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UGA

Georgia 20 at Alabama 17

ALA
2026 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2026 · Bryant-Denny Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDFGFGFGFGEnd of GameFG—ALA 52.7%(03:25) #91 P.Woodring field goalattempt from 43 yards GOOD (H: #14G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings),clock 03:25AWAY 3 - HOME 0 · Q1 3:25
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:25 · (03:25) #91 P.Woodring field goal attempt from 43 yards GOOD (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings), clock 03:25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 24Home team on offense−1.0Score differential−0.7Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Pregame prior+1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:49: (05:53) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete deep left to #9 M.Pritchett caught at UGA02, for 22 yards to the UGA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:49, 1ST DOWN #31 C.Talty kick attempt good (H: #32 A.Asparuhov, LS: #55 A.Rozier) — ALA win probability +14.7 pts (now 56%) (top driver: Defense has -1 timeouts left).
  2. TD · Q2 0:00: EJ Crowell 1 Yd Run (Conor Talty Kick) — ALA win probability +22.9 pts (now 75%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:38: (10:42) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush right for 14 yards gain to the ALA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:38, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings) — UGA win probability +14.0 pts (now 57%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 5:07: (05:07) #31 C.Talty field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #32 A.Asparuhov, LS: #55 A.Rozier), clock 05:07 — ALA win probability +6.5 pts (now 60%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 5:25: (05:26) #91 P.Woodring field goal attempt from 23 yards GOOD (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings), clock 05:25 — UGA win probability +16.9 pts (now 74%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 9:00ALA 4th & 1 at UGA 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    58.2%−0.5
    23% to make
    Punt
    58.4%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:25UGA 4th & 16 at ALA 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−0.5
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    39.8%−1.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:46ALA 4th & 5 at UGA 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:39UGA 4th & 3 at UGA 10, up 3
    Close callPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:17ALA 4th & 10 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:42UGA 4th & 8 at UGA 48, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:07ALA 4th & 2 at UGA 21, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.1%−1.5
    74% to make
    Punt
    39.2%−12.5
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:41UGA 4th & 6 at ALA 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−0.9
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    32.8%−14.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:44ALA 4th & 9 at UGA 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.5%−1.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:25UGA 4th & 5 at ALA 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.2%
    92% to make
    Punt
    22.0%−25.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:10ALA 4th & 19 at UGA 43, down 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 4.0 ptsPunted · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%−4.8
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    30.6%
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%−4.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UGA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 7:09UGA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:49ALA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:00ALA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:38UGA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ALADrive 1FUMBLE
14 plays · 38 yds · 7:1852% → 54%
Q1 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.0%
(15:00) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass incomplete short left to #3 L.Brooks thrown to ALA20Similar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
52.1%
(14:58) Shotgun #4 D.Hill rush right for 6 yards gain to the ALA31 (#9 C.Cole)Similar
Q1 14:11
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
52.1%
(14:11) Shotgun #12 K.Russell rush left for 4 yards gain to the ALA35 (#9 C.Cole), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "First down". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (14:11) Shotgun #12 K.Russell rush left for 3 yards gain to the ALA34 (#9 C.Cole), out of bounds)Similar
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
52.3%
(13:24) #17 T.Brown rush left for 5 yards gain to the ALA40 (#5 R.Wilson)Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-5
52.6%
(12:42) Shotgun #13 E.Crowell rush right for 5 yards loss to the ALA35 (#9 C.Cole)Similar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+10
52.4%
(12:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short left to #1 R.Coleman-Williams caught at ALA34, for 10 yards to the ALA45 (#7 K.Barnes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
52.9%
(11:20) #4 D.Hill rush left for 5 yards gain to the ALA50 (#14 R.Dinkins; #19 J.Williams)Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 5
