Mobley rush right for 1 yard gain to the BCU21 (#6 I.Nixon)Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+30
99.7%
(06:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Jefferson pass complete deep left to #6 R.Shaw II caught at UCF49, for 30 yards to the UCF49, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
99.7%
PENALTY BCU False Start (#75 V.Clarke) 5 yards from UCF49 to BCU46. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 15
OWN 46
-1
99.7%
(05:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 Z.Mobley rush left for 1 yard loss to the BCU45 (#7 A.Jackson)Similar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 16
OWN 45
-5
99.7%
(04:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Jefferson rush middle for 5 yards loss to the BCU40 (#20 L.Carter; #93 B.Gurley Jr.)Similar
Q2 4:07
3RD & 21
OWN 40
-3
99.7%
(04:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Jefferson sacked for loss of 3 yards to the BCU37 (#12 A.Koumba), fumble by #5 T.Jefferson recovered by UCF #0 H.Lockett at BCU37, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 13TD
10 plays · 37 yds · 2:07100% → 100%
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+16
99.7%
(04:06) Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short right to #4 T.Swint caught at BCU34, for 16 yards to the BCU21 (#4 M.Lloyd), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.7%
(03:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass incomplete deep left to #13 C.Rollerson thrown to BCU00Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+5
99.7%
(03:21) Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short middle to #4 T.Swint caught at BCU20, for 21 yards to the BCU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 03:15 PENALTY UCF Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#61 O.Spell) 5 yards from BCU21 to BCU26. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 15
OPP 26
+15
99.7%
(03:12) Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short right to #0 D.Wade caught at BCU24, for 15 yards to the BCU11 (#11 T.Rigby), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
99.7%
(02:38) Shotgun #11 L.Chambers rush middle for 8 yards gain to the BCU03 (#11 T.Rigby; #5 M.Stinnett)Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+10
99.7%
(02:11) Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass incomplete short right to #3 J.Bibbs thrown to BCU00 PENALTY UCF Pass Interference (#2 T.Hornes) 10 yards from BCU03 to BCU13. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 12
OPP 13
+3
99.8%
(02:08) Shotgun #11 L.Chambers rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BCU10 (#95 N.Brown)Similar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+8
99.7%
(01:59) Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass incomplete short middle to #6 R.Farmer thrown to BCU00 QB hurried by #5 M.Stinnett, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY BCU Pass Interference (#12 J.Williams) 8 yards from BCU10 to BCU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.8%
(01:50) #11 L.Chambers rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:50 #15 W.Stone kick attempt good (H: #97 M.Denaburg, LS: #44 K.Hicks)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · -2 yds · 0:300% → 0%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
(01:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 R.Brown rush middle for 0 yards to the BCU25 (#11 K.Talley; #6 I.Nixon)Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.8%
(01:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 R.Brown rush right for 4 yards loss to the BCU21 (#11 K.Talley)Similar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+7
99.8%
(01:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Jones pass complete short middle to #15 M.Morales caught at BCU24, for 7 yards to the BCU28 (#21 T.Bartrum; #34 J.Culbreath)Similar
Q2 1:33
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+5
99.8%
PENALTY BCU False Start (#42 C.Hash) 5 yards from BCU28 to BCU23. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:15
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+21
99.8%
(01:31) #40 I.Gallagher-Cheetham punt 47 yards to the UCF30 #7 A.Jackson return 21 yards to the BCU49 (#85 J.Dames)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 15INT
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:19100% → 100%
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
99.8%
(01:13) #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short right to #6 R.Farmer caught at BCU47, for 5 yards to the BCU44 (#18 S.Gay)Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 5
OPP 44
-33
99.8%
(00:52) #14 A.Barnett III pass intercepted by #7 J.Davis at BCU22 #7 J.Davis return 33 yards to the UCF45 (#14 K.Johnson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 16END OF HALF
7 plays · -6 yds · 0:230% → 0%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.8%
(00:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Jones pass complete short left to #6 R.Shaw II caught at UCF43, for 2 yards to the UCF43 (#20 L.Carter)Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+3
99.8%
(00:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Jones pass complete short right to #6 R.Shaw II caught at UCF46, for 3 yards to the UCF40 (#2 J.Williams)Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+5
99.8%
PENALTY BCU False Start (#56 J.Alcindor) 5 yards from UCF40 to UCF45. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+10
99.8%
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Jones rush right for 8 yards gain to the UCF37, out of bounds at UCF37 PENALTY BCU Holding (#56 J.Alcindor) 10 yards from UCF45 to BCU45. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 20
OWN 45
+4
99.9%
(00:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Robinson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BCU49, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 17TD
6 plays · 37 yds · 1:42100% → 100%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
99.8%
(14:50) #26 D.Watson rush left for 4 yards gain to the BCU33 (#2 J.Evans)Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+2
99.8%
(14:15) #14 A.Barnett III rush right for 2 yards gain to the BCU31, out of bounds at BCU31Similar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+19
99.8%
(13:45) #26 D.Watson rush left for 19 yards gain to the BCU12 (#24 A.Ross), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UCF UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#6 R.Farmer) 15 yards from BCU12 to BCU27Similar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.8%
(13:11) #14 A.Barnett III pass incomplete short left to #0 D.Wade thrown to BCU25Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+27
