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OSU

Ohio State 23 at Texas 24

TEX
2026 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGFGFGTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:34 · (11:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short middle to #3 E.Mosley V caught at TEX44, for 12 yards to the TEX44 (#8 J.McClain), 1ST DOWN
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 148Home team on offense−23.1Score differential−7.5Garbage-time factor−8.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.9Pregame prior+0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:10: (00:14) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short middle to #4 J.Smith caught at TEX00, for 19 yards to the TEX00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:10, 1ST DOWN #96 C.Hawkins kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #55 D.Riggs) — OSU win probability +17.0 pts (now 80%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 8:09: (08:14) #96 C.Hawkins field goal attempt from 48 yards GOOD (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #55 D.Riggs), clock 08:09 — OSU win probability +7.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:19: (14:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #1 R.Wingo caught at OSU00, for 3 yards to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:19, 1ST DOWN #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #47 T.Dubuc) — TEX win probability +16.7 pts (now 24%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:14: (07:17) #2 H.Smothers rush left for 1 yard gain to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:14 #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #47 T.Dubuc) — TEX win probability +23.5 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 0:25: (00:28) #2 H.Smothers rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:25 #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #47 T.Dubuc) — TEX win probability +67.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 6 of 7OSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:04OSU 4th & 7 at TEX 7, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    41.9%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:57TEX 4th & 14 at TEX 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:23OSU 4th & 2 at TEX 13, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    50.0%−0.4
    85% to make
    Punt
    46.8%−3.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:42TEX 4th & 15 at OSU 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−1.2
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    38.3%−4.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:41OSU 4th & 8 at TEX 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    53.3%−5.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:49TEX 4th & 1 at OSU 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    38.8%−1.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    38.3%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:55OSU 4th & 4 at TEX 39, up 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsPunted · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    75.7%−2.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.9%−2.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:09TEX 4th & 7 at TEX 30, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:09OSU 4th & 10 at TEX 30, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.6%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.7%
    56% to make
    Punt
    77.7%−2.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:52TEX 4th & 9 at TEX 26, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−1.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:47OSU 4th & 9 at OSU 39, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−1.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:21TEX 4th & 9 at TEX 42, down 20
    Numbers favored punt by 1.5 ptsWent for it · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.0%−1.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:46OSU 4th & 4 at OSU 31, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%−1.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:34TEX 4th & 6 at TEX 32, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.8%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:16OSU 4th & 4 at TEX 27, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.8%−0.7
    62% to make
    Punt
    72.2%−9.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 2 of 3OSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 5:39OSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:10OSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:19TEX Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:14TEX Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.0%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.3%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:25TEX Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.6%−12.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEXDrive 1FUMBLE
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-4
54.9%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #0 R.Brown caught at TEX18, for 4 yards loss to the TEX18 fumbled by #0 R.Brown at TEX18 forced by #25 J.Timmons recovered by OSU #25 J.Timmons at TEX18, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Loose ball recovery". CALL UPHELDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2FG
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:4545% → 45%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
54.9%
(14:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush right for 9 yards gain to the TEX09 (#3 R.Biles), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+5
54.8%
(14:13) No Huddle #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TEX04 (#28 J.Cryer), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-9
54.7%
(13:36) #25 B.Jackson rush left for 9 yards loss to the TEX13 (#14 B.Spence; #28 J.Cryer)Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+6
54.7%
(12:56) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #86 M.Williams caught at TEX13, for 6 yards to the TEX07 (#4 J.Bishop Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 12:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
