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UNLV

UNLV 10 at Ohio 17

OHIO
2025 · Scooter's Coffee Frisco Bowl · Dec 23, 2025 · Ford Center At The Star
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:01 · (03:03) #42 M.Haines punt 56 yards to the UNLV00, Touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 63Home team on offense+6.0Pregame prior−7.1Garbage-time factor+1.9Score differential+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4Blowout margin−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:02: (10:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush right for 5 yards gain to the UNLV00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:02, 1ST DOWN #39 D.Dellenbach kick attempt failed (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #46 N.Hemer) — OHIO win probability +5.4 pts (now 54%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. INT · Q2 0:32: (00:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass intercepted by #2 D.Walker at OHIO02, End Of Play — UNLV win probability +5.6 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 11:04: (11:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 23 yards gain to the UNLV00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:04, 1ST DOWN #7 C.Hendricks pass attempt Successful — OHIO win probability +15.7 pts (now 79%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:45: (04:43) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OHIO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:45 #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham) — UNLV win probability +13.0 pts (now 18%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:58: (02:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush right for 0 yards to the UNLV43 (#30 T.Adeleye) — OHIO win probability +6.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UNLV made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 12:49UNLV 4th & 10 at UNLV 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:59UNLV 4th & 9 at OHIO 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:05UNLV 4th & 5 at OHIO 43, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    47.8%−1.5
    28% to make
    Punt
    48.3%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:01OHIO 4th & 8 at OHIO 44, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%
    average punt
  5. Q3 8:30UNLV 4th & 3 at UNLV 25, down 14
    Close callPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:33UNLV 4th & 12 at OHIO 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−1.3
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.0%
    51% to make
    Punt
    19.7%−1.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:59OHIO 4th & 9 at OHIO 26, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%−1.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:36UNLV 4th & 10 at UNLV 40, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:38OHIO 4th & 1 at UNLV 25, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    82.8%−1.9
    66% to make
    Punt
    77.1%−7.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:49OHIO 4th & 15 at UNLV 28, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%−1.8
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    81.9%−5.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:45UNLV 4th & 2 at OHIO 2, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    6.3%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−4.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 1 of 2UNLV made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 10:02OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    48.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 11:04OHIO Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    73.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    73.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 4:45UNLV Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.3%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:5963% → 62%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
37.4%
(14:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #84 N.Elksnis caught at UNLV28, for 7 yards to the UNLV32 (#5 A.Williams Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
37.6%
(14:16) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UNLV36 (#2 D.Walker; #5 A.Williams Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
37.8%
(13:44) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete deep left to #0 T.Omeire thrown to OHIO36Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
37.9%
(13:45) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea rush middle for 0 yards to the UNLV36 (#15 A.Luqman)Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
38.1%
(13:04) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete deep right to #6 J.Bradley thrown to OHIO17Similar
Q1 12:49
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
38.3%
(12:55) #33 C.Brown punt 17 yards to the OHIO47 blocked by #18 M.CremascoliSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2INT
2 plays · 27 yds · 0:1839% → 39%
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+27
38.5%
(12:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 27 yards gain to the UNLV26 (#3 J.Joseph), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
38.8%
(12:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass intercepted by #0 L.Welch at UNLV03, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3FUMBLE
8 plays · 79 yds · 3:4762% → 61%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
38.5%
(12:15) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush right for 5 yards gain to the UNLV08 (#44 N.Dukes; #10 P.Odjugo)Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+23
38.7%
(11:28) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #6 J.Bradley caught at UNLV26, for 23 yards to the UNLV31 (#2 D.Walker), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY OHIO Targeting (#15 A.Luqman) 15 yards from UNLV31 to UNLV46, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Targeting". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (11:28) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #6 J.Bradley caught at UNLV26, for 23 yards to the UNLV31 (#2 D.Walker), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
