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UTEP

UTEP 0 at Oklahoma 51

OU
2026 · Week 1 · Sep 4, 2026 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:30 · (03:30) #91 C.Arreola field goal attempt from 33 yards NO GOOD (H: #47 B.Braun, LS: #46 C.Loeb), clock 03:30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 29Pregame prior+45.9Home team on offense+4.0Score differential+1.4Blowout margin+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.8Garbage-time factor+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:27: (07:47) #47 B.Braun punt 59 yards to the OU12 #1 I.Sategna III return 88 yards to the UTEP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:27 #29 T.Sandell kick attempt good (H: #87 J.Ulrich, LS: #50 B.Anderson) — OU win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:01: (01:08) Shotgun #10 J.Mateer pass complete short right to #81 R.Beers caught at UTEP21, for 40 yards to the UTEP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:01, 1ST DOWN #29 T.Sandell kick attempt good (H: #87 J.Ulrich, LS: #50 B.Anderson) — OU win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 1:42: (01:45) #29 T.Sandell field goal attempt from 32 yards GOOD (H: #87 J.Ulrich, LS: #50 B.Anderson), clock 01:42 — OU win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:47: (11:54) #10 J.Mateer pass complete deep middle to #1 I.Sategna III caught at UTEP07, for 34 yards to the UTEP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:47, 1ST DOWN #29 T.Sandell kick attempt good (H: #87 J.Ulrich, LS: #50 B.Anderson) — OU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5UTEP made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 7:27UTEP 4th & 6 at UTEP 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:30UTEP 4th & 5 at OU 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:04UTEP 4th & 3 at OU 38, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:51UTEP 4th & 14 at OU 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.3%
    51% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:00OU 4th & 2 at UTEP 15, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.5%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:25UTEP 4th & 14 at UTEP 21, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:42OU 4th & 14 at UTEP 14, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:36UTEP 4th & 9 at UTEP 26, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:04UTEP 4th & 25 at UTEP 10, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:15OU 4th & 3 at UTEP 17, up 41
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:25UTEP 4th & 3 at UTEP 32, down 44
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:47OU 4th & 7 at OU 34, up 51
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:41UTEP 4th & 9 at UTEP 30, down 51
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:06UTEP 4th & 15 at UTEP 24, down 51
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:51UTEP 4th & 15 at OU 23, down 51
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−<0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%
    70% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:01OU 4th & 7 at UTEP 42, up 51
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:16OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:27OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:01OU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:47OU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:11OU Touchdown, up 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1TD
14 plays · 76 yds · 5:3499% → 99%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
99.2%
(14:56) Shotgun #9 L.Avant rush middle for 12 yards gain to the OU36 (#23 K.Miles), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
99.1%
(14:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Avant rush left for 13 yards gain to the OU49 (#23 K.Miles), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
99.1%
(14:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Avant rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UTEP44 (#13 I.Bogerty)Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 3
OPP 44
0
99.1%
(13:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Mateer pass incomplete deep left to #14 E.Thomas thrown to UTEP10Similar
Q1 13:13
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+6
99.1%
(13:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Mateer pass complete short right to #1 I.Sategna III caught at UTEP38, for 6 yards to the UTEP38 (#2 X.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
99.1%
(12:46) Shotgun #21 X.Robinson rush left for 3 yards gain to the UTEP35 (#16 E.Guillory)Similar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+24
99.0%
(12:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Mateer pass complete deep left to #14 E.Thomas caught at UTEP14, for 24 yards to the UTEP11 (#23 K.Miles), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
99.0%
(11:29) #9 L.Avant rush right for 5 yards gain to the UTEP06 (#1 E.Fields; #4 G.Hawkins)Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+5
99.0%
(11:13) Shotgun #10 J.Mateer rush right for 5 yards gain to the UTEP01 (#23 K.Miles), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.9%
(10:35) #9 L.Avant rush right for 0 yards to the UTEP01 (#1 E.Fields; #4 G.Hawkins)Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.9%
