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UNM

New Mexico 17 at Minnesota 20

MINN
2025 · Rate Bowl · Dec 26, 2025 · Chase Field
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:53 · T.Weston punts 33 yards to UNM 4, Center-A.Soukup. Downed by J.Tracy.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+24.0+12.00−12.0−24.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 137Pregame prior+2.0Home team on offense+3.2Score differential−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9Garbage-time factor−1.4Blowout margin−1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 13:34: D.Taylor rushed for 5 yards. TOUCHDOWN. — MINN win probability +18.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 13:13: D.Taylor rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by D.Johnson at UNM 45. — UNM win probability +23.0 pts (now 36%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · OT 0:00: J.Layne pass complete. Catch made by D.Bankston for 5 yards. Tackled by J.Nestor at MINN 20. — UNM win probability +16.7 pts (now 60%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  4. FG · OT 0:00: L.Drzewiecki 36 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-T.Dubuc, Holder-C.Steinkamp. — UNM win probability +15.9 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: D.Lindsey pass complete. Catch made by J.Smith for 12 yards. TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion and the play was upheld. — MINN win probability +61.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 5 of 8UNM made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 12:58UNM 4th & 4 at UNM 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:25MINN 4th & 6 at MINN 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:47UNM 4th & 14 at MINN 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    41.2%−2.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:54MINN 4th & 9 at MINN 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:18MINN 4th & 1 at UNM 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    54.1%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:39UNM 4th & 7 at MINN 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    45.4%−0.9
    28% to make
    Punt
    46.1%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:18UNM 4th & 3 at MINN 12, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.3%−0.7
    86% to make
    Punt
    42.6%−6.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:19MINN 4th & 1 at UNM 33, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    59.7%−3.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    58.7%−4.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:00MINN 4th & 16 at UNM 38, up 1
    Close callPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%−1.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    60.9%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.9%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:14UNM 4th & 8 at UNM 38, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%−1.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:11MINN 4th & 24 at MINN 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%−9.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:53MINN 4th & 7 at UNM 37, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.5 ptsPunted · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    55.8%−2.5
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%−3.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:53UNM 4th & 8 at UNM 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%−8.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:46MINN 4th & 7 at UNM 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.8%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:04UNM 4th & 10 at MINN 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%−2.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 2:00MINN Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 13:34MINN Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.5%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:0232% → 32%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
67.8%
J.Layne steps back to pass. Sacked at UNM 15 for -10 yards (M.Baranowski).Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+5
67.8%
D.Bankston rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by M.Baranowski; D.Green at UNM 20.Similar
Q1 13:38
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+11
67.7%
J.Layne pass complete. Catch made by D.Thomas for 11 yards. Tackled by K.Perich at UNM 31.Similar
Q1 12:58
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+45
67.7%
D.Hughes punts 45 yards to MINN 24, Center-T.Dubuc. K.Perich returned punt from the MINN 24. K.Perich FUMBLES. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 2:2268% → 67%
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
67.6%
D.Lindsey pass complete. Catch made by J.Tracy for 6 yards. Tackled by J.Torres at MINN 34.Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 4
OWN 34
0
67.7%
D.Lindsey steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Tracy.Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+7
67.5%
D.Lindsey pass complete. Catch made by D.Taylor for 7 yards. Tackled by J.Eck at MINN 41.Similar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
67.7%
D.Taylor rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by T.Combs at MINN 45.Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
67.8%
PENALTY on MINN-P.Walsh, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 11
OWN 40
0
67.5%
D.Lindsey steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for D.Taylor.Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+5
