2026 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026 · Bryant-Denny Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadFSU aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreFSU score
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:45 · (03:52) #36 D.Hughes punt 37 yards to the ALA31 fair catch by #1 R.Coleman-Williams at ALA31 PENALTY FSU Illegal Shift 5 yards from ALA31 to ALA36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
This game in five plays
- TD · Q2 2:36: (02:40) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short right to #8 C.Morgan caught at FSU05, for 21 yards to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:36, 1ST DOWN #31 C.Talty kick attempt good (H: #32 A.Asparuhov, LS: #55 A.Rozier) — ALA win probability +12.9 pts (now 72%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
- TD · Q2 0:22: (00:26) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short middle to #81 K.Edwards caught at FSU00, for 16 yards to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:22, 1ST DOWN #31 C.Talty kick attempt good (H: #32 A.Asparuhov, LS: #55 A.Rozier) — ALA win probability +10.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
- TD · Q3 9:58: (10:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass complete short right to #18 L.Thomas caught at ALA00, for 2 yards to the ALA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:58 #39 G.Panikowski kick attempt good (H: #87 C.Jula, LS: #48 C.Bowers) — FSU win probability +10.4 pts (now 34%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
- TD · Q3 2:15: (02:25) Shotgun #12 K.Russell rush right for 57 yards gain to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:15, 1ST DOWN #31 C.Talty kick attempt good (H: #32 A.Asparuhov, LS: #55 A.Rozier) — ALA win probability +10.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
- TD · Q4 7:27: (07:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels rush left for 6 yards gain to the ALA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:27 #14 A.Daniels rush attempt Successful — FSU win probability +14.2 pts (now 15%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?
Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works
Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 5 of 7FSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
- Q1 12:43ALA 4th & 4 at ALA 31, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 87.8% before the snapGo for it87.9%−0.148% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call87.9%average punt
- Q1 7:12ALA 4th & 2 at ALA 33, down 7Close callPunted · 84.5% before the snapGo for it84.6%57% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call84.6%−<0.1average punt
- Q1 4:56ALA 4th & 3 at FSU 27, down 7Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.6% before the snapGo for itTheir call83.6%52% to convertField goal83.5%−0.162% to makePunt82.6%−1.0average punt
- Q1 3:37ALA 4th & 11 at FSU 14, down 7Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.6% before the snapGo for it82.2%−0.423% to convertField goalTheir call82.6%84% to makePunt80.8%−1.8average punt
- Q2 14:39ALA 4th & 10 at FSU 25, down 11Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.8% before the snapGo for it77.7%−0.228% to convertField goalTheir call77.9%66% to makePunt76.3%−1.5average punt
- Q2 4:11ALA 4th & 2 at midfield, down 15Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.3% before the snapGo for itTheir call61.5%56% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt60.2%−1.3average punt
- Q2 0:34FSU 4th & 16 at FSU 19, up 2Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.2% before the snapGo for it21.2%−3.414% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call24.6%average punt
- Q3 3:45FSU 4th & 3 at FSU 32, down 5Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snapGo for it22.3%−0.652% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call23.0%average punt
- Q3 0:51FSU 4th & 1 at FSU 46, down 12Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.2% before the snapGo for itTheir call10.5%70% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt9.0%−1.5average punt
- Q4 12:10FSU 4th & 2 at ALA 36, down 12Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.4% before the snapGo for itTheir call9.3%57% to convertField goal8.0%−1.342% to makePunt7.4%−1.9average punt
- Q4 9:53ALA 4th & 2 at FSU 27, up 12Close callKicked a field goal · 93.9% before the snapGo for it93.8%57% to convertField goalTheir call92.8%−1.062% to makePunt88.5%−5.3average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6FSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
- Q1 9:19FSU Touchdown, up 6 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call13.9%97% to makeGo for two13.8%−<0.145% to convert
- Q1 2:12FSU Touchdown, up 10 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call20.4%97% to makeGo for two20.4%−<0.145% to convert
- Q2 9:42FSU Touchdown, up 14 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call33.1%97% to makeGo for two33.1%−0.145% to convert
- Q2 2:36ALA Touchdown, down 9 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call65.5%97% to makeGo for two65.4%−0.145% to convert
- Q2 1:23ALA Touchdown, down 2 before the tryClose callWent for two · failedKick75.0%97% to makeGo for twoTheir call74.9%−0.145% to convert
- Q2 0:22ALA Touchdown, up 4 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call81.0%97% to makeGo for two81.0%−0.145% to convert