54.7%
(12:12) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short right to #4 J.Smith thrown to TEX00 broken up by #29 G.LittletonSimilar
Q1 12:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+26
54.9%
(12:07) #96 C.Hawkins field goal attempt from 26 yards GOOD (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #55 D.Riggs), clock 12:04Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 3INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:4155% → 55%
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
55.0%
(12:04) No Huddle #2 H.Smothers rush middle for 8 yards gain to the TEX33 (#8 J.McClain)Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
55.3%
(11:33) #2 H.Smothers rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TEX34 (#14 C.Alliegro)Similar
Q1 10:57
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
55.1%
(11:02) #2 H.Smothers rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TEX38 (#14 C.Alliegro), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-7
55.2%
(10:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass intercepted by #8 J.McClain at OSU12 #8 J.McClain return 7 yards to the OSU19 (#83 S.Shannon). The previous play is under automatic review - "Interception". CALL UPHELDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 81 yds · 4:2445% → 50%
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+23
55.1%
(10:15) #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #86 M.Williams caught at OSU26, for 23 yards to the OSU42 (#4 J.McDonald; #8 K.Phillips), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
54.7%
(09:36) Shotgun #2 L.Bey rush left for 0 yards to the OSU42 (#3 R.Biles)Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
54.7%
(09:01) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short left to #24 J.Jackson thrown to TEX43Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+19
55.1%
(08:58) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short middle to #4 J.Smith caught at TEX39, for 19 yards to the TEX39 (#8 K.Phillips), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
54.9%
(08:24) #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #4 J.Smith caught at TEX43, for 13 yards to the TEX26 (#6 K.Black), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
54.2%
(07:48) #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 9 yards gain to the TEX17 (#6 K.Black; #4 J.McDonald)Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+3
54.1%
(07:08) #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TEX14 (#3 R.Biles), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
54.2%
(06:27) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short middle to #4 J.Smith caught at TEX10, for 6 yards to the TEX08 (#6 K.Black)Similar
Q1 5:44
2ND & 4
OPP 8
0
54.1%
(05:46) #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short right to #4 J.Smith thrown to TEX00Similar
Q1 5:39
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+8
50.5%
(05:42) Shotgun #24 J.Jackson rush middle for 8 yards gain to the TEX00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:39, 1ST DOWN #96 C.Hawkins kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #55 D.Riggs)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:3953% → 52%
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.9%
(05:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short middle to #1 R.Wingo thrown to TEX30Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
52.8%
(05:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 R.Brown rush right for 6 yards gain to the TEX31 (#1 E.Little Jr.)Similar
Q1 4:43
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-10
52.7%
(04:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning sacked for loss of 10 yards to the TEX21 (#5 R.Pettijohn)Similar
Q1 3:57
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+16
51.5%
(04:07) #43 M.Chiumento punt 43 yards to the OSU36 #0 B.Inniss return 16 yards to the TEX48 (#81 N.Townsend), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6DOWNS
11 plays · 36 yds · 5:2743% → 44%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
56.8%
(03:57) #25 B.Jackson rush left for 1 yard loss to the TEX49 (#1 C.Simmons)Similar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+5
57.0%
(03:17) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TEX44, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+10
56.0%
(02:34) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #4 J.Smith caught at TEX38, for 10 yards to the TEX34 (#8 K.Phillips), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
55.8%
(02:06) Shotgun #32 I.West rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TEX32 (#28 J.Cryer; #2 D.Williams Jr.)Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+5
55.9%
(01:24) Shotgun #32 I.West rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TEX27 (#99 R.Wesley; #3 R.Biles)Similar
Q1 0:41
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+6
55.4%
(00:41) #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TEX21 (#24 W.Roberson; #2 D.Williams Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
55.1%
(15:00) #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short left to #85 B.Christian thrown to TEX20 QB hurried by #97 A.JanuarySimilar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+4
55.1%
(14:54) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TEX17 (#19 Z.Umeozulu; #2 D.Williams Jr.)Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+4
55.3%
(14:11) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TEX13 (#19 Z.Umeozulu)Similar
Q2 13:23
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+1
55.9%
(13:29) #24 J.Jackson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TEX12 (#4 J.McDonald; #93 H.Kanu), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 7FG
18 plays · 69 yds · 7:3547% → 46%
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
47.3%
(13:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Smothers rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TEX13 (#1 E.Little Jr.; #3 J.Smith)Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+10
46.7%