38.5%
(10:48) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea rush left for 1 yard gain to the UNLV47, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was down prior to losing the ball". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (10:48) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea rush left for 1 yard loss to the UNLV45 fumbled by #10 A.Colandrea at UNLV47 recovered by OHIO #11 E.Herrmann at UNLV45, End Of Play)Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+21
38.6%
(10:33) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short middle to #11 J.Earle caught at UNLV44, for 21 yards to the OHIO32 (#11 E.Herrmann), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
38.5%
(10:01) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete short left to #6 J.Bradley thrown to OHIO23 QB hurried by #11 E.HerrmannSimilar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+6
38.6%
(09:53) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #8 T.Lyons caught at OHIO28, for 6 yards to the OHIO26 (#2 D.Walker)Similar
Q1 9:08
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+17
38.9%
(09:11) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 17 yards gain to the OHIO09 (#5 A.Williams Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-9
38.7%
(08:31) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea sacked for loss of 9 yards to the OHIO18 (#14 I.Ackerman), fumble by #10 A.Colandrea recovered by OHIO #14 I.Ackerman at OHIO18, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4FUMBLE
7 plays · 56 yds · 3:4940% → 42%
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
39.7%
(08:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 8 yards gain to the OHIO26 (#3 J.Joseph)Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+31
40.2%
(07:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 31 yards gain to the UNLV43 (#3 J.Joseph), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
41.1%
(07:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UNLV36 (#4 A.Powdrell)Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+5
41.4%
(06:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNLV31 (#55 C.Fuller; #92 J.Lee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
41.9%
(05:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush left for 4 yards gain to the UNLV27 (#8 M.McDuffie)Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+3
42.2%
(05:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush left for 3 yards gain to the UNLV24 (#54 I.Patterson; #3 J.Joseph)Similar
Q1 4:28
3RD & 3
OPP 24
-2
42.1%
(04:32) No Huddle-Shotgun Ohio rush middle for 2 yards loss to the UNLV26 fumbled by Ohio at UNLV24 recovered by UNLV #8 M.McDuffie at UNLV26, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:2259% → 58%
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
40.9%
(04:24) Shotgun #2 K.Lee rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNLV31 (#9 M.Mack II; #27 J.Fries)Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+9
40.7%
(03:49) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UNLV40 (#27 J.Fries), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
40.6%
(03:12) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete short left to #8 T.Lyons thrown to OHIO46Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+12
40.9%
(03:10) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #2 K.Lee caught at UNLV40, for 12 yards to the OHIO48 (#9 M.Mack II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
39.9%
(02:30) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #8 T.Lyons caught at OHIO44, for 4 yards to the OHIO44, out of bounds at OHIO44Similar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+2
40.0%
(02:02) Shotgun #2 K.Lee rush right for 2 yards gain to the OHIO42 (#30 C.Christopher)Similar
Q1 1:21
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+5
40.3%
(01:21) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete deep right to #5 K.Moore caught at OHIO18, for 42 yards to the OHIO00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 01:13 PENALTY UNLV Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#72 W.Thomas) 5 yards from OHIO42 to OHIO47. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 1:05
3RD & 9
OPP 47
0
40.7%
(01:10) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete short right to #3 D.Reynolds thrown to OHIO34Similar
Q1 0:59
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
41.7%
(01:02) #33 C.Brown punt 31 yards to the OHIO16 fair catch by #7 C.Hendricks at OHIO16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6TD
14 plays · 84 yds · 5:4943% → 54%
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
42.6%
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass complete short left to #11 R.Harris II caught at OHIO21, for 8 yards to the OHIO24 (#0 L.Welch), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+4
43.1%
(00:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OHIO28 (#3 J.Joseph; #44 W.Muavesi), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
43.1%
(14:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OHIO31 (#18 L.Thomas; #8 M.McDuffie)Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+42
43.4%
(14:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass complete deep left to #7 C.Hendricks caught at UNLV31, for 42 yards to the UNLV27 (#6 M.Bin-Wahad), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
45.5%
(13:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush right for 2 yards gain to the UNLV25 (#8 M.McDuffie)Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+10
45.9%
(13:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush left for 6 yards gain to the UNLV19 (#10 T.Fulton) PENALTY OHIO Holding (#64 S.Rhodes Jr.) 10 yards from UNLV25 to UNLV35. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 18
OPP 35
+6
45.1%
(12:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass complete short left to #7 C.Hendricks caught at UNLV30, for 6 yards to the UNLV29 (#6 M.Bin-Wahad)Similar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 12
OPP 29
+10
46.1%
(12:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush middle for 10 yards gain to the UNLV19 (#90 E.Logo)Similar
