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PSU

Penn State 22 at Clemson 10

CLEM
2025 · Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl · Dec 27, 2025 · Yankee Stadium
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Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadPSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scorePSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:18 · #99 G.Nwosu punt 50 yards to the CLE13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 25Home team on offense−0.9Pregame prior+5.4Score differential−0.7Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:56: #81 N.Hauser field goal attempt from 48 yards GOOD (H: #88 C.Swinney, LS: #58 H.Caspersen), clock 00:56 — CLEM win probability +9.1 pts (now 61%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 14:56: #94 R.Barker field goal attempt from 43 yards GOOD (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky), clock 14:56 — PSU win probability +8.7 pts (now 68%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:51: Trebor Pena 73 Yd pass from Ethan Grunkemeyer (Quinton Martin Jr. Run for Two-Point Conversion) — PSU win probability +15.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:47: No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Randall rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:47. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD #81 N.Hauser kick attempt good (H: #88 C.Swinney, LS: #58 H.Caspersen) — CLEM win probability +21.2 pts (now 46%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 4:56: Andrew Rappleyea 11 Yd pass from Ethan Grunkemeyer (Ryan Barker Kick) — PSU win probability +21.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 10PSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:40CLEM 4th & 3 at CLEM 32, tied
    Close callWent for it · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    58.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:32PSU 4th & 5 at CLEM 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.0%
    92% to make
    Punt
    40.9%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:34CLEM 4th & 1 at CLEM 34, down 3
    Close callPunted · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:18PSU 4th & 4 at PSU 37, up 3
    Close callPunted · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.5%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:33CLEM 4th & 10 at CLEM 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:52PSU 4th & 4 at CLEM 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    44.6%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:20CLEM 4th & 20 at CLEM 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%−1.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:13PSU 4th & 14 at PSU 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−1.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:08CLEM 4th & 10 at PSU 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−1.0
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    47.5%−6.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:42PSU 4th & 11 at PSU 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−1.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:56CLEM 4th & 5 at PSU 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    51.5%−2.6
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:00PSU 4th & 8 at CLEM 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.9%
    54% to make
    Punt
    44.0%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:37PSU 4th & 4 at CLEM 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    50.9%−0.8
    60% to make
    Punt
    43.3%−8.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:05CLEM 4th & 11 at PSU 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.5%−1.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    47.6%−2.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    49.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:56PSU 4th & 6 at CLEM 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    43.4%−13.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:26CLEM 4th & 5 at CLEM 37, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:51CLEM 4th & 2 at CLEM 43, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.5%−1.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:29CLEM 4th & 11 at PSU 36, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    6.1%
    42% to make
    Punt
    4.9%−1.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1PSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q4 12:51PSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    82.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    82.5%
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 8:47CLEM Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 4:56PSU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1DOWNS
5 plays · -25 yds · 1:2057% → 57%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
56.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Randall rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CLE26 (#10 D.Lane)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
56.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass complete short left to #1 T.Moore caught at CLE31, for 6 yards to the CLE32 (#7 Z.Tracy)Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
56.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass incomplete short right to #6 T.Brown thrown to CLE34Similar
Q1 13:40
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
56.6%
No Huddle #89 J.Smith pass incomplete short right to #5 R.Hanafin thrown to PSU50, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 2FG
10 plays · 27 yds · 5:0844% → 44%
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
56.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #5 D.Ross caught at CLE24, for 8 yards to the CLE24, out of bounds at CLE24Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 2
OPP 24
0