(10:00) #10 J.Mateer rush middle for 0 yards to the UTEP01 (#90 A.Coker)Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.9%
(09:16) #9 L.Avant rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UTEP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:16 #29 T.Sandell kick attempt good (H: #87 J.Ulrich, LS: #50 B.Anderson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2PUNT TD
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:431% → 1%
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.9%
(09:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UTEP28 (#10 K.Lewis; #38 O.Heinecke)Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
98.8%
(08:38) Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UTEP29 (#3 R.Powers III)Similar
Q1 7:49
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
98.8%
(07:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. pass incomplete short left to #3 J.Smith thrown to UTEP45 broken up by #4 C.GuillorySimilar
Q1 7:27
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+88
98.9%
(07:47) #47 B.Braun punt 59 yards to the OU12 #1 I.Sategna III return 88 yards to the UTEP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:27 #29 T.Sandell kick attempt good (H: #87 J.Ulrich, LS: #50 B.Anderson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3MISSED FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 3:511% → 1%
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
98.9%
(07:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UTEP42 (#25 M.Boganowski; #38 O.Heinecke)Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+10
98.9%
(06:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. rush middle for 10 yards gain to the OU48 (#3 R.Powers III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
98.8%
(06:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. rush right for 5 yards gain to the OU43 (#3 R.Powers III; #44 T.Wein)Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+23
98.8%
(05:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 T.Jones rush middle for 23 yards gain to the OU20 (#22 P.Bowen), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
98.7%
(05:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 T.Jones rush middle for 5 yards gain to the OU15 (#47 J.Nesta; #65 J.Jackson)Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 5
OPP 15
0
98.7%
(04:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the OU15 (#65 J.Jackson)Similar
Q1 3:34
3RD & 5
OPP 15
0
98.7%
(03:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. pass incomplete short right to #5 C.Cheeks thrown to OU00Similar
Q1 3:30
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+33
98.7%
(03:30) #91 C.Arreola field goal attempt from 33 yards NO GOOD (H: #47 B.Braun, LS: #46 C.Loeb), clock 03:30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 2:2299% → 99%
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+25
98.8%
(03:30) Shotgun #10 J.Mateer pass complete short right to #1 I.Sategna III caught at OU18, for 25 yards to the OU45 (#23 K.Miles), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
98.8%
(03:05) Shotgun #21 X.Robinson rush left for 1 yard loss to the OU44 (#1 E.Fields; #8 S.Smith)Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+11
98.8%
(02:25) Shotgun #10 J.Mateer pass complete short right to #1 I.Sategna III caught at OU41, for 11 yards to the UTEP45 (#2 X.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
98.8%
(01:45) #21 X.Robinson rush left for 5 yards gain to the UTEP40 (#9 O.Fisher)Similar
Q1 1:01
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+40
99.1%
(01:08) Shotgun #10 J.Mateer pass complete short right to #81 R.Beers caught at UTEP21, for 40 yards to the UTEP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:01, 1ST DOWN #29 T.Sandell kick attempt good (H: #87 J.Ulrich, LS: #50 B.Anderson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5MISSED FG
14 plays · 43 yds · 5:051% → 1%
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.1%
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. pass complete short left to #0 T.Jones caught at UTEP35, for 6 yards to the UTEP31 (#2 O.Robinson), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
99.0%
(00:25) Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UTEP33 (#38 O.Heinecke)Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+22
99.0%
(14:59) Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. pass complete short left to #4 C.Cheeks caught at OU48, for 22 yards to the OU45 (#4 C.Guillory), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UTEP Holding declinedSimilar
Q2 14:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
99.0%
(14:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. pass complete short right to #5 C.Cheeks caught at OU39, for 5 yards to the OU40 (#23 E.Bowen)Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
99.0%
(14:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. pass incomplete deep middle to #81 J.Nash thrown to OU05 broken up by #22 P.BowenSimilar
Q2 13:47
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+2
99.0%
(13:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OU38 (#0 D.Stone; #65 J.Jackson)Similar
Q2 13:04
4TH & 3
OPP 38
+10
99.0%
(13:09) Shotgun #13 N.Henry rush left for 10 yards gain to the OU28 (#22 P.Bowen), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
