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TXST

Texas State 7 at Texas 59

TEX
2026 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2026 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadTXST aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreTXST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFUMBLETDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:02 · (04:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 G.Parkhurst rush middle for 3 yards loss to the TXST16, End Of Play, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 157Pregame prior+5.2Home team on offense+36.6Score differential+30.7Blowout margin+19.4Garbage-time factor+9.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+13.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:14: A. Manning pass to R. Wingo for 8 yds, for a TD (G. Spetic KICK) — TEX win probability +0.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:53: (07:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 R.Brown rush left for 13 yards gain to the TXST00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:53, 1ST DOWN #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #47 T.Dubuc) — TEX win probability +0.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. FUMBLE · Q2 5:56: (06:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 T.Atkins rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TEXAS41 fumbled by #0 T.Atkins at TEXAS41 forced by #3 R.Biles recovered by TEXAS #29 G.Littleton at TEXAS41 #29 G.Littleton return 59 yards to the TXST00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:56 #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #47 T.Dubuc) — TEX win probability +2.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:59: (03:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TEXAS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:59 #41 D.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #92 T.Flintoff, LS: #51 D.Snell) — TXST win probability +2.0 pts (now 3%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:46: (12:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete deep middle to #8 C.Coleman caught at TXST00, for 20 yards to the TXST00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:46, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TXST Roughing The Passer (#90 C.Owens) 15 yards from TXST00 to TXST03, 1ST DOWN #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #47 T.Dubuc) — TEX win probability +1.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 2 of 3TXST made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 12:19TXST 4th & 7 at TXST 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:46TXST 4th & 4 at TEX 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    4.9%−0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    5.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:56TEX 4th & 3 at TXST 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    94.7%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    94.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:11TXST 4th & 6 at TEX 6, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q3 10:06TEX 4th & 4 at TXST 36, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 0:25TXST 4th & 1 at TEX 35, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q4 11:48TXST 4th & 5 at TEX 17, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q4 6:00TEX 4th & 5 at TXST 30, up 42
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:02TXST 4th & 3 at TXST 19, down 45
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TXST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:31TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:14TEX Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:59TXST Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:46TEX Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:55TEX Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:00TEX Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:08TEX Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TXSTDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:323% → 4%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.7%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short right to #11 B.Sparks caught at TXST23, for 1 yard to the TXST26 (#4 J.McDonald)Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
96.6%
(14:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short right to #16 B.Smith caught at TXST29, for 5 yards to the TXST31 (#3 R.Biles), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
96.5%
(14:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short right to #11 B.Sparks caught at TXST35, for 5 yards to the TXST36 (#4 J.McDonald), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
96.4%
(13:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Burgess Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TXST40 (#19 Z.Umeozulu)Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-1
96.4%
(13:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Burgess Jr. rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TXST39 (#4 J.McDonald)Similar
Q1 12:26
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
96.3%
(12:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass incomplete short right to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. thrown to TXST48 QB hurried by #1 C.SimmonsSimilar
Q1 12:19
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
96.3%
(12:22) #92 T.Flintoff punt 17 yards to the TEXAS44, out of bounds at TEXAS44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2TD
4 plays · 56 yds · 1:3696% → 96%
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+45
96.3%
(12:14) No Huddle #2 H.Smothers rush middle for 45 yards gain to the TXST11 (#1 A.Atwood), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
96.2%
(11:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Smothers rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TXST10 (#9 J.Bradley)Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+4
96.1%
(11:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Smothers rush left for 4 yards gain to the TXST06 (#5 D.Russell; #7 R.Nolan)Similar
Q1 10:31
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+6
96.2%
A. Manning pass to C. Coleman for 6 yds, for a TD (G. Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 3DOWNS
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:404% → 4%