Q2 11:20
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+5
46.1%
(11:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass incomplete short right to #7 C.Hendricks thrown to UNLV00 PENALTY UNLV Offside (#30 T.Adeleye) 5 yards from UNLV19 to UNLV14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
47.8%
(11:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush right for 2 yards gain to the UNLV12 (#15 B.Alualu-Tuiolemotu; #8 M.McDuffie)Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+7
48.2%
(10:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UNLV05 (#8 M.McDuffie). #3 J.Joseph injured on the playSimilar
Q2 10:02
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+5
53.6%
(10:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush right for 5 yards gain to the UNLV00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:02, 1ST DOWN #39 D.Dellenbach kick attempt failed (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #46 N.Hemer)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7DOWNS
11 plays · 33 yds · 4:5049% → 45%
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
51.4%
(09:57) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UNLV31 (#14 I.Ackerman)Similar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
50.9%
(09:25) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UNLV35 (#14 I.Ackerman; #30 C.Christopher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
52.3%
(08:49) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush left for 2 yards loss to the UNLV33 (#14 I.Ackerman)Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+7
53.9%
(08:14) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #11 J.Earle caught at UNLV30, for 7 yards to the UNLV40 (#30 C.Christopher; #9 M.Mack II)Similar
Q2 7:29
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+12
53.2%
(07:33) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #6 J.Bradley caught at OHIO48, for 12 yards to the OHIO48, out of bounds at OHIO48, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
51.9%
(06:59) #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete short left to #3 D.Reynolds thrown to OHIO34Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+4
52.5%
(06:58) Shotgun #20 J.Glover rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OHIO44 (#2 D.Walker)Similar
Q2 6:23
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+5
52.7%
PENALTY UNLV False Start (#11 J.Earle) 5 yards from OHIO44 to OHIO49. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 11
OPP 49
+6
54.5%
(05:57) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #6 J.Bradley caught at OHIO45, for 6 yards to the OHIO43 (#27 J.Fries)Similar
Q2 5:05
4TH & 5
OPP 43
+1
54.8%
(05:13) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short middle to #3 D.Reynolds caught at OHIO41, for 1 yard to the OHIO42 (#22 J.Thomeson), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:0059% → 58%
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
58.8%
(05:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OHIO43 (#8 M.McDuffie)Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+6
59.3%
(04:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 6 yards gain to the OHIO49 (#54 I.Patterson; #4 A.Powdrell)Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+5
59.3%
PENALTY OHIO False Start (#60 T.Allen) 5 yards from OHIO49 to OHIO44. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 3:13
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
58.9%
(03:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass incomplete short left to #11 R.Harris II thrown to UNLV40 QB hurried by #14 B.EdmondsonSimilar
Q2 3:01
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
57.8%
(03:03) #42 M.Haines punt 56 yards to the UNLV00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9INT
11 plays · 47 yds · 2:2043% → 45%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
57.5%
(02:56) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush left for 0 yards to the UNLV20 (#22 J.Thomeson; #27 J.Fries)Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+21
58.0%
(02:26) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #6 J.Bradley caught at UNLV38, for 21 yards to the UNLV41 (#5 A.Williams Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
56.3%
(02:05) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #9 J.Thomas caught at UNLV37, for 1 yard loss to the UNLV40 (#22 J.Thomeson)Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+1
57.7%
(01:56) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea rush left for 1 yard gain to the UNLV41 (#22 J.Thomeson)Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+13
58.8%
(01:21) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #9 J.Thomas caught at UNLV40, for 13 yards to the OHIO46, out of bounds at OHIO46, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
54.9%
(01:15) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush left for 5 yards gain to the OHIO41 (#14 I.Ackerman; #20 K.Bannister)Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+10
54.8%
(01:07) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete deep right to #84 N.Elksnis thrown to OHIO11 PENALTY UNLV Holding (#73 A.Makihele) 10 yards from OHIO41 to UNLV49. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 15
OWN 49
+18
60.4%
(00:59) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #84 N.Elksnis caught at OHIO40, for 18 yards to the OHIO33 (#9 M.Mack II; #0 M.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
54.8%
(00:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass intercepted by #2 D.Walker at OHIO02, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
60.1%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush middle for 5 yards gain to the OHIO07 (#92 J.Lee; #55 C.Fuller)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4660% → 79%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
59.6%
(14:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass complete short left to #85 M.Williams caught at OHIO28, for 3 yards to the OHIO28, out of bounds at OHIO28Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
60.0%
(14:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush right for 2 yards gain to the OHIO30 (#15 B.Alualu-Tuiolemotu)Similar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+13
