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UGA

Georgia 45 at Arkansas 17

ARK
2026 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026 · Razorback Stadium
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Win probability · ARK
modelARK aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playARK scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:07 · (01:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jackson pass complete deep left to #5 S.Smith caught at UGA25, for 40 yards to the UGA14 (#18 C.Harris), 1ST DOWN
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 165Home team on offense−57.7Pregame prior−1.3Score differential−46.7Garbage-time factor−25.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−9.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−7.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:45: (08:47) #5 C.Bowens rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ARK00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:45 #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings) — UGA win probability +3.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:36: (00:41) #5 C.Bowens rush right for 5 yards gain to the ARK00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:36, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings) — UGA win probability +3.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:02: (00:06) #30 M.Gilbert field goal attempt from 41 yards GOOD (H: #37 G.Rush, LS: #51 A.Johnston), clock 00:02 — ARK win probability +3.8 pts (now 7%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 9:02: (09:05) #91 P.Woodring field goal attempt from 38 yards GOOD (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings), clock 09:02 — UGA win probability +1.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:35: (03:39) #5 C.Bowens rush right for 1 yard gain to the ARK00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:35 #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings) — UGA win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARK made the numbers' call on 6 of 7UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:38ARK 4th & 5 at UGA 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    8.8%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:47ARK 4th & 3 at ARK 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:35UGA 4th & 11 at UGA 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:53ARK 4th & 7 at ARK 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:28ARK 4th & 19 at UGA 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−0.3
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    9.7%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:02UGA 4th & 17 at ARK 20, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%−1.2
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    90.8%−3.0
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:17UGA 4th & 2 at ARK 24, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%−0.3
    68% to make
    Punt
    95.4%−2.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:51ARK 4th & 14 at ARK 35, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:20UGA 4th & 8 at ARK 47, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:52ARK 4th & 23 at ARK 7, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:07ARK 4th & 2 at ARK 46, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARK made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UGA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 6:53UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:45UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:36UGA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:35UGA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:42UGA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:30ARK Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:31UGA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:40ARK Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARKDrive 1DOWNS
12 plays · 37 yds · 4:085% → 6%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
4.6%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jackson pass complete short left to #6 C.Marshall caught at ARK37, for 12 yards to the ARK37 (#31 K.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
4.7%
(14:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jackson rush middle for 8 yards gain to the ARK45 (#9 C.Cole)Similar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+2
4.9%
(13:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jackson pass complete short right to #85 T.Lockwood caught at ARK42, for 2 yards to the ARK47 (#9 C.Cole), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
5.1%
(13:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jackson pass incomplete short middle to #6 C.Marshall thrown to ARK50 broken up by #3 Q.JohnsonSimilar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+6
5.1%
(13:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Watkins rush left for 6 yards gain to the UGA47 (#4 K.Bolden)Similar
Q1 12:28
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+4
5.3%
(12:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jackson pass complete short middle to #13 J.Watkins caught at UGA43, for 4 yards to the UGA43 (#7 K.Barnes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
5.5%
(12:01) Shotgun #21 J.Parker rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UGA42 (#19 J.Williams; #0 G.Harris Jr.)Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+4
5.7%
(11:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Smith rush right for 4 yards gain to the UGA38 (#4 K.Bolden)Similar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 5
OPP 38
0
5.9%
