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FUR

Furman 9 at Tennessee 56

TENN
2026 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2026 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadFUR aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreFUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:52 · (01:52) #90 W.Pendergrass punt 43 yards to the TENN28 fair catch by #6 Q.Moss at TENN28 PENALTY TENN Holding (#88 D.Hardin) 10 yards from TENN28 to TENN18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginGarbage-time factor
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 84Pregame prior+41.0Home team on offense+27.3Score differential+20.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.5Blowout margin+10.3Garbage-time factor+3.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:14: (11:18) Shotgun #11 F.Brandon rush left for 6 yards gain to the FUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:14 #28 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #98 J.Ross, LS: #48 B.Brady) — TENN win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:05: (03:06) No Huddle #18 D.Bishop rush middle for 1 yard gain to the FUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:05 PENALTY FUR Illegal Substitution declined #28 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #98 J.Ross, LS: #48 B.Brady) — TENN win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 4 of 5FUR made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 13:41FUR 4th & 14 at FUR 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:53FUR 4th & 1 at FUR 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:01TENN 4th & 3 at FUR 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:23FUR 4th & 17 at TENN 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:24TENN 4th & 13 at TENN 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:14FUR 4th & 17 at FUR 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:56FUR 4th & 3 at TENN 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:15TENN 4th & 1 at FUR 34, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.1%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:52FUR 4th & 3 at FUR 29, down 21
    Close callPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:43FUR 4th & 2 at FUR 33, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:41FUR 4th & 5 at FUR 30, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:55FUR 4th & 16 at TENN 33, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:39TENN 4th & 1 at FUR 34, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:48FUR 4th & 14 at FUR 21, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:57FUR 4th & 6 at TENN 39, down 47
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:52TENN 4th & 4 at FUR 46, up 47
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6FUR made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 10:42TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:14TENN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:05TENN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:54TENN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:38TENN Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:50TENN Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:13FUR Touchdown, down 40 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FURDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:150% → 0%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
99.7%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Garcia sacked for loss of 8 yards to the FUR17 (#18 T.Weathersby)Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 18
OWN 17
0
99.7%
(14:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Garcia pass incomplete short left to #12 D.Haughton thrown to FUR17Similar
Q1 14:16
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+4
99.7%
(14:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 B.Croasdale rush middle for 4 yards gain to the FUR21 (#19 N.Robinson)Similar
Q1 13:41
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
99.7%
(13:44) #90 W.Pendergrass punt 39 yards to the TENN40 fair catch by #6 Q.Moss at TENN40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 2TD
9 plays · 60 yds · 2:47100% → 100%
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.7%
(13:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete short left to #14 B.Staley caught at TENN44, for 3 yards to the TENN43 (#5 J.Miller)Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+17
99.7%
(13:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete short right to #4 M.Matthews caught at FUR41, for 17 yards to the FUR40 (#1 C.Easterling), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.7%
(13:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass incomplete short right to #4 M.Matthews thrown to FUR39 broken up by #93 D.BaldwinSimilar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+6
99.7%
(12:59) Shotgun #18 D.Bishop rush middle for 6 yards gain to the FUR34 (#6 J.Tarver)Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+6
99.6%
