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VAN

Vanderbilt 14 at Georgia 38

UGA
2026 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2026 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadVAN aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreVAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:27 · (12:36) #37 T.Ebel punt 25 yards to the UGA20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 8Pregame prior+44.6Home team on offense−0.2Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:29: (14:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Bowens rush middle for 1 yard gain to the VAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:29 #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings) — UGA win probability +1.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:58: (04:01) #23 J.Reddell rush right for 1 yard gain to the VAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:58 #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings) — UGA win probability +2.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:31: (00:35) #28 S.Alexander rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UGA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:31 #88 B.Taylor kick attempt good (H: #37 T.Ebel, LS: #54 K.Schickel) — VAN win probability +4.3 pts (now 11%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:21: (08:25) #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #10 E.Williams caught at VAN00, for 1 yard to the VAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:21 #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings) — UGA win probability +4.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:02: (06:07) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #20 D.Phillips Jr. caught at VAN12, for 12 yards to the VAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:02, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings) — UGA win probability +1.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3VAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 12:27VAN 4th & 6 at UGA 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    6.3%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:06VAN 4th & 7 at VAN 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:35UGA 4th & 8 at UGA 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:02VAN 4th & 5 at VAN 48, down 7
    Close callPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:55UGA 4th & 16 at UGA 2, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−1.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:43VAN 4th & 8 at UGA 40, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.5%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    9.6%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:14VAN 4th & 1 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.1%−1.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:39VAN 4th & 2 at UGA 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    5.7%−1.4
    34% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:27UGA 4th & 4 at VAN 21, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.6%−0.2
    74% to make
    Punt
    92.2%−3.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:04VAN 4th & 8 at VAN 39, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5VAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:57UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:29UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:58UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:31VAN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:21UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:02UGA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:335% → 5%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
95.5%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz pass incomplete short right to #0 J.Sherrill thrown to VAN40 PENALTY UGA Pass Interference (#1 E.Robinson IV) 15 yards from VAN25 to VAN40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
95.5%
(14:52) Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz rush middle for 4 yards gain to the VAN44 (#44 J.Hall)Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+7
95.4%
(14:14) Shotgun #28 S.Alexander rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UGA49 (#5 R.Wilson; #8 D.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
95.2%
(13:31) Shotgun #3 J.Lassiter rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UGA45 (#5 R.Wilson; #8 D.Jones)Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
95.0%
(12:48) Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz pass incomplete short right thrown to UGA30Similar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
95.0%
(12:42) Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz pass incomplete short right to #0 J.Sherrill thrown to UGA30 broken up by #3 Q.Johnson PENALTY VAN Holding declinedSimilar
Q1 12:27
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
95.0%
(12:36) #37 T.Ebel punt 25 yards to the UGA20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 5:2395% → 95%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
95.0%
(12:28) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #23 J.Reddell caught at UGA19, for 6 yards to the UGA26 (#11 B.Longwell)Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+10
95.0%
(11:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete short right to #81 C.Dandridge Jr. thrown to UGA30 PENALTY VAN Holding (#26 C.Daniels) 10 yards from UGA26 to UGA36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
94.9%
(11:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush right for 4 yards gain to the UGA40 (#11 B.Longwell)Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+2
94.8%
(11:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #1 T.Taylor caught at UGA39, for 2 yards to the UGA42 (#26 C.Daniels; #22 B.Cowan)Similar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+7
94.7%
(10:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short middle to #16 L.Humphreys caught at UGA46, for 7 yards to the UGA49 (#7 R.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
94.6%
(10:04) No Huddle #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #16 L.Humphreys caught at VAN45, for 11 yards to the VAN40 (#24 N.Rinaldi), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
