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TOL

Toledo 22 at Louisville 27

LOU
2025 · Bush's Boca Raton Bowl · Dec 23, 2025 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · LOU
modelLOU aheadTOL aheadconfidence bandkey playLOU scoreTOL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:12 · (00:14) #39 A.Ruggles punt 38 yards to the LOU36 #5 C.Lacy return 0 yards to the LOU36, End Of Play
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 89Pregame prior+11.3Home team on offense+2.5Garbage-time factor+0.2Score differential+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Blowout margin+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 3:40: (03:39) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short left to #15 A.Meeks caught at TOL01, for 5 yards to the TOL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:40, 1ST DOWN #36 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #93 D.Chapeau, LS: #48 S.Kochav) — LOU win probability +10.2 pts (now 87%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:53: (14:54) #1 I.Brown rush right for 11 yards gain to the TOL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:53, 1ST DOWN #36 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #93 D.Chapeau, LS: #48 S.Kochav) — LOU win probability +8.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:42: Jacob Petersen 26 Yd pass from Kalieb Osborne (Chip Trayanum Run for Two-Point Conversion) — TOL win probability +9.7 pts (now 13%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:03: Isaac Brown 53 Yd Run (Cooper Ranvier PAT blocked) — LOU win probability +5.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:24: C. Trayanum run for 3 yds, for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — TOL win probability +25.7 pts (now 34%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LOU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7TOL made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 11:42LOU 4th & 1 at TOL 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    76.5%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    76.1%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:11TOL 4th & 21 at LOU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−1.0
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    20.1%−2.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:08LOU 4th & 9 at TOL 44, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    73.7%−0.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:17TOL 4th & 10 at LOU 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:38TOL 4th & 6 at TOL 46, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:35LOU 4th & 1 at LOU 18, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    71.8%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:09LOU 4th & 9 at LOU 22, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.3%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:51TOL 4th & 9 at LOU 48, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:35LOU 4th & 16 at LOU 31, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−1.8
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:12TOL 4th & 12 at TOL 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−1.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:35TOL 4th & 16 at LOU 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−2.0
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    19.8%−5.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:12LOU 4th & 1 at TOL 13, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    87.3%−1.6
    85% to make
    Punt
    82.3%−6.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:42TOL 4th & 11 at LOU 26, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    3.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−2.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:56LOU 4th & 16 at LOU 19, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%−2.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:35TOL 4th & 10 at LOU 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.7%
    51% to make
    Punt
    7.8%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LOU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4TOL made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 10:26LOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 3:40LOU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:53LOU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:42TOL Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    8.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    8.6%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:03LOU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    95.0%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:24TOL Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    12.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    11.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LOUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:2072% → 73%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
72.2%
(14:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush middle for 31 yards gain to the TOL44 (#3 A.Fuller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+17
72.2%
(14:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short left to #5 C.Lacy caught at TOL41, for 17 yards to the TOL27 (#0 N.Bowers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
