2026 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026 · Tiger Stadium (LA)
Pregame projection
Points model v7 · market line as of Oct 13, 9:17 AM ET, shown for referenceProjected score
LSU36
MSST21
LSU by 15 · market LSU by 14
Win chance
LSU79%
MSST 21%LSU 79%
Projected total
57pts
Market total 58.5
Explore the range of outcomes
51%
chance LSU wins by 14 or more
49% LSU wins by 13 or fewer, or loses
← MSST winsLSU wins →
-21-7+7+21+35
- 50% of outcomes
- LSU by 3 to 23
- 80% of outcomes
- MSST by 7 to LSU by 33
- 90% of outcomes
- MSST by 14 to LSU by 39
- Median
- LSU by 14
Not betting advice. This is just a model. These numbers are statistical estimates for entertainment and information only - not a prediction of what will happen and not a recommendation to bet on this or any game. The model is built without betting lines, and no model is reliably more accurate than the betting market. Scores and ranges cover regulation only (no overtime), and even the widest range here misses about 1 game in 10. If you choose to gamble, do so legally and responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
What's at stake
Playoff odds, and how this result moves them.
| The teams playing | Now | With a winWith a win | With a lossWith a loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State | 9% | 24% | 5% |
| LSU | 9% | 12% | 1% |
| Also riding on it | Now | MSST wins (21%)If Mississippi State wins (21%) | LSU wins (79%)If LSU wins (79%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State | 30% | 28% | 30% |
| USC | 20% | 19% | 20% |
| Ole Miss | 15% | 14% | 16% |
2026 week 6 odds, simulated every Tuesday. All playoff odds