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KENN

Kennesaw State 6 at Western Michigan 41

WMU
2025 · Myrtle Beach Bowl · Dec 19, 2025 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadKENN aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreKENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:28 · #91 J.Huiet punt 42 yards to the WMU30 fair catch by #86 B.Bosma at WMU30 PENALTY KSU Holding (#39 E.Leiataua) 10 yards from WMU30 to WMU40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorGarbage-time factor
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 12Home team on offense+0.8Score differential+0.2Blowout margin+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Pregame prior+13.4Garbage-time factor+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:39: Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short right to #7 M.Hrabowski caught at KSU01, for 4 yards to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:39 #20 P.Domschke kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 R.Todd) — WMU win probability +7.6 pts (now 73%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:38: Blake Bosma 3 Yd pass from Broc Lowry (Palmer Domschke PAT failed) — WMU win probability +2.4 pts (now 81%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. PUNT · Q2 10:39: #25 R.Millmore punt 52 yards to the KSU00, Touchback — WMU win probability +5.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:45: Shotgun #5 D.Miles rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:45 #20 P.Domschke kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 R.Todd) — WMU win probability +2.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 13:26: Joey Pope 75 Yd Interception Return (Palmer Domschke Kick) — WMU win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: KENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6KENN made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 12:28KENN 4th & 7 at KENN 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:28WMU 4th & 1 at KENN 9, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    61.9%−0.3
    89% to make
    Punt
    61.0%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:52KENN 4th & 8 at KENN 37, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:51KENN 4th & 14 at WMU 48, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%−1.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:39WMU 4th & 8 at WMU 48, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:14KENN 4th & 9 at KENN 21, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−1.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:30KENN 4th & 4 at KENN 35, down 34
    Close callPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:32WMU 4th & 8 at WMU 29, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:12KENN 4th & 17 at KENN 36, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:43WMU 4th & 2 at WMU 42, up 34
    Close callPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:48KENN 4th & 6 at WMU 16, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:25KENN 4th & 9 at KENN 37, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:27WMU 4th & 5 at WMU 39, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:10KENN 4th & 9 at KENN 47, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:31WMU 4th & 20 at KENN 22, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 14:42WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 13:44WMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 7:39WMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 2:38WMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    84.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:45WMU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:26WMU Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 1TD
2 plays · 65 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
64.1%
Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush right for 65 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:42, 1ST DOWN #20 P.Domschke kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 R.Todd)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 2FUMBLE RETURN TD
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:5236% → 35%
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
64.1%
Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete short right thrown to KSU35 broken up by #4 R.McGrawSimilar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+15
64.1%
Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short middle to #1 G.Benyard caught at KSU48, for 15 yards to the KSU49 (#18 M.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
64.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 G.Benyard rush left for 2 yards gain to the WMU49 (#9 J.Camden; #10 S.Saipaia)Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+47
64.6%
Kershawn Fisher 47 Yd Fumble Return (Palmer Domschke Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1635% → 35%
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
64.7%
Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush left for 1 yard gain to the KSU26 (#42 W.Gerig)Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
64.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush left for 2 yards gain to the KSU28 (#10 S.Saipaia)Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
64.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete deep middle to #18 C.Coppock thrown to WMU40 broken up by #5 A.WoffordSimilar
Q1 12:28
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
65.5%
#91 J.Huiet punt 42 yards to the WMU30 fair catch by #86 B.Bosma at WMU30 PENALTY KSU Holding (#39 E.Leiataua) 10 yards from WMU30 to WMU40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 4:4966% → 73%
