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KENT

Kent State 0 at South Carolina 57

SC
2026 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2026 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:06 · (00:10) #97 J.Stoeckel punt 36 yards to the USC22 fair catch by #23 S.Patterson at USC22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginGarbage-time factor
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 160Pregame prior+0.2Home team on offense+36.4Score differential+31.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+17.5Blowout margin+20.3Garbage-time factor+8.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:18: No Huddle-Shotgun #28 M.Fuller rush middle for 7 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:18 #14 M.Kelley kick attempt good (H: #24 M.Love, LS: #57 K.Farrow) — SC win probability +0.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:41: (12:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete short right to #3 M.Bennett Jr. caught at KSU09, for 18 yards to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:41, 1ST DOWN #87 B.Hunt pass attempt Successful — SC win probability +0.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:25: (06:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 J.Coleman rush middle for 60 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:25, 1ST DOWN #14 M.Kelley kick attempt good (H: #24 M.Love, LS: #57 K.Farrow) — SC win probability +1.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:10: (01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete deep right to #6 D.Murph caught at KSU00, for 29 yards to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:10, 1ST DOWN #14 M.Kelley kick attempt good (H: #24 M.Love, LS: #57 K.Farrow) — SC win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 13:21: (13:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete deep right to #6 D.Murph caught at KSU04, for 37 yards to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:21, 1ST DOWN #32 M.Orsan kick attempt good (H: #24 M.Love, LS: #57 K.Farrow) — SC win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1KENT made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 11:53KENT 4th & 2 at KENT 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:39SC 4th & 18 at SC 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:00KENT 4th & 1 at KENT 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:42KENT 4th & 9 at KENT 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:21KENT 4th & 18 at KENT 46, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:29KENT 4th & 2 at KENT 45, down 22
    Close callPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:40KENT 4th & 13 at KENT 34, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:23KENT 4th & 6 at KENT 29, down 43
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 0:06KENT 4th & 9 at KENT 42, down 57
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 4:18SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:41SC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:25SC Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:10SC Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:21SC Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:20SC Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:12SC Touchdown, up 49 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:26SC Touchdown, up 56 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:502% → 2%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.3%
(14:59) Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short middle to #8 D.Clark caught at KSU28, for 4 yards to the KSU29, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
98.3%
(14:40) Shotgun #0 M.King rush middle for 5 yards gain to the KSU34 (#7 S.Murphy; #1 G.Kilgore)Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
98.2%
(13:59) Shotgun #0 M.King rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU36 (#1 G.Kilgore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
98.1%
(13:08) Shotgun #0 M.King rush left for 7 yards gain to the KSU43 (#1 G.Kilgore)Similar
Q1 12:22
2ND & 3
OWN 43
0
98.0%
(12:26) Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short middle to #8 D.Clark thrown to USC47Similar
Q1 12:12
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+1
98.0%
(12:20) Shotgun #0 M.King rush left for 1 yard gain to the KSU44 (#13 T.Durojaiye) PENALTY KSU Illegal Formation declinedSimilar
Q1 11:53
4TH & 2
OWN 44
+8
97.9%
(12:05) #97 J.Stoeckel punt 42 yards to the USC14 #4 V.Swain return 8 yards to the USC22 (#10 H.Dawahare)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 3:0898% → 98%
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
97.9%
(11:52) Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete short left to #8 N.Harbor caught at USC21, for 15 yards to the USC37 (#2 J.Cordoba), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
97.9%
(11:16) Shotgun #28 M.Fuller rush middle for 3 yards loss to the USC34 (#10 H.Dawahare)Similar
Q1 10:49
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+8
97.8%
(10:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete short right to #8 N.Harbor caught at USC33, for 8 yards to the USC42 (#1 A.Muhammad)Similar
Q1 10:23