99.8%
(13:08) #4 T.Swint rush middle for 27 yards gain to the BCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:02, 1ST DOWN #15 W.Stone kick attempt good (H: #97 M.Denaburg, LS: #44 K.Hicks)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:250% → 0%
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
(13:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 Z.Mobley rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BCU27 (#23 J.Burnett)Similar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
(12:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Jones pass complete short left to #22 Z.Mobley caught at BCU27, for 0 yards to the BCU27 (#6 I.Nixon)Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
(11:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Jones pass incomplete short middle to #6 R.Shaw II thrown to BCU31Similar
Q3 11:34
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+5
99.9%
PENALTY BCU Delay Of Game 5 yards from BCU27 to BCU22. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 11:27
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
99.9%
(11:32) #40 I.Gallagher-Cheetham punt 37 yards to the UCF41 fair catch by #7 A.Jackson at UCF41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 19TD
4 plays · 59 yds · 2:06100% → 100%
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.9%
(11:26) #12 K.Jenkins pass complete short left to #3 J.Bibbs caught at UCF37, for 3 yards to the UCF44 (#29 G.Cash)Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+14
99.9%
(10:42) No Huddle #11 L.Chambers rush left for 14 yards gain to the BCU42 (#4 M.Lloyd; #1 S.Sparrow Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
99.9%
(10:00) No Huddle #12 K.Jenkins pass complete short left to #11 K.Talley caught at BCU30, for 15 yards to the BCU27, out of bounds at BCU27, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
99.9%
(09:15) No Huddle #11 L.Chambers rush middle for 27 yards gain to the BCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:10, 1ST DOWN #15 W.Stone kick attempt good (H: #97 M.Denaburg, LS: #44 K.Hicks)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:280% → 0%
Q3 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.9%
(09:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 R.Brown rush right for 5 yards loss to the BCU20 (#92 J.Lafontant)Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
PENALTY BCU False Start (#71 J.Blake) 5 yards from BCU20 to BCU15. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
99.9%
(08:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Jones rush middle for 0 yards to the BCU15 (#10 S.Edwards; #54 T.Turner)Similar
Q3 7:26
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+12
99.9%
(07:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Jones rush left for 12 yards gain to the BCU27 (#34 J.Culbreath), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 6:35
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+46
99.9%
(06:51) #40 I.Gallagher-Cheetham punt 43 yards to the UCF30 #86 C.Hinshaw return 46 yards to the BCU24 (#13 M.McCants; #42 C.Hash)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 21TD
2 plays · 24 yds · 0:44100% → 100%
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
99.9%
(06:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Jenkins pass complete short right to #2 T.Hornes caught at BCU20, for 15 yards to the BCU09 (#23 N.Rawls II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
(05:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Jenkins pass complete short right to #13 C.Rollerson caught at BCU00, for 9 yards to the BCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:42 #15 W.Stone kick attempt good (H: #97 M.Denaburg, LS: #44 K.Hicks)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:040% → 0%
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
(05:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 Z.Mobley rush left for 5 yards gain to the BCU30 (#24 T.Curtis)Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
(05:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 Z.Mobley rush middle for 0 yards to the BCU30 (#97 J.Schell)Similar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-1
99.9%
(04:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Jones pass complete short right to #22 Z.Mobley caught at BCU29, for 1 yard loss to the BCU29 (#24 T.Curtis)Similar
Q3 3:31
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+13
100.0%
(03:38) #40 I.Gallagher-Cheetham punt 37 yards to the UCF34 #86 C.Hinshaw return 13 yards to the UCF47 (#5 M.Stinnett; #6 N.Lassiter)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 23TD
3 plays · 53 yds · 1:22100% → 100%
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
99.9%
(03:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #35 A.Addae rush middle for 11 yards gain to the BCU42 (#19 C.Anderson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
99.9%
(02:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #35 A.Addae rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BCU39 (#95 N.Brown)Similar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+39
99.9%
(02:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #35 A.Addae rush left for 39 yards gain to the BCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:02, 1ST DOWN #15 W.Stone kick attempt good (H: #97 M.Denaburg, LS: #44 K.Hicks)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:060% → 0%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 R.Brown rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BCU26 (#97 J.Schell; #42 A.Jones)Similar
Q3 1:07
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
100.0%
(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Jones pass incomplete short left thrown to BCU33 QB hurried by #34 J.CulbreathSimilar
Q3 1:02
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
100.0%
(01:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Jones pass incomplete short right to #10 T.Short Jr. thrown to BCU45Similar
Q3 0:50
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+25
100.0%
(00:55) #40 I.Gallagher-Cheetham punt 38 yards to the UCF36 #86 C.Hinshaw return 25 yards to the BCU39 (#42 C.Hash)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 25TD
4 plays · 39 yds · 0:46100% → 100%
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+21
99.9%
(00:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #35 A.Addae rush middle for 21 yards gain to the BCU18 (#2 J.Evans), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+17
99.9%
