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KENN

Kennesaw State 9 at Tennessee 42

TENN
2026 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadKENN aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreKENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGFGTDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of GameFG-0.2TENN 97.3%(03:53) #89 D.Kinney field goalattempt from 35 yards GOOD (H: #60B.Walters, LS: #57 B.Blanton), clock03:51AWAY 3 - HOME 7 · Q1 3:51
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:51 · (03:53) #89 D.Kinney field goal attempt from 35 yards GOOD (H: #60 B.Walters, LS: #57 B.Blanton), clock 03:51
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginGarbage-time factor
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 26Pregame prior+45.0Home team on offense+0.1Score differential+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Blowout margin+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 3:51: (03:53) #89 D.Kinney field goal attempt from 35 yards GOOD (H: #60 B.Walters, LS: #57 B.Blanton), clock 03:51 — KENN win probability +0.2 pts (now 3%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q1 0:26: (00:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete short right to #14 B.Staley caught at KSU06, for 13 yards to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:26, 1ST DOWN #87 L.Wolf rush attempt Successful — TENN win probability +0.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 10:34: (10:37) #28 C.Ranvier field goal attempt from 40 yards GOOD (H: #98 J.Ross, LS: #48 B.Brady), clock 10:34 — TENN win probability +0.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 10:34: Timeout Tennessee, clock 10:34 — TENN win probability +0.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:17: (11:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Morris rush right for 42 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:17, 1ST DOWN #28 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #98 J.Ross, LS: #48 B.Brady) — TENN win probability +1.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4KENN made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 3:51KENN 4th & 9 at TENN 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:43KENN 4th & 7 at KENN 28, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:34TENN 4th & 6 at KENN 21, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.6%
    74% to make
    Punt
    95.8%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:14KENN 4th & 6 at KENN 29, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:25TENN 4th & 14 at TENN 43, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:08KENN 4th & 7 at KENN 30, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:23TENN 4th & 2 at KENN 25, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    95.6%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:59KENN 4th & 19 at KENN 16, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:23KENN 4th & 12 at KENN 34, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:49KENN 4th & 7 at TENN 7, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:45KENN 4th & 2 at TENN 2, down 36
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:17TENN 4th & 2 at TENN 33, up 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 11:32TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:26TENN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:17TENN Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:49TENN Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1299% → 98%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
98.6%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete short right to #14 B.Staley caught at TENN42, for 35 yards to the KSU40 (#5 T.Lawson; #13 C.Miller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
98.5%
(14:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Bishop rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU37 (#0 P.Fisher; #16 A.Thomas)Similar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+13
98.5%
(14:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon rush middle for 13 yards gain to the KSU24 (#16 A.Thomas; #31 K.Russell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
98.5%
(13:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete short right to #4 M.Matthews caught at KSU19, for 12 yards to the KSU12 (#5 T.Lawson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
98.4%
(13:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass incomplete short left to #14 B.Staley thrown to KSU00Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+4
98.4%
(13:02) Shotgun #18 D.Bishop rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSU08 (#96 J.Grimes; #18 J.Anglin)Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+3
98.4%
(12:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete short right to #4 M.Matthews caught at KSU07, for 3 yards to the KSU05 (#5 T.Lawson)Similar
Q1 11:44
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+2
98.3%
(11:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon sacked for loss of 8 yards to the KSU13 (#31 K.Russell) PENALTY KSU Holding (#5 T.Lawson) 2 yards from KSU05 to KSU03, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 11:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.4%
(11:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Bishop rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:32 #28 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #98 J.Ross, LS: #48 B.Brady)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 2FG
16 plays · 59 yds · 7:332% → 3%
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.3%
(11:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short left to #7 N.Dean caught at KSU31, for 9 yards to the KSU34 (#1 T.Metcalf)Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
98.3%
(11:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins rush left for 4 yards gain to the KSU38 (#22 J.Telander), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