(10:46) Shotgun #7 K.Jackson pass incomplete short right to #85 T.Lockwood thrown to UGA38 QB hurried by #19 J.Williams PENALTY ARK Ineligible Downfield on Pass declinedSimilar
Q1 10:38
4TH & 5
OPP 38
0
5.8%
(10:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jackson pass incomplete short left to #11 M.Harrison thrown to UGA34 broken up by #7 K.Barnes QB hurried by #52 V.Sone, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 3:3594% → 94%
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
5.7%
(10:38) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush right for 4 yards gain to the UGA42, End Of Play PENALTY ARK Holding offsetting UGA Holding offsetting. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
5.9%
(10:08) No Huddle #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 3 yards loss to the UGA35 (#35 S.Soles Jr.)Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+11
6.1%
(09:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Bowens rush left for 11 yards gain to the UGA46 (#2 S.Lewis), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 8:46
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+33
6.2%
(08:55) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short middle to #7 L.Luckie caught at ARK41, for 33 yards to the ARK21 (#1 C.Harrison), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+12
6.3%
(08:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush left for 12 yards gain to the ARK09 (#1 C.Harrison), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
6.5%
(07:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Bowens rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ARK05 (#6 K.House)Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
5.9%
(06:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush left for 5 yards gain to the ARK00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:53 #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:486% → 7%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
6.3%
(06:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jackson pass complete short middle to #85 T.Lockwood caught at ARK30, for 5 yards to the ARK30 (#19 J.Williams)Similar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
6.4%
(06:12) Shotgun #7 K.Jackson rush right for 1 yard gain to the ARK31 (#99 J.Jonah-Ajonye; #96 J.Hanne)Similar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
6.5%
(05:34) Shotgun #7 K.Jackson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ARK32 (#5 R.Wilson; #9 C.Cole)Similar
Q1 4:47
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
6.6%
(04:53) #37 G.Rush punt 37 yards to the UGA31 fair catch by #0 S.White-Helton at UGA31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 3:0293% → 93%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
6.6%
(04:48) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #5 C.Bowens caught at UGA31, for 9 yards to the UGA40 (#44 B.Bogle)Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+6
6.6%
(04:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #81 C.Dandridge Jr. rush left for 6 yards gain to the UGA46 (#44 B.Bogle; #25 J.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-9
6.7%
(03:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton sacked for loss of 9 yards to the UGA37 (#97 Q.Rhodes Jr.)Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 19
OWN 37
+1
7.2%
(02:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush right for 1 yard gain to the UGA38 (#6 K.House; #97 Q.Rhodes Jr.)Similar
Q1 2:06
3RD & 18
OWN 38
+7
7.3%
(02:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #81 C.Dandridge Jr. caught at UGA35, for 7 yards to the UGA45 (#6 K.House)Similar
Q1 1:35
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
7.5%
(01:40) #90 D.Miller punt 40 yards to the ARK15, out of bounds at ARK15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:377% → 8%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
7.4%
(01:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Hill pass incomplete short left to #5 S.Smith thrown to ARK11Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+15
7.5%
(01:30) Shotgun #2 A.Hill pass complete short right to #3 C.Brown caught at ARK28, for 15 yards to the ARK30 (#1 E.Robinson IV), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
7.7%
(00:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 B.Russell rush left for 1 yard gain to the ARK31 (#90 E.Griffin)Similar
Q1 0:12
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
7.9%
(00:16) Shotgun #2 A.Hill pass incomplete short middle to #32 M.Adcock thrown to ARK34Similar
Q1 0:12
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+2
7.7%
(00:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Hill rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ARK33 (#8 D.Jones)Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
7.8%
(14:58) #37 G.Rush punt 42 yards to the UGA25 fair catch by #0 S.White-Helton at UGA25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:0092% → 94%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
7.8%
(14:53) Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush right for 11 yards gain to the UGA36 (#7 B.Shaw; #1 C.Harrison), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
7.8%
(14:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #0 S.White-Helton caught at UGA42, for 8 yards to the UGA44 (#9 C.Collins), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+22
7.8%
(13:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush right for 22 yards gain to the ARK34 (#6 K.House), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
7.8%
(12:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Bowens rush right for 1 yard gain to the ARK33 (#44 B.Bogle)Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+19
8.1%