99.0%
(12:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. pass complete short left to #2 R.Capell caught at OU28, for 3 yards to the OU25 (#4 C.Guillory; #34 A.Adebawore)Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 7
OPP 25
-2
98.9%
(11:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. rush middle for 2 yards loss to the OU27 (#44 T.Wein; #38 O.Heinecke)Similar
Q2 10:56
3RD & 9
OPP 27
0
99.0%
(10:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. pass incomplete short left to #81 J.Nash thrown to OU31 QB hurried by #38 O.HeineckeSimilar
Q2 10:56
4TH & 9
OPP 27
+5
99.0%
PENALTY UTEP Delay Of Game 5 yards from OU27 to OU32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 10:51
4TH & 14
OPP 32
+50
99.1%
(10:51) #91 C.Arreola field goal attempt from 50 yards NO GOOD (H: #47 B.Braun, LS: #46 C.Loeb), clock 10:51Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 5:4599% → 99%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
99.1%
(10:49) Shotgun #9 L.Avant rush left for 6 yards gain to the OU38 (#0 J.Content; #10 J.Wilson)Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+6
99.2%
(10:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Mateer pass complete short right to #9 L.Avant caught at OU34, for 6 yards to the OU44 (#12 D.Howard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
99.2%
(09:35) No Huddle #9 L.Avant rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OU48 (#98 P.Hickey; #12 D.Howard)Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+1
99.2%
(08:58) #20 J.Hatton Jr. rush left for 1 yard gain to the OU49 (#16 E.Guillory; #13 I.Bogerty)Similar
Q2 7:59
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+15
99.1%
(08:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Mateer pass complete short middle to #89 H.Hansen caught at UTEP40, for 15 yards to the UTEP36 (#12 D.Howard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.1%
(07:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Mateer pass incomplete deep right to #1 I.Sategna III thrown to UTEP15Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+13
99.1%
(07:45) #10 J.Mateer pass complete short left to #11 T.Harris caught at UTEP23, for 13 yards to the UTEP23 (#0 J.Content), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
99.2%
(07:13) Shotgun #9 L.Avant rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UTEP20 (#12 D.Howard; #13 I.Bogerty)Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+2
99.2%
(06:29) #10 J.Mateer rush right for 2 yards gain to the UTEP18 (#9 O.Fisher), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 5:34
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+3
99.1%
(05:46) Shotgun #10 J.Mateer pass complete short right to #81 R.Beers caught at UTEP16, for 3 yards to the UTEP15 (#14 C.Biddle)Similar
Q2 5:00
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+33
99.1%
(05:00) #29 T.Sandell field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #87 J.Ulrich, LS: #50 B.Anderson), clock 05:00Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:281% → 1%
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.0%
(04:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. rush right for 1 yard gain to the UTEP26 (#18 C.Sullivan)Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
99.0%
(04:18) Shotgun #8 K.Thomas rush left for 5 yards loss to the UTEP21 (#3 R.Powers III)Similar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
98.9%
(03:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. pass incomplete deep middle to #4 C.Cheeks thrown to UTEP50Similar
Q2 3:25
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
99.2%
(03:30) #47 B.Braun punt 8 yards to the UTEP29, out of bounds at UTEP29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8FG
8 plays · 15 yds · 1:3699% → 100%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+21
99.3%
(03:24) Shotgun #20 J.Hatton Jr. rush left for 21 yards gain to the UTEP08 (#2 X.Smith), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
99.2%
(02:41) Shotgun #20 J.Hatton Jr. rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UTEP09 (#16 E.Guillory)Similar
Q2 2:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
99.2%
PENALTY UTEP Offside (#90 A.Coker) 5 yards from UTEP09 to UTEP04. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+10
99.3%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Mateer pass complete short right to #81 R.Beers caught at UTEP00, for 4 yards to the UTEP00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 01:55 PENALTY OU Pass Interference (#88 J.Van Dorselaer) 10 yards from UTEP04 to UTEP14. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
0
99.3%
(01:54) Shotgun #10 J.Mateer pass incomplete short middle to #14 E.Thomas thrown to UTEP10Similar
Q2 1:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
0
99.3%
(01:49) Shotgun #10 J.Mateer pass incomplete short right to #11 T.Harris thrown to UTEP00Similar
Q2 1:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+32
99.7%
(01:45) #29 T.Sandell field goal attempt from 32 yards GOOD (H: #87 J.Ulrich, LS: #50 B.Anderson), clock 01:42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9END OF HALF
10 plays · 28 yds · 0:560% → 0%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
(01:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 L.Sperling rush middle for 0 yards to the UTEP25 (#44 T.Wein; #47 J.Nesta)Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.8%
