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CMU

Central Michigan 7 at Northwestern 34

NU
2025 · GameAbove Sports Bowl · Dec 26, 2025 · Ford Field
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Win probability · NU
modelNU aheadCMU aheadconfidence bandkey playNU scoreCMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFUMBLETDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:03 · (10:03) #47 C.Graham field goal attempt from 43 yards NO GOOD (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #30 B.Pratt), clock 10:03
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 11Home team on offense−0.2Pregame prior+30.8Score differential−0.3Blowout margin+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 7:49: (08:01) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #17 G.Wilde caught at CMU28, for 2 yards to the CMU27 (#10 E.Gordon) — NU win probability +4.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:33: (06:38) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete deep left to #17 G.Wilde caught at CMU00, for 23 yards to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:33, 1ST DOWN #82 J.Olsen kick attempt good (H: #94 H.Helms, LS: #39 J.Florentine) — NU win probability +4.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:43: (03:47) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:43 #82 J.Olsen kick attempt good (H: #94 H.Helms, LS: #39 J.Florentine) — NU win probability +4.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:31: (03:37) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete deep right to #86 L.Albright caught at CMU00, for 23 yards to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:31, 1ST DOWN #82 J.Olsen kick attempt good (H: #94 H.Helms, LS: #39 J.Florentine) — NU win probability +9.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  5. FUMBLE · Q3 12:39: (12:52) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CMU47 fumbled by #7 A.Flores at CMU46 forced by #37 M.Uihlein recovered by NW #9 B.Turner at CMU47 #9 B.Turner return 47 yards to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:39 PENALTY CMU Face Mask 15 yards from CMU00 to CMU03, 1ST DOWN #82 J.Olsen kick attempt failed (H: #94 H.Helms, LS: #39 J.Florentine) — NU win probability +2.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9CMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 13:32NU 4th & 1 at NU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    80.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:03CMU 4th & 13 at NU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.2%
    66% to make
    Punt
    19.8%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:04NU 4th & 4 at NU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:21CMU 4th & 8 at CMU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:37NU 4th & 9 at NU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.9%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.3%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:40CMU 4th & 3 at CMU 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:50NU 4th & 7 at CMU 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    75.4%−0.2
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.3%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:43NU 4th & 2 at CMU 2, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    79.8%−0.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    75.9%−4.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:52CMU 4th & 3 at CMU 33, down 21
    Close callPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:28NU 4th & 20 at CMU 42, up 21
    Close callPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    94.8%
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.4%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:54CMU 4th & 10 at NU 47, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:04CMU 4th & 1 at CMU 43, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:56NU 4th & 2 at CMU 35, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:00NU 4th & 3 at CMU 14, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:01NU 4th & 11 at CMU 22, up 27
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 6:33NU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:43NU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:31NU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:31NU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NUDrive 1DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2483% → 83%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.1%
(14:58) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short right to #17 G.Wilde thrown to NWU35 broken up by #1 D.CochranSimilar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
83.1%
(14:53) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush left for 2 yards gain to the NWU27 (#6 K.Carroll)Similar
Q1 13:57
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
82.8%
(14:14) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #17 G.Wilde caught at NWU33, for 7 yards to the NWU34 (#4 J.Jackson)Similar
Q1 13:32
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-1
82.7%
(13:34) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 1 yard loss to the NWU33 (#12 J.Kwiatkowski; #40 L.Brown), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 2MISSED FG
6 plays · 8 yds · 3:1318% → 18%
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
82.5%