(12:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete short middle to #82 T.Thomas caught at FUR31, for 6 yards to the FUR28 (#5 J.Miller; #17 C.Ellison), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
99.6%
(11:51) Shotgun #11 F.Brandon rush middle for 12 yards gain to the FUR16 (#10 B.Peebles), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
99.6%
(11:14) Shotgun #18 D.Bishop rush middle for 1 yard loss to the FUR17 (#9 E.Lipscomb; #95 J.Stoneking)Similar
Q1 10:42
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+17
99.6%
(10:45) Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete short middle to #0 E.Davis caught at FUR02, for 17 yards to the FUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:42, 1ST DOWN #28 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #98 J.Ross, LS: #48 B.Brady)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 3DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:390% → 1%
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.6%
(10:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Garcia rush middle for 3 yards gain to the FUR28 (#0 A.Campbell; #2 X.Gilliam)Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
99.6%
(10:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Nettles rush left for 7 yards gain to the FUR35 (#22 J.Telander; #4 T.Redmond), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.6%
(09:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Garcia pass incomplete short left to #6 C.Nettles thrown to FUR32Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
99.6%
(09:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Garcia pass incomplete short middle to #6 C.Nettles thrown to FUR35 QB hurried by #5 D.HobbsSimilar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+9
99.6%
(09:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Garcia rush middle for 9 yards gain to the FUR44 (#0 A.Campbell; #22 J.Telander)Similar
Q1 8:53
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
99.5%
(08:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Garcia rush middle for 0 yards to the FUR44 (#0 A.Campbell), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4DOWNS
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:52100% → 100%
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
99.6%
PENALTY TENN False Start 5 yards from FUR44 to FUR49. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+3
99.5%
(08:47) Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete short right to #4 M.Matthews caught at FUR46, for 3 yards to the FUR46 (#1 C.Easterling; #21 B.Lewis)Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 12
OPP 46
+7
99.5%
(08:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete short left to #82 T.Thomas caught at FUR49, for 7 yards to the FUR39 (#10 B.Peebles; #28 E.Washington)Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+2
99.5%
(07:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Gordon rush middle for 2 yards gain to the FUR37 (#3 A.Burrell)Similar
Q1 7:01
4TH & 3
OPP 37
0
99.5%
(07:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass incomplete short right to #4 M.Matthews thrown to FUR31, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:231% → 1%
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
99.5%
(07:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Garcia pass complete short middle to #12 D.Haughton caught at FUR43, for 6 yards to the FUR43 (#0 A.Campbell)Similar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
99.4%
(06:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Garcia pass incomplete short left thrown to FUR43 broken up by #18 T.WeathersbySimilar
Q1 6:19
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+17
99.4%
(06:28) Shotgun #11 J.Garcia rush middle for 17 yards gain to the TENN40 (#6 Q.Moss), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.4%
(05:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Garcia pass incomplete short right to #3 E.Harris thrown to TENN30 QB hurried by #9 M.Dye and #22 J.TelanderSimilar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-3
99.4%
(05:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Garcia sacked for loss of 3 yards to the TENN43 (#2 X.Gilliam)Similar
Q1 4:59
3RD & 13
OPP 43
-4
99.4%
(05:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Garcia sacked for loss of 4 yards to the TENN47 (#2 X.Gilliam)Similar
Q1 4:23
4TH & 17
OPP 47
0
99.4%
(04:27) #90 W.Pendergrass punt 31 yards to the TENN16 fair catch by #6 Q.Moss at TENN16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 3:4999% → 99%
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
99.4%
(04:19) Shotgun #11 F.Brandon rush right for 3 yards gain to the TENN19 (#10 B.Peebles), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+3
99.4%
(04:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Bishop rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TENN22 (#19 R.Earl; #17 C.Ellison)Similar
Q1 3:23
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+5
99.4%
(03:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete short right to #14 B.Staley caught at TENN25, for 5 yards to the TENN27 (#28 E.Washington), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
99.4%