(01:33) Shotgun #32 L.Sperling rush left for 1 yard loss to the UTEP24 (#44 T.Wein) PENALTY OU Personal Foul (#25 M.Boganowski) 15 yards from UTEP24 to UTEP39, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.8%
(01:29) Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. pass incomplete short middle to #81 J.Nash thrown to UTEP45 broken up by #18 C.SullivanSimilar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+9
99.8%
(01:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UTEP48 (#3 R.Powers III)Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+11
99.7%
(00:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. pass complete short left to #0 T.Jones caught at UTEP48, for 11 yards to the OU41 (#4 C.Guillory), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-6
99.8%
(00:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. sacked for loss of 6 yards to the OU47 (#34 A.Adebawore)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10FUMBLE
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:180% → 1%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.6%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. pass complete short right to #0 T.Jones caught at UTEP28, for 5 yards to the UTEP30 (#3 R.Powers III; #23 E.Bowen), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 13:49
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
99.2%
(14:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 J.Smith pass complete short left to #5 C.Cheeks caught at UTEP38, for 8 yards to the UTEP38 (#4 C.Guillory), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
99.3%
(13:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 T.Jones rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UTEP41 (#38 O.Heinecke; #22 P.Bowen)Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+5
99.5%
(13:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 T.Jones rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UTEP46 (#0 D.Stone)Similar
Q3 12:33
3RD & 2
OWN 46
-12
99.4%
(12:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 T.Jones rush right for 12 yards loss to the UTEP34 fumbled by #0 T.Jones at UTEP44 forced by #22 P.Bowen recovered by OU #44 T.Wein at UTEP34, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11TD
2 plays · 34 yds · 0:40100% → 100%
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.8%
(12:32) Shotgun #9 L.Avant rush left for 0 yards to the UTEP34 (#3 S.Bowser), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+34
99.8%
(11:54) #10 J.Mateer pass complete deep middle to #1 I.Sategna III caught at UTEP07, for 34 yards to the UTEP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:47, 1ST DOWN #29 T.Sandell kick attempt good (H: #87 J.Ulrich, LS: #50 B.Anderson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:040% → 0%
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
(11:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UTEP28 (#42 W.Gilmore)Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
99.8%
(11:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. rush left for 3 yards gain to the UTEP31 (#44 T.Wein; #42 W.Gilmore)Similar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
99.8%
(10:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. rush left for 5 yards loss to the UTEP26 (#42 W.Gilmore)Similar
Q3 9:36
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.8%
(09:40) #47 B.Braun punt 31 yards to the OU43, out of bounds at OU43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13TD
4 plays · 57 yds · 0:59100% → 100%
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
99.8%
(09:35) Shotgun #10 J.Mateer pass complete short right to #11 T.Harris caught at UTEP48, for 12 yards to the UTEP48, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.8%
(09:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Mateer pass incomplete short right to #11 T.Harris thrown to UTEP48. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (09:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Mateer pass complete short right to #11 T.Harris caught at UTEP48, for 9 yards to the UTEP48, End Of Play)Similar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+9
99.8%
(08:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Avant rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UTEP48 (#8 S.Smith; #19 S.Miles)Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+48
99.9%
(08:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Mateer pass complete deep middle to #11 T.Harris caught at UTEP20, for 48 yards to the UTEP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:22, 1ST DOWN #29 T.Sandell kick attempt good (H: #87 J.Ulrich, LS: #50 B.Anderson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -15 yds · 2:120% → 0%
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
(08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 L.Sperling rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UTEP27 (#3 R.Powers III; #10 K.Lewis)Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
99.9%
(07:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #32 L.Sperling rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UTEP33 (#14 T.Haynes; #38 O.Heinecke) PENALTY UTEP UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#5 T.Tillman) 15 yards from UTEP33 to UTEP18Similar