98.2%
(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 L.Murrell rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU40 (#7 A.Carter)Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+6
98.2%
(09:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins rush right for 6 yards gain to the KSU46 (#7 A.Carter)Similar
Q1 9:01
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+13
98.1%
(09:12) Shotgun #1 R.Collins rush middle for 13 yards gain to the TENN41, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
98.0%
(08:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 L.Murrell rush left for 0 yards to the TENN41 (#9 M.Dye; #7 A.Carter)Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+13
97.9%
(07:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short right to #4 Z.Booker caught at TENN45, for 13 yards to the TENN28 (#14 K.Lee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
97.8%
(07:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Woods III rush right for 6 yards gain to the TENN22 (#14 K.Lee)Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+5
97.7%
(06:23) PENALTY KSU False Start (#76 N.Milovac) 5 yards from TENN22 to TENN27. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+10
97.7%
(06:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short left to #4 Z.Booker caught at TENN32, for 10 yards to the TENN17 (#0 A.Campbell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
97.6%
(05:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Woods III rush middle for 0 yards to the TENN17 (#2 X.Gilliam; #33 J.Norman)Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+10
97.6%
(05:07) Shotgun #6 L.Murrell rush right for 2 yards gain to the TENN15 (#13 E.Spillman; #10 D.Lane) PENALTY KSU Holding (#9 D.Bryson) 10 yards from TENN17 to TENN27. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 20
OPP 27
+11
97.5%
(04:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short right to #4 Z.Booker caught at TENN16, for 11 yards to the TENN16, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 3:56
3RD & 9
OPP 16
0
97.5%
(04:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass incomplete short right to #4 Z.Booker thrown to TENN08 broken up by #13 E.Spillman QB hurried by #2 X.Gilliam and #33 J.NormanSimilar
Q1 3:51
4TH & 9
OPP 16
+35
97.3%
(03:53) #89 D.Kinney field goal attempt from 35 yards GOOD (H: #60 B.Walters, LS: #57 B.Blanton), clock 03:51Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:1497% → 98%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.3%
(03:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Bishop rush middle for 0 yards to the TENN25 (#11 T.Christopher)Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
97.3%
(03:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon rush left for 10 yards gain to the TENN35 (#11 T.Christopher), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
97.2%
(03:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete short left to #18 D.Bishop caught at TENN36, for 15 yards to the TENN50 (#7 L.Evans; #16 A.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
50
+2
97.3%
(02:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Bishop rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU48 (#0 P.Fisher; #18 J.Anglin)Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+7
97.2%
(02:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon rush right for 7 yards gain to the KSU41 (#11 T.Christopher; #28 K.Moss)Similar
Q1 1:11
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+8
97.0%
(01:17) Shotgun #17 D.Morris rush middle for 8 yards gain to the KSU33 (#28 K.Moss), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
97.0%
(00:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete short left to #5 T.Keys caught at KSU35, for 7 yards to the KSU26 (#11 T.Christopher) PENALTY KSU Personal Foul (#15 D.Morgan) 13 yards from KSU26 to KSU13, 1ST DOWN. #14 B.Staley injured on the playSimilar
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
97.0%
(00:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass incomplete short right to #4 M.Matthews thrown to KSU00Similar
Q1 0:26
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
97.7%
(00:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete short right to #14 B.Staley caught at KSU06, for 13 yards to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:26, 1ST DOWN #87 L.Wolf rush attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:413% → 3%
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.5%
(00:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins rush middle for 0 yards to the KSU25 (#18 T.Weathersby)Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
97.4%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins rush middle for 4 yards loss to the KSU21 (#9 M.Dye)Similar
Q2 14:03
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+7
97.4%
(14:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short left to #88 J.Harrold caught at KSU25, for 7 yards to the KSU28 (#14 K.Lee; #47 I.Campbell)Similar
Q2 13:43
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
97.4%
(13:45) #34 M.McKenzie punt 44 yards to the TENN28 fair catch by #6 Q.Moss at TENN28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5FG
10 plays · 51 yds · 2:5598% → 98%
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
97.6%
(13:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete short middle to #17 D.Morris caught at TENN32, for 5 yards to the TENN33 (#16 A.Thomas)Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+8
97.6%
(13:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Morris rush middle for 8 yards gain to the TENN41 (#0 P.Fisher; #13 C.Miller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
97.6%
(12:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete short right to #17 D.Morris caught at TENN43, for 4 yards to the TENN45 (#7 L.Evans)Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+4