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.1%
(10:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Burgess Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TXST27 (#3 R.Biles; #95 I.Geffrard)Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-3
96.1%
(09:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Burgess Jr. rush middle for 3 yards loss to the TXST24 (#1 C.Simmons; #19 Z.Umeozulu)Similar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+15
96.1%
(09:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass incomplete deep right to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. thrown to TEXAS45 broken up by #8 K.Phillips PENALTY TEXAS Pass Interference (#8 K.Phillips) 15 yards from TXST24 to TXST39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
96.0%
(09:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short left to #11 B.Sparks caught at TXST39, for 9 yards to the TXST48 (#28 J.Cryer)Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+4
95.9%
(09:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short left to #11 B.Sparks caught at TXST48, for 4 yards to the TEXAS48 (#5 B.Mascoe), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
95.8%
(08:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Burgess Jr. rush left for 4 yards gain to the TEXAS44 (#4 J.McDonald)Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+4
95.7%
(07:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short right to #13 T.Cusano caught at TEXAS40, for 4 yards to the TEXAS40, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 2
OPP 40
-2
95.6%
(07:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson rush right for 2 yards loss to the TEXAS42 (#3 R.Biles; #93 H.Kanu)Similar
Q1 6:46
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
95.6%
(06:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass incomplete short middle to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. thrown to TEXAS40 broken up by #97 A.January, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 2:2496% → 96%
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
95.8%
(06:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #0 R.Brown caught at TEXAS38, for 11 yards to the TXST47 (#2 T.Moore), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
95.8%
(06:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 R.Brown rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TXST43 (#9 J.Bradley; #12 J.Mackey)Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 6
OPP 43
0
95.7%
(06:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short right to #8 C.Coleman thrown to TXST37 broken up by #7 R.NolanSimilar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+3
95.7%
(05:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #1 R.Wingo caught at TXST46, for 3 yards to the TXST40 (#7 R.Nolan; #90 C.Owens)Similar
Q1 4:56
4TH & 3
OPP 40
+21
95.4%
(05:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete deep left to #1 R.Wingo caught at TXST19, for 21 yards to the TXST19 (#3 C.Royal Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
95.6%
(04:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #83 S.Shannon caught at TXST15, for 11 yards to the TXST08 (#16 T.Cooks II), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TXST Illegal Substitution declinedSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
96.3%
A. Manning pass to R. Wingo for 8 yds, for a TD (G. Spetic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 5MISSED FG
16 plays · 82 yds · 4:524% → 3%
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+22
96.0%
(04:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Jenkins rush middle for 22 yards gain to the TXST34 (#4 J.McDonald), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
95.9%
(03:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Jenkins rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TXST37 (#15 J.Terry)Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+1
97.1%
(03:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Harris rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TXST38 (#95 I.Geffrard)Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+12
97.1%
(02:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short left to #16 B.Smith caught at TXST50, for 12 yards to the TXST50 (#29 G.Littleton), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
50
0
97.1%
(02:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass incomplete short right to #13 T.Cusano thrown to TEXAS44 QB hurried by #15 J.TerrySimilar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 10
50
+7
97.1%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short left to #18 T.Stamey caught at TEXAS45, for 7 yards to the TEXAS43 (#2 D.Williams Jr.)Similar
Q1 1:16
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+6
97.1%
(01:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short right to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. caught at TEXAS39, for 6 yards to the TEXAS37 (#29 G.Littleton; #28 J.Cryer), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
97.1%
(01:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Jackson rush middle for 8 yards gain to the TEXAS29 (#24 W.Roberson; #6 K.Black)Similar
Q1 0:15
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+24
97.0%
(00:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short right to #6 D.Jackson caught at TEXAS25, for 24 yards to the TEXAS05 (#29 G.Littleton), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
97.0%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Jackson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TEXAS04 (#99 R.Wesley)Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
97.0%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass incomplete short right to #11 B.Sparks thrown to TEXAS00 broken up by #8 K.PhillipsSimilar
Q2 14:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
97.0%
(14:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Jackson rush middle for 2 yards loss to the TEXAS06 (#93 H.Kanu)Similar
Q2 14:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
97.0%
(14:14) #41 D.Cunanan field goal attempt from 24 yards NO GOOD (H: #92 T.Flintoff, LS: #51 D.Snell), clock 14:11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 6:1297% → 98%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
96.9%
