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Georgia Tech 21 at BYU 25

BYU
2025 · Pop-Tarts Bowl · Dec 27, 2025 · Camping World Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:08 · (08:15) #35 S.Vander Haar punt 40 yards to the GT09
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 140Home team on offense−4.0Garbage-time factor−4.6Score differential−1.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Pregame prior+0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:20: (00:20) Shotgun #22 T.Maddox rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BYU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:20. The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the goal line". CALL UPHELD #33 A.Birr kick attempt good (H: #47 M.Nichols, LS: #49 R.Thomas) — GT win probability +4.9 pts (now 47%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:28: (05:31) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short right to #3 E.Rivers caught at BYU01, for 5 yards to the BYU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:28 #33 A.Birr kick attempt good (H: #47 M.Nichols, LS: #49 R.Thomas) — GT win probability +8.9 pts (now 54%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:15: (05:18) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short middle to #88 J.Byrne caught at BYU00, for 6 yards to the BYU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:15 #33 A.Birr kick attempt good (H: #47 M.Nichols, LS: #49 R.Thomas) — GT win probability +10.8 pts (now 63%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:13: (11:13) Shotgun #21 E.Nawahine rush left for 2 yards gain to the GT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:13 #47 B.Bachmeier rush attempt Successful — BYU win probability +27.8 pts (now 52%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q4 2:00: (02:04) Shotgun #28 J.Damuni rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:00, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD #44 W.Ferrin kick attempt good (H: #35 S.Vander Haar, LS: #26 G.Grimes) — BYU win probability +48.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 1 of 4GT made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 8:39BYU 4th & 1 at GT 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    60.4%−0.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    59.5%−1.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:45GT 4th & 3 at GT 8, tied
    Close callPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:20GT 4th & 3 at BYU 3, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    35.2%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    31.9%−3.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:49BYU 4th & 4 at GT 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.0%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    57.6%−3.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:45BYU 4th & 6 at BYU 48, down 11
    Close callPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 0:55GT 4th & 2 at BYU 18, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.4%−1.4
    79% to make
    Punt
    65.4%−9.3
    average punt
  7. Q4 9:37GT 4th & 2 at GT 33, up 3
    Close callPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q4 8:08BYU 4th & 4 at GT 49, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.8%−2.6
    average punt
  9. Q4 5:44GT 4th & 1 at GT 18, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.5 ptsPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.5%−4.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 0:52GT 4th & 15 at GT 16, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.4%
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.2%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:06GT 4th & 10 at BYU 18, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.6%
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    15.4%−12.2
    79% to make
    Punt
    19.9%−7.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2GT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 4:56BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:20GT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:28GT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:15GT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:00BYU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.5%−0.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BYUDrive 1DOWNS
13 plays · 74 yds · 6:1053% → 54%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
53.1%
(14:59) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete short middle to #20 C.Ryan caught at BYU37, for 12 yards to the BYU37 (#31 F.Felton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
53.2%
(14:31) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass incomplete deep middle to #11 P.Kingston thrown to GT26Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+11
53.2%
(14:25) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete short left to #2 C.Roberts caught at BYU45, for 11 yards to the BYU48 (#31 F.Felton; #9 O.Daniels), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
53.5%
(13:48) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete short left to #2 C.Roberts caught at GT42, for 10 yards to the GT42, out of bounds at GT42, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
53.6%
(13:16) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete short left to #28 J.Damuni caught at GT39, for 5 yards to the GT37 (#7 A.Stone)Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+13
53.8%
(12:43) Shotgun #11 P.Kingston rush right for 13 yards gain to the GT24 (#8 J.Boyd), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
54.1%