50
+2
53.3%
(10:34) Shotgun #4 D.Hill rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UGA48 (#44 J.Hall; #9 C.Cole)Similar
Q1 9:38
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+2
53.4%
(09:53) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short right to #4 D.Hill caught at UGA50, for 2 yards to the UGA46 (#14 R.Dinkins)Similar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+14
53.1%
(09:06) Shotgun #12 K.Russell rush right for 14 yards gain to the UGA32 (#14 R.Dinkins), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
53.8%
(08:28) Shotgun #7 R.Scott rush left for 2 yards gain to the UGA30 (#1 E.Robinson IV)Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+2
53.9%
(07:48) Shotgun #12 K.Russell sacked for loss of 7 yards to the UGA37 (#99 J.Jonah-Ajonye), fumble by #12 K.Russell recovered by UGA #3 Q.Johnson at UGA37 #3 Q.Johnson return 2 yards to the UGA39 (#70 W.Sanders)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2FG
11 plays · 36 yds · 4:0648% → 47%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
52.2%
(07:40) Shotgun #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush right for 9 yards gain to the UGA48 (#4 L.Metz)Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+7
51.8%
(07:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush left for 7 yards gain to the ALA45 (#7 C.Woodson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+26
51.9%
(06:29) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #7 L.Luckie caught at ALA26, for 26 yards to the ALA19 (#2 Z.Brown), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
51.4%
(06:01) Shotgun #0 S.White-Helton rush left for 2 yards gain to the ALA17 (#4 L.Metz; #7 C.Woodson)Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+9
51.4%
(05:21) Shotgun #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush left for 17 yards gain to the ALA00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 05:17 PENALTY UGA Holding (#7 L.Luckie) 9 yards from ALA17 to ALA26. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 5:17
2ND & 17
OPP 26
+10
52.0%
(05:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #23 J.Reddell caught at ALA25, for 3 yards to the ALA23 (#6 R.Morgan) PENALTY UGA Pass Interference (#0 S.White-Helton) 10 yards from ALA26 to ALA36. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 27
OPP 36
+6
52.3%
(04:53) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush left for 6 yards gain to the ALA30 (#22 K.Bingley-Jones; #4 L.Metz)Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 21
OPP 30
+5
52.7%
(04:10) Shotgun #30 N.Peal rush left for 5 yards gain to the ALA25 fumbled by #30 N.Peal at ALA27 forced by #0 Y.Pierre recovered by UGA #30 N.Peal at ALA25, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 3:25
4TH & 16
OPP 25
+43
52.7%
(03:25) #91 P.Woodring field goal attempt from 43 yards GOOD (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings), clock 03:25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 3:3252% → 53%
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
52.0%
(03:25) Shotgun #13 E.Crowell rush left for 3 yards gain to the ALA28 (#5 R.Wilson), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
52.2%
(02:46) Shotgun #13 E.Crowell rush right for 7 yards gain to the ALA35 (#4 K.Bolden; #5 R.Wilson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
52.2%
(02:01) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short left to #17 T.Brown caught at ALA38, for 7 yards to the ALA42 (#4 K.Bolden), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+4
53.4%
(01:20) Shotgun #17 T.Brown rush left for 4 yards gain to the ALA46 (#5 R.Wilson; #0 G.Harris Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
53.4%
(00:34) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass incomplete short left to #81 K.Edwards thrown to ALA50 QB hurried by #8 D.JonesSimilar
Q1 0:23
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
52.7%
(00:33) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short left to #7 R.Scott caught at ALA50, for 5 yards to the UGA49 (#14 R.Dinkins; #15 K.Brooks)Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
53.5%
(14:59) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass incomplete short middle to #7 R.Scott thrown to UGA35Similar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
52.7%
(14:51) #32 A.Asparuhov punt 46 yards to the UGA03Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:5847% → 47%
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
52.8%
(14:44) #24 B.Walker rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UGA06 (#7 C.Woodson; #1 D.Thompkins)Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+1
52.9%
(14:02) Shotgun #24 B.Walker rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UGA07 (#7 C.Woodson)Similar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 6
OWN 7
+3
53.3%
(13:26) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #81 C.Dandridge Jr. caught at UGA05, for 3 yards to the UGA10 (#4 L.Metz)Similar
Q2 12:39
4TH & 3
OWN 10
0
53.2%
(12:46) #90 D.Miller punt 40 yards to the UGA50, out of bounds at UGA50Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1654% → 52%
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
50
0
54.0%
(12:39) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass incomplete deep left thrown to UGA30 QB hurried by #9 C.ColeSimilar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 10
50
