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ECU

East Carolina 10 at Alabama 48

ALA
2026 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2026 · Bryant-Denny Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadECU aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreECU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of GameFG—ALA 95.9%Conor Talty 41 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 3 · Q1 9:30
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:30 · Conor Talty 41 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 11Pregame prior+44.7Home team on offense+0.5Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.1Blowout margin−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:48: Daniel Hill run for 4 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK) — ALA win probability +1.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:41: Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jeremiah Melvin for 1 yd for a TD (Noah Perez KICK) — ECU win probability +2.1 pts (now 6%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:02: Daniel Hill run for 2 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK) — ALA win probability +2.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:15: Mitch Griffis pass intercepted Yhonzae Pierre return for 27 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK) — ALA win probability +1.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:14: Keelon Russell run for 3 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK) — ALA win probability +1.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5ECU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 9:30ALA 4th & 9 at ECU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.6%
    70% to make
    Punt
    94.2%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:14ECU 4th & 1 at ECU 34, down 3
    Close callPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:12ECU 4th & 26 at ECU 9, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:25ECU 4th & 7 at ECU 43, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:15ALA 4th & 2 at ECU 42, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    97.3%−0.3
    30% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:44ECU 4th & 11 at ECU 24, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:54ECU 4th & 7 at ALA 17, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:20ALA 4th & 2 at ALA 33, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:47ECU 4th & 1 at ECU 26, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:11ALA 4th & 15 at ALA 25, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:14ECU 4th & 10 at ECU 31, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:25ECU 4th & 8 at ECU 27, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:15ALA 4th & 3 at ECU 3, up 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:19ECU 4th & 10 at ECU 49, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ECU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:12ALA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:48ALA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:41ECU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:02ALA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:15ALA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:14ALA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:57ALA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ALADrive 1FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 5:1197% → 96%
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
96.7%
Keelon Russell run for 1 yd to the ALA 32Similar
Q1 14:07
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+3
96.6%
Daniel Hill run for 3 yds to the ALA 35Similar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+23
96.6%
Keelon Russell run for 23 yds to the ECU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
96.5%
Daniel Hill run for 8 yds to the ECU 34Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+10
96.4%
Daniel Hill run for 10 yds to the ECU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-6
96.3%
Trae'shawn Brown run for a loss of 6 yards to the ECU 30Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 16
OPP 30
-5
96.2%
Alabama Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ECU 35Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 21
OPP 35
+7
96.1%
Keelon Russell pass complete to Daniel Hill for 7 yds to the ECU 28Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 14
OPP 28
+5
95.9%
Keelon Russell pass complete to Lotzeir Brooks for 5 yds to the ECU 23Similar
Q1 9:30
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+41
95.9%
Conor Talty 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:124% → 4%
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.9%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
95.9%
Ashton Gray run for 9 yds to the ECU 34Similar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
95.8%
Ashton Gray run for no gain to the ECU 34Similar
Q1 8:14
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
95.7%
Tomas O'Halloran punt for 52 yds , Ryan Coleman-Williams returns for no gain to the ALA 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 3TD
11 plays · 86 yds · 3:5096% → 96%
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+18
95.6%
Keelon Russell pass complete to Ryan Coleman-Williams for 18 yds to the ALA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
95.5%
Trae'shawn Brown run for 6 yds to the ALA 38Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+6
95.5%
Keelon Russell run for 6 yds to the ALA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
95.4%
Keelon Russell pass incomplete to Ryan Coleman-Williams Alabama Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Keelon Russell) to the ALA 39Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 15
OWN 40
+15
95.2%
East Carolina Penalty, Roughing Passer (Torin Brazell) to the ECU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
95.4%
Alabama Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ECU 43Similar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 15
OPP 43
0
95.2%
Keelon Russell pass incomplete to Ryan Coleman-WilliamsSimilar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 15
OPP 43
+31
95.1%
Keelon Russell pass complete to Derek Meadows for 31 yds to the ECU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
95.2%
EJ Crowell run for 9 yds to the ECU 3Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+3
95.7%
EJ Crowell run for 3 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK)Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 0
OPP 3
-5
95.8%
Alabama Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ECU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -16 yds · 1:485% → 5%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.3%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Ray Ray Joseph Jr. for 3 yds to the ECU 28Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-22
95.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 22 yards to the ECU 6Similar
Q1 2:51
3RD & 29
OWN 6
+3
95.4%
Ashton Gray run for 3 yds to the ECU 9Similar
Q1 2:12
4TH & 26
OWN 9
+23
95.4%
Tomas O'Halloran punt for 55 yds , Ryan Coleman-Williams returns for 23 yds to the ECU 32 East Carolina Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the ECU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 5TD
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:1795% → 97%
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
95.4%
Daniel Hill run for 5 yds to the ECU 21Similar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+5
95.3%