94.5%
(09:30) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #2 T.Blackshear caught at VAN31, for 10 yards to the VAN30 (#4 M.Hight), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
94.4%
(08:51) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #20 D.Phillips Jr. caught at VAN32, for 16 yards to the VAN14 (#25 M.Lewis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
94.3%
(08:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush middle for 5 yards gain to the VAN09 (#17 E.Kolenge)Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+7
94.1%
(07:41) #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #2 T.Blackshear caught at VAN07, for 7 yards to the VAN02 (#8 C.Heard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
94.6%
(06:59) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #8 L.Roldan caught at VAN00, for 2 yards to the VAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:57 #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:456% → 6%
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.4%
(06:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 M.Young rush middle for 3 yards gain to the VAN28 (#9 C.Cole)Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
94.3%
(06:24) Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz pass incomplete short right to #0 J.Sherrill thrown to VAN37 broken up by #1 E.Robinson IVSimilar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
94.4%
(06:19) Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz pass incomplete short right to #0 J.Sherrill thrown to VAN30Similar
Q1 6:06
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
94.4%
(06:14) #37 T.Ebel punt 27 yards to the UGA45, out of bounds at UGA45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2495% → 93%
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
94.5%
(06:06) Shotgun #5 C.Bowens rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UGA46 (#24 N.Rinaldi)Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
94.4%
(05:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete short right to #2 T.Blackshear thrown to UGA45Similar
Q1 5:21
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+7
94.2%
(05:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #5 C.Bowens caught at UGA41, for 7 yards to the VAN47 (#6 J.Matthews)Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+6
91.8%
PENALTY UGA Delay Of Game 6 yards from VAN47 to UGA47. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 4:35
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
93.0%
(04:35) #90 D.Miller punt 48 yards to the VAN05Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5TD
7 plays · 95 yds · 4:157% → 9%
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+11
93.0%
(04:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Alexander rush middle for 11 yards gain to the VAN16 (#4 K.Bolden), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
92.8%
(03:53) Shotgun #23 E.Hampton rush right for 5 yards gain to the VAN21 (#4 K.Bolden)Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+2
92.6%
(03:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Alexander rush middle for 2 yards gain to the VAN23 (#5 R.Wilson; #19 J.Williams)Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+16
92.3%
(02:29) Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz rush right for 16 yards gain to the VAN39 (#4 K.Bolden), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
91.7%
(01:46) Shotgun #22 M.Young rush middle for 1 yard loss to the VAN38 (#5 R.Wilson; #7 K.Barnes)Similar
Q1 0:57
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+2
91.6%
(01:05) Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz pass complete short left to #0 J.Sherrill caught at VAN36, for 2 yards to the VAN40 (#24 B.Conley)Similar
Q1 0:12
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+60
91.4%
(00:19) Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz pass complete deep left to #0 J.Sherrill caught at UGA33, for 60 yards to the UGA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:12, 1ST DOWN #88 B.Taylor kick attempt good (H: #37 T.Ebel, LS: #54 K.Schickel)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:4392% → 94%
Q1 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
91.8%
(00:12) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short middle to #10 E.Williams caught at UGA41, for 19 yards to the UGA44 (#9 J.Gilbert), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+55
92.0%
(14:59) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete deep middle to #8 L.Roldan caught at VAN06, for 55 yards to the VAN01 (#6 J.Matthews), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.5%
(14:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Bowens rush middle for 1 yard gain to the VAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:29 #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 3:217% → 8%
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
93.0%
(14:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 M.Young rush middle for 4 yards gain to the VAN29 (#90 E.Griffin)Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
92.7%
(13:49) Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz rush middle for 4 yards gain to the VAN33 (#5 R.Wilson)Similar
Q2 13:07
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
92.7%
(13:07) PENALTY VAN False Start (#50 G.Givens) 5 yards from VAN33 to VAN28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+15
92.7%
(12:46) Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz pass complete short middle to #16 C.Spence caught at VAN43, for 15 yards to the VAN43, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
92.2%
(12:04) Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz pass incomplete short right to #28 S.Alexander thrown to VAN48Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+5
92.2%
(11:59) Shotgun #28 S.Alexander rush middle for 5 yards gain to the VAN48 (#4 K.Bolden)Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 5
OWN 48
0
91.9%
(11:14) Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz pass incomplete short middle to #16 C.Spence thrown to UGA48Similar
Q2 11:02
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
92.2%
(11:12) #37 T.Ebel punt 44 yards to the UGA08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:0092% → 92%