0
53.7%
(12:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass incomplete short right to #7 R.Scott thrown to UGA45Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 10
50
0
52.5%
(12:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass incomplete short middle to #3 L.Brooks thrown to UGA34Similar
Q2 12:17
4TH & 10
50
0
51.9%
(12:24) #32 A.Asparuhov punt 43 yards to the UGA07 fair catch by #0 S.White-Helton at UGA07Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6TD
10 plays · 93 yds · 5:0847% → 53%
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
52.8%
(12:17) PENALTY UGA False Start (#9 E.Barbour) 3 yards from UGA07 to UGA04. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 13
OWN 4
+5
52.8%
(12:17) Shotgun #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush left for 5 yards gain to the UGA09 (#99 T.Green; #18 B.Hubbard)Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+7
52.9%
(11:46) #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UGA16 (#7 C.Woodson; #3 K.Sabb). The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the line to gain". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (11:46) #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UGA17 (#7 C.Woodson; #3 K.Sabb), 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q2 11:06
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+2
52.5%
(11:09) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush right for 2 yards gain to the UGA18 (#1 D.Thompkins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
52.2%
(10:34) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #24 B.Walker caught at UGA11, for 2 yards loss to the UGA16 (#7 C.Woodson)Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 12
OWN 16
+9
52.2%
(09:47) Shotgun #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UGA25 (#6 R.Morgan)Similar
Q2 8:56
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+9
51.5%
(09:07) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #16 L.Humphreys caught at UGA34, for 9 yards to the UGA34 (#5 D.Lee Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-7
49.9%
(08:36) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush middle for 7 yards loss to the UGA27 fumbled by #14 G.Stockton at UGA27 recovered by UGA #14 G.Stockton at UGA27 (#14 F.Henry)Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 17
OWN 27
+53
51.1%
(07:46) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete deep middle to #23 J.Reddell caught at ALA49, for 53 yards to the ALA20 (#3 K.Sabb), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
47.0%
(07:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete deep middle to #16 L.Humphreys caught at ALA00, for 20 yards to the ALA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:09, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 7TD
4 plays · 89 yds · 1:0141% → 56%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
41.3%
(07:01) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short left to #3 L.Brooks caught at ALA09, for 9 yards to the ALA20 (#7 K.Barnes), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+58
41.3%
(06:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Brown rush left for 58 yards gain to the UGA22 (#4 K.Bolden), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
56.0%
(05:53) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete deep left to #9 M.Pritchett caught at UGA02, for 22 yards to the UGA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:49, 1ST DOWN #31 C.Talty kick attempt good (H: #32 A.Asparuhov, LS: #55 A.Rozier)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.0%
(05:49) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass intercepted by #18 B.Hubbard at UGA29, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 9PUNT
7 plays · -14 yds · 1:1855% → 52%
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
54.7%
(05:44) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short right to #13 E.Crowell caught at UGA35, for 2 yards to the UGA38 (#7 K.Barnes; #9 C.Cole)Similar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-9
56.3%
(04:49) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short right to #13 E.Crowell caught at UGA35, for 9 yards loss to the UGA38 (#7 K.Barnes; #9 C.Cole)Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+5
54.7%
PENALTY ALA False Start (#54 J.James) 5 yards from UGA38 to UGA43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 19
OPP 38
+5
53.3%
PENALTY ALA False Start (#54 J.James) 5 yards from UGA38 to UGA43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 24
OPP 43
0
53.3%
(04:40) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass incomplete deep left to #1 R.Coleman-Williams thrown to UGA22 broken up by #7 K.BarnesSimilar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 24
OPP 43
0
52.2%
(04:40) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass incomplete short left to #4 D.Hill thrown to UGA34 QB hurried by #81 J.HortonSimilar
Q2 4:18
4TH & 24
OPP 0
0
51.6%
(04:40) #32 A.Asparuhov punt 29 yards to the UGA14 fair catch by #0 S.White-Helton at UGA14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 2:2747% → 49%
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
52.8%
(04:11) Shotgun #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UGA18 (#90 L.Simmons)Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 6
OWN 18
0
52.8%
(04:00) Shotgun #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the UGA18 (#1 D.Thompkins; #18 B.Hubbard)Similar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 6
