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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadLSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreLSU score
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:57 · (05:01) #88 A.Zouagui field goal attempt from 42 yards NO GOOD (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #47 S.Radnoti), clock 04:57
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
This game in five plays
- TD · Q2 0:00: Kenny Minchey 1 Yd Run (Adam Zouagui Kick) — UK win probability +16.7 pts (now 51%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
- TD · Q4 9:42: (09:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Harris pass complete deep left to #14 R.Mothershed caught at UK05, for 41 yards to the UK00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:42, 1ST DOWN #80 S.Starzyk kick attempt good (H: #90 G.Chadwick, LS: #43 S.Hall) — LSU win probability +36.6 pts (now 72%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
- FG · Q4 0:12: (00:12) #88 A.Zouagui field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #47 S.Radnoti), clock 00:12 — UK win probability +54.4 pts (now 63%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
- TD · OT 0:00: (00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt rush middle for 15 yards gain to the UK00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:00, 1ST DOWN #80 S.Starzyk kick attempt good (H: #90 G.Chadwick, LS: #43 S.Hall) — LSU win probability +19.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
- TD · OT 0:00: (00:00) #1 C.Baxter rush left for 1 yard gain to the LSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:00 #3 K.Minchey rush attempt Successful — UK win probability +58.2 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
Was that the right call?
Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works
Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 7 of 9LSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
- Q1 8:45LSU 4th & 6 at UK 6, tiedAgrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.1% before the snapGo for it69.0%−<0.131% to convertField goalTheir call69.1%91% to makePunt68.2%−0.9average punt
- Q2 14:03UK 4th & 10 at LSU 44, down 3Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.5% before the snapGo for it33.3%−0.230% to convertField goal33.0%−0.627% to makePuntTheir call33.5%average punt
- Q2 13:06LSU 4th & 8 at LSU 18, up 3Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.1% before the snapGo for it64.6%−0.632% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call65.3%average punt
- Q2 7:30LSU 4th & 1 at UK 24, down 4Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.2% before the snapGo for itTheir call59.1%71% to convertField goal57.6%−1.568% to makePunt53.7%−5.4average punt
- Q2 0:00UK 4th & 1 at LSU 1, down 3Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.7% before the snapGo for itTheir call41.7%59% to convertField goal37.5%−4.394% to makePunt28.9%−12.9average punt
- Q3 13:22UK 4th & 8 at UK 27, up 4Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.3% before the snapGo for it47.0%−1.433% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call48.4%average punt
- Q3 10:53UK 4th & 2 at LSU 17, up 4Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.1% before the snapGo for itTheir call55.0%56% to convertField goal53.9%−1.180% to makePunt46.6%−8.3average punt
- Q3 8:28LSU 4th & 6 at LSU 22, down 4Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.0% before the snapGo for it42.4%−1.438% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call43.9%average punt
- Q3 6:46UK 4th & 3 at UK 37, up 4Close callPunted · 56.4% before the snapGo for it57.4%52% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call56.7%−0.8average punt
- Q3 2:13LSU 4th & 6 at UK 6, down 4Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.2% before the snapGo for it43.0%−0.431% to convertField goalTheir call43.4%91% to makePunt33.0%−10.4average punt
- Q4 11:54UK 4th & 3 at LSU 10, up 1Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 58.9% before the snapGo for it58.9%49% to convertField goalTheir call57.3%−1.688% to makePunt41.6%−17.3average punt
- Q4 4:57UK 4th & 10 at LSU 24, down 3Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.0% before the snapGo for it32.0%−7.628% to convertField goalTheir call39.6%68% to makePunt22.0%−17.6average punt
- Q4 3:11UK 4th & 5 at LSU 8, down 3Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.7% before the snapGo for it32.2%−12.334% to convertField goalTheir call44.4%90% to makePunt19.9%−24.5average punt
- Q4 1:37LSU 4th & 1 at LSU 43, up 3Numbers favored go for it by 5.7 ptsPunted · 85.3% before the snapGo for it87.9%70% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call82.2%−5.7average punt
- Q4 0:12UK 4th & 1 at LSU 14, down 3Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.9% before the snapGo for it32.7%−11.771% to convertField goalTheir call44.5%84% to makePunt11.3%−33.1average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 3 of 3LSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
- Q1 8:09UK Touchdown, up 3 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call32.8%97% to makeGo for two32.8%−<0.145% to convert
- Q1 1:39LSU Touchdown, up 2 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call66.9%97% to makeGo for two66.9%−<0.145% to convert
- Q2 13:06UK Touchdown, up 3 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call39.0%97% to makeGo for two38.9%−0.145% to convert
- Q2 6:11LSU Touchdown, up 2 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call64.3%97% to makeGo for two64.2%−0.145% to convert
- Q2 0:00UK Touchdown, up 3 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call48.7%97% to makeGo for two48.6%−0.145% to convert
