Try the model
IU

Indiana 13 at Ohio State 10

OSU
2025 · Week 15 · Dec 6, 2025 · Lucas Oil Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:18 · (00:24) #44 M.McCarthy punt 24 yards to the OSU14 fair catch by #1 B.Inniss at OSU14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differential
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 153Pregame prior+0.1Home team on offense−32.0Garbage-time factor−16.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−14.1Score differential−4.6
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 6:51: (06:53) #15 N.Radicic field goal attempt from 29 yards GOOD (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston), clock 06:51 — IU win probability +0.1 pts (now 35%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 10:08: (10:10) #38 J.Fielding field goal attempt from 30 yards GOOD (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann), clock 10:08 — OSU win probability +2.8 pts (now 72%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 2:47: (02:50) #15 N.Radicic field goal attempt from 32 yards GOOD (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston), clock 02:47 — IU win probability +2.6 pts (now 30%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q3 8:02: (08:07) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #13 E.Sarratt caught at OSU00, for 17 yards to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:02, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston) — IU win probability +17.4 pts (now 52%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:41: (02:44) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 1 yard loss to the IND24 (#92 C.Curry) — IU win probability +35.7 pts (now 79%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6IU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 10:35IU 4th & 12 at IU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:51IU 4th & 10 at OSU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    37.3%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:07OSU 4th & 9 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:31IU 4th & 8 at OSU 21, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    34.5%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:08OSU 4th & 10 at IU 11, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    59.5%−3.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:20IU 4th & 2 at OSU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    29.9%−1.8
    36% to make
    Punt
    30.0%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:47IU 4th & 4 at OSU 14, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.3%−0.4
    84% to make
    Punt
    24.4%−6.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:25OSU 4th & 8 at OSU 38, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:32OSU 4th & 28 at OSU 38, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%−3.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:34OSU 4th & 1 at IU 5, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.5%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    46.1%−5.4
    92% to make
    Punt
    32.3%−19.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:45IU 4th & 4 at IU 49, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.3%−2.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:48OSU 4th & 1 at IU 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−6.8
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    19.5%−25.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:18IU 4th & 5 at OSU 38, up 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 5.9 ptsPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%−2.5
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    89.7%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%−5.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 8:02IU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 24 yds · 4:1734% → 34%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
66.4%
(15:00) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #13 E.Sarratt caught at IND34, for 9 yards to the IND34 (#2 C.Downs). #15 F.Mendoza injured on the playSimilar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
66.3%
(14:37) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 1 yard gain to the IND35 (#0 S.Styles), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
66.2%
(13:51) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IND38 (#98 K.McDonald; #92 C.Curry)Similar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
66.1%
(13:22) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush right for 3 yards gain to the IND41 (#0 S.Styles)Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+10
66.0%
(12:43) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #80 C.Becker caught at IND49, for 10 yards to the OSU49, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
65.8%
(12:02) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete deep middle to #3 O.Cooper Jr. thrown to OSU07Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+3
65.8%
(11:55) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush left for 3 yards gain to the OSU46 (#98 K.McDonald)Similar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 7
OPP 46
-5
65.6%
(11:18) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza sacked for loss of 5 yards to the IND49 (#92 C.Curry)Similar
Q1 10:35
4TH & 12
OWN 49
0
66.0%
(10:41) #44 M.McCarthy punt 39 yards to the OSU12 fair catch by #1 B.Inniss at OSU12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2INT
4 plays · 17 yds · 1:2966% → 66%
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+13
66.1%
(10:35) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #4 J.Smith caught at OSU18, for 13 yards to the OSU25 (#5 D.Ponds), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.1%
(09:57) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short left to #86 M.Klare thrown to OSU35 QB hurried by #8 S.DaleySimilar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
66.0%
(09:50) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OSU29 (#7 L.Moore; #5 D.Ponds)Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-12
65.9%
(09:04) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass intercepted by #7 L.Moore at OSU35 #7 L.Moore return 12 yards to the OSU23 (#17 C.Tate)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3FG