72.2%
(13:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short right to #5 C.Lacy caught at TOL25, for 4 yards to the TOL23 (#0 N.Bowers; #39 D.Hohler)Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+2
72.2%
(13:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush left for 2 yards gain to the TOL21 (#58 A.Dunn Jr)Similar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+3
72.1%
(12:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Moss rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TOL18 (#22 N.Thompson)Similar
Q1 11:42
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+1
71.9%
(11:47) No Huddle #7 M.Moss rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TOL17 (#39 D.Hohler; #38 K.Sherman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
72.1%
(11:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush right for 0 yards to the TOL17 (#58 A.Dunn Jr; #4 A.Smith)Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+17
73.3%
(10:26) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short middle to #2 T.Hurry caught at TOL00, for 17 yards to the TOL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:26, 1ST DOWN #36 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #93 D.Chapeau, LS: #48 S.Kochav)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 2FUMBLE
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:4127% → 27%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
72.8%
(10:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TOL29 (#17 A.Green; #21 D.Hutchinson)Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
72.7%
(09:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush right for 3 yards gain to the TOL32 (#34 T.Quinn)Similar
Q1 9:26
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+12
72.9%
(09:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short left to #9 T.Rudolph caught at TOL44, for 12 yards to the TOL44, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
72.7%
(09:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush right for 1 yard loss to the TOL43 (#34 T.Quinn)Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+6
72.8%
(08:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush right for 6 yards gain to the TOL49 fumbled by #7 K.Osborne at TOL46 forced by #50 C.Lubin recovered by LOU #27 J.Evans Jr. at TOL49, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 3MISSED FG
9 plays · 13 yds · 2:3073% → 73%
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
72.6%
(07:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short right thrown to TOL38 QB hurried bySimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
74.0%
(06:45) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete short right to #5 C.Lacy thrown to TOL38 QB hurried by #58 A.Dunn JrSimilar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+16
73.9%
(06:29) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short middle to #15 A.Meeks caught at TOL35, for 16 yards to the TOL33 (#20 L.Long), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
74.2%
(06:12) PENALTY LOU False Start 5 yards from TOL33 to TOL38. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 15
OPP 38
-10
73.9%
(05:55) Shotgun #7 M.Moss sacked for loss of 10 yards to the TOL48 (#97 A.Dunn)Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 25
OPP 48
+13
73.9%
(05:37) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short right to #5 C.Lacy caught at TOL49, for 13 yards to the TOL35 (#20 L.Long; #58 A.Dunn Jr)Similar
Q1 5:14
3RD & 12
OPP 35
-6
73.8%
(05:14) Shotgun #7 M.Moss sacked for loss of 6 yards to the TOL41 (#8 M.Poynter)Similar
Q1 5:14
4TH & 18
OPP 41
+5
73.1%
(05:14) #93 D.Chapeau punt 41 yards to the TOL00, Touchback PENALTY TOL Equipment Violation 5 yards from TOL41 to TOL36. NO PLAYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 4FG
13 plays · 34 yds · 4:4627% → 29%
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
73.0%
(05:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush left for 1 yard gain to the TOL44 (#95 J.Lawson)Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
73.0%
(04:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short left to #1 C.Trayanum thrown to TOL45 QB hurried by #95 J.LawsonSimilar
Q1 4:23
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+5
73.2%
(04:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short left to #2 J.Vandeross III thrown to TOL49 PENALTY LOU Offside (#17 A.Green) 5 yards from TOL44 to TOL49. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+5
72.7%
(04:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush right for 5 yards gain to the LOU46 (#27 J.Evans Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+16
72.6%
(03:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short right to #2 J.Vandeross III caught at LOU30, for 16 yards to the LOU30 (#27 J.Evans Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
72.1%
(03:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short left to #2 J.Vandeross III caught at LOU34, for 1 yard to the LOU29 (#24 C.Gordon; #4 J.Mack)Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+17
72.0%
(02:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush middle for 17 yards gain to the LOU12 (#21 D.Hutchinson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