56.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short right to #8 T.Pena caught at CLE25, for 0 yards to the CLE24 (#47 S.Brown). #1 K.Hudson injured on the playSimilar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+5
56.5%
No Huddle #17 E.Grunkemeyer rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CLE19 (#45 V.Burley; #13 W.Heldt), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
56.4%
No Huddle #24 C.Smith rush middle for 7 yards gain to the CLE12 (#1 B.Strozier)Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+2
56.4%
No Huddle #24 C.Smith rush right for 2 yards gain to the CLE10 (#1 B.Strozier), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+6
56.5%
No Huddle #24 C.Smith rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CLE04 (#5 R.Hanafin; #13 W.Heldt), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
56.4%
No Huddle #25 Q.Martin rush middle for 0 yards to the CLE04 (#35 J.Alexander; #47 S.Brown)Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
56.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Smith rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CLE02 (#47 S.Brown)Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
56.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Smith rush middle for 3 yards loss to the CLE05 (#5 R.Hanafin; #42 H.Brown-Shuler)Similar
Q1 8:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
56.1%
#94 R.Barker field goal attempt from 22 yards GOOD (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky), clock 08:32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5856% → 56%
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
56.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass complete short left to #3 T.Smith caught at CLE30, for 5 yards to the CLE30 (#44 J.Harvey)Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
56.3%
Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass complete short left to #8 A.Randall caught at CLE33, for 3 yards to the CLE33 (#10 D.Lane; #33 D.Dennis-Sutton)Similar
Q1 8:32
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
56.3%
Shotgun #8 A.Randall rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CLE34 (#2 A.Collins; #33 D.Dennis-Sutton)Similar
Q1 6:34
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
55.8%
#89 J.Smith punt 35 yards to the PSU31 fair catch by #8 T.Pena at PSU31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:1644% → 44%
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
56.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer sacked for loss of 10 yards to the PSU21 (#93 C.Story, #50 F.Cothran)Similar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 20
OWN 21
+5
56.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete deep right to #87 A.Rappleyea caught at PSU45, for 30 yards to the CLE49, out of bounds at CLE49 PENALTY PSU Illegal Shift 5 yards from PSU21 to PSU16. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 25
OWN 16
0
56.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete short right to #25 Q.Martin thrown to PSU15Similar
Q1 6:34
3RD & 25
OWN 16
+21
56.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #25 Q.Martin rush left for 21 yards gain to the PSU37 (#5 R.Hanafin; #13 W.Heldt)Similar
Q1 4:18
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
56.2%
#99 G.Nwosu punt 50 yards to the CLE13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 2:4555% → 55%
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
55.4%
Shotgun #8 A.Randall rush middle for 0 yards to the CLE13 (#34 O.Wafle; #99 Y.Kemajou)Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+9
55.4%
Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass complete short left to #8 A.Randall caught at CLE10, for 9 yards to the CLE22 (#23 J.Joseph)Similar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+3
55.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Randall rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CLE25 (#24 A.Campbell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass incomplete deep middle to #1 T.Moore thrown to PSU45Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
55.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass complete short left to #1 T.Moore caught at CLE25, for 11 yards to the CLE36 (#24 A.Campbell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
55.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass incomplete short middle to #6 T.Brown thrown to PSU50Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
55.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass incomplete short left to #20 C.Sanderson thrown to CLE39Similar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
55.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass incomplete short right to #3 T.Smith thrown to CLE45 broken up by #23 J.Joseph QB hurried by #32 K.WylieSimilar
Q1 1:33
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
54.5%
#89 J.Smith punt 28 yards to the PSU36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 6DOWNS
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:4145% → 46%
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
54.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Clifford rush left for 2 yards gain to the PSU38, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 1:33
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+9
54.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #25 Q.Martin rush right for 9 yards gain to the PSU47 (#5 R.Hanafin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
54.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer rush left for 0 yards to the PSU47, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
53.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #5 D.Ross caught at PSU45, for 4 yards to the CLE49 (#12 C.Gipson)Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+2
53.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Smith rush left for 2 yards gain to the CLE47 (#13 W.Heldt; #21 K.McCloud)Similar
Q2 13:52
4TH & 4
OPP 47
+1
