Try the model
2026 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026 · FirstBank Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for reference
Projected score
TENN32
VAN21
TENN by 11 · market TENN by 3
Win chance
TENN74%
TENN 74%VAN 26%
Projected total
53pts
Market total 57.5
Explore the range of outcomes
57%
chance Tennessee wins by 7 or more
43% Tennessee wins by 6 or fewer, or loses
← VAN winsTENN wins →
-28-140+14+28+42
50% of outcomes
VAN by 1 to TENN by 20
80% of outcomes
VAN by 12 to TENN by 30
90% of outcomes
VAN by 18 to TENN by 33
Median
TENN by 10
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com