(11:58) Shotgun #11 P.Kingston rush right for 4 yards gain to the GT20 (#9 O.Daniels), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+14
54.2%
(11:27) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete short middle to #20 C.Ryan caught at GT13, for 14 yards to the GT06 (#9 O.Daniels; #31 F.Felton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
54.3%
(10:49) Shotgun #3 M.Hillstead rush right for 1 yard gain to the GT05 (#2 E.Lightsey)Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
54.5%
(10:06) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier rush middle for 0 yards to the GT05, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 9:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
54.5%
(09:24) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete short right to #2 C.Roberts caught at GT01, for 4 yards to the GT01 (#23 Z.Tobe)Similar
Q1 8:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
54.1%
(08:44) Shotgun #21 E.Nawahine rush middle for 0 yards to the GT01 (#44 K.Efford), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5246% → 46%
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
53.8%
(08:37) PENALTY GT False Start (#88 J.Byrne). NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+7
53.8%
(08:39) #0 M.Hosley rush right for 7 yards gain to the GT08 (#11 F.Satuala; #16 I.Glasker)Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 3
OWN 8
0
54.0%
(08:03) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short right to #11 D.Patterson caught at GT14, for 0 yards to the GT08 PENALTY GT Illegal Touch-Pass (#11 D.Patterson). NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 3
OWN 8
0
54.2%
(07:45) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short left to #3 E.Rivers thrown to GT11 broken up by #0 E.JohnsonSimilar
Q1 7:45
4TH & 3
OWN 8
0
54.4%
(07:45) #47 M.Nichols punt 54 yards to the BYU38, out of bounds at BYU38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 2:4854% → 59%
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
54.2%
(07:44) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass incomplete short right to #2 C.Roberts thrown to GT47 PENALTY GT Pass Interference (#3 A.Harvey) 15 yards from BYU38 to GT47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
54.7%
(07:38) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete short left to #20 C.Ryan caught at GT48, for 6 yards to the GT41 (#98 A.Bradford)Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+3
54.9%
(07:01) Shotgun #21 E.Nawahine rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GT38 (#1 C.Spaulding)Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+3
54.9%
(06:22) Shotgun #21 E.Nawahine rush middle for 3 yards gain to the GT35 (#98 A.Bradford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+28
55.4%
(05:44) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete short middle to #11 P.Kingston caught at GT22, for 28 yards to the GT07 (#31 F.Felton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
59.2%
(04:59) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete short left to #2 C.Roberts caught at GT00, for 7 yards to the GT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:56 #44 W.Ferrin kick attempt good (H: #35 S.Vander Haar, LS: #26 G.Grimes)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:1442% → 47%
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
58.2%
(04:56) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short right to #8 M.Rutherford caught at GT40, for 22 yards to the GT47 (#5 N.Taumoepeau), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
57.3%
(04:25) Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BYU49 (#16 I.Glasker)Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+8
57.4%
(03:51) Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush middle for 8 yards gain to the BYU41 (#0 E.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
57.6%
(03:07) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short left to #11 D.Patterson caught at BYU39, for 9 yards to the BYU32 (#1 T.Alexander)Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+5
56.7%
(02:34) Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush middle for 5 yards gain to the BYU27 (#48 B.Schoonover; #96 J.Kirkland), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+19
56.9%
(01:57) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short right to #8 M.Rutherford caught at BYU31, for 19 yards to the BYU08 (#5 N.Taumoepeau), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
57.0%
(01:17) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short left to #7 B.Stockton thrown to BYU07 QB hurried by #5 N.TaumoepeauSimilar
Q1 1:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
57.1%
(01:14) Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush left for 5 yards gain to the BYU03 (#28 T.Wall)Similar
Q1 0:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
57.6%
(00:29) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short left to #8 M.Rutherford thrown to BYU00Similar
Q1 0:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
52.6%
(00:20) Shotgun #22 T.Maddox rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BYU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:20. The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the goal line". CALL UPHELD #33 A.Birr kick attempt good (H: #47 M.Nichols, LS: #49 R.Thomas)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 5FG
14 plays · 71 yds · 5:2655% → 57%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.7%
(00:19) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass incomplete deep right to #2 C.Roberts thrown to GT50 QB hurried by #99 J.van den BergSimilar
Q1 0:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+35
54.5%