- Q4 9:42LSU Touchdown, up 2 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call59.9%97% to makeGo for two58.7%−1.245% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chartLSUDrive 1FG16 plays · 69 yds · 6:0576% → 74%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
23.6%
(14:59) Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass complete short right to #13 D.Jones caught at LSU25, for 2 yards to the LSU27 (#0 B.Barnes)Similar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
23.7%
(14:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt rush middle for 7 yards gain to the LSU34 (#94 T.Gadson)Similar
Q1 14:13
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
23.9%
(14:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 D.Jones rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LSU36 (#94 T.Gadson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
24.1%
(13:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass complete short left to #13 D.Jones caught at LSU31, for 17 yards to the UK47 (#14 T.Bryant), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
24.1%
(13:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass complete short left to #3 E.Wilson III caught at UK43, for 5 yards to the UK42 (#20 T.Nichols)Similar
Q1 13:01
2ND & 5
OPP 42
-1
24.3%
(13:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 D.Jones rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UK43 (#0 B.Barnes)Similar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+5
24.5%
PENALTY LSU False Start (#55 A.Bah) 5 yards from UK43 to UK48. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 12:06
3RD & 11
OPP 48
+15
24.8%
(12:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass complete short middle to #14 R.Mothershed caught at UK41, for 15 yards to the UK33 (#20 T.Nichols; #5 J.Castell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
24.8%
(11:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 D.Jones rush left for 11 yards gain to the UK22 (#22 G.Godfrey), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
24.9%
(11:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 D.Jones rush right for 2 yards gain to the UK20 (#96 D.Wiseman)Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+15
25.1%
(10:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass complete short right to #22 H.Berry caught at UK22, for 15 yards to the UK05 (#5 J.Castell), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-4
25.3%
(10:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 H.Berry rush left for 4 yards loss to the UK09 (#0 B.Barnes; #14 T.Bryant)Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
25.6%
(09:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt rush left for 3 yards gain to the UK06 (#5 J.Castell), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 8:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
26.0%
(08:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass incomplete short left to #14 R.Mothershed thrown to UK00 QB hurried by #22 G.GodfreySimilar
Q1 8:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
25.9%
(08:48) #80 S.Starzyk field goal attempt from 24 yards GOOD (H: #90 G.Chadwick, LS: #43 S.Hall), clock 08:45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2TD3 plays · 80 yds · 0:2026% → 28%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+77
26.1%
(08:40) Shotgun #1 C.Baxter rush middle for 77 yards gain to the LSU03 (#11 P.Woodland), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
28.3%
(08:13) Shotgun #1 C.Baxter rush right for 3 yards gain to the LSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:09 #88 A.Zouagui kick attempt good (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #47 S.Radnoti)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 3TD16 plays · 75 yds · 6:2072% → 73%
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
27.9%
(08:09) Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass complete short right to #6 W.Watkins Jr. caught at LSU30, for 14 yards to the LSU39 (#5 J.Castell; #22 G.Godfrey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
27.8%
(07:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt rush left for 10 yards gain to the LSU49 (#14 T.Bryant), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
27.8%
(07:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt rush left for 5 yards gain to the UK46 (#22 G.Godfrey), out of bounds PENALTY UK Illegal Substitution 5 yards from LSU49 to UK46. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 6:43
1ST & 5
OPP 46
-2
27.9%
(06:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 D.Jones rush right for 2 yards loss to the UK48 (#90 M.Humphrey-Grace)Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+5
28.3%
PENALTY LSU False Start (#44 Z.Grace) 5 yards from UK48 to LSU47. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 12
OWN 47
+14
28.9%
(06:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass complete short right to #6 W.Watkins Jr. caught at UK40, for 14 yards to the UK39 (#3 A.Gates), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
28.7%
(05:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 D.Jones rush middle for 0 yards to the UK39 (#90 M.Humphrey-Grace)Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+11
29.2%
(04:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass complete short right to #13 D.Jones caught at UK34, for 11 yards to the UK28 (#0 B.Barnes; #20 T.Nichols), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
29.0%
(04:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 D.Jones rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UK24 (#14 T.Bryant) PENALTY LSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from UK28 to UK33. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 3:38