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
65.6%
Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 11 yards gain to the KSU49 (#1 J.Washington Jr.; #46 T.Christopher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+31
65.7%
Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush right for 31 yards gain to the KSU18 (#29 M.Jones), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
65.7%
Shotgun #24 O.Mataele rush middle for 6 yards gain to the KSU12 (#9 I.Paul; #2 C.Offord)Similar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+3
65.7%
Shotgun #24 O.Mataele rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU09 (#44 B.Hopson; #97 A.Watkins)Similar
Q1 12:28
3RD & 1
OPP 9
0
65.6%
Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 0 yards to the KSU09 (#44 B.Hopson; #46 T.Christopher)Similar
Q1 12:28
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+2
65.5%
Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU07 (#44 B.Hopson; #9 I.Paul), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
65.7%
Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush left for 3 yards gain to the KSU04 (#96 J.Grimes), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 7:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
73.3%
Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short right to #7 M.Hrabowski caught at KSU01, for 4 yards to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:39 #20 P.Domschke kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 R.Todd)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 1:4727% → 25%
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
72.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Belcher rush left for 4 yards gain to the KSU21 (#3 T.Hallock)Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+14
72.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Belcher rush middle for 14 yards gain to the KSU35 (#3 T.Hallock; #18 M.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
72.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete deep middle to #6 C.Moss thrown to WMU44 broken up by #5 A.WoffordSimilar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
72.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Belcher rush right for 2 yards gain to the KSU37 (#4 R.McGraw; #9 J.Camden)Similar
Q1 7:39
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
72.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete short right to #17 G.Bullock Jr. thrown to KSU44 QB hurried by #10 S.SaipaiaSimilar
Q1 5:52
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
74.6%
#91 J.Huiet punt 39 yards to the WMU24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 3:1476% → 81%
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
76.4%
Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush right for 6 yards gain to the WMU30 (#18 J.Kelly)Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+57
76.5%
Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush right for 57 yards gain to the KSU13 (#1 J.Washington Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
77.3%
Shotgun #5 D.Miles rush middle for 9 yards gain to the KSU04 (#14 D.Westmoreland)Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 1
OPP 4
0
78.8%
Shotgun #5 D.Miles rush middle for 0 yards to the KSU04 (#29 M.Jones; #44 B.Hopson)Similar
Q1 4:07
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+1
78.7%
Shotgun #24 O.Mataele rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KSU03 (#18 J.Kelly; #9 I.Paul), 1ST DOWN. #72 G.Dabo injured on the playSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
81.1%
Blake Bosma 3 Yd pass from Broc Lowry (Palmer Domschke PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 2:4714% → 11%
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
85.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short middle to #4 C.Belcher caught at KSU27, for 9 yards to the KSU34 (#8 J.Sims; #47 D.Moon)Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+9
84.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Belcher rush middle for 9 yards gain to the KSU43 (#9 J.Camden), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
84.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Belcher rush middle for 13 yards gain to the WMU44 (#6 J.Pope), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
84.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete short right thrown to WMU32 QB hurried by #9 J.Camden PENALTY KSU Holding (#17 G.Bullock Jr.) 10 yards from WMU44 to KSU46. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 20
OWN 46
-3
85.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom rush middle for 3 yards loss to the KSU43 (#20 K.Fisher; #96 D.Gustwiller)Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 23
OWN 43
+8
85.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short left to #1 G.Benyard caught at KSU50, for 8 yards to the WMU49 (#47 D.Moon)Similar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 15
OPP 49
+1
85.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short left to #0 C.Bennett caught at KSU47, for 1 yard to the WMU48 (#18 M.Davis)Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 14
OPP 48
0
88.8%
#91 J.Huiet punt 39 yards to the WMU09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 39 yds · 4:2185% → 90%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
85.0%
PENALTY KSU Offside (#96 J.Grimes) 5 yards from WMU09 to WMU14. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 14
+2
84.1%
Shotgun #5 D.Miles rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WMU16 (#29 M.Jones; #56 E.Hill)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+2
84.1%