(13:29) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short left to #19 T.McIntosh caught at NWU26, for 7 yards to the NWU26 (#13 J.Fussell)Similar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+4
82.3%
(12:52) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short right to #19 T.McIntosh caught at NWU22, for 4 yards to the NWU22 (#7 O.Adeyi), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
82.1%
(12:09) Shotgun #22 B.Townsend rush right for 1 yard gain to the NWU21 (#13 J.Fussell; #1 C.Bastone), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+3
81.7%
(11:30) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short middle to #8 D.Temple caught at NWU18, for 3 yards to the NWU18 (#37 M.Uihlein; #9 B.Turner)Similar
Q1 10:37
3RD & 6
OPP 18
-7
81.6%
(10:45) Shotgun #2 J.Labas sacked for loss of 7 yards to the NWU25 (#91 A.Hubbard)Similar
Q1 10:03
4TH & 13
OPP 25
+43
81.8%
(10:03) #47 C.Graham field goal attempt from 43 yards NO GOOD (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #30 B.Pratt), clock 10:03Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5182% → 81%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
81.7%
(10:00) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 6 yards gain to the NWU31 (#12 J.Kwiatkowski)Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
81.7%
(09:20) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short right to #80 H.Eligon II thrown to NWU36 broken up by #3 B.DeasfernandesSimilar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
81.4%
(09:16) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short middle to #80 H.Eligon II thrown to NWU45 broken up by #3 B.DeasfernandesSimilar
Q1 9:04
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
81.3%
(09:08) #11 L.Akers punt 45 yards to the CMU24 fair catch by #15 C.Spann at CMU24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:3319% → 20%
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
81.3%
(09:04) Shotgun #3 T.Davis rush right for 6 yards gain to the CMU30 (#9 B.Turner)Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+3
80.9%
(08:21) Shotgun #6 T.Cornist rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CMU33 (#37 M.Uihlein)Similar
Q1 7:36
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+3
80.7%
(07:42) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush left for 3 yards gain to the CMU36 (#33 B.Brus), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
80.4%
(06:59) Shotgun #7 A.Flores sacked for loss of 2 yards to the CMU34 (#94 M.Jackson)Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 12
OWN 34
0
80.4%
(06:13) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass incomplete deep left to #3 T.Davis thrown to NW 32 QB hurried by #33 B.BrusSimilar
Q1 6:06
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+5
80.6%
PENALTY CMU Delay Of Game (#2 J.Labas) 5 yards from CMU34 to CMU29. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 17
OWN 29
+9
80.6%
(06:04) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short middle to #8 D.Temple caught at CMU36, for 9 yards to the CMU38 (#33 B.Brus)Similar
Q1 5:21
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
80.4%
(05:26) #18 D.Duley punt 39 yards to the NWU23, out of bounds at NWU23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:3680% → 79%
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-11
80.1%
(05:21) Shotgun #8 P.Stone sacked for loss of 11 yards to the NW 12 (#49 K.Hayden)Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 21
OWN 12
+12
79.8%
(04:35) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #17 G.Wilde caught at NW 24, for 12 yards to the NW 24, out of bounds at NW 24Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
79.3%
(03:56) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short right to #17 G.Wilde thrown to NW 37 broken up by #3 B.DeasfernandesSimilar
Q1 3:37
4TH & 9
OWN 24
+5
79.0%
(03:49) #11 L.Akers punt 50 yards to the CMU26 #15 C.Spann return 5 yards to the CMU31 (#37 M.Uihlein; #10 R.Ahumaraeze)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4921% → 21%
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
79.3%
(03:36) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush right for 4 yards gain to the CMU35 (#13 J.Fussell)Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+3
78.9%
(02:58) Shotgun #22 B.Townsend rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CMU38 (#47 M.Kilbane)Similar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 3
OWN 38
0
78.3%
(02:19) Shotgun #10 M.Beamon rush right for 0 yards to the CMU38 (#37 M.Uihlein)Similar
Q1 1:40
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
78.7%
(01:45) #18 D.Duley punt 42 yards to the NW 20 fair catch by #17 G.Wilde at NW 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 7PUNT
12 plays · 44 yds · 5:4279% → 77%
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
79.1%
(01:38) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush right for 3 yards gain to the NW 23 (#12 J.Kwiatkowski)Similar
Q1 1:02
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+7
78.9%
(01:13) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #17 G.Wilde caught at NW 26, for 7 yards to the NW 30 (#3 B.Deasfernandes; #2 E.Rikard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
78.9%
(00:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #41 R.Preckel rush left for 2 yards loss to the NW 28 (#1 D.Cochran; #2 E.Rikard)Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+4