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-7
92.4%
(11:03) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton sacked for loss of 7 yards to the UGA01 (#8 C.Heard)Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 17
OWN 1
+1
92.3%
(10:47) #14 G.Stockton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UGA02 (#92 J.Stone; #53 G.Seabrooks III)Similar
Q2 10:02
3RD & 16
OWN 2
0
91.9%
(10:08) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete short middle to #23 J.Reddell thrown to UGA19 broken up by #8 C.HeardSimilar
Q2 9:55
4TH & 16
OWN 2
0
91.7%
(10:01) #90 D.Miller punt 40 yards to the UGA42 fair catch by #4 M.Hight at UGA42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9MISSED FG
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:049% → 8%
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-4
91.4%
(09:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Hampton rush left for 4 yards loss to the UGA46 (#9 C.Cole)Similar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 14
OPP 46
+16
91.7%
(09:13) Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz rush middle for 24 yards gain (1) to the UGA22 (#9 C.Cole) PENALTY VAN Holding declined VAN Personal Foul (#5 T.Brown) 15 yards from UGA45 to VAN40Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 28
OWN 40
+6
91.7%
(08:44) Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz rush middle for 6 yards gain to the VAN46 (#19 J.Williams; #85 C.Linton)Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 22
OWN 46
+14
91.9%
(07:56) Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz pass complete short right to #22 M.Young caught at VAN50, for 14 yards to the UGA40 (#3 Q.Johnson) PENALTY UGA Offside declinedSimilar
Q2 7:43
4TH & 8
OPP 40
+58
91.7%
(07:43) #88 B.Taylor field goal attempt from 58 yards NO GOOD blocked by #44 J.Hall (H: #37 T.Ebel, LS: #54 K.Schickel), clock 07:33, out of bounds at UGA40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 3:2992% → 94%
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
92.4%
(07:33) #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UGA42 (#11 B.Longwell; #99 T.Carter)Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+1
92.3%
(06:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #16 L.Humphreys caught at UGA40, for 1 yard to the UGA43 (#21 D.Chandler)Similar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+16
91.8%
(06:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short middle to #2 T.Blackshear caught at VAN42, for 16 yards to the VAN41 (#8 C.Heard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
92.3%
(05:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Bowens rush middle for 7 yards gain to the VAN34 (#21 D.Chandler)Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+3
92.2%
(05:08) No Huddle #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #5 C.Bowens caught at VAN35, for 3 yards to the VAN31 (#24 N.Rinaldi; #26 C.Daniels), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
92.1%
(04:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete short left thrown to VAN21Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+30
92.1%
(04:23) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #20 D.Phillips Jr. caught at VAN35, for 30 yards to the VAN01 (#26 C.Daniels), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the goal line". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (04:23) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #20 D.Phillips Jr. caught at VAN35, for 31 yards to the VAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:15, 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q2 3:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.4%
(04:01) #23 J.Reddell rush right for 1 yard gain to the VAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:58 #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 3:126% → 11%
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
93.7%
(03:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz pass complete short left to #5 T.Brown caught at VAN42, for 17 yards to the VAN42, out of bounds at VAN42, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
93.4%
(03:17) Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz pass complete deep right to #6 J.Thomas caught at UGA30, for 28 yards to the UGA30 (#7 K.Barnes) PENALTY VAN Pass Interference (#6 J.Thomas) 10 yards from VAN42 to VAN32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 20
OWN 32
+11
93.7%
(02:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz pass complete short middle to #0 J.Sherrill caught at VAN43, for 11 yards to the VAN43 (#1 E.Robinson IV)Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
93.5%
(02:09) Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz pass incomplete short left to #8 J.Conner thrown to VAN45Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+27
93.1%
(02:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz pass complete deep right to #6 J.Thomas caught at UGA35, for 27 yards to the UGA30 (#24 B.Conley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
92.7%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz pass incomplete short right thrown to UGA20Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+1
92.8%
(01:55) Shotgun #11 J.Elliott rush right for 1 yard gain to the UGA29 (#14 R.Dinkins)Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+5
93.2%
PENALTY VAN False Start (#58 O.Irving) 5 yards from UGA29 to UGA34. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 14
OPP 34
+16
93.8%
(01:48) Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz pass complete short left to #6 J.Thomas caught at UGA30, for 16 yards to the UGA18 (#14 R.Dinkins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
92.5%
(01:15) Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UGA16 (#5 R.Wilson; #9 C.Cole)Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+14
92.4%
(00:41) Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz pass incomplete short left to #0 J.Sherrill thrown to UGA00 PENALTY UGA Pass Interference (#8 D.Jones) 14 yards from UGA16 to UGA02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
92.9%
(00:37) Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz pass incomplete short middle to #16 C.Spence thrown to UGA00Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.6%
