Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for referenceProjected score
TEX32
MISS23
TEX by 9 · market TEX by 8.5
Win chance
TEX69%
MISS 31%TEX 69%
Projected total
56pts
Market total 54.5
Explore the range of outcomes
53%
chance Texas wins by 7 or more
47% Texas wins by 6 or fewer, or loses
← MISS winsTEX wins →
-21-7+7+21+35
- 50% of outcomes
- MISS by 2 to TEX by 20
- 80% of outcomes
- MISS by 11 to TEX by 29
- 90% of outcomes
- MISS by 16 to TEX by 33
- Median
- TEX by 8
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.