- Q3 9:58FSU Touchdown, up 1 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call31.2%97% to makeGo for two31.1%−0.145% to convert
- Q3 5:55ALA Touchdown, up 4 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call79.6%97% to makeGo for two79.5%−0.145% to convert
- Q3 2:15ALA Touchdown, up 11 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call90.4%97% to makeGo for two90.3%−0.145% to convert
- Q4 7:27FSU Touchdown, down 9 before the tryAgrees with the numbersWent for two · convertedKick9.1%−0.597% to makeGo for twoTheir call9.6%45% to convert
- Q4 2:15ALA Touchdown, up 13 before the tryClose callKicked · madeKickTheir call96.2%−0.497% to makeGo for two96.6%45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chartALADrive 1PUNT6 plays · 6 yds · 2:0989% → 88%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
89.1%
(15:00) Shotgun #4 D.Hill rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ALA29 (#11 C.Richard Jr.; #8 D.McCray)Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
89.0%
PENALTY ALA False Start (#54 J.James) 5 yards from ALA29 to ALA24. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+8
88.8%
(14:07) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short right to #7 R.Scott caught at ALA30, for 8 yards to the ALA32 (#15 R.Kennedy)Similar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-1
88.6%
(13:24) Shotgun #13 E.Crowell rush left for 1 yard loss to the ALA31 (#10 C.Jones; #3 M.Desir)Similar
Q1 12:43
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
88.4%
(12:47) #32 A.Asparuhov punt 41 yards to the FSU28 fair catch by #7 J.Lopez at FSU28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 2TD7 plays · 72 yds · 3:0812% → 14%
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
88.4%
(12:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass complete short middle to #0 D.Robinson caught at FSU40, for 15 yards to the FSU43 (#2 Z.Brown; #3 K.Sabb), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
88.2%
(12:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush left for 9 yards gain to the ALA48 (#18 B.Hubbard), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 1
OPP 48
0
88.0%
(11:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels rush left for 0 yards to the ALA48 (#4 L.Metz)Similar
Q1 10:58
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+27
87.8%
(11:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush right for 27 yards gain to the ALA21 (#6 R.Morgan), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
87.5%
(10:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush left for 2 yards gain to the ALA19 (#1 D.Thompkins)Similar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 8
OPP 19
-1
87.3%
(10:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.Singleton Jr. rush right for 1 yard loss to the ALA20 (#0 Y.Pierre), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 9:19
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+20
86.3%
(09:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass complete deep right to #0 D.Robinson caught at ALA00, for 20 yards to the ALA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:19, 1ST DOWN #39 G.Panikowski kick attempt good (H: #87 C.Jula, LS: #48 C.Bowers)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 3PUNT6 plays · 8 yds · 2:0087% → 85%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.5%
(09:19) Shotgun #4 D.Hill rush left for 3 yards gain to the ALA28 (#29 C.LaVallee; #9 O.Graham Jr.)Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-2
86.1%
(08:33) Shotgun #4 D.Hill rush left for 2 yards loss to the ALA26 (#10 C.Jones)Similar
Q1 7:44
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+7
85.5%
(07:59) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short right to #3 L.Brooks caught at ALA33, for 7 yards to the ALA33 (#28 M.Gbayor)Similar
Q1 7:12
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
85.3%
(07:18) #32 A.Asparuhov punt 44 yards to the FSU23 #7 J.Lopez return 0 yards to the FSU23, out of bounds at FSU23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 4INT1 play · 0 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
85.1%
(07:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass intercepted by #6 R.Morgan at FSU35 QB hurried by #4 L.Metz #6 R.Morgan return 1 yard to the FSU34 (#32 O.Kromah)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 5FG10 plays · 20 yds · 3:1686% → 84%
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
85.7%
(07:03) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short right to #7 R.Scott caught at FSU36, for 4 yards to the FSU30 (#6 J.Rawls)Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 6
OPP 30
-11
85.4%
(06:33) Shotgun #12 K.Russell sacked for loss of 11 yards to the FSU41 (#6 J.Rawls)Similar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 17
OPP 41
+14
84.4%
(05:53) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short left to #13 E.Crowell caught at FSU38, for 14 yards to the FSU27 (#10 C.Jones), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 4:56
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+14
83.9%
(05:07) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short right to #3 L.Brooks caught at FSU31, for 14 yards to the FSU13 (#7 A.Barker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
84.1%