Shotgun #5 D.Miles rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WMU18 (#5 T.Dunlap)Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 18
+14
84.2%
Shotgun #24 O.Mataele rush middle for 14 yards gain to the WMU32 (#2 C.Offord; #29 M.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
84.5%
Shotgun #0 T.Williams rush left for 5 yards gain to the WMU37 (#18 J.Kelly), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+9
84.5%
Shotgun #5 D.Miles rush middle for 9 yards gain to the WMU46 (#9 I.Paul), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
84.7%
Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass incomplete short right thrown to KSU42 QB hurried by #14 D.WestmorelandSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
84.7%
Shotgun #5 D.Miles rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WMU48 (#14 D.Westmoreland; #96 J.Grimes)Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
84.4%
Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass incomplete short right to #5 D.Miles thrown to KSU48 QB hurried by #96 J.Grimes and #12 K.JonesSimilar
Q2 10:39
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
90.3%
#25 R.Millmore punt 52 yards to the KSU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:257% → 7%
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
92.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU23 (#12 D.Moore; #91 M.Tyler)Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-2
92.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short right to #18 C.Coppock caught at KSU19, for 2 yards loss to the KSU21 (#1 J.Franklin)Similar
Q2 10:39
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
92.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete deep right to #1 G.Benyard thrown to WMU47Similar
Q2 9:14
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
93.4%
#91 J.Huiet punt 0 yards to the KSU21 blocked by #19 B.Steely, out of bounds at KSU14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10TD
4 plays · 14 yds · 1:2992% → 95%
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
92.4%
Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short middle to #86 B.Bosma caught at KSU10, for 6 yards to the KSU08 (#6 M.Patterson; #44 B.Hopson)Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+4
92.4%
Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass incomplete short middle thrown to KSU00 PENALTY KSU Face Mask (#5 T.Dunlap) 4 yards from KSU08 to KSU04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
92.4%
Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU02 (#6 M.Patterson; #46 T.Christopher)Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.0%
Shotgun #5 D.Miles rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:45 #20 P.Domschke kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 R.Todd)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:154% → 3%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
96.2%
PENALTY WMU Offside (#10 S.Saipaia) 5 yards from KSU16 to KSU21. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 5
OWN 21
+4
95.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short right to #6 C.Moss caught at KSU25, for 4 yards to the KSU25 (#5 A.Wofford)Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+4
95.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Belcher rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSU29 (#58 T.Lee; #90 J.Benson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
96.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom rush right for 1 yard gain to the KSU30 (#9 J.Camden), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+5
96.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short right to #17 G.Bullock Jr. caught at KSU30, for 5 yards to the KSU35 (#10 S.Saipaia; #8 J.Sims), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
95.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete short middle to #18 C.Coppock thrown to KSU40 broken up by #1 J.FranklinSimilar
Q2 5:30
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
96.9%
#91 J.Huiet punt 31 yards to the WMU34 fair catch by #86 B.Bosma at WMU34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12FUMBLE
1 play · 12 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
96.6%
Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush middle for 12 yards gain to the WMU46 fumbled by #12 B.Lowry at WMU40 forced by #1 J.Washington Jr. recovered by KSU #29 M.Jones at WMU46, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 13Uncategorized
1 play · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
97.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass intercepted by #3 T.Hallock at WMU27 QB hurried by #47 D.Moon, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:4097% → 97%
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
96.7%
Shotgun #0 T.Williams rush left for 2 yards loss to the WMU25 (#44 B.Hopson; #55 U.Nwoha)Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 12
OWN 25
0
96.6%
Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass incomplete short left to #17 M.Dieudonne thrown to WMU33Similar
Q2 5:12
3RD & 12
OWN 25
+4
96.6%
Shotgun #5 D.Miles rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WMU29 (#12 K.Jones; #29 M.Jones)Similar
Q2 3:32
4TH & 8
OWN 29
0
97.1%
#25 R.Millmore punt 43 yards to the KSU28, out of bounds at KSU28 PENALTY WMU Personal Foul 15 yards from KSU28 to KSU43, 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:202% → 2%
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
98.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU46 (#47 D.Moon)Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 7
OWN 46
0
98.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete deep left to #1 G.Benyard thrown to WMU24 QB hurried by #42 W.GerigSimilar
