2026 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2026 · Jordan-Hare Stadium
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Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadVAN aheadconfidence bandkey playAUB scoreVAN score
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:07 · (07:10) Shotgun #28 S.Alexander rush middle for 3 yards gain to the AUB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:07 #2 J.Curtis pass attempt failed
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
This game in five plays
- TD · Q2 8:56: (09:03) #37 T.Ebel punt 0 yards to the VAN38 blocked by #29 O.Mabson II recovered by AUB #55 C.Carlson at VAN10 #55 C.Carlson return 10 yards to the VAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:56 #38 A.McPherson kick attempt good (H: #14 H.Kaak, LS: #59 H.Powell) — AUB win probability +8.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
- TD · Q3 7:07: (07:10) Shotgun #28 S.Alexander rush middle for 3 yards gain to the AUB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:07 #2 J.Curtis pass attempt failed — VAN win probability +13.7 pts (now 34%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
- TD · Q3 4:40: (04:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush middle for 2 yards gain to the VAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:40 #38 A.McPherson kick attempt good (H: #14 H.Kaak, LS: #59 H.Powell) — AUB win probability +11.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
- FG · Q4 12:17: (12:18) #88 B.Taylor field goal attempt from 47 yards GOOD (H: #37 T.Ebel, LS: #54 K.Schickel), clock 12:17 — VAN win probability +3.5 pts (now 12%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
- KEY PLAY · Q4 9:38: (09:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass incomplete short right to #5 T.Brown thrown to VAN33 PENALTY VAN Holding (#75 B.Johnson) 10 yards from VAN22 to VAN12. NO PLAY — VAN win probability +6.5 pts (now 18%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?
Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works
Fourth downs
AUB made the numbers' call on 3 of 6VAN made the numbers' call on 12 of 13
- Q1 14:27AUB 4th & 9 at AUB 26, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 75.5% before the snapGo for it75.5%−0.130% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call75.6%average punt
- Q1 12:28VAN 4th & 4 at VAN 42, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 24.9% before the snapGo for it24.9%−<0.148% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call25.0%average punt
- Q1 9:29VAN 4th & 7 at AUB 20, tiedAgrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.7% before the snapGo for it25.7%−0.135% to convertField goalTheir call25.7%75% to makePunt25.1%−0.6average punt
- Q1 5:29VAN 4th & 3 at VAN 32, down 4Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.0% before the snapGo for it25.2%−0.152% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call25.3%average punt
- Q1 3:49AUB 4th & 2 at AUB 40, up 4Close callPunted · 74.2% before the snapGo for it74.3%57% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call74.0%−0.3average punt
- Q2 14:55VAN 4th & 5 at VAN 46, down 4Close callWent for it · 26.4% before the snapGo for itTheir call26.5%−<0.141% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt26.5%average punt
- Q2 13:47AUB 4th & 9 at VAN 45, up 4Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.0% before the snapGo for it73.0%−0.232% to convertField goal72.6%−0.525% to makePuntTheir call73.2%average punt
- Q2 8:56VAN 4th & 6 at VAN 38, down 4Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.0% before the snapGo for it26.8%−0.240% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call27.0%average punt
- Q2 7:21VAN 4th & 22 at AUB 48, down 11Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snapGo for it19.2%−1.08% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call20.1%average punt
- Q2 3:35AUB 4th & 8 at AUB 28, up 11Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.5% before the snapGo for it79.9%−0.833% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call80.7%average punt
- Q2 0:55VAN 4th & 9 at AUB 30, down 11Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.1% before the snapGo for it17.6%−0.632% to convertField goalTheir call18.2%56% to makePunt16.9%−1.3average punt
- Q2 0:01AUB 4th & 5 at VAN 43, up 11Close callKicked a field goal · 83.1% before the snapGo for it83.1%42% to convertField goalTheir call82.2%−0.928% to makePunt83.0%−0.1average punt
- Q3 12:49VAN 4th & 1 at VAN 34, down 11Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.9% before the snapGo for itTheir call17.5%71% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt16.8%−0.7average punt
- Q3 9:16VAN 4th & 1 at AUB 41, down 11Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.3% before the snapGo for itTheir call17.4%70% to convertField goal14.7%−2.732% to makePunt15.1%−2.3average punt
- Q3 2:32VAN 4th & 1 at VAN 34, down 12Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.5% before the snapGo for itTheir call13.2%71% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt12.4%−0.9average punt
- Q4 14:26VAN 4th & 4 at AUB 42, down 12Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.5% before the snapGo for itTheir call13.0%48% to convertField goal11.3%−1.730% to makePunt11.9%−1.1average punt
- Q4 12:17VAN 4th & 17 at AUB 29, down 12Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.5% before the snapGo for it8.2%−1.514% to convertField goalTheir call9.7%58% to makePunt6.6%−3.1average punt
