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UL

Louisiana 13 at Delaware 20

DEL
2025 · 68 Ventures Bowl · Dec 17, 2025 · Hancock Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · DEL
modelDEL aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playDEL scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:46 · #2 L.Winfield pass intercepted by #1 N.Evans at DEL00, Touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 27Home team on offense−1.0Pregame prior−6.7Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Time remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:18: No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Silver rush middle for 61 yards gain to the UL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:18, #91 N.Reed kick attempt good (H: #99 B.Lach, LS: #49 M.Sills) — DEL win probability +7.3 pts (now 53%) (top driver: DEL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:40: Sean Wilson 35 Yd pass from Nick Minicucci (Nate Reed Kick) — DEL win probability +12.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: DEL has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 6:59: #91 N.Reed field goal attempt from 27 yards GOOD (H: #99 B.Lach, LS: #49 M.Sills), clock 06:59 — DEL win probability +9.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: DEL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:49: No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass complete short middle to #6 S.Sampson Jr. caught at DEL00, for 8 yards to the DEL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:49, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Sterner kick attempt good (H: #92 N.Torney, LS: #48 H.Sims) — UL win probability +9.2 pts (now 21%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:23: No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield rush middle for 1 yard gain to the DEL07 (#13 N.Matthews) — UL win probability +13.2 pts (now 17%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
DEL made the numbers' call on 7 of 8UL made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 10:16UL 4th & 8 at DEL 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    51.0%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:49DEL 4th & 17 at DEL 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%−0.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:49UL 4th & 1 at DEL 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    51.1%−0.6
    27% to make
    Punt
    51.3%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:46UL 4th & 1 at DEL 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.9%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    50.1%−0.8
    92% to make
    Punt
    48.1%−2.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:05UL 4th & 3 at DEL 5, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.7%−1.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    33.7%−7.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:05DEL 4th & 9 at DEL 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:53DEL 4th & 2 at UL 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    56.4%−0.8
    64% to make
    Punt
    52.7%−4.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:57UL 4th & 12 at UL 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−1.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:28DEL 4th & 8 at UL 16, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.1%
    81% to make
    Punt
    54.6%−4.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:18UL 4th & 3 at UL 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:59DEL 4th & 10 at UL 10, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%−1.4
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    75.8%−8.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:31UL 4th & 8 at DEL 22, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−7.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:53DEL 4th & 18 at UL 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%−1.4
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.5%
    45% to make
    Punt
    91.7%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:53UL 4th & 4 at DEL 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    9.3%−1.7
    34% to make
    Punt
    9.3%−1.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:49UL 4th & 6 at DEL 8, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.4%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    8.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−4.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:04DEL 4th & 2 at UL 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    91.3%−1.7
    30% to make
    Punt
    91.4%−1.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:08UL 4th & 5 at UL 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.2%−2.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:41DEL 4th & 9 at UL 42, up 7
    Close callPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    93.4%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
DEL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UL made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 0:18DEL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 12:40DEL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 7:49UL Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1MISSED FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 4:4458% → 57%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
41.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 Z.Perry rush left for 5 yards gain to the UL30 (#2 M.Pollard)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
41.7%
Shotgun #3 Z.Perry rush left for 6 yards gain to the UL36 (#7 K.Seay), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
41.7%
Shotgun #3 Z.Perry rush left for 0 yards to the UL36 (#35 G.Moul; #33 T.Scott III)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
41.7%
Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass incomplete deep left to #0 R.Williams thrown to DEL30 broken up by #1 N.EvansSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+40
41.7%
Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass complete short middle to #88 C.Jensen caught at UL40, for 40 yards to the DEL24 (#1 N.Evans; #11 J.Yelbert Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
41.7%
Shotgun #2 L.Winfield rush right for 1 yard gain to the DEL23 (#11 J.Yelbert Jr.)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+1
41.7%
Shotgun #7 B.Davis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the DEL22 (#93 J.Hall)Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 22
0
41.7%
Shotgun #2 L.Winfield rush left for 0 yards to the DEL22 (#32 M.Mulumba; #10 B.Matthews)Similar
Q1 10:16
4TH & 8
OPP 22
+39
42.9%
#95 T.Sterner field goal attempt from 39 yards NO GOOD (H: #92 N.Torney, LS: #48 H.Sims), clock 10:16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:2743% → 43%
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
43.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci pass complete short left to #18 S.Wilson caught at DEL22, for 2 yards to the DEL24 (#11 B.Gordon, Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 8
OWN 24
0
43.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci pass incomplete deep middle to #19 K.Duplessis thrown to UL41Similar
Q1 10:16
3RD & 8
OWN 24
-9
42.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci sacked for loss of 9 yards to the DEL15 (#9 C.Whitfield)Similar
Q1 8:49
4TH & 17
OWN 15
+7
42.9%
#99 B.Lach punt 45 yards to the UL40 #0 R.Williams return 7 yards to the UL47, out of bounds at UL47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3INT
13 plays · 48 yds · 6:0357% → 56%
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
42.8%
Shotgun #7 B.Davis rush right for 1 yard gain to the UL48 (#93 J.Hall; #14 K.Ali)Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+2
42.9%
Shotgun #7 B.Davis rush right for 2 yards gain to the UL50 (#52 D.Brogna)Similar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 7
50
+6
42.9%
Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass complete short left to #0 R.Williams caught at DEL44, for 6 yards to the DEL44 (#7 K.Seay)Similar
Q1 8:49
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+3
43.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 B.Davis rush left for 3 yards gain to the DEL41 (#13 N.Matthews), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
42.7%
Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass complete short left to #6 S.Sampson Jr. caught at DEL35, for 6 yards to the DEL35 (#1 N.Evans), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+7
42.5%
Shotgun #3 Z.Perry rush left for 7 yards gain to the DEL28 (#14 K.Ali), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
42.5%
Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass incomplete short right to #6 S.Sampson Jr. thrown to DEL10Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
42.6%
Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass incomplete short right to #0 R.Williams thrown to DEL20Similar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+14
42.8%
Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass incomplete deep left to #6 S.Sampson Jr. thrown to DEL00 PENALTY DEL Pass Interference (#1 N.Evans) 14 yards from DEL28 to DEL14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
42.5%
Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass complete short right to #8 R.Dennis caught at DEL10, for 5 yards to the DEL09 (#6 K.Cox Jr.)Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+3
42.5%
Shotgun #2 L.Winfield rush middle for 3 yards gain to the DEL06 (#13 N.Matthews)Similar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+1
42.7%
Shotgun #3 Z.Perry rush middle for 1 yard gain to the DEL05 (#35 G.Moul)Similar
Q1 2:46
4TH & 1
OPP 5
0
44.3%
#2 L.Winfield pass intercepted by #1 N.Evans at DEL00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 4TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 2:2845% → 53%
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
45.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Silver rush middle for 7 yards gain to the DEL27 (#9 C.Whitfield)Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+2
45.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci pass complete short right to #19 K.Duplessis caught at DEL29, for 2 yards to the DEL29 (#7 C.Flowers)Similar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+5
45.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Silver rush middle for 5 yards gain to the DEL34 (#21 M.Eleam), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
45.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci pass complete short left to #18 S.Wilson caught at DEL40, for 5 yards to the DEL39 (#11 B.Gordon, Jr.)Similar
Q1 0:18
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+61
52.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Silver rush middle for 61 yards gain to the UL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:18, #91 N.Reed kick attempt good (H: #99 B.Lach, LS: #49 M.Sills)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5FG
18 plays · 70 yds · 8:1349% → 50%
Q1 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
51.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #24 S.Blanco rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UL32 (#7 K.Seay)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
50.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass incomplete short left to #6 S.Sampson Jr. thrown to UL40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
51.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #24 S.Blanco rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UL36 (#8 E.Saunders), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
50.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #24 S.Blanco rush right for 1 yard gain to the UL37 (#32 M.Mulumba; #8 E.Saunders)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+10