1ST & 15
OPP 33
0
29.6%
(03:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass incomplete short middle to #6 W.Watkins Jr. thrown to UK22 QB hurried by #7 J.HarklessSimilar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 15
OPP 33
+11
29.9%
(03:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass complete short middle to #6 W.Watkins Jr. caught at UK28, for 11 yards to the UK22 (#0 B.Barnes)Similar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+5
30.0%
(03:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UK17 (#22 G.Godfrey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
29.5%
(02:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 E.Wilson III rush left for 3 yards gain to the UK14 (#0 B.Barnes), out of bounds PENALTY LSU Illegal Shift 5 yards from UK17 to UK22. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:13
1ST & 15
OPP 22
0
29.8%
(02:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 D.Jones rush right for 0 yards to the UK22 (#22 G.Godfrey; #2 S.Greene)Similar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 15
OPP 22
+22
27.5%
(01:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass complete short right to #44 Z.Grace caught at UK05, for 22 yards to the UK00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:39, 1ST DOWN #80 S.Starzyk kick attempt good (H: #90 G.Chadwick, LS: #43 S.Hall)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4PUNT11 plays · 31 yds · 2:2629% → 29%
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
28.7%
(01:39) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass complete short right to #81 W.Rodriguez caught at UK24, for 0 yards to the UK25 (#6 T.Dottery)Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
28.7%
(01:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Baxter rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UK30 (#90 S.Green)Similar
Q1 0:32
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
28.8%
(00:37) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass incomplete short right to #81 W.Rodriguez thrown to UK38 PENALTY UK Holding offsetting LSU Roughing The Passer offsetting. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 0:22
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
28.9%
(00:31) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass complete short right to #4 N.Anderson caught at UK34, for 10 yards to the UK40 (#6 T.Dottery), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
30.3%
(00:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Baxter rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UK41 (#90 S.Green) PENALTY LSU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#1 P.Umanmielen) 15 yards from UK41 to LSU44, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
30.9%
(14:59) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass incomplete short right to #8 M.Skinner thrown to LSU44 QB hurried by #29 J.RossSimilar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
30.9%
(14:56) Shotgun #1 C.Baxter rush middle for 0 yards to the LSU44 (#2 T.Benefield)Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
30.2%
(14:13) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass incomplete short right to #7 D.Miller thrown to LSU38Similar
Q2 14:03
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
29.4%
(14:07) #93 W.Berry punt 28 yards to the LSU16 fair catch by #3 E.Wilson III at LSU16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 5PUNT TD4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4871% → 64%
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
29.4%
(14:02) Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass complete short right to #4 J.Harris caught at LSU18, for 2 yards to the LSU18, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 8
OWN 18
0
29.6%
(13:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass incomplete deep right to #6 W.Watkins Jr. thrown to LSU45 broken up by #5 J.CastellSimilar
Q2 13:25
3RD & 8
OWN 18
0
30.3%
(13:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass incomplete short middle to #4 J.Harris thrown to LSU29 broken up by #20 T.NicholsSimilar
Q2 13:06
4TH & 8
OWN 18
+55
35.6%
(13:24) #90 G.Chadwick punt 37 yards to the UK45 #12 B.Coffman return 55 yards to the LSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:06. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was inbounds". CALL UPHELD #88 A.Zouagui kick attempt good (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #47 S.Radnoti)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 6TD17 plays · 75 yds · 6:4666% → 72%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
34.3%
(13:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt rush right for 7 yards gain to the LSU32 (#22 G.Godfrey)Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
33.7%
(12:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 D.Jones rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LSU35 (#91 J.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
34.5%
(12:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 D.Jones rush right for 6 yards gain to the LSU41 (#2 S.Greene)Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
33.7%
(11:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 D.Jones rush right for 3 yards gain to the LSU44 (#3 A.Gates)Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+11
34.2%
(11:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass complete short right to #2 T.Brown caught at UK45, for 11 yards to the UK45 (#14 T.Bryant), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-6
33.9%
(10:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt sacked for loss of 6 yards to the LSU49 (#2 S.Greene)Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 16