71.6%
(02:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush middle for 0 yards to the LOU12 (#50 C.Lubin)Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+4
71.6%
(01:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 K.Christian rush middle for 4 yards gain to the LOU08 (#34 T.Quinn)Similar
Q1 1:04
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+5
72.2%
PENALTY TOL False Start (#89 J.Petersen) 5 yards from LOU08 to LOU13. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 0:36
3RD & 11
OPP 13
+10
72.4%
(00:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush left for 5 yards gain to the LOU08 (#27 J.Evans Jr.) PENALTY TOL Illegal Formation declined TOL Holding 10 yards from LOU13 to LOU23. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 0:16
3RD & 21
OPP 23
0
73.0%
(00:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short middle to #2 J.Vandeross III thrown to LOU17Similar
Q1 0:11
4TH & 21
OPP 23
+41
71.4%
(00:11) #37 R.Hammond III field goal attempt from 41 yards GOOD (H: #39 A.Ruggles, LS: #40 J.Roe), clock 00:11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 1:5371% → 70%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
70.9%
(00:01) Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LOU23 (#12 E.Carter; #38 K.Sherman)Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+9
70.8%
(15:00) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short left to #5 C.Lacy caught at LOU18, for 9 yards to the LOU32, out of bounds at LOU32, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
71.0%
(14:28) Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush middle for 8 yards gain to the LOU40 (#22 N.Thompson) PENALTY TOL Face Mask (#55 D.Ray Jr.) 15 yards from LOU40 to TOL45, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
72.1%
(14:03) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete deep left to #15 A.Meeks thrown to TOL03 broken up by #3 A.Fuller. #15 A.Meeks injured on the playSimilar
Q2 13:49
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+1
72.0%
(13:53) Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush left for 1 yard gain to the TOL44 (#12 E.Carter)Similar
Q2 13:15
3RD & 9
OPP 44
0
71.4%
(13:15) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete short middle to #5 C.Lacy thrown to TOL38Similar
Q2 13:08
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
70.3%
(13:11) #93 D.Chapeau punt 38 yards to the TOL06 fair catch by #12 B.Hammer at TOL06Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 45 yds · 4:4229% → 30%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-2
71.0%
(13:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 K.Christian rush right for 2 yards loss to the TOL04 (#34 T.Quinn; #50 C.Lubin)Similar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 12
OWN 4
+20
71.1%
(12:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short middle to #11 R.Treadway caught at TOL16, for 20 yards to the TOL24 (#25 T.Holloway), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
70.6%
(11:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 K.Christian rush right for 15 yards gain to the TOL39 (#4 J.Mack), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
69.6%
(11:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short right to #10 K.Christian caught at TOL35, for 6 yards to the TOL45 (#34 T.Quinn), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+6
69.0%
(10:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush left for 6 yards gain to the LOU49 (#24 C.Gordon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
68.6%
(10:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short left to #2 J.Vandeross III caught at TOL49, for 3 yards loss to the TOL48 (#17 A.Green)Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 13
OWN 48
+5
69.4%
PENALTY TOL False Start (#65 S.Gales) 5 yards from TOL48 to TOL43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 18
OWN 43
0
69.8%
(09:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short left to #1 C.Trayanum thrown to TOL41Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 18
OWN 43
+5
70.2%
(09:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short left to #89 J.Petersen caught at LOU44, for 13 yards to the LOU44 (#24 C.Gordon), out of bounds PENALTY TOL Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#9 T.Rudolph) 5 yards from TOL43 to TOL38. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 23
OWN 38
+13
70.3%
(09:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush middle for 13 yards gain to the LOU49 (#34 T.Quinn)Similar
Q2 8:17
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
70.3%
(08:21) #39 A.Ruggles punt 0 yards to the LOU49 blocked by #17 A.Green recovered by TOL #39 D.Hohler at TOL37, End Of Play PENALTY TOL Equipment Violation declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 7FUMBLE
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q2 8:10
1ST & 9
OPP 37
-5
72.8%
(08:10) #15 A.Meeks rush right for 5 yards loss to the TOL42 fumbled by #15 A.Meeks at TOL40 recovered by TOL #40 H.Miller at TOL42, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2231% → 30%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
69.1%