54.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #87 A.Rappleyea caught at CLE46, for 1 yard to the CLE46, End Of Play, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:3257% → 54%
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
56.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass incomplete short right to #3 T.Smith thrown to PSU44 QB hurried by #99 Y.KemajouSimilar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
55.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass complete short left to #6 T.Brown caught at PSU49, for 5 yards to the PSU49 (#23 J.Joseph)Similar
Q2 13:52
3RD & 5
OPP 49
-15
56.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik sacked for loss of 15 yards to the CLE36 (#33 D.Dennis-Sutton)Similar
Q2 12:20
4TH & 20
OWN 36
0
53.7%
#89 J.Smith punt 43 yards to the PSU21 #8 T.Pena return 0 yards to the PSU21 (#5 R.Hanafin)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:0746% → 44%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
54.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete deep middle to #5 D.Ross thrown to CLE35Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+13
54.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #8 T.Pena caught at PSU22, for 13 yards to the PSU34 (#1 B.Strozier), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-4
53.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short right to #25 Q.Martin caught at PSU25, for 4 yards loss to the PSU30, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 14
OWN 30
0
54.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete short middle to #5 D.Ross thrown to PSU49Similar
Q2 10:59
3RD & 14
OWN 30
0
55.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #87 A.Rappleyea caught at PSU30, for 0 yards to the PSU30 (#1 B.Strozier)Similar
Q2 10:13
4TH & 14
OWN 30
0
55.9%
#99 G.Nwosu punt 48 yards to the CLE22 fair catch by #1 T.Moore at CLE22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9MISSED FG
12 plays · 63 yds · 4:0555% → 55%
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
55.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Brown rush right for 10 yards gain to the CLE32 (#21 V.Toure), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
55.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Davidson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CLE36 (#0 D.DeLuca; #21 V.Toure)Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+3
56.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CLE39 (#7 Z.Tracy; #10 D.Lane)Similar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+6
56.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass complete short right to #6 T.Brown caught at CLE45, for 6 yards to the CLE45 (#2 A.Collins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-4
55.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Davidson rush middle for 4 yards loss to the CLE41 (#0 D.DeLuca), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 14
OWN 41
+44
53.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass complete short left to #1 T.Moore caught at PSU42, for 44 yards to the PSU15 (#10 D.Lane), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
55.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass incomplete short left to #1 T.Moore thrown to PSU04 broken up by #5 D.DixsonSimilar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
57.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass complete short right to #8 A.Randall caught at PSU18, for 0 yards to the PSU15 (#10 D.Lane)Similar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
56.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass incomplete short right to #3 T.Smith thrown to PSU00Similar
Q2 6:08
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+33
54.5%
#81 N.Hauser field goal attempt from 33 yards NO GOOD (H: #88 C.Swinney, LS: #58 H.Caspersen), clock 06:08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:2647% → 47%
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
53.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Smith rush right for 1 yard gain to the PSU21 (#26 C.Kubah-Taylor; #35 J.Alexander)Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+1
53.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Smith rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PSU22 (#47 S.Brown)Similar
Q2 5:06
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+14
54.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #8 T.Pena caught at PSU36, for 14 yards to the PSU36, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
51.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #24 C.Smith rush right for 1 yard loss to the PSU35 (#1 B.Strozier)Similar
Q2 5:06
2ND & 12
OWN 34
0
52.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete short middle to #3 K.Howard thrown to PSU45Similar
Q2 5:06
3RD & 12
OWN 34
0
53.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete short middle to #87 A.Rappleyea thrown to PSU47 broken up by #21 K.McCloudSimilar
Q2 3:42
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
53.5%
#99 G.Nwosu punt 37 yards to the CLE28 fair catch by #1 T.Moore at CLE28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11FG
13 plays · 29 yds · 2:4653% → 61%
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
52.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass incomplete short left to #3 T.Smith thrown to CLE35 broken up by #5 D.DixsonSimilar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
52.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass incomplete short left to #10 J.Preston thrown to CLE31 broken up by #24 A.CampbellSimilar
Q2 3:42
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+13
51.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass complete short middle to #1 T.Moore caught at CLE41, for 13 yards to the CLE41 (#23 J.Joseph), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
54.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik rush middle for 13 yards gain to the PSU46 (#32 K.Wylie), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