OWN 18
+14
53.5%
(03:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #1 T.Taylor caught at UGA32, for 14 yards to the UGA32 (#2 Z.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
51.0%
(02:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #16 L.Humphreys caught at UGA44, for 14 yards to the UGA46 (#1 D.Thompkins; #18 B.Hubbard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-4
48.9%
(02:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton sacked for loss of 4 yards to the UGA42 (#0 Y.Pierre)Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 14
OWN 42
0
51.0%
(02:00) #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete short right to #81 C.Dandridge Jr. thrown to ALA40 broken up by #7 C.WoodsonSimilar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 14
OWN 42
+6
51.5%
(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #7 L.Luckie caught at UGA48, for 6 yards to the UGA48 (#6 R.Morgan)Similar
Q2 1:42
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
50.9%
(01:46) #90 D.Miller punt 52 yards to the ALA00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 11TD
17 plays · 80 yds · 1:3250% → 75%
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
50.1%
(01:41) Shotgun #12 K.Russell rush middle for 9 yards gain to the ALA29 (#3 Q.Johnson)Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+2
51.5%
(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 D.Hill rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ALA31 (#5 R.Wilson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
50.1%
(01:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass incomplete short middle to #1 R.Coleman-Williams thrown to ALA35 broken up by #9 C.ColeSimilar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+23
49.8%
(00:57) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete deep middle to #1 R.Coleman-Williams caught at UGA46, for 23 yards to the UGA46 (#4 K.Bolden), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
53.3%
(00:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Russell sacked for loss of 5 yards to the ALA49 (#3 Q.Johnson)Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 15
OWN 49
+28
53.3%
(00:39) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short right to #3 L.Brooks caught at UGA35, for 28 yards to the UGA23 (#7 K.Barnes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
57.4%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short middle to #4 D.Hill caught at UGA15, for 7 yards to the UGA16 (#5 R.Wilson; #81 J.Horton)Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 3
OPP 16
0
57.5%
(00:22) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass incomplete short right to #1 R.Coleman-Williams thrown to UGA00 broken up by #8 D.JonesSimilar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+15
55.9%
(00:18) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short middle to #4 D.Hill caught at UGA12, for 15 yards to the UGA01 (#9 C.Cole; #1 E.Robinson IV), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
58.7%
(00:06) No Huddle #12 K.Russell pass incomplete, SpikeSimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
61.1%
(00:03) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass incomplete short left to #3 L.Brooks thrown to UGA01Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
74.6%
EJ Crowell 1 Yd Run (Conor Talty Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:1540% → 57%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
60.4%
(15:00) Shotgun #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UGA30 (#7 C.Woodson; #18 B.Hubbard)Similar
Q3 14:27
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
59.6%
(14:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush left for 28 yards gain to the ALA42 (#18 B.Hubbard), out of bounds PENALTY UGA Holding (#23 J.Reddell) 10 yards from UGA30 to UGA20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+15
61.1%
(14:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #1 T.Taylor caught at UGA32, for 15 yards to the UGA35 (#5 D.Lee Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
59.8%
(13:31) Shotgun #24 B.Walker rush middle for 17 yards gain to the ALA48 (#13 I.Taylor; #5 D.Lee Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
57.1%
(12:59) Shotgun #24 B.Walker rush left for 2 yards gain to the ALA46 (#1 D.Thompkins; #2 Z.Brown)Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+1
57.2%
(12:24) Shotgun #24 B.Walker rush left for 1 yard gain to the ALA45 (#22 K.Bingley-Jones)Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+30
57.7%
(11:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete deep right to #81 C.Dandridge Jr. caught at ALA15, for 30 yards to the ALA15, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
56.7%
(11:15) No Huddle #30 N.Peal rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ALA14 (#0 Y.Pierre)Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+14
42.7%
(10:42) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush right for 14 yards gain to the ALA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:38, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 13FG
12 plays · 54 yds · 5:2249% → 60%
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
49.0%
(10:38) Shotgun #17 T.Brown rush left for 9 yards gain to the ALA34 (#14 R.Dinkins)Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
51.8%