OWN 49
+13
35.5%
(10:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass complete short middle to #13 D.Jones caught at UK46, for 13 yards to the UK38 (#0 B.Barnes; #22 G.Godfrey)Similar
Q2 9:51
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+5
34.2%
(09:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UK33 (#0 B.Barnes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
33.9%
(09:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 H.Berry rush left for 9 yards gain to the UK24 (#3 A.Gates), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 1
OPP 24
-1
33.9%
(09:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 H.Berry rush right for 1 yard loss to the UK25 (#0 B.Barnes)Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+1
35.6%
(08:14) #13 D.Jones rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UK24 (#0 B.Barnes; #91 J.Williams)Similar
Q2 7:30
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+14
38.3%
(07:38) #13 D.Jones rush right for 14 yards gain to the UK10 (#14 T.Bryant), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
36.5%
(06:55) Shotgun #11 L.Clark rush middle for 0 yards to the UK10 (#90 M.Humphrey-Grace)Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
28.2%
(06:16) Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass complete short right to #4 J.Harris caught at UK00, for 10 yards to the UK00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:11, 1ST DOWN #80 S.Starzyk kick attempt good (H: #90 G.Chadwick, LS: #43 S.Hall)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7TD21 plays · 75 yds · 6:0531% → 51%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
31.2%
(06:11) Shotgun #26 J.Patterson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UK30 (#42 D.Keys)Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+12
31.9%
(05:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass complete short middle to #4 N.Anderson caught at UK35, for 12 yards to the UK42 (#2 T.Benefield), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
33.5%
(05:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass complete short left to #4 N.Anderson caught at UK38, for 7 yards to the UK49 (#28 J.Thomas)Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+7
34.2%
(04:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass complete short left to #26 J.Patterson caught at UK45, for 7 yards to the LSU44 (#6 T.Dottery), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
34.9%
(04:08) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass complete short right to #87 H.Boyer caught at LSU45, for 4 yards to the LSU40 (#11 P.Woodland; #2 T.Benefield)Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+6
35.2%
(03:31) Shotgun #1 C.Baxter rush middle for 6 yards gain to the LSU34 (#6 T.Dottery), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
36.2%
(02:50) Shotgun #1 C.Baxter rush right for 6 yards gain to the LSU28 (#28 J.Thomas), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 4
OPP 28
0
36.5%
(02:11) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass incomplete short left to #19 K.Darby thrown to LSU28 QB hurried by #29 J.RossSimilar
Q2 2:01
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+10
35.3%
(02:11) Shotgun #1 C.Baxter rush right for 10 yards gain to the LSU18 (#6 T.Dottery), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
36.7%
(01:59) Shotgun #1 C.Baxter rush middle for 5 yards gain to the LSU13 (#42 D.Keys)Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+5
37.1%
(01:14) Shotgun #1 C.Baxter rush right for 5 yards gain to the LSU08 (#1 P.Umanmielen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
37.4%
(00:43) Shotgun #1 C.Baxter rush right for 1 yard gain to the LSU07 (#42 D.Keys)Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
38.0%
(00:38) Shotgun #1 C.Baxter rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LSU04 (#47 M.Blocton)Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
34.1%
(00:19) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LSU01 (#42 D.Keys)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8PUNT5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3246% → 44%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
45.5%
(15:00) Shotgun #1 C.Baxter rush left for 2 yards gain to the UK27 (#42 D.Keys)Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
46.1%
(14:20) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey rush middle for 0 yards to the UK27 (#90 S.Green)Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
45.0%
(13:37) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass incomplete short right to #7 D.Miller thrown to UK33 broken up by #2 T.BenefieldSimilar
Q3 13:22
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+16
44.3%
(13:34) #93 W.Berry punt 51 yards to the LSU22 #3 E.Wilson III return 16 yards to the LSU38 (#6 A.Breaux)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 9INT1 play · 0 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-9
44.6%
(13:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass intercepted by #14 T.Bryant at LSU45 #14 T.Bryant return 9 yards to the LSU36 (#13 D.Jones)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10DOWNS6 plays · 18 yds · 2:1150% → 52%
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
50.2%
(13:11) Shotgun #26 J.Patterson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LSU35 (#6 T.Dottery)Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+10
51.0%
(12:31) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass incomplete deep right to #7 D.Miller thrown to LSU15 broken up by #11 P.Woodland PENALTY LSU Holding (#11 P.Woodland) 10 yards from LSU35 to LSU25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
51.3%
