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CLT

Charlotte 9 at Ole Miss 41

MISS
2026 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026 · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
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Win probability · MISS
modelMISS aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playMISS scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGFGFGFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:35 · (01:39) #44 I.Kelly field goal attempt from 44 yards NO GOOD blocked by #9 J.Oatis (H: #95 B.Long, LS: #33 H.Searcy), clock 01:35 recovered by OM #2 J.Braxton at OM33, End Of Play
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 31Pregame prior+45.5Home team on offense+2.0Score differential+0.5Garbage-time factor−0.2Blowout margin+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:55: (13:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short middle to #0 J.Cook II caught at CLT00, for 14 yards to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:55, 1ST DOWN #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #50 C.Blankenship) #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #50 C.Blankenship) PENALTY #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #50 C.Blankenship) PENALTY CLT Running Into The Kicker declined — MISS win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:39: (08:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:39 #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #50 C.Blankenship) — MISS win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Lucas Carneiro 41 Yd Field Goal — MISS win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 10:23: (10:23) #44 I.Kelly field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #95 B.Long, LS: #33 H.Searcy), clock 10:23 — CLT win probability +0.7 pts (now 1%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:49: (14:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #11 H.Fields caught at CLT02, for 9 yards to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:49 #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #50 C.Blankenship) — MISS win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MISS made the numbers' call on 2 of 3CLT made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 7:20CLT 4th & 8 at CLT 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:55MISS 4th & 16 at MISS 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:35CLT 4th & 6 at MISS 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:55CLT 4th & 2 at CLT 33, down 14
    Close callPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:09CLT 4th & 16 at CLT 19, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:32MISS 4th & 9 at CLT 39, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:33CLT 4th & 1 at MISS 31, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:23CLT 4th & 11 at MISS 11, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:32MISS 4th & 21 at MISS 14, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.4
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:43CLT 4th & 7 at MISS 7, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:53CLT 4th & 3 at MISS 11, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.4%
    87% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:44CLT 4th & 12 at MISS 45, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MISS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:39MISS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:55MISS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:39MISS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:10MISS Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MISSDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:1399% → 99%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.3%
(14:59) Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short middle to #1 D.Alexander caught at OM30, for 5 yards to the OM30 (#3 D.Womack)Similar
Q1 14:35
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
99.3%
(14:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush left for 7 yards gain to the OM37 (#1 J.Croft Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
99.3%
(14:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #11 H.Fields caught at OM47, for 12 yards to the OM49 (#1 J.Croft Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.2%
(13:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush right for 0 yards to the OM49 (#13 G.Willis; #95 D.Ancrum)Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+11
99.2%
(13:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush right for 11 yards gain to the CLT40 (#13 G.Willis; #19 K.Schmitz), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
99.2%
(13:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #1 D.Alexander caught at CLT34, for 7 yards to the CLT33 (#13 G.Willis)Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+9
99.2%
(12:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #1 D.Alexander caught at CLT29, for 9 yards to the CLT24 (#0 C.Gill), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+17
99.1%
(11:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #1 D.Alexander caught at CLT10, for 17 yards to the CLT07 (#1 J.Croft Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
99.1%
(11:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #0 J.Cook II caught at CLT10, for 2 yards loss to the CLT09 (#5 J.Patterson)Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.1%
(10:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 9 yards gain to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:39 #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #50 C.Blankenship)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:031% → 1%