(14:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Smothers rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TEXAS23 (#9 J.Bradley)Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+16
96.9%
(13:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short middle to #1 R.Wingo caught at TEXAS38, for 16 yards to the TEXAS39 (#12 J.Mackey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
97.1%
(13:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Smothers rush left for 9 yards gain to the TEXAS48 (#2 T.Moore; #10 C.Nilles)Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+5
97.2%
(12:41) No Huddle #5 D.Cooper rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TXST47 (#10 C.Nilles; #4 T.Woody), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
97.4%
(12:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short right to #4 J.Bishop Jr. thrown to TXST50Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+1
97.4%
(11:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Cooper rush right for 1 yard gain to the TXST46 (#15 A.Jones; #44 P.Bradford)Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+11
97.3%
(11:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #2 H.Smothers caught at TXST48, for 11 yards to the TXST35 (#2 T.Moore), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TXST Offside declinedSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
97.4%
(11:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #2 H.Smothers caught at TXST40, for 4 yards to the TXST31 (#16 T.Cooks II; #3 C.Royal Jr.)Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+5
97.4%
(10:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 R.Brown rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TXST26 (#2 T.Moore)Similar
Q2 9:28
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+5
97.4%
(09:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Smothers rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TXST21 (#7 R.Nolan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
97.4%
(08:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #81 N.Townsend caught at TXST23, for 9 yards to the TXST12 (#12 J.Mackey), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 1
OPP 12
-1
97.5%
(08:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 R.Brown rush right for 1 yard loss to the TXST13 (#3 C.Royal Jr.)Similar
Q2 7:53
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+13
97.7%
(07:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 R.Brown rush left for 13 yards gain to the TXST00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:53, 1ST DOWN #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #47 T.Dubuc)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 7FUMBLE TD
6 plays · 28 yds · 1:433% → 1%
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
97.1%
(07:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Burgess Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TXST34 (#9 J.Williams)Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+1
97.1%
(07:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Burgess Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TXST35 (#14 B.Spence; #92 C.Vasek)Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+22
97.1%
(06:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short middle to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. caught at TXST40, for 22 yards to the TEXAS43 (#9 J.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
96.9%
(06:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass incomplete short right to #13 T.Cusano thrown to TEXAS27Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+59
98.9%
(06:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 T.Atkins rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TEXAS41 fumbled by #0 T.Atkins at TEXAS41 forced by #3 R.Biles recovered by TEXAS #29 G.Littleton at TEXAS41 #29 G.Littleton return 59 yards to the TXST00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:56 #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #47 T.Dubuc)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 8TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:461% → 3%
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.0%
(05:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short left to #5 J.Jenkins caught at TXST19, for 2 yards loss to the TXST23 (#8 K.Phillips)Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+41
99.1%
(05:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short middle to #13 T.Cusano caught at TXST40, for 41 yards to the TEXAS36 (#9 J.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.0%
(04:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass incomplete deep middle to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. thrown to TEXAS00Similar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+32
98.9%
(04:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson rush right for 32 yards gain to the TEXAS04 (#4 J.McDonald), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.9%
(03:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TEXAS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:59 #41 D.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #92 T.Flintoff, LS: #51 D.Snell)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 9INT
16 plays · 79 yds · 3:3598% → 98%
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
98.0%
(03:52) No Huddle #2 H.Smothers rush middle for 0 yards to the TEXAS10 (#16 T.Cooks II)Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+9
98.0%
(03:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #1 R.Wingo caught at TEXAS18, for 9 yards to the TEXAS19 (#3 C.Royal Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+2
97.9%
(02:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Smothers rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TEXAS21 (#7 R.Nolan; #16 T.Cooks II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+19
98.0%
(02:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #1 R.Wingo caught at TEXAS28, for 19 yards to the TEXAS40 (#16 T.Cooks II; #3 C.Royal Jr.) PENALTY TEXAS Holding (#3 E.Mosley V) 10 yards from TEXAS40 to TEXAS30Similar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 1
OWN 30
-10
98.1%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning sacked for loss of 10 yards to the TEXAS20 (#56 T.Jackson)Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+18