(12:38) No Huddle #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #8 C.Coleman caught at TEX22, for 10 yards to the TEX23 (#17 T.Alford), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+16
46.3%
(12:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #1 R.Wingo caught at TEX21, for 16 yards to the TEX39 (#6 D.Sanchez), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
46.7%
(11:28) No Huddle #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short right to #85 E.Winston thrown to OSU45 broken up by #1 E.Little Jr.Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+8
46.5%
(11:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 R.Brown rush middle for 8 yards gain to the TEX47 (#1 E.Little Jr.; #25 J.Timmons)Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+10
47.2%
(10:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Smothers rush left for 10 yards gain to the OSU43 (#1 E.Little Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
47.0%
(10:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 R.Brown rush right for 6 yards gain to the OSU37 (#1 E.Little Jr.). #9 Z.Grady injured on the playSimilar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+1
46.8%
(09:40) #2 H.Smothers rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OSU36 (#5 R.Pettijohn)Similar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+6
46.4%
(09:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Smothers rush right for 6 yards gain to the OSU30 (#6 D.Sanchez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
47.5%
(08:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete deep right to #1 R.Wingo thrown to OSU00Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+9
46.8%
(08:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short middle to #8 C.Coleman caught at OSU21, for 9 yards to the OSU21 (#6 D.Sanchez)Similar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+7
45.3%
(07:46) #2 H.Smothers rush left for 7 yards gain to the OSU14 (#26 P.Pierce), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
46.3%
(07:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 R.Brown rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OSU13 (#1 E.Little Jr.)Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 9
OPP 13
-6
46.1%
(06:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning sacked for loss of 6 yards to the OSU19 (#2 K.Jackson Jr.)Similar
Q2 5:47
3RD & 15
OPP 19
0
43.5%
(05:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short middle to #8 C.Coleman thrown to OSU00Similar
Q2 5:42
4TH & 15
OPP 19
+37
45.6%
(05:47) #44 G.Spetic field goal attempt from 37 yards GOOD (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #47 T.Dubuc), clock 05:42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8FG
13 plays · 63 yds · 3:5255% → 60%
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
45.3%
(05:42) #10 J.Sayin rush right for 2 yards gain to the OSU27 (#8 K.Phillips), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+43
44.8%
(05:05) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete deep right to #4 J.Smith caught at TEX30, for 43 yards to the TEX30 (#2 D.Williams Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
41.4%
(04:28) #24 J.Jackson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TEX27 (#3 R.Biles)Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 7
OPP 27
-6
40.9%
(03:49) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin sacked for loss of 6 yards to the TEX33 (#40 L.Jackson)Similar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 13
OPP 33
+19
40.1%
(03:02) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #0 B.Inniss caught at TEX16, for 19 yards to the TEX14 (#3 R.Biles), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
38.6%
(02:23) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush right for 0 yards to the TEX14 (#19 Z.Umeozulu; #8 K.Phillips)Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-8
40.1%
(02:00) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin sacked for loss of 8 yards to the TEX22 (#1 C.Simmons)Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 18
OPP 22
+10
42.0%
(01:54) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #25 B.Jackson caught at TEX25, for 10 yards to the TEX12 (#28 J.Cryer; #4 J.McDonald)Similar
Q2 1:41
4TH & 8
OPP 12
+30
40.2%
(01:45) #96 C.Hawkins field goal attempt from 30 yards GOOD (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #55 D.Riggs), clock 01:41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 9DOWNS
10 plays · 24 yds · 0:4738% → 38%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
37.9%
(01:41) Shotgun #16 A.Manning rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TEX30, out of bounds at TEX30Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
38.3%
(01:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short middle to #1 R.Wingo caught at TEX34, for 6 yards to the TEX36 (#1 E.Little Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
38.7%
(01:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short middle to #2 H.Smothers caught at TEX50, for 14 yards to the TEX50 (#6 D.Sanchez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
50
0
39.4%
(01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short right thrown to OSU40Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 10
50
0
39.0%
(01:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete deep middle to #3 E.Mosley V thrown to OSU09Similar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 10
50
+5
38.2%
PENALTY TEX False Start (#1 R.Wingo) 5 yards from TEX50 to TEX45. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 15
OWN 45
+5
37.0%
(01:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short left to #85 E.Winston thrown to OSU44 PENALTY OSU Offside (#34 K.Wilder) 5 yards from TEX45 to TEX50. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 10
50
+9
38.2%
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #0 R.Brown caught at OSU49, for 9 yards to the OSU41, out of bounds at OSU41Similar
Q2 0:49
4TH & 1
OPP 41
-10
38.3%
(00:54) Shotgun #1 R.Wingo rush left for 10 yards loss to the TEX49 (#7 J.Mathews Jr.), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10TD
4 plays · 49 yds · 0:3360% → 80%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
