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CONN

UConn 16 at Army 41

ARMY
2025 · Wasabi Fenway Bowl · Dec 27, 2025 · Fenway Park
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-1.4ARMY 97.6%No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Farrar rushmiddle for 11 yards gain to the ARM00TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:47, 1ST DOWN #15T.Smith pass attempt failedAWAY 16 - HOME 34 · Q4 5:47
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:47 · No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Farrar rush middle for 11 yards gain to the ARM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:47, 1ST DOWN #15 T.Smith pass attempt failed
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Home team on offense+26.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.8Score differential+12.6Pregame prior+0.9Garbage-time factor+7.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:17: No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 12 yards gain to the ARM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:17, 1ST DOWN #28 C.Freeman kick attempt good (H: #17 C.Stutz, LS: #47 Z.Christinat) — CONN win probability +2.7 pts (now 43%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:01: Noah Short 40 Yd pass from Cale Hellums (Dawson Jones Kick) — ARMY win probability +2.4 pts (now 61%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:04: Shotgun #7 G.Nwawuihe rush middle for 43 yards gain to the CON00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:04, 1ST DOWN #95 D.Jones kick attempt good (H: #38 C.Allan, LS: #55 O.Walter) — ARMY win probability +9.2 pts (now 72%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:04: G. Nwawuihe run for 70 yds, for a TD (D. Jones KICK missed) — ARMY win probability +10.9 pts (now 76%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:22: C. Hellums run for 1 yd, for a TD, UConn Penalty, personalfoul (C. Chadwick) (D. Jones KICK) — ARMY win probability +12.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CONN made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:25CONN 4th & 24 at CONN 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:25ARMY 4th & 1 at CONN 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    69.1%−0.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    69.2%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:25CONN 4th & 2 at ARMY 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    30.9%−0.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    31.0%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:24CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:01CONN 4th & 16 at CONN 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−1.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:00CONN 4th & 2 at ARMY 31, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.0%−1.7
    54% to make
    Punt
    26.3%−2.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:10CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:10ARMY 4th & 1 at CONN 48, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    77.3%−2.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:40CONN 4th & 4 at ARMY 11, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.9%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    6.5%−0.5
    87% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−7.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:47CONN 4th & 3 at ARMY 11, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−<0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:03ARMY 4th & 1 at CONN 33, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.0%−0.5
    49% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 5 of 6CONN made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 9:17CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:01ARMY Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:04ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:04ARMY Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    80.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:22ARMY Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:18ARMY Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:47CONN Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    2.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:20ARMY Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -14 yds · 1:3540% → 40%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
59.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 V.Rosa rush left for 6 yards gain to the CON30 (#51 A.Thomas)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+9
59.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 S.Bell pass incomplete short right to #80 J.Neider thrown to CON40 PENALTY CON Intentional Grounding (#1 S.Bell) 9 yards from CON30 to CON21. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 21
-11
59.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Farrar pass complete short left to #6 R.Murphy caught at CON10, for 11 yards loss to the CON10 QB hurried by #40 E.Ford (#40 E.Ford)Similar
Q1 13:25
4TH & 24
OWN 10
0
59.9%
#17 C.Stutz punt 45 yards to the ARM45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0060% → 60%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
59.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #33 J.Rendina rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ARM49 (#33 K.Choute)Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+3