(03:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon rush left for 6 yards gain to the TENN33 (#10 B.Peebles), out of bounds PENALTY TENN Holding (#70 D.Sanders Jr.) 10 yards from TENN27 to TENN17. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:27
1ST & 20
OWN 17
+5
99.3%
(02:35) Shotgun #18 D.Bishop rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TENN22 (#3 A.Burrell; #6 J.Tarver)Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 15
OWN 22
-8
99.3%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon sacked for loss of 8 yards to the TENN14 (#9 E.Lipscomb)Similar
Q1 1:05
3RD & 23
OWN 14
+10
99.3%
(01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Bishop rush middle for 10 yards gain to the TENN24 (#10 B.Peebles; #17 C.Ellison)Similar
Q1 0:24
4TH & 13
OWN 24
0
99.2%
(00:28) #98 J.Ross punt 52 yards to the FUR24 fair catch by #2 C.Morin at FUR24 PENALTY FUR Holding 10 yards from FUR24 to FUR14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:101% → 1%
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
99.2%
PENALTY FUR False Start (#86 P.Ross) 5 yards from FUR14 to FUR09. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 0:21
1ST & 15
OWN 9
0
99.2%
(00:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Garcia pass incomplete short middle to #2 C.Morin thrown to FUR18Similar
Q1 0:07
2ND & 15
OWN 9
+5
99.1%
(00:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Garcia pass complete short right to #86 P.Ross caught at FUR14, for 5 yards to the FUR14 (#0 A.Campbell)Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 10
OWN 14
-7
99.1%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Garcia sacked for loss of 7 yards to the FUR07 (#13 E.Spillman)Similar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 17
OWN 7
+12
99.1%
(14:25) #90 W.Pendergrass punt 47 yards to the TENN46 #6 Q.Moss return 12 yards to the FUR42 (#1 C.Easterling)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 8TD
8 plays · 42 yds · 2:4999% → 99%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+24
99.2%
(14:12) Shotgun #6 J.Gordon rush middle for 24 yards gain to the FUR18 (#5 J.Miller), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
99.2%
(13:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Gordon rush middle for 1 yard gain to the FUR17 (#14 A.Davis)Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+8
99.2%
(13:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon rush left for 8 yards gain to the FUR09 (#24 R.Herbert; #5 J.Miller)Similar
Q2 12:32
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+8
99.1%
(12:43) Shotgun #6 J.Gordon rush middle for 8 yards gain to the FUR01 (#99 B.Knauber), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
99.1%
(12:11) Shotgun #6 J.Gordon rush middle for 2 yards loss to the FUR03 (#93 D.Baldwin; #9 E.Lipscomb)Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
99.1%
(11:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Gordon rush middle for 3 yards loss to the FUR06 (#7 G.Butler)Similar
Q2 11:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.3%
(11:18) Shotgun #11 F.Brandon rush left for 6 yards gain to the FUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:14 #28 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #98 J.Ross, LS: #48 B.Brady)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 9DOWNS
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:101% → 1%
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
99.2%
(11:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Garcia pass incomplete short left to #18 J.Williams Jr thrown to FUR25Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+5
99.2%
(11:05) Shotgun #6 C.Nettles rush middle for 5 yards gain to the FUR24 (#24 D.Lewis)Similar
Q2 10:22
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+20
99.2%
(10:28) Shotgun #18 J.Williams Jr rush left for 20 yards gain to the FUR44 (#22 J.Telander), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TENN Personal Foul (#27 J.Perlotte) 15 yards from FUR44 to TENN41, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
99.1%
(10:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Garcia pass complete short right to #12 D.Haughton caught at TENN45, for 2 yards to the TENN39 lateral to #6 C.Nettles for 9 yards gain to the TENN39 (#3 T.Poteat III)Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 8
OPP 39
-1
99.1%
(09:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Nettles rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TENN40 (#2 X.Gilliam)Similar
Q2 8:38
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+6
99.1%
(08:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Garcia pass complete short left to #3 E.Harris caught at TENN40, for 6 yards to the TENN34 (#10 D.Lane; #22 J.Telander)Similar
Q2 7:56
4TH & 3
OPP 34
0
99.0%
(07:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Garcia pass incomplete short right to #3 E.Harris thrown to TENN30 broken up by #3 T.Poteat III, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 10TD
11 plays · 66 yds · 4:4299% → 100%
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
99.3%