(08:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TOL46 (#6 S.Clark; #95 J.Lawson)Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
68.6%
(07:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush right for 0 yards to the TOL46 (#12 K.Perry)Similar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
69.0%
(07:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short left to #11 R.Treadway thrown to LOU44. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (07:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short left to #11 R.Treadway caught at LOU44, for 10 yards to the LOU44, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q2 6:38
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
70.4%
(06:38) #7 K.Osborne punt 45 yards to the LOU09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 3:2171% → 69%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
70.7%
(06:38) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush left for 3 yards gain to the LOU12 (#3 A.Fuller; #20 L.Long)Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+6
70.6%
(06:00) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short right to #2 T.Hurry caught at LOU16, for 6 yards to the LOU18 (#3 A.Fuller; #22 N.Thompson)Similar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 1
OWN 18
0
69.9%
(05:23) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush middle for 0 yards to the LOU18 (#20 L.Long; #46 J.Peters)Similar
Q2 4:35
4TH & 1
OWN 18
+3
69.2%
(04:39) #7 M.Moss rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LOU21 (#40 H.Miller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
70.8%
(04:03) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush right for 1 yard gain to the LOU22 (#8 M.Poynter; #9 L.Julien)Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
70.6%
(03:27) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete short middle to #2 T.Hurry thrown to LOU38Similar
Q2 3:22
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
69.6%
(03:23) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete short left to #88 J.Skinner thrown to LOU19Similar
Q2 3:09
4TH & 9
OWN 22
+17
69.2%
(03:19) #93 D.Chapeau punt 44 yards to the TOL34 #12 B.Hammer return 17 yards to the LOU49 (#14 K.Hughes)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0633% → 30%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
67.4%
(03:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne sacked for loss of 2 yards to the TOL49 (#27 J.Evans Jr.)Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 12
OWN 49
0
68.9%
(02:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short left to #9 T.Rudolph thrown to LOU46Similar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 12
OWN 49
+3
69.8%
(02:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush left for 3 yards gain to the LOU48 (#24 C.Gordon; #17 A.Green)Similar
Q2 1:51
4TH & 9
OPP 48
+1
70.1%
(01:57) #39 A.Ruggles punt 34 yards to the LOU14 #5 C.Lacy return 1 yard to the LOU15 (#40 J.Roe)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 16 yds · 1:1071% → 69%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
70.5%
(01:46) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short left to #1 I.Brown caught at LOU14, for 7 yards to the LOU22, out of bounds at LOU22Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 3
OWN 22
0
70.8%
(01:42) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete short left to #15 A.Meeks thrown to LOU28 broken up by #55 D.Ray Jr.Similar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+15
69.7%
(01:36) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete deep left to #1 I.Brown thrown to LOU43 PENALTY TOL Roughing The Passer (#8 M.Poynter) 15 yards from LOU22 to LOU37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
71.4%
(01:31) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short left to #2 T.Hurry caught at LOU42, for 5 yards to the LOU42 (#97 A.Dunn)Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 5
OWN 42
-1
72.3%
(01:08) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short left to #1 I.Brown caught at LOU41, for 1 yard loss to the LOU41 (#3 A.Fuller), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+5
72.1%
(01:01) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short left to #82 T.McWilliams Jr. caught at LOU44, for 3 yards to the LOU44 (#27 D.Kelly) PENALTY TOL Illegal Substitution 5 yards from LOU41 to LOU46. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 1
OWN 46
0
72.4%
(00:55) Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush left for 0 yards to the LOU46 (#97 A.Dunn; #38 K.Sherman) PENALTY LOU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#1 I.Brown) 15 yards from LOU46 to LOU31Similar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 16
OWN 31
0
69.3%
(00:42) #93 D.Chapeau punt 41 yards to the TOL28 #12 B.Hammer return 0 yards to the TOL28 (#7 R.Johnson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:1729% → 27%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
71.3%
(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short right to #1 C.Trayanum caught at TOL23, for 2 yards to the TOL30 (#24 C.Gordon), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 8
OWN 30
-4
71.2%
(00:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne sacked for loss of 7 yards to the TOL23 (#99 J.Guerad, #50 C.Lubin)Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 15