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.1%
(10:36) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass complete short right to #2 J.Hampton caught at CLT38, for 13 yards to the CLT38 (#2 J.Braxton), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
99.0%
(09:59) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales rush right for 2 yards gain to the CLT40 (#2 J.Braxton) PENALTY CLT Holding (#75 K.Fernandez) 10 yards from CLT38 to CLT28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 9:26
1ST & 20
OWN 28
+4
99.0%
(09:30) Shotgun #7 C.Williams rush left for 4 yards gain to the CLT32 (#11 K.Thomas)Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 16
OWN 32
+1
99.0%
(08:52) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass complete short right to #1 J.Barnes caught at CLT29, for 1 yard to the CLT33 (#12 L.Ferrelli; #29 N.Cull)Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 15
OWN 33
+7
99.0%
(08:08) Shotgun #7 C.Williams rush middle for 7 yards gain to the CLT40 (#4 S.Perkins)Similar
Q1 7:20
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
98.9%
(07:25) #95 B.Long punt 40 yards to the OM20 fair catch by #1 D.Alexander at OM20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:1899% → 99%
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
98.9%
(07:19) Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush right for 1 yard loss to the OM19 (#13 G.Willis; #10 J.Wall III)Similar
Q1 6:46
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
98.9%
(06:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #1 D.Alexander caught at OM16, for 0 yards to the OM19 (#10 J.Wall III), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 6:03
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
98.8%
(06:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass incomplete short right to #7 T.Ray thrown to OM33Similar
Q1 6:03
4TH & 11
OWN 19
+5
98.8%
(06:01) PENALTY OM False Start 5 yards from OM19 to OM14. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 5:55
4TH & 16
OWN 14
0
98.8%
(06:02) #33 O.Bird punt 45 yards to the CLT41 fair catch by #21 H.Rutledge at CLT41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4MISSED FG
8 plays · 33 yds · 4:131% → 2%
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
98.8%
(05:53) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass complete short right to #1 J.Barnes caught at CLT39, for 4 yards to the CLT45 (#2 J.Braxton), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+6
98.7%
(05:17) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass complete short left to #7 C.Williams caught at CLT39, for 6 yards to the OM49 (#24 A.Jaffe), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+19
98.6%
(04:33) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass complete short right to #85 J.Jeffares caught at OM36, for 19 yards to the OM30 (#2 J.Braxton; #24 A.Jaffe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
98.5%
(03:46) Shotgun #7 C.Williams rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OM26 (#17 J.Maldonado; #13 C.Beavers)Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
98.4%
(03:04) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales rush middle for 0 yards to the OM26 (#17 J.Maldonado; #11 K.Thomas)Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
98.4%
(02:20) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales rush middle for 0 yards to the OM26 (#52 W.Echoles)Similar
Q1 1:35
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+44
98.4%
(01:39) #44 I.Kelly field goal attempt from 44 yards NO GOOD blocked by #9 J.Oatis (H: #95 B.Long, LS: #33 H.Searcy), clock 01:35 recovered by OM #2 J.Braxton at OM33, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 5TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 2:3299% → 99%
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
98.5%
(01:34) Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OM37 (#16 S.McIntosh)Similar
Q1 0:57
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+28
98.5%
(01:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 28 yards gain to the CLT35 (#1 J.Croft Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
98.5%
(00:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #3 C.Cunningham caught at CLT30, for 11 yards to the CLT24 (#1 J.Croft Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
98.4%
(00:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #3 C.Cunningham caught at CLT22, for 8 yards to the CLT16 (#1 J.Croft Jr.; #10 J.Wall III)Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+5
98.4%
(14:56) Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush left for 5 yards gain to the CLT11 (#0 C.Gill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-3
98.4%
(14:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #9 L.Hasz caught at CLT14, for 3 yards loss to the CLT14 (#13 G.Willis)Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 13
OPP 14
+14
98.8%
(13:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short middle to #0 J.Cook II caught at CLT00, for 14 yards to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:55, 1ST DOWN #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #50 C.Blankenship) #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #50 C.Blankenship) PENALTY #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #50 C.Blankenship) PENALTY CLT Running Into The Kicker declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:421% → 2%
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.6%