(07:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon rush left for 4 yards gain to the TENN38, out of bounds at TENN38Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+7
99.3%
(07:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Morris rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TENN45 (#3 A.Burrell; #19 R.Earl), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
99.3%
(07:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TENN50 (#21 B.Lewis; #24 R.Herbert)Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 5
50
+7
99.3%
(06:36) Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete short left to #3 R.Jackson caught at FUR45, for 7 yards to the FUR43 (#11 T.Short; #21 B.Lewis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
99.3%
(06:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Morris rush middle for 1 yard gain to the FUR42 (#41 T.Schuck; #10 B.Peebles)Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+6
99.2%
(05:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete short left to #3 R.Jackson caught at FUR43, for 6 yards to the FUR36 (#5 J.Miller), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 4:55
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+2
99.2%
(05:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Morris rush middle for 2 yards gain to the FUR34 (#3 A.Burrell)Similar
Q2 4:15
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+2
99.1%
(04:21) Shotgun #18 D.Bishop rush middle for 2 yards gain to the FUR32 (#93 D.Baldwin; #94 C.Bussey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+25
99.1%
(03:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete short left to #3 R.Jackson caught at FUR27, for 25 yards to the FUR07 (#6 J.Tarver), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
98.9%
(03:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Bishop rush middle for 6 yards gain to the FUR01 (#6 J.Tarver)Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
(03:06) No Huddle #18 D.Bishop rush middle for 1 yard gain to the FUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:05 PENALTY FUR Illegal Substitution declined #28 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #98 J.Ross, LS: #48 B.Brady)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:561% → 0%
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
99.5%
(02:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 B.Croasdale rush middle for 3 yards gain to the FUR25 (#13 E.Spillman)Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+5
99.4%
(02:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Garcia pass complete short left to #12 D.Haughton caught at FUR30, for 5 yards to the FUR30, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 2
OWN 30
-1
99.6%
(01:59) Shotgun #11 J.Garcia rush middle for 1 yard loss to the FUR29 fumbled by #11 J.Garcia at FUR29 forced by #2 X.Gilliam recovered by FUR #86 P.Ross at FUR29 (#6 Q.Moss)Similar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
99.9%
(01:52) #90 W.Pendergrass punt 43 yards to the TENN28 fair catch by #6 Q.Moss at TENN28 PENALTY TENN Holding (#88 D.Hardin) 10 yards from TENN28 to TENN18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.9%
(00:16) Kneel down by Furman at FUR23 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 1:18100% → 100%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+20
99.8%
(01:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Bishop rush middle for 20 yards gain to the TENN38 (#6 J.Tarver), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
99.9%
(01:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Bishop rush right for 12 yards gain to the TENN50 (#9 E.Lipscomb; #10 B.Peebles), 1ST DOWN. #1 C.Easterling injured on the playSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
50
+22
99.9%
(01:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon rush middle for 22 yards gain to the FUR28 (#10 B.Peebles), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
99.9%
(01:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Bishop rush middle for 4 yards gain to the FUR24 (#24 R.Herbert)Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
99.9%
(00:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass incomplete short right to #4 M.Matthews thrown to FUR15Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+9
99.9%
(00:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon rush middle for 9 yards gain to the FUR15 (#3 A.Burrell; #24 R.Herbert), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
99.9%
(00:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon rush right for 2 yards loss to the FUR17 (#8 M.Dobbins), out of bounds PENALTY FUR Holding (#6 J.Tarver) 8 yards from FUR15 to FUR07, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.8%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass incomplete short right to #4 M.Matthews thrown to FUR00Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.8%
(00:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon rush middle for 7 yards gain to the FUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:17 #28 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #98 J.Ross, LS: #48 B.Brady)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14TD
