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GASO

Georgia Southern 29 at App State 10

APP
2025 · JLab Birmingham Bowl · Dec 29, 2025 · Protective Stadium
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Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:14 · (12:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV rush left for 3 yards gain to the ASU19 (#41 C.Sandstrom; #10 C.Phares), 1ST DOWN
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+51.5+25.80−25.8−51.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 43Home team on offense−4.6Pregame prior−22.3Score differential−1.5Garbage-time factor−1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:51: (01:54) Shotgun #6 M.Wilson rush left for 6 yards gain to the GSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:51 #90 D.De Freitas kick attempt good (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #47 J.Poff) — APP win probability +14.3 pts (now 37%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:01: (00:00) #95 T.Bryant field goal attempt from 36 yards GOOD (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #89 J.Wheeler), clock 00:00 — GASO win probability +4.7 pts (now 78%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:34: (13:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 W.Bryan rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ASU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:34 #12 J.French IV pass attempt failed — GASO win probability +6.1 pts (now 83%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:50: (08:50) Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete deep middle to #5 M.Sanders Jr. caught at ASU00, for 32 yards to the ASU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:50, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Bryant kick attempt good (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #89 J.Wheeler) #95 T.Bryant kick attempt good (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #89 J.Wheeler) PENALTY #95 T.Bryant kick attempt good (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #89 J.Wheeler) PENALTY ASU Running Into The Kicker declined — GASO win probability +9.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 3:46: (03:48) #90 D.De Freitas field goal attempt from 27 yards GOOD (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #47 J.Poff), clock 03:46 — APP win probability +3.3 pts (now 14%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 4 of 4GASO made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 13:37APP 4th & 9 at APP 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:23APP 4th & 20 at GASO 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%−0.9
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    26.3%−1.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:04GASO 4th & 8 at GASO 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:14GASO 4th & 3 at APP 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    71.6%−0.3
    72% to make
    Punt
    69.0%−3.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:00GASO 4th & 5 at APP 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.6%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    67.7%−4.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:34GASO 4th & 5 at GASO 7, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:01GASO 4th & 2 at APP 18, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.0%−1.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    60.7%−7.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:46APP 4th & 7 at GASO 9, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.5%
    89% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−7.8
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:59APP 4th & 9 at APP 45, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:57GASO 4th & 2 at APP 9, up 16
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.2%−0.4
    89% to make
    Punt
    94.0%−2.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1GASO made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 8:23GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:51APP Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:34GASO Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    79.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    79.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:50GASO Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
APPDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2321% → 22%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
21.1%
Shotgun #22 J.Lewis rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ASU27 (#91 D.Rhodes)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
21.1%
Shotgun #22 J.Lewis rush middle for 1 yard loss to the ASU26 (#93 C.Moore)Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
21.1%
Shotgun #11 N.Gillon pass incomplete short right to #8 D.Stroman thrown to ASU36 broken up by #12 T.Hill Jr.Similar
Q1 13:37
4TH & 9
OWN 26
-2
21.7%
#37 I.Ratliff punt 38 yards to the GSU36 #24 P.Plott return for loss of 2 yards to the GSU34 (#7 J.Favors)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2TD
11 plays · 66 yds · 5:1478% → 78%
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
21.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short left to #22 O.Arnold caught at GSU32, for 4 yards to the GSU38 (#10 C.Phares; #97 K.Abrams-Verwayne), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+2
21.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short right to #22 O.Arnold caught at GSU39, for 2 yards to the GSU40 (#7 J.Favors)Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+5