OWN 23
+3
72.5%
(00:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TOL26 (#50 C.Lubin)Similar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 12
OWN 26
0
73.1%
(00:14) #39 A.Ruggles punt 38 yards to the LOU36 #5 C.Lacy return 0 yards to the LOU36, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:0172% → 74%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
72.1%
(00:09) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short right to #5 C.Lacy caught at LOU33, for 17 yards to the TOL47 (#38 K.Sherman), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
73.9%
(00:02) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete deep left thrown to TOL09 PENALTY LOU Illegal Use Of Hands declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 14MISSED FG
15 plays · 70 yds · 6:0829% → 27%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
70.7%
(14:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TOL11 (#25 T.Holloway; #45 D.Lowry)Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+6
70.6%
(14:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush right for 6 yards gain to the TOL17, out of bounds at TOL17, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
70.1%
(13:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TOL23 (#34 T.Quinn)Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 4
OWN 23
0
69.6%
(13:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short left to #2 J.Vandeross III thrown to TOL27 broken up by #24 C.GordonSimilar
Q3 13:23
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+8
70.8%
(13:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush middle for 8 yards gain to the TOL31 (#24 C.Gordon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
69.5%
(13:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TOL38 (#24 C.Gordon)Similar
Q3 12:24
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+4
67.4%
(12:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush right for 4 yards gain to the TOL42 (#21 D.Hutchinson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
68.0%
(12:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush middle for 12 yards gain to the LOU46 (#24 C.Gordon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+29
66.3%
(11:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush middle for 29 yards gain to the LOU17 (#21 D.Hutchinson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-3
66.5%
(10:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short middle to #74 C.Rhett caught at LOU22, for 3 yards loss to the LOU20 (#24 C.Gordon)Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 13
OPP 20
+4
67.0%
(10:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush right for 4 yards gain to the LOU16 (#6 S.Clark)Similar
Q3 9:42
3RD & 9
OPP 16
+10
68.2%
(09:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short middle to #12 B.Hammer caught at LOU01, for 15 yards to the LOU01 (#21 D.Hutchinson) PENALTY TOL Holding (#74 C.Rhett) 10 yards from LOU16 to LOU26. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 9:07
3RD & 19
OPP 26
+3
70.2%
(09:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short right to #1 C.Trayanum caught at LOU24, for 3 yards to the LOU23 (#7 R.Johnson)Similar
Q3 8:35
4TH & 16
OPP 23
+41
72.6%
(08:34) #37 R.Hammond III field goal attempt from 41 yards NO GOOD (H: #36 E.Duran, LS: #40 J.Roe), clock 08:35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 15TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 4:4373% → 87%
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
72.8%
(08:32) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short middle to #88 J.Skinner caught at LOU28, for 5 yards to the LOU28 (#20 L.Long)Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 5
OWN 28
-1
73.0%
(07:57) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush left for 1 yard loss to the LOU27 (#12 E.Carter; #8 M.Poynter)Similar
Q3 7:06
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+28
71.8%
(07:15) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete deep middle to #5 C.Lacy caught at TOL49, for 28 yards to the TOL45 (#0 N.Bowers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
75.7%
(06:27) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush middle for 8 yards gain to the TOL37 (#38 K.Sherman; #7 E.McNeil-Warren)Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+5
75.8%
(05:58) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short left to #15 A.Meeks caught at TOL32, for 5 yards to the TOL32 (#3 A.Fuller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
76.6%
(05:39) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TOL29 (#55 D.Ray Jr.; #8 M.Poynter)Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+19
76.4%
(05:03) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush right for 19 yards gain to the TOL10 (#4 A.Smith; #22 N.Thompson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
77.1%
(04:26) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TOL05 (#40 H.Miller)Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
87.2%
(03:39) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short left to #15 A.Meeks caught at TOL01, for 5 yards to the TOL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:40, 1ST DOWN #36 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #93 D.Chapeau, LS: #48 S.Kochav)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -21 yds · 1:0914% → 12%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