55.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Davidson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PSU43 (#24 A.Campbell)Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+8
54.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Davidson rush middle for 8 yards gain to the PSU35 (#9 K.Mack; #7 Z.Tracy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
53.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass incomplete short left to #87 C.Bentancur thrown to PSU28 broken up by #10 D.LaneSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-8
53.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik sacked for loss of 8 yards to the PSU43 (#44 J.Harvey)Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 18
OPP 43
+13
49.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass complete short middle to #9 G.Davidson caught at PSU39, for 13 yards to the PSU30 (#32 K.Wylie)Similar
Q2 0:56
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+48
61.1%
#81 N.Hauser field goal attempt from 48 yards GOOD (H: #88 C.Swinney, LS: #58 H.Caspersen), clock 00:56Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 12FG
12 plays · 48 yds · 0:5245% → 52%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
55.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #5 D.Ross caught at PSU25, for 9 yards to the PSU30 (#12 C.Gipson), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 1
OWN 30
0
53.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete short middle to #3 K.Howard thrown to PSU45 broken up by #5 R.HanafinSimilar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+14
54.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #25 Q.Martin rush middle for 14 yards gain to the PSU44 (#5 R.Hanafin; #93 C.Story), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
52.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short right to #5 D.Ross caught at PSU44, for 8 yards to the CLE48, out of bounds at CLE48Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 2
OPP 48
0
50.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete short middle to #8 T.Pena thrown to CLE46 broken up by #56 C.Thompson QB hurried by #13 W.HeldtSimilar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+15
51.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short right to #3 K.Howard caught at CLE33, for 15 yards to the CLE33, out of bounds at CLE33, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
49.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete short right to #8 T.Pena thrown to CLE24Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
49.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete short right to #5 D.Ross thrown to CLE14 broken up by #23 A.HamptonSimilar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+2
51.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short right to #87 A.Rappleyea caught at CLE31, for 2 yards to the CLE31 (#21 K.McCloud), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+48
47.9%
Ryan Barker 48 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 13DOWNS
13 plays · 47 yds · 5:2350% → 53%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
49.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #25 Q.Martin rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PSU29 (#6 R.Jones; #13 W.Heldt)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
48.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #25 Q.Martin rush middle for 5 yards gain to the PSU34 (#44 C.Denhoff; #47 S.Brown)Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
49.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #25 Q.Martin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PSU36 (#35 J.Alexander; #47 S.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
48.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Ross rush left for 7 yards gain to the PSU43 (#6 R.Jones), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+2
47.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #5 D.Ross caught at PSU41, for 2 yards to the PSU45 (#23 A.Hampton)Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+4
47.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #25 Q.Martin rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PSU49 (#13 W.Heldt; #47 S.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
47.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Clifford pass incomplete short right thrown to PSU49 broken up by #35 J.Alexander. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+17
47.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short right to #85 L.Reynolds caught at CLE46, for 17 yards to the CLE34 (#1 B.Strozier; #47 S.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-6
46.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer sacked for loss of 6 yards to the CLE36 (#23 A.Hampton)Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 36
+8
48.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #5 D.Ross caught at CLE35, for 8 yards to the CLE28 (#6 R.Jones)Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
47.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Ross rush left for 4 yards gain to the CLE30 (#1 B.Strozier; #47 S.Brown)Similar
Q3 9:37
4TH & 4
OPP 28
0
47.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete short right to #5 D.Ross thrown to CLE24, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 4:3250% → 48%
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
50.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik rush right for 5 yards gain to the CLE33 (#24 A.Campbell)Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+4
51.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Randall rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CLE37 (#9 K.Mack)Similar
Q3 9:37
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+3