(04:31) Shotgun #13 E.Crowell rush right for 0 yards to the FSU13 (#10 C.Jones; #9 O.Graham Jr.)Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-1
83.5%
(04:04) #13 E.Crowell rush right for 1 yard loss to the FSU14 (#12 N.Chandler)Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 11
OPP 14
0
83.1%
(03:46) #12 K.Russell pass incomplete short left to #3 L.Brooks thrown to FSU00Similar
Q1 3:37
4TH & 11
OPP 14
+32
83.8%
(03:39) #31 C.Talty field goal attempt from 32 yards GOOD (H: #32 A.Asparuhov, LS: #55 A.Rozier), clock 03:37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 6TD4 plays · 69 yds · 0:5916% → 20%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+56
83.8%
(03:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass complete deep left to #8 M.Danzy caught at ALA19, for 56 yards to the ALA13 (#3 K.Sabb), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
83.0%
(03:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush right for 1 yard gain to the ALA12 (#7 C.Woodson; #90 L.Simmons)Similar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+12
80.1%
(02:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush right for 12 yards gain to the ALA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:12, 1ST DOWN #39 G.Panikowski kick attempt good (H: #87 C.Jula, LS: #48 C.Bowers)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 7FG11 plays · 50 yds · 2:3080% → 79%
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
80.2%
(02:12) Shotgun #4 D.Hill rush right for 3 yards gain to the ALA28 (#55 K.Wynn)Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
79.5%
(01:40) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short left to #9 M.Pritchett caught at ALA38, for 9 yards to the ALA37 (#6 J.Rawls; #11 C.Richard Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
79.5%
(01:09) Shotgun #4 D.Hill rush right for 13 yards gain to the ALA50 (#14 M.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
50
+5
79.5%
(00:41) Shotgun #4 D.Hill rush left for 5 yards gain to the FSU45 (#10 C.Jones; #28 M.Gbayor)Similar
Q1 0:03
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+20
79.2%
(00:03) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short left to #3 L.Brooks caught at FSU32, for 20 yards to the FSU25 (#14 M.Jones), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
79.6%
(15:00) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass incomplete short right to #7 R.Scott thrown to FSU17 broken up by #8 D.McCray QB hurried by #28 M.GbayorSimilar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
79.4%
(14:54) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass incomplete deep right to #3 L.Brooks thrown to FSU00 broken up by #14 M.JonesSimilar
Q2 14:43
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
78.9%
(14:50) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass incomplete short right to #3 L.Brooks thrown to FSU23 QB hurried by #15 R.Kennedy and #10 C.JonesSimilar
Q2 14:39
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+43
79.1%
(14:42) #31 C.Talty field goal attempt from 43 yards GOOD (H: #32 A.Asparuhov, LS: #55 A.Rozier), clock 14:39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 8TD10 plays · 75 yds · 4:4821% → 34%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
79.0%
(14:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the FSU26 (#6 R.Morgan; #36 Q.Reese)Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
78.6%
(14:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass complete short left to #3 S.Singleton Jr. caught at FSU23, for 3 yards to the FSU29 (#36 Q.Reese), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 13:11
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+19
77.5%
(13:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass complete short middle to #0 D.Robinson caught at FSU41, for 19 yards to the FSU48 (#5 D.Lee Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+35
76.0%
(12:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass complete deep right to #15 J.Boggs caught at ALA17, for 35 yards to the ALA17, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
75.2%
(12:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 7 yards gain to the ALA10 (#0 Y.Pierre; #88 I.Faga)Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 3
OPP 10
-2
74.4%
(11:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush right for 2 yards loss to the ALA12 (#9 D.Umeozulu; #8 J.Hill)Similar
Q2 10:48
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+8
73.7%
(11:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass complete short middle to #23 C.Loftin caught at ALA07, for 8 yards to the ALA04 (#6 R.Morgan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
72.8%
(10:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush left for 1 yard gain to the ALA03 (#90 L.Simmons; #0 Y.Pierre)Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
65.6%
(09:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels rush left for 3 yards gain to the ALA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:42 #39 G.Panikowski kick attempt good (H: #87 C.Jula, LS: #48 C.Bowers)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 9TD16 plays · 75 yds · 6:5769% → 72%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
68.7%
(09:42) Shotgun #17 T.Brown rush left for 2 yards loss to the ALA23 (#13 D.Diggs)Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+24
67.9%