59.9%
#33 J.Rendina rush right for 3 yards gain to the CON48 (#89 T.Jones; #10 T.King)Similar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+2
59.9%
No Huddle #3 C.Hellums rush right for 2 yards gain to the CON46 (#89 T.Jones)Similar
Q1 11:25
4TH & 1
OPP 46
0
60.0%
No Huddle #3 C.Hellums rush right for 0 yards to the CON46 (#32 O.Diomande), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3TD
5 plays · 54 yds · 2:0841% → 43%
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
59.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Farrar rush right for 1 yard gain to the CON47 (#99 J.Bousum)Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
59.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Farrar pass incomplete short right to #5 S.Porter thrown to ARM49 broken up by #40 E.FordSimilar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+7
59.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Brown rush right for 7 yards gain to the ARM46 (#30 C.Matteson), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 11:25
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+34
59.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 34 yards gain to the ARM12 (#5 J.Weaver), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
56.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 12 yards gain to the ARM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:17, 1ST DOWN #28 C.Freeman kick attempt good (H: #17 C.Stutz, LS: #47 Z.Christinat)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:1658% → 61%
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
57.6%
#33 J.Rendina rush middle for 15 yards gain to the ARM40 (#21 L.Molette III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
58.0%
No Huddle #15 N.Short rush left for 4 yards gain to the ARM44 (#6 B.Parham)Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+4
58.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #15 N.Short rush right for 4 yards gain to the ARM48 (#6 B.Parham; #21 L.Molette III)Similar
Q1 9:17
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+3
58.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CON49 (#58 A.Harris Jr.; #6 B.Parham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
58.3%
Shotgun #7 G.Nwawuihe rush middle for 9 yards gain to the CON40 (#6 B.Parham)Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+40
60.7%
Noah Short 40 Yd pass from Cale Hellums (Dawson Jones Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:3741% → 41%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+16
59.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 16 yards gain to the CON37 (#6 J.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
59.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Farrar pass complete short left to #0 C.Edwards caught at CON37, for 28 yards to the ARM35 (#30 C.Matteson), out of bounds PENALTY CON Holding (#5 S.Porter) 10 yards from CON37 to CON27. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 20
OWN 27
+3
59.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Brown rush left for 3 yards gain to the CON30 (#53 K.Fortner)Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 17
OWN 30
+8
59.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Brown rush middle for 8 yards gain to the CON38 (#7 J.Mayes)Similar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+6
59.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Farrar pass complete short left to #5 S.Porter caught at CON47, for 6 yards to the CON44 (#6 J.Williams)Similar
Q1 6:01
4TH & 3
OWN 44
+5
59.2%
PENALTY CON False Start (#28 J.Morris) 5 yards from CON44 to CON39. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:24
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
59.2%
#17 C.Stutz punt 39 yards to the ARM22 fair catch by #23 L.Benson III at ARM22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6FUMBLE
9 plays · 39 yds · 4:2960% → 61%
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
59.6%
No Huddle #15 N.Short rush right for 5 yards gain to the ARM27 (#21 L.Molette III)Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+15
59.7%
No Huddle #33 J.Rendina rush middle for 15 yards gain to the ARM42 (#6 B.Parham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
60.6%
No Huddle #3 C.Hellums pass complete short left to #15 N.Short caught at ARM39, for 0 yards to the ARM42 (#10 T.King), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+6
60.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush left for 6 yards gain to the ARM48 (#89 T.Jones)Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+7
60.5%
No Huddle #33 J.Rendina rush left for 7 yards gain to the CON45 (#89 T.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
61.3%
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush right for 2 yards gain to the CON43 (#96 M.Black)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+6
61.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CON37 (#94 M.Hoffman)Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 2
OPP 37
-2
61.1%
No Huddle #33 J.Rendina rush middle for 2 yards loss to the CON39 fumbled by #33 J.Rendina at CON35 forced by #3 D.Brinson recovered by CON #94 M.Hoffman at CON39, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 3:5443% → 41%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
57.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Farrar rush right for 3 yards gain to the CON42 (#21 B.Newsom)Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+7