- Q4 9:39AUB 4th & 3 at AUB 42, up 9Close callPunted · 87.0% before the snapGo for it87.2%52% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call86.9%−0.3average punt
- Q4 6:26VAN 4th & 10 at AUB 27, down 6Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.4% before the snapGo for it18.2%−2.429% to convertField goalTheir call20.6%62% to makePunt10.8%−9.8average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AUB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3VAN made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
- Q1 7:25AUB Touchdown, up 3 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call75.0%97% to makeGo for two75.0%−<0.145% to convert
- Q2 8:56AUB Touchdown, up 10 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call79.1%97% to makeGo for two79.1%−0.145% to convert
- Q3 7:07VAN Touchdown, down 5 before the tryClose callWent for two · failedKick27.1%97% to makeGo for twoTheir call27.0%−0.245% to convert
- Q3 4:40AUB Touchdown, up 11 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call86.3%97% to makeGo for two86.2%−0.145% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chartAUBDrive 1PUNT5 plays · 1 yds · 0:2573% → 73%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
72.7%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Cobb rush left for 1 yard gain to the AUB26 (#29 M.Capers; #24 N.Rinaldi)Similar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
72.7%
(14:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass incomplete short left to #5 C.Nimrod thrown to AUB30Similar
Q1 14:34
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
72.6%
(14:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass incomplete short right to #11 K.Singleton thrown to AUB40Similar
Q1 14:27
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
72.6%
(14:31) #14 H.Kaak punt 38 yards to the VAN36 fair catch by #4 M.Hight at VAN36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 2PUNT4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5227% → 28%
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
72.6%
(14:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short left to #28 S.Alexander caught at VAN30, for 6 yards to the VAN42 (#5 E.Winters), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 13:59
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+1
72.5%
(14:04) Shotgun #28 S.Alexander rush left for 1 yard gain to the VAN43 (#13 C.Murray)Similar
Q1 13:09
3RD & 3
OWN 43
-1
72.3%
(13:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis sacked for loss of 1 yard to the VAN42 (#17 X.Atkins)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 3INT3 plays · 2 yds · 0:5372% → 72%
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
72.3%
(12:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Cobb rush middle for 2 yards gain to the AUB16 (#11 B.Longwell)Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 8
OWN 16
0
72.2%
(12:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short right to #23 J.Cobb caught at AUB16, for 0 yards to the AUB16 (#24 N.Rinaldi)Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 8
OWN 16
-1
71.9%
(11:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass intercepted by #29 M.Capers at AUB24 broken up by #8 C.Heard #29 M.Capers return 1 yard to the AUB23 (#23 J.Cobb)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 4FG5 plays · 3 yds · 1:5928% → 29%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
71.6%
PENALTY VAN False Start (#51 C.Azubuike) 5 yards from AUB23 to AUB28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 15
OPP 28
+5
71.7%
(11:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 M.Young rush middle for 5 yards gain to the AUB23 (#9 E.Melendez)Similar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+3
71.4%
(10:45) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short left to #22 M.Young caught at AUB23, for 3 yards to the AUB20 (#9 E.Melendez), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 7
OPP 20
0
71.3%
(10:08) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis rush left for 0 yards to the AUB20 (#94 C.Sigler), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 9:29
4TH & 7
OPP 20
+39
71.3%
(09:28) #88 B.Taylor field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #37 T.Ebel, LS: #54 K.Schickel), clock 09:29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 5TD7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5571% → 73%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
71.2%
(09:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 O.Mabson II rush middle for 4 yards gain to the AUB29 (#11 B.Longwell)Similar
Q1 9:01
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
71.2%
(09:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 O.Mabson II rush middle for 1 yard gain to the AUB30 (#8 C.Heard)Similar
Q1 8:26
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+11
70.7%
(08:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short middle to #5 C.Nimrod caught at AUB41, for 11 yards to the AUB41 (#8 C.Heard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
71.2%
(08:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short middle to #19 J.Johnson caught at AUB46, for 7 yards to the AUB48 (#7 R.Jones)Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+19
71.3%
(07:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 O.Mabson II rush middle for 19 yards gain to the VAN33 (#8 C.Heard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