Q2 3:32
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+10
98.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom rush right for 13 yards gain to the WMU41 (#12 D.Moore), out of bounds PENALTY KSU Holding (#59 J.Williams) 10 yards from KSU46 to KSU36. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 2:55
3RD & 17
OWN 36
0
98.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short right to #15 J.Rogers caught at KSU36, for 0 yards to the KSU36 (#3 T.Hallock)Similar
Q2 2:12
4TH & 17
OWN 36
0
98.5%
#91 J.Huiet punt 30 yards to the WMU34, out of bounds at WMU34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:2998% → 97%
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
97.7%
#18 A.Chenault rush left for 2 yards gain to the WMU36 (#4 A.Ford; #12 K.Jones)Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+2
97.5%
Shotgun #5 D.Miles rush left for 2 yards gain to the WMU38 (#97 A.Watkins)Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+4
97.5%
Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short right to #86 B.Bosma caught at WMU41, for 4 yards to the WMU42 (#12 K.Jones)Similar
Q2 1:43
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
97.4%
#25 R.Millmore punt 41 yards to the KSU17, out of bounds at KSU17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 17MISSED FG
12 plays · 67 yds · 0:002% → 3%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
98.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Belcher rush right for 6 yards gain to the KSU23 (#98 D.Frazier; #4 R.McGraw)Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+6
98.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short middle to #4 C.Belcher caught at KSU26, for 6 yards to the KSU29 (#10 S.Saipaia), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
98.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short left to #1 G.Benyard caught at KSU35, for 6 yards to the KSU35, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 4
OWN 35
0
98.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete short right to #4 C.Belcher thrown to KSU35 QB hurried by #4 R.McGrawSimilar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+29
98.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short middle to #15 J.Rogers caught at WMU47, for 29 yards to the WMU36 (#14 M.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
98.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete short middle to #1 G.Benyard thrown to WMU25 broken up by #6 J.PopeSimilar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+16
98.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short left to #1 G.Benyard caught at WMU26, for 16 yards to the WMU20 (#20 K.Fisher), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
98.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete short right thrown to WMU07 QB hurried by #18 M.DavisSimilar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+4
98.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short right to #7 N.Dean caught at WMU16, for 4 yards to the WMU16 (#1 J.Franklin)Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 6
OPP 16
0
98.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete, SpikeSimilar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+34
96.9%
Britton Williams 34 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 18INT TD
7 plays · 27 yds · 1:342% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom rush right for 5 yards gain to the KSU30 (#9 J.Camden; #8 J.Sims), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
97.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short right to #1 G.Benyard caught at KSU36, for 6 yards to the KSU36, out of bounds at KSU36, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
97.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Belcher rush middle for 6 yards gain to the KSU42 (#91 M.Tyler; #3 T.Hallock)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
97.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete short right to #1 G.Benyard thrown to WMU48 QB hurried by #0 M.Al-Garawi and #4 R.McGrawSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+10
97.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Belcher rush middle for 10 yards gain to the WMU48 (#6 J.Pope), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-75
98.5%
Joey Pope 75 Yd Interception Return (Palmer Domschke Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 19PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 3:011% → 1%
Q3 13:26
2ND & 7
OWN 11
-4
98.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom sacked for loss of 4 yards to the KSU07 (#58 T.Lee)Similar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 11
OWN 7
+15
98.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete deep right to #18 C.Coppock thrown to KSU40 broken up by #14 M.Smith PENALTY WMU Pass Interference (#14 M.Smith) 15 yards from KSU07 to KSU22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
98.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short right to #18 C.Coppock caught at KSU25, for 9 yards to the KSU31 (#18 M.Davis)Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+5
98.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush middle for 5 yards gain to the KSU36 (#9 J.Camden; #42 W.Gerig), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete short right to #6 C.Moss thrown to KSU42Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-7
98.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom sacked for loss of 7 yards to the KSU29 (#9 J.Camden) PENALTY KSU Block Below Waist declinedSimilar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 17
OWN 29
+8
98.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short right to #6 C.Moss caught at KSU35, for 8 yards to the KSU37 (#8 J.Sims)Similar