56.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Farrar rush middle for 7 yards gain to the CON49 (#92 J.Latore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
56.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush left for 2 yards gain to the ARM49 (#92 J.Latore; #53 K.Fortner)Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
56.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Farrar rush right for 0 yards to the ARM49 (#14 G.Shields)Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 8
OPP 49
-4
57.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Farrar sacked for loss of 8 yards to the CON43 (#51 A.Thomas, #53 K.Fortner)Similar
Q2 9:01
4TH & 16
OWN 43
+3
58.8%
#17 C.Stutz punt 50 yards to the ARM07 #23 L.Benson III return 3 yards to the ARM10 (#18 K.Hicks; #25 S.Suchanic)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8TD
10 plays · 90 yds · 5:5760% → 72%
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
60.3%
No Huddle #15 N.Short rush right for 1 yard loss to the ARM09 (#3 D.Brinson)Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 11
OWN 9
+4
60.1%
No Huddle #3 C.Hellums rush right for 4 yards gain to the ARM13 (#21 L.Molette III)Similar
Q2 9:01
3RD & 7
OWN 13
+11
59.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush left for 11 yards gain to the ARM24 (#2 D.Pringle), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
60.4%
#3 C.Hellums rush middle for 0 yards to the ARM24 fumbled by #3 C.Hellums at ARM24 recovered by ARM #3 C.Hellums at ARM24, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+3
60.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ARM27 (#32 O.Diomande)Similar
Q2 9:01
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+11
59.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 C.Hellums pass complete short left to #15 N.Short caught at ARM27, for 11 yards to the ARM38 (#21 L.Molette III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
61.3%
No Huddle #3 C.Hellums rush right for 4 yards gain to the ARM42 (#33 K.Choute)Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+9
62.1%
No Huddle #33 J.Rendina rush middle for 9 yards gain to the CON49 (#33 K.Choute), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
62.4%
No Huddle #33 J.Rendina rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CON43 (#89 T.Jones)Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+43
71.6%
Shotgun #7 G.Nwawuihe rush middle for 43 yards gain to the CON00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:04, 1ST DOWN #95 D.Jones kick attempt good (H: #38 C.Allan, LS: #55 O.Walter)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9FG
15 plays · 51 yds · 2:0029% → 33%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
71.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 8 yards gain to the CON26 (#14 G.Shields)Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+12
70.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush left for 12 yards gain to the CON38 (#51 A.Thomas), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
70.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Brown rush left for 6 yards gain to the CON44 (#51 A.Thomas)Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+5
69.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Brown rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CON49 (#53 K.Fortner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
70.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 6 yards gain to the ARM45 (#53 K.Fortner; #3 S.Nnadozie)Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+6
68.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 6 yards gain to the ARM39 (#47 N.Nixon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
68.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 6 yards gain to the ARM33 (#51 A.Thomas; #47 N.Nixon)Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+1
67.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Farrar pass complete short left to #6 R.Murphy caught at ARM34, for 1 yard to the ARM32 (#53 K.Fortner; #14 G.Shields)Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+1
66.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush left for 1 yard gain to the ARM31 (#92 J.Latore; #52 K.Harris-Miller)Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+49
67.5%
Chris Freeman 49 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:5665% → 76%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
64.6%
No Huddle #33 J.Rendina rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ARM30 (#94 M.Hoffman)Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+70
75.5%
G. Nwawuihe run for 70 yds, for a TD (D. Jones KICK missed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5026% → 23%
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
73.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 V.Rosa rush left for 2 yards gain to the CON28 (#92 J.Latore)Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
73.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Farrar pass incomplete short right to #22 V.Rosa thrown to CON30Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 8
OWN 28
0
74.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Farrar pass incomplete short middle to #5 S.Porter thrown to CON41 broken up by #96 D.StowersSimilar
Q3 13:10
4TH & 8
OWN 28
0
77.2%