67.3%
PENALTY on UNM-B.Karhu, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
67.5%
D.Lindsey steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for C.Davis.Similar
Q1 10:25
4TH & 6
OWN 45
+55
67.2%
T.Weston punts 55 yards to UNM End Zone, Center-A.Soukup. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3FG
17 plays · 66 yds · 8:2933% → 35%
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
67.2%
J.Layne steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for M.Buckley. PENALTY on MINN-D.Green, Defensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
67.1%
D.Bankston rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by K.Menz at UNM 38.Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+5
66.9%
J.Layne pass complete. Catch made by D.McKinney for 5 yards. Tackled by D.Green at UNM 43.Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+2
66.5%
D.Bankston rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by K.Perich at UNM 45.Similar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
66.4%
J.Layne scrambles for 12 yards. Tackled by M.Baranowski at MINN 43.Similar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
66.1%
J.Laubstein rushed for 13 yards. Tackled by K.Brown at MINN 30. PENALTY on UNM-Z.Smith, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
Q1 7:04
1ST & 7
OPP 40
-1
65.8%
D.McKinney rushed for -1 yards. Tackled by D.Williams at MINN 41.Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+6
65.7%
J.Layne pass complete. Catch made by S.Miller for 6 yards. Tackled by J.Howard; A.Gousby at MINN 35.Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+17
65.6%
D.Bankston rushed for 17 yards. Tackled by M.Baranowski at MINN 18.Similar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
65.0%
J.Laubstein steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Johnson.Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+6
65.1%
J.Layne pass complete. Catch made by K.Johnson for 6 yards. Tackled by M.Gerald at MINN 12.Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+11
65.1%
D.McKinney rushed for 11 yards. Tackled by MINN at MINN 1.Similar
Q1 3:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-6
64.6%
J.Laubstein rushed for -6 yards. Tackled by MINN at MINN 7.Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
64.4%
J.Layne scrambles for 1 yards. Tackled by D.Williams; M.Baranowski at MINN 6.Similar
Q1 2:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-8
64.3%
J.Layne steps back to pass. Sacked at MINN 14 for -8 yards (A.Smith).Similar
Q1 1:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
0
64.8%
L.Drzewiecki 31 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-T.Dubuc, Holder-C.Steinkamp.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4764% → 63%
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
64.3%
D.Taylor rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by UNM at MINN 29.Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
64.2%
D.Lindsey steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Smith.Similar
Q1 1:03
3RD & 9
OWN 29
0
63.4%
D.Lindsey steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for D.Taylor.Similar
Q1 0:54
4TH & 9
OWN 29
+51
63.1%
T.Weston punts 51 yards to UNM 20, Center-A.Soukup. Fair catch by D.McKinney. PENALTY on MINN-A.Soukup, Fair Catch Interference, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5INT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:5536% → 37%
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
63.7%
J.Layne steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Johnson.Similar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
63.9%
D.Bankston rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by MINN at UNM 38.Similar
Q1 0:13
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+7
63.5%
J.Layne pass complete. Catch made by K.Johnson for 7 yards. Tackled by MINN at UNM 45.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
62.4%
M.Buckley steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Johnson. PENALTY on UNM-D.Thomas, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 20
OWN 35
0
63.3%
J.Layne pass INTERCEPTED at MINN 42. Intercepted by J.Nestor at MINN 42. Tackled by UNM at MINN 42.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6FUMBLE
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:2865% → 64%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
64.9%
D.Lindsey steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Simpson.Similar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
64.2%
D.Taylor rushed for yards. Tackled by UNM at MINN 43. PENALTY on MINN-G.Johnson, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 20
OWN 32
+11
63.4%
D.Lindsey pass complete. Catch made by J.Smith for 11 yards. Tackled by D.Johnson at MINN 43.Similar
Q2 13:19
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
63.3%
PENALTY on MINN-D.Ray, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 14
OWN 38
+13
62.8%
D.Lindsey pass short left complete. Catch made by J.Smith for 13 yards. Tackled by J.Torres at UNM 49.Similar
Q2 12:18
4TH & 1
OPP 49
-5
63.8%
MINN rushed for -5 yards. MINN FUMBLES. Fumble RECOVERED by UNM-C.Coleman at MINN 46.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7FG
11 plays · 34 yds · 5:5339% → 47%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
61.0%
J.Layne pass complete. Catch made by D.Bankston for 2 yards. Tackled by M.Baranowski at MINN 44.Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 8
OPP 44
0
60.7%
J.Layne steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for S.Miller.Similar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+1