21.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short left to #5 M.Sanders Jr. caught at GSU37, for 5 yards to the GSU45 (#5 Z.Gamble), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
21.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 O.Arnold rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GSU49 (#93 D.Cooper; #41 C.Sandstrom)Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+10
21.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV rush middle for 10 yards gain to the ASU41 (#41 C.Sandstrom), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
21.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short left to #5 M.Sanders Jr. caught at ASU35, for 11 yards to the ASU30 (#2 E.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
21.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ASU28 (#10 C.Phares)Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+9
21.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #20 T.Gibbs rush middle for 9 yards gain to the ASU19 (#56 K.Arnholt; #10 C.Phares), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+13
21.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short middle to #13 D.Gary caught at ASU06, for 13 yards to the ASU06, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
21.6%
No Huddle #20 T.Gibbs rush right for 5 yards gain to the ASU01 (#56 K.Arnholt)Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
21.9%
Shotgun #20 T.Gibbs rush right for 1 yard gain to the ASU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:23 #95 T.Bryant kick attempt good (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #89 J.Wheeler)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 3MISSED FG
11 plays · 47 yds · 5:0023% → 23%
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
22.5%
Shotgun #11 N.Gillon pass complete short right to #16 A.Sanchez caught at ASU31, for 9 yards to the ASU34 (#23 D.Smith; #5 A.Jackson) PENALTY GSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#5 A.Jackson) 15 yards from ASU34 to ASU49, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
23.0%
Shotgun #6 M.Wilson rush middle for 0 yards to the ASU49 (#9 J.Meyers)Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+12
22.9%
Shotgun #6 M.Wilson pass complete short left to #22 J.Lewis caught at ASU49, for 12 yards to the GSU39 (#19 A.Chaney), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
23.1%
Shotgun #11 N.Gillon sacked for loss of 11 yards to the GSU50 (#96 J.Ticket) PENALTY GSU Offside (#51 M.Williams) 5 yards from GSU39 to GSU34. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 5
OPP 34
+16
23.3%
Shotgun #11 N.Gillon pass complete short left to #3 S.Mbake caught at GSU20, for 16 yards to the GSU18 (#19 A.Chaney), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Forward pass". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
23.3%
Shotgun #22 J.Lewis rush left for 0 yards to the GSU18, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-1
23.3%
Shotgun #22 J.Lewis rush right for 1 yard loss to the GSU19 (#23 D.Smith)Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 11
OPP 19
+1
23.0%
Shotgun #6 M.Wilson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the GSU18 (#7 J.Ferguson; #9 J.Meyers)Similar
Q1 3:28
4TH & 15
OPP 23
+5
23.4%
PENALTY ASU False Start 5 yards from GSU23 to GSU28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 3:23
4TH & 20
OPP 28
+46
23.3%
#90 D.De Freitas field goal attempt from 46 yards NO GOOD (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #47 J.Poff), clock 03:23, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1977% → 76%
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
23.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 O.Arnold rush left for 5 yards gain to the GSU33 (#96 S.Farrior)Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 5
OWN 33
0
22.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass incomplete short right to #4 C.Brown thrown to GSU39 QB hurried by #33 A.BentonSimilar
Q1 3:23
3RD & 5
OWN 33
-2
23.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV sacked for loss of 3 yards to the GSU30 (#96 S.Farrior, #33 A.Benton)Similar
Q1 2:04
4TH & 8
OWN 30
0
24.0%
#25 A.Smith punt 50 yards to the ASU20 fair catch by #13 J.Grier at ASU20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 5INT
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:2224% → 26%
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
23.7%
(02:03) Shotgun #6 M.Wilson pass complete short left to #26 K.Alexander caught at ASU20, for 10 yards to the ASU30 (#90 D.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
23.9%
(01:31) Shotgun #26 K.Alexander rush right for 7 yards gain to the ASU37 (#5 A.Jackson)Similar
Q1 0:53
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+28
24.7%
(00:58) Shotgun #6 M.Wilson rush right for 28 yards gain to the GSU35 (#9 J.Meyers), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
25.7%
(00:25) Shotgun #22 J.Lewis rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GSU32 (#7 J.Ferguson)Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+4
25.9%
(14:56) Shotgun #22 J.Lewis rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GSU28 (#7 J.Ferguson; #91 D.Rhodes)Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 3
OPP 28
0
25.5%
(14:23) Shotgun #11 N.Gillon pass intercepted by #23 D.Smith at GSU22, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6FG
11 plays · 73 yds · 5:1076% → 77%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+49
23.9%
(14:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 O.Arnold rush middle for 49 yards gain to the ASU29 (#7 J.Favors), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