Daniel Hill run for 5 yds to the ECU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
95.2%
Daniel Hill run for 5 yds to the ECU 11Similar
Q1 0:24
2ND & 5
OPP 11
0
95.2%
Keelon Russell pass incomplete to Kaleb EdwardsSimilar
Q1 0:14
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+2
95.0%
Keelon Russell run for 2 yds to the ECU 9Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+5
94.8%
East Carolina Penalty, Defensive Offside (Rion Roseborough) to the ECU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.7%
Daniel Hill run for 4 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 6TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:524% → 6%
Q2 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.4%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jeremiah Melvin for 6 yds to the ECU 31Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+68
96.3%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 68 yds to the ALA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.2%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jeremiah Melvin for 1 yd for a TD (Noah Perez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 7TD
9 plays · 86 yds · 3:1694% → 97%
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
94.3%
EJ Crowell run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 13Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 11
OWN 13
0
94.1%
Keelon Russell pass incomplete to Rico ScottSimilar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 11
OWN 13
+58
93.9%
Keelon Russell pass complete to Ryan Coleman-Williams for 58 yds to the ECU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
94.4%
Keelon Russell pass complete to EJ Crowell for 13 yds to the ECU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
94.3%
Daniel Hill run for 5 yds to the ECU 11Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+9
94.3%
Keelon Russell run for 9 yds to the ECU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.7%
Daniel Hill run for 2 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 8INT TD
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:444% → 3%
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
96.1%
East Carolina Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the ECU 20Similar
Q2 9:38
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+6
96.1%
Mitch Griffis run for 6 yds to the ECU 26Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-27
97.5%
Mitch Griffis pass intercepted Yhonzae Pierre return for 27 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:503% → 3%
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
97.5%
East Carolina Penalty, Personal Foul (-12 Yards) to the ECU 13Similar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 22
OWN 13
-3
97.5%
Mitch Griffis sacked by Terrance Green for a loss of 3 yards to the ECU 10Similar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 25
OWN 10
+30
97.6%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jeremiah Melvin for 30 yds to the ECU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
97.3%
Ashton Gray run for 4 yds to the ECU 44Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
97.2%
Ashton Gray run for no gain to the ECU 44Similar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 6
OWN 44
-1
97.3%
Mitch Griffis run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 43Similar
Q2 6:25
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
97.4%
Tomas O'Halloran punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 10TD
19 plays · 80 yds · 6:0398% → 99%
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
98.0%
Trae'shawn Brown run for 2 yds to the ALA 22Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+15
98.0%
Keelon Russell pass complete to Rico Scott for 15 yds to the ALA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
98.1%
Keelon Russell run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
50
0
98.1%
Lotzeir Brooks run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 10
50
-4
98.1%
Keelon Russell sacked by Torin Brazell for a loss of 4 yards to the ECU 46 Alabama Penalty, Intentional Grounding (TEAM) to the ALA 46Similar
Q2 3:36
3RD & 14
OWN 46
+12
98.0%
Keelon Russell pass complete to Ryan Coleman-Williams for 12 yds to the ECU 42Similar
Q2 2:15
4TH & 2
OPP 42
+16
98.0%
Keelon Russell pass complete to Ryan Coleman-Williams for 16 yds to the ECU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
98.3%
EJ Crowell run for 2 yds to the ECU 24Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+9
98.2%
Ryan Coleman-Williams run for 9 yds to the ECU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
98.3%
Keelon Russell pass complete to Rico Scott for 6 yds to the ECU 9Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 4
OPP 9
0
98.3%
Keelon Russell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+1
98.2%
Keelon Russell run for 1 yd to the ECU 8Similar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+4
98.2%
East Carolina Penalty, Defensive Offside (4 Yards) to the ECU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
98.2%
Keelon Russell pass complete to Kaleb Edwards for 1 yd to the ECU 3Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
98.1%
Keelon Russell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.4%
Keelon Russell run for 3 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the ECU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:101% → 0%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.4%
Mitch Griffis run for 5 yds to the ECU 30Similar
Q3 14:32
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.4%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:25
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-6
99.6%
Mitch Griffis sacked by Yhonzae Pierre for a loss of 6 yards to the ECU 24Similar
Q3 13:44
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.6%
Tomas O'Halloran punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Ryan Coleman-Williams at the ALA 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 13FUMBLE
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:05100% → 99%
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.5%
Keelon Russell pass incomplete to Rico ScottSimilar
Q3 13:33
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.4%
Keelon Russell run for a loss of 7 yards to the ALA 31 Ryan Coleman-Williams fumbled, recovered by ECU Kieran Davis , return for 4 yds to the ALA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 14FG
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:191% → 1%
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
99.5%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Ismael Smith Flores for 4 yds to the ALA 27Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+7
99.5%
Michael Allen run for 7 yds to the ALA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
99.5%
Michael Allen run for 3 yds to the ALA 17Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 7
OPP 17
0
99.5%
Michael Allen run for no gain to the ALA 17Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 7
OPP 17
0
99.6%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:54
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+34
99.4%
Noah Perez 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:26100% → 100%
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.5%
Trae'shawn Brown run for 7 yds to the ALA 32Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-5
99.5%
Trae'shawn Brown run for 5 yds to the ALA 37 Alabama Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ALA 27Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
99.5%
Kevin Riley run for 6 yds to the ALA 33Similar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