78.4%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #86 L.Albright caught at NW 29, for 4 yards to the NW 32 (#15 C.Spann)Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+13
77.9%
(14:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush left for 13 yards gain to the NW 45 (#15 C.Spann), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
79.0%
(13:44) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NW 48 (#12 J.Kwiatkowski; #94 D.Fisher)Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+13
78.9%
(13:01) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #84 H.Welcing caught at CMU40, for 13 yards to the CMU39 (#2 E.Rikard; #12 J.Kwiatkowski), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
79.0%
(12:17) Shotgun #41 R.Preckel rush right for 0 yards to the CMU39 (#40 L.Brown)Similar
Q2 11:36
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
78.8%
(11:40) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short middle to #84 H.Welcing thrown to CMU35 broken up by #94 D.FisherSimilar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+3
78.2%
(11:36) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #80 H.Eligon II caught at CMU36, for 3 yards to the CMU36 (#17 M.Blackwell)Similar
Q2 10:50
4TH & 7
OPP 36
0
77.4%
(10:55) #11 L.Akers punt 30 yards to the CMU06Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 8INT
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:4224% → 26%
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
76.4%
(10:50) Shotgun #2 J.Labas rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CMU08 (#94 M.Jackson)Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+5
76.2%
(10:09) Shotgun #6 T.Cornist rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CMU13 (#33 B.Brus; #6 R.Fitzgerald)Similar
Q2 9:18
3RD & 3
OWN 13
+12
76.0%
(09:24) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short left to #3 T.Davis caught at CMU20, for 12 yards to the CMU25 (#9 B.Turner), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
75.1%
(08:46) Shotgun #6 T.Cornist rush left for 1 yard gain to the CMU26 (#6 R.Fitzgerald)Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
74.1%
(08:06) Shotgun #7 A.Flores pass intercepted by #9 B.Turner at CMU29 QB hurried by #47 M.Kilbane, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 29 yds · 1:1678% → 83%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
78.2%
(08:01) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #17 G.Wilde caught at CMU28, for 2 yards to the CMU27 (#10 E.Gordon)Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+4
78.0%
(07:21) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CMU23 (#40 L.Brown; #6 K.Carroll)Similar
Q2 6:33
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+23
82.9%
(06:38) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete deep left to #17 G.Wilde caught at CMU00, for 23 yards to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:33, 1ST DOWN #82 J.Olsen kick attempt good (H: #94 H.Helms, LS: #39 J.Florentine)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 10FUMBLE
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
81.4%
(06:33) Shotgun #2 J.Labas sacked for loss of 7 yards to the CMU18 (#91 A.Hubbard), fumble by #2 J.Labas recovered by NW #1 C.Bastone at CMU18, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 11TD
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:3183% → 86%
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
83.4%
(06:24) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #17 G.Wilde caught at CMU14, for 7 yards to the CMU11 (#2 E.Rikard)Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+6
83.4%
(05:45) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush right for 6 yards gain to the CMU05 (#6 K.Carroll), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
83.4%
(05:07) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short left to #17 G.Wilde thrown to CMU00Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
83.4%
(05:05) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CMU02 fumbled by #5 C.Komolafe at CMU08 recovered by NW #5 C.Komolafe at CMU02, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 4:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
82.9%
(04:11) Shotgun #41 R.Preckel rush middle for 0 yards to the CMU02 (#98 J.Decker)Similar
Q2 3:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
85.9%
(03:47) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:43 #82 J.Olsen kick attempt good (H: #94 H.Helms, LS: #39 J.Florentine)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12FUMBLE
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
85.9%
(03:43) Shotgun #2 J.Labas rush middle for 2 yards loss to the CMU23 fumbled by #2 J.Labas at CMU21 recovered by NW #47 M.Kilbane at CMU23, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 13TD
1 play · 23 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
95.1%
(03:37) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete deep right to #86 L.Albright caught at CMU00, for 23 yards to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:31, 1ST DOWN #82 J.Olsen kick attempt good (H: #94 H.Helms, LS: #39 J.Florentine)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:267% → 6%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
93.4%