59.7%
(13:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass complete short left to #11 R.Harris II caught at OHIO33, for 13 yards to the OHIO43 (#3 J.Joseph), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
62.9%
(13:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush right for 13 yards gain to the UNLV44 (#0 L.Welch), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
63.6%
(12:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass complete short left to #11 R.Harris II caught at UNLV34, for 10 yards to the UNLV34 (#4 A.Powdrell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
64.3%
(12:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass incomplete deep right to #7 C.Hendricks thrown to UNLV00 broken up by #7 J.PopeSimilar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+9
64.3%
(12:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass complete short middle to #85 M.Williams caught at UNLV29, for 9 yards to the UNLV25 (#3 J.Joseph)Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+2
63.4%
(11:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush right for 2 yards gain to the UNLV23 (#0 L.Welch), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
79.1%
(11:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 23 yards gain to the UNLV00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:04, 1ST DOWN #7 C.Hendricks pass attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:1722% → 21%
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+10
77.6%
(10:51) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush right for 10 yards gain to the UNLV18 (#20 K.Bannister), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
77.1%
(10:24) Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UNLV17 (#10 P.Odjugo)Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+9
78.1%
(09:47) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #8 T.Lyons caught at UNLV21, for 9 yards to the UNLV26 (#9 M.Mack II; #22 J.Thomeson), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 9:03
3RD & 2
OWN 26
-1
77.6%
(09:07) Shotgun #2 K.Lee rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UNLV25 (#10 P.Odjugo; #27 J.Fries)Similar
Q3 8:30
4TH & 3
OWN 25
-2
79.5%
(08:38) #33 C.Brown punt 43 yards to the OHIO32 muffed by #29 J.Haskins at OHIO32 recovered by UNLV #16 K.McGee at OHIO30, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13FG
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:4725% → 26%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
75.2%
(08:30) Shotgun #16 K.McGee rush left for 2 yards loss to the OHIO32 (#2 D.Walker)Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 12
OPP 32
0
76.2%
(07:48) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete short middle thrown to OHIO32 broken up by #30 C.ChristopherSimilar
Q3 7:35
3RD & 12
OPP 32
0
77.8%
(07:44) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete deep middle to #0 T.Omeire thrown to OHIO11Similar
Q3 7:33
4TH & 12
OPP 32
+50
74.4%
(07:33) #32 R.Villela field goal attempt from 50 yards GOOD (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham), clock 07:33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 2:2676% → 77%
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
75.9%
(07:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush right for 2 yards gain to the OHIO27 (#30 T.Adeleye)Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
76.3%
PENALTY OHIO Delay Of Game 5 yards from OHIO27 to OHIO22. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-2
76.3%
(06:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush left for 2 yards loss to the OHIO20 (#4 A.Powdrell; #54 I.Patterson)Similar
Q3 5:37
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+6
76.7%
(05:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush middle for 6 yards gain to the OHIO26 (#30 T.Adeleye)Similar
Q3 4:59
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
76.9%
(05:04) #42 M.Haines punt 34 yards to the UNLV40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1725% → 19%
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
75.2%
(04:56) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete short middle to #5 K.Moore thrown to OHIO45 broken up by #27 J.FriesSimilar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
75.7%
(04:47) Shotgun #11 J.Earle rush right for 4 yards gain to the UNLV44 (#30 C.Christopher) PENALTY UNLV Illegal Formation declinedSimilar
Q3 4:20
3RD & 6
OWN 44
-4
76.1%
(04:27) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea sacked for loss of 4 yards to the UNLV40 (#5 A.Williams Jr.)Similar
Q3 3:36
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
80.7%
(03:46) #33 C.Brown punt 49 yards to the OHIO11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16FG
16 plays · 68 yds · 7:3780% → 93%
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
80.4%
(03:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush right for 3 yards gain to the OHIO14 (#19 D.Spellman)Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+10
81.2%
(02:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass complete short right to #19 D.Dorwart caught at OHIO14, for 10 yards to the OHIO24 (#10 T.Fulton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
81.8%
(02:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass incomplete short left to #19 D.Dorwart thrown to OHIO34Similar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+20
81.8%
(02:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass complete deep middle to #7 C.Hendricks caught at OHIO44, for 20 yards to the OHIO44 (#8 M.McDuffie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
83.5%
(01:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass complete short right to #10 E.Dennis caught at OHIO47, for 3 yards to the OHIO47 (#2 D.Harris)Similar
Q3 0:57
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+19
83.8%
(01:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass complete short middle to #7 C.Hendricks caught at UNLV47, for 19 yards to the UNLV34 (#15 B.Alualu-Tuiolemotu), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
85.3%