(13:52) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass complete short left to #1 J.Barnes caught at CLT34, for 9 yards to the CLT34, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
98.5%
(13:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales rush left for 0 yards to the CLT34 (#14 E.Joseph)Similar
Q2 12:19
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
98.5%
(12:30) Shotgun #5 K.Alexander rush middle for 1 yard loss to the CLT33 (#88 M.Boireau; #11 K.Thomas)Similar
Q2 11:55
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
98.5%
(12:00) #44 I.Kelly punt 41 yards to the OM26 fair catch by #1 D.Alexander at OM26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 7TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 3:0699% → 99%
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
98.6%
(11:54) Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #7 T.Ray caught at OM34, for 15 yards to the OM41 (#0 C.Gill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
98.6%
(11:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #7 T.Ray caught at OM46, for 11 yards to the CLT48 (#18 C.Usher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+17
98.6%
(11:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #1 D.Alexander caught at CLT40, for 17 yards to the CLT31 (#12 C.Clinkscales), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
98.6%
(10:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 0 yards to the CLT31 (#8 C.Spencer)Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+14
98.6%
(10:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #1 D.Alexander caught at CLT24, for 14 yards to the CLT17 (#1 J.Croft Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+11
98.5%
(09:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss rush right for 11 yards gain to the CLT06 (#51 J.Solomon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
98.5%
(08:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass incomplete short middle to #1 D.Alexander thrown to CLT00 PENALTY CLT Pass Interference (#1 J.Croft Jr.) 4 yards from CLT06 to CLT02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.5%
(08:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass incomplete short right to #82 M.Smith thrown to CLT00 QB hurried by #0 C.GillSimilar
Q2 8:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.2%
(08:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:39 #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #50 C.Blankenship)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · -6 yds · 1:221% → 1%
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
(08:37) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass incomplete deep left to #1 J.Barnes thrown to OM40 broken up by #2 J.BraxtonSimilar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.1%
(08:30) Shotgun #5 K.Alexander rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CLT26 (#31 L.Clardy)Similar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+3
99.1%
(07:46) Shotgun #5 K.Alexander rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CLT29 (#4 S.Perkins)Similar
Q2 7:18
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+5
99.0%
PENALTY CLT False Start (#13 G.Willis) 5 yards from CLT29 to CLT24. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 7:18
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+5
99.1%
PENALTY CLT False Start (#5 K.Alexander) 5 yards from CLT24 to CLT19. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 7:09
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
99.0%
(07:16) #44 I.Kelly punt 35 yards to the OM46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 9FG
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:2599% → 99%
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
99.2%
(07:08) Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss rush middle for 3 yards loss to the OM43 (#7 D.Burgess)Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 13
OWN 43
+17
99.2%
(06:57) Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush right for 17 yards gain to the CLT40 (#5 J.Patterson; #3 D.Womack), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.2%
(06:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush right for 0 yards to the CLT40 (#5 J.Patterson)Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+7
99.2%
(05:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short middle to #1 D.Alexander caught at CLT35, for 7 yards to the CLT33 (#15 A.Tifase)Similar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 3
OPP 33
-1
99.2%
(05:10) Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short middle to #5 K.Lacy caught at CLT35, for 1 yard loss to the CLT34 (#13 G.Willis)Similar
Q2 4:38
4TH & 4
OPP 34
+5
99.1%
PENALTY OM False Start (#11 H.Fields) 5 yards from CLT34 to CLT39. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:32
4TH & 9
OPP 39
+57
99.2%
(04:37) #17 L.Carneiro field goal attempt from 57 yards GOOD (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #50 C.Blankenship), clock 04:32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10INT
14 plays · 43 yds · 4:061% → 1%
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.0%
(04:30) Shotgun #21 H.Rutledge rush left for 5 yards gain to the CLT30 (#6 J.Aguero; #14 E.Joseph)Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
99.0%
(03:53) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass complete short right to #4 T.Boston caught at CLT33, for 4 yards to the CLT34 (#29 N.Cull)Similar
Q2 2:57
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+8
98.9%