Q3 10:25
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
99.2%
#91 J.Huiet punt 39 yards to the WMU24Similar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
99.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU11 (#8 J.Sims; #98 D.Frazier)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 3:5899% → 99%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
99.0%
Shotgun #5 D.Miles rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WMU26 (#8 R.Daniels; #29 M.Jones)Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+2
99.1%
Shotgun #5 D.Miles rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WMU28 (#2 C.Offord; #46 T.Christopher)Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+6
99.1%
Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short left to #18 A.Chenault caught at WMU34, for 6 yards to the WMU34 (#44 B.Hopson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
99.1%
Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short right to #18 A.Chenault caught at WMU50, for 17 yards to the KSU49 (#29 M.Jones) PENALTY WMU Holding (#17 M.Dieudonne) 10 yards from WMU34 to WMU24. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 20
OWN 24
+8
99.0%
Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short middle to #86 B.Bosma caught at WMU30, for 8 yards to the WMU32 (#9 I.Paul; #46 T.Christopher)Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 12
OWN 32
0
99.0%
Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass incomplete deep right to #7 M.Hrabowski thrown to KSU40 QB hurried by #12 K.JonesSimilar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 12
OWN 32
+7
99.0%
Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short left to #2 M.Brescia caught at WMU36, for 7 yards to the WMU39 (#46 T.Christopher; #1 J.Washington Jr.)Similar
Q3 6:27
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
99.4%
#25 R.Millmore punt 49 yards to the KSU12 PENALTY KSU Holding (#21 J.Ziglor) 6 yards from KSU12 to KSU06Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 21TD
4 plays · 94 yds · 2:170% → 0%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
99.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Belcher rush middle for 5 yards gain to the KSU11 (#33 J.Lloyd; #12 D.Moore)Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 5
OWN 11
-4
99.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom sacked for loss of 7 yards to the KSU04 (#4 R.McGraw, #64 R.Stewart)Similar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 12
OWN 4
+14
99.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Belcher rush middle for 14 yards gain to the KSU18 (#3 T.Hallock; #1 J.Franklin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+82
99.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete deep right to #15 J.Rogers caught at WMU46, for 82 yards to the WMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:10, 1ST DOWN. #18 C.Coppock injured on the play #27 B.Williams kick attempt failed (H: #91 J.Huiet, LS: #43 B.Blanton)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 22INT
11 plays · 60 yds · 4:21100% → 100%
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
99.5%
Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WMU26 (#56 E.Hill; #8 R.Daniels)Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 7
OWN 26
-2
99.5%
Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush right for 2 yards loss to the WMU24 (#17 T.Lawson)Similar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+10
99.5%
Shotgun #5 D.Miles rush middle for 10 yards gain to the WMU34 (#12 K.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+28
99.5%
Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete deep left to #11 T.Marshall caught at KSU46, for 28 yards to the KSU38 (#2 C.Offord), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+23
99.5%
Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete deep left to #86 B.Bosma caught at KSU15, for 23 yards to the KSU15, out of bounds at KSU15, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-2
99.6%
Shotgun #5 D.Miles rush right for 2 yards loss to the KSU17 (#17 T.Lawson; #12 K.Jones)Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 17
0
99.7%
Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass incomplete short right to #86 B.Bosma thrown to KSU15 QB hurried by #17 T.LawsonSimilar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 12
OPP 17
-12
99.7%
Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass intercepted by #2 C.Offord at KSU02 #2 C.Offord return 12 yards to the KSU14 (#5 D.Miles)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:360% → 0%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush left for 6 yards gain to the KSU20 (#91 M.Tyler; #10 S.Saipaia)Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+3
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush right for 3 yards gain to the KSU23 (#10 S.Saipaia), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+23
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush left for 23 yards gain to the KSU46 (#3 T.Hallock; #42 W.Gerig), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete deep middle to #19 J.Jackson thrown to WMU05Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+1
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Belcher rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KSU47 (#58 T.Lee; #8 J.Sims)Similar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete short right to #19 J.Jackson thrown to WMU46 broken up by #14 J.Peters. #76 N.Milovac injured on the playSimilar
Q4 12:10
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
99.9%
#91 J.Huiet punt 37 yards to the WMU16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 24MISSED FG