#17 C.Stutz punt 29 yards to the ARM43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12TD
14 plays · 57 yds · 6:4878% → 92%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
77.6%
No Huddle #7 G.Nwawuihe rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ARM49 (#19 E.Hogg)Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+3
77.7%
No Huddle #15 N.Short rush right for 3 yards gain to the CON48 (#32 O.Diomande), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 1
OPP 48
0
77.0%
No Huddle #3 C.Hellums rush middle for 0 yards to the CON48 (#32 O.Diomande)Similar
Q3 13:10
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+5
75.9%
No Huddle #33 J.Rendina rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CON43 (#52 C.Chol; #21 L.Molette III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-3
77.9%
#3 C.Hellums sacked for loss of 3 yards to the CON46 (#96 M.Black)Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 13
OPP 46
+42
76.3%
#3 C.Hellums pass complete deep middle to #26 D.Clerk caught at CON13, for 42 yards to the CON04 (#13 C.Chadwick) PENALTY CON Roughing The Passer offsetting ARM Personal Foul offsetting. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 13
OPP 46
+22
76.3%
No Huddle #3 C.Hellums pass complete short right to #15 N.Short caught at CON38, for 22 yards to the CON24 QB hurried by #2 D.Pringle (#3 D.Brinson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
77.1%
No Huddle #33 J.Rendina rush right for 5 yards gain to the CON19 (#2 D.Pringle)Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+10
77.1%
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums pass complete short middle to #15 N.Short caught at CON23, for 10 yards to the CON09 (#33 K.Choute; #94 M.Hoffman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
79.8%
No Huddle #34 C.Smith rush right for 7 yards gain to the CON02 (#21 L.Molette III)Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
79.6%
No Huddle #34 C.Smith rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CON01 (#13 C.Chadwick)Similar
Q3 6:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.2%
C. Hellums run for 1 yd, for a TD, UConn Penalty, personalfoul (C. Chadwick) (D. Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13DOWNS
13 plays · 64 yds · 4:4210% → 9%
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.9%
Shotgun #8 K.Farrar pass incomplete short right to #13 C.Parker thrown to CON30Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CON30 (#30 C.Matteson)Similar
Q3 6:22
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
89.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Farrar pass complete short middle to #6 R.Murphy caught at CON37, for 8 yards to the CON38 (#30 C.Matteson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
89.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Farrar pass complete short left to #6 R.Murphy caught at ARM47, for 15 yards to the ARM47 (#5 J.Weaver), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
88.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Farrar pass complete short left to #6 R.Murphy caught at ARM48, for 5 yards to the ARM42 (#10 C.Searight)Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+10
87.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Farrar pass complete short right to #80 J.Neider caught at ARM45, for 10 yards to the ARM32 (#30 C.Matteson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
87.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Farrar pass complete short middle to #80 J.Neider caught at ARM17, for 15 yards to the ARM17 (#3 S.Nnadozie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
87.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Farrar pass complete short left to #80 J.Neider caught at ARM15, for 2 yards to the ARM15 (#13 C.Williams)Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
87.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Farrar pass incomplete short left to #6 R.Murphy thrown to ARM00Similar
Q3 6:22
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+4
88.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Brown rush right for 4 yards gain to the ARM11 (#52 K.Harris-Miller)Similar
Q3 1:40
4TH & 4
OPP 11
0
91.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Farrar pass incomplete short middle to #80 J.Neider thrown to ARM00, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 14TD
17 plays · 89 yds · 8:2296% → 100%
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+10
96.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Nwawuihe rush middle for 10 yards gain to the ARM21 (#89 T.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
96.3%
No Huddle #7 G.Nwawuihe rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ARM26 (#94 M.Hoffman)Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+7
96.4%
No Huddle #3 C.Hellums pass complete short left to #15 N.Short caught at ARM26, for 7 yards to the ARM33 (#13 C.Chadwick), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
97.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Nwawuihe rush left for 5 yards gain to the ARM38 (#10 T.King)Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+18
97.1%
No Huddle #3 C.Hellums pass complete short left to #15 N.Short caught at ARM44, for 18 yards to the CON44, out of bounds at CON44, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
97.2%
#7 G.Nwawuihe rush right for 8 yards gain to the CON36 (#6 B.Parham; #2 D.Pringle)Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 36