4 plays · 76 yds · 0:53100% → 100%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
99.8%
(14:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Gordon rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TENN27 (#41 T.Schuck; #10 B.Peebles)Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+18
99.8%
(14:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete short left to #6 J.Gordon caught at TENN23, for 18 yards to the TENN45 (#17 C.Ellison), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
99.9%
(14:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete deep middle to #4 M.Matthews caught at FUR26, for 55 yards to the FUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:54, 1ST DOWN #28 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #98 J.Ross, LS: #48 B.Brady)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:060% → 0%
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
(13:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 C.Stokes rush middle for 1 yard loss to the FUR24 (#33 J.Norman)Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+9
99.9%
(13:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Garcia pass complete short left to #12 D.Haughton caught at FUR30, for 9 yards to the FUR33 (#6 Q.Moss)Similar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
99.9%
(12:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Garcia pass incomplete short right to #17 J.Pryor thrown to FUR33 broken up by #22 J.Telander QB hurried by #18 T.WeathersbySimilar
Q3 12:43
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.9%
(12:54) #90 W.Pendergrass punt 47 yards to the TENN20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 0:56100% → 100%
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
99.9%
(12:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Bishop rush middle for 18 yards gain to the TENN38 (#9 E.Lipscomb), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.9%
(12:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Bishop rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TENN43 (#14 A.Davis)Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+57
99.9%
(11:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 F.Brandon pass complete deep middle to #4 M.Matthews caught at FUR12, for 57 yards to the FUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:38, 1ST DOWN #28 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #98 J.Ross, LS: #48 B.Brady)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:480% → 0%
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
(11:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Garcia pass complete short right to #86 P.Ross caught at FUR28, for 6 yards to the FUR31 (#0 A.Campbell)Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
99.9%
(11:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Haughton rush left for 1 yard gain to the FUR32 (#1 T.Metcalf), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-2
99.9%
(10:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Garcia sacked for loss of 2 yards to the FUR30 (#9 M.Dye)Similar
Q3 9:41
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
(09:44) #83 D.Gomez punt 38 yards to the TENN32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18FUMBLE
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
99.9%
(09:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 D.Bishop rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TENN38 fumbled by #18 D.Bishop at TENN38 forced by #95 J.Stoneking recovered by FUR #19 R.Earl at TENN38, End Of Play. TENN is challenging the ruling on the field - "Fumble". CALL UPHELDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 19FG
7 plays · 5 yds · 3:250% → 0%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
99.9%
(09:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 C.Stokes rush right for 6 yards gain to the TENN32 (#22 J.Telander)Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+5
99.9%
(08:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Garcia rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TENN27 (#27 J.Perlotte), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-3
99.9%
(08:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Garcia pass complete short middle to #23 C.Stokes caught at TENN30, for 3 yards loss to the TENN30 (#27 J.Perlotte)Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 13
OPP 30
+4
99.9%
(07:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 C.Nettles rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TENN26 (#19 N.Robinson; #27 J.Perlotte)Similar
Q3 6:41
3RD & 9
OPP 26
-7
99.9%
(06:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 J.Garcia sacked for loss of 7 yards to the TENN33 (#2 X.Gilliam)Similar
Q3 5:55
4TH & 16
OPP 33
+50
99.9%
(06:00) #81 N.Chapman field goal attempt from 50 yards GOOD (H: #4 N.Garcia, LS: #15 C.James), clock 05:55Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:54100% → 100%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
(05:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.MacIntyre pass complete short left to #1 T.Smith Jr. caught at TENN23, for 7 yards to the TENN32 (#5 J.Miller)Similar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+10