(12:25) Shotgun #1 C.Baxter rush middle for 3 yards loss to the LSU28 (#1 P.Umanmielen)Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 13
OPP 28
0
51.1%
(11:44) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass incomplete short left to #7 D.Miller thrown to LSU15Similar
Q3 11:27
3RD & 13
OPP 28
+10
48.8%
(11:41) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass complete short left to #7 D.Miller caught at LSU22, for 10 yards to the LSU18 (#11 P.Woodland)Similar
Q3 10:53
4TH & 2
OPP 17
0
52.4%
(10:56) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass incomplete short left to #19 K.Darby thrown to LSU15 broken up by #99 D.Geralds, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 11PUNT6 plays · 4 yds · 2:1950% → 43%
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
49.9%
(10:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 D.Jones rush right for 4 yards gain to the LSU22 (#7 J.Harkless)Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 6
OWN 22
-1
50.6%
(10:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt sacked for loss of 1 yard to the LSU21 (#2 S.Greene, #7 J.Harkless)Similar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+6
52.9%
(09:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass complete short right to #4 J.Harris caught at LSU27, for 6 yards to the LSU27 (#20 T.Nichols)Similar
Q3 8:42
4TH & 1
OWN 27
+5
56.2%
(08:44) PENALTY LSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from LSU27 to LSU22. NO PLAYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12PUNT4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3556% → 56%
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
55.5%
(08:27) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass incomplete short right to #87 H.Boyer thrown to UK27 QB hurried by #99 D.GeraldsSimilar
Q3 8:11
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
54.9%
(08:20) Shotgun #2 J.Barnes rush right for 3 yards gain to the UK33 (#29 J.Ross; #42 D.Keys)Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+4
55.2%
(07:35) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey rush right for 4 yards gain to the UK37 (#6 T.Dottery)Similar
Q3 6:46
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
55.7%
(06:52) #93 W.Berry punt 42 yards to the LSU21 fair catch by #3 E.Wilson III at LSU21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 13FG11 plays · 73 yds · 4:2343% → 50%
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
56.6%
(06:45) Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass complete short right to #13 D.Jones caught at LSU25, for 8 yards to the LSU29 (#3 A.Gates) PENALTY UK Roughing The Passer (#0 B.Barnes) 15 yards from LSU29 to LSU44, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
53.6%
(06:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass incomplete deep left to #3 E.Wilson III thrown to UK16. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (06:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass complete deep left to #3 E.Wilson III caught at UK16, for 40 yards to the UK16, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+11
55.2%
(06:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass complete short left to #6 W.Watkins Jr. caught at LSU50, for 11 yards to the UK45 (#5 J.Castell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+20
53.3%
(05:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass complete short left to #13 D.Jones caught at UK40, for 20 yards to the UK25 (#22 G.Godfrey), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
51.9%
(05:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass incomplete short right to #4 J.Harris thrown to UK13 QB hurried by #90 M.Humphrey-GraceSimilar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+7
51.7%
(05:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass complete short middle to #22 H.Berry caught at UK22, for 7 yards to the UK18 (#0 B.Barnes). #0 B.Barnes injured on the playSimilar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+10
53.8%
(04:35) Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass complete short right to #4 J.Harris caught at UK20, for 10 yards to the UK08 (#20 T.Nichols; #5 J.Castell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
52.3%
(03:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass incomplete short middle to #88 M.Elzy thrown to UK00 QB hurried by #22 G.GodfreySimilar
Q3 3:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
52.5%
(03:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UK07 (#91 J.Williams; #90 M.Humphrey-Grace)Similar
Q3 2:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
55.1%
(03:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt rush left for 1 yard gain to the UK06 (#22 G.Godfrey)Similar
Q3 2:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
49.9%
(02:16) #80 S.Starzyk field goal attempt from 24 yards GOOD (H: #90 G.Chadwick, LS: #43 S.Hall), clock 02:13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 14FG12 plays · 65 yds · 5:1254% → 68%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
53.8%
(02:13) Shotgun #1 C.Baxter rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UK26 (#6 T.Dottery)Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+35
54.1%
(01:33) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass complete deep middle to #19 K.Darby caught at UK46, for 35 yards to the LSU39 (#0 T.Cooley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
59.4%
(01:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass complete short left to #7 D.Miller caught at LSU35, for 8 yards to the LSU31 (#11 P.Woodland; #2 T.Benefield)Similar
Q3 0:42
2ND & 2
OPP 31
0
61.4%
(00:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Baxter rush right for 0 yards to the LSU31 (#99 D.Geralds; #47 M.Blocton)Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+3