(00:12) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete short left to #20 C.Ryan caught at BYU30, for 35 yards to the GT40 (#27 T.Harris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
56.5%
(14:54) Shotgun #11 P.Kingston pass incomplete short left to #2 C.Roberts thrown to GT26Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+6
56.4%
(14:54) Shotgun #21 E.Nawahine rush middle for 6 yards gain to the GT34 (#7 A.Stone; #29 J.Mitchell)Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+13
56.4%
(14:10) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete short right to #13 J.Phillips caught at GT26, for 13 yards to the GT21 (#27 T.Harris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
57.1%
(13:29) Shotgun #28 J.Damuni rush left for 3 yards gain to the GT18 (#44 K.Efford; #27 T.Harris)Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+1
57.3%
(12:46) Shotgun #21 E.Nawahine rush left for 1 yard gain to the GT17 (#24 R.Triplette)Similar
Q2 11:51
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+14
56.8%
(12:05) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete short left to #20 C.Ryan caught at GT05, for 14 yards to the GT03 (#9 O.Daniels), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
57.7%
(11:21) Shotgun #11 P.Kingston rush right for 1 yard loss to the GT04 (#44 K.Efford; #9 O.Daniels)Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
57.8%
(10:36) Shotgun #21 E.Nawahine rush middle for 0 yards to the GT04 (#99 J.van den Berg)Similar
Q2 9:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
57.3%
(09:56) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass incomplete short middle to #2 C.Roberts thrown to GT00Similar
Q2 9:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
57.4%
(09:52) #44 W.Ferrin field goal attempt from 22 yards GOOD (H: #35 S.Vander Haar, LS: #26 G.Grimes), clock 09:49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6TD
14 plays · 76 yds · 3:5943% → 54%
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
56.7%
(09:39) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short left to #85 J.Allen caught at GT29, for 5 yards to the GT29, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+15
56.1%
(09:20) Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 2 yards loss to the GT27 (#16 I.Glasker; #7 L.Lutui) PENALTY BYU Face Mask (#16 I.Glasker) 15 yards from GT29 to GT44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
54.9%
(09:09) Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush right for 6 yards gain to the GT50 (#5 N.Taumoepeau)Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 4
50
+7
54.4%
(08:45) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short middle to #8 M.Rutherford caught at GT49, for 7 yards to the BYU43 (#28 T.Wall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
55.0%
(08:14) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete deep middle to #9 Z.Taylor thrown to BYU00Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+10
55.1%
(08:07) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short right to #11 D.Patterson caught at BYU43, for 10 yards to the BYU33 (#28 T.Wall), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
54.1%
(07:29) Shotgun #1 J.Haynes rush left for 3 yards gain to the BYU30 (#34 M.Kaufusi; #55 J.Taumoepeau)Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+9
53.9%
(06:49) Shotgun #1 J.Haynes rush middle for 9 yards gain to the BYU21 (#13 T.Akana), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
53.9%
(06:13) Shotgun #10 H.King rush left for 2 yards gain to the BYU19 (#16 I.Glasker)Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 8
OPP 19
0
53.9%
(05:41) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short right to #3 E.Rivers thrown to BYU25Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+14
55.3%
(05:40) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short right to #8 M.Rutherford thrown to BYU00, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY BYU Pass Interference (#2 J.Kabeya) 14 yards from BYU19 to BYU05, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
45.8%
(05:31) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short right to #3 E.Rivers caught at BYU01, for 5 yards to the BYU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:28 #33 A.Birr kick attempt good (H: #47 M.Nichols, LS: #49 R.Thomas)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7TD
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q2 5:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
37.0%
(05:18) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short middle to #88 J.Byrne caught at BYU00, for 6 yards to the BYU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:15 #33 A.Birr kick attempt good (H: #47 M.Nichols, LS: #49 R.Thomas)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:1638% → 36%
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
37.7%
(05:15) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete short middle to #11 P.Kingston caught at BYU36, for 19 yards to the BYU44 (#3 A.Harvey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
38.5%
(04:29) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete short middle to #13 J.Phillips caught at BYU50, for 9 yards to the GT47 (#27 T.Harris)Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 1
OPP 47
0
39.1%
(03:55) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete short right to #2 C.Roberts caught at GT49, for 0 yards to the GT47 (#16 K.Hill)Similar
Q2 3:10
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+5
38.6%
PENALTY BYU False Start (#2 C.Roberts) 5 yards from GT47 to BYU48. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 2:54
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
37.2%