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+6
97.8%
(10:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete short left to #3 M.Bennett Jr. caught at USC45, for 6 yards to the USC48 (#19 D.Barnes), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
97.7%
(09:56) PENALTY USC False Start (#62 N.Hay) 5 yards from USC48 to USC43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+1
97.7%
(09:41) Shotgun #28 M.Fuller rush left for 1 yard gain to the USC44 (#4 R.Nicholl; #7 A.Stockstill)Similar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 14
OWN 44
0
97.6%
(09:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass incomplete deep middle to #3 M.Bennett Jr. thrown to KSU30Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 14
OWN 44
-4
97.6%
(09:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Sellers sacked for loss of 4 yards to the USC40 (#4 R.Nicholl)Similar
Q1 8:39
4TH & 18
OWN 40
0
97.5%
(08:46) #24 M.Love punt 37 yards to the KSU23, out of bounds at KSU23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:373% → 3%
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
97.5%
(08:37) Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short left to #22 B.White thrown to KSU20 PENALTY USC Roughing The Passer (#55 J.Walker) 15 yards from KSU23 to KSU38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
97.4%
(08:32) Shotgun #22 B.White rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU40 (#12 Q.Scott)Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
97.3%
(07:57) Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short left to #6 W.Harris thrown to KSU45 broken up by #97 K.CollinsSimilar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+7
97.3%
(07:53) Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short left to #6 W.Harris caught at KSU46, for 7 yards to the KSU47 (#8 J.Collier)Similar
Q1 7:00
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+8
97.2%
(07:09) #97 J.Stoeckel punt 48 yards to the USC05 #4 V.Swain return 8 yards to the USC13 (#25 M.Buchanan), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 2:3197% → 97%
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+42
97.2%
(06:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 M.Fuller rush right for 42 yards gain to the KSU45 (#4 R.Nicholl), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
97.3%
(06:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete short right to #87 B.Hunt caught at KSU38, for 10 yards to the KSU35 (#2 J.Cordoba), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
97.2%
(06:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 M.Fuller rush middle for 5 yards gain to the KSU30 (#44 A.Bottiggi; #33 J.Roy)Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+5
97.1%
(05:36) Shotgun #16 L.Sellers rush middle for 5 yards gain to the KSU25 (#32 T.Rubinstein), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
97.1%
(05:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Clark rush middle for 5 yards gain to the KSU20 (#4 R.Nicholl)Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+13
97.0%
(04:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete short left to #8 N.Harbor caught at KSU20, for 13 yards to the KSU07 (#18 N.Johnson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was out of bounds". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (04:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete short left to #8 N.Harbor caught at KSU20, for 13 yards to the KSU07 (#18 N.Johnson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q1 4:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
97.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #28 M.Fuller rush middle for 7 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:18 #14 M.Kelley kick attempt good (H: #24 M.Love, LS: #57 K.Farrow)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 3:273% → 3%
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
97.2%
(04:17) Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short left to #6 W.Harris caught at KSU32, for 8 yards to the KSU33, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-1
97.0%
(03:29) Shotgun #5 J.Caffey rush middle for 1 yard loss to the KSU32 (#99 G.Brownlow-Dindy)Similar
Q1 2:37
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
97.0%
(02:50) Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short left to #18 H.Hopperton caught at KSU38, for 5 yards to the KSU37 (#19 D.Leach), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
96.8%
(02:02) Shotgun #0 M.King rush left for 1 yard loss to the KSU36 (#13 T.Durojaiye)Similar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+2
96.8%
(01:45) Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short left to #18 H.Hopperton caught at KSU35, for 2 yards to the KSU38 (#14 J.Currence)Similar
Q1 0:51
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
96.7%
(00:58) Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short right to #4 J.Kelley thrown to KSU50 QB hurried by #40 A.Addison and #33 T.PikesSimilar
Q1 0:42
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
96.8%
(00:48) #97 J.Stoeckel punt 47 yards to the USC15 fair catch by #4 V.Swain at USC15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6TD
10 plays · 85 yds · 2:5597% → 97%