61.0%
J.Layne pass complete. Catch made by D.Thomas for 1 yards. Tackled by M.Baranowski at MINN 43.Similar
Q2 10:39
4TH & 7
OPP 43
+13
61.8%
J.Layne pass complete. Catch made by K.Johnson for 13 yards. Tackled by M.Gerald at MINN 30.Similar
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
59.2%
J.Laubstein rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by L.Finnessy at MINN 26.Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+3
58.8%
J.Laubstein rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by M.Baranowski at MINN 23.Similar
Q2 8:24
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+4
59.2%
J.Laubstein rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by K.Brown; M.Kingsbury at MINN 19.Similar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
56.9%
J.Laubstein steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for D.Thomas.Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
57.1%
J.Laubstein pass complete. Catch made by D.Bankston for 0 yards. Tackled by D.Green at MINN 19.Similar
Q2 7:04
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+7
57.9%
J.Layne pass complete. Catch made by D.Bankston for 7 yards. Tackled by K.Perich; J.Nestor at MINN 12.Similar
Q2 6:18
4TH & 3
OPP 12
0
52.9%
L.Drzewiecki 29 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-T.Dubuc, Holder-C.Steinkamp.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:1456% → 69%
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+38
55.7%
D.Taylor rushed for 38 yards. Tackled by A.Brawley at UNM 37.Similar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
58.1%
D.Taylor rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by K.James-Newby; M.Swaim at UNM 37.Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+9
57.8%
D.Lindsey pass complete. Catch made by J.Tracy for 9 yards. Tackled by J.Johnson at UNM 28.Similar
Q2 4:21
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+2
57.3%
D.Taylor rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by B.Booker at UNM 26.Similar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
58.5%
K.Perich rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by M.Swaim at UNM 25.Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+9
58.2%
D.Taylor rushed for 9 yards. Tackled by A.Brawley at UNM 16.Similar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
57.7%
D.Taylor rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by T.Combs at UNM 12.Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+2
57.6%
D.Taylor rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by B.Karhu at UNM 10.Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+10
69.1%
D.Lindsey pass complete. Catch made by J.Smith for 10 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9END OF HALF
13 plays · 15 yds · 1:2134% → 34%
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
65.9%
J.Layne steps back to pass. Sacked at UNM 18 for -7 yards (K.Menz). J.Layne FUMBLES, forced by K.Menz. Fumble RECOVERED by UNM-M.Aliane at UNM 18.Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+6
66.2%
D.Bankston rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by D.Williams at UNM 24.Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+11
67.1%
D.Bankston rushed for 11 yards. Tackled by E.Karmo at UNM 35.Similar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
65.3%
J.Layne pass complete. Catch made by D.Bankston for 4 yards. Pushed out of bounds by D.Williams at UNM 39.Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
63.8%
J.Layne pass complete. Catch made by D.Thomas for 3 yards. Tackled by MINN at UNM 42.Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+3
63.7%
J.Layne rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by M.Baranowski at UNM 45.Similar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
63.5%
J.Layne steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for D.McKinney.Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-7
64.1%
J.Layne steps back to pass. Sacked at UNM 38 for -7 yards (A.Smith).Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 17
OWN 38
+5
66.1%
J.Layne pass complete. Catch made by A.Valdez for -3 yards. Lateral to D.Bankston to UNM 40 for 5 yards. Tackled by K.Menz; J.Nestor at UNM 40.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10PUNT
16 plays · 37 yds · 6:0067% → 65%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.0%
PENALTY on MINN-T.Nelson, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+11
66.7%
D.Lindsey pass complete. Catch made by K.Perich for 11 yards. Tackled by J.Johnson at MINN 31.Similar
Q3 14:32
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
68.1%
D.Lindsey steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for D.Taylor. PENALTY on UNM-K.James-Newby, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
67.8%
D.Taylor rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by K.James-Newby at MINN 36.Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
67.3%
D.Taylor rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by D.Johnson at MINN 41.Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+17
67.7%
D.Lindsey pass complete. Catch made by J.Smith for 17 yards. Tackled by J.Torres at UNM 42.Similar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
69.6%
D.Lindsey steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for.Similar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+5
69.5%
D.Taylor rushed for 5 yards. Tackled by D.Johnson at UNM 37.Similar
Q3 11:58
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+4
69.0%
D.Taylor rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by A.Brawley at UNM 33.Similar