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:0035% → 35%
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
65.0%
(08:57) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OSU22 (#0 S.Styles)Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+11
64.8%
(08:18) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #13 E.Sarratt caught at OSU12, for 11 yards to the OSU11 (#1 D.Igbinosun), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
64.6%
(07:48) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short right thrown to OSU00 QB hurried by #92 C.CurrySimilar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
64.6%
(07:40) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 0 yards to the OSU11 (#97 K.Jackson Jr.; #0 S.Styles)Similar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
64.7%
(06:59) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short right to #13 E.Sarratt thrown to OSU08 broken up by #92 C.CurrySimilar
Q1 6:51
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+29
64.7%
(06:53) #15 N.Radicic field goal attempt from 29 yards GOOD (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston), clock 06:51Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 3:3866% → 65%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
66.0%
(06:51) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #4 J.Smith caught at OSU32, for 7 yards to the OSU32 (#5 D.Ponds)Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
65.8%
(06:15) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #17 C.Tate caught at OSU37, for 5 yards to the OSU37, out of bounds at OSU37, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
65.8%
(05:40) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short middle to #4 J.Smith caught at OSU49, for 12 yards to the OSU49 (#5 D.Ponds), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
66.4%
(04:58) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush right for 7 yards gain to the IND44 (#7 L.Moore)Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 3
OPP 44
-2
66.6%
(04:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 2 yards loss to the IND46 (#6 M.Kamara; #95 T.Tucker)Similar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 5
OPP 46
-4
65.8%
(03:51) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin sacked for loss of 4 yards to the IND50 (#21 R.Hardy)Similar
Q1 3:07
4TH & 9
50
0
64.6%
(03:14) #42 J.McGuire punt 39 yards to the IND11 fair catch by #0 J.Brady at IND11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5INT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:2235% → 37%
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
64.7%
(03:07) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short right to #80 C.Becker thrown to IND16Similar
Q1 2:59
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+8
64.8%
(03:03) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 8 yards gain to the IND19 (#18 J.McClain)Similar
Q1 2:24
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+9
64.0%
(02:29) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza rush middle for 9 yards gain to the IND28 (#0 S.Styles), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
63.4%
(01:48) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass intercepted by #1 D.Igbinosun at IND27 #1 D.Igbinosun return 2 yards to the IND25 (#37 R.Nowakowski)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:5066% → 69%
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
65.5%
(01:41) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush right for 8 yards gain to the IND17 (#46 I.Jones) PENALTY IND Face Mask (#97 M.Landino) 9 yards from IND17 to IND08, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
65.5%
(01:09) #25 B.Jackson rush right for 5 yards loss to the IND13 (#34 J.Utzinger) PENALTY IND Offside (#8 S.Daley) 4 yards from IND08 to IND04. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 0:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
65.5%
(00:57) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short left thrown to IND00 QB hurried by #8 S.DaleySimilar
Q1 0:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+5
69.0%
(00:53) PENALTY OSU False Start (#25 B.Jackson) 5 yards from IND04 to IND09. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 0:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
69.1%
J. Sayin pass to C. Tate for 9 yds, for a TD (J. Fielding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7MISSED FG
8 plays · 54 yds · 2:1531% → 31%
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
69.4%
(00:46) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete deep middle to #80 C.Becker thrown to OSU23 PENALTY OSU Pass Interference (#3 L.Styles Jr.) 15 yards from IND25 to IND40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+37
68.6%
(00:38) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush left for 37 yards gain to the OSU23 (#2 C.Downs), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
67.1%
(00:00) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush left for 1 yard gain to the OSU22 (#0 S.Styles)Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+3
67.1%
(15:00) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush right for 3 yards gain to the OSU19 (#92 C.Curry; #2 C.Downs)Similar
Q2 14:05
3RD & 6
OPP 19
-2
67.8%
(14:15) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza sacked for loss of 2 yards to the OSU21 (#97 K.Jackson Jr.)Similar
Q2 13:31
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+39
69.2%
(13:35) #15 N.Radicic field goal attempt from 39 yards NO GOOD (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston), clock 13:31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8FG
7 plays · 67 yds · 3:1968% → 72%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
67.8%
(13:31) Shotgun #32 I.West rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OSU26 (#21 R.Hardy; #46 I.Jones)Similar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+52
68.0%
(12:54) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete deep middle to #4 J.Smith caught at IND32, for 52 yards to the IND22 (#1 A.Ferrell), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY IND Personal Foul (#6 M.Kamara) 11 yard from IND22 to IND11, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