99.6%
Keelon Russell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:20
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.6%
Alex Asparuhov punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Kyler Pearson at the ECU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:240% → 0%
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
99.6%
Ashton Gray run for 1 yd to the ECU 18Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 9
OWN 18
0
99.7%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:24
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+8
99.7%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Ray Ray Joseph Jr. for 8 yds to the ECU 26Similar
Q3 7:47
4TH & 1
OWN 26
0
99.7%
Tomas O'Halloran punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Ryan Coleman-Williams at the ALA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:28100% → 100%
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.7%
EJ Crowell run for 5 yds to the ALA 35Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 5
OWN 35
-10
99.7%
Keelon Russell pass complete to Keelon Russell for a loss of 10 yards to the ALA 25Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 15
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Keelon Russell pass incomplete to Ryan Coleman-WilliamsSimilar
Q3 6:11
4TH & 15
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Alex Asparuhov punt for 54 yds , Kyler Pearson returns for no gain to the ECU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:460% → 0%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
99.7%
TJ Engleman Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECU 19Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 12
OWN 19
+12
99.7%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Ray Ray Joseph Jr. for 12 yds to the ECU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
99.8%
East Carolina Penalty, False Start (Bryce Weaver) to the ECU 26Similar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 15
OWN 26
0
99.8%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jason Dickerson for no gain to the ECU 26Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 15
OWN 26
+5
99.8%
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Ismael Smith Flores for 5 yds to the ECU 31Similar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Mitch Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:14
4TH & 10
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Tomas O'Halloran punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ryan Coleman-Williams at the ALA 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 19TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 3:04100% → 100%
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+26
99.8%
Keelon Russell pass complete to Ryan Coleman-Williams for 26 yds to the ALA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.8%
Keelon Russell pass incomplete to Marshall PritchettSimilar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
99.8%
Keelon Russell pass incomplete to Marshall PritchettSimilar
Q3 2:26
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+17
99.8%
Keelon Russell run for 17 yds to the ECU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
99.8%
Keelon Russell pass complete to Derek Meadows for 6 yds to the ECU 28Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+5
99.8%
Kevin Riley run for 5 yds to the ECU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
99.8%
Kevin Riley run for 1 yd to the ECU 22Similar
Q3 0:02
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+20
99.8%
Keelon Russell pass complete to Kaleb Edwards for 20 yds to the ECU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Trae'shawn Brown run for 2 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:590% → 0%
Q4 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Emory Williams run for 1 yd to the ECU 26Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
99.9%
Michael Allen run for 1 yd to the ECU 27Similar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Emory Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:25
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+4
99.9%
Tomas O'Halloran punt for 50 yds , Ryan Coleman-Williams returns for 4 yds to the ALA 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 21FG
12 plays · 70 yds · 6:59100% → 100%
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
99.9%
EJ Crowell run for 13 yds to the ALA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
99.9%
EJ Crowell run for 6 yds to the ALA 46Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+2
99.9%
Kevin Riley run for 2 yds to the ALA 48Similar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+3
99.9%
Kevin Riley run for 3 yds to the ECU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
99.9%
Keelon Russell run for 16 yds to the ECU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Kevin Riley run for no gain to the ECU 33Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+7
99.9%
Keelon Russell pass complete to Derek Meadows for 7 yds to the ECU 26Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+18
99.9%
Keelon Russell pass complete to Lotzeir Brooks for 18 yds to the ECU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
99.9%
Keelon Russell run for 6 yds to the ECU 2Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
99.9%
Trae'shawn Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECU 3Similar
Q4 6:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
Keelon Russell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
99.9%
Conor Talty 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:490% → 0%
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Michael Allen run for 1 yd to the ECU 26Similar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+23
99.9%
Emory Williams pass complete to Jeremiah Melvin for 23 yds to the ECU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
99.9%
Michael Allen run for 3 yds to the ALA 48Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 7
OPP 48
-3
100.0%
Emory Williams sacked by Fatutoa Henry for a loss of 3 yards to the ECU 49Similar
Q4 3:26
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
100.0%
Emory Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:19
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
100.0%
Tomas O'Halloran punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Rico Scott at the ALA 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 23END OF GAME
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:51100% → 100%
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
100.0%
Khalifa Keith run for no gain to the ALA 12Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+4
100.0%
Austin Mack pass complete to Danny Lewis for 4 yds to the ALA 16Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+6
100.0%
Austin Mack run for 6 yds to the ALA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
100.0%
Austin Mack pass incomplete to Derek MeadowsSimilar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+2
100.0%
Khalifa Keith run for 2 yds to the ALA 24Similar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+10
100.0%
Khalifa Keith run for 10 yds to the ALA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ALA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:02
Daniel Hill run for 2 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK)
+2.4
TD · Q2 13:41
Mitch Griffis pass complete to Jeremiah Melvin for 1 yd for a TD (Noah Perez KICK)
-2.1
TD · Q2 14:48
Daniel Hill run for 4 yds for a TD (Conor Talty KICK)
+1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com