51.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Randall rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CLE40 (#50 A.Ford Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
52.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass complete short right to #87 C.Bentancur caught at CLE42, for 2 yards to the CLE42 QB hurried by #24 A.Campbell, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
52.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass complete short left to #8 A.Randall caught at CLE40, for 0 yards to the CLE42 (#7 Z.Tracy)Similar
Q3 9:37
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+15
49.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass incomplete short right to #5 J.Sapp thrown to PSU40 PENALTY PSU Pass Interference (#2 A.Collins) 15 yards from CLE42 to PSU43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
54.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass incomplete short left to #8 A.Randall thrown to PSU30 QB hurried by #0 D.DeLucaSimilar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
53.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PSU39 (#50 A.Ford Jr.)Similar
Q3 9:37
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+5
53.5%
PENALTY CLE False Start (#1 T.Moore) 5 yards from PSU39 to PSU44. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 9:37
3RD & 11
OPP 44
0
50.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass incomplete deep left to #6 T.Brown thrown to PSU24Similar
Q3 5:05
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
48.0%
#89 J.Smith punt 33 yards to the PSU11 fair catch by #8 T.Pena at PSU11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 15FG
12 plays · 64 yds · 5:0954% → 68%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
46.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #25 Q.Martin rush right for 6 yards gain to the PSU17 (#35 J.Alexander; #44 C.Denhoff)Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+4
46.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #25 Q.Martin rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PSU21 (#47 S.Brown; #50 F.Cothran), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
45.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #25 Q.Martin rush left for 9 yards gain to the PSU30 (#50 F.Cothran)Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+7
44.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #25 Q.Martin rush middle for 7 yards gain to the PSU37 (#5 R.Hanafin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+19
44.6%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #3 K.Howard caught at PSU50, for 19 yards to the CLE44 (#6 R.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
42.5%
Shotgun #23 T.Hayes rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CLE40 (#45 V.Burley; #47 S.Brown)Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+13
42.0%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short middle to #85 L.Reynolds caught at CLE42, for 13 yards to the CLE27 (#5 R.Hanafin; #44 C.Denhoff), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-3
40.8%
Shotgun #25 Q.Martin rush middle for 3 yards loss to the CLE30 (#50 F.Cothran)Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 13
OPP 30
0
41.5%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #8 T.Pena caught at CLE32, for 0 yards to the CLE30 (#50 F.Cothran; #93 C.Story)Similar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 11
OPP 30
+5
43.3%
Shotgun #25 Q.Martin rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CLE25 (#35 J.Alexander)Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+43
32.4%
#94 R.Barker field goal attempt from 43 yards GOOD (H: #14 R.Thompson, LS: #48 T.Duzansky), clock 14:56Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2240% → 37%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
39.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass complete short left to #1 T.Moore caught at CLE32, for 0 yards to the CLE32 (#32 K.Wylie)Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+5
39.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Randall rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CLE37 (#39 T.Blanding; #50 A.Ford Jr.)Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
38.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass incomplete short left to #87 C.Bentancur thrown to CLE45 broken up by #2 A.CollinsSimilar
Q4 13:26
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
37.0%
#89 J.Smith punt 38 yards to the PSU25 fair catch by #8 T.Pena at PSU25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 17TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3569% → 84%
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
31.1%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass incomplete short left to #85 L.Reynolds thrown to PSU25 QB hurried by #13 W.HeldtSimilar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
32.0%
Shotgun #25 Q.Martin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PSU27 (#23 A.Hampton; #45 V.Burley)Similar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+73
16.5%
Trebor Pena 73 Yd pass from Ethan Grunkemeyer (Quinton Martin Jr. Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18TD
12 plays · 63 yds · 4:0420% → 46%
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
20.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass complete short middle to #5 J.Sapp caught at CLE41, for 6 yards to the CLE41 (#24 A.Campbell)Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
21.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass incomplete short middle to #9 G.Davidson thrown to CLE45Similar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+2
20.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik rush right for 2 yards gain to the CLE43 (#21 V.Toure)Similar
Q4 12:51
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+4
20.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass complete short left to #5 J.Sapp caught at CLE45, for 4 yards to the CLE47 (#23 J.Joseph), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