97.6%
(12:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Morris rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TENN49 (#56 Z.Wilson) PENALTY KSU Personal Foul (#56 Z.Wilson) 15 yards from TENN49 to KSU36, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
97.6%
(12:01) Shotgun #17 D.Morris rush middle for 11 yards gain to the KSU25 (#16 A.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
97.6%
(11:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass incomplete short right to #5 T.Keys thrown to KSU20 broken up by #31 K.RussellSimilar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
97.6%
(11:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass incomplete deep middle to #14 B.Staley thrown to KSU00Similar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+4
97.5%
(11:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSU21 (#31 K.Russell)Similar
Q2 10:34
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+40
97.7%
(10:37) #28 C.Ranvier field goal attempt from 40 yards GOOD (H: #98 J.Ross, LS: #48 B.Brady), clock 10:34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:113% → 3%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.4%
(10:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 L.Murrell rush left for 3 yards gain to the KSU28 (#17 E.Utley; #22 J.Telander)Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
97.4%
(10:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KSU29 (#1 T.Metcalf)Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
97.3%
(09:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass incomplete short middle to #9 D.Bryson thrown to KSU35 broken up by #22 J.TelanderSimilar
Q2 9:14
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
97.4%
(09:19) #34 M.McKenzie punt 51 yards to the TENN20 fair catch by #6 Q.Moss at TENN20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:4198% → 98%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
98.2%
(09:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Bishop rush middle for 10 yards gain to the TENN30 (#16 A.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
98.1%
(08:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete short left to #82 T.Thomas caught at TENN34, for 17 yards to the TENN47 (#92 J.Cooper), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
98.3%
(08:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Bishop rush middle for 26 yards gain (5) to the KSU27 (#0 P.Fisher) PENALTY TENN Holding (#56 S.Pendleton) 10 yards from KSU48 to TENN42Similar
Q2 7:53
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+1
98.2%
(07:59) Shotgun #17 D.Morris rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TENN43 (#11 T.Christopher; #16 A.Thomas)Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 14
OWN 43
+5
98.2%
(07:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete short left to #1 T.Smith Jr. caught at TENN48, for 5 yards to the TENN48 (#5 T.Lawson; #18 J.Anglin)Similar
Q2 6:51
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+5
98.1%
PENALTY TENN False Start (#77 O.Williams) 5 yards from TENN48 to TENN43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 6:33
3RD & 14
OWN 43
0
98.1%
(06:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass incomplete deep right to #3 R.Jackson thrown to KSU12Similar
Q2 6:25
4TH & 14
OWN 43
0
98.0%
(06:31) #98 J.Ross punt 47 yards to the KSU10 fair catch by #4 Z.Booker at KSU10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:122% → 2%
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
97.8%
(06:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass incomplete short left to #15 J.Rogers thrown to KSU14Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+8
97.8%
(06:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short right to #4 Z.Booker caught at KSU15, for 8 yards to the KSU18 (#0 A.Campbell)Similar
Q2 5:39
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+9
97.6%
(05:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins rush right for 9 yards gain to the KSU27, out of bounds at KSU27, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
97.9%
(05:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass incomplete deep left to #4 Z.Booker thrown to KSU50 QB hurried by #18 T.WeathersbySimilar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+3
97.9%
(05:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Woods III rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU30 (#26 J.Finch)Similar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 7
OWN 30
0
97.9%
(04:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass incomplete deep right to #88 J.Harrold thrown to KSU50 QB hurried by #7 A.Carter and #2 X.Gilliam PENALTY KSU Chop Block declined. #9 M.Dye injured on the playSimilar
Q2 4:08
4TH & 7
OWN 30
+24
97.6%
(04:17) #34 M.McKenzie punt 44 yards to the TENN26 #6 Q.Moss return 24 yards to the KSU50 (#28 K.Moss)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9FUMBLE
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:0898% → 98%
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
50
+7
98.3%
(04:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Morris rush middle for 7 yards gain to the KSU43 (#13 C.Miller; #16 A.Thomas)Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+8
98.2%
(03:40) Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete short middle to #4 M.Matthews caught at KSU37, for 8 yards to the KSU35 (#18 J.Anglin; #31 K.Russell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
98.3%
(03:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Morris rush left for 10 yards gain to the KSU25 (#11 T.Christopher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
98.3%
(02:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass incomplete deep left to #3 R.Jackson thrown to KSU02Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
98.3%
