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BOIS

Boise State 10 at Washington 38

WASH
2025 · Bucked Up LA Bowl · Dec 13, 2025 · SoFi Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadBOIS aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreBOIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:45 · #45 L.Dunne punt 39 yards to the BSU47 fair catch by #8 M.Sherrod at BSU47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 131Home team on offense+34.3Score differential+26.0Pregame prior+6.5Blowout margin+11.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.3Garbage-time factor+11.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 4:20: #95 G.Gross field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #33 R.Kean), clock 04:20 — BOIS win probability +2.4 pts (now 27%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 9:54: Denzel Boston 78 Yd pass from Demond Williams Jr. (Grady Gross Kick) — WASH win probability +5.7 pts (now 77%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:56: Dezmen Roebuck 6 Yd pass from Demond Williams Jr. (Grady Gross Kick) — WASH win probability +7.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:17: Raiden Vines-Bright 3 Yd pass from Demond Williams Jr. (Grady Gross Kick) — WASH win probability +6.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:05: Quentin Moore 32 Yd pass from Demond Williams Jr. (Grady Gross Kick) — WASH win probability +5.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6BOIS made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 4:20WASH 4th & 15 at BOIS 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−0.5
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    71.0%−1.5
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:50WASH 4th & 16 at BOIS 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.9%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    71.2%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:51BOIS 4th & 6 at BOIS 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:55WASH 4th & 5 at WASH 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:46BOIS 4th & 7 at BOIS 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:59BOIS 4th & 2 at WASH 44, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    19.9%−2.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    20.5%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:53BOIS 4th & 10 at BOIS 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:47BOIS 4th & 4 at BOIS 33, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:18WASH 4th & 16 at WASH 33, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:18BOIS 4th & 5 at WASH 35, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:59BOIS 4th & 5 at WASH 17, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:45WASH 4th & 13 at WASH 14, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:19WASH 4th & 9 at BOIS 49, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:19BOIS 4th & 1 at BOIS 23, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q2 9:54WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:56WASH Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:17WASH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:05WASH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:46WASH Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BOISDrive 1FG
9 plays · 21 yds · 15:0024% → 31%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
75.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #24 D.Riley rush right for 3 yards gain to the BSU47 (#12 A.McLaughlin)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+5
75.6%
PENALTY WAS Offside (#23 Z.Rainey-Sale) 5 yards from BSU47 to WAS48. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+14
75.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 M.Madsen pass complete short right to #5 C.Marshall caught at WAS34, for 14 yards to the WAS34 (#7 E.Prysock), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
75.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #24 D.Riley rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WAS31 (#23 Z.Rainey-Sale; #9 J.Manu)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+5
75.6%
PENALTY BSU Illegal Motion 5 yards from WAS30 to WAS35. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+52
74.3%
#35 C.Boomer field goal attempt from 52 yards GOOD (H: #37 O.Doyle, LS: #42 M.Hutton), clock 11:35Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 35
0
70.4%
Shotgun #4 M.Madsen pass incomplete short middle thrown to WAS30Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+1
69.5%
#24 D.Riley rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WAS30 (#9 J.Manu)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2FG
17 plays · 60 yds · 7:1575% → 73%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
74.9%
Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WAS28 (#21 Z.Washington)Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
74.9%
Shotgun #1 J.Coleman rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WAS30 (#53 M.Notarainni)Similar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
74.8%
Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #12 D.Boston caught at WAS28, for 8 yards to the WAS38 (#41 B.Phelps), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
75.0%
Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #12 D.Boston caught at WAS48, for 10 yards to the WAS48 (#6 J.Earby), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+23
75.1%
Shotgun #1 J.Coleman rush left for 23 yards gain to the BSU29 (#20 J.Mickey), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
75.3%
Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete deep left to #5 O.Evans thrown to BSU00Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+1
75.3%
#1 J.Coleman rush left for 1 yard gain to the BSU28 (#53 M.Notarainni; #51 R.Caywood)Similar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+10
75.2%
Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to #12 D.Boston caught at BSU23, for 10 yards to the BSU18 (#21 Z.Washington), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
75.3%
Shotgun #1 J.Coleman rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BSU17 (#13 S.Lane II)Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 9
OPP 17
-4
75.3%
Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. sacked for loss of 4 yards to the BSU21 (#13 S.Lane II)Similar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 13
OPP 21
+14
75.0%
Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. rush left for 14 yards gain to the BSU07 (#53 M.Notarainni), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
75.3%
#2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short left to #7 R.Vines-Bright thrown to BSU00Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
75.3%
#1 J.Coleman rush middle for 0 yards to the BSU07 (#0 T.Benefield; #53 M.Notarainni)Similar
Q1 11:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-8
75.2%
Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. sacked for loss of 8 yards to the BSU15 (#5 J.Virgin-Morgan)Similar
Q1 4:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+33
72.8%
#95 G.Gross field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #33 R.Kean), clock 04:20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3INT
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:1127% → 30%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
72.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #26 S.Gaines rush right for 1 yard gain to the BSU26 (#9 J.Manu)Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
72.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 M.Madsen pass complete short left to #88 M.Wagner caught at BSU31, for 7 yards to the BSU33 (#10 X.Alexander; #12 A.McLaughlin)Similar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+15
72.5%
#4 M.Madsen pass complete short left to #3 L.Caples caught at BSU36, for 15 yards to the BSU48 (#12 A.McLaughlin), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
71.9%
#4 M.Madsen pass complete short right to #85 M.Lauter caught at BSU50, for 2 yards to the BSU50 (#9 J.Manu; #18 R.Dillard-Allen)Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 8
50
+3
71.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #26 S.Gaines rush right for 3 yards gain to the WAS47 (#54 A.Thompson)Similar
Q1 1:09
3RD & 5
OPP 47
-29
70.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 M.Madsen pass intercepted by #10 X.Alexander at WAS37 #10 X.Alexander return 29 yards to the BSU34 (#8 M.Sherrod)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:1974% → 72%
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
73.9%
Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. rush left for 0 yards to the BSU34 (#21 Z.Washington)Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
73.9%
#2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete deep left to #12 D.Boston thrown to BSU05Similar
Q1 1:09
3RD & 10
OPP 34
-6
73.3%
Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #24 A.Mohammed caught at BSU40, for 6 yards loss to the BSU40 (#53 M.Notarainni)Similar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 16
OPP 40
0
71.5%
#45 L.Dunne punt 40 yards to the BSU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0929% → 28%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
71.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 M.Madsen pass incomplete short middle to #88 M.Wagner thrown to BSU25 broken up by #90 E.DavisSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
71.3%
No Huddle #24 D.Riley rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BSU24 (#2 R.Clark)Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
71.6%
Shotgun #4 M.Madsen pass incomplete short left to #8 M.Sherrod thrown to BSU29Similar
Q2 13:51
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
71.8%
#37 O.Doyle punt 47 yards to the WAS29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:5672% → 71%
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
71.9%
Shotgun #1 J.Coleman rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WAS33 (#95 M.Stege)Similar
Q2 13:51
2ND & 6
OWN 33
-1
72.1%
#1 J.Coleman rush middle for 1 yard loss to the WAS32 (#5 J.Virgin-Morgan)Similar
Q2 13:51
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+2
71.4%
Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WAS34 (#53 M.Notarainni)Similar
Q2 11:55
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
70.6%
#45 L.Dunne punt 39 yards to the BSU27 fair catch by #8 M.Sherrod at BSU27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0930% → 29%