99.9%
(05:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Gordon rush middle for 10 yards gain to the TENN42 (#12 J.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
99.9%
(05:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.MacIntyre pass complete short left to #1 T.Smith Jr. caught at FUR43, for 15 yards to the FUR43 (#5 J.Miller), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
99.9%
(04:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.MacIntyre pass complete short right to #5 T.Keys caught at FUR44, for 7 yards to the FUR36 (#21 B.Lewis; #28 E.Washington)Similar
Q3 4:26
2ND & 3
OPP 36
0
99.9%
(04:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.MacIntyre pass incomplete short left to #1 T.Smith Jr. thrown to FUR32Similar
Q3 4:17
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+2
99.9%
(04:23) Shotgun #6 J.Gordon rush middle for 2 yards gain to the FUR34 (#93 D.Baldwin; #19 R.Earl)Similar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+2
99.9%
(03:43) Shotgun #6 J.Gordon rush middle for 2 yards gain to the FUR32 (#19 R.Earl), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
99.9%
(03:05) Shotgun #17 D.Morris rush middle for 8 yards gain to the FUR24 (#21 B.Lewis; #9 E.Lipscomb)Similar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+2
99.9%
(02:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 D.Morris rush middle for 2 yards gain to the FUR22 (#21 B.Lewis; #8 M.Dobbins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
99.9%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.MacIntyre pass complete deep right to #5 T.Keys caught at FUR00, for 22 yards to the FUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:50, 1ST DOWN #28 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #98 J.Ross, LS: #48 B.Brady)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 2:020% → 0%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
100.0%
(01:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 I.Davis rush middle for 3 yards gain to the FUR28 (#27 J.Perlotte; #17 E.Utley) PENALTY FUR Chop Block (#72 C.Luna) 12 yards from FUR25 to FUR13. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 1:17
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+4
100.0%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 I.Davis rush middle for 4 yards gain to the FUR17 (#37 K.Golston II)Similar
Q3 0:44
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+3
100.0%
(00:52) Shotgun #10 C.Ackerley pass complete short right to #26 I.Davis caught at FUR18, for 3 yards to the FUR20, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 0:09
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+1
100.0%
(00:16) Shotgun #10 C.Ackerley pass complete short left to #2 C.Morin caught at FUR19, for 1 yard to the FUR21 (#20 T.Metcalf)Similar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
100.0%
(14:59) #83 D.Gomez punt 48 yards to the TENN31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22FUMBLE
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:52100% → 100%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
PENALTY TENN False Start (#77 O.Williams) 5 yards from TENN31 to TENN26. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:41
1ST & 15
OWN 26
0
99.9%
(14:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 G.MacIntyre pass incomplete short left to #81 I.Duarte thrown to TENN35Similar
Q4 14:32
2ND & 15
OWN 26
+4
99.9%
(14:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Baker rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TENN30 (#17 C.Ellison; #7 G.Butler)Similar
Q4 13:55
3RD & 11
OWN 30
-4
99.9%
(13:55) No Huddle-Shotgun Tennessee rush middle for 4 yards loss to the TENN26 fumbled by Tennessee at TENN26 recovered by FUR #9 E.Lipscomb at TENN26, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 23TD
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:240% → 0%
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
100.0%
(13:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Ackerley pass complete short left to #7 D.Hester Jr. caught at TENN24, for 3 yards to the TENN23 (#50 R.Scott)Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 7
OPP 23
0
100.0%
(13:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Ackerley pass incomplete short left to #82 N.Segarra thrown to TENN19Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+23
100.0%
(13:18) Shotgun #26 I.Davis rush middle for 23 yards gain to the TENN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:13, 1ST DOWN #4 N.Garcia rush attempt failedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 24TD
6 plays · 90 yds · 1:13100% → 100%
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+12
100.0%
(13:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Baker rush middle for 12 yards gain to the TENN22 (#12 J.Jones), 1ST DOWN. #81 I.Duarte injured on the playSimilar
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
100.0%
(12:21) Shotgun #12 G.MacIntyre pass complete short right to #19 T.King caught at TENN19, for 5 yards to the TENN27 (#10 B.Peebles)Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+73