(02:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Morris rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU22 (#13 C.Miller; #31 K.Russell)Similar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 7
OPP 22
0
98.1%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon sacked for loss of 8 yards to the KSU30 (#31 K.Russell), fumble by #11 F.Brandon recovered by KSU #96 J.Grimes at KSU30, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 10FUMBLE
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:362% → 2%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
97.6%
(01:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 L.Murrell rush middle for 14 yards gain to the KSU44 (#10 D.Lane; #6 Q.Moss), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
97.5%
(01:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short right to #13 D.Gary caught at TENN43, for 13 yards to the TENN43 (#13 E.Spillman), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
97.8%
(01:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short right to #6 L.Murrell caught at TENN47, for 0 yards to the TENN43, out of bounds at TENN43Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
97.9%
(01:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Woods III rush middle for 10 yards gain (4) to the TENN33 (#1 T.Metcalf) PENALTY KSU Holding (#75 P.Ekeh) 10 yards from TENN39 to TENN49Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 16
OPP 49
-6
98.2%
(01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins rush middle for 6 yards loss to the KSU45 fumbled by #1 R.Collins at KSU45 recovered by TENN #18 T.Weathersby at KSU45, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11FG
10 plays · 20 yds · 0:4798% → 98%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
98.4%
PENALTY TENN False Start (#70 D.Sanders Jr.) 5 yards from KSU45 to KSU50. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 15
50
+7
98.4%
(01:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Morris rush middle for 7 yards gain to the KSU43 (#18 J.Anglin)Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+10
98.5%
(01:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon rush left for 10 yards gain to the KSU33 (#0 P.Fisher; #28 K.Moss), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
98.5%
(00:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Morris rush middle for 0 yards to the KSU33 (#28 K.Moss; #31 K.Russell)Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+8
98.4%
(00:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete short middle to #3 R.Jackson caught at KSU31, for 8 yards to the KSU25 (#7 L.Evans), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 2
OPP 25
0
98.2%
(00:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass incomplete short right to #4 M.Matthews thrown to KSU20 broken up by #31 K.RussellSimilar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+43
98.2%
(00:27) #28 C.Ranvier field goal attempt from 43 yards GOOD (H: #98 J.Ross, LS: #48 B.Brady), clock 00:23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.4%
(00:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 T.Morgan rush middle for 0 yards to the KSU25 (#35 C.Gentle; #2 X.Gilliam)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:403% → 3%
Q3 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
97.4%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short left to #24 B.Woods III caught at KSU21, for 4 yards loss to the KSU21 (#7 A.Carter)Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
97.5%
(14:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Woods III rush middle for 0 yards to the KSU21 (#2 X.Gilliam; #7 A.Carter)Similar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-5
97.5%
(13:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins sacked for loss of 5 yards to the KSU16 (#7 A.Carter)Similar
Q3 12:59
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
97.4%
(13:05) #34 M.McKenzie punt 37 yards to the TENN47 fair catch by #6 Q.Moss at TENN47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14TD
4 plays · 53 yds · 1:3198% → 99%
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
98.1%
(12:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete short left to #14 B.Staley caught at TENN42, for 5 yards to the KSU48 (#0 P.Fisher)Similar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+3
98.2%
(12:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete short left to #3 R.Jackson caught at TENN49, for 3 yards to the KSU45 (#11 T.Christopher)Similar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+3
98.2%
(11:53) Shotgun #17 D.Morris rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU42 (#31 K.Russell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
99.4%
(11:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Morris rush right for 42 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:17, 1ST DOWN #28 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #98 J.Ross, LS: #48 B.Brady)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 1:502% → 0%
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.5%
(11:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass incomplete short right to #88 J.Harrold thrown to KSU29Similar
Q3 11:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
98.5%
(11:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short left to #15 J.Rogers caught at KSU23, for 11 yards to the KSU36 (#13 E.Spillman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
98.4%
(10:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short right to #4 Z.Booker caught at KSU30, for 2 yards to the KSU38 (#6 Q.Moss)Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
98.4%
(10:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass incomplete short right to #21 T.Morgan thrown to KSU32 broken up by #17 E.UtleySimilar
Q3 9:56
3RD & 8
OWN 38
-4
98.4%
(10:03) Shotgun #1 R.Collins rush middle for 4 yards loss to the KSU34 (#22 J.Telander; #33 J.Norman)Similar
Q3 10:03
3RD & 8
OWN 38
-4
99.7%