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
69.8%
Shotgun #24 D.Riley rush left for 3 yards gain to the BSU30 (#5 Z.Durfee; #77 S.Pepa)Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
69.5%
No Huddle #4 M.Madsen pass complete short left to #3 L.Caples caught at BSU30, for 0 yards to the BSU30 (#12 A.McLaughlin)Similar
Q2 11:55
3RD & 7
OWN 30
0
70.3%
No Huddle #4 M.Madsen pass incomplete deep right to #5 C.Marshall thrown to BSU50 broken up by #7 E.PrysockSimilar
Q2 10:46
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
70.6%
#37 O.Doyle punt 42 yards to the WAS28 #81 D.Roebuck return 0 yards to the WAS28 (#0 T.Benefield) PENALTY WAS Illegal Block in Back (#6 D.Robinson) 10 yards from WAS28 to WAS18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8TD
2 plays · 82 yds · 0:5271% → 77%
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
71.4%
Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. rush right for 4 yards gain to the WAS22 (#6 J.Earby)Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+78
77.1%
Denzel Boston 78 Yd pass from Demond Williams Jr. (Grady Gross Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9DOWNS
11 plays · 32 yds · 4:4921% → 21%
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
78.8%
#4 M.Madsen pass complete short right to #85 M.Lauter caught at BSU26, for 8 yards to the BSU33 (#7 E.Prysock; #9 J.Manu)Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
77.7%
#26 S.Gaines rush right for 3 yards gain to the BSU36 (#48 J.Lane), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
78.4%
#25 Q.Brown rush left for 6 yards gain to the BSU42 (#7 E.Prysock; #6 D.Robinson)Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
77.6%
#8 M.Sherrod rush right for 3 yards gain to the BSU45 (#90 E.Davis)Similar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
77.5%
#26 S.Gaines rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BSU48 (#48 J.Lane; #23 Z.Rainey-Sale), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
77.6%
Shotgun #4 M.Madsen pass complete short right to #85 M.Lauter caught at BSU44, for 5 yards to the WAS47 (#77 S.Pepa)Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+3
77.1%
Shotgun #24 D.Riley rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WAS44 (#54 A.Thompson; #77 S.Pepa)Similar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
76.9%
Shotgun #4 M.Madsen pass incomplete short right to #8 M.Sherrod thrown to WAS43 QB hurried by #41 D.LynchSimilar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+1
78.7%
Shotgun #4 M.Madsen rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WAS43 (#10 X.Alexander), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 3:0380% → 88%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
80.3%
Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #12 D.Boston caught at BSU45, for 16 yards to the BSU41 (#20 J.Mickey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
80.5%
Shotgun #4 J.Washington rush right for 5 yards gain to the BSU36 (#21 Z.Washington)Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 3
OPP 36
0
80.6%
Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete deep right to #86 D.DeGraaf thrown to BSU10Similar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+10
80.3%
Shotgun #1 J.Coleman rush middle for 10 yards gain to the BSU26 (#41 B.Phelps), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
80.9%
Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #86 D.DeGraaf caught at BSU21, for 7 yards to the BSU19 (#41 B.Phelps)Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+13
80.9%
#4 J.Washington rush right for 13 yards gain to the BSU06 (#0 T.Benefield), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
87.9%
Dezmen Roebuck 6 Yd pass from Demond Williams Jr. (Grady Gross Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11INT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:1714% → 14%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
85.9%
PENALTY BSU False Start (#72 Z.Holmes) 5 yards from BSU25 to BSU20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
85.9%
Shotgun #4 M.Madsen pass incomplete short middle to #85 M.Lauter thrown to BSU30 broken up by #10 X.AlexanderSimilar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-4
86.3%
Shotgun #4 M.Madsen pass intercepted by #2 R.Clark at BSU39 QB hurried by #91 I.Ward #2 R.Clark return 4 yards to the BSU35 (#8 M.Sherrod)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12TD
3 plays · 35 yds · 0:2288% → 95%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+18
88.4%
#2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #8 C.Lawson caught at BSU17, for 18 yards to the BSU17 (#0 T.Benefield), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+14
88.1%
Shotgun #1 J.Coleman rush middle for 14 yards gain to the BSU03 (#0 T.Benefield), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
94.8%
Raiden Vines-Bright 3 Yd pass from Demond Williams Jr. (Grady Gross Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:245% → 5%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.1%
Shotgun #4 M.Madsen rush left for 4 yards gain to the BSU29 (#0 L.Bryant), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-2
94.8%
Shotgun #4 M.Madsen sacked for loss of 4 yards to the BSU25 (#48 J.Lane, #90 E.Davis)Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