40.1%
(00:49) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TEX43 (#29 G.Littleton)Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+11
37.7%
(00:29) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short middle to #25 B.Jackson caught at TEX40, for 11 yards to the TEX32 (#5 B.Mascoe; #29 G.Littleton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
37.0%
(00:19) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #25 B.Jackson caught at TEX31, for 13 yards to the TEX19 (#5 B.Mascoe), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
20.0%
(00:14) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short middle to #4 J.Smith caught at TEX00, for 19 yards to the TEX00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:10, 1ST DOWN #96 C.Hawkins kick attempt good (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #55 D.Riggs)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
27.2%
(00:02) Kneel down by #16 A.Manning at TEX27 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 2:5875% → 78%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
24.8%
(15:00) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush left for 8 yards gain to the OSU33 (#28 J.Cryer; #4 J.McDonald). #28 J.Cryer injured on the playSimilar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+11
23.8%
(14:22) #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 11 yards gain to the OSU44 (#8 K.Phillips), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
23.1%
(13:53) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #4 J.Smith caught at OSU39, for 11 yards to the TEX45 (#14 B.Spence), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
21.9%
(13:16) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TEX42 (#97 A.January; #28 J.Cryer)Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
21.4%
(12:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short left thrown to TEX30 QB hurried by #28 J.CryerSimilar
Q3 12:32
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+3
21.6%
(12:42) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #25 B.Jackson caught at TEX47, for 3 yards to the TEX39 (#28 J.Cryer)Similar
Q3 11:55
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
21.7%
(12:00) #42 J.McGuire punt 26 yards to the TEX13 fair catch by #21 R.Niblett at TEX13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:3523% → 21%
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+14
23.4%
(11:55) No Huddle #16 A.Manning pass complete short middle to #2 H.Smothers caught at TEX15, for 14 yards to the TEX27 (#8 J.McClain; #26 P.Pierce), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
23.4%
(11:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Smothers rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TEX33 (#1 E.Little Jr.)Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 4
OWN 33
-3
23.5%
(10:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #1 R.Wingo caught at TEX30, for 3 yards loss to the TEX30 (#6 D.Sanchez)Similar
Q3 10:09
3RD & 7
OWN 30
0
21.8%
(10:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete deep middle to #3 E.Mosley V thrown to TEX50Similar
Q3 10:09
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
21.2%
(10:09) #43 M.Chiumento punt 43 yards to the OSU27 #0 B.Inniss return 0 yards to the OSU27 (#24 W.Roberson). #81 N.Townsend injured on the playSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14FG
8 plays · 43 yds · 1:4882% → 92%
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
18.4%
(10:00) #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short left to #25 B.Jackson thrown to OSU23 QB hurried by #28 J.CryerSimilar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
18.7%
(09:57) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short middle to #4 J.Smith thrown to OSU30 QB hurried by #95 I.GeffrardSimilar
Q3 9:37
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+43
18.8%
(09:51) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete deep left to #4 J.Smith caught at TEX37, for 43 yards to the TEX30 (#24 W.Roberson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
16.2%
(09:04) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush left for 0 yards to the TEX30 (#28 J.Cryer; #40 L.Jackson)Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
16.1%
(08:23) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete deep middle to #3 D.McCuin thrown to TEX10Similar
Q3 8:14
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
16.2%
(08:20) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short left to #4 J.Smith thrown to TEX15 broken up by #28 J.CryerSimilar
Q3 8:09
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+48
8.5%
(08:14) #96 C.Hawkins field goal attempt from 48 yards GOOD (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #55 D.Riggs), clock 08:09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:0714% → 11%
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
14.4%
(08:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #0 R.Brown caught at TEX21, for 0 yards to the TEX25 (#6 D.Sanchez)Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
13.9%
(07:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 R.Brown rush left for 1 yard gain to the TEX26 (#55 J.Walker; #1 E.Little Jr.)Similar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
12.9%
(07:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short right to #85 E.Winston thrown to TEX28Similar
Q3 6:52
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
11.4%
(07:03) #43 M.Chiumento punt 36 yards to the OSU38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5893% → 94%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
6.9%
(06:52) #24 J.Jackson rush right for 1 yard gain to the OSU39 (#95 I.Geffrard)Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
5.8%
(06:06) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete deep right to #3 D.McCuin thrown to TEX38Similar
Q3 5:56
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
5.9%
(06:02) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short left to #7 P.Bell thrown to OSU48Similar
Q3 5:47
4TH & 9
OWN 39
-2
6.2%