(00:35) #28 S.Alexander rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UGA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:31 #88 B.Taylor kick attempt good (H: #37 T.Ebel, LS: #54 K.Schickel)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:2091% → 91%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.7%
(00:31) Shotgun #5 C.Bowens rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UGA30 (#99 T.Carter)Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
90.7%
(00:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #1 T.Taylor caught at UGA28, for 3 yards to the UGA33 (#24 N.Rinaldi; #8 C.Heard)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:3190% → 95%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
90.3%
(14:59) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #1 T.Taylor caught at UGA24, for 2 yards to the UGA27 (#4 M.Hight)Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
90.2%
(14:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UGA32 (#11 B.Longwell)Similar
Q3 13:31
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
89.8%
(13:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #81 C.Dandridge Jr. caught at UGA38, for 6 yards to the UGA38 (#21 D.Chandler), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
90.4%
(13:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush left for 3 yards gain to the UGA41 (#11 B.Longwell)Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+2
90.4%
(12:27) No Huddle #5 C.Bowens rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UGA43 (#94 B.Mann)Similar
Q3 11:36
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+43
89.9%
(11:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short middle to #7 L.Luckie caught at VAN48, for 43 yards to the VAN14 (#4 M.Hight), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
90.6%
(11:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 4 yards gain to the VAN10 (#11 B.Longwell)Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+8
90.5%
(10:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush right for 8 yards gain to the VAN02 (#7 R.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
91.0%
(09:42) Shotgun #5 C.Bowens rush middle for 1 yard gain to the VAN01 (#94 B.Mann; #99 T.Carter)Similar
Q3 9:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
90.9%
(09:07) #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete short right to #10 E.Williams thrown to VAN00 PENALTY VAN Pass Interference (#94 B.Mann), 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 8:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
90.9%
(09:04) Shotgun #24 B.Walker rush middle for 0 yards to the VAN01 (#30 A.Howard)Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.9%
(08:25) #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #10 E.Williams caught at VAN00, for 1 yard to the VAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:21 #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14DOWNS
13 plays · 35 yds · 6:346% → 6%
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
93.8%
(08:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Alexander rush middle for 7 yards gain to the VAN32 (#4 K.Bolden)Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+9
93.1%
(07:43) Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz rush right for 9 yards gain to the VAN41 (#14 R.Dinkins), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
93.1%
(06:58) PENALTY VAN False Start 5 yards from VAN41 to VAN36. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 15
OWN 36
-5
93.7%
(06:38) Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz sacked for loss of 5 yards to the VAN31 (#0 G.Harris Jr.)Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 20
OWN 31
+4
93.7%
(05:53) Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz pass complete short left to #22 M.Young caught at VAN25, for 4 yards to the VAN35 (#5 R.Wilson; #7 K.Barnes)Similar
Q3 4:57
3RD & 16
OWN 35
+15
94.1%
(05:11) Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz pass complete short right to #0 J.Sherrill caught at VAN50, for 15 yards to the VAN50 (#4 K.Bolden), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 4:14
4TH & 1
50
+2
93.2%
(04:26) Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz pass complete short right to #0 J.Sherrill caught at UGA48, for 2 yards to the UGA48, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
93.1%
(03:47) Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz pass complete short left to #0 J.Sherrill caught at UGA44, for 7 yards to the UGA41 (#4 K.Bolden)Similar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 3
OPP 41
-3
92.9%
(03:06) Shotgun #28 S.Alexander rush left for 3 yards loss to the UGA44 (#9 C.Cole), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 2:18
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+4
93.2%
(02:26) Shotgun #28 S.Alexander rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UGA40 (#52 V.Sone; #14 R.Dinkins)Similar
Q3 1:39
4TH & 2
OPP 40
0
94.4%
(01:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz pass incomplete short middle to #0 J.Sherrill thrown to UGA35, TURNOVER ON DOWNS. The previous play is under automatic review - "First down". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (01:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz pass complete short middle to #0 J.Sherrill caught at UGA35, for 5 yards to the UGA35, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15FG
11 plays · 38 yds · 3:3597% → 98%
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
96.7%
(01:15) #16 L.Humphreys rush left for 11 yards gain to the VAN48 (#25 M.Lewis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
96.7%
(00:33) #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete deep right to #1 T.Taylor thrown to VAN04Similar
Q3 0:14
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+11
96.7%
(00:26) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short middle to #23 J.Reddell caught at VAN42, for 11 yards to the VAN37 (#7 R.Jones; #32 M.Carter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
96.8%
(15:00) #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #5 C.Bowens caught at VAN39, for 8 yards to the VAN29 (#25 M.Lewis)Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+2
97.0%
