2026 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2026 · Davis Wade Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7Projected score
MSST34
VAN23
MSST by 11
Win chance
MSST77%
VAN 23%MSST 77%
Projected total
58pts
Combined points
Explore the range of outcomes
61%
chance Mississippi State wins by 7 or more
39% Mississippi State wins by 6 or fewer, or loses
← VAN winsMSST wins →
-21-7+7+21+35
- 50% of outcomes
- MSST by 2 to 20
- 80% of outcomes
- VAN by 11 to MSST by 30
- 90% of outcomes
- VAN by 14 to MSST by 33
- Median
- MSST by 10
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.