95.2%
Shotgun #4 M.Madsen pass incomplete short middle to #85 M.Lauter thrown to BSU29 broken up by #11 T.UiagaleleiSimilar
Q2 0:53
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
95.4%
#37 O.Doyle punt 42 yards to the WAS33 fair catch by #81 D.Roebuck at WAS33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14END OF HALF
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
95.8%
Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #5 O.Evans caught at WAS33, for 0 yards to the WAS33 (#95 M.Stege)Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+19
95.8%
Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #5 O.Evans caught at WAS43, for 19 yards to the BSU48 (#6 J.Earby; #21 Z.Washington), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
95.9%
Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete deep left to #12 D.Boston thrown to BSU25 QB hurried by #41 B.PhelpsSimilar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
96.0%
Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #7 R.Vines-Bright caught at WAS48, for 8 yards to the BSU40 (#20 J.Mickey) PENALTY WAS Illegal Formation 5 yards from BSU48 to WAS47. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
96.1%
PENALTY WAS False Start 5 yards from WAS47 to WAS42. NO PLAYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:5594% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
94.2%
Shotgun #1 J.Coleman rush middle for 0 yards to the WAS30 (#5 J.Virgin-Morgan; #43 J.Ripp)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+4
94.1%
Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short middle to #12 D.Boston caught at WAS34, for 4 yards to the WAS34 (#6 J.Earby; #53 M.Notarainni)Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+9
94.0%
Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. rush middle for 9 yards gain to the WAS43 (#21 Z.Washington), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
94.4%
Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete deep middle to #5 O.Evans thrown to BSU05Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+25
94.3%
Shotgun #1 J.Coleman rush left for 25 yards gain to the BSU32 (#10 D.Ganter Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
98.8%
Quentin Moore 32 Yd pass from Demond Williams Jr. (Grady Gross Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:181% → 1%
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
98.9%
Shotgun #24 D.Riley rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BSU12 (#90 E.Davis)Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+15
98.9%
Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete short middle to #3 L.Caples thrown to BSU25 PENALTY WAS Roughing The Passer (#9 J.Manu) 15 yards from BSU12 to BSU27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-8
98.8%
Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth sacked for loss of 8 yards to the BSU19 (#5 Z.Durfee)Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 18
OWN 19
+14
98.9%
Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short left to #85 M.Lauter caught at BSU19, for 14 yards to the BSU33 (#24 M.Esteen)Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 4
OWN 33
0
98.8%
Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete short left to #5 C.Marshall thrown to BSU35Similar
Q3 9:47
4TH & 4
OWN 33
0
99.1%
#37 O.Doyle punt 39 yards to the WAS28 fair catch by #81 D.Roebuck at WAS28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:2999% → 99%
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
99.1%
Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WAS33 (#20 J.Mickey; #0 T.Benefield)Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+6
99.1%
Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. rush right for 6 yards gain to the WAS39 (#20 J.Mickey), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
99.2%
Shotgun #24 A.Mohammed rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WAS40 (#95 M.Stege; #90 B.Fely)Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
99.2%
#2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete deep left thrown to BSU35 QB hurried by #53 M.NotarainniSimilar
Q3 9:47
3RD & 9
OWN 40
-7
99.2%
#2 D.Williams Jr. sacked for loss of 7 yards to the WAS33 (#41 B.Phelps)Similar
Q3 7:18
4TH & 16
OWN 33
+11
99.4%
#45 L.Dunne punt 45 yards to the BSU22 #8 M.Sherrod return 11 yards to the BSU33 (#10 X.Alexander)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18DOWNS
14 plays · 50 yds · 6:191% → 0%
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+17
99.3%
#14 M.Cutforth pass complete short right to #5 C.Marshall caught at BSU45, for 17 yards to the BSU50 (#0 L.Bryant; #9 J.Manu), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.3%
#24 D.Riley rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WAS48 (#41 D.Lynch)Similar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 8
OPP 48
-3
99.3%
Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth sacked for loss of 3 yards to the BSU49 (#10 X.Alexander)Similar
Q3 7:18
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+6
99.3%
Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short left to #13 C.Penry caught at BSU50, for 6 yards to the WAS45 (#10 X.Alexander)Similar
Q3 7:18
4TH & 5
OPP 45
+5
99.3%