72.9%
(07:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete deep left to #5 C.Nimrod caught at VAN00, for 33 yards to the VAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:25, 1ST DOWN #38 A.McPherson kick attempt good (H: #14 H.Kaak, LS: #59 H.Powell)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 6PUNT5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4228% → 28%
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
72.2%
(07:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short right to #6 J.Thomas caught at VAN24, for 7 yards to the VAN32 (#22 A.Jordan Jr.)Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
71.8%
(06:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Alexander rush middle for 1 yard loss to the VAN31 (#17 X.Atkins)Similar
Q1 6:05
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
72.2%
(06:14) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the VAN32 (#17 X.Atkins; #35 D.Walker)Similar
Q1 5:29
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+2
72.5%
(05:37) #37 T.Ebel punt 53 yards to the AUB15 #6 B.Cain return 2 yards to the AUB17 (#14 J.Ruth)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 7PUNT6 plays · 23 yds · 1:3272% → 72%
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
71.9%
(05:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush middle for 15 yards gain to the AUB32 (#9 J.Gilbert; #7 R.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
72.0%
(05:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 B.Washington rush middle for 0 yards to the AUB32 (#94 B.Mann)Similar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
71.9%
(04:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short right to #11 K.Singleton caught at AUB29, for 3 yards to the AUB35 (#25 M.Lewis)Similar
Q1 4:04
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
71.6%
(04:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass incomplete short right to #11 K.Singleton thrown to AUB48Similar
Q1 4:02
4TH & 7
OWN 35
+5
71.3%
(04:02) #14 H.Kaak punt 27 yards to the VAN38, out of bounds at VAN38 PENALTY VAN Running Into The Kicker (#7 R.Jones) 5 yards from AUB35 to AUB40. NO PLAYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 8DOWNS9 plays · 27 yds · 3:4528% → 29%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
71.9%
(03:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Alexander rush middle for 4 yards gain to the VAN23 (#16 B.Deas; #95 J.Crawford)Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 6
OWN 23
-3
71.8%
(03:13) Shotgun #28 S.Alexander rush middle for 3 yards loss to the VAN20 (#15 D.Womack)Similar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+9
72.0%
(02:33) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis rush left for 9 yards gain to the VAN29 (#16 B.Deas), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
71.3%
(02:08) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short right to #0 J.Sherrill caught at VAN41, for 12 yards to the VAN41 (#1 C.Anthony), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
70.6%
(01:32) Shotgun #28 S.Alexander rush middle for 3 yards loss to the VAN38 (#11 D.Smith)Similar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 13
OWN 38
-1
71.2%
(00:52) #2 J.Curtis sacked for loss of 1 yard to the VAN37 (#95 J.Crawford, #96 M.Autry)Similar
Q1 0:08
3RD & 14
OWN 37
+9
71.7%
(00:21) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short middle to #0 J.Sherrill caught at VAN46, for 9 yards to the VAN46, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
71.3%
(14:58) #37 T.Ebel pass incomplete short left thrown to VAN50 QB hurried by #28 T.Meadows, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 9PUNT4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0173% → 71%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
72.5%
(14:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Cobb rush middle for 1 yard gain to the VAN45 (#97 H.Bray)Similar
Q2 14:35
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
72.4%
(14:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass incomplete short right to #9 D.Spencer thrown to VAN39 broken up by #25 M.LewisSimilar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 9
OPP 45
0
71.8%
(14:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short left to #23 J.Cobb caught at VAN48, for 0 yards to the VAN45 (#25 M.Lewis)Similar
Q2 13:47
4TH & 9
OPP 45
0
70.7%
(13:51) #14 H.Kaak punt 35 yards to the VAN10 fair catch by #4 M.Hight at VAN10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 10PUNT TD9 plays · 28 yds · 4:4429% → 22%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
71.2%
(13:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis rush middle for 5 yards gain to the VAN15 (#0 S.Smith-Reed)Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+4
71.2%
(13:04) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short left to #3 J.Lassiter caught at VAN19, for 4 yards to the VAN19 (#8 K.Harris)Similar
Q2 12:18
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+4
71.5%
(12:21) Shotgun #28 S.Alexander rush middle for 4 yards gain to the VAN23 (#8 K.Harris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
70.9%
(11:43) #2 J.Curtis rush left for 11 yards gain to the VAN34 (#17 X.Atkins), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
70.5%
(11:09) #22 M.Young rush right for 1 yard gain to the VAN35 (#94 C.Sigler)Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+5
70.4%