98.0%
(01:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #3 E.Mosley V caught at TEXAS31, for 18 yards to the TEXAS38 (#7 R.Nolan; #12 J.Mackey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
98.2%
(01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short right to #3 E.Mosley V thrown to TEXAS40Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-5
98.2%
(01:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 R.Brown rush left for 5 yards loss to the TEXAS33 (#12 J.Mackey; #56 T.Jackson)Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 15
OWN 33
+45
98.1%
(00:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete deep left to #1 R.Wingo caught at TXST22, for 45 yards to the TXST22, out of bounds at TXST22, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
98.1%
(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short middle to #3 E.Mosley V caught at TXST15, for 12 yards to the TXST10 (#19 M.Patterson; #0 T.Atkins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
98.0%
(00:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 R.Brown rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TXST11 (#19 M.Patterson; #16 T.Cooks II)Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
97.9%
(00:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short middle to #1 R.Wingo thrown to TXST00 broken up by #29 T.PayneSimilar
Q2 0:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
97.8%
(00:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass intercepted by #7 R.Nolan at TXST00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
97.4%
(00:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Burgess Jr. rush middle for 8 yards gain to the TXST28 (#93 H.Kanu)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:0998% → 100%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.0%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Smothers rush left for 3 yards gain to the TEXAS28 (#15 A.Jones)Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
98.0%
(14:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning rush right for 5 yards gain to the TEXAS33 (#16 T.Cooks II), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+44
98.0%
(14:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete deep right to #8 C.Coleman caught at TXST26, for 44 yards to the TXST23 (#1 A.Atwood), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
98.2%
(13:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 H.Smothers rush left for 2 yards loss to the TXST25 (#9 J.Bradley; #16 T.Cooks II)Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 12
OPP 25
0
98.2%
(12:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short left to #3 E.Mosley V thrown to TXST10Similar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 12
OPP 25
+5
98.2%
PENALTY TXST Offside 5 yards from TXST25 to TXST20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+20
99.5%
(12:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete deep middle to #8 C.Coleman caught at TXST00, for 20 yards to the TXST00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:46, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TXST Roughing The Passer (#90 C.Owens) 15 yards from TXST00 to TXST03, 1ST DOWN #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #47 T.Dubuc)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 12FUMBLE
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:400% → 0%
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.6%
(12:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short right to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. caught at TXST25, for 6 yards to the TXST31 (#4 J.McDonald), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+14
99.5%
(12:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Jackson rush middle for 14 yards gain to the TXST45 (#29 G.Littleton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.6%
(12:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson sacked for loss of 3 yards to the TXST42 (#88 M.Watson), fumble by #8 B.Jackson recovered by TEXAS #1 C.Simmons at TXST42, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13TD
11 plays · 42 yds · 3:55100% → 100%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.6%
(11:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 R.Brown rush middle for 0 yards to the TXST42 (#12 J.Mackey)Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+5
99.6%
PENALTY TEXAS Encroachment (#81 N.Townsend) 5 yards from TXST42 to TXST47. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 15
OPP 47
0
99.5%
(11:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 R.Brown rush right for 0 yards to the TXST47 (#6 J.Landry)Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 15
OPP 47
+11
99.5%
(10:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning rush middle for 11 yards gain to the TXST36 (#9 J.Bradley; #16 T.Cooks II)Similar
Q3 10:06
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+7
99.5%
(10:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #3 E.Mosley V caught at TXST29, for 7 yards to the TXST29, out of bounds at TXST29, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.6%
(09:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass incomplete short left to #3 E.Mosley V thrown to TXST30 broken up by #2 T.MooreSimilar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+18
99.6%
(09:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short left to #85 E.Winston caught at TXST27, for 18 yards to the TXST11 (#2 T.Moore; #7 R.Nolan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.6%
(09:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 R.Brown rush middle for 0 yards to the TXST11 (#56 T.Jackson; #24 D.Ricks Jr.)Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-2
99.6%
(08:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 R.Brown rush middle for 2 yards loss to the TXST13 (#29 T.Payne; #4 T.Woody)Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 12
OPP 13
+13
99.7%
(07:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete short right to #2 H.Smothers caught at TXST10, for 13 yards to the TXST00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:55, 1ST DOWN #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #47 T.Dubuc)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 14INT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:410% → 0%
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