22.7%
(13:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short left to #5 M.Sanders Jr. caught at ASU31, for 4 yards to the ASU25 (#97 K.Abrams-Verwayne)Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+3
22.8%
(13:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ASU22 (#0 J.Willis; #44 R.Porter)Similar
Q2 12:22
3RD & 3
OPP 22
0
23.1%
(12:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 W.Bryan pass incomplete deep middle to #4 C.Brown thrown to ASU00 broken up by #6 E.FloydSimilar
Q2 12:14
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+3
23.8%
(12:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV rush left for 3 yards gain to the ASU19 (#41 C.Sandstrom; #10 C.Phares), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
22.9%
(11:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 W.Bryan rush right for 9 yards gain to the ASU10 (#21 D.Burks)Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+6
23.0%
(11:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 T.Gibbs rush right for 6 yards gain to the ASU04 (#21 D.Burks), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
23.1%
(10:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV rush right for 2 yards gain to the ASU02 (#44 R.Porter; #21 D.Burks)Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
22.9%
(09:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV rush middle for 3 yards loss to the ASU05 (#0 J.Willis)Similar
Q2 9:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
23.3%
(09:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass incomplete short right thrown to ASU00 QB hurried by #33 A.BentonSimilar
Q2 9:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
23.4%
(09:03) #95 T.Bryant field goal attempt from 23 yards GOOD (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #89 J.Wheeler), clock 09:00Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 7INT
5 plays · 41 yds · 2:0723% → 24%
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
23.2%
(08:52) Shotgun #22 J.Lewis rush middle for 12 yards gain to the GSU47 (#2 B.Harrington; #28 E.McDowell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+24
23.5%
(08:11) Shotgun #6 M.Wilson rush right for 24 yards gain to the GSU23, out of bounds at GSU23, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "First down". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
24.3%
(07:21) Shotgun #22 J.Lewis rush left for 5 yards gain to the GSU18 (#93 C.Moore)Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 5
OPP 18
0
24.4%
(06:41) Shotgun #6 M.Wilson pass intercepted by #12 T.Hill Jr. at GSU02 #12 T.Hill Jr. return 0 yards to the GSU02 (#26 K.Alexander)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:5777% → 76%
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
22.7%
(06:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 T.Gibbs rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GSU05 (#96 S.Farrior)Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+4
22.9%
(06:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 T.Gibbs rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GSU09 (#10 C.Phares)Similar
Q2 5:16
3RD & 3
OWN 9
-2
23.6%
(05:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 T.Gibbs rush right for 2 yards loss to the GSU07 (#10 C.Phares; #97 K.Abrams-Verwayne)Similar
Q2 4:34
4TH & 5
OWN 7
-2
23.8%
(04:42) #25 A.Smith punt 44 yards to the ASU49 #13 J.Grier return for loss of 2 yards to the ASU47 (#47 C.Thompson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 9TD
8 plays · 53 yds · 2:3824% → 37%
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
23.5%
(04:33) Shotgun #26 K.Alexander rush left for 4 yards gain to the GSU49 (#9 J.Meyers), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+7
23.9%
(04:03) Shotgun #6 M.Wilson rush middle for 7 yards gain to the GSU42 (#9 J.Meyers; #2 B.Harrington), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
24.0%
(03:25) Shotgun #22 J.Lewis rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GSU39 (#18 M.Stroud; #93 C.Moore)Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 7
OPP 39
-2
23.9%
(02:51) Shotgun #22 J.Lewis rush middle for 2 yards loss to the GSU41 (#18 M.Stroud)Similar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+34
23.3%
(02:13) Shotgun #11 N.Gillon pass complete deep left to #8 D.Stroman caught at GSU12, for 34 yards to the GSU07 (#12 T.Hill Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
25.1%
(02:00) Shotgun #22 J.Lewis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the GSU06 (#2 B.Harrington; #9 J.Meyers)Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
36.9%
(01:54) Shotgun #6 M.Wilson rush left for 6 yards gain to the GSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:51 #90 D.De Freitas kick attempt good (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #47 J.Poff)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10FG
16 plays · 57 yds · 1:4469% → 78%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
30.9%
(01:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 O.Arnold rush middle for 5 yards gain to the GSU30 (#10 C.Phares)Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
30.4%
(01:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short left to #22 O.Arnold caught at GSU25, for 0 yards to the GSU30 (#0 J.Willis)Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
31.3%
(01:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV rush middle for 6 yards gain to the GSU36 (#10 C.Phares), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+21
30.3%