(10:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Brown rush right for 5 yards gain to the ALA39 (#44 J.Hall; #3 Q.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-8
50.7%
(09:31) #12 K.Russell sacked for loss of 8 yards to the ALA31 (#9 C.Cole)Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 18
OWN 31
+9
48.6%
(08:48) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short left to #81 K.Edwards caught at ALA36, for 9 yards to the ALA40 (#4 K.Bolden; #5 R.Wilson)Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+10
49.0%
(08:03) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short right to #9 M.Pritchett caught at ALA45, for 10 yards to the ALA50 (#7 K.Barnes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
50
+21
53.0%
(07:18) Shotgun #12 K.Russell rush left for 21 yards gain to the UGA29 (#1 E.Robinson IV), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
55.5%
(06:26) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short left to #1 R.Coleman-Williams caught at UGA26, for 6 yards to the UGA23 (#1 E.Robinson IV; #14 R.Dinkins)Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+2
55.8%
(05:44) Shotgun #7 R.Scott rush right for 2 yards gain to the UGA21 (#19 J.Williams)Similar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 2
OPP 21
0
53.6%
(05:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass incomplete short left to #1 R.Coleman-Williams thrown to UGA15 broken up by #9 C.ColeSimilar
Q3 5:07
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+39
60.1%
(05:07) #31 C.Talty field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #32 A.Asparuhov, LS: #55 A.Rozier), clock 05:07Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14MISSED FG
17 plays · 69 yds · 6:2048% → 50%
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
52.4%
(05:01) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete short middle to #23 J.Reddell thrown to UGA25 broken up by #36 Q.Reese QB hurried by #90 L.Simmons. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (05:01) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass intercepted by #36 Q.Reese at UGA25 QB hurried by #90 L.Simmons, End Of Play)Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+6
52.9%
(04:48) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #20 D.Phillips Jr. caught at UGA16, for 6 yards to the UGA16, out of bounds at UGA16Similar
Q3 4:06
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+14
54.0%
(04:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #1 T.Taylor caught at UGA25, for 14 yards to the UGA30 (#0 Y.Pierre), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+31
51.3%
(03:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush middle for 31 yards gain to the ALA39 (#5 D.Lee Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
47.3%
(02:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Walker rush left for 3 yards gain to the ALA36 (#90 L.Simmons)Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+1
46.8%
(02:22) No Huddle #14 G.Stockton rush left for 1 yard gain to the ALA35 (#1 D.Thompkins)Similar
Q3 1:42
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+6
47.8%
PENALTY UGA False Start 6 yards from ALA35 to ALA41. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 1:31
3RD & 12
OPP 41
+9
49.9%
(01:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short middle to #7 L.Luckie caught at ALA31, for 11 yards to the ALA30 (#6 R.Morgan) PENALTY UGA Holding (#73 J.Gaston Jr.) 9 yards from ALA41 to ALA50. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 1:26
3RD & 21
50
+15
51.6%
(01:26) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete deep left to #1 T.Taylor thrown to ALA05 PENALTY ALA Pass Interference (#5 D.Lee Jr.) 15 yards from ALA50 to ALA35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
45.4%
(01:19) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #9 E.Barbour caught at ALA32, for 10 yards to the ALA25 (#4 L.Metz), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
44.8%
(00:38) Shotgun #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush right for 2 yards gain to the ALA23 (#4 L.Metz; #94 E.Hill)Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
44.8%
(15:00) Shotgun #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush right for 0 yards to the ALA23 (#20 J.Latham), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 14:08
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+2
47.5%
(14:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #0 S.White-Helton caught at ALA26, for 2 yards to the ALA21 (#18 B.Hubbard; #28 C.O'Neal)Similar
Q4 13:41
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+39
50.5%
(13:42) #91 P.Woodring field goal attempt from 39 yards NO GOOD (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings), clock 13:41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 2:4959% → 57%
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
58.9%
(13:41) Shotgun #13 E.Crowell rush left for 5 yards gain to the ALA26 (#19 J.Williams; #95 N.Ogboko)Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+3
59.7%
(13:01) Shotgun #17 T.Brown rush left for 3 yards gain to the ALA29 (#3 Q.Johnson)Similar
Q4 12:10
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+22
58.9%
(12:20) Shotgun #12 K.Russell rush left for 22 yards gain to the UGA49 (#14 R.Dinkins), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
64.3%
(11:37) Shotgun #17 T.Brown rush left for 4 yards gain to the UGA45 (#4 K.Bolden; #5 R.Wilson)Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+2
64.6%