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
96.7%
(00:40) Shotgun #10 C.Clark rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USC19 (#15 S.Abuhamdeh)Similar
Q1 0:17
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+10
96.6%
(00:17) Shotgun #28 M.Fuller rush right for 10 yards gain to the USC29 (#1 A.Muhammad), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+22
96.6%
(15:00) Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete short right to #8 N.Harbor caught at USC37, for 22 yards to the KSU49 (#32 T.Rubinstein), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
96.7%
(14:19) Shotgun #10 C.Clark rush middle for 7 yards gain to the KSU42 (#15 S.Abuhamdeh)Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+5
96.6%
(13:59) Shotgun #10 C.Clark rush middle for 5 yards gain to the KSU37 (#19 D.Barnes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
96.6%
(13:39) Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass incomplete deep left to #1 N.Tuggle thrown to KSU02 broken up by #1 A.Muhammad PENALTY KSU Pass Interference (#1 A.Muhammad) 15 yards from KSU37 to KSU22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-4
96.6%
(13:31) Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete short left to #5 M.Tyler caught at KSU27, for 4 yards loss to the KSU26 (#32 T.Rubinstein)Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 14
OPP 26
+8
96.5%
(13:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Clark rush middle for 8 yards gain to the KSU18 (#3 D.Jackson III)Similar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+18
97.4%
(12:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete short right to #3 M.Bennett Jr. caught at KSU09, for 18 yards to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:41, 1ST DOWN #87 B.Hunt pass attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 4:053% → 3%
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
97.2%
(12:33) Shotgun #0 M.King rush right for 4 yards gain to the KSU19 (#39 C.Herring)Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 6
OWN 19
0
97.1%
(11:50) Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short left to #85 B.Smith thrown to KSU23Similar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+9
97.1%
(11:45) Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #0 M.King caught at KSU14, for 9 yards to the KSU28 (#8 J.Collier), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+26
97.0%
(10:58) Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush right for 26 yards gain to the USC46 (#8 J.Collier), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
96.7%
PENALTY KSU False Start (#73 W.Johnson) 5 yards from USC46 to KSU49. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:49
1ST & 15
OWN 49
0
97.0%
(09:54) Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short left to #22 B.White thrown to KSU44Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 15
OWN 49
+3
96.9%
(09:48) Shotgun #0 M.King rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USC48 (#33 T.Pikes)Similar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 12
OPP 48
-6
96.9%
(09:12) Shotgun #12 D.DeShields sacked for loss of 6 yards to the KSU46 (#40 A.Addison)Similar
Q2 8:21
4TH & 18
OWN 46
0
96.9%
(08:30) #97 J.Stoeckel punt 46 yards to the USC08, out of bounds at USC08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8TD
8 plays · 92 yds · 1:5198% → 99%
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
97.9%
(08:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass incomplete short right to #8 N.Harbor thrown to USC13. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+16
97.8%
(08:14) Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete short right to #83 D.Black caught at USC13, for 16 yards to the USC24 fumbled by #83 D.Black at USC23 forced by #20 R.Terrero Jr. recovered by USC #83 D.Black at USC22, #83 D.Black for 2 yards to the USC24, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
97.9%
(07:41) Shotgun #28 M.Fuller rush middle for 4 yards gain to the USC28 (#20 R.Terrero Jr.)Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+5
97.9%
(07:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete short left to #1 N.Tuggle caught at USC34, for 5 yards to the USC33 (#14 T.Bivens)Similar
Q2 6:57
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+2
97.8%
(06:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 M.Fuller rush right for 2 yards gain to the USC35 (#5 T.Aden), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
97.9%
(06:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Sellers sacked for loss of 0 yards to the USC35 (#33 J.Roy, #0 D.Blachewicz) PENALTY KSU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from USC35 to USC40. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 5
OWN 40
+60
99.0%
(06:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 J.Coleman rush middle for 60 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:25, 1ST DOWN #14 M.Kelley kick attempt good (H: #24 M.Love, LS: #57 K.Farrow)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:391% → 1%
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
98.7%
(06:22) Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short middle to #0 M.King caught at KSU37, for 12 yards to the KSU37 (#9 D.Bucey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