0
97.1%
No Huddle #3 C.Hellums pass incomplete short left thrown to CON29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+5
97.1%
No Huddle #33 J.Rendina rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CON31 (#21 L.Molette III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
97.2%
#7 G.Nwawuihe rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CON27 (#10 T.King)Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+2
97.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Nwawuihe rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CON25 (#52 C.Chol)Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+5
97.0%
No Huddle #33 J.Rendina rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CON20 (#19 E.Hogg), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
97.1%
No Huddle #33 J.Rendina rush left for 5 yards gain to the CON15 (#2 D.Pringle; #32 O.Diomande)Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+3
97.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 G.Nwawuihe rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CON12 (#10 T.King)Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+6
97.2%
Shotgun #7 G.Nwawuihe rush right for 6 yards gain to the CON06 (#21 L.Molette III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.5%
#3 C.Hellums rush right for 6 yards gain to the CON00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:18 #95 D.Jones kick attempt good (H: #38 C.Allan, LS: #55 O.Walter)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 2:191% → 2%
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+28
98.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Farrar pass complete short left to #6 R.Murphy caught at ARM40, for 28 yards to the ARM30, out of bounds at ARM30, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
98.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #44 O.Lundberg Coleman rush right for 12 yards gain to the ARM18 (#14 G.Shields; #3 S.Nnadozie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
98.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #44 O.Lundberg Coleman rush right for 3 yards gain to the ARM15 (#40 E.Ford)Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+5
98.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Farrar pass complete short left to #6 R.Murphy caught at ARM18, for 5 yards to the ARM10 (#3 S.Nnadozie)Similar
Q4 8:06
3RD & 2
OPP 10
-1
99.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Farrar rush right for 1 yard loss to the ARM11 (#3 S.Nnadozie)Similar
Q4 5:47
4TH & 3
OPP 11
+11
97.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Farrar rush middle for 11 yards gain to the ARM00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:47, 1ST DOWN #15 T.Smith pass attempt failedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 16TD
12 plays · 42 yds · 4:27100% → 100%
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
99.6%
No Huddle #34 C.Smith rush left for 2 yards gain to the CON40 (#6 B.Parham; #21 L.Molette III)Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+6
99.6%
No Huddle #34 C.Smith rush left for 6 yards gain to the CON34 (#2 D.Pringle)Similar
Q4 5:47
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+1
99.6%
#34 C.Smith rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CON33 (#94 M.Hoffman)Similar
Q4 4:03
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+1
99.7%
#10 D.Coleman rush left for 1 yard gain to the CON32 (#6 B.Parham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.9%
No Huddle #10 D.Coleman pass incomplete short left to #18 B.Mott thrown to CON16Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+11
99.9%
#34 C.Smith rush middle for 11 yards gain to the CON21 (#89 T.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
99.9%
Shotgun #34 C.Smith rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CON15 (#5 A.Key)Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+9
99.8%
No Huddle #34 C.Smith rush middle for 9 yards gain to the CON06 (#13 C.Chadwick; #6 B.Parham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
#34 C.Smith rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CON00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:20 #95 D.Jones kick attempt good (H: #38 C.Allan, LS: #55 O.Walter)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17END OF GAME
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #24 M.Flowers rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CON30 (#91 S.Donovan; #92 J.Latore)Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+10
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #21 M.Greaves rush right for 1 yard gain to the CON31 (#51 A.Thomas), out of bounds PENALTY CON Holding (#81 L.Hansen) 10 yards from CON30 to CON20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 19
OWN 20
+5
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #24 M.Flowers rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CON25 (#47 N.Nixon)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:22
C. Hellums run for 1 yd, for a TD, UConn Penalty, personalfoul (C. Chadwick) (D. Jones KICK)
+12.6
TD · Q3 14:04
G. Nwawuihe run for 70 yds, for a TD (D. Jones KICK missed)
+10.9
TD · Q2 3:04
Shotgun #7 G.Nwawuihe rush middle for 43 yards gain to the CON00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:04, 1ST DOWN #95 D.Jones kick attempt good (H: #38 C.Allan, LS: #55 O.Walter)
+9.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com