50.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield rush middle for 10 yards gain to the UL47 (#52 D.Brogna), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
50.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield sacked for loss of 2 yards to the UL45 (#98 N.Karika)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 45
+17
50.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass complete short left to #88 C.Jensen caught at DEL46, for 17 yards to the DEL38 (#7 K.Seay; #18 J.Kolagbodi), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
49.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 B.Davis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the DEL37 (#32 M.Mulumba)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+3
49.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 B.Davis rush middle for 3 yards gain to the DEL34 (#58 C.Gallagher)Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+8
49.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass complete short left to #0 R.Williams caught at DEL29, for 8 yards to the DEL26 (#18 J.Kolagbodi), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
48.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass incomplete short middle to #13 C.Robertson thrown to DEL15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+14
49.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass complete short middle to #86 T.Miller caught at DEL15, for 14 yards to the DEL12 (#7 K.Seay), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
48.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield rush right for 0 yards to the DEL12 (#58 C.Gallagher)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+7
48.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield rush middle for 7 yards gain to the DEL05 (#13 N.Matthews)Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 5
0
49.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #24 S.Blanco rush middle for 0 yards to the DEL05 (#35 G.Moul)Similar
Q2 7:05
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+22
50.2%
#95 T.Sterner field goal attempt from 22 yards GOOD (H: #92 N.Torney, LS: #48 H.Sims), clock 07:05Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5452% → 51%
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
52.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #23 V.Ellison Jr. rush left for 1 yard gain to the DEL26 (#6 T.Williams; #17 A.Williams)Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
52.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci pass incomplete short left to #8 N.Laboy thrown to DEL30Similar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
51.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci pass incomplete deep left to #8 N.Laboy thrown to DEL50Similar
Q2 6:05
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+39
51.0%
#99 B.Lach punt 39 yards to the UL35 muffed by #22 D.Smith at UL35 recovered by DEL #21 A.Crenshaw Jr. at UL34, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 7DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1256% → 54%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
55.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci pass complete short middle to #23 V.Ellison Jr. caught at UL30, for 4 yards to the UL30 (#3 J.Dugger)Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 6
OPP 30
0
55.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci pass incomplete deep left to #18 S.Wilson thrown to UL00 broken up by #11 B.Gordon, Jr.Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+4
54.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #23 V.Ellison Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UL26 (#95 M.Baudoin IV; #6 T.Williams)Similar
Q2 4:53
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+1
54.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #23 V.Ellison Jr. rush right for 1 yard gain to the UL25 (#35 C.Jacob), out of bounds, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:5647% → 45%
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
52.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 Z.Perry rush right for 2 yards loss to the UL23 (#13 N.Matthews)Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
52.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 W.Howard pass incomplete short right to #88 C.Jensen thrown to UL25Similar
Q2 4:53
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
53.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 W.Howard pass incomplete short middle to #18 J.Johnson thrown to UL30Similar
Q2 3:57
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
55.1%
#92 N.Torney punt 42 yards to the DEL35 fair catch by #19 K.Duplessis at DEL35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 9FG
14 plays · 49 yds · 3:2954% → 62%
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
54.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Silver rush middle for 2 yards gain to the DEL37 (#2 J.Clark)Similar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+15
54.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci pass complete short right to #19 K.Duplessis caught at DEL40, for 15 yards to the UL48 (#2 J.Clark), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
56.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci pass incomplete deep left to #17 E.Doku thrown to UL20 broken up by #4 T.SkipperSimilar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
56.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci rush left for 4 yards gain to the UL44 (#11 B.Gordon, Jr.) PENALTY UL Offside (#0 J.Lawson) 5 yards from UL48 to UL43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 5
OPP 43
0
56.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Silver rush middle for 0 yards to the UL43 (#93 J.Crider)Similar
Q2 3:57
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+11