(10:27) #2 J.Curtis pass complete short left to #0 J.Sherrill caught at VAN35, for 5 yards to the VAN40 (#0 S.Smith-Reed)Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+3
69.5%
(09:45) Shotgun #28 S.Alexander rush right for 3 yards gain to the VAN43 (#95 J.Crawford)Similar
Q2 9:12
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+5
70.0%
(09:12) PENALTY VAN False Start 5 yards from VAN43 to VAN38. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 8:56
4TH & 6
OWN 38
+10
78.0%
(09:03) #37 T.Ebel punt 0 yards to the VAN38 blocked by #29 O.Mabson II recovered by AUB #55 C.Carlson at VAN10 #55 C.Carlson return 10 yards to the VAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:56 #38 A.McPherson kick attempt good (H: #14 H.Kaak, LS: #59 H.Powell)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11PUNT6 plays · 27 yds · 1:1823% → 21%
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
77.5%
(08:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete deep right to #0 J.Sherrill caught at AUB36, for 39 yards to the AUB36, out of bounds at AUB36, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
76.5%
(08:13) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short left to #1 B.Berlowitz caught at AUB41, for 0 yards to the AUB36 (#9 E.Melendez)Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
76.5%
(07:29) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass incomplete deep middle to #1 B.Berlowitz thrown to AUB10Similar
Q2 7:24
3RD & 10
OPP 36
-12
77.1%
(07:25) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass incomplete deep right thrown to AUB15 QB hurried by #41 J.Smith PENALTY VAN Intentional Grounding (#2 J.Curtis)Similar
Q2 7:21
4TH & 22
OPP 48
+1
78.6%
(07:21) #37 T.Ebel punt 37 yards to the AUB11 muffed by #6 B.Cain at AUB11 recovered by AUB #6 B.Cain at AUB12, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 12PUNT8 plays · 16 yds · 3:3179% → 79%
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
78.9%
(07:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 B.Washington rush middle for 3 yards gain to the AUB15 (#53 G.Seabrooks III)Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+1
79.1%
(06:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 B.Washington rush middle for 1 yard gain to the AUB16 (#8 C.Heard)Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+10
78.6%
(06:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short left to #4 J.Koger caught at AUB26, for 10 yards to the AUB26, out of bounds at AUB26, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
79.4%
(05:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 B.Washington rush middle for 2 yards gain to the AUB28 (#11 B.Longwell)Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+3
79.5%
(05:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short right to #11 K.Singleton caught at AUB25, for 3 yards to the AUB31 (#25 M.Lewis; #7 R.Jones)Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+10
79.2%
(04:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush middle for 7 yards gain to the AUB38 (#4 M.Hight) PENALTY AUB Holding (#77 W.Zierer) 10 yards from AUB31 to AUB21. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 15
OWN 21
+7
78.9%
(04:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short middle to #82 A.Boardingham caught at AUB27, for 7 yards to the AUB28 (#24 N.Rinaldi)Similar
Q2 3:35
4TH & 8
OWN 28
0
79.1%
(03:40) #14 H.Kaak punt 47 yards to the VAN25 fair catch by #4 M.Hight at VAN25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 13MISSED FG12 plays · 45 yds · 2:2720% → 18%
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
80.0%
(03:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short middle to #7 C.Adams caught at VAN30, for 7 yards to the VAN32 (#5 E.Winters)Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
79.3%
(03:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 M.Young rush middle for 6 yards gain to the VAN38 (#95 J.Crawford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
79.4%
(02:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass incomplete short middle to #8 J.Conner thrown to AUB45Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
79.8%
(02:54) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short left to #0 J.Sherrill caught at VAN41, for 3 yards to the VAN41 (#8 K.Harris)Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+11
80.3%
(02:11) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis rush right for 11 yards gain to the AUB48 (#94 C.Sigler), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+17
80.1%
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis rush left for 17 yards gain to the AUB31, out of bounds at AUB31, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-9
79.3%
(01:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis sacked for loss of 9 yards to the AUB40 (#10 W.Mathis, Jr.)Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 19
OPP 40
0
81.2%
(01:07) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass incomplete deep right to #15 J.McVay thrown to AUB19Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 19
OPP 40
+10
81.7%
(01:01) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short middle to #16 C.Spence caught at AUB34, for 10 yards to the AUB30 (#16 B.Deas)Similar
Q2 0:55
4TH & 9
OPP 30
+48
81.6%
(00:55) #88 B.Taylor field goal attempt from 48 yards NO GOOD blocked by #94 C.Sigler (H: #37 T.Ebel, LS: #54 K.Schickel), clock 00:53, out of bounds at AUB30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 14MISSED FG12 plays · 27 yds · 0:4682% → 83%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