98.8%
(05:47) Shotgun #5 J.Caffey rush middle for 0 yards to the KSU37 (#33 T.Pikes)Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
98.8%
(05:03) Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #5 J.Caffey caught at KSU36, for 3 yards to the KSU40 (#34 J.Risher Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 4:06
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+5
98.9%
(04:21) Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #18 H.Hopperton caught at KSU44, for 5 yards to the KSU45 (#0 F.Johnson)Similar
Q2 3:29
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
98.7%
(03:41) #97 J.Stoeckel punt 42 yards to the USC13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10TD
9 plays · 87 yds · 2:0699% → 100%
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
99.2%
(03:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete short left to #6 D.Murph caught at USC17, for 6 yards to the USC19 (#14 T.Bivens)Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+10
99.1%
(03:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete short right to #3 M.Bennett Jr. caught at USC18, for 10 yards to the USC29 (#18 N.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+13
99.1%
(02:29) Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete short right to #83 D.Black caught at USC42, for 13 yards to the USC42, out of bounds at USC42, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+33
99.0%
(01:58) Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete short right to #83 D.Black caught at KSU39, for 33 yards to the KSU25 (#2 J.Cordoba), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.1%
(01:48) Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass incomplete deep left to #3 M.Bennett Jr. thrown to KSU05Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+5
99.1%
PENALTY USC False Start (#3 M.Bennett Jr.) 5 yards from KSU25 to KSU30. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 15
OPP 30
+1
99.1%
(01:42) Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete short left to #23 S.Patterson caught at KSU36, for 1 yard to the KSU29 (#10 H.Dawahare)Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 14
OPP 29
+29
99.6%
(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete deep right to #6 D.Murph caught at KSU00, for 29 yards to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:10, 1ST DOWN #14 M.Kelley kick attempt good (H: #24 M.Love, LS: #57 K.Farrow)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11END OF HALF
12 plays · 19 yds · 0:250% → 0%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
(01:09) Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short right to #89 T.Mulder thrown to KSU25 QB hurried by #40 A.AddisonSimilar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
(01:05) Shotgun #22 B.White rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU28 (#13 T.Durojaiye)Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+11
99.7%
(01:01) Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #89 T.Mulder caught at KSU24, for 11 yards to the KSU39 (#9 D.Bucey; #40 A.Addison), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
99.7%
(00:54) PENALTY KSU False Start (#54 D.Morell) 5 yards from KSU39 to KSU34. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+6
99.7%
(00:55) Shotgun #22 B.White rush middle for 6 yards gain to the KSU40 (#0 F.Johnson; #17 J.Okoronkwo)Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+2
99.7%
(00:48) Shotgun #22 B.White rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU42 (#17 J.Okoronkwo)Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+2
99.7%
(00:42) Shotgun #5 J.Caffey rush right for 2 yards gain to the KSU44 (#8 J.Collier)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:39100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.6%
(15:00) Shotgun #28 M.Fuller rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USC28 (#4 R.Nicholl)Similar
Q3 14:43
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
99.6%
(14:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete short right to #8 N.Harbor caught at USC35, for 12 yards to the USC40 (#1 A.Muhammad), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.6%
(14:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 M.Fuller rush middle for 3 yards gain to the USC43 fumbled by #28 M.Fuller at USC41 recovered by USC #28 K.Barnes at USC43, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
99.6%
(13:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass incomplete deep left to #83 D.Black thrown to KSU20Similar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+20
99.6%
(13:46) Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete short middle to #6 D.Murph caught at KSU39, for 20 yards to the KSU37 (#18 N.Johnson; #1 A.Muhammad), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
99.7%
(13:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete deep right to #6 D.Murph caught at KSU04, for 37 yards to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:21, 1ST DOWN #32 M.Orsan kick attempt good (H: #24 M.Love, LS: #57 K.Farrow)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 2:370% → 0%
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