(12:11) No Huddle #3 N.Frazier rush right for 19 yards gain to the ARK14 (#44 B.Bogle), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
8.2%
(11:34) #3 N.Frazier rush right for 2 yards loss to the ARK16 (#25 J.Smith)Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+4
8.4%
(10:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Bowens rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ARK12, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+10
8.6%
(10:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete short middle to #1 T.Taylor thrown to ARK00 PENALTY ARK Pass Interference (#4 L.Roland) 10 yards from ARK12 to ARK02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-9
8.5%
(10:14) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton sacked for loss of 9 yards to the ARK11 (#25 J.Smith)Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+4
8.5%
(09:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ARK07 (#25 J.Smith; #7 B.Shaw)Similar
Q2 8:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
8.7%
(08:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete short middle to #23 J.Reddell thrown to ARK00 PENALTY ARK Pass Interference (#1 C.Harrison) 5 yards from ARK07 to ARK02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
5.6%
(08:47) #5 C.Bowens rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ARK00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:45 #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 4:058% → 8%
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
7.7%
(08:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Hill pass complete short right to #0 B.Russell caught at ARK19, for 4 yards loss to the ARK21 (#7 K.Barnes)Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+8
7.4%
(08:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Hill pass complete short middle to #6 C.Marshall caught at ARK25, for 8 yards to the ARK29 (#8 D.Jones; #14 R.Dinkins)Similar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+37
7.6%
(07:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Hill pass complete short middle to #6 C.Marshall caught at ARK40, for 37 yards to the UGA34 (#8 D.Jones; #7 K.Barnes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
8.6%
(06:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 C.Settles rush right for 3 yards gain to the UGA31 (#4 K.Bolden)Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 7
OPP 31
-5
8.8%
(06:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 M.Harrison pass complete short right to #2 A.Hill caught at UGA36, for 5 yards loss to the UGA36 (#3 Q.Johnson)Similar
Q2 5:13
3RD & 12
OPP 36
-7
8.4%
(05:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Hill sacked for loss of 7 yards to the UGA43 (#19 J.Williams)Similar
Q2 4:28
4TH & 19
OPP 43
0
8.3%
(04:34) #37 G.Rush punt 36 yards to the UGA07 fair catch by #0 S.White-Helton at UGA07Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8TD
9 plays · 93 yds · 3:4792% → 97%
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
7.7%
(04:28) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete short right to #2 T.Blackshear thrown to UGA20 QB hurried by #97 Q.Rhodes Jr.Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+9
7.7%
(04:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UGA16 (#14 K.Magloire; #7 B.Shaw)Similar
Q2 3:56
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+3
8.1%
(03:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush left for 3 yards gain to the UGA19 (#0 H.Osborne), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
7.9%
(03:24) No Huddle #3 N.Frazier rush left for 6 yards gain to the UGA25 (#25 J.Smith; #20 J.Johnson)Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+2
7.8%
(02:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UGA27 (#44 B.Bogle; #28 T.Odom)Similar
Q2 1:47
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+62
8.0%
(02:00) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush right for 62 yards gain to the ARK11 (#14 K.Magloire), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
6.6%
(01:22) Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #81 C.Dandridge Jr. caught at ARK14, for 6 yards to the ARK05 (#6 K.House; #14 K.Magloire)Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+5
2.8%
(00:41) #5 C.Bowens rush right for 5 yards gain to the ARK00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:36, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 9FG
11 plays · 52 yds · 0:277% → 7%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
6.8%
(00:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jackson pass complete short left to #8 D.Faupel caught at ARK42, for 22 yards to the ARK47 (#14 R.Dinkins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
7.6%
(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jackson pass complete short left to #6 C.Marshall caught at UGA44, for 14 yards to the UGA39 (#8 D.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+17
7.7%
(00:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jackson pass complete short left to #6 C.Marshall caught at UGA25, for 17 yards to the UGA22, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
6.2%
(00:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jackson pass complete short right to #19 A.Jordan caught at UGA17, for 8 yards to the UGA14 (#8 D.Jones), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 2
OPP 14
-9
5.2%
(00:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jackson pass incomplete short right thrown to UGA05 QB hurried by #5 R.Wilson PENALTY ARK Intentional Grounding (#7 K.Jackson)Similar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 11
OPP 23
+41
6.8%
(00:06) #30 M.Gilbert field goal attempt from 41 yards GOOD (H: #37 G.Rush, LS: #51 A.Johnston), clock 00:02Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