55.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci pass complete short left to #9 J.Kelly caught at UL43, for 11 yards to the UL32 (#21 M.Eleam), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
57.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci pass complete short right to #19 K.Duplessis caught at UL28, for 9 yards to the UL23 (#21 M.Eleam)Similar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 1
OPP 23
0
57.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Silver rush left for 0 yards to the UL23 (#4 T.Skipper)Similar
Q2 3:57
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+5
55.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Silver rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UL18 (#97 L.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
57.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci pass complete short right to #27 J.Silver caught at UL17, for 2 yards to the UL16 (#21 M.Eleam)Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 8
OPP 16
0
59.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci pass incomplete short right to #8 N.Laboy thrown to UL09 broken up by #21 M.EleamSimilar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 8
OPP 16
0
57.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci pass incomplete short middle to #9 J.Kelly thrown to UL00Similar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+33
62.2%
#91 N.Reed field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #99 B.Lach, LS: #49 M.Sills), clock 00:28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
60.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 B.Davis rush left for 2 yards gain to the UL27 (#9 K.Hunter)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 11TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:1563% → 78%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
63.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci pass complete short left to #18 S.Wilson caught at DEL34, for 4 yards to the DEL34 (#11 B.Gordon, Jr.)Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+26
64.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci pass complete deep right to #19 K.Duplessis caught at UL40, for 26 yards to the UL40, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
65.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci pass complete short left to #18 S.Wilson caught at UL35, for 10 yards to the UL30 (#11 B.Gordon, Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
65.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci pass incomplete deep right to #19 K.Duplessis thrown to UL10Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-5
65.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci pass complete short middle to #6 N.Tyree caught at UL30, for 5 yards loss to the UL35 (#0 J.Lawson)Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 15
OPP 35
+35
77.7%
Sean Wilson 35 Yd pass from Nick Minicucci (Nate Reed Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2224% → 22%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 Z.Perry rush middle for 0 yards to the UL25 (#98 N.Karika)Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
76.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UL32 (#35 G.Moul)Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
75.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass incomplete short middle to #0 R.Williams thrown to UL38Similar
Q3 11:18
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
77.6%
#92 N.Torney punt 40 yards to the DEL28 fair catch by #19 K.Duplessis at DEL28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 13FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 4:1979% → 89%
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
79.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci rush left for 12 yards gain to the DEL40, out of bounds at DEL40, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
80.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci pass complete short right to #9 J.Kelly caught at UL42, for 18 yards to the UL42 (#46 L.Bates), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
80.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci pass complete short left to #18 S.Wilson caught at UL36, for 6 yards to the UL36, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+17
80.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci pass complete short right to #19 K.Duplessis caught at UL28, for 17 yards to the UL19 (#3 J.Dugger), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
80.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci pass complete short left to #18 S.Wilson caught at UL16, for 3 yards to the UL16 (#11 B.Gordon, Jr.)Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+7
80.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #23 V.Ellison Jr. rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UL09 (#21 M.Eleam), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
80.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UL10 (#17 A.Williams)Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
80.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Silver rush right for 0 yards to the UL10 (#6 T.Williams)Similar
Q3 11:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
79.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci pass incomplete short right to #19 K.Duplessis thrown to UL00 broken up by #7 C.Flowers QB hurried by #44 J.St. AndreSimilar
Q3 6:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
88.6%
#91 N.Reed field goal attempt from 27 yards GOOD (H: #99 B.Lach, LS: #49 M.Sills), clock 06:59Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:2813% → 16%
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
87.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 B.Davis rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UL27 (#52 D.Brogna)Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
87.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass incomplete short left to #88 C.Jensen thrown to UL30Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+28