PENALTY WAS Offside (#41 D.Lynch) 5 yards from WAS45 to WAS40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.3%
Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete deep left to #13 C.Penry thrown to WAS20 QB hurried by #11 T.UiagaleleiSimilar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+4
99.3%
Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short left to #8 M.Sherrod caught at WAS42, for 4 yards to the WAS36 (#5 Z.Durfee)Similar
Q3 7:18
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+1
99.3%
Shotgun #8 M.Sherrod rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WAS35 (#90 E.Davis)Similar
Q3 7:18
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+13
99.0%
Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short left to #5 C.Marshall caught at WAS30, for 13 yards to the WAS22 (#6 D.Robinson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.2%
Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete short left to #5 C.Marshall thrown to WAS26 broken up by #5 Z.DurfeeSimilar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+1
99.2%
Shotgun #26 S.Gaines rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WAS21 (#5 Z.Durfee)Similar
Q3 7:18
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+4
99.3%
Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short right to #13 C.Penry caught at WAS21, for 4 yards to the WAS17 (#6 D.Robinson), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 0:59
4TH & 5
OPP 17
0
99.7%
Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete short middle to #5 C.Marshall thrown to WAS00, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:14100% → 100%
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
99.7%
#4 J.Washington rush middle for 0 yards to the WAS17 (#20 J.Mickey), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 0:59
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-3
99.7%
#2 D.Williams Jr. sacked for loss of 3 yards to the WAS14 (#5 J.Virgin-Morgan)Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 14
0
99.8%
Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short right thrown to WAS21 broken up by #0 T.BenefieldSimilar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 13
OWN 14
0
99.8%
#45 L.Dunne punt 39 yards to the BSU47 fair catch by #8 M.Sherrod at BSU47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20INT
9 plays · 47 yds · 2:070% → 0%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.8%
Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete short right to #5 C.Marshall thrown to WAS40Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.8%
PENALTY BSU Delay Of Game (#14 M.Cutforth) 5 yards from BSU47 to BSU42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 15
OWN 42
+28
99.8%
Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short left to #5 C.Marshall caught at WAS43, for 28 yards to the WAS30 (#2 R.Clark), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
99.8%
PENALTY BSU False Start (#53 M.Notarainni) 5 yards from WAS30 to WAS35. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 15
OPP 35
+2
99.8%
Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short left to #8 M.Sherrod caught at WAS39, for 2 yards to the WAS33 (#10 X.Alexander), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 13
OPP 33
+5
99.8%
Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short left to #26 S.Gaines caught at WAS28, for 5 yards to the WAS28 (#0 L.Bryant)Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+22
99.8%
Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass complete deep middle to #3 L.Caples caught at WAS06, for 22 yards to the WAS06 (#18 R.Dillard-Allen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.8%
Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass intercepted by #0 L.Bryant at WAS00 QB hurried by #11 T.Uiagalelei, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21FUMBLE
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:50100% → 100%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the WAS20 (#90 B.Fely)Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+10
99.8%
Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #1 J.Coleman caught at WAS30, for 10 yards to the WAS30 fumbled by #1 J.Coleman at WAS30 forced by #51 R.Caywood recovered by BSU #43 J.Ripp at WAS30, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 22INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-57
99.9%
Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass intercepted by #41 D.Lynch at WAS34 QB hurried by #2 R.Clark #41 D.Lynch return 57 yards to the BSU09, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 23TD
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:49100% → 100%
Q4 11:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Shotgun #2 D.Williams Jr. pass incomplete short left to #5 O.Evans thrown to BSU13Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
99.9%
Shotgun #12 D.Boston pass complete short right to #2 D.Williams Jr. caught at BSU15, for 3 yards to the BSU06 (#6 J.Earby), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 10:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Jonah Coleman 6 Yd Run (Grady Gross Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 24INT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:310% → 0%