(00:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short middle to #4 C.Brown caught at ASU45, for 21 yards to the ASU43 (#21 D.Burks), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
28.4%
(00:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ASU41 (#96 S.Farrior)Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 8
OPP 41
0
28.4%
(00:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass incomplete short left to #15 T.Bradshaw thrown to ASU26Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+15
29.1%
(00:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass incomplete deep right to #4 C.Brown thrown to ASU05 PENALTY ASU Pass Interference (#6 E.Floyd) 15 yards from ASU41 to ASU26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
27.8%
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short left to #1 D.Cobb caught at ASU28, for 8 yards to the ASU18 (#21 D.Burks; #10 C.Phares)Similar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 2
OPP 18
0
26.6%
(00:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass incomplete short left to #15 T.Bradshaw thrown to ASU00Similar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 2
OPP 18
0
27.1%
(00:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass incomplete short right to #4 C.Brown thrown to ASU09Similar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+36
22.4%
(00:00) #95 T.Bryant field goal attempt from 36 yards GOOD (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #89 J.Wheeler), clock 00:00Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11TD
4 plays · 73 yds · 1:0675% → 83%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+58
25.5%
(14:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 O.Arnold rush left for 58 yards gain to the ASU16 (#7 J.Favors), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+13
23.4%
(14:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short right to #1 D.Cobb caught at ASU18, for 13 yards to the ASU03 (#5 Z.Gamble), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
17.3%
(13:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 W.Bryan rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ASU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:34 #12 J.French IV pass attempt failedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12INT
7 plays · 47 yds · 3:0419% → 21%
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+23
19.4%
(13:26) Shotgun #6 M.Wilson rush right for 23 yards gain to the ASU38 (#5 A.Jackson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
20.0%
(12:53) Shotgun #6 M.Wilson rush right for 6 yards gain to the ASU44 (#9 J.Meyers), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+7
20.4%
(12:20) Shotgun #6 M.Wilson pass complete short right to #26 K.Alexander caught at ASU42, for 7 yards to the GSU49 (#12 T.Hill Jr.; #91 D.Rhodes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
20.7%
(11:33) Shotgun #22 J.Lewis rush middle for 6 yards gain to the GSU43 (#93 C.Moore)Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+5
20.8%
(11:01) Shotgun #11 N.Gillon pass complete short right to #86 K.Hamlett caught at GSU42, for 5 yards to the GSU38 (#9 J.Meyers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
20.8%
(10:23) Shotgun #11 N.Gillon pass intercepted by #23 D.Smith at GSU35 #23 D.Smith return 0 yards to the GSU35, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:2282% → 93%
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
17.6%
(10:13) Shotgun #12 J.French IV rush right for 2 yards gain to the GSU37 (#10 C.Phares), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+20
17.2%
(09:42) Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short left to #5 M.Sanders Jr. caught at ASU44, for 20 yards to the ASU43 (#2 E.Johnson), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ASU Offside declinedSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
15.7%
(09:22) Shotgun #1 D.Cobb rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ASU37 (#6 E.Floyd)Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+5
15.6%
(09:09) Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short right to #22 O.Arnold caught at ASU39, for 5 yards to the ASU32 (#10 C.Phares), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
6.6%
(08:50) Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete deep middle to #5 M.Sanders Jr. caught at ASU00, for 32 yards to the ASU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:50, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Bryant kick attempt good (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #89 J.Wheeler) #95 T.Bryant kick attempt good (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #89 J.Wheeler) PENALTY #95 T.Bryant kick attempt good (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #89 J.Wheeler) PENALTY ASU Running Into The Kicker declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 14FG
11 plays · 66 yds · 4:5011% → 14%
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
10.9%
(08:44) Shotgun #26 K.Alexander rush right for 1 yard loss to the ASU24 (#1 B.Tyson), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
10.5%
(08:08) Shotgun #22 J.Lewis rush right for 10 yards gain to the ASU34 (#29 D.Collier)Similar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
11.0%
(07:29) Shotgun #22 J.Lewis rush middle for 7 yards gain to the ASU41 (#24 P.Gladney), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
11.2%
(06:52) Shotgun #26 K.Alexander rush left for 5 yards gain to the ASU46 (#2 B.Harrington)Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+42
11.1%
(06:05) Shotgun #6 M.Wilson pass complete deep left to #8 D.Stroman caught at GSU15, for 42 yards to the GSU12 (#19 A.Chaney), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