20 plays · 62 yds · 7:39100% → 100%
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
99.8%
Shotgun #5 D.Miles rush right for 6 yards gain to the WMU22 (#17 T.Lawson) PENALTY KSU Face Mask (#44 B.Hopson) 15 yards from WMU22 to WMU37, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
99.8%
PENALTY WMU False Start (#17 M.Dieudonne) 5 yards from WMU37 to WMU32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+6
99.8%
Shotgun #5 D.Miles rush middle for 6 yards gain to the WMU38 (#1 J.Washington Jr.)Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+3
99.9%
#5 D.Miles rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WMU41 (#97 A.Watkins; #14 D.Westmoreland)Similar
Q4 12:10
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+7
99.8%
Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short right to #82 B.Brooks caught at WMU45, for 7 yards to the WMU48 (#9 I.Paul; #17 T.Lawson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
99.9%
Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short left to #5 D.Miles caught at WMU50, for 15 yards to the KSU37 (#9 I.Paul), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
99.9%
Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush left for 7 yards gain to the KSU30, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+2
99.9%
Shotgun #5 D.Miles rush right for 2 yards gain to the KSU28 (#44 B.Hopson; #55 U.Nwoha)Similar
Q4 12:10
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+10
99.9%
Shotgun #5 D.Miles rush left for 11 yards gain to the KSU17 (#9 I.Paul; #4 A.Ford), out of bounds PENALTY WMU Holding 10 yards from KSU28 to KSU38. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 12:10
3RD & 11
OPP 38
+15
99.8%
PENALTY KSU Personal Foul 15 yards from KSU38 to KSU23, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
99.9%
Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short right to #82 B.Brooks caught at KSU15, for 9 yards to the KSU14 (#9 I.Paul)Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+2
99.9%
Shotgun #5 D.Miles rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU12 (#44 B.Hopson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.9%
Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass incomplete short left to #0 T.Williams thrown to KSU00 broken up by #12 K.JonesSimilar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+5
99.9%
Shotgun #5 D.Miles rush middle for 5 yards gain to the KSU07 (#4 A.Ford; #39 E.Leiataua)Similar
Q4 5:35
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+15
99.9%
Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short left to #0 T.Williams caught at KSU05, for 3 yards to the KSU04, out of bounds at KSU04 PENALTY WMU Pass Interference (#17 M.Dieudonne) 15 yards from KSU07 to KSU22. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 5:35
3RD & 20
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush right for 0 yards to the KSU22 (#6 M.Patterson)Similar
Q4 4:31
4TH & 20
OPP 22
+40
99.9%
#20 P.Domschke field goal attempt from 40 yards NO GOOD (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 R.Todd), clock 04:31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 25FUMBLE
9 plays · 53 yds · 2:370% → 0%
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Belcher rush left for 8 yards gain to the KSU30 (#10 S.Saipaia; #16 J.Lyles)Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+5
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Belcher rush left for 5 yards gain to the KSU35 (#91 M.Tyler; #58 T.Lee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Belcher rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KSU36 (#9 J.Camden; #3 T.Hallock). #76 N.Milovac injured on the playSimilar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+46
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Belcher rush left for 46 yards gain to the WMU18 (#3 T.Hallock; #9 J.Camden), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete short middle to #9 D.Bryson thrown to WMU00. The previous play is under automatic review - "Targeting". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete short middle to #9 D.Bryson thrown to WMU00 PENALTY WMU Targeting (#16 J.Lyles) 9 yards from WMU18 to WMU09, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY)Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+3
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short right to #4 C.Belcher caught at WMU17, for 3 yards to the WMU15 (#9 J.Camden)Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom sacked for loss of 10 yards to the WMU25 (#4 R.McGraw), fumble by #2 A.Odom recovered by WMU #96 D.Gustwiller at WMU25, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Shotgun #21 C.Dawkins rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WMU27 (#44 B.Hopson)Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
100.0%
Shotgun #21 C.Dawkins rush middle for 6 yards gain to the WMU33 (#21 J.Ziglor; #44 B.Hopson)Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
100.0%
Shotgun #21 C.Dawkins rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WMU34 (#44 B.Hopson; #46 T.Christopher)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 7:39
Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short right to #7 M.Hrabowski caught at KSU01, for 4 yards to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:39 #20 P.Domschke kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 R.Todd)
+7.6
PUNT · Q2 10:39
#25 R.Millmore punt 52 yards to the KSU00, Touchback
+5.9
TD · Q2 7:45
Shotgun #5 D.Miles rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:45 #20 P.Domschke kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 R.Todd)
+2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com