(09:06) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short right to #7 R.Scott caught at ALA34, for 19 yards to the ALA42 (#11 C.Richard Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
64.2%
PENALTY ALA False Start (#55 R.Delgatty) 5 yards from ALA42 to ALA37. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 15
OWN 37
-2
61.9%
(04:11) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short right to #3 L.Brooks caught at ALA34, for 2 yards loss to the ALA35 (#26 R.Knight III)Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 17
OWN 35
0
63.1%
(04:11) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short right to #3 L.Brooks caught at ALA35, for 0 yards to the ALA35 (#5 D.Lyons)Similar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 17
OWN 35
+15
62.8%
(04:11) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short right to #3 L.Brooks caught at ALA48, for 15 yards to the ALA50 (#7 A.Barker; #28 M.Gbayor)Similar
Q2 4:11
4TH & 2
50
+6
59.5%
(04:11) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short right to #1 R.Coleman-Williams caught at FSU44, for 6 yards to the FSU44 (#6 J.Rawls), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
64.6%
(04:11) Shotgun #4 D.Hill rush right for 8 yards gain to the FSU36 (#11 C.Richard Jr.)Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+3
59.8%
(04:11) Shotgun #4 D.Hill rush middle for 3 yards gain to the FSU33 (#8 D.McCray; #3 M.Desir), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
61.2%
(04:11) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass incomplete short left to #17 T.Brown thrown to FSU32 QB hurried by #88 J.Sanders and #7 A.BarkerSimilar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
60.8%
(04:06) Shotgun #17 T.Brown rush right for 5 yards gain to the FSU28 (#6 J.Rawls)Similar
Q2 3:11
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+7
59.0%
(03:27) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short left to #3 L.Brooks caught at FSU22, for 7 yards to the FSU21 (#11 C.Richard Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
72.0%
(02:40) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short right to #8 C.Morgan caught at FSU05, for 21 yards to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:36, 1ST DOWN #31 C.Talty kick attempt good (H: #32 A.Asparuhov, LS: #55 A.Rozier)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 10INT7 plays · 2 yds · 0:4934% → 31%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
66.2%
(02:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush left for 1 yard gain to the FSU26 (#0 Y.Pierre; #4 L.Metz)Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
66.1%
(02:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass intercepted by #5 D.Lee Jr. at ALA32 #5 D.Lee Jr. return 20 yards to the FSU48 (#0 D.Robinson) PENALTY ALA Offside (#6 R.Morgan) 5 yards from FSU26 to FSU31. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
68.3%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels rush right for 1 yard gain to the FSU32 (#7 C.Woodson), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
68.8%
PENALTY FSU False Start (#77 X.Chaplin) 5 yards from FSU32 to FSU27. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
69.1%
(01:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass intercepted by #13 I.Taylor at ALA37 broken up by #3 K.Sabb, End Of Play PENALTY FSU Holding declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 11TD4 plays · 63 yds · 0:0966% → 75%
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
66.4%
(01:32) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short left to #7 R.Scott caught at FSU46, for 17 yards to the FSU46, out of bounds at FSU46, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
75.4%
(01:32) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short right to #1 R.Coleman-Williams caught at ALA49, for 46 yards to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:23, 1ST DOWN #12 K.Russell pass attempt failedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 12PUNT7 plays · -6 yds · 0:4124% → 20%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
75.9%
(01:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels rush right for 4 yards gain to the FSU29 (#1 D.Thompkins; #0 Y.Pierre)Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-10
75.4%
(00:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels sacked for loss of 10 yards to the FSU19 (#99 T.Green)Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
79.8%
(00:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush right for 0 yards to the FSU19 (#2 Z.Brown; #1 D.Thompkins)Similar
Q2 0:34
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+3
80.2%
(00:42) #36 D.Hughes punt 40 yards to the ALA41 #1 R.Coleman-Williams return 3 yards to the ALA44 (#23 C.Loftin)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 13TD2 plays · 56 yds · 0:0474% → 85%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+40
74.4%
(00:34) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete deep right to #3 L.Brooks caught at FSU22, for 40 yards to the FSU16 (#14 M.Jones), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
84.9%
(00:26) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short middle to #81 K.Edwards caught at FSU00, for 16 yards to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:22, 1ST DOWN #31 C.Talty kick attempt good (H: #32 A.Asparuhov, LS: #55 A.Rozier)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 14END OF HALF4 plays · 33 yds · 0:0612% → 13%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+33