(05:56) #42 J.McGuire punt 50 yards to the TEX11 muffed by #21 R.Niblett at TEX11 recovered by TEX #8 K.Phillips at TEX09, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17TD
17 plays · 91 yds · 6:1910% → 24%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+10
10.2%
(05:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning rush left for 10 yards gain to the TEX19 (#25 J.Timmons), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
10.4%
(05:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning rush right for 8 yards gain to the TEX27 (#6 D.Sanchez), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+3
10.6%
(04:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Smothers rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TEX30 (#55 J.Walker; #2 K.Jackson Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-4
10.0%
(04:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #0 R.Brown caught at TEX25, for 4 yards loss to the TEX26 (#7 J.Mathews Jr.; #5 R.Pettijohn)Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 15
OWN 25
+15
7.0%
(03:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete deep middle to #4 J.McDonald thrown to OSU30 PENALTY OSU Pass Interference (#6 D.Sanchez) 15 yards from TEX26 to TEX41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
7.4%
(03:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Smothers rush middle for 0 yards to the TEX41 (#2 K.Jackson Jr.)Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
7.2%
(03:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #2 H.Smothers caught at TEX37, for 1 yard to the TEX42 (#7 J.Mathews Jr.)Similar
Q3 2:21
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
6.9%
(02:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short left to #2 H.Smothers thrown to TEX40 QB hurried by #34 K.WilderSimilar
Q3 2:21
4TH & 9
OWN 42
+9
6.7%
(02:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short middle to #85 E.Winston caught at TEX45, for 9 yards to the OSU49 QB hurried by #34 K.Wilder (#25 J.Timmons), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+22
6.5%
(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #85 E.Winston caught at OSU35, for 22 yards to the OSU27 (#14 C.Alliegro), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
7.1%
(01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short left to #85 E.Winston thrown to OSU27Similar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+2
6.8%
(01:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning rush left for 2 yards gain to the OSU25 (#2 K.Jackson Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 0:31
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+13
6.2%
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #3 E.Mosley V caught at OSU20, for 13 yards to the OSU12 fumbled by #3 E.Mosley V at OSU16 forced by #26 P.Pierce recovered by TEX #8 C.Coleman at OSU12, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
6.2%
(00:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning rush right for 7 yards gain to the OSU05 (#26 P.Pierce)Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+2
6.7%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Smothers rush right for 2 yards gain to the OSU03 (#96 E.Houston)Similar
Q4 14:19
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
23.5%
(14:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #1 R.Wingo caught at OSU00, for 3 yards to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:19, 1ST DOWN #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #47 T.Dubuc)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2588% → 91%
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
11.9%
(14:19) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush left for 4 yards gain to the OSU29 (#14 B.Spence; #3 R.Biles)Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
9.2%
(13:32) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OSU31 (#4 J.McDonald; #95 I.Geffrard)Similar
Q4 12:54
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
9.1%
(12:57) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short left to #4 J.Smith thrown to OSU35 broken up by #35 R.AndersenSimilar
Q4 12:46
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
9.3%
(12:54) #42 J.McGuire punt 41 yards to the TEX28 fair catch by #21 R.Niblett at TEX28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 19TD
14 plays · 72 yds · 5:3520% → 39%
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
19.6%
(12:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #83 S.Shannon caught at TEX32, for 4 yards to the TEX32 (#26 P.Pierce; #25 J.Timmons)Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
19.2%
(12:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Smothers rush left for 0 yards to the TEX32 (#2 K.Jackson Jr.; #4 Q.Russaw)Similar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
18.6%
(11:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short middle to #83 S.Shannon thrown to TEX40Similar
Q4 11:34
4TH & 6
OWN 32
+12
18.0%
(11:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short middle to #3 E.Mosley V caught at TEX44, for 12 yards to the TEX44 (#8 J.McClain), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
19.8%
(11:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Smothers rush middle for 11 yards gain to the OSU45 (#55 J.Walker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
21.0%
(10:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Smothers rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OSU44 (#55 J.Walker)Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+8
17.4%
(10:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning rush left for 8 yards gain to the OSU36 (#26 P.Pierce), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 9:48
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+5
17.6%
(09:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 R.Brown rush middle for 5 yards gain to the OSU31 (#14 C.Alliegro; #7 J.Mathews Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+16
17.7%
(09:21) No Huddle #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #8 C.Coleman caught at OSU15, for 16 yards to the OSU15, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
17.6%