(03:25) Shotgun #22 B.Townsend rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CMU31 (#47 M.Kilbane)Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+2
93.2%
(02:46) Shotgun #22 B.Townsend rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CMU33 (#33 B.Brus; #47 M.Kilbane)Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 3
OWN 33
0
93.4%
(02:04) Shotgun #2 J.Labas rush left for 0 yards to the CMU33 (#47 M.Kilbane)Similar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
94.0%
(02:00) #18 D.Duley punt 57 yards to the NW 10 fair catch by #17 G.Wilde at NW 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 15PUNT
12 plays · 48 yds · 1:1296% → 96%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
95.6%
(01:52) Shotgun #8 P.Stone rush middle for 9 yards gain to the NW 19 (#15 C.Spann)Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+14
95.6%
(01:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short middle to #5 C.Komolafe caught at NW 22, for 14 yards to the NW 33 (#3 B.Deasfernandes; #1 D.Cochran), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+35
95.9%
(01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short middle to #10 R.Ahumaraeze caught at CMU49, for 35 yards to the CMU32 (#1 D.Cochran), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
95.9%
(00:56) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short right to #84 H.Welcing thrown to CMU27Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-5
95.9%
(00:51) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #5 C.Komolafe caught at CMU41, for 5 yards loss to the CMU37 (#45 X.White; #97 M.Heldman)Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 15
OPP 37
+37
95.6%
(00:44) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete deep left to #80 H.Eligon II thrown to CMU03 QB hurried by #56 K.DemmaSimilar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 15
OPP 37
+5
96.0%
PENALTY NW Delay Of Game (#8 P.Stone) 5 yards from CMU37 to CMU42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 20
OPP 42
0
96.0%
(00:31) #11 L.Akers punt 42 yards to the CMU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
94.6%
(00:25) Shotgun #6 T.Cornist rush left for 9 yards gain to the CMU29 (#9 B.Turner)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 17FUMBLE TD
7 plays · -42 yds · 2:065% → 3%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.7%
(15:00) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short left to #88 H.Dryden caught at CMU31, for 6 yards to the CMU31, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
94.5%
(14:25) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short left to #20 L.Lewis caught at CMU35, for 4 yards to the CMU35 (#7 O.Adeyi), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
94.6%
(13:48) Shotgun #6 T.Cornist rush middle for 0 yards to the CMU35 (#95 N.Story)Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
95.0%
(13:05) Shotgun #2 J.Labas rush middle for 9 yards gain to the CMU44 (#33 B.Brus)Similar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+47
97.4%
(12:52) Shotgun #7 A.Flores rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CMU47 fumbled by #7 A.Flores at CMU46 forced by #37 M.Uihlein recovered by NW #9 B.Turner at CMU47 #9 B.Turner return 47 yards to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:39 PENALTY CMU Face Mask 15 yards from CMU00 to CMU03, 1ST DOWN #82 J.Olsen kick attempt failed (H: #94 H.Helms, LS: #39 J.Florentine)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 18PUNT
13 plays · 33 yds · 4:351% → 1%
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.1%
(12:33) Shotgun #22 B.Townsend rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CMU25 (#37 M.Uihlein)Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+7
99.1%
(11:59) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short middle to #20 L.Lewis caught at CMU29, for 7 yards to the CMU32 (#13 J.Fussell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
99.2%
(11:19) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short right to #20 L.Lewis caught at CMU35, for 5 yards to the CMU37 (#7 O.Adeyi)Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+5
99.1%
(10:37) Shotgun #6 T.Cornist rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CMU42 (#6 R.Fitzgerald; #9 B.Turner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
99.2%
(09:56) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short middle to #20 L.Lewis caught at NW 47, for 11 yards to the NW 47 (#33 B.Brus; #9 B.Turner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.3%
(09:24) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass incomplete deep middle to #20 L.Lewis thrown to NW 26 broken up by #6 R.FitzgeraldSimilar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
99.3%
PENALTY CMU False Start (#69 J.Booth) 5 yards from NW 47 to CMU48. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+9
99.3%
(09:19) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short left to #3 T.Davis caught at CMU46, for 9 yards to the NW 43 (#7 O.Adeyi), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 8:28
3RD & 6
OPP 43
-4
99.3%
(08:37) Shotgun #2 J.Labas sacked for loss of 4 yards to the NW 47 (#91 A.Hubbard)Similar
Q3 7:54
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
99.4%
(08:01) #18 D.Duley punt 39 yards to the NW 08 fair catch by #17 G.Wilde at NW 08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 92 yds · 5:1799% → 100%
