Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for referenceProjected score
ALA36
AUB16
ALA by 20 · market ALA by 10
Win chance
ALA88%
AUB 12%ALA 88%
Projected total
52pts
Market total 52.5
Explore the range of outcomes
62%
chance Alabama wins by 14 or more
38% Alabama wins by 13 or fewer, or loses
← AUB winsALA wins →
-140+14+28+42
- 50% of outcomes
- ALA by 8 to 28
- 80% of outcomes
- AUB by 1 to ALA by 38
- 90% of outcomes
- AUB by 6 to ALA by 44
- Median
- ALA by 19
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.