4.0%
(00:02) Kneel down by Georgia at UGA23 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11FG
12 plays · 55 yds · 5:4795% → 97%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
5.0%
(15:00) Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 12 yards gain to the UGA37 (#2 S.Lewis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+25
4.9%
(14:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush right for 25 yards gain to the ARK38 (#1 C.Harrison), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
4.8%
(13:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush right for 1 yard gain to the ARK37 (#92 D.Oke)Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+8
4.7%
(13:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush middle for 8 yards gain to the ARK29 (#4 L.Roland; #25 J.Smith)Similar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+3
4.6%
(12:25) Shotgun #5 C.Bowens rush left for 3 yards gain to the ARK26 (#35 S.Soles Jr.; #91 C.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
4.4%
(11:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton rush middle for 13 yards gain to the ARK13, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
4.4%
(11:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Bowens rush left for 1 yard loss to the ARK14 (#6 K.House; #9 C.Collins)Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+1
4.5%
(10:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Frazier rush right for 1 yard gain to the ARK13 (#25 J.Smith)Similar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 10
OPP 13
-4
4.5%
(09:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton sacked for loss of 7 yards to the ARK20 (#92 D.Oke, #9 C.Collins)Similar
Q3 9:02
4TH & 17
OPP 20
+38
2.9%
(09:05) #91 P.Woodring field goal attempt from 38 yards GOOD (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings), clock 09:02Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 12FUMBLE
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:494% → 4%
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
3.9%
(09:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Smith rush left for 2 yards gain to the ARK27 (#8 D.Jones) PENALTY UGA Personal Foul (#31 K.Jones) 15 yards from ARK27 to ARK42, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
4.2%
(08:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jackson pass complete short left to #13 J.Watkins caught at ARK37, for 2 yards to the ARK44 (#1 E.Robinson IV)Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 8
OWN 44
-12
4.2%
(08:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jackson sacked for loss of 12 yards to the ARK32 (#5 R.Wilson), fumble by #7 K.Jackson recovered by UGA #44 J.Hall at ARK32, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13TD
9 plays · 32 yds · 4:1298% → 99%
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
2.2%
(07:56) #5 C.Bowens rush right for 6 yards gain to the ARK26 (#20 J.Johnson)Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+10
1.9%
(07:12) #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush right for 6 yards gain to the ARK20 (#25 J.Smith), out of bounds PENALTY UGA Holding 10 yards from ARK26 to ARK36. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 14
OPP 36
+9
1.6%
(06:53) Shotgun #8 L.Roldan rush left for 9 yards gain to the ARK27 (#34 B.Green; #1 C.Harrison)Similar
Q3 5:58
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+3
1.5%
(06:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #0 S.White-Helton caught at ARK24, for 3 yards to the ARK24 (#6 K.House)Similar
Q3 5:17
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+11
1.6%
(05:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #0 S.White-Helton caught at ARK18, for 11 yards to the ARK13 (#6 K.House), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
1.4%
(04:50) #20 D.Phillips Jr. rush right for 6 yards gain to the ARK07 (#20 J.Johnson)Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 4
OPP 7
0
1.3%
(04:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete short left to #2 T.Blackshear thrown to ARK09Similar
Q3 3:54
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+5
1.3%
(04:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #0 S.White-Helton caught at ARK03, for 5 yards to the ARK02 (#1 C.Harrison), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ARK Face Mask (#1 C.Harrison) 1 yard from ARK02 to ARK01, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.6%
(03:39) #5 C.Bowens rush right for 1 yard gain to the ARK00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:35 #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 2:301% → 1%
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
0.7%
(03:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Hill pass complete short middle to #83 J.Platt caught at ARK31, for 6 yards to the ARK31 (#19 J.Williams; #9 C.Cole)Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
0.6%
(03:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Hill pass complete short right to #27 C.Settles caught at ARK31, for 3 yards to the ARK34 (#7 K.Barnes)Similar
Q3 2:06
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
0.6%
(02:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Hill pass complete short middle to #9 J.Hawkins caught at ARK39, for 5 yards to the ARK39 (#14 R.Dinkins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
0.6%
(01:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Hill pass incomplete short right to #83 J.Platt thrown to ARK40 PENALTY ARK Pass Interference (#9 J.Hawkins) 10 yards from ARK39 to ARK29. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 1:44
1ST & 20
OWN 29
0
0.6%