11.8%
(05:20) Shotgun #6 M.Wilson pass complete short left to #85 D.Larkins caught at GSU12, for 2 yards to the GSU10 (#23 D.Smith)Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+5
11.6%
PENALTY ASU False Start (#52 C.Sweatt) 5 yards from GSU10 to GSU15. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 13
OPP 15
+6
10.7%
(04:29) Shotgun #6 M.Wilson rush left for 6 yards gain to the GSU09 (#93 C.Moore)Similar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
10.5%
(03:50) Shotgun #6 M.Wilson pass incomplete short right to #16 A.Sanchez thrown to GSU06Similar
Q3 3:46
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+27
13.8%
(03:48) #90 D.De Freitas field goal attempt from 27 yards GOOD (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #47 J.Poff), clock 03:46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:4290% → 91%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
10.1%
(03:46) Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short right to #1 D.Cobb caught at GSU33, for 6 yards to the GSU41 (#5 Z.Gamble)Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+6
9.4%
(03:25) Shotgun #20 T.Gibbs rush left for 6 yards gain to the GSU47 (#56 K.Arnholt), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
9.1%
(03:03) Shotgun #1 D.Cobb pass intercepted by #2 E.Johnson at ASU13, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 3:4712% → 11%
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
11.9%
(02:52) Shotgun #6 M.Wilson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ASU18 (#1 B.Tyson; #2 B.Harrington)Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+5
11.9%
(02:21) Shotgun #6 M.Wilson pass complete short left to #85 D.Larkins caught at ASU19, for 5 yards to the ASU23 (#2 B.Harrington), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
11.9%
(01:47) Shotgun #22 J.Lewis rush left for 4 yards gain to the ASU27 (#93 C.Moore)Similar
Q3 0:59
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+7
12.0%
(01:05) Shotgun #26 K.Alexander rush left for 7 yards gain to the ASU34 (#1 B.Tyson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
12.0%
(00:29) Shotgun #6 M.Wilson pass complete short right to #22 J.Lewis caught at ASU30, for 10 yards to the ASU44 (#1 B.Tyson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
12.8%
(14:58) Shotgun #6 M.Wilson pass incomplete short left to #16 A.Sanchez thrown to ASU44 broken up by #91 D.RhodesSimilar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
12.6%
(14:55) Shotgun #6 M.Wilson pass incomplete deep left to #16 A.Sanchez thrown to GSU30 QB hurried by #2 B.Harrington PENALTY ASU Ineligible Downfield on Pass declinedSimilar
Q4 14:39
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+1
12.0%
(14:49) Shotgun #6 M.Wilson pass complete short right to #22 J.Lewis caught at ASU44, for 1 yard to the ASU45 (#20 J.Brown), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 13:59
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
10.6%
(14:06) #37 I.Ratliff punt 45 yards to the GSU10, out of bounds at GSU10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17FG
21 plays · 81 yds · 9:5493% → 99%
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
7.5%
(13:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 O.Arnold rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GSU13 (#56 K.Arnholt; #45 N.Campbell)Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+5
7.5%
(13:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 O.Arnold rush middle for 5 yards gain to the GSU18 (#56 K.Arnholt) PENALTY GSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from GSU13 to GSU08. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 12
OWN 8
+10
6.8%
(12:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 O.Arnold rush middle for 10 yards gain to the GSU18 (#97 K.Abrams-Verwayne; #21 D.Burks)Similar
Q4 12:11
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+3
7.0%
(12:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 O.Arnold rush right for 3 yards gain to the GSU21 (#33 A.Benton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
6.1%
(11:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short left to #1 D.Cobb caught at GSU19, for 1 yard loss to the GSU20 (#2 E.Johnson)Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+9
6.0%
(10:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short right to #4 C.Brown caught at GSU27, for 9 yards to the GSU29 (#6 E.Floyd)Similar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+15
5.9%
(10:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass incomplete deep left to #1 D.Cobb thrown to ASU45 PENALTY ASU Pass Interference (#7 J.Favors) 15 yards from GSU29 to GSU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
5.2%
(10:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass incomplete short right to #4 C.Brown thrown to ASU43Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+2
5.3%
(10:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV rush right for 2 yards gain to the GSU46 (#56 K.Arnholt)Similar
Q4 9:22
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+10
5.2%
(09:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short middle to #20 T.Gibbs caught at GSU49, for 10 yards to the ASU44 (#21 D.Burks), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
4.9%
(08:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete short left to #1 D.Cobb caught at ASU45, for 9 yards to the ASU35 (#2 E.Johnson), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+1
4.7%
(08:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 O.Arnold rush right for 1 yard gain to the ASU34 (#33 A.Benton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