(08:44) No Huddle #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short middle to #0 R.Brown thrown to OSU13 QB hurried by #94 J.Moore and #14 C.AlliegroSimilar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+12
17.5%
(08:37) No Huddle #0 R.Brown rush middle for 12 yards gain to the OSU03 (#8 J.McClain), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
15.6%
(07:52) No Huddle #0 R.Brown rush right for 2 yards gain to the OSU01 (#17 T.Alford)Similar
Q4 7:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
39.1%
(07:17) #2 H.Smothers rush left for 1 yard gain to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:14 #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #47 T.Dubuc)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 20MISSED FG
9 plays · 48 yds · 2:5481% → 88%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
18.7%
(07:14) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short left to #4 J.Smith thrown to OSU40Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+24
16.6%
(07:10) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete deep left to #83 N.Roberts caught at OSU49, for 24 yards to the OSU49, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
13.5%
(06:20) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short left to #83 N.Roberts thrown to TEX43 PENALTY TEX Pass Interference (#8 K.Phillips) 7 yards from OSU49 to TEX44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. #70 P.Daniels injured on the playSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
12.3%
(06:13) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 11 yards gain to the TEX33 (#3 R.Biles), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
11.3%
(05:32) Shotgun #24 J.Jackson rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TEX26 (#19 Z.Umeozulu; #4 J.McDonald)Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 3
OPP 26
-1
11.1%
(05:08) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush left for 1 yard loss to the TEX27 (#28 J.Cryer; #19 Z.Umeozulu)Similar
Q4 4:21
3RD & 4
OPP 27
0
10.0%
(04:27) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete deep right to #4 J.Smith thrown to TEX02Similar
Q4 4:16
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+45
12.5%
(04:21) #96 C.Hawkins field goal attempt from 45 yards NO GOOD (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #55 D.Riggs), clock 04:16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 21TD
15 plays · 73 yds · 3:4525% → 90%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
24.6%
(04:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 R.Brown rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TEX29 (#94 J.Moore; #53 W.Smith Jr.)Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+17
25.3%
(03:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #3 E.Mosley V caught at TEX39, for 17 yards to the TEX46 (#14 C.Alliegro; #1 E.Little Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
28.1%
(03:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #3 E.Mosley V caught at TEX44, for 4 yards to the TEX50 (#25 J.Timmons)Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 6
50
+11
29.1%
(02:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 R.Brown rush right for 11 yards gain to the OSU39 (#6 D.Sanchez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
30.4%
(02:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short left to #0 R.Brown thrown to OSU45Similar
Q4 2:02
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+8
27.7%
(02:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #85 E.Winston caught at OSU35, for 8 yards to the OSU31 (#7 J.Mathews Jr.)Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+8
22.9%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Smothers rush middle for 8 yards gain to the OSU23 (#26 P.Pierce), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
24.2%
(01:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Smothers rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OSU20 (#26 P.Pierce)Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+19
25.3%
(01:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #3 E.Mosley V caught at OSU15, for 19 yards to the OSU01 (#1 E.Little Jr.; #8 J.McClain), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
26.7%
(01:02) #2 H.Smothers rush middle for 0 yards to the OSU01 (#94 J.Moore; #26 P.Pierce)Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 1
OPP 0
0
22.0%
(00:53) #2 H.Smothers rush middle for 0 yards to the OSU01 fumbled by #2 H.Smothers at OSU01 forced by #94 J.Moore recovered by TEX #0 R.Brown at OSU01, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the goal line". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q4 0:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.6%
(00:28) #2 H.Smothers rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:25 #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #47 T.Dubuc)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 22INT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0826% → 23%
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
74.4%
(00:25) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete deep left to #3 D.McCuin thrown to TEX30 broken up by #4 J.McDonald PENALTY OSU Holding (#67 A.Siereveld) 10 yards from OSU25 to OSU15. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:06
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+5
78.5%
(00:17) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #3 D.McCuin caught at OSU20, for 5 yards to the OSU20 (#40 L.Jackson; #29 G.Littleton)Similar
Q4 0:17
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
77.2%
(00:00) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass intercepted by #29 G.Littleton at TEX40, End Of Play PENALTY OSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:25
(00:28) #2 H.Smothers rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:25 #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #47 T.Dubuc)
+67.6
TD · Q4 7:14
(07:17) #2 H.Smothers rush left for 1 yard gain to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:14 #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #47 T.Dubuc)
+23.5
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+19.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com