(02:59) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass incomplete short right to #11 P.Kingston thrown to GT47 broken up by #7 A.StoneSimilar
Q2 2:45
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
36.4%
(02:51) #35 S.Vander Haar punt 49 yards to the GT03, out of bounds at GT03Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9END OF HALF
16 plays · 52 yds · 2:3663% → 68%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
36.9%
(02:44) #0 M.Hosley rush middle for 0 yards to the GT03 (#16 I.Glasker; #3 R.Damuni)Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+6
37.3%
(01:57) Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush right for 6 yards gain to the GT09 (#11 F.Satuala)Similar
Q2 1:46
3RD & 4
OWN 9
+12
36.9%
(01:50) Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush left for 12 yards gain (12) to the GT21 (#3 R.Damuni) PENALTY GT Holding (#80 B.Seither) 10 yards from GT21 to GT11Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 2
OWN 11
+6
34.5%
(00:56) Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 6 yards gain to the GT17 (#7 L.Lutui; #0 E.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
33.4%
(00:45) Shotgun #1 J.Haynes rush middle for 2 yards loss to the GT15 (#57 K.Tanuvasa; #54 S.Esera)Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 12
OWN 15
+28
33.4%
(00:32) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete deep middle to #8 M.Rutherford caught at GT39, for 28 yards to the GT43 (#11 F.Satuala), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
31.5%
(00:24) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short left to #3 E.Rivers thrown to GT47Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+7
31.6%
(00:24) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short middle to #85 J.Allen caught at GT49, for 7 yards to the GT50 (#22 T.Prassas; #21 M.Hall)Similar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 3
50
+5
32.2%
(00:21) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short middle to #8 M.Rutherford caught at BYU45, for 5 yards to the BYU45 (#1 T.Alexander), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
31.3%
(00:07) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete deep right to #3 E.Rivers thrown to BYU11Similar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
31.6%
(00:00) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete deep right to #80 B.Seither thrown to BYU00 broken up by #11 F.SatualaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10FUMBLE
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:3666% → 70%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+18
34.5%
(14:51) Shotgun #10 H.King rush left for 18 yards gain to the BYU49 (#48 B.Schoonover), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
33.1%
(14:19) Shotgun #1 J.Haynes rush right for 8 yards gain to the BYU41 (#5 N.Taumoepeau)Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 2
OPP 41
0
32.4%
(13:43) Shotgun #1 J.Haynes rush right for 0 yards to the BYU41 (#55 J.Taumoepeau) PENALTY BYU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#55 J.Taumoepeau) 15 yards from BYU41 to BYU26, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
32.1%
(13:17) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short left to #3 E.Rivers thrown to BYU22 QB hurried by #11 F.SatualaSimilar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+4
32.2%
(13:13) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short left to #8 M.Rutherford caught at BYU22, for 4 yards to the BYU22 (#11 F.Satuala)Similar
Q3 12:28
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+13
31.8%
(12:36) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short right to #0 M.Hosley caught at BYU25, for 13 yards to the BYU09 (#15 T.Beasley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
30.7%
(11:56) Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush right for 2 yards loss to the BYU11 (#7 L.Lutui)Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
30.4%
(11:16) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short right to #9 Z.Taylor thrown to BYU00Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 11INT
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:4531% → 31%
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
31.2%
(10:52) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete short left to #28 J.Damuni caught at BYU29, for 7 yards to the BYU38 (#9 O.Daniels)Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+4
32.3%
(10:16) Shotgun #21 E.Nawahine rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BYU42 (#2 E.Lightsey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+18
31.5%
(09:43) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete short middle to #20 C.Ryan caught at GT45, for 18 yards to the GT40 (#31 F.Felton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
32.6%
(09:08) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass intercepted by #3 A.Harvey at GT00 #3 A.Harvey return 25 yards to the GT25 (#21 E.Nawahine), out of bounds PENALTY GT Pass Interference (#3 A.Harvey) 15 yards from GT40 to GT25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+17
33.6%
(08:31) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete short middle to #13 J.Phillips caught at GT15, for 17 yards to the GT08, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
33.4%
(07:47) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass incomplete short right to #20 C.Ryan thrown to GT09Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
33.3%
(07:44) Shotgun #21 E.Nawahine rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GT04 (#31 F.Felton; #16 K.Hill)Similar
Q3 6:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
31.2%