(10:03) Shotgun #1 R.Collins sacked for loss of 4 yards to the KSU34 (#33 J.Norman)Similar
Q3 9:23
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
99.7%
(09:27) #34 M.McKenzie punt 37 yards to the TENN29 fair catch by #6 Q.Moss at TENN29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 4:47100% → 100%
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
99.8%
(09:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete short middle to #5 T.Keys caught at TENN34, for 5 yards to the TENN34 (#0 P.Fisher)Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+6
99.8%
(08:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Bishop rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TENN40 (#18 J.Anglin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
99.8%
(08:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Bishop rush middle for 9 yards gain to the TENN49 (#28 K.Moss)Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+12
99.8%
(07:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 H.Barnes rush right for 12 yards gain to the KSU39 (#7 L.Evans; #13 C.Miller), 1ST DOWN. #13 C.Miller injured on the playSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+18
99.8%
(07:11) Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete short middle to #4 M.Matthews caught at KSU27, for 18 yards to the KSU21 (#6 M.Patterson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
99.8%
(06:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon rush right for 4 yards gain to the KSU17 (#27 J.Holmes), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 6
OPP 17
0
99.8%
(06:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon rush middle for 0 yards to the KSU17 (#96 J.Grimes)Similar
Q3 5:26
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+12
99.8%
(05:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Morris rush middle for 12 yards gain to the KSU05 (#0 P.Fisher; #13 C.Miller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.8%
(04:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Morris rush middle for 0 yards to the KSU05 (#11 T.Christopher; #13 C.Miller)Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
(04:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon rush left for 5 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:25 #28 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #98 J.Ross, LS: #48 B.Brady)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 17FG
18 plays · 68 yds · 6:260% → 0%
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
99.8%
(04:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins rush middle for 18 yards gain to the KSU43 (#6 Q.Moss), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
99.8%
(03:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 L.Murrell rush left for 10 yards gain to the TENN47 (#14 K.Lee), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
99.9%
(03:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 L.Murrell rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TENN45 (#2 X.Gilliam; #13 E.Spillman)Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+9
99.9%
(02:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short left to #15 J.Rogers caught at TENN36, for 9 yards to the TENN36, out of bounds at TENN36, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
99.9%
(02:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 T.Morgan rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TENN32 (#7 A.Carter)Similar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+12
99.9%
(01:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short left to #4 Z.Booker caught at TENN23, for 12 yards to the TENN20 (#7 A.Carter), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
99.9%
(01:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short left to #4 Z.Booker caught at TENN15, for 8 yards to the TENN12 (#1 T.Metcalf; #22 J.Telander)Similar
Q3 0:19
2ND & 2
OPP 12
0
99.9%
(00:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short left to #7 N.Dean caught at TENN12, for 0 yards to the TENN12 (#1 T.Metcalf) PENALTY KSU Holding (#19 R.Jesiolowski) 10 yards from TENN12 to TENN22. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:57
2ND & 12
OPP 22
0
99.9%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass incomplete short left to #4 Z.Booker thrown to TENN10 QB hurried by #1 T.MetcalfSimilar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 12
OPP 22
+14
99.9%
(14:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short right to #13 D.Gary caught at TENN17, for 14 yards to the TENN08 (#14 K.Lee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
99.9%
(14:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins rush right for 1 yard gain to the TENN07 (#0 A.Campbell)Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.9%
(13:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins rush right for 0 yards to the TENN07 (#4 T.Redmond; #35 C.Gentle)Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
100.0%
(12:59) Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass incomplete short left to #7 N.Dean thrown to TENN00 QB hurried by #35 C.GentleSimilar
Q4 12:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
99.9%
(12:51) #89 D.Kinney field goal attempt from 25 yards GOOD (H: #60 B.Walters, LS: #57 B.Blanton), clock 12:49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:45100% → 100%
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
(12:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete short right to #14 B.Staley caught at TENN21, for 6 yards to the TENN31 (#0 P.Fisher)Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
(12:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon rush left for 0 yards to the TENN31 (#11 T.Christopher), out of bounds PENALTY KSU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#15 D.Morgan) 15 yards from TENN31 to TENN46, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.9%