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
99.3%
(07:53) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NW 09 (#40 L.Brown)Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 9
OWN 9
0
99.4%
(07:14) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short middle to #17 G.Wilde thrown to NW 23Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 9
OWN 9
+14
99.5%
(07:10) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short middle to #17 G.Wilde caught at NW 19, for 14 yards to the NW 23 (#4 J.Jackson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
99.5%
(06:29) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 7 yards gain to the NW 30 (#15 C.Spann)Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+5
99.5%
(06:00) Shotgun #41 R.Preckel rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NW 35 (#49 K.Hayden; #48 N.VanTimmeren), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+28
99.6%
(05:17) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete deep right to #80 H.Eligon II caught at CMU38, for 28 yards to the CMU37 (#6 K.Carroll), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
99.7%
(04:31) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #17 G.Wilde caught at CMU29, for 8 yards to the CMU29, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+1
99.6%
(03:53) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CMU28 (#12 J.Kwiatkowski; #10 E.Gordon)Similar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+3
99.7%
(03:13) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CMU25 (#81 M.Denkins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
99.7%
(02:42) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short left to #80 H.Eligon II thrown to CMU11, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY CMU Pass Interference (#4 J.Jackson) 14 yards from CMU25 to CMU11, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.7%
(02:37) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #17 G.Wilde caught at CMU00, for 11 yards to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:31, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY CMU Holding declined #82 J.Olsen kick attempt good (H: #94 H.Helms, LS: #39 J.Florentine)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:130% → 0%
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
99.8%
(02:25) Shotgun #6 T.Cornist rush middle for 12 yards gain to the CMU34 (#2 F.Davis II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.8%
(01:40) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass incomplete short left to #8 D.Temple thrown to CMU37 broken up by #33 B.BrusSimilar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
99.8%
(01:36) Shotgun #6 T.Cornist rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CMU36 (#37 M.Uihlein; #6 R.Fitzgerald)Similar
Q3 0:39
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+7
99.8%
(00:48) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short right to #3 T.Davis caught at CMU31, for 7 yards to the CMU43 (#33 B.Brus)Similar
Q3 0:04
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
99.8%
(00:08) Shotgun #10 M.Beamon rush right for 0 yards to the CMU43 (#6 R.Fitzgerald; #33 B.Brus), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 29 yds · 3:04100% → 100%
Q3 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
99.8%
(00:04) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short middle to #17 G.Wilde caught at CMU38, for 6 yards to the CMU37 (#15 C.Spann)Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 4
OPP 37
0
99.8%
(14:59) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short left to #17 G.Wilde thrown to CMU42Similar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+2
99.8%
(14:51) Shotgun #5 C.Komolafe rush right for 2 yards gain to the CMU35 (#12 J.Kwiatkowski; #56 K.Demma)Similar
Q4 13:56
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+14
99.8%
(14:09) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short left to #80 H.Eligon II caught at CMU24, for 14 yards to the CMU21 (#15 C.Spann), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
99.8%
(13:30) Shotgun #41 R.Preckel rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CMU20 (#98 J.Decker)Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+6
99.8%
(12:50) Shotgun #2 R.Boe rush left for 6 yards gain to the CMU14 (#98 J.Decker)Similar
Q4 12:07
3RD & 3
OPP 14
0
99.9%
(12:10) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short left to #80 H.Eligon II thrown to CMU00Similar
Q4 12:00
4TH & 3
OPP 14
0
99.8%
(12:05) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass incomplete short right to #10 R.Ahumaraeze thrown to CMU00 broken up by #3 B.Deasfernandes, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22TD
13 plays · 86 yds · 5:490% → 0%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
99.9%
(12:00) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short left to #20 L.Lewis caught at CMU20, for 4 yards to the CMU18 (#25 M.Dorsey Jr.), out of bounds PENALTY CMU Block Below Waist (#22 B.Townsend) 7 yards from CMU14 to CMU07. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 17
OWN 7
+6
99.9%
(11:37) Shotgun #22 B.Townsend rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CMU13 (#0 A.Jones; #44 C.Campbell)Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 11
OWN 13
+12
99.9%