(07:03) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass intercepted by #6 R.Shelley at GT00 #6 R.Shelley return 2 yards to the GT02 (#11 P.Kingston)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12MISSED FG
12 plays · 80 yds · 5:5471% → 76%
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+15
28.8%
(06:54) #10 H.King pass complete short right to #3 E.Rivers caught at GT17, for 15 yards to the GT17, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY BYU Holding declinedSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
28.1%
(06:34) #1 J.Haynes rush middle for 0 yards to the GT17 (#57 K.Tanuvasa; #54 S.Esera)Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+14
28.1%
(05:57) #10 H.King pass complete short left to #1 J.Haynes caught at GT25, for 14 yards to the GT31 (#2 J.Kabeya), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
27.0%
(05:27) #10 H.King rush middle for 1 yard gain to the GT32 (#55 J.Taumoepeau)Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+8
26.4%
(04:51) #10 H.King pass complete short left to #8 M.Rutherford caught at GT30, for 8 yards to the GT40 (#94 A.Purcell)Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+3
24.9%
(04:19) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short right to #17 J.Beetham caught at GT45, for 3 yards to the GT43 (#3 R.Damuni; #21 M.Hall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
24.1%
(03:46) Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush middle for 15 yards gain to the BYU42 (#11 F.Satuala; #15 T.Beasley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+16
23.3%
(03:05) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short middle to #3 E.Rivers caught at BYU29, for 16 yards to the BYU26 (#11 F.Satuala), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
22.3%
(02:25) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short right thrown to BYU16 QB hurried by #7 L.LutuiSimilar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+3
22.4%
(02:12) Shotgun #1 J.Haynes rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BYU23 (#21 M.Hall)Similar
Q3 1:38
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+5
22.6%
(01:42) Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 5 yards gain to the BYU18 (#54 S.Esera)Similar
Q3 0:55
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+35
23.9%
(01:01) #33 A.Birr field goal attempt from 35 yards NO GOOD blocked by #57 K.Tanuvasa (H: #47 M.Nichols, LS: #49 R.Thomas), clock 00:55, out of bounds at BYU20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:3323% → 52%
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
23.2%
(00:54) Shotgun #28 J.Damuni rush left for 12 yards gain to the BYU32 (#27 T.Harris), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
23.1%
(00:18) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass incomplete short middle to #20 C.Ryan thrown to BYU32 broken up by #96 S.JonesSimilar
Q3 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+19
22.5%
(00:15) Shotgun #28 J.Damuni rush right for 19 yards gain to the GT49 (#27 T.Harris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
25.5%
(14:58) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete short left to #11 P.Kingston caught at GT50, for 1 yard to the GT48 (#15 T.Butler; #2 E.Lightsey)Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+18
24.1%
(14:28) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete short right to #2 C.Roberts caught at GT30, for 18 yards to the GT30 (#16 K.Hill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
26.0%
(13:49) Shotgun #28 J.Damuni rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GT26 (#99 J.van den Berg)Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
26.0%
(13:06) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass incomplete short right to #28 J.Damuni thrown to GT27 QB hurried by #8 J.Boyd and #95 J.MooreSimilar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+7
23.8%
(13:00) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete short right to #2 C.Roberts caught at GT20, for 7 yards to the GT19 (#1 C.Spaulding), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+13
24.2%
(12:21) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete short left to #20 C.Ryan caught at GT17, for 13 yards to the GT06 (#44 K.Efford; #2 E.Lightsey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
23.9%
(11:32) Shotgun #11 P.Kingston rush left for 4 yards gain to the GT02 (#2 E.Lightsey)Similar
Q4 11:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
51.7%
(11:13) Shotgun #21 E.Nawahine rush left for 2 yards gain to the GT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:13 #47 B.Bachmeier rush attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3060% → 63%
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
39.7%
(11:11) Shotgun #0 M.Hosley rush middle for 1 yard gain to the GT26 (#55 J.Taumoepeau)Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
37.2%
(10:39) Shotgun #3 E.Rivers rush right for 7 yards gain to the GT33 (#16 I.Glasker)Similar
Q4 9:52
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
34.8%
(09:56) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short right to #80 B.Seither thrown to GT50 QB hurried by #5 N.TaumoepeauSimilar
Q4 9:37
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+34
37.0%
(09:50) #47 M.Nichols punt 56 yards to the BYU11 #11 P.Kingston return 34 yards to the BYU45 (#47 M.Nichols)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2146% → 43%
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
45.6%
(09:35) Shotgun #28 J.Damuni rush right for 5 yards gain to the BYU50 (#16 K.Hill)Similar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 5
50
+1
47.0%