Q3 6:58
3RD & 17
OWN 18
-4
99.9%
(07:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 E.Colson Jr. sacked for loss of 8 yards to the UTEP10 (#8 B.Thomas, #10 K.Lewis)Similar
Q3 6:04
4TH & 25
OWN 10
+27
99.9%
(06:15) punt 53 yards to the OU37 #1 I.Sategna III return 27 yards to the UTEP36 (#8 S.Smith)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15FG
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:44100% → 100%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
99.9%
(06:03) Shotgun #9 L.Avant rush left for 9 yards gain to the UTEP27 (#17 D.Williams), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+3
99.9%
(05:28) #9 L.Avant rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UTEP24 (#3 S.Bowser; #12 D.Howard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.9%
(04:46) Shotgun #10 J.Mateer pass incomplete short middle to #17 M.Alleyne thrown to UTEP13Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+8
99.9%
(04:40) Shotgun #9 L.Avant rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UTEP16 (#32 A.Hutchinson)Similar
Q3 3:59
3RD & 2
OPP 16
-1
99.9%
(04:04) Shotgun #9 L.Avant rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UTEP17 (#3 S.Bowser; #10 J.Wilson)Similar
Q3 3:15
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+34
99.9%
(03:19) #35 L.Evans field goal attempt from 34 yards GOOD (H: #87 J.Ulrich, LS: #50 B.Anderson), clock 03:15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16DOWNS
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:440% → 0%
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
(03:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 R.Moore III pass incomplete deep right to #81 J.Nash thrown to OU40 broken up by #24 J.JohnsonSimilar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
(03:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 R.Moore III rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UTEP30 (#30 D.Bathurst; #34 A.Adebawore)Similar
Q3 2:12
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
100.0%
(02:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 R.Moore III rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UTEP32 (#90 T.Wilson; #47 J.Nesta)Similar
Q3 1:25
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
100.0%
(01:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 R.Moore III pass incomplete short left to #7 J.Brown thrown to UTEP36, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17TD
9 plays · 32 yds · 4:08100% → 100%
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
99.9%
(01:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 X.Robinson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UTEP26 (#18 D.Thompson; #21 D.Davis)Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+3
99.9%
(00:45) Shotgun #21 X.Robinson rush left for 3 yards gain to the UTEP23 (#18 D.Thompson; #17 D.Williams)Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+3
99.9%
(14:59) Shotgun #21 X.Robinson rush left for 3 yards gain to the UTEP20 (#8 S.Smith; #55 L.Parrish), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
99.9%
(14:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 W.Newbauer pass complete short left to #3 P.Livingstone caught at UTEP15, for 6 yards to the UTEP14 (#5 T.Tillman; #17 D.Williams)Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+11
99.9%
(13:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 X.Robinson rush left for 11 yards gain to the UTEP03 (#17 D.Williams; #20 G.Stewart), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
(13:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 W.Newbauer rush left for 0 yards to the UTEP03 (#13 I.Bogerty; #12 D.Howard)Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
100.0%
(12:15) Shotgun #16 W.Newbauer rush left for 3 yards gain to the UTEP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:11 #35 L.Evans kick attempt good (H: #87 J.Ulrich, LS: #50 B.Anderson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18FUMBLE
3 plays · 44 yds · 0:320% → 0%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+51
100.0%
(12:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 R.Moore III rush middle for 51 yards gain to the OU24 (#5 M.Ford), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-7
100.0%
(11:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 R.Moore III rush right for 7 yards loss to the OU31 fumbled by #12 R.Moore III at OU30 recovered by OU #47 J.Nesta at OU31, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:36100% → 100%
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
100.0%
(11:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Bentley pass incomplete short left to #0 M.Choice thrown to OU45 broken up by #27 L.ThompsonSimilar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+5
100.0%
(11:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 A.Bass rush middle for 5 yards gain to the OU36 (#93 J.Brasher; #20 G.Stewart)Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 5
OWN 36
-2
100.0%
(10:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Bentley sacked for loss of 2 yards to the OU34 (#11 D.Burns)Similar
Q4 9:47
4TH & 7
OWN 34
+7
100.0%
(09:55) #43 G.Miller punt 44 yards to the UTEP22 #13 N.Henry return 7 yards to the UTEP29 (#38 O.Heinecke), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 2:280% → 0%
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