(10:55) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short middle to #3 T.Davis caught at CMU19, for 12 yards to the CMU25 (#33 B.Brus; #18 G.Wallace), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
(10:17) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass incomplete deep middle to #20 L.Lewis thrown to NU 37Similar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
(10:12) Shotgun #6 T.Cornist rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CMU27 (#54 T.Gant; #33 B.Brus)Similar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+20
99.9%
(09:24) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short left to #20 L.Lewis caught at CMU31, for 20 yards to the CMU47 (#18 G.Wallace), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.9%
(08:43) Shotgun #6 T.Cornist rush left for 5 yards gain to the NU 48 (#37 M.Uihlein; #59 J.Trautmann)Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+22
99.9%
(08:11) Shotgun #6 T.Cornist rush middle for 22 yards gain to the NU 26 (#29 J.Stevens Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
99.9%
(07:31) Shotgun #22 B.Townsend rush middle for 2 yards gain to the NU 24 (#33 B.Brus; #0 A.Jones)Similar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+21
99.9%
(06:48) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete deep right to #20 L.Lewis caught at NU 03, for 21 yards to the NU 03, out of bounds at NU 03, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
(06:13) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short left to #22 B.Townsend caught at NU 03, for 3 yards to the NU 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:11 #47 C.Graham kick attempt good (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #30 B.Pratt)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 23INT
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:56100% → 100%
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
99.9%
(06:06) Shotgun #41 R.Preckel rush right for 10 yards gain to the CMU36 (#17 M.Blackwell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
99.9%
(05:25) Shotgun #41 R.Preckel rush middle for 5 yards gain to the CMU31 (#1 D.Cochran; #6 K.Carroll)Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+10
99.9%
(04:41) Shotgun #2 R.Boe pass complete short left to #87 C.Grove caught at CMU26, for 10 yards to the CMU21 (#1 D.Cochran), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.9%
(04:00) Shotgun #2 R.Boe pass incomplete deep left to #85 P.Schaller thrown to CMU00 QB hurried by #49 K.HaydenSimilar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-1
99.9%
(03:54) Shotgun #41 R.Preckel rush right for 1 yard loss to the CMU22 (#12 J.Kwiatkowski)Similar
Q4 3:09
3RD & 11
OPP 22
0
99.9%
(03:13) Shotgun #2 R.Boe pass incomplete deep right to #3 F.Covey IV thrown to CMU00Similar
Q4 3:01
4TH & 11
OPP 22
0
99.9%
(03:08) Shotgun #2 R.Boe pass intercepted by #6 K.Carroll at CMU10 #6 K.Carroll return 0 yards to the CMU10 (#87 C.Grove)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 24END OF GAME
10 plays · 49 yds · 2:330% → 0%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
100.0%
(02:59) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short right to #19 T.McIntosh caught at CMU15, for 5 yards to the CMU15 (#34 P.Roth)Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+13
100.0%
(02:25) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short middle to #3 T.Davis caught at CMU17, for 13 yards to the CMU28 (#29 J.Stevens Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
100.0%
(02:00) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass incomplete short left to #88 H.Dryden thrown to CMU35 PENALTY NU Roughing The Passer (#54 T.Gant) 15 yards from CMU28 to CMU43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
100.0%
(01:54) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short middle to #19 T.McIntosh caught at CMU45, for 5 yards to the CMU48 (#22 T.Curry-Hicks), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+11
100.0%
(01:46) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short middle to #20 L.Lewis caught at NU 46, for 11 yards to the NU 41 (#42 N.Glover; #45 J.Sadowsky V), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-3
100.0%
(01:10) Shotgun #2 J.Labas sacked for loss of 3 yards to the NU 44 (#92 M.Green)Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 13
OPP 44
+4
100.0%
(01:04) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short middle to #20 L.Lewis caught at NU 40, for 4 yards to the NU 40 (#42 N.Glover)Similar
Q4 0:17
3RD & 9
OPP 40
-1
100.0%
(00:17) Shotgun #2 J.Labas rush middle for 1 yard loss to the NU 41 fumbled by #2 J.Labas at NU 43 recovered by CMU #9 J.Ruffin, Jr. at NU 41, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:31
(03:37) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete deep right to #86 L.Albright caught at CMU00, for 23 yards to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:31, 1ST DOWN #82 J.Olsen kick attempt good (H: #94 H.Helms, LS: #39 J.Florentine)
+9.2
TD · Q2 6:33
(06:38) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete deep left to #17 G.Wilde caught at CMU00, for 23 yards to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:33, 1ST DOWN #82 J.Olsen kick attempt good (H: #94 H.Helms, LS: #39 J.Florentine)
+4.9
KEY PLAY · Q2 7:49
(08:01) Shotgun #8 P.Stone pass complete short right to #17 G.Wilde caught at CMU28, for 2 yards to the CMU27 (#10 E.Gordon)
+4.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com