(03:10) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass complete short right to #85 J.Jeffares caught at CLT36, for 8 yards to the CLT42 (#4 S.Perkins), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+18
98.9%
(02:29) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass complete short right to #89 D.Eley caught at OM40, for 18 yards to the OM40, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
98.8%
(01:58) Shotgun #21 H.Rutledge rush right for 5 yards gain to the OM35 (#28 D.Core; #15 L.Barnes)Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+4
98.7%
(01:31) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass complete short left to #21 H.Rutledge caught at OM31, for 4 yards to the OM31 (#12 L.Ferrelli)Similar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 1
OPP 31
0
98.8%
(01:10) Shotgun #21 H.Rutledge rush middle for 0 yards to the OM31 (#17 J.Maldonado)Similar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+4
98.8%
(00:35) Shotgun #6 D.Perteet rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OM27 (#12 L.Ferrelli), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
98.7%
(00:25) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass incomplete short left to #17 G.McGee thrown to OM23Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
98.8%
(00:21) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass incomplete short left to #2 J.Hampton thrown to OM18 broken up by #2 J.BraxtonSimilar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+5
98.9%
(00:16) PENALTY CLT Delay Of Game 5 yards from OM27 to OM32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 15
OPP 32
-38
98.9%
(00:17) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass intercepted by #29 N.Cull at OM24 #29 N.Cull return 38 yards to the CLT38, out of bounds at CLT38. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was out of bounds". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (00:17) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass intercepted by #29 N.Cull at OM24 QB hurried by #3 B.Purchase #29 N.Cull return 76 yards to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:04)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 11FG
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:0499% → 100%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
99.3%
(00:07) Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #11 H.Fields caught at CLT28, for 14 yards to the CLT24 (#18 C.Usher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+41
99.8%
Lucas Carneiro 41 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12FG
10 plays · 64 yds · 4:251% → 1%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+43
99.4%
(14:57) Shotgun #7 C.Williams rush right for 43 yards gain to the OM32 (#11 K.Thomas), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
99.3%
(14:14) PENALTY CLT False Start (#88 L.Wadle) 5 yards from OM32 to OM37. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 15
OPP 37
+7
99.3%
(13:51) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass complete short right to #2 J.Hampton caught at OM32, for 7 yards to the OM30 (#28 D.Core), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+7
99.4%
(13:13) Shotgun #7 C.Williams rush middle for 7 yards gain to the OM23 (#9 J.Oatis)Similar
Q3 12:32
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+13
99.4%
(12:36) Shotgun #7 C.Williams rush left for 13 yards gain to the OM10 (#49 T.Butler), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
99.8%
(11:53) Shotgun #7 C.Williams rush middle for 1 yard loss to the OM11 (#52 W.Echoles; #96 J.Brown)Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
99.8%
(11:15) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales rush right for 0 yards to the OM11 (#49 T.Butler; #96 J.Brown)Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
99.8%
(10:31) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass incomplete short left to #89 D.Eley thrown to OM00 QB hurried by #4 S.PerkinsSimilar
Q3 10:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
99.1%
(10:23) #44 I.Kelly field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #95 B.Long, LS: #33 H.Searcy), clock 10:23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 1:4499% → 99%
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.1%
(10:22) Shotgun #26 J.Lindsey rush left for 3 yards gain to the OM28 (#9 C.Simpson)Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-3
99.1%
(10:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Cook II rush left for 3 yards loss to the OM25 (#3 D.Womack)Similar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-6
99.1%
(09:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss sacked for loss of 6 yards to the OM19 (#0 C.Gill)Similar
Q3 8:50
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+5
99.0%
(08:51) PENALTY OM False Start 5 yards from OM19 to OM14. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 8:32
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
99.0%
(08:41) #33 O.Bird punt 52 yards to the CLT34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14FG
15 plays · 59 yds · 6:411% → 1%
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
99.1%
(08:30) Shotgun #5 K.Alexander rush left for 5 yards gain to the CLT39 (#12 L.Ferrelli)Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+6
99.1%
(07:47) Shotgun #5 K.Alexander rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CLT45 (#49 T.Butler), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.0%
(07:07) Shotgun #7 C.Williams rush left for 2 yards gain to the CLT47 (#4 S.Perkins)Similar
Q3 6:19
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+8
99.1%