88.0%
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass complete short middle to #0 D.Robinson caught at FSU41, for 33 yards to the ALA43 (#3 K.Sabb), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
86.3%
(00:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass incomplete short right to #15 J.Boggs thrown to ALA30 QB hurried by #4 L.MetzSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
86.7%
(00:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass incomplete deep right to #15 J.Boggs thrown to ALA00 broken up by #2 Z.BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 15TD11 plays · 75 yds · 5:0218% → 34%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
81.6%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass complete short left to #15 J.Boggs caught at FSU27, for 5 yards to the FSU30 (#36 Q.Reese) PENALTY FSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#65 A.Otto) 5 yards from FSU25 to FSU20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 14:33
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
81.7%
(14:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels rush left for 4 yards gain to the FSU24 (#36 Q.Reese), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
81.5%
(14:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush right for 10 yards gain to the FSU34 (#13 I.Taylor)Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
80.3%
(13:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels rush middle for 3 yards gain to the FSU37 (#22 K.Bingley-Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
80.2%
(12:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass incomplete short right to #15 J.Boggs thrown to FSU47 QB hurried by #8 J.HillSimilar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-4
80.5%
(12:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels sacked for loss of 4 yards to the FSU33 (#8 J.Hill)Similar
Q3 11:54
3RD & 14
OWN 33
+65
81.7%
(12:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass complete short right to #3 S.Singleton Jr. caught at FSU28, for 65 yards to the ALA02 (#28 C.O'Neal), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
76.7%
(11:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.Singleton Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the ALA02 (#7 C.Woodson; #88 I.Faga)Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
76.3%
(10:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels rush right for 0 yards to the ALA02 (#15 D.Johnson II)Similar
Q3 9:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
65.9%
(10:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass complete short right to #18 L.Thomas caught at ALA00, for 2 yards to the ALA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:58 #39 G.Panikowski kick attempt good (H: #87 C.Jula, LS: #48 C.Bowers)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 16TD10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5571% → 85%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
71.2%
(09:58) Shotgun #17 T.Brown rush left for 2 yards gain to the ALA27 (#55 K.Wynn; #7 A.Barker)Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
71.2%
(09:22) Shotgun #17 T.Brown rush left for 7 yards gain to the ALA34 (#11 C.Richard Jr.)Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
71.5%
(08:45) #4 D.Hill rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ALA40 (#14 M.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
72.6%
(08:14) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short left to #81 K.Edwards caught at ALA46, for 18 yards to the FSU42 (#9 O.Graham Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
73.3%
(07:30) Shotgun #17 T.Brown rush left for 4 yards gain to the FSU38 (#11 C.Richard Jr.)Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+15
73.1%
(06:48) Shotgun #17 T.Brown rush left for 15 yards gain to the FSU23 (#11 C.Richard Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
74.2%
(06:17) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass incomplete short right thrown to FSU18 QB hurried by #1 D.Desir PENALTY FSU Holding offsetting ALA Holding offsetting. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+19
74.1%
(06:09) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short left to #4 D.Hill caught at FSU05, for 19 yards to the FSU04 (#4 C.Lester III), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY FSU Holding declinedSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
84.5%
(05:58) #13 E.Crowell rush right for 4 yards gain to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:55 #31 C.Talty kick attempt good (H: #32 A.Asparuhov, LS: #55 A.Rozier)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 17PUNT5 plays · 7 yds · 2:0119% → 18%
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
81.5%
(05:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush middle for 3 yards gain to the FSU28 (#9 D.Umeozulu; #4 L.Metz)Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
81.0%
(05:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush left for 1 yard loss to the FSU27 (#99 T.Green)Similar
Q3 4:24
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
82.7%
(04:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels rush left for 5 yards gain to the FSU32 (#9 D.Umeozulu), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 3:45
