Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for referenceProjected score
MISS31
MIZ26
MISS by 5 · market MISS by 6
Win chance
MISS60%
MIZ 40%MISS 60%
Projected total
57pts
Market total 59.5
Explore the range of outcomes
55%
chance Ole Miss wins by 3 or more
45% Ole Miss wins by 2 or fewer, or loses
← MIZ winsMISS wins →
-28-140+14+28
- 50% of outcomes
- MIZ by 6 to MISS by 14
- 80% of outcomes
- MIZ by 15 to MISS by 25
- 90% of outcomes
- MIZ by 21 to MISS by 31
- Median
- MISS by 4
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
What's at stake
Playoff odds, and how this result moves them.
2026 week 6 odds, simulated every Tuesday. All playoff odds