81.9%
(00:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short left to #8 C.Neptune caught at AUB30, for 6 yards to the AUB36 (#4 M.Hight), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 4
OWN 36
-2
82.6%
(00:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown sacked for loss of 2 yards to the AUB34 (#11 B.Longwell)Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+8
81.1%
(00:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short right to #11 K.Singleton caught at AUB42, for 8 yards to the AUB42, out of bounds at AUB42, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
82.5%
(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short left to #5 C.Nimrod caught at AUB40, for 2 yards to the AUB44 (#4 M.Hight; #25 M.Lewis), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+8
82.4%
(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush left for 8 yards gain to the VAN48, out of bounds at VAN48, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
82.8%
(00:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short middle to #11 K.Singleton caught at AUB48, for 4 yards to the VAN44 (#22 B.Cowan)Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+1
83.7%
(00:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short right to #19 J.Johnson caught at VAN43, for 1 yard to the VAN43 (#11 B.Longwell), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
83.1%
(00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass incomplete short right to #5 C.Nimrod thrown to VAN40Similar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 5
OPP 43
+61
82.5%
(00:01) #38 A.McPherson field goal attempt from 61 yards NO GOOD (H: #14 H.Kaak, LS: #59 H.Powell), clock 00:01, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 15INT2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
81.9%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass intercepted by #0 S.Smith-Reed at AUB13, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16TD15 plays · 75 yds · 7:4419% → 34%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
81.2%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis rush right for 2 yards gain to the VAN27 (#5 E.Winters)Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
81.2%
(14:20) Shotgun #3 J.Lassiter rush middle for 5 yards gain to the VAN32 (#41 J.Smith)Similar
Q3 13:37
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
81.5%
(13:42) Shotgun #3 J.Lassiter rush middle for 2 yards gain to the VAN34 (#35 D.Walker)Similar
Q3 12:49
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+5
82.1%
(12:57) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis rush middle for 5 yards gain to the VAN39 (#13 C.Murray), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
80.8%
(12:21) Shotgun #28 S.Alexander rush left for 4 yards gain to the VAN43 (#17 X.Atkins)Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+7
80.6%
(11:46) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short left to #5 T.Brown caught at VAN47, for 7 yards to the VAN50 (#8 K.Harris), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
50
+2
80.2%
(11:08) Shotgun #28 S.Alexander rush middle for 2 yards gain to the AUB48 (#8 K.Harris)Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+6
80.3%
(10:35) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short left to #22 M.Young caught at AUB47, for 6 yards to the AUB42 (#8 K.Harris)Similar
Q3 9:49
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+1
80.3%
(09:57) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the AUB41 (#17 X.Atkins)Similar
Q3 9:16
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+1
81.8%
(09:30) #2 J.Curtis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the AUB40 (#95 J.Crawford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
80.7%
(08:25) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short left to #6 J.Thomas caught at AUB40, for 13 yards to the AUB27 (#94 C.Sigler), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was out of bounds". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (08:25) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short left to #6 J.Thomas caught at AUB40, for 16 yards to the AUB24 (#94 C.Sigler), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
79.5%
(08:11) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short right to #22 M.Young caught at AUB32, for 12 yards to the AUB15 (#35 D.Walker), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
79.6%
(07:31) Shotgun #22 M.Young rush middle for 8 yards gain to the AUB07 (#0 S.Smith-Reed) PENALTY AUB Personal Foul (#5 E.Winters) 4 yards from AUB07 to AUB03, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
65.9%
(07:10) Shotgun #28 S.Alexander rush middle for 3 yards gain to the AUB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:07 #2 J.Curtis pass attempt failedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 17TD10 plays · 75 yds · 2:1674% → 89%
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
73.9%
(07:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Cobb rush right for 3 yards gain to the AUB28 (#11 B.Longwell)Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
73.9%
(06:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush middle for 12 yards gain to the AUB40 (#7 R.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
75.6%