87.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass complete deep left to #6 S.Sampson Jr. caught at DEL47, for 28 yards to the DEL45 (#1 N.Evans), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
85.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 B.Davis rush middle for 6 yards gain to the DEL39 (#32 M.Mulumba)Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+3
85.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 B.Davis rush middle for 3 yards gain to the DEL36 (#35 G.Moul)Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+12
85.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield rush left for 12 yards gain to the DEL24 (#7 K.Seay), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
84.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 Z.Perry rush middle for 3 yards gain to the DEL21 (#8 E.Saunders)Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 7
OPP 21
-1
84.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 Z.Perry rush middle for 1 yard loss to the DEL22 (#93 J.Hall)Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 8
OPP 22
0
86.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass complete short right to #0 R.Williams caught at DEL22, for 0 yards to the DEL22 (#1 N.Evans)Similar
Q3 2:31
4TH & 8
OPP 22
+39
84.3%
#95 T.Sterner field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #92 N.Torney, LS: #48 H.Sims), clock 02:31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 15MISSED FG
11 plays · 40 yds · 4:2990% → 92%
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci pass incomplete deep left to #18 S.Wilson thrown to UL50Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
89.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Silver rush middle for 3 yards gain to the DEL28 (#3 J.Dugger)Similar
Q3 2:22
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+16
89.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci pass complete short middle to #18 S.Wilson caught at DEL44, for 16 yards to the DEL44 (#6 T.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
90.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Silver rush middle for 3 yards gain to the DEL47 (#4 T.Skipper)Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+26
90.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Silver rush middle for 26 yards gain to the UL27 (#46 L.Bates), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-4
92.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci pass complete short right to #9 J.Kelly caught at UL30, for 4 yards loss to the UL31 (#3 J.Dugger)Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 31
+5
91.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Silver rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UL26 (#0 J.Lawson)Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 26
-9
91.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci sacked for loss of 9 yards to the UL35 (#3 J.Dugger)Similar
Q4 12:53
4TH & 18
OPP 35
+52
91.5%
#91 N.Reed field goal attempt from 52 yards NO GOOD blocked by #0 J.Lawson (H: #99 B.Lach, LS: #49 M.Sills), clock 12:53 recovered by UL #44 J.St. Andre at DEL46, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 16TD
10 plays · 46 yds · 5:0412% → 21%
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
88.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield sacked for loss of 1 yard to the DEL47 (#33 T.Scott III, #9 K.Hunter)Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+3
87.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #23 L.Strother rush right for 3 yards gain to the DEL44 (#10 B.Matthews; #44 K.Singleton)Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+4
88.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass complete short right to #3 Z.Perry caught at DEL44, for 4 yards to the DEL40 (#1 N.Evans)Similar
Q4 12:53
4TH & 4
OPP 40
+9
88.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass complete short left to #0 R.Williams caught at DEL34, for 9 yards to the DEL31 (#7 K.Seay), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
86.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 Z.Perry rush middle for 6 yards gain to the DEL25 (#35 G.Moul; #14 K.Ali)Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+13
86.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass complete short right to #3 Z.Perry caught at DEL12, for 13 yards to the DEL12, out of bounds at DEL12, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
86.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass complete short right to #23 L.Strother caught at DEL12, for 2 yards to the DEL10 (#2 M.Pollard)Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 8
OPP 10
-1
86.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield rush right for 1 yard loss to the DEL11 (#14 K.Ali)Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 9
OPP 11
+3
87.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass complete short right to #9 T.Chaney caught at DEL08, for 3 yards to the DEL08, out of bounds at DEL08Similar
Q4 7:49
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+8
78.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass complete short middle to #6 S.Sampson Jr. caught at DEL00, for 8 yards to the DEL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:49, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Sterner kick attempt good (H: #92 N.Torney, LS: #48 H.Sims)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 33 yds · 4:4586% → 93%
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
86.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #23 V.Ellison Jr. rush middle for 11 yards gain to the DEL36 (#9 C.Whitfield), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
86.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci rush middle for 9 yards gain to the DEL45 (#6 T.Williams; #90 K.Miller)Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 1
OWN 45
0