(11:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass incomplete deep middle to #4 M.Matthews thrown to KSU00Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+38
99.9%
(11:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 H.Barnes rush right for 38 yards gain to the KSU16 (#13 C.Miller), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
99.9%
(11:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon rush right for 2 yards gain to the KSU14 fumbled by #11 F.Brandon at KSU11 forced by #28 K.Moss recovered by TENN #77 O.Williams at KSU14, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+2
99.9%
(10:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 H.Barnes rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU12 (#46 J.Greaves Jr.; #55 U.Nwoha)Similar
Q4 9:32
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+9
100.0%
(09:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete short left to #87 L.Wolf caught at KSU08, for 9 yards to the KSU03 (#13 C.Miller), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
100.0%
(08:55) Shotgun #24 H.Barnes rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:49 #28 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #98 J.Ross, LS: #48 B.Brady)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 19FG
18 plays · 85 yds · 5:480% → 0%
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+26
100.0%
(08:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short right to #11 B.Munroe caught at KSU26, for 26 yards to the KSU39 (#3 T.Poteat III; #24 D.Lewis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
100.0%
(08:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short middle to #88 J.Harrold caught at KSU47, for 13 yards to the TENN48 (#23 S.Walton; #20 T.Metcalf), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
100.0%
(07:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short right to #4 Z.Booker caught at TENN49, for 2 yards to the TENN46 (#28 B.Rouse), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
100.0%
(07:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass incomplete deep left to #15 J.Rogers thrown to TENN10 QB hurried by #95 B.CarterSimilar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+8
100.0%
(07:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short right to #11 B.Munroe caught at TENN41, for 8 yards to the TENN38 (#3 T.Poteat III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
100.0%
(06:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short right to #4 Z.Booker caught at TENN41, for 6 yards to the TENN32 (#28 B.Rouse; #24 D.Lewis). #24 D.Lewis injured on the playSimilar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+6
100.0%
(06:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short left to #4 Z.Booker caught at TENN33, for 6 yards to the TENN26 (#25 T.Merritt), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
100.0%
(05:31) Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass incomplete short left to #9 D.Bryson thrown to TENN25 QB hurried by #37 K.Golston II and #17 E.UtleySimilar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+5
100.0%
(05:27) Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass complete short left to #88 J.Harrold caught at TENN21, for 5 yards to the TENN21 fumbled by #88 J.Harrold at TENN21 forced by #13 E.Spillman recovered by KSU #88 J.Harrold at TENN21, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+12
100.0%
(04:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 T.Morgan rush right for 12 yards gain to the TENN09 (#23 S.Walton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
100.0%
(04:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 T.Morgan rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TENN05 (#28 B.Rouse; #13 E.Spillman)Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
100.0%
(03:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Collins pass incomplete short right to #9 D.Bryson thrown to TENN00Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
100.0%
(03:35) Shotgun #1 R.Collins rush left for 3 yards gain to the TENN02 (#25 T.Merritt), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 2:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
99.9%
(02:48) #89 D.Kinney field goal attempt from 20 yards GOOD (H: #60 B.Walters, LS: #57 B.Blanton), clock 02:45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:16100% → 100%
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
(02:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 H.Barnes rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TENN29 (#16 A.Thomas; #28 K.Moss)Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
100.0%
(01:58) Shotgun #24 H.Barnes rush right for 1 yard gain to the TENN30 (#12 K.Jones)Similar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+3
100.0%
(01:10) Shotgun #24 H.Barnes rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TENN33 (#16 A.Thomas; #97 J.Crawford)Similar
Q4 0:17
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
100.0%
(00:20) #98 J.Ross punt 45 yards to the KSU22 fair catch by #4 Z.Booker at KSU22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 21END OF GAME
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
100.0%
(00:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 D.Ingram rush right for 2 yards gain to the KSU24 (#36 C.Gooden; #37 K.Golston II)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:17
(11:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Morris rush right for 42 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:17, 1ST DOWN #28 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #98 J.Ross, LS: #48 B.Brady)
+1.2
TD · Q1 0:26
(00:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete short right to #14 B.Staley caught at KSU06, for 13 yards to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:26, 1ST DOWN #87 L.Wolf rush attempt Successful
+0.7
FG · Q2 10:34
Timeout Tennessee, clock 10:34
+0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com