(06:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short right to #5 C.Nimrod caught at AUB40, for 3 yards to the AUB43 (#6 J.Matthews; #8 C.Heard)Similar
Q3 5:48
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
75.9%
(05:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass incomplete short left to #4 J.Koger thrown to VAN45Similar
Q3 5:35
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+19
74.1%
(05:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short middle to #4 J.Koger caught at VAN38, for 19 yards to the VAN38 (#8 C.Heard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+21
76.8%
(05:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Cobb rush middle for 21 yards gain to the VAN17 (#4 M.Hight), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
77.6%
(05:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Cobb rush middle for 7 yards gain to the VAN10 (#7 R.Jones)Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+8
77.3%
(04:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass incomplete short middle to #82 A.Boardingham thrown to VAN00, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY VAN Pass Interference (#8 C.Heard) 8 yards from VAN10 to VAN02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.5%
(04:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush middle for 2 yards gain to the VAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:40 #38 A.McPherson kick attempt good (H: #14 H.Kaak, LS: #59 H.Powell)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18FG23 plays · 46 yds · 7:1713% → 12%
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
87.1%
(04:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 M.Young rush middle for 8 yards gain to the VAN33 (#9 E.Melendez)Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
85.4%
(04:07) Shotgun #22 M.Young rush middle for 1 yard gain to the VAN34 (#9 E.Melendez; #96 M.Autry)Similar
Q3 3:19
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
86.2%
(03:26) Shotgun #22 M.Young rush middle for 0 yards to the VAN34 (#11 D.Smith)Similar
Q3 2:32
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
87.0%
(02:38) #22 M.Young rush left for 3 yards gain to the VAN37, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
86.7%
(02:02) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short left to #12 W.Taylor caught at VAN44, for 8 yards to the VAN45, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+2
85.8%
(01:22) Shotgun #22 M.Young rush middle for 2 yards gain to the VAN47 (#13 C.Murray), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
86.2%
(00:39) PENALTY VAN False Start 5 yards from VAN47 to VAN42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 0:17
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+10
87.9%
(00:17) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass incomplete short left to #0 J.Sherrill thrown to AUB40 PENALTY AUB Holding (#4 R.Pleasant) 10 yards from VAN42 to AUB48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
85.8%
(00:14) PENALTY AUB Offside (#13 C.Murray) 5 yards from AUB48 to AUB43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 0:13
1ST & 5
OPP 43
+2
85.5%
(00:13) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis rush middle for 2 yards gain to the AUB41 (#41 J.Smith)Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 3
OPP 41
-1
85.6%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 S.Alexander rush middle for 1 yard loss to the AUB42 (#17 X.Atkins)Similar
Q4 14:37
3RD & 4
OPP 42
0
86.7%
(14:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass incomplete short left to #7 C.Adams thrown to AUB44Similar
Q4 14:26
4TH & 4
OPP 42
+8
89.3%
(14:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short left to #16 C.Spence caught at AUB34, for 8 yards to the AUB34 (#22 A.Jordan Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
88.7%
(14:01) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass incomplete deep right to #19 M.Veney thrown to AUB05Similar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+12
89.0%
(13:55) Shotgun #22 M.Young rush middle for 12 yards gain to the AUB22, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-2
88.9%
(13:08) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short left to #6 J.Thomas caught at AUB24, for 2 yards loss to the AUB24, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 12
OPP 24
0
89.7%
(12:27) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass incomplete short left to #5 T.Brown thrown to AUB20Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 12
OPP 24
+5
90.8%
PENALTY VAN Illegal Substitution 5 yards from AUB24 to AUB29. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 12:21
3RD & 17
OPP 29
0
91.3%
(12:24) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass incomplete deep middle to #7 C.Adams thrown to AUB05Similar
Q4 12:17
4TH & 17
OPP 29
+47
87.8%
(12:18) #88 B.Taylor field goal attempt from 47 yards GOOD (H: #37 T.Ebel, LS: #54 K.Schickel), clock 12:17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 19PUNT8 plays · 17 yds · 2:3588% → 89%
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.9%
(12:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass incomplete short middle to #81 J.Echols thrown to AUB25Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
87.7%
(12:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush middle for 9 yards gain to the AUB34 (#7 R.Jones)Similar
Q4 11:34
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
87.6%