(14:17) #14 G.Stockton rush left for 2 yards gain to the VAN27 (#53 G.Seabrooks III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
97.0%
PENALTY UGA False Start (#74 D.Bobo) 5 yards from VAN27 to VAN32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 15
OPP 32
0
96.9%
(13:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete deep right to #1 T.Taylor thrown to VAN00 broken up by #26 C.DanielsSimilar
Q4 13:06
2ND & 15
OPP 32
+11
96.9%
(13:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #20 D.Phillips Jr. caught at VAN35, for 11 yards to the VAN21 (#26 C.Daniels)Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 4
OPP 21
0
97.1%
(12:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete short right to #7 L.Luckie thrown to VAN13Similar
Q4 12:27
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+39
97.7%
(12:30) #91 P.Woodring field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings), clock 12:27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.1%
(12:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Berlowitz pass intercepted by #1 E.Robinson IV at UGA30 #1 E.Robinson IV return 0 yards to the UGA30 (#0 J.Sherrill)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 6:0598% → 100%
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
97.8%
(12:15) #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush left for 5 yards gain to the UGA35 (#8 C.Heard)Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+6
97.8%
(11:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #20 D.Phillips Jr. caught at UGA34, for 6 yards to the UGA41 (#22 B.Cowan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
97.9%
(11:03) No Huddle #5 C.Bowens rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UGA50 (#22 B.Cowan)Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 1
50
0
98.0%
(10:27) #5 C.Bowens rush middle for 0 yards to the UGA50 (#99 T.Carter)Similar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 1
50
+2
98.0%
(10:04) No Huddle #5 C.Bowens rush right for 2 yards gain to the VAN48 (#25 M.Lewis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
98.0%
(09:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush middle for 14 yards gain to the VAN34 (#8 C.Heard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
98.1%
(08:40) Shotgun #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the VAN31 (#22 B.Cowan)Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+9
98.2%
(08:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush left for 9 yards gain to the VAN22 (#22 B.Cowan), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
98.3%
(07:26) No Huddle #24 B.Walker rush middle for 7 yards gain to the VAN15 (#5 Y.Ouattara)Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 3
OPP 15
0
98.3%
(06:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete short right to #0 S.White-Helton thrown to VAN02Similar
Q4 6:43
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+3
98.3%
(06:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Bowens rush middle for 3 yards gain to the VAN12 (#8 C.Heard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.5%
(06:07) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #20 D.Phillips Jr. caught at VAN12, for 12 yards to the VAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:02, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:411% → 0%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.5%
(06:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 W.Muschamp pass complete short left to #10 W.Muschamp caught at VAN17, for 8 yards to the VAN33 (#14 R.Dinkins)Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
99.5%
(05:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 M.Young rush middle for 4 yards gain to the VAN37 (#44 J.Hall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.5%
(05:13) PENALTY VAN False Start (#75 B.Johnson) 5 yards from VAN37 to VAN32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 15
OWN 32
-2
99.5%
(04:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 W.Muschamp sacked for loss of 2 yards to the VAN30 (#19 J.Williams)Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 17
OWN 30
-1
99.5%
(04:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 W.Muschamp rush middle for 1 yard loss to the VAN29 (#44 J.Hall)Similar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 18
OWN 29
+10
99.6%
(03:47) Shotgun #10 W.Muschamp pass complete short middle to #0 J.Sherrill caught at VAN39, for 10 yards to the VAN39, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 3:04
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
99.6%
(03:19) #37 T.Ebel punt 61 yards to the UGA00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19END OF GAME
8 plays · 68 yds · 2:44100% → 100%
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.6%
(03:05) #24 B.Walker rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UGA23 (#8 C.Heard)Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+2
99.6%
(02:25) #24 B.Walker rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UGA25 (#22 B.Cowan)Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+6
99.8%
(02:00) Shotgun #12 R.Puglisi rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UGA31 (#94 B.Mann), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+59
99.8%
(01:25) #24 B.Walker rush middle for 59 yards gain to the VAN10 (#8 C.Heard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
99.8%
(00:47) Kneel down by #12 R.Puglisi at VAN11 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
Q4 0:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-1
99.8%
(00:13) Kneel down by #12 R.Puglisi at VAN12 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:31
(00:35) #28 S.Alexander rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UGA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:31 #88 B.Taylor kick attempt good (H: #37 T.Ebel, LS: #54 K.Schickel)
-4.3
TD · Q3 8:21
(08:25) #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #10 E.Williams caught at VAN00, for 1 yard to the VAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:21 #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings)
+4
TD · Q2 3:58
(04:01) #23 J.Reddell rush right for 1 yard gain to the VAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:58 #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings)
+2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com