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete short left to #85 M.Lauter thrown to BSU26Similar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+6
99.9%
#8 M.Sherrod rush middle for 6 yards gain to the BSU27 (#97 L.Sagapolu)Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+5
99.9%
PENALTY BSU False Start (#72 Z.Holmes) 5 yards from BSU27 to BSU22. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+17
100.0%
#14 M.Cutforth pass complete short left to #3 L.Caples caught at BSU37, for 17 yards to the BSU39 (#0 L.Bryant), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
100.0%
#14 M.Cutforth pass intercepted by #0 L.Bryant at WAS40 QB hurried by #54 A.Thompson, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:51100% → 100%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Shotgun #15 K.Horton pass incomplete deep middle to #12 D.Boston thrown to BSU15 broken up by #23 S.SmithSimilar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+10
99.9%
Shotgun #15 K.Horton pass complete short left to #5 O.Evans caught at WAS42, for 10 yards to the WAS50 (#0 T.Benefield; #53 M.Notarainni), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
50
-11
99.9%
Shotgun #15 K.Horton sacked for loss of 11 yards to the WAS39 (#13 S.Lane II)Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 21
OWN 39
+7
99.9%
Shotgun #4 J.Washington rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WAS46 (#41 B.Phelps), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 14
OWN 46
+5
99.9%
Shotgun #15 K.Horton pass complete short right to #5 O.Evans caught at WAS45, for 1 yard loss to the WAS45 (#21 Z.Washington) PENALTY BSU Offside (#94 K.Mailoto) 5 yards from WAS46 to BSU49. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Shotgun #15 K.Horton pass incomplete short middle to #8 C.Lawson thrown to BSU40 broken up by #21 Z.Washington QB hurried by #15 M.WilliamsSimilar
Q4 6:19
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
99.9%
#45 L.Dunne punt 43 yards to the BSU06 fair catch by #8 M.Sherrod at BSU06Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 26TD
15 plays · 94 yds · 6:190% → 0%
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+10
100.0%
#24 D.Riley rush middle for 10 yards gain to the BSU16 (#10 X.Alexander; #24 M.Esteen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 8
OWN 18
0
100.0%
#14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete short middle to #5 C.Marshall thrown to BSU35 broken up by #10 X.AlexanderSimilar
Q4 6:19
4TH & 8
OWN 18
+5
100.0%
#14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete deep middle to #3 L.Caples thrown to BSU50 PENALTY WAS Offside (#48 J.Lane) 5 yards from BSU20 to BSU25. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 6:19
4TH & 1
OWN 23
+3
100.0%
Shotgun #26 S.Gaines rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BSU28 (#5 Z.Durfee), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
100.0%
#26 S.Gaines rush right for 8 yards gain to the BSU36 (#18 R.Dillard-Allen)Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 2
OWN 36
-6
100.0%
#26 S.Gaines rush left for 6 yards loss to the BSU30 (#41 D.Lynch; #11 T.Uiagalelei)Similar
Q4 2:49
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+16
100.0%
#14 M.Cutforth pass complete short right to #3 L.Caples caught at BSU46, for 16 yards to the BSU46, out of bounds at BSU46, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+21
100.0%
#14 M.Cutforth pass complete deep right to #13 C.Penry caught at WAS33, for 21 yards to the WAS33 (#32 T.Warner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
100.0%
Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete deep right to #5 C.Marshall thrown to WAS05 QB hurried by #49 G.MillerSimilar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+25
100.0%
Shotgun #14 M.Cutforth pass complete short right to #5 C.Marshall caught at WAS20, for 25 yards to the WAS08 (#26 E.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
100.0%
#14 M.Cutforth pass incomplete short middle to #3 L.Caples thrown to WAS00Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
100.0%
Matt Lauter 8 Yd pass from Max Cutforth (Colton Boomer Kick)Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
99.8%
#24 D.Riley rush left for 2 yards gain to the BSU18, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+2
99.8%
Shotgun #8 M.Sherrod rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BSU20 (#54 A.Thompson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 27END OF HALF
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
99.8%
Shotgun #21 Q.Carr rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BSU42 (#18 S.Brooks)Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+1
99.8%
Shotgun #21 Q.Carr rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BSU41 (#23 S.Smith)Similar
Q4 1:18
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+3
99.8%
Shotgun #21 Q.Carr rush right for 3 yards gain to the BSU38 (#21 Z.Washington; #23 S.Smith)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:56
Dezmen Roebuck 6 Yd pass from Demond Williams Jr. (Grady Gross Kick)
+7
TD · Q2 1:17
Raiden Vines-Bright 3 Yd pass from Demond Williams Jr. (Grady Gross Kick)
+6.6
TD · Q3 12:05
Quentin Moore 32 Yd pass from Demond Williams Jr. (Grady Gross Kick)
+5.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com