60.3%
(14:59) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass complete short left to #81 W.Rodriguez caught at LSU33, for 3 yards to the LSU28, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
62.7%
(14:19) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass complete short left to #81 W.Rodriguez caught at LSU30, for 11 yards to the LSU17 (#5 D.Pickett), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
63.0%
(13:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass complete short left to #81 W.Rodriguez caught at LSU19, for 6 yards to the LSU11 (#0 T.Cooley)Similar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 4
OPP 11
-2
63.5%
(13:18) Shotgun #1 C.Baxter rush middle for 2 yards loss to the LSU13 (#6 T.Dottery)Similar
Q4 12:31
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+3
62.1%
(12:41) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass complete short left to #19 K.Darby caught at LSU12, for 3 yards to the LSU10 (#28 J.Thomas)Similar
Q4 11:54
4TH & 3
OPP 10
+28
68.1%
(11:56) #88 A.Zouagui field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #47 S.Radnoti), clock 11:54Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 15TD7 plays · 75 yds · 2:0435% → 72%
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
65.1%
(11:53) Shotgun #13 D.Jones rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LSU27 (#8 L.Cowan)Similar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+13
65.3%
(11:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass complete short left to #13 D.Jones caught at LSU30, for 13 yards to the LSU40 (#20 T.Nichols), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
63.1%
(11:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass complete short right to #6 W.Watkins Jr. caught at LSU38, for 3 yards to the LSU43 (#3 A.Gates)Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
62.3%
(10:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass incomplete short left to #3 E.Wilson III thrown to LSU47Similar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+16
64.6%
(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass complete short middle to #4 J.Harris caught at UK46, for 16 yards to the UK41 (#12 H.Sykes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
28.0%
(09:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Harris pass complete deep left to #14 R.Mothershed caught at UK05, for 41 yards to the UK00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:42, 1ST DOWN #80 S.Starzyk kick attempt good (H: #90 G.Chadwick, LS: #43 S.Hall)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 16MISSED FG10 plays · 51 yds · 4:3439% → 39%
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
38.5%
(09:41) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass complete short middle to #7 D.Miller caught at UK30, for 20 yards to the UK45 (#0 T.Cooley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
42.5%
(08:57) Shotgun #2 J.Barnes rush right for 0 yards to the UK45 (#1 P.Umanmielen)Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
40.7%
(08:20) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass incomplete short middle thrown to UK45 QB hurried by #2 T.BenefieldSimilar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+11
39.2%
(08:16) Shotgun #2 J.Barnes rush middle for 11 yards gain to the LSU44 (#42 D.Keys; #6 T.Dottery), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+20
47.5%
(07:35) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass complete deep right to #5 J.Ferguson caught at LSU24, for 20 yards to the LSU24 (#11 P.Woodland), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
46.8%
(06:57) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass complete short right to #2 J.Barnes caught at LSU28, for 5 yards to the LSU19 (#6 T.Dottery)Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+1
46.7%
(06:23) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass complete short right to #81 W.Rodriguez caught at LSU22, for 1 yard to the LSU18 (#1 P.Umanmielen)Similar
Q4 5:31
3RD & 4
OPP 18
-6
42.9%
(05:43) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey sacked for loss of 6 yards to the LSU24 (#47 M.Blocton)Similar
Q4 4:57
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+42
38.6%
(05:01) #88 A.Zouagui field goal attempt from 42 yards NO GOOD (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #47 S.Radnoti), clock 04:57Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 17FUMBLE2 plays · -11 yds · 0:4073% → 75%
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
26.9%
(04:57) Shotgun #13 D.Jones rush middle for 4 yards gain to the LSU28 (#14 T.Bryant; #0 B.Barnes)Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
24.7%
(04:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt sacked for loss of 15 yards to the LSU13 (#7 J.Harkless), fumble by #10 S.Leavitt recovered by UK #94 T.Gadson at LSU13, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 18MISSED FG4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4947% → 40%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
46.7%
(04:11) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey rush right for 5 yards gain to the LSU08 (#2 T.Benefield)Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 5
OPP 8
0
46.1%
(03:24) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass incomplete short right to #87 H.Boyer thrown to LSU04 broken up by #42 D.KeysSimilar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 5
OPP 8
0
43.0%
(03:19) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass incomplete short left to #19 K.Darby thrown to LSU01Similar
Q4 3:11
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+26
40.0%
