2026 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026 · FirstBank Stadium
Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for referenceProjected score
VAN29
ARK24
VAN by 5 · market VAN by 6.25
Win chance
VAN66%
ARK 34%VAN 66%
Projected total
53pts
Market total 50.5
Explore the range of outcomes
60%
chance Vanderbilt wins by 3 or more
40% Vanderbilt wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← ARK winsVAN wins →
-28-140+14+28
- 50% of outcomes
- ARK by 4 to VAN by 14
- 80% of outcomes
- ARK by 12 to VAN by 25
- 90% of outcomes
- ARK by 19 to VAN by 32
- Median
- VAN by 7
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.