(01:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Hill pass incomplete short left to #9 J.Hawkins thrown to ARK41Similar
Q3 1:32
2ND & 20
OWN 29
+6
0.6%
(01:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Hill pass complete short middle to #8 D.Faupel caught at ARK34, for 6 yards to the ARK35 (#4 K.Bolden)Similar
Q3 1:02
3RD & 14
OWN 35
0
0.5%
(01:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Hill pass incomplete deep middle to #8 D.Faupel thrown to UGA45 broken up by #4 K.BoldenSimilar
Q3 0:51
4TH & 14
OWN 35
0
0.5%
(01:00) #37 G.Rush punt 14 yards to the ARK49 blocked by #16 L.HumphreysSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:1999% → 99%
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
0.6%
(00:49) #14 G.Stockton pass complete short left to #5 C.Bowens caught at ARK47, for 4 yards to the ARK45 (#8 P.Jackson)Similar
Q3 0:09
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+3
0.6%
(00:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Bowens rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ARK42 (#88 X.Sims; #44 B.Bogle)Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+5
0.5%
(15:00) #14 G.Stockton pass complete short right to #16 L.Humphreys caught at ARK27, for 17 yards to the ARK25 (#14 K.Magloire) PENALTY UGA Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#72 E.Ogboko) 5 yards from ARK42 to ARK47. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:28
3RD & 8
OPP 47
0
0.5%
(14:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 G.Stockton pass incomplete deep left to #2 T.Blackshear thrown to ARK15Similar
Q4 14:20
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
0.6%
(14:25) #90 D.Miller punt 47 yards to the ARK00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · -13 yds · 1:161% → 0%
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
0.5%
(14:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 B.Russell rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ARK23 (#99 J.Jonah-Ajonye)Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
0.4%
(13:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Hill pass incomplete short right to #3 C.Brown thrown to ARK28 broken up by #24 B.ConleySimilar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+11
0.4%
(13:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 C.Settles rush middle for 8 yards gain to the ARK31 (#12 J.Riddle) PENALTY ARK Chop Block 11 yard from ARK23 to ARK12. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 18
OWN 12
+5
0.4%
PENALTY ARK False Start (#64 B.Williams) 5 yards from ARK12 to ARK07. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:03
3RD & 23
OWN 7
0
0.3%
(13:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Hill pass incomplete short middle to #3 C.Brown thrown to ARK05Similar
Q4 12:52
4TH & 23
OWN 7
0
0.3%
(12:52) #34 J.Ehrlich punt 54 yards to the UGA39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17TD
1 play · 61 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
0.5%
(12:52) #14 G.Stockton pass complete deep middle to #81 C.Dandridge Jr. caught at ARK25, for 61 yards to the ARK00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:42, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 18TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:020% → 0%
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.2%
(12:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jackson pass complete short right to #6 C.Marshall caught at ARK30, for 8 yards to the ARK33 (#1 E.Robinson IV)Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
0.2%
(12:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Smith rush left for 3 yards gain to the ARK36 (#99 J.Jonah-Ajonye), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
0.2%
(11:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jackson pass complete short right to #83 J.Platt caught at ARK40, for 8 yards to the ARK44 (#14 R.Dinkins; #99 J.Jonah-Ajonye)Similar
Q4 11:19
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+2
0.2%
(11:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Smith rush left for 2 yards gain to the ARK46 (#13 A.Kruah), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
0.2%
(11:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jackson pass complete short middle to #83 J.Platt caught at UGA49, for 9 yards to the UGA45 (#10 Z.Walker; #12 J.Riddle)Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+2
0.2%
(10:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 C.Settles rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UGA43 (#13 A.Kruah; #99 J.Jonah-Ajonye), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
0.2%
(10:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jackson pass incomplete deep left to #6 C.Marshall thrown to UGA15Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+18
0.2%
(10:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jackson pass complete short right to #27 C.Settles caught at UGA43, for 18 yards to the UGA25 (#33 P.Dean; #12 J.Riddle), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
0.2%
(09:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jackson pass complete short left to #27 C.Settles caught at UGA30, for 5 yards loss to the UGA30 (#30 T.Foster; #10 Z.Walker)Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 15
OPP 30
0
0.2%
(09:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jackson pass incomplete short middle to #9 J.Hawkins thrown to UGA28 QB hurried by #10 Z.WalkerSimilar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 15
OPP 30
+25
0.2%
(08:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jackson pass complete short middle to #9 J.Hawkins caught at UGA17, for 25 yards to the UGA05 (#12 J.Riddle), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.2%