(11:37) No Huddle #17 B.Brown rush middle for 1 yard gain to the AUB35 (#94 B.Mann), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
88.1%
(11:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass incomplete deep right to #11 K.Singleton thrown to VAN45 broken up by #25 M.LewisSimilar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
88.0%
(11:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short left to #5 C.Nimrod caught at AUB35, for 3 yards to the AUB38 (#8 C.Heard), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 10:25
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+4
88.4%
(10:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush middle for 4 yards gain to the AUB42 (#8 C.Heard)Similar
Q4 9:39
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
88.5%
(09:45) #14 H.Kaak punt 36 yards to the VAN22, out of bounds at VAN22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20FG12 plays · 51 yds · 3:1218% → 16%
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
82.0%
(09:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass incomplete short right to #5 T.Brown thrown to VAN33 PENALTY VAN Holding (#75 B.Johnson) 10 yards from VAN22 to VAN12. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 9:29
1ST & 19
OWN 12
0
82.2%
(09:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass incomplete short right to #13 K.Barnett thrown to VAN20 QB hurried by #11 D.SmithSimilar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 20
OWN 12
+8
82.4%
(09:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short middle to #3 J.Lassiter caught at VAN09, for 8 yards to the VAN20 (#15 D.Womack), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 11
OWN 20
+27
83.9%
(08:42) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete deep right to #0 J.Sherrill caught at VAN47, for 27 yards to the VAN47, out of bounds at VAN47, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
79.4%
(08:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass incomplete deep right to #5 T.Brown thrown to AUB04 PENALTY AUB Roughing The Passer (#94 C.Sigler) 15 yards from VAN47 to AUB38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
78.5%
(08:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis rush middle for 4 yards gain to the AUB34 (#13 C.Murray)Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+7
76.5%
(07:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass complete short right to #28 S.Alexander caught at AUB30, for 7 yards to the AUB27 (#16 B.Deas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
76.5%
(07:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass incomplete short right to #0 J.Sherrill thrown to AUB10Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
77.1%
(07:23) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis rush left for 0 yards to the AUB27 (#17 X.Atkins)Similar
Q4 6:31
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
81.6%
(06:33) Shotgun #2 J.Curtis pass incomplete deep left to #9 B.Coleman thrown to AUB05Similar
Q4 6:26
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+45
84.5%
(06:28) #88 B.Taylor field goal attempt from 45 yards GOOD (H: #37 T.Ebel, LS: #54 K.Schickel), clock 06:26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 21END OF GAME16 plays · 45 yds · 5:4789% → 96%
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
89.2%
(06:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush middle for 2 yards gain to the AUB27 (#11 B.Longwell)Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
90.1%
(05:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 B.Washington rush middle for 3 yards gain to the AUB30 (#29 M.Capers; #17 E.Kolenge)Similar
Q4 4:52
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+20
90.3%
(05:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown pass complete short middle to #11 K.Singleton caught at AUB45, for 20 yards to the AUB50 (#25 M.Lewis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
50
+3
92.3%
(04:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 B.Washington rush middle for 3 yards gain to the VAN47 (#8 C.Heard)Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+6
92.8%
(04:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush middle for 6 yards gain to the VAN41 (#92 J.Stone)Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+2
93.9%
(03:11) No Huddle #23 J.Cobb rush middle for 2 yards gain to the VAN39 (#24 N.Rinaldi), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
95.2%
(02:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 B.Washington rush middle for 0 yards to the VAN39 (#94 B.Mann)Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+21
95.2%
(02:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 J.Cobb rush left for 21 yards gain to the VAN18 (#11 B.Longwell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:07
(07:10) Shotgun #28 S.Alexander rush middle for 3 yards gain to the AUB00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:07 #2 J.Curtis pass attempt failed
-13.7
TD · Q3 4:40
(04:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 B.Brown rush middle for 2 yards gain to the VAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:40 #38 A.McPherson kick attempt good (H: #14 H.Kaak, LS: #59 H.Powell)
+11.1
TD · Q2 8:56
(09:03) #37 T.Ebel punt 0 yards to the VAN38 blocked by #29 O.Mabson II recovered by AUB #55 C.Carlson at VAN10 #55 C.Carlson return 10 yards to the VAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:56 #38 A.McPherson kick attempt good (H: #14 H.Kaak, LS: #59 H.Powell)
+8