(13:18) Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short right to #89 T.Mulder thrown to KSU30 broken up by #31 P.WilliamsSimilar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
(13:16) Shotgun #0 M.King rush middle for 5 yards gain to the KSU30 (#97 K.Collins)Similar
Q3 12:25
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
99.7%
(12:32) Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush right for 7 yards gain to the KSU37 (#17 J.Okoronkwo), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-7
99.7%
(11:56) Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short middle to #8 D.Clark caught at KSU33, for 7 yards loss to the KSU30 (#31 P.Williams)Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 17
OWN 30
0
99.7%
(11:32) Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short left to #85 B.Smith thrown to KSU36 QB hurried by #99 G.Brownlow-DindySimilar
Q3 11:11
3RD & 17
OWN 30
+4
99.8%
(11:22) Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short left to #25 D.Delaney Jr. caught at KSU26, for 4 yards to the KSU34 (#9 D.Bucey). #54 D.Morell injured on the playSimilar
Q3 10:40
4TH & 13
OWN 34
+14
99.8%
(10:53) #97 J.Stoeckel punt 52 yards to the USC14 #4 V.Swain return 14 yards to the USC28 (#27 L.Lemon)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 4:13100% → 100%
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
99.8%
(10:37) Shotgun #4 I.Augustave rush middle for 11 yards gain to the USC39 (#52 A.Burgess), 1ST DOWN. #0 D.Blachewicz injured on the playSimilar
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
99.8%
(10:12) Shotgun #4 I.Augustave rush right for 7 yards gain to the USC46 (#15 S.Abuhamdeh; #14 T.Bivens)Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+9
99.8%
(09:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Woods pass complete short right to #13 M.Clark caught at USC48, for 9 yards to the KSU45 (#7 A.Stockstill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.8%
(09:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 I.Augustave rush left for 3 yards gain to the KSU42 (#88 M.Hazime; #15 S.Abuhamdeh)Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
99.8%
(08:43) Shotgun #12 C.Woods pass incomplete short left to #0 L.Cyrus thrown to KSU27Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+16
99.8%
(08:35) Shotgun #22 J.Howell rush left for 16 yards gain to the KSU26 (#2 J.Cordoba), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
99.8%
(08:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Howell rush right for 4 yards gain to the KSU22 (#1 A.Muhammad; #17 S.Bridgeman)Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+3
99.8%
(07:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 I.Augustave rush right for 3 yards gain to the KSU19 (#15 S.Abuhamdeh; #5 T.Aden)Similar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+4
99.8%
(07:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Woods pass complete short right to #5 M.Tyler caught at KSU20, for 4 yards to the KSU15 (#1 A.Muhammad), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
99.8%
(06:43) Shotgun #22 J.Howell rush middle for 8 yards gain to the KSU07 (#19 D.Barnes)Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
(06:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Woods pass complete short right to #5 M.Tyler caught at KSU07, for 7 yards to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:20, 1ST DOWN #32 M.Orsan kick attempt good (H: #24 M.Love, LS: #57 K.Farrow)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:510% → 0%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
(06:18) Shotgun #22 B.White rush right for 1 yard gain to the KSU26 (#27 D.Collins)Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.9%
(05:38) Shotgun #2 N.Good pass complete short left to #6 W.Harris caught at KSU21, for 0 yards to the KSU26 (#12 Q.Scott)Similar
Q3 4:43
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+3
99.9%
(04:48) Shotgun #2 N.Good rush right for 3 yards gain to the KSU29 (#7 S.Murphy) PENALTY KSU Illegal Shift declinedSimilar
Q3 4:23
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.9%
(04:33) #97 J.Stoeckel punt 57 yards to the USC14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16TD
12 plays · 86 yds · 10:05100% → 100%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
99.9%
(04:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 I.Augustave rush middle for 7 yards gain to the USC21 (#22 D.Pritchard)Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+4
99.9%
(03:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Woods pass complete short left to #0 L.Cyrus caught at USC25, for 4 yards to the USC25 (#22 D.Pritchard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+41
99.9%
(03:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Woods pass complete deep left to #0 L.Cyrus caught at KSU35, for 41 yards to the KSU34, out of bounds at KSU34, 1ST DOWN. #8 J.Cordoba injured on the playSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.9%
(02:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Woods pass incomplete short right to #13 M.Clark thrown to KSU25Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+11
99.9%
(02:20) Shotgun #22 J.Howell rush middle for 11 yards gain to the KSU23 (#4 R.Nicholl), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:01