(08:58) Shotgun #28 J.Damuni rush middle for 1 yard gain to the GT49 (#88 A.Hoffler)Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
46.2%
(08:20) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass incomplete short right to #20 C.Ryan thrown to GT45 broken up by #9 O.DanielsSimilar
Q4 8:08
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
42.9%
(08:15) #35 S.Vander Haar punt 40 yards to the GT09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:2465% → 67%
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
35.1%
(08:07) PENALTY GT Illegal Snap 4 yards from GT09 to GT05. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 14
OWN 5
0
35.1%
(08:05) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short right to #1 J.Haynes caught at GT01, for 0 yards to the GT05 (#5 N.Taumoepeau)Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 14
OWN 5
+12
34.3%
(07:27) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short left to #8 M.Rutherford caught at GT04, for 12 yards to the GT17 (#28 T.Wall)Similar
Q4 6:56
3RD & 2
OWN 17
+5
34.2%
PENALTY GT Illegal Snap 5 yards from GT17 to GT12. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 6:24
3RD & 7
OWN 12
+6
34.2%
(06:33) Shotgun #1 J.Haynes rush middle for 6 yards gain to the GT18 (#28 T.Wall; #16 I.Glasker)Similar
Q4 5:44
4TH & 1
OWN 18
+4
32.8%
(05:53) #47 M.Nichols punt 56 yards to the BYU26 #11 P.Kingston return 4 yards to the BYU30, out of bounds at BYU30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 3:3940% → 91%
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
39.6%
(05:44) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass incomplete short right to #11 P.Kingston thrown to BYU31Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
38.5%
(05:38) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass incomplete short middle to #2 C.Roberts thrown to BYU43 broken up by #2 E.LightseySimilar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+13
35.3%
(05:32) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete short left to #11 P.Kingston caught at BYU34, for 13 yards to the BYU43 (#6 R.Shelley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
41.6%
(04:59) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete short left to #13 J.Phillips caught at GT43, for 14 yards to the GT43 (#6 R.Shelley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
44.1%
(04:29) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete short left to #11 P.Kingston caught at GT28, for 15 yards to the GT28 (#3 A.Harvey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
46.5%
(03:56) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete short right to #20 C.Ryan caught at GT26, for 8 yards to the GT20 (#1 C.Spaulding; #2 E.Lightsey)Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+9
46.4%
(03:21) Shotgun #21 E.Nawahine rush right for 9 yards gain to the GT11 (#44 K.Efford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
43.1%
(02:40) Shotgun #47 B.Bachmeier pass complete short right to #28 J.Damuni caught at GT05, for 7 yards to the GT04 (#9 O.Daniels), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+4
91.1%
(02:04) Shotgun #28 J.Damuni rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:00, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD #44 W.Ferrin kick attempt good (H: #35 S.Vander Haar, LS: #26 G.Grimes)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18INT
12 plays · 61 yds · 1:4523% → 16%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
76.7%
(01:56) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short right to #11 D.Patterson thrown to GT35 QB hurried by #5 N.Taumoepeau and #7 L.LutuiSimilar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-5
79.2%
(01:48) Shotgun #10 H.King rush for 5 yards loss to the GT16 fumbled by #10 H.King at GT16 recovered by GT #10 H.King at GT16, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 1:01
3RD & 15
OWN 16
0
80.8%
(01:04) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short right to #3 E.Rivers thrown to GT30 PENALTY GT Illegal Touch-Pass declinedSimilar
Q4 0:52
4TH & 15
OWN 16
+66
81.0%
(01:01) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete deep right to #3 E.Rivers caught at BYU45, for 66 yards to the BYU18 (#0 E.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
68.4%
(00:35) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short right to #1 J.Haynes thrown to BYU00Similar
Q4 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
69.4%
(00:28) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short left to #1 J.Haynes thrown to BYU00Similar
Q4 0:14
3RD & 10
OPP 18
0
80.4%
(00:19) Shotgun #10 H.King pass incomplete short middle to #11 D.Patterson thrown to BYU00Similar
Q4 0:06
4TH & 10
OPP 18
0
83.7%
(00:14) Shotgun #10 H.King pass intercepted by #0 E.Johnson at BYU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 19END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
95.3%
(00:03) Kneel down by BYU at BYU19 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:00
(02:04) Shotgun #28 J.Damuni rush middle for 4 yards gain to the GT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:00, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD #44 W.Ferrin kick attempt good (H: #35 S.Vander Haar, LS: #26 G.Grimes)
+48
TD · Q4 11:13
(11:13) Shotgun #21 E.Nawahine rush left for 2 yards gain to the GT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:13 #47 B.Bachmeier rush attempt Successful
+27.8
TD · Q2 5:15
(05:18) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short middle to #88 J.Byrne caught at BYU00, for 6 yards to the BYU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:15 #33 A.Birr kick attempt good (H: #47 M.Nichols, LS: #49 R.Thomas)
-10.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com