100.0%
(09:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 E.McCoy rush middle for 0 yards to the UTEP29 (#33 L.Bauer)Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+9
100.0%
(09:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 R.Moore III rush left for 9 yards gain (9) to the UTEP38 (#13 N.Jandreau) PENALTY UTEP Holding (#7 J.Brown) 10 yards from UTEP38 to UTEP28Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 11
OWN 28
+2
100.0%
(08:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 E.McCoy rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UTEP30 (#58 J.Carrington; #47 J.Nesta)Similar
Q4 7:41
4TH & 9
OWN 30
-3
100.0%
(07:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 R.Moore III sacked for loss of 6 yards to the UTEP24 (#98 J.Kreul, #58 J.Carrington)Similar
Q4 7:06
4TH & 15
OWN 24
0
100.0%
(07:06) #47 B.Braun punt 46 yards to the OU30 fair catch by #7 J.Jordan at OU30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 21FUMBLE
1 play · -13 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-13
100.0%
(07:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 A.Bass rush left for 13 yards loss to the OU17 fumbled by #25 A.Bass at OU26 forced by #11 D.Burns recovered by UTEP #32 A.Hutchinson at OU17 #32 A.Hutchinson return for loss of 1 yard to the OU18 (#72 F.Hinton)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 22MISSED FG
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:560% → 0%
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
100.0%
(06:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 R.Moore III rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OU15 (#55 D.Saili; #30 D.Bathurst)Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 7
OPP 15
-4
100.0%
(06:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 R.Moore III rush middle for 4 yards loss to the OU19 (#30 D.Bathurst; #42 W.Gilmore)Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 11
OPP 19
-4
100.0%
(05:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 R.Moore III sacked for loss of 4 yards to the OU23 (#30 D.Bathurst)Similar
Q4 4:51
4TH & 15
OPP 23
+41
100.0%
(04:53) #91 C.Arreola field goal attempt from 41 yards NO GOOD (H: #47 B.Braun, LS: #46 C.Loeb), clock 04:51Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 23PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 3:40100% → 100%
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
100.0%
(04:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 B.McCreary rush left for 5 yards gain to the OU28 (#27 L.Thompson)Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+3
100.0%
(04:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 B.McCreary rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OU31 (#11 D.Burns; #41 V.Brunswick II)Similar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+24
100.0%
(03:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 B.McCreary rush middle for 24 yards gain to the UTEP45 (#20 G.Stewart), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
100.0%
(02:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 B.McCreary rush middle for 0 yards to the UTEP45 (#25 R.Wilson; #24 J.Guerrero)Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
100.0%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 B.McCreary rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UTEP40 (#41 V.Brunswick II; #25 R.Wilson)Similar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+3
100.0%
(01:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 B.McCreary rush left for 3 yards gain to the UTEP37 (#42 C.Windfont; #32 A.Hutchinson)Similar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 2
OPP 37
+5
100.0%
PENALTY OU Delay Of Game 5 yards from UTEP37 to UTEP42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
100.0%
(01:02) #87 J.Ulrich punt 42 yards to the UTEP00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 26 yds · 0:280% → 0%
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
100.0%
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 R.Moore III pass complete short middle to #85 J.Stoner caught at UTEP22, for 6 yards to the UTEP26 (#13 N.Jandreau)Similar
Q4 0:04
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+8
100.0%
(00:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 R.Moore III pass complete short middle to #18 D.Thompson caught at UTEP30, for 8 yards to the UTEP34 (#5 M.Ford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
100.0%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 R.Moore III pass complete short left to #2 R.Capell caught at UTEP44, for 12 yards to the UTEP46 (#5 M.Ford; #14 T.Haynes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 1:42
(01:45) #29 T.Sandell field goal attempt from 32 yards GOOD (H: #87 J.Ulrich, LS: #50 B.Anderson), clock 01:42
+0.4
TD · Q1 1:01
(01:08) Shotgun #10 J.Mateer pass complete short right to #81 R.Beers caught at UTEP21, for 40 yards to the UTEP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:01, 1ST DOWN #29 T.Sandell kick attempt good (H: #87 J.Ulrich, LS: #50 B.Anderson)
+0.3
TD · Q1 7:27
(07:47) #47 B.Braun punt 59 yards to the OU12 #1 I.Sategna III return 88 yards to the UTEP00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:27 #29 T.Sandell kick attempt good (H: #87 J.Ulrich, LS: #50 B.Anderson)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com