(03:15) #88 A.Zouagui field goal attempt from 26 yards NO GOOD (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #47 S.Radnoti), clock 03:11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 19PUNT11 plays · 23 yds · 1:2676% → 86%
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
23.7%
(03:11) Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt rush middle for 7 yards gain to the LSU27 (#2 S.Greene)Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+7
20.0%
(02:26) Shotgun #13 D.Jones rush middle for 7 yards gain to the LSU34 (#0 B.Barnes; #22 G.Godfrey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
16.5%
(01:59) Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt rush left for 2 yards gain to the LSU36 (#20 T.Nichols)Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 8
OWN 36
-2
13.6%
(01:54) Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt rush middle for 2 yards loss to the LSU34 (#8 L.Cowan)Similar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+9
14.6%
(01:52) Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass complete short middle to #6 W.Watkins Jr. caught at LSU40, for 9 yards to the LSU43 (#22 G.Godfrey)Similar
Q4 1:37
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+6
13.9%
(01:46) #90 G.Chadwick punt 44 yards to the UK13 #12 B.Coffman return 6 yards to the UK19 (#14 R.Mothershed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 20FG10 plays · 67 yds · 1:1727% → 63%
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
26.5%
(01:37) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass incomplete deep right to #7 D.Miller thrown to UK43Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+16
24.9%
(01:28) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass complete short left to #7 D.Miller caught at UK35, for 16 yards to the UK35 (#5 D.Pickett), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
23.8%
(01:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass complete short middle to #5 J.Ferguson caught at UK50, for 15 yards to the UK50, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
50
+8
24.2%
(01:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass complete short right to #5 J.Ferguson caught at LSU42, for 8 yards to the LSU42 (#11 P.Woodland)Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+19
31.7%
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass complete short middle to #19 K.Darby caught at LSU27, for 19 yards to the LSU23 (#0 T.Cooley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
34.7%
(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Minchey rush left for 5 yards gain to the LSU18 (#5 D.Pickett), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 0:19
2ND & 5
OPP 18
0
32.3%
(00:23) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass incomplete short middle to #12 B.Coffman thrown to LSU00Similar
Q4 0:18
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+4
27.6%
(00:18) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass complete short left to #81 W.Rodriguez caught at LSU14, for 4 yards to the LSU14, out of bounds at LSU14. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (00:18) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass incomplete short left to #81 W.Rodriguez thrown to LSU14)Similar
Q4 0:12
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+33
62.7%
(00:12) #88 A.Zouagui field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #47 S.Radnoti), clock 00:12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 21END OF HALF3 plays · -5 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 22TD2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0059% → 78%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
41.1%
(00:00) Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt pass complete short right to #4 J.Harris caught at UK21, for 10 yards to the UK15 (#12 H.Sykes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
22.0%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 S.Leavitt rush middle for 15 yards gain to the UK00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:00, 1ST DOWN #80 S.Starzyk kick attempt good (H: #90 G.Chadwick, LS: #43 S.Hall)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 23TD5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0028% → 87%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
28.0%
(00:00) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass incomplete short right to #7 D.Miller thrown to LSU09 broken up by #5 D.PickettSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
24.0%
(00:00) Shotgun #1 C.Baxter rush left for 2 yards gain to the LSU23 (#42 D.Keys)Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+22
21.8%
(00:00) Shotgun #3 K.Minchey pass complete short right to #19 K.Darby caught at LSU19, for 22 yards to the LSU01 (#6 T.Dottery), 1ST DOWNSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
28.7%
(00:00) Shotgun #81 W.Rodriguez rush middle for 0 yards to the LSU01 (#42 D.Keys)Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.9%
(00:00) #1 C.Baxter rush left for 1 yard gain to the LSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:00 #3 K.Minchey rush attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
(00:00) #1 C.Baxter rush left for 1 yard gain to the LSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:00 #3 K.Minchey rush attempt Successful
+58.2
FG · Q4 0:12
(00:12) #88 A.Zouagui field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #93 W.Berry, LS: #47 S.Radnoti), clock 00:12
+54.4
TD · Q4 9:42
(09:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Harris pass complete deep left to #14 R.Mothershed caught at UK05, for 41 yards to the UK00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:42, 1ST DOWN #80 S.Starzyk kick attempt good (H: #90 G.Chadwick, LS: #43 S.Hall)
-36.6