Q3 11:19
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+1
67.8%
D.Lindsey rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by B.Booker at UNM 32.Similar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-7
70.4%
D.Lindsey steps back to pass. Sacked at UNM 39 for -7 yards (D.Johnson).Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 17
OPP 39
+1
68.0%
D.Lindsey pass complete. Catch made by J.Smith for 1 yards. Tackled by A.Levells at UNM 38.Similar
Q3 9:06
3RD & 16
OPP 38
0
66.9%
D.Lindsey steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for.Similar
Q3 9:00
4TH & 16
OPP 38
+28
64.8%
T.Weston punts 28 yards to UNM 10, Center-A.Soukup. Fair catch by A.Brawley.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:3934% → 33%
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-3
65.8%
D.Bankston rushed for -3 yards. Tackled by A.Smith at UNM 7.Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 13
OWN 7
+2
66.3%
J.Layne scrambles for 2 yards. Tackled by M.Baranowski at UNM 9.Similar
Q3 7:29
3RD & 11
OWN 9
+16
67.5%
J.Layne pass complete. Catch made by K.Johnson for 16 yards. Tackled by M.Gerald at UNM 25.Similar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
65.3%
J.Layne scrambles for 11 yards. Tackled by J.Logan-Redding; D.Williams at UNM 36.Similar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
64.1%
J.Layne steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for S.Miller.Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
64.7%
J.Laubstein rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by M.Baranowski at UNM 38.Similar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
64.4%
J.Layne steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for.Similar
Q3 5:14
4TH & 8
OWN 38
+42
66.9%
D.Hughes punts 42 yards to MINN 20, Center-T.Dubuc. Fair catch by K.Perich.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 12TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 6:3366% → 88%
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
66.0%
D.Taylor rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Johnson at MINN 21.Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+6
65.3%
D.Taylor rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by A.Brawley; K.McCray at MINN 27.Similar
Q3 3:52
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+6
64.7%
D.Lindsey pass complete. Catch made by F.Bierman for 6 yards. Tackled by T.Combs at MINN 33.Similar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
66.0%
D.Taylor rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by M.Swaim at MINN 37.Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+5
67.7%
D.Lindsey pass complete. Catch made by J.Johnson for 5 yards. Tackled by UNM at MINN 42. PENALTY on UNM-G.Lopez, Illegal Use of Hands / Defense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
69.7%
D.Lindsey pass complete. Catch made by K.Perich for 9 yards. Tackled by J.Torres at UNM 34.Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+10
70.7%
D.Taylor rushed for 10 yards. Tackled by C.McBean at UNM 24.Similar
Q3 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
70.8%
D.Lindsey pass complete. Catch made by K.Perich for 9 yards. Tackled by J.Torres at UNM 15.Similar
Q3 0:05
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+3
70.8%
D.Taylor rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Johnson; T.Combs at UNM 12.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
70.8%
C.Davis rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by O.Olorunfunmi at UNM 10.Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+5
71.0%
D.Lindsey pass complete. Catch made by K.Perich for 5 yards. Tackled by J.Torres at UNM 5.Similar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+5
87.5%
D.Taylor rushed for 5 yards. TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -14 yds · 2:0265% → 56%
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
64.5%
D.Taylor rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by D.Johnson at UNM 45.Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 4
OPP 45
0
65.3%
D.Taylor rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by D.Johnson at UNM 45.Similar
Q4 11:59
3RD & 4
OPP 45
0
64.4%
D.Lindsey steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Smith. PENALTY on MINN-D.Ray, Illegal Use of Hands / Offense, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 19
OWN 40
0
58.8%
PENALTY on MINN-N.Roy, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 24
OWN 35
0
57.5%
D.Taylor rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by D.Agu at MINN 35.Similar
Q4 11:11
4TH & 24
OWN 35
+47
56.3%
T.Weston punts 47 yards to UNM 18, Center-A.Soukup. D.McKinney returned punt from the UNM 18. Tackled by M.Baranowski at UNM 20.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 15DOWNS
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:0745% → 48%
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
55.2%
D.Bankston rushed for 12 yards. Tackled by M.Baranowski at UNM 32.Similar
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
53.9%
J.Laubstein rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by M.Baranowski; K.Menz at UNM 35.Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+7
53.3%
J.Laubstein rushed for 7 yards. Tackled by D.Williams at UNM 42.Similar
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
51.3%
J.Laubstein rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by M.Baranowski at UNM 45.Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
50.3%
J.Layne steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Johnson.Similar
Q4 8:31
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+5