(07:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Jenkins rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TXST29 (#28 J.Cryer; #4 J.McDonald)Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
99.7%
(07:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Jenkins rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TXST32 (#3 R.Biles; #92 C.Vasek)Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
99.8%
(06:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short right to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. caught at TXST36, for 6 yards to the TXST38 (#8 K.Phillips), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.8%
(06:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass incomplete short middle to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. thrown to TEXAS48 broken up by #6 K.BlackSimilar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.8%
(06:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass intercepted by #3 R.Biles at TXST40 #3 R.Biles return for loss of 5 yards to the TXST45 (#68 S.Burns)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 15TD
3 plays · 45 yds · 0:51100% → 100%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+18
99.8%
(06:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 K.Lacey Jr. pass complete short left to #4 J.Bishop Jr. caught at TXST31, for 18 yards to the TXST27 (#8 C.Powell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
99.8%
(05:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 K.Lacey Jr. rush right for 6 yards gain to the TXST21 (#3 C.Royal Jr.)Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+21
99.8%
(05:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 R.Brown rush middle for 21 yards gain to the TXST00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:00, 1ST DOWN #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #47 T.Dubuc)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 16MISSED FG
18 plays · 58 yds · 8:020% → 0%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
(04:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 G.Parkhurst pass complete short right to #14 J.Martin caught at TXST23, for 4 yards to the TXST29 (#8 K.Phillips), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
99.8%
(04:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Burgess Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the TXST29 (#95 I.Geffrard)Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+13
99.8%
(03:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 G.Parkhurst pass complete short middle to #13 T.Cusano caught at TXST40, for 13 yards to the TXST42 (#2 D.Williams Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
99.8%
(03:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Burgess Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TXST45 (#29 G.Littleton; #14 B.Spence)Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+11
99.8%
(02:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Burgess Jr. rush middle for 11 yards gain to the TEXAS44 (#2 D.Williams Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
99.9%
(02:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Burgess Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TEXAS42 (#33 M.Charles)Similar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+6
99.9%
(01:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 G.Parkhurst pass complete short left to #2 K.Evans caught at TEXAS37, for 6 yards to the TEXAS36 (#24 W.Roberson)Similar
Q3 0:54
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+1
99.8%
(01:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Jackson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TEXAS35 (#29 G.Littleton)Similar
Q3 0:25
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+3
99.8%
(00:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Jackson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TEXAS32 (#33 M.Charles; #92 C.Vasek), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
99.9%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Jenkins rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TEXAS31 (#15 J.Terry)Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+8
99.9%
(14:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 G.Parkhurst pass complete short right to #14 J.Martin caught at TEXAS34, for 8 yards to the TEXAS23 (#9 J.Williams)Similar
Q4 13:42
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+1
99.9%
(13:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.Jenkins rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TEXAS22 (#15 J.Terry; #95 I.Geffrard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.9%
(13:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 G.Parkhurst pass incomplete short right to #14 J.Martin thrown to TEXAS12 QB hurried by #33 M.CharlesSimilar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-2
99.9%
(13:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Harris rush middle for 2 yards loss to the TEXAS24 (#33 M.Charles; #18 K.Okpala)Similar
Q4 12:23
3RD & 12
OPP 24
+7
99.9%
(12:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 G.Parkhurst pass complete short left to #20 D.Crowe caught at TEXAS18, for 7 yards to the TEXAS17 (#8 K.Phillips), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 11:48
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+35
99.9%
(11:51) #41 D.Cunanan field goal attempt from 35 yards NO GOOD (H: #92 T.Flintoff, LS: #51 D.Snell), clock 11:48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17FG
13 plays · 50 yds · 5:38100% → 100%
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
(11:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 M.Terry III rush right for 5 yards gain to the TEXAS25 (#4 T.Woody)Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
(11:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 M.Terry III rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TEXAS26 (#24 D.Ricks Jr.)Similar
Q4 10:36
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+9
99.9%
(10:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 K.Lacey Jr. pass complete short left to #18 S.Berkhalter caught at TEXAS31, for 9 yards to the TEXAS35 (#36 G.Gipson Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
(10:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 M.Terry III rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TEXAS37 (#36 G.Gipson Jr.; #33 B.Isbell)Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+17