(00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 R.Marriott rush left for 17 yards gain to the BCU01 (#37 X.Lucas), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was out of bounds". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 R.Marriott rush left for 18 yards gain to the BCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:00, 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q4 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
(14:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 R.Marriott rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:56 #15 W.Stone kick attempt good (H: #49 A.Bertrams, LS: #44 K.Hicks)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 2:150% → 0%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
100.0%
(14:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 I.Daniel rush middle for 0 yards to the BCU20 (#93 B.Gurley Jr.)Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-3
100.0%
(14:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Jones sacked for loss of 5 yards to the BCU15 (#56 P.Ryan, #97 J.Schell)Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 15
OWN 15
0
100.0%
(13:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 A.Jones rush left for 0 yards to the BCU15 (#19 R.Henry; #33 P.Picciotti), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 12:28
4TH & 15
OWN 15
0
100.0%
(12:32) #40 I.Gallagher-Cheetham punt 44 yards to the UCF41 fair catch by #86 C.Hinshaw at UCF41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 27PUNT
13 plays · 19 yds · 7:07100% → 100%
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
100.0%
(12:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 K.Baker rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UCF44 (#0 I.Washburn)Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 7
OWN 44
-1
100.0%
(11:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 K.Baker rush right for 1 yard loss to the UCF43 (#10 L.Lurry Jr)Similar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+20
100.0%
(11:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 K.Baker rush middle for 20 yards gain to the BCU37 (#7 J.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
100.0%
(10:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 K.Baker rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BCU35 (#95 N.Brown)Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
100.0%
(09:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 K.Annett rush right for 0 yards to the BCU35 (#7 J.Davis; #35 M.Shafer III)Similar
Q4 8:33
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+9
100.0%
(08:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 K.Annett rush left for 9 yards gain to the BCU26 (#6 N.Lassiter; #18 S.Gay), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
100.0%
(07:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Lewis IV rush left for 0 yards to the BCU26 (#4 M.Lloyd; #35 M.Shafer III)Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+2
100.0%
(07:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 K.Baker rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BCU24 (#94 C.Medina; #35 M.Shafer III)Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+15
100.0%
(06:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 K.Annett rush right for 6 yards gain to the BCU18 (#6 N.Lassiter; #16 K.Kwaku Jr.) PENALTY UCF Personal Foul (#84 T.Wadsworth) 15 yards from BCU24 to BCU39. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 5:49
3RD & 23
OPP 39
+5
100.0%
PENALTY UCF Delay Of Game 5 yards from BCU39 to BCU44. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 28
OPP 44
+4
100.0%
(05:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 K.Baker rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BCU40 (#94 C.Medina)Similar
Q4 5:12
4TH & 24
OPP 40
0
100.0%
(05:17) #49 A.Bertrams punt 40 yards to the BCU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 28TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 5:040% → 0%
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
100.0%
(05:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 I.Daniel rush middle for 0 yards to the BCU20 (#45 Q.Hatch; #42 A.Jones)Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
100.0%
(04:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Morris rush middle for 9 yards gain to the BCU29 (#33 P.Picciotti)Similar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
100.0%
(03:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 I.Daniel rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BCU32 (#54 T.Turner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
100.0%
(03:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 I.Daniel rush right for 8 yards gain to the BCU40 (#54 T.Turner)Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+10
100.0%
(02:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 I.Daniel rush right for 10 yards gain to the BCU50 (#45 Q.Hatch), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
50
+4
100.0%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 I.Daniel rush right for 4 yards gain to the UCF46 (#45 Q.Hatch; #96 A.Coaxum)Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+11
100.0%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 I.Daniel rush right for 11 yards gain to the UCF35 (#97 J.Schell; #26 E.Keys), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+24
100.0%
(00:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 I.Daniel rush right for 24 yards gain to the UCF11 (#29 T.Porcher), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
100.0%
(00:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 I.Daniel rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UCF08 (#56 P.Ryan; #97 J.Schell)Similar
Q4 0:04
2ND & 7
OPP 8
0
100.0%
(00:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Morris pass incomplete short right to #8 K.Stewart thrown to UCF00 broken up by #22 A.QueenSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+8
100.0%
Kobe Stewart 8 Yd pass from Joel Morris Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:54
(14:57) Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short middle to #3 J.Bibbs caught at BCU07, for 23 yards to the BCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:54, 1ST DOWN #15 W.Stone kick attempt good (H: #97 M.Denaburg, LS: #44 K.Hicks)
+0.4
TD · Q1 3:11
(03:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III rush right for 5 yards gain to the BCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:11 #15 W.Stone kick attempt good (H: #97 M.Denaburg, LS: #44 K.Hicks)
+0.2
TD · Q2 1:50
(01:50) #11 L.Chambers rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:50 #15 W.Stone kick attempt good (H: #97 M.Denaburg, LS: #44 K.Hicks)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com