100.0%
(11:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Baker rush right for 73 yards gain to the FUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:40, 1ST DOWN #94 J.Turbyville kick attempt good (H: #98 J.Ross, LS: #53 B.Howard)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 25PUNT
11 plays · 42 yds · 4:270% → 0%
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
100.0%
(11:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 I.Davis rush middle for 10 yards gain (1) to the FUR29 (#35 C.Gentle) PENALTY FUR Holding (#61 B.Smith) 10 yards from FUR20 to FUR10Similar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 19
OWN 10
0
100.0%
(11:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Ackerley pass incomplete short left to #7 D.Hester Jr. thrown to FUR15Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 19
OPP 0
+34
99.9%
(11:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 I.Davis rush right for 34 yards gain to the FUR44, out of bounds at FUR44, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was out of bounds". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
100.0%
(10:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #35 E.Grzebin rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TENN49 (#11 J.Burns; #3 T.Poteat III)Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+6
100.0%
(09:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #35 E.Grzebin rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TENN43 (#42 D.Burks), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
100.0%
(09:10) Shotgun #10 C.Ackerley rush left for 4 yards gain to the TENN39 (#50 R.Scott)Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 6
OPP 39
0
100.0%
(08:31) Shotgun #35 E.Grzebin rush middle for 0 yards to the TENN39 (#50 R.Scott; #59 D.Albert)Similar
Q4 7:49
3RD & 6
OPP 39
0
100.0%
(07:49) Shotgun #10 C.Ackerley rush middle for 0 yards to the TENN39 (#97 H.Harris)Similar
Q4 6:57
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
100.0%
(07:01) #90 W.Pendergrass punt 39 yards to the TENN00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 26PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 4:55100% → 100%
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
100.0%
(06:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 H.Barnes rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TENN26 (#59 J.Okolo)Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
100.0%
PENALTY TENN Delay Of Game 5 yards from TENN26 to TENN21. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+11
100.0%
(05:52) Shotgun #8 R.Staub pass complete short right to #88 D.Hardin caught at TENN20, for 11 yards to the TENN32 (#2 T.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
100.0%
(05:09) Shotgun #24 H.Barnes rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TENN37 (#12 J.Jones)Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+11
100.0%
(04:29) Shotgun #8 R.Staub pass complete short left to #36 N.Roberts caught at TENN37, for 11 yards to the TENN48 (#16 M.Woods, Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
100.0%
(03:45) Shotgun #8 R.Staub pass complete short left to #36 N.Roberts caught at FUR47, for 5 yards to the FUR47 (#16 M.Woods, Jr.)Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+1
100.0%
(03:05) Shotgun #24 H.Barnes rush middle for 1 yard gain to the FUR46 (#8 M.Dobbins)Similar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
100.0%
(02:23) Shotgun #24 H.Barnes rush middle for 0 yards to the FUR46 (#8 M.Dobbins)Similar
Q4 1:52
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
100.0%
(01:58) #98 J.Ross punt 37 yards to the FUR09 fair catch by #2 C.Morin at FUR09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FURDrive 27END OF GAME
5 plays · 51 yds · 1:290% → 0%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
100.0%
(01:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 I.Davis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the FUR10 (#51 T.White; #59 D.Albert)Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 9
OWN 10
-3
100.0%
(01:11) Shotgun #26 I.Davis rush middle for 3 yards loss to the FUR07 (#39 D.Rivers). #72 C.Luna injured on the playSimilar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 12
OWN 7
+31
100.0%
(00:42) Shotgun #26 I.Davis rush middle for 31 yards gain to the FUR38 (#21 J.Theodore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+22
100.0%
(00:14) Shotgun #26 I.Davis rush right for 22 yards gain to the TENN40 (#20 T.Metcalf), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:05
(03:06) No Huddle #18 D.Bishop rush middle for 1 yard gain to the FUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:05 PENALTY FUR Illegal Substitution declined #28 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #98 J.Ross, LS: #48 B.Brady)
+0.7
TD · Q2 11:14
(11:18) Shotgun #11 F.Brandon rush left for 6 yards gain to the FUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:14 #28 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #98 J.Ross, LS: #48 B.Brady)
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com