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+8
99.9%
(02:09) Shotgun #12 C.Woods pass complete short right to #0 L.Cyrus caught at KSU14, for 8 yards to the KSU15 (#1 A.Muhammad)Similar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
99.9%
(01:52) Shotgun #22 J.Howell rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU12 (#52 A.Burgess; #10 H.Dawahare), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
99.9%
(01:09) Shotgun #4 I.Augustave rush middle for 7 yards gain to the KSU05 (#4 R.Nicholl)Similar
Q3 0:24
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+4
99.9%
(00:24) Shotgun #4 I.Augustave rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSU01 (#33 J.Roy; #19 D.Barnes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
100.0%
(10:00) Shotgun #22 J.Howell rush middle for 0 yards to the KSU01 (#10 H.Dawahare)Similar
Q4 9:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
(09:13) Shotgun #4 I.Augustave rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:12 #32 M.Orsan kick attempt good (H: #24 M.Love, LS: #57 K.Farrow)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17INT
4 plays · 23 yds · 1:160% → 0%
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
100.0%
(09:10) Shotgun #2 N.Good rush left for 23 yards gain to the KSU48 (#34 J.Risher Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
100.0%
(08:28) Shotgun #5 J.Caffey rush middle for 0 yards to the KSU48 (#11 J.Thomas)Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
100.0%
(07:51) Shotgun #2 N.Good pass intercepted by #28 K.Barnes at USC39, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 5:06100% → 100%
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
100.0%
(07:43) Shotgun #15 L.Anderson III pass complete short right to #18 S.Furrey caught at USC37, for 16 yards to the KSU45 (#13 Q.Rhodes-McKee), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
100.0%
(06:56) Shotgun #21 J.Coleman rush middle for 8 yards gain to the KSU37 (#15 S.Abuhamdeh)Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+3
100.0%
(06:12) Shotgun #22 J.Howell rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU34 (#24 T.Mintz), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
100.0%
(05:29) Shotgun #22 J.Howell rush right for 9 yards gain to the KSU25 (#25 M.Buchanan)Similar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+8
100.0%
(04:43) Shotgun #22 J.Howell rush middle for 8 yards gain to the KSU17 (#25 M.Buchanan; #11 C.Wilborn), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
100.0%
(03:59) Shotgun #15 L.Anderson III pass complete short left to #18 S.Furrey caught at KSU19, for 8 yards to the KSU09 (#25 M.Buchanan)Similar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+4
100.0%
(03:09) Shotgun #21 J.Coleman rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSU05 (#13 Q.Rhodes-McKee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
100.0%
(02:26) Shotgun #21 J.Coleman rush right for 5 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:26 #32 M.Orsan kick attempt good (H: #24 M.Love, LS: #57 K.Farrow)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:040% → 0%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
100.0%
(02:21) Shotgun #10 E.Thanthanavong pass complete short left to #3 J.Etheridge caught at KSU35, for 16 yards to the KSU41 (#29 C.Cisse), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
100.0%
(02:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 D.Delaney Jr. rush right for 0 yards to the KSU41 (#10 G.Wilson)Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
100.0%
(01:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 A.Harris rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU44 (#90 A.Harris)Similar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+5
100.0%
PENALTY KSU False Start (#72 C.Wilson) 5 yards from KSU44 to KSU39. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 12
OWN 39
+3
100.0%
(00:56) Shotgun #33 A.Harris rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU42 (#24 K.Britt; #41 K.Sakyi-Prah)Similar
Q4 0:06
4TH & 9
OWN 42
0
100.0%
(00:10) #97 J.Stoeckel punt 36 yards to the USC22 fair catch by #23 S.Patterson at USC22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20END OF GAME
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-8
100.0%
(00:01) Kneel down by South Carolina at USC14 for loss of 8 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:25
(06:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 J.Coleman rush middle for 60 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:25, 1ST DOWN #14 M.Kelley kick attempt good (H: #24 M.Love, LS: #57 K.Farrow)
+1.1
TD · Q2 12:41
(12:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete short right to #3 M.Bennett Jr. caught at KSU09, for 18 yards to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:41, 1ST DOWN #87 B.Hunt pass attempt Successful
+0.9
TD · Q2 1:10
(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 L.Sellers pass complete deep right to #6 D.Murph caught at KSU00, for 29 yards to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:10, 1ST DOWN #14 M.Kelley kick attempt good (H: #24 M.Love, LS: #57 K.Farrow)
+0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com