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
82.5%
(03:52) #36 D.Hughes punt 37 yards to the ALA31 fair catch by #1 R.Coleman-Williams at ALA31 PENALTY FSU Illegal Shift 5 yards from ALA31 to ALA36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 18TD4 plays · 64 yds · 1:2182% → 92%
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
81.9%
(03:45) Shotgun #17 T.Brown rush right for 1 yard gain to the ALA37 (#32 J.Anderson; #1 D.Desir)Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+6
80.8%
(03:07) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short left to #9 M.Pritchett caught at ALA40, for 6 yards to the ALA43 (#9 O.Graham Jr.)Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+57
91.5%
(02:25) Shotgun #12 K.Russell rush right for 57 yards gain to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:15, 1ST DOWN #31 C.Talty kick attempt good (H: #32 A.Asparuhov, LS: #55 A.Rozier)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 19DOWNS19 plays · 39 yds · 4:579% → 7%
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.0%
(02:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush left for 2 yards gain to the FSU27 (#36 Q.Reese), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
90.8%
(01:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels sacked for loss of 6 yards to the FSU21 (#3 K.Sabb, #90 L.Simmons) PENALTY ALA Holding (#10 J.Edwards) 10 yards from FSU27 to FSU37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
90.1%
(01:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass complete short right to #8 M.Danzy caught at FSU43, for 6 yards to the FSU43, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
89.9%
(00:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass incomplete short right to #5 Q.Wisner thrown to FSU40 broken up by #0 Y.Pierre QB hurried by #0 Y.PierreSimilar
Q3 0:51
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+5
90.2%
PENALTY FSU False Start (#77 X.Chaplin) 5 yards from FSU43 to FSU38. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 0:51
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+8
90.8%
(00:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass complete short right to #0 D.Robinson caught at FSU43, for 8 yards to the FSU46 (#2 Z.Brown). The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the line to gain". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (00:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass complete short right to #0 D.Robinson caught at FSU43, for 9 yards to the FSU47 (#2 Z.Brown), 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q3 0:51
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+1
90.5%
(00:00) No Huddle #14 A.Daniels rush middle for 1 yard gain to the FSU47 (#99 T.Green), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
89.7%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 Q.Wisner rush right for 0 yards to the FSU47 (#1 D.Thompkins)Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-6
92.6%
(14:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels sacked for loss of 6 yards to the FSU41 (#1 D.Thompkins)Similar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 16
OWN 41
0
94.1%
(13:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass incomplete short left to #15 J.Boggs thrown to ALA46 broken up by #2 Z.Brown QB hurried by #0 Y.PierreSimilar
Q4 13:36
4TH & 16
OWN 41
+15
94.2%
(13:36) #36 D.Hughes punt 27 yards to the ALA32 #1 R.Coleman-Williams return 9 yards to the ALA41 (#29 C.LaVallee) PENALTY ALA Roughing The Kicker (#13 I.Taylor) 15 yards from FSU41 to ALA44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
92.6%
(13:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush left for 6 yards gain to the ALA38 (#4 L.Metz; #20 J.Latham)Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+2
92.3%
(12:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush left for 2 yards gain to the ALA36 (#88 I.Faga; #4 L.Metz)Similar
Q4 12:17
3RD & 2
OPP 36
0
92.8%
(12:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass incomplete deep right to #15 J.Boggs thrown to ALA00 broken up by #19 C.McDonald IIISimilar
Q4 12:10
4TH & 2
OPP 36
0
92.8%
(12:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass incomplete short left to #0 D.Robinson thrown to ALA34 broken up by #2 Z.Brown, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 20FG6 plays · 37 yds · 2:1497% → 99%
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
97.3%
(12:09) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass incomplete short right to #7 R.Scott thrown to ALA42 broken up by #6 J.RawlsSimilar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+29
97.2%
(12:07) Shotgun #13 E.Crowell rush right for 29 yards gain to the FSU35 (#10 C.Jones), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
97.5%
(11:28) Shotgun #13 E.Crowell rush right for 2 yards gain to the FSU33 (#9 O.Graham Jr.)Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+6
97.7%
(10:45) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short right to #17 T.Brown caught at FSU37, for 6 yards to the FSU27 (#11 C.Richard Jr.)Similar
Q4 9:56
3RD & 2
OPP 27
0
97.7%
(10:02) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass incomplete deep left to #7 R.Scott thrown to FSU00Similar
Q4 9:53
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+45
99.1%