86.0%
(03:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush left for 5 yards loss to the TOL20 (#95 J.Lawson)Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
86.4%
(03:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short middle thrown to TOL24 broken up by #95 J.LawsonSimilar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-16
87.2%
(03:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne sacked for loss of 16 yards to the TOL04 (#50 C.Lubin), fumble by #7 K.Osborne recovered by TOL #72 E.Spoth at TOL04, End Of Play. #7 K.Osborne injured on the playSimilar
Q3 2:22
4TH & 31
OWN 4
+13
87.9%
(02:30) #39 A.Ruggles punt 36 yards to the TOL40 #5 C.Lacy return 13 yards to the TOL27 (#36 E.Williams) PENALTY TOL Illegal Formation 5 yards from TOL27 to TOL22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 17TD
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:1788% → 97%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
88.3%
(02:17) Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush middle for 8 yards gain to the TOL14 (#38 K.Sherman)Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+1
88.5%
(01:41) Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TOL13 (#4 A.Smith)Similar
Q3 0:50
3RD & 1
OPP 13
0
88.1%
(01:00) #7 M.Moss rush middle for 0 yards to the TOL13 (#38 K.Sherman; #58 A.Dunn Jr)Similar
Q3 0:12
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+2
88.3%
(00:12) #7 M.Moss rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TOL11 (#12 E.Carter; #58 A.Dunn Jr), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
96.5%
(14:54) #1 I.Brown rush right for 11 yards gain to the TOL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:53, 1ST DOWN #36 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #93 D.Chapeau, LS: #48 S.Kochav)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 18TD
13 plays · 74 yds · 4:005% → 13%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
95.2%
(14:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short right to #2 J.Vandeross III caught at TOL28, for 9 yards to the TOL34 (#27 J.Evans Jr.; #11 T.Capers)Similar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
95.0%
(14:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short right to #2 J.Vandeross III caught at TOL34, for 4 yards to the TOL38 (#7 R.Johnson; #17 A.Green), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
95.4%
PENALTY TOL False Start (#5 T.Crosby Jr.) 5 yards from TOL38 to TOL33. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:44
1ST & 15
OWN 33
0
95.7%
(13:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short middle to #2 J.Vandeross III thrown to TOL50 broken up by #7 R.JohnsonSimilar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+13
95.8%
(13:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush right for 13 yards gain to the TOL46 (#7 R.Johnson)Similar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+6
95.8%
(12:54) #7 K.Osborne rush middle for 6 yards gain to the LOU48, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
95.7%
(12:23) #10 K.Christian rush left for 9 yards gain to the LOU39 (#99 J.Guerad)Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+14
95.9%
(11:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short left to #89 J.Petersen caught at LOU34, for 14 yards to the LOU25 (#11 T.Capers; #7 R.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
95.7%
(11:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 K.Christian rush left for 1 yard loss to the LOU26 (#7 R.Johnson)Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 11
OPP 26
0
96.0%
(10:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short right to #2 J.Vandeross III thrown to LOU28Similar
Q4 10:51
3RD & 11
OPP 26
0
96.3%
(10:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short right to #87 J.Brown thrown to LOU19Similar
Q4 10:42
4TH & 11
OPP 26
+26
86.6%
Jacob Petersen 26 Yd pass from Kalieb Osborne (Chip Trayanum Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:3687% → 88%
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
87.4%
(10:38) #22 K.Brown rush right for 1 yard loss to the LOU24 (#8 M.Poynter; #20 L.Long)Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
87.8%
(09:58) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete short middle to #5 C.Lacy thrown to LOU28 broken up by #7 E.McNeil-WarrenSimilar
Q4 9:48
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
87.0%
(09:56) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short left to #22 K.Brown caught at LOU20, for 0 yards to the LOU24 (#8 M.Poynter)Similar
Q4 9:09
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+5
86.5%
PENALTY LOU False Start (#29 B.Ruffin) 5 yards from LOU24 to LOU19. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 8:56
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+12
87.9%
(09:04) #93 D.Chapeau punt 43 yards to the TOL38 #12 B.Hammer return 12 yards to the TOL50 (#14 K.Hughes; #34 T.Quinn)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 20FG
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:1013% → 15%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
50
+1
87.0%