87.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #23 V.Ellison Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the DEL45 (#4 T.Skipper)Similar
Q4 7:49
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+5
87.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #23 V.Ellison Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the DEL50 (#21 M.Eleam), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
50
-3
87.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #23 V.Ellison Jr. rush middle for 3 yards loss to the DEL47 (#0 J.Lawson)Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 13
OWN 47
+11
87.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #23 V.Ellison Jr. rush middle for 11 yards gain to the UL42 (#3 J.Dugger; #44 J.St. Andre)Similar
Q4 7:49
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+1
87.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #23 V.Ellison Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UL41 (#3 J.Dugger; #0 J.Lawson)Similar
Q4 3:04
4TH & 2
OPP 42
0
92.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci pass incomplete short right to #18 S.Wilson thrown to UL36, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 18FUMBLE
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5615% → 11%
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
84.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass incomplete short middle to #6 S.Sampson Jr. thrown to UL50 QB hurried by #13 N.MatthewsSimilar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
85.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass incomplete short right to #13 C.Robertson thrown to UL49 QB hurried by #35 G.MoulSimilar
Q4 3:04
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+5
86.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass complete short left to #23 L.Strother caught at UL46, for 5 yards to the UL47 (#10 B.Matthews)Similar
Q4 2:08
4TH & 5
OWN 47
-4
89.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield rush middle for 4 yards loss to the UL43 fumbled by #2 L.Winfield at UL44 recovered by DEL #32 M.Mulumba at UL43, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DELDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:3295% → 95%
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
95.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Silver rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UL41 (#68 F.West Jr.)Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+2
95.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 N.Minicucci rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UL39 (#90 K.Miller)Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 6
OPP 39
-3
95.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Silver rush middle for 3 yards loss to the UL42 (#0 J.Lawson)Similar
Q4 1:41
4TH & 9
OPP 42
+1
95.1%
#99 B.Lach punt 36 yards to the UL06 #23 L.Strother return 1 yard to the UL07 (#80 M.McKinley-Daniels)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 20END OF HALF
16 plays · 86 yds · 1:487% → 12%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
92.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass complete short right to #88 C.Jensen caught at UL12, for 5 yards to the UL12, out of bounds at UL12Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+5
92.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass complete short right to #3 Z.Perry caught at UL15, for 5 yards to the UL17 (#35 G.Moul), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+10
92.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass complete short right to #88 C.Jensen caught at UL25, for 10 yards to the UL27 (#35 G.Moul), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
92.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass incomplete short middle to #7 B.Davis thrown to UL30 QB hurried by #58 C.Gallagher and #9 K.HunterSimilar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+7
92.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UL34 (#32 M.Mulumba)Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+11
91.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass complete short right to #23 L.Strother caught at UL42, for 11 yards to the UL45 (#32 M.Mulumba), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
90.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass incomplete short right to #23 L.Strother thrown to DEL42 broken up by #14 K.AliSimilar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+32
91.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass complete deep right to #13 C.Robertson caught at DEL25, for 32 yards to the DEL23, out of bounds at DEL23, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
85.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass incomplete short middle to #88 C.Jensen thrown to DEL15 broken up by #35 G.MoulSimilar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+15
86.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass incomplete short right to #23 L.Strother thrown to DEL10 PENALTY DEL Pass Interference (#23 V.Ellison Jr.) 15 yards from DEL23 to DEL08, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
83.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield rush middle for 1 yard gain to the DEL07 (#13 N.Matthews)Similar
Q4 0:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
83.3%
No Huddle #2 L.Winfield pass incomplete short middle thrown to DEL07Similar
Q4 0:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
88.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield pass incomplete short middle to #88 C.Jensen thrown to DEL00 broken up by #10 B.MatthewsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:23
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 L.Winfield rush middle for 1 yard gain to the DEL07 (#13 N.Matthews)
-13.2
TD · Q3 12:40
Sean Wilson 35 Yd pass from Nick Minicucci (Nate Reed Kick)
+12.1
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+11.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com