(08:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Smith rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UGA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:30 #30 M.Gilbert kick attempt good (H: #34 J.Ehrlich, LS: #51 A.Johnston)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:44100% → 100%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.5%
(08:28) #12 R.Puglisi pass complete short right to #9 E.Barbour caught at UGA27, for 5 yards to the UGA30 (#28 T.Odom; #8 P.Jackson)Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+19
0.3%
(07:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 R.Puglisi pass complete short left to #11 J.Bell caught at UGA40, for 19 yards to the UGA49 (#44 B.Bogle; #4 L.Roland), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
0.3%
(07:23) #12 R.Puglisi pass complete short right to #23 J.Reddell caught at ARK48, for 7 yards to the ARK44 (#44 B.Bogle)Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+4
0.3%
(06:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 R.Puglisi pass complete short right to #24 B.Walker caught at ARK50, for 4 yards to the ARK40 (#35 S.Soles Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
0.3%
(06:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 R.Puglisi pass complete short right to #24 B.Walker caught at ARK43, for 2 yards to the ARK38 (#44 B.Bogle), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+5
0.3%
(05:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 N.Peal rush right for 5 yards gain to the ARK33 (#2 S.Lewis)Similar
Q4 4:40
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+4
0.2%
(04:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 N.Peal rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ARK29 (#42 J.Evans), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
0.2%
(04:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 R.Puglisi pass incomplete short right to #24 B.Walker thrown to ARK30 QB hurried by #28 T.OdomSimilar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+3
0.3%
(03:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 B.Walker rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ARK26 (#92 D.Oke; #25 J.Smith)Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+24
0.3%
(03:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 R.Puglisi pass complete short middle to #7 L.Luckie caught at ARK17, for 24 yards to the ARK02 (#6 K.House), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.3%
(02:34) #12 R.Puglisi pass complete short middle to #7 L.Luckie caught at ARK00, for 2 yards to the ARK00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:31 #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 20TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 1:390% → 0%
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
0.1%
(02:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jackson pass complete short middle to #85 T.Lockwood caught at ARK24, for 6 yards to the ARK31 (#15 K.Brooks)Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
0.1%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jackson pass complete short left to #3 C.Brown caught at ARK38, for 7 yards to the ARK38, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
0.1%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 C.Settles rush middle for 0 yards to the ARK38 (#13 A.Kruah; #52 V.Sone)Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
0.1%
(01:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jackson pass incomplete deep left to #6 C.Marshall thrown to UGA42 broken up by #2 Z.BranchSimilar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+8
0.1%
(01:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jackson pass complete short left to #6 C.Marshall caught at ARK38, for 8 yards to the ARK46 (#2 Z.Branch)Similar
Q4 1:07
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+40
0.1%
(01:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jackson pass complete deep left to #5 S.Smith caught at UGA25, for 40 yards to the UGA14 (#18 C.Harris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
0.1%
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Smith rush left for 1 yard gain to the UGA13 (#99 J.Jonah-Ajonye; #30 T.Foster)Similar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
0.1%
(00:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jackson pass incomplete short middle to #4 I.Cisse thrown to UGA08 broken up by #27 B.StewartSimilar
Q4 0:51
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+11
0.1%
(00:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jackson pass incomplete short right to #6 C.Marshall thrown to UGA00 PENALTY UGA Pass Interference (#25 J.Gilbert) 11 yard from UGA13 to UGA02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.1%
(00:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Jackson pass complete short left to #85 T.Lockwood caught at UGA01, for 2 yards to the UGA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:40 #30 M.Gilbert kick attempt good (H: #34 J.Ehrlich, LS: #51 A.Johnston)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
0.2%
(00:40) Kneel down by Georgia at UGA23 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:36
(00:41) #5 C.Bowens rush right for 5 yards gain to the ARK00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:36, 1ST DOWN #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings)
-3.8
FG · Q2 0:02
(00:06) #30 M.Gilbert field goal attempt from 41 yards GOOD (H: #37 G.Rush, LS: #51 A.Johnston), clock 00:02
+3.8
TD · Q2 8:45
(08:47) #5 C.Bowens rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ARK00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:45 #91 P.Woodring kick attempt good (H: #14 G.Stockton, LS: #51 W.Snellings)
-3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com