21.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass complete short middle to #1 T.Moore caught at CLE50, for 9 yards to the PSU44 (#5 D.Dixson; #21 V.Toure)Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+9
22.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Randall rush left for 9 yards gain to the PSU35 (#21 V.Toure), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
24.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass complete short middle to #3 T.Smith caught at PSU30, for 5 yards to the PSU30 (#5 D.Dixson)Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+15
24.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass incomplete short middle to #3 T.Smith thrown to PSU26 PENALTY PSU Pass Interference (#5 D.Dixson) 15 yards from PSU30 to PSU15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
24.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass complete short left to #20 C.Sanderson caught at CLE20, for 9 yards to the PSU06 (#23 J.Joseph)Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+4
24.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Randall rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PSU02 (#7 Z.Tracy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
45.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Randall rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:47. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD #81 N.Hauser kick attempt good (H: #88 C.Swinney, LS: #58 H.Caspersen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 19TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:5171% → 95%
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
29.1%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short left to #5 D.Ross caught at PSU25, for 10 yards to the PSU35 (#23 A.Hampton), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
28.0%
Shotgun #25 Q.Martin rush right for 1 yard loss to the PSU34 (#13 W.Heldt; #47 S.Brown)Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+4
29.0%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short right to #87 A.Rappleyea caught at PSU38, for 4 yards to the PSU38 (#21 K.McCloud; #47 S.Brown)Similar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+35
24.0%
Shotgun #17 E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short right to #5 D.Ross caught at CLE45, for 35 yards to the CLE27 (#23 A.Hampton), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
20.0%
Shotgun #25 Q.Martin rush middle for 0 yards to the CLE27 (#35 J.Alexander; #44 C.Denhoff)Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+6
20.4%
Shotgun #25 Q.Martin rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CLE21 (#21 K.McCloud; #93 C.Story)Similar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+10
19.2%
Shotgun #23 T.Hayes rush middle for 10 yards gain to the CLE11 (#21 K.McCloud; #13 W.Heldt), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
4.9%
Andrew Rappleyea 11 Yd pass from Ethan Grunkemeyer (Ryan Barker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:277% → 5%
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
6.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass complete short left to #87 C.Bentancur caught at CLE30, for 27 yards to the PSU48 (#0 D.DeLuca; #21 V.Toure), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
8.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass incomplete short left to #1 T.Moore thrown to PSU39 broken up by #5 D.DixsonSimilar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-7
8.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik sacked for loss of 7 yards to the CLE45 (#33 D.Dennis-Sutton)Similar
Q4 4:56
3RD & 17
OWN 45
+20
6.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass complete deep middle to #6 T.Brown caught at PSU35, for 20 yards to the PSU35 (#24 A.Campbell), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
10.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Randall rush middle for 3 yards gain to the PSU32 (#24 A.Campbell)Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 7
OPP 32
-4
10.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass complete short middle to #8 A.Randall caught at PSU36, for 4 yards loss to the PSU36 (#39 T.Blanding)Similar
Q4 4:56
3RD & 11
OPP 36
0
8.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik pass incomplete short left to #6 T.Brown thrown to PSU30 broken up by #17 K.WoseleySimilar
Q4 2:29
4TH & 11
OPP 36
0
4.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Klubnik sacked for loss of 10 yards to the PSU46 (#21 V.Toure), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 21END OF HALF
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:2997% → 98%
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
3.3%
Shotgun #25 Q.Martin rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PSU50 (#44 C.Denhoff)Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 6
50
+3
3.2%
#25 Q.Martin rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CLE47 (#21 K.McCloud; #35 J.Alexander)Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+4
2.5%
#23 T.Hayes rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CLE43 (#47 S.Brown; #93 C.Story), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
1.8%
Kneel down by #17 E.Grunkemeyer at CLE45 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 12
OPP 45
-1
1.9%
Kneel down by #17 E.Grunkemeyer at CLE46 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:56
Andrew Rappleyea 11 Yd pass from Ethan Grunkemeyer (Ryan Barker Kick)
-21.9
TD · Q4 8:47
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Randall rush middle for 2 yards gain to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:47. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD #81 N.Hauser kick attempt good (H: #88 C.Swinney, LS: #58 H.Caspersen)
+21.2
TD · Q4 12:51
Trebor Pena 73 Yd pass from Ethan Grunkemeyer (Quinton Martin Jr. Run for Two-Point Conversion)
-15.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com