(06:29) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass complete short left to #4 T.Boston caught at OM46, for 8 yards to the OM45 (#14 E.Joseph), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+22
99.1%
(05:47) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass complete deep right to #8 Z.Collick caught at OM23, for 22 yards to the OM23 (#14 E.Joseph), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
99.0%
(05:11) Shotgun #5 K.Alexander rush right for 2 yards loss to the OM25 (#17 J.Maldonado)Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 12
OPP 25
+13
99.1%
(04:33) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass complete short left to #5 K.Alexander caught at OM31, for 7 yards loss to the OM32 (#15 L.Barnes) PENALTY OM Face Mask (#15 L.Barnes) 13 yards from OM25 to OM12, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.0%
(04:00) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass incomplete short left to #7 C.Williams thrown to OM00 QB hurried by #17 J.MaldonadoSimilar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+6
99.0%
(03:57) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales rush middle for 6 yards gain to the OM06 (#15 L.Barnes; #24 A.Jaffe)Similar
Q3 3:19
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+4
99.2%
(03:19) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass incomplete short right to #4 T.Boston thrown to OM03 PENALTY OM Pass Interference (#14 E.Joseph) 4 yards from OM06 to OM02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 3:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+5
99.1%
PENALTY CLT False Start (#76 I.Bullerdick) 5 yards from OM02 to OM07. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 3:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
99.0%
(03:13) Shotgun #7 C.Williams rush left for 5 yards loss to the OM12 (#29 N.Cull)Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
99.1%
(02:28) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass incomplete short right to #13 C.Tucker thrown to OM12Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+5
99.2%
(02:24) Shotgun #9 C.Gonzales pass complete short right to #0 C.Pedro caught at OM09, for 5 yards to the OM07 (#3 B.Purchase; #49 T.Butler)Similar
Q3 1:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
99.1%
(01:45) #44 I.Kelly field goal attempt from 24 yards GOOD (H: #95 B.Long, LS: #33 H.Searcy), clock 01:43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 15TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:4799% → 100%
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.3%
(01:41) Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short right to #9 L.Hasz caught at OM24, for 9 yards to the OM34 (#19 K.Schmitz), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+12
99.3%
(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #3 C.Cunningham caught at OM39, for 12 yards to the OM46 (#3 D.Womack), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+31
99.3%
(00:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short middle to #11 H.Fields caught at CLT41, for 31 yards to the CLT23 (#0 C.Gill), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
99.3%
(00:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #3 C.Cunningham caught at CLT16, for 9 yards to the CLT14 (#12 C.Clinkscales)Similar
Q3 0:07
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+5
99.3%
(00:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CLT09 (#95 D.Ancrum; #3 D.Womack), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.3%
(14:59) Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass incomplete short left to #5 K.Lacy thrown to CLT14 QB hurried by #2 J.JohnsonSimilar
Q4 14:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
(14:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #11 H.Fields caught at CLT02, for 9 yards to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:49 #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #50 C.Blankenship)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16FG
10 plays · 64 yds · 4:460% → 0%
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
(14:47) Shotgun #21 H.Rutledge rush middle for 0 yards to the CLT25 (#12 L.Ferrelli)Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.9%
(14:10) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass incomplete short right to #1 J.Barnes thrown to CLT39 PENALTY OM Roughing The Passer (#15 L.Barnes) 15 yards from CLT25 to CLT40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.9%
(14:04) Shotgun #21 H.Rutledge rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CLT41 (#12 L.Ferrelli)Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+3
99.9%
(13:29) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass complete short right to #21 H.Rutledge caught at CLT38, for 3 yards to the CLT44 (#49 T.Butler)Similar
Q4 12:13
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+38
99.9%
(12:46) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass complete deep left to #89 D.Eley caught at OM20, for 38 yards to the OM18 (#28 D.Core), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
99.9%
(12:03) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass complete short right to #1 J.Barnes caught at OM21, for 3 yards to the OM15 (#0 J.Crawford), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 7
OPP 15
-1
99.5%
(11:25) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell sacked for loss of 1 yard to the OM16 (#1 J.Renaud)Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+5
99.7%
(10:36) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass complete short middle to #2 J.Hampton caught at OM11, for 5 yards to the OM11 (#28 D.Core)Similar
Q4 9:53
4TH & 3