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush right for 6 yards gain to the UNLV28 (#15 B.Alualu-Tuiolemotu)Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+1
85.6%
(14:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush left for 1 yard gain to the UNLV27 (#54 I.Patterson; #92 J.Lee)Similar
Q4 14:06
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+2
85.4%
(14:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UNLV25 (#9 A.Brown)Similar
Q4 13:38
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+2
84.8%
(13:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush left for 2 yards gain to the UNLV23 (#54 I.Patterson; #8 M.McDuffie), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
86.6%
(13:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UNLV22 (#30 T.Adeleye; #1 C.Borders)Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+1
87.0%
(12:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush left for 1 yard gain to the UNLV21 (#1 C.Borders; #54 I.Patterson)Similar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 8
OPP 21
-7
86.7%
(11:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro sacked for loss of 7 yards to the UNLV28 (#55 C.Fuller)Similar
Q4 10:49
4TH & 15
OPP 28
+45
92.9%
(10:49) #39 D.Dellenbach field goal attempt from 45 yards GOOD (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #46 N.Hemer), clock 10:49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17TD
14 plays · 79 yds · 5:3610% → 18%
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
90.4%
(10:30) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short middle to #11 J.Earle caught at UNLV32, for 11 yards to the UNLV32 (#20 K.Bannister), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
89.5%
(10:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 J.Thomas rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UNLV35 (#30 C.Christopher)Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+9
89.4%
(09:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #0 T.Omeire caught at UNLV40, for 9 yards to the UNLV44 (#20 K.Bannister), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
89.8%
(09:02) #10 A.Colandrea rush middle for 11 yards gain to the OHIO45 (#30 C.Christopher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
89.9%
(08:20) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #9 J.Thomas caught at OHIO41, for 4 yards to the OHIO41, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+15
89.8%
(07:44) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete deep left to #8 T.Lyons thrown to OHIO21 PENALTY OHIO Face Mask (#11 E.Herrmann) 15 yards from OHIO41 to OHIO26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
88.8%
(07:33) Shotgun #11 J.Earle rush middle for 6 yards gain to the OHIO20 (#2 D.Walker; #12 J.Crable)Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+1
89.7%
(06:59) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #11 J.Earle caught at OHIO22, for 1 yard to the OHIO19 (#22 J.Thomeson), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 6:22
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+17
91.0%
(06:25) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea rush left for 17 yards gain to the OHIO02 (#30 C.Christopher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
90.5%
(05:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass incomplete short right to #6 J.Bradley thrown to OHIO00 QB hurried by #30 C.ChristopherSimilar
Q4 5:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
90.6%
(05:54) Shotgun #20 J.Glover rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OHIO01 (#11 E.Herrmann)Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
91.4%
(05:18) Shotgun #2 K.Lee rush middle for 1 yard loss to the OHIO02, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 4:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
82.0%
(04:43) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OHIO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:45 #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18END OF GAME
15 plays · 39 yds · 4:0390% → 97%
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
89.9%
(04:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OHIO27 (#7 J.Pope)Similar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
92.4%
(03:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush right for 2 yards gain to the OHIO29 (#30 T.Adeleye) PENALTY UNLV Face Mask (#30 T.Adeleye) 15 yards from OHIO29 to OHIO44, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
93.3%
(03:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush left for 8 yards gain to the UNLV48 (#55 C.Fuller; #7 J.Pope)Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+5
94.2%
(02:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UNLV43 (#1 C.Borders), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
95.8%
(02:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush right for 0 yards to the UNLV43 (#30 T.Adeleye)Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+7
95.3%
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UNLV36 (#55 C.Fuller; #8 M.McDuffie)Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+7
95.2%
(01:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush right for 7 yards gain to the UNLV29, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
97.0%
(01:17) Kneel down by #13 P.Navarro at UNLV31 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 12
OPP 31
-2
96.9%
(01:19) Kneel down by #13 P.Navarro at UNLV33 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:34
3RD & 14
OPP 33
-3
96.6%
(00:34) Kneel down by #13 P.Navarro at UNLV36 for loss of 3 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:04
(11:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 23 yards gain to the UNLV00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:04, 1ST DOWN #7 C.Hendricks pass attempt Successful
+15.7
TD · Q4 4:45
(04:43) Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OHIO00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:45 #32 R.Villela kick attempt good (H: #39 K.Melzer, LS: #36 A.McIlquham)
-13
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:58
(02:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush right for 0 yards to the UNLV43 (#30 T.Adeleye)
+6.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com