(08:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush right for 1 yard gain to the LOU49 (#27 J.Evans Jr.)Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+2
87.4%
(08:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 K.Christian rush left for 2 yards gain to the LOU47 (#27 J.Evans Jr.; #50 C.Lubin) PENALTY LOU Targeting (#50 C.Lubin) 15 yards from LOU47 to LOU32, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-6
87.4%
(07:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne sacked for loss of 6 yards to the LOU38 (#92 M.Carter)Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 16
OPP 38
+6
89.2%
(07:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short left to #10 K.Christian caught at LOU41, for 6 yards to the LOU32 (#27 J.Evans Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 6:41
3RD & 10
OPP 32
0
89.7%
(06:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short middle to #2 J.Vandeross III thrown to LOU32Similar
Q4 6:35
4TH & 10
OPP 32
+50
85.1%
(06:35) #37 R.Hammond III field goal attempt from 50 yards GOOD (H: #36 E.Duran, LS: #40 J.Roe), clock 06:35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 21TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1689% → 96%
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
89.4%
(06:29) Shotgun #5 C.Lacy rush right for 11 yards gain to the LOU36 (#20 L.Long; #22 N.Thompson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
91.0%
(05:48) Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush middle for 11 yards gain to the LOU47 (#7 E.McNeil-Warren), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
96.4%
Isaac Brown 53 Yd Run (Cooper Ranvier PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 22TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 2:168% → 34%
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+19
92.3%
(04:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short middle to #2 J.Vandeross III caught at TOL40, for 19 yards to the LOU49 (#27 J.Evans Jr.; #29 B.Ruffin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+20
92.0%
(03:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short left to #89 J.Petersen caught at LOU35, for 20 yards to the LOU29 (#21 D.Hutchinson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
91.7%
(03:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush left for 5 yards gain to the LOU24 (#12 K.Perry)Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+15
91.7%
(03:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short middle to #2 J.Vandeross III caught at LOU09, for 15 yards to the LOU09, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
91.8%
(02:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush left for 6 yards gain to the LOU03 (#12 K.Perry)Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
66.1%
C. Trayanum run for 3 yds, for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 23END OF GAME
16 plays · 30 yds · 2:0192% → 95%
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
91.5%
(02:19) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush right for 17 yards gain to the LOU42 fumbled by #22 K.Brown at LOU42 forced by #4 A.Smith, out of bounds at LOU42, 1ST DOWN. #3 A.Fuller injured on the playSimilar
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
93.6%
(02:13) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush right for 14 yards gain to the TOL44 (#7 E.McNeil-Warren; #58 A.Dunn Jr), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
94.5%
(01:57) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush right for 11 yards gain to the TOL33 (#4 A.Smith; #7 E.McNeil-Warren), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
95.0%
(01:56) Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush right for 6 yards gain to the TOL27 (#38 K.Sherman) PENALTY TOL UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting LOU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsettingSimilar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 4
OPP 27
0
94.9%
(01:50) Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush middle for 0 yards to the TOL27 (#4 A.Smith) PENALTY TOL Offside 5 yards from TOL27 to TOL22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
94.0%
(01:24) Kneel down by Louisville at TOL27 for loss of 5 yardsSimilar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 15
OPP 27
+5
93.8%
(01:17) Kneel down by Louisville at TOL29 for loss of 2 yards PENALTY TOL Illegal Substitution 5 yards from TOL27 to TOL22. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+5
94.7%
PENALTY TOL Delay Of Game 5 yards from TOL22 to TOL17. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:13
2ND & 5
OPP 17
-28
95.2%
(00:13) Kneel down by Louisville at TOL45 for loss of 28 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:24
C. Trayanum run for 3 yds, for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-25.7
TD · Q3 3:40
(03:39) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short left to #15 A.Meeks caught at TOL01, for 5 yards to the TOL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:40, 1ST DOWN #36 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #93 D.Chapeau, LS: #48 S.Kochav)
+10.2
TD · Q4 10:42
Jacob Petersen 26 Yd pass from Kalieb Osborne (Chip Trayanum Run for Two-Point Conversion)
-9.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com