OPP 11
+28
99.7%
(09:53) #44 I.Kelly field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #95 B.Long, LS: #33 H.Searcy), clock 09:53Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 17TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 2:31100% → 100%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
99.7%
(09:46) Shotgun #2 D.Knight pass complete short right to #15 D.Gill Jr. caught at OM35, for 9 yards to the OM39 (#4 T.Smith), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
99.7%
(09:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Knight pass incomplete short right to #15 D.Gill Jr. thrown to OM45Similar
Q4 9:16
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+9
99.8%
(09:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Knight rush middle for 9 yards gain to the OM48 (#8 C.Spencer), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+34
99.8%
(08:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Knight pass complete short left to #84 D.Alfred caught at CLT39, for 34 yards to the CLT18 (#28 C.Allen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.8%
(07:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Knight rush middle for 0 yards to the CLT18 (#55 S.Sangarie)Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+11
99.8%
(07:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Knight rush middle for 11 yards gain to the CLT07 (#7 D.Burgess), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.8%
(07:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Knight pass incomplete short middle to #81 S.Reed thrown to CLT00 QB hurried by #55 S.SangarieSimilar
Q4 7:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
(07:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Knight rush left for 7 yards gain to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:10 #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #50 C.Blankenship)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 3:200% → 0%
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
(07:09) Shotgun #6 D.Perteet rush middle for 7 yards gain to the CLT32 (#95 A.Maddox)Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
99.9%
(06:36) Shotgun #6 D.Perteet rush left for 5 yards gain to the CLT37 (#39 G.Lacy Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
99.9%
(06:02) Shotgun #6 D.Perteet rush right for 20 yards gain to the OM43 (#0 J.Crawford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
99.9%
(05:24) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass complete short left to #0 C.Pedro caught at OM45, for 1 yard to the OM42 (#16 D.Barney)Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 9
OPP 42
-3
99.9%
(04:42) Shotgun #6 D.Perteet rush middle for 3 yards loss to the OM45 (#31 L.Clardy; #99 C.Reed)Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 12
OPP 45
0
99.9%
(03:59) Shotgun #15 C.Harrell pass incomplete short right to #0 C.Pedro thrown to OM36Similar
Q4 3:44
4TH & 12
OPP 45
0
100.0%
(03:53) #44 I.Kelly punt 41 yards to the OM04Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 19INT
6 plays · 36 yds · 1:40100% → 100%
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+9
99.9%
(03:41) Shotgun #2 D.Knight pass complete short left to #3 C.Cunningham caught at OM09, for 9 yards to the OM13 (#11 D.Williams II; #5 J.Patterson)Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 1
OWN 13
+5
99.9%
(03:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 M.Frazier rush middle for 5 yards gain to the OM18 (#28 C.Allen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
99.9%
(02:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 M.Frazier rush middle for 6 yards gain to the OM24 (#16 S.McIntosh; #36 P.Startz)Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+16
99.9%
(02:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Knight pass complete short left to #3 C.Cunningham caught at OM34, for 16 yards to the OM40 (#28 C.Allen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
(01:59) Shotgun #2 D.Knight pass incomplete short left to #3 C.Cunningham thrown to OM50 QB hurried by #8 C.SpencerSimilar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Knight pass intercepted by #26 D.St. Clair at CLT45 QB hurried by #23 D.Wallace, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 20END OF GAME
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:110% → 0%
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
99.9%
(01:47) Shotgun #24 J.Cobb rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CLT49 (#39 G.Lacy Jr.; #19 M.Preston)Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+4
99.9%
(01:07) Shotgun #24 J.Cobb rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OM47 (#23 J.Hopson; #49 T.Butler)Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+1
99.9%
(00:29) Shotgun #10 J.White pass complete short left to #0 C.Pedro caught at OM46, for 1 yard to the OM46 (#31 L.Clardy), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:39
(08:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 K.Lacy rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:39 #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #50 C.Blankenship)
+0.7
FG · Q3 10:23
(10:23) #44 I.Kelly field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #95 B.Long, LS: #33 H.Searcy), clock 10:23
-0.7
TD · Q4 14:49
(14:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Chambliss pass complete short left to #11 H.Fields caught at CLT02, for 9 yards to the CLT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:49 #17 L.Carneiro kick attempt good (H: #33 O.Bird, LS: #50 C.Blankenship)
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com