51.8%
J.Layne scrambles for 5 yards. Tackled by J.Howard; K.Perich at UNM 50.Similar
Q4 7:47
4TH & 2
OPP 0
-10
51.7%
D.Buchanan rushed for -10 yards. Tackled by A.Smith at UNM 40.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5365% → 60%
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
65.1%
D.Lindsey steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for J.Smith.Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
64.9%
D.Taylor rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by O.Olorunfunmi at UNM 37.Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 7
OPP 37
0
63.9%
D.Lindsey steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for D.Biber.Similar
Q4 6:53
4TH & 7
OPP 37
+33
60.2%
T.Weston punts 33 yards to UNM 4, Center-A.Soukup. Downed by J.Tracy.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5446% → 43%
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
54.0%
J.Laubstein rushed for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Green; M.Baranowski at UNM 6.Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 8
OWN 6
0
53.9%
J.Layne steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for.Similar
Q4 5:58
3RD & 8
OWN 6
0
55.8%
J.Layne steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Johnson.Similar
Q4 5:53
4TH & 8
OWN 6
+44
57.5%
D.Hughes punts 44 yards to UNM 50, Center-T.Dubuc. Fair catch by K.Perich.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:5966% → 58%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+4
66.2%
D.Taylor rushed for 4 yards. Tackled by A.Brawley; C.Coleman at UNM 46.Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
64.7%
D.Taylor rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by J.Torres at UNM 46.Similar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 6
OPP 46
-1
63.2%
D.Lindsey pass complete. Catch made by D.Taylor for -1 yards. Tackled by K.James-Newby at UNM 47.Similar
Q4 3:46
4TH & 7
OPP 47
+30
58.2%
T.Weston punts 30 yards to UNM 17, Center-A.Soukup. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 2:3248% → 48%
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
51.8%
J.Laubstein rushed for 9 yards. Tackled by D.Williams at UNM 26.Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+3
49.0%
J.Laubstein rushed for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Green at UNM 29.Similar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
50.3%
J.Layne steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Johnson. PENALTY on MINN-J.Nestor, Defensive Pass Interference, 12 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
46.7%
J.Laubstein scrambles for 10 yards. Tackled by J.Logan-Redding at MINN 49.Similar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
44.7%
J.Layne steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for K.Johnson.Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
45.2%
J.Laubstein scrambles for 0 yards. Tackled by D.Eastern at MINN 49.Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
47.7%
J.Layne steps back to pass. Pass incomplete intended for A.Nunes.Similar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 10
OPP 49
+34
51.8%
D.Hughes punts 34 yards to MINN 15, Center-T.Dubuc. Fair catch by K.Perich.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20END OF HALF
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:0657% → 58%
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
57.4%
D.Lindsey pass complete. Catch made by D.Taylor for 11 yards. Tackled by D.Speech; M.Swaim at MINN 26.Similar
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
58.4%
D.Lindsey steps back to pass. Sacked at MINN 21 for -5 yards (K.James-Newby).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0060% → 73%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
39.9%
J.Layne pass complete. Catch made by D.Bankston for 5 yards. Tackled by J.Nestor at MINN 20.Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+1
39.8%
D.Bankston rushed for 1 yards. Tackled by A.Smith at MINN 19.Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
0
42.5%
J.Laubstein rushed for 0 yards. Tackled by M.Baranowski at MINN 19.Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 19
0
26.7%
L.Drzewiecki 36 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-T.Dubuc, Holder-C.Steinkamp.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 22TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0038% → 91%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
37.8%
D.Lindsey pass complete. Catch made by D.Taylor for 6 yards. Tackled by C.Coleman at UNM 19.Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
0
37.8%
D.Taylor rushed for yards. Tackled by D.Johnson at UNM 17. PENALTY on UNM-K.James-Newby, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-4
39.0%
D.Lindsey steps back to pass. Sacked at UNM 18 for -4 yards (B.Karhu; B.Booker).Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 14
OPP 18
+6
29.2%
K.Perich rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by B.Karhu at UNM 12.Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+12
90.5%
D.Lindsey pass complete. Catch made by J.Smith for 12 yards. TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion and the play was upheld.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
D.Lindsey pass complete. Catch made by J.Smith for 12 yards. TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion and the play was upheld.
+61.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 13:13
D.Taylor rushed for 6 yards. Tackled by D.Johnson at UNM 45.
-23
TD · Q4 13:34
D.Taylor rushed for 5 yards. TOUCHDOWN.
+18.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com