4.4%
(07:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass incomplete deep left to #5 M.Sanders Jr. thrown to ASU00Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+5
4.4%
(07:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 O.Arnold rush right for 5 yards gain to the ASU29 (#21 D.Burks)Similar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+12
4.2%
(06:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 J.French IV rush middle for 12 yards gain to the ASU17 (#5 Z.Gamble), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
3.9%
(05:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 W.Bryan rush right for 3 yards gain to the ASU14 (#33 A.Benton)Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 7
OPP 14
-1
3.5%
(04:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Cobb rush left for 1 yard loss to the ASU15 (#5 Z.Gamble)Similar
Q4 4:03
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+1
2.1%
(04:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 W.Bryan rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ASU14 (#10 C.Phares; #93 D.Cooper)Similar
Q4 3:57
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+27
1.2%
(04:00) #95 T.Bryant field goal attempt from 27 yards GOOD (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #89 J.Wheeler), clock 03:57Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18INT
15 plays · 60 yds · 2:482% → 2%
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
2.1%
(03:57) Shotgun #6 M.Wilson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ASU37 (#1 B.Tyson)Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+7
2.1%
(03:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Wilson pass complete short left to #22 J.Lewis caught at ASU40, for 7 yards to the ASU44 (#97 E.Anders), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 3:11
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
2.2%
(03:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Lewis rush left for 2 yards gain to the ASU46 (#29 D.Collier), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
2.1%
(02:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Wilson pass incomplete short middle to #16 A.Sanchez thrown to GSU36Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
2.1%
(02:46) Shotgun #6 M.Wilson pass incomplete short right to #16 A.Sanchez thrown to GSU48Similar
Q4 2:33
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
2.1%
(02:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Wilson pass incomplete short right to #85 D.Larkins thrown to ASU50 QB hurried by #10 J.HammondsSimilar
Q4 2:32
4TH & 10
OWN 46
+15
2.0%
(02:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Wilson pass incomplete short right to #0 D.Coleman thrown to GSU35 QB hurried by #90 D.Davis PENALTY GSU Personal Foul (#98 U.Iloh) 15 yards from ASU46 to GSU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
2.3%
(02:26) Shotgun #6 M.Wilson pass incomplete deep middle to #87 D.Galloway thrown to GSU00 QB hurried by #51 K.SeckaSimilar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+20
2.2%
(02:18) Shotgun #6 M.Wilson pass complete short right to #8 D.Stroman caught at GSU35, for 20 yards to the GSU19 (#2 B.Harrington; #20 J.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
2.2%
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Wilson pass complete short right to #85 D.Larkins caught at GSU15, for 7 yards to the GSU12 (#29 D.Collier), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+5
2.2%
(01:55) Shotgun #6 M.Wilson pass complete short right to #22 J.Lewis caught at GSU10, for 5 yards to the GSU07 (#29 D.Collier), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
2.2%
(01:35) Shotgun #6 M.Wilson pass incomplete short left to #16 A.Sanchez thrown to GSU03Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
2.2%
(01:32) Shotgun #6 M.Wilson rush left for 2 yards gain to the GSU05 (#2 B.Harrington)Similar
Q4 0:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
2.1%
(01:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 M.Wilson pass intercepted by #29 D.Collier at GSU02, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19END OF HALF
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:3499% → 99%
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+9
0.7%
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 O.Arnold rush middle for 9 yards gain to the GSU11 (#5 Z.Gamble)Similar
Q4 0:18
2ND & 1
OWN 11
-1
0.7%
(00:18) Kneel down by Ga. Southern at GSU10 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:51
(01:54) Shotgun #6 M.Wilson rush left for 6 yards gain to the GSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:51 #90 D.De Freitas kick attempt good (H: #37 I.Ratliff, LS: #47 J.Poff)
+14.3
TD · Q3 8:50
(08:50) Shotgun #12 J.French IV pass complete deep middle to #5 M.Sanders Jr. caught at ASU00, for 32 yards to the ASU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:50, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Bryant kick attempt good (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #89 J.Wheeler) #95 T.Bryant kick attempt good (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #89 J.Wheeler) PENALTY #95 T.Bryant kick attempt good (H: #25 A.Smith, LS: #89 J.Wheeler) PENALTY ASU Running Into The Kicker declined
-9
TD · Q3 13:34
(13:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 W.Bryan rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ASU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:34 #12 J.French IV pass attempt failed
-6.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com