99.9%
(09:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 K.Lacey Jr. pass complete short left to #18 S.Berkhalter caught at TXST46, for 17 yards to the TXST46 (#8 C.Powell), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
99.9%
(09:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 K.Lacey Jr. pass complete short right to #7 K.Lockett caught at TXST47, for 3 yards loss to the TXST49 (#24 D.Ricks Jr.)Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 13
OPP 49
+7
99.9%
(08:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 K.Lacey Jr. pass complete short left to #85 E.Winston caught at TXST46, for 7 yards to the TXST42 (#24 D.Ricks Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 7:58
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+7
99.9%
(08:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 K.Lacey Jr. pass complete short right to #4 J.Bishop Jr. caught at TXST46, for 7 yards to the TXST35 (#0 J.Lawton; #24 D.Ricks Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
99.9%
(07:32) PENALTY TEXAS False Start (#75 J.Chatman) 5 yards from TXST35 to TXST40. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 15
OPP 40
+6
99.9%
(07:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 R.Niblett rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TXST34 (#15 A.Jones)Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+4
99.9%
(06:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 R.Niblett rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TXST30 (#15 A.Jones)Similar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
99.9%
(06:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 K.Lacey Jr. pass incomplete short left to #17 D.McCutcheon thrown to TXST24Similar
Q4 6:00
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+48
99.9%
(06:00) #44 G.Spetic field goal attempt from 48 yards GOOD (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #47 T.Dubuc), clock 06:00Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 18DOWNS
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:450% → 0%
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
100.0%
(05:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 G.Parkhurst rush right for 6 yards gain to the TXST18 (#0 J.Meredith III)Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+2
100.0%
(05:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 G.Parkhurst rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TXST20 (#46 S.Orogbo)Similar
Q4 4:39
3RD & 2
OWN 20
-1
100.0%
(04:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 G.Parkhurst sacked for loss of 1 yard to the TXST19 (#46 S.Orogbo, #11 S.Matthews)Similar
Q4 4:02
4TH & 3
OWN 19
-3
100.0%
(04:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 G.Parkhurst rush middle for 3 yards loss to the TXST16, End Of Play, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 19TD
4 plays · 16 yds · 1:45100% → 100%
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
100.0%
(03:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #31 J.Simon rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TXST15 (#21 J.Sample; #95 J.Harris)Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+11
100.0%
(03:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #31 J.Simon rush middle for 11 yards gain to the TXST04 (#20 M.Willis; #22 W.Mitchell II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
100.0%
(02:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 K.Lacey Jr. rush right for 3 yards loss to the TXST07 (#11 T.Burkhalter)Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
100.0%
(02:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #31 J.Simon rush right for 7 yards gain to the TXST00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:08 #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #47 T.Dubuc)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 20END OF GAME
8 plays · 32 yds · 1:530% → 0%
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
100.0%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Harris rush middle for 14 yards gain to the TXST35 (#11 S.Matthews), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
100.0%
(01:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Harris rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TXST40 (#9 J.Williams)Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+3
100.0%
(01:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Harris rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TXST43 (#96 Z.Williams)Similar
Q4 0:38
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+5
100.0%
(00:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 C.Pryor rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TXST48 (#9 J.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
100.0%
(00:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 C.Pryor rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TEXAS48 (#94 J.Carlton; #90 J.Sharma)Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+1
100.0%
(00:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 C.Pryor rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TEXAS47 (#90 J.Sharma)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FUMBLE · Q2 5:56
(06:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 T.Atkins rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TEXAS41 fumbled by #0 T.Atkins at TEXAS41 forced by #3 R.Biles recovered by TEXAS #29 G.Littleton at TEXAS41 #29 G.Littleton return 59 yards to the TXST00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:56 #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #47 T.Dubuc)
+2
TD · Q2 3:59
(03:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TEXAS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:59 #41 D.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #92 T.Flintoff, LS: #51 D.Snell)
-2
TD · Q3 12:46
(12:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 A.Manning pass complete deep middle to #8 C.Coleman caught at TXST00, for 20 yards to the TXST00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:46, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TXST Roughing The Passer (#90 C.Owens) 15 yards from TXST00 to TXST03, 1ST DOWN #44 G.Spetic kick attempt good (H: #43 M.Chiumento, LS: #47 T.Dubuc)
+1.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com