(11:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 T.Brown rush left for 2 yards gain to the UGA43 (#5 R.Wilson)Similar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 4
OPP 43
0
64.2%
(10:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass incomplete short right to #1 R.Coleman-Williams thrown to UGA35 broken up by #8 D.JonesSimilar
Q4 10:47
4TH & 4
OPP 43
+5
59.8%
PENALTY ALA False Start (#55 R.Delgatty) 5 yards from UGA43 to UGA48. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 10:44
4TH & 9
OPP 48
+2
57.3%
(10:47) #32 A.Asparuhov punt 39 yards to the UGA09 muffed by #0 S.White-Helton at UGA09 recovered by UGA #27 B.Stewart at UGA11, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16FG
11 plays · 84 yds · 5:0347% → 74%
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
52.9%
(10:44) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #81 C.Dandridge Jr. caught at UGA08, for 3 yards to the UGA14 (#18 B.Hubbard; #90 L.Simmons)Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+1
53.3%
(10:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush left for 1 yard gain to the UGA15 (#22 K.Bingley-Jones)Similar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 6
OWN 15
+9
55.3%
(09:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #81 C.Dandridge Jr. caught at UGA25, for 9 yards to the UGA24 (#2 Z.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
52.6%
(08:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UGA33 (#2 Z.Brown)Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+22
49.1%
(08:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush right for 22 yards gain to the ALA45 (#28 C.O'Neal), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+37
44.3%
(07:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Walker rush right for 37 yards gain to the ALA08 (#21 D.Kirkpatrick Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
41.0%
(06:51) #24 B.Walker rush middle for 3 yards loss to the ALA11 (#3 K.Sabb)Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+6
41.2%
(06:12) #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ALA05 (#22 K.Bingley-Jones)Similar
Q4 5:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
42.7%
(05:31) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete short middle to #0 S.White-Helton thrown to ALA00 broken up by #18 B.HubbardSimilar
Q4 5:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
25.8%
(05:26) #91 P.Woodring field goal attempt from 23 yards GOOD (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings), clock 05:25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:0235% → 48%
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
34.9%
(05:17) #12 K.Russell pass complete short right to #7 R.Scott caught at ALA31, for 23 yards to the ALA48 (#9 C.Cole), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+18
48.5%
(04:49) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short right to #30 D.Meadows caught at UGA36, for 18 yards to the UGA34 (#8 D.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
53.5%
(04:01) #17 T.Brown rush right for 0 yards to the UGA34 (#99 J.Jonah-Ajonye)Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
53.4%
(03:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass incomplete deep right to #7 R.Scott thrown to UGA00 broken up by #4 K.BoldenSimilar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 10
OPP 34
-5
49.3%
(03:26) Shotgun #12 K.Russell sacked for loss of 9 yards to the UGA43 (#4 K.Bolden, #52 V.Sone)Similar
Q4 3:10
4TH & 19
OPP 43
0
48.3%
(03:18) #32 A.Asparuhov punt 36 yards to the UGA07Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18END OF GAME
13 plays · 40 yds · 2:2976% → 95%
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
24.0%
(03:10) Shotgun #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush right for 0 yards to the UGA07 (#4 L.Metz; #18 B.Hubbard)Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+3
27.2%
(03:06) #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush left for 3 yards gain to the UGA10 (#18 B.Hubbard)Similar
Q4 2:36
3RD & 7
OWN 10
+17
20.8%
(02:56) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #10 E.Williams caught at UGA27, for 17 yards to the UGA27, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
17.7%
(02:38) #24 B.Walker rush right for 7 yards gain to the UGA34 (#7 C.Woodson)Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+1
15.9%
(02:27) #24 B.Walker rush left for 1 yard gain to the UGA35 (#7 C.Woodson) PENALTY ALA Personal Foul (#5 D.Lee Jr.) 15 yards from UGA35 to UGA50, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
50
-1
9.1%
(01:59) Kneel down by #14 G.Stockton at UGA49 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 11
OWN 49
-1
8.2%
(01:17) Kneel down by #14 G.Stockton at UGA48 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 12
OWN 48
-1
5.1%
(00:35) Kneel down by #14 G.Stockton at UGA47 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:00
EJ Crowell 1 Yd Run (Conor Talty Kick)
+22.9
FG · Q4 5:25
(05:26) #91 P.Woodring field goal attempt from 23 yards GOOD (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings), clock 05:25
-16.9
TD · Q2 5:49
(05:53) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete deep left to #9 M.Pritchett caught at UGA02, for 22 yards to the UGA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:49, 1ST DOWN #31 C.Talty kick attempt good (H: #32 A.Asparuhov, LS: #55 A.Rozier)
+14.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com