(09:56) #31 C.Talty field goal attempt from 45 yards GOOD (H: #32 A.Asparuhov, LS: #55 A.Rozier), clock 09:53Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 21TD9 plays · 75 yds · 2:164% → 15%
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.0%
(09:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush right for 6 yards gain to the FSU31 (#18 B.Hubbard)Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+40
95.7%
(09:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass complete deep right to #0 D.Robinson caught at ALA40, for 40 yards to the ALA29 (#5 D.Lee Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+27
94.7%
(09:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass complete short middle to #8 M.Danzy caught at ALA13, for 27 yards to the ALA02 (#13 I.Taylor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
94.8%
(08:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 O.Kromah rush left for 1 yard gain to the ALA01 (#1 D.Thompkins; #8 J.Hill)Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.1%
(07:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass incomplete short left to #0 D.Robinson thrown to ALA00Similar
Q4 7:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
85.4%
(07:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels rush left for 6 yards gain to the ALA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:27 #14 A.Daniels rush attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 22TD12 plays · 90 yds · 4:5295% → 99%
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+18
95.3%
(07:10) #13 E.Crowell rush right for 18 yards gain to the ALA28 (#32 J.Anderson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
95.3%
(06:33) Shotgun #4 D.Hill rush middle for 9 yards gain to the ALA37 (#11 C.Richard Jr.; #32 J.Anderson)Similar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+7
95.8%
(05:51) Shotgun #4 D.Hill rush left for 7 yards gain to the ALA44 (#29 C.LaVallee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
96.1%
(05:02) #12 K.Russell rush right for 10 yards gain to the FSU46 (#6 J.Rawls), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
97.0%
(04:25) Shotgun #17 T.Brown rush middle for 13 yards gain to the FSU33 (#14 M.Jones; #11 C.Richard Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
97.4%
(03:44) #17 T.Brown rush right for 1 yard gain to the FSU32 (#6 J.Rawls)Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+2
97.8%
(02:57) Shotgun #17 T.Brown rush middle for 2 yards gain to the FSU30 (#11 C.Richard Jr.; #32 J.Anderson)Similar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+10
97.8%
(02:58) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short middle to #1 R.Coleman-Williams caught at FSU31, for 10 yards to the FSU20 (#6 J.Rawls), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.4%
(02:16) Shotgun #17 T.Brown rush left for 20 yards gain to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:15, 1ST DOWN #31 C.Talty kick attempt good (H: #32 A.Asparuhov, LS: #55 A.Rozier)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 23INT10 plays · 40 yds · 0:502% → 2%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
98.5%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass complete short middle to #32 O.Kromah caught at FSU26, for 11 yards to the FSU29 (#7 C.Woodson) PENALTY ALA Illegal Substitution 5 yards from FSU18 to FSU23. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
98.5%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass complete short middle to #32 O.Kromah caught at FSU27, for 6 yards to the FSU29 (#7 C.Woodson)Similar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
98.4%
(01:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass complete short middle to #32 O.Kromah caught at FSU26, for 0 yards to the FSU29 (#7 C.Woodson)Similar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
98.3%
(01:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass incomplete short right thrown to FSU45 QB hurried by #0 Y.Pierre and #88 I.FagaSimilar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+34
98.4%
(01:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass complete short middle to #15 J.Boggs caught at FSU47, for 34 yards to the ALA37 (#19 C.McDonald III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-24
98.0%
(01:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels pass intercepted by #18 B.Hubbard at ALA15 #18 B.Hubbard return 24 yards to the ALA39 (#7 J.Lopez)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 24END OF HALF6 plays · 13 yds · 0:3599% → 99%
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
99.4%
(01:10) Shotgun #17 T.Brown rush middle for 18 yards gain to the FSU43 (#14 M.Jones; #28 M.Gbayor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:27
(07:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Daniels rush left for 6 yards gain to the ALA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:27 #14 A.Daniels rush attempt Successful
-14.2
TD · Q2 2:36
(02:40) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass complete short right to #8 C.Morgan caught at FSU05, for 21 yards to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:36, 1ST DOWN #31 C.Talty kick attempt good (H: #32 A.Asparuhov, LS: #55 A.Rozier)
+12.9
TD · Q3 2:15
(02:25) Shotgun #12 K.Russell rush right for 57 yards gain to the FSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:15, 1ST DOWN #31 C.Talty kick attempt good (H: #32 A.Asparuhov, LS: #55 A.Rozier)
+10.7