69.7%
(12:21) #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the IND09 (#21 R.Hardy)Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+2
69.8%
(11:40) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush right for 2 yards gain to the IND07 (#1 A.Ferrell; #95 T.Tucker)Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 6
OPP 7
-4
69.3%
(11:01) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin sacked for loss of 4 yards to the IND11 (#46 I.Jones)Similar
Q2 10:08
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+30
72.1%
(10:10) #38 J.Fielding field goal attempt from 30 yards GOOD (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann), clock 10:08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9FG
17 plays · 61 yds · 7:1028% → 30%
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
72.1%
(10:08) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #0 J.Brady caught at IND39, for 14 yards to the IND39 (#2 C.Downs), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
71.4%
(09:28) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short right thrown to IND40 PENALTY IND Holding (#74 B.Lynch) 10 yards from IND39 to IND29. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 20
OWN 29
+7
72.3%
(09:22) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 7 yards gain to the IND36 (#8 A.Reese; #2 C.Downs)Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 13
OWN 36
+7
72.6%
(08:41) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #1 R.Hemby caught at IND37, for 7 yards to the IND43 (#92 C.Curry), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+10
72.0%
(08:04) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #80 C.Becker caught at OSU47, for 10 yards to the OSU47 (#6 D.Sanchez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
71.2%
(07:30) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush right for 2 yards gain to the OSU45 (#0 S.Styles)Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+6
71.3%
(06:49) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #0 J.Brady caught at OSU41, for 6 yards to the OSU39 (#18 J.McClain), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 6:27
3RD & 2
OPP 39
0
70.9%
(06:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short right thrown to OSU20 QB hurried by #0 S.StylesSimilar
Q2 6:20
4TH & 2
OPP 39
+9
70.3%
(06:27) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #37 R.Nowakowski caught at OSU37, for 9 yards to the OSU30 (#2 C.Downs), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
68.9%
(05:53) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush right for 9 yards gain to the OSU21 (#0 S.Styles; #18 J.McClain)Similar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+1
69.1%
(05:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OSU20 (#0 S.Styles), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-2
69.2%
(04:50) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza rush middle for 2 yards loss to the OSU22, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 12
OPP 22
-3
69.7%
(04:11) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza sacked for loss of 3 yards to the OSU25 (#92 C.Curry)Similar
Q2 3:19
3RD & 15
OPP 25
+11
72.7%
(03:28) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short middle to #37 R.Nowakowski caught at OSU25, for 11 yards to the OSU14 (#2 C.Downs), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 2:47
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+32
70.1%
(02:50) #15 N.Radicic field goal attempt from 32 yards GOOD (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston), clock 02:47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:1271% → 71%
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
71.1%
(02:47) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #17 C.Tate caught at OSU30, for 11 yards to the OSU36 (#2 B.Baldwin Jr.; #22 J.Sharpe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
70.7%
(02:00) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush left for 4 yards gain to the OSU40 (#21 R.Hardy)Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-2
71.6%
(01:20) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin sacked for loss of 2 yards to the OSU38 (#46 I.Jones)Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
70.1%
(00:36) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete deep left to #4 J.Smith thrown to IND40Similar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
70.8%
(00:32) #42 J.McGuire punt 47 yards to the IND15 fair catch by #0 J.Brady at IND15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
74.2%
(00:25) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IND18 (#18 J.McClain)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 3:1468% → 67%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
67.9%
(14:55) #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #89 W.Kacmarek caught at OSU27, for 9 yards to the OSU36 (#7 L.Moore)Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+20
69.5%
(14:18) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush left for 20 yards gain to the IND44 (#5 D.Ponds; #1 A.Ferrell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
70.6%
(13:34) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin sacked for loss of 5 yards to the IND49 (#97 M.Landino). #6 M.Kamara injured on the playSimilar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 15
OPP 49
-14
68.9%
(13:07) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin sacked for loss of 14 yards to the OSU37 (#8 S.Daley)Similar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 29
OWN 37
+1
67.5%
(12:14) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short middle to #4 J.Smith caught at OSU35, for 1 yard to the OSU38 (#21 R.Hardy)Similar
Q3 11:32
4TH & 28
OWN 38
0
67.0%
(11:41) #42 J.McGuire punt 50 yards to the IND12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13TD
7 plays · 88 yds · 3:2531% → 52%
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
69.1%
(11:32) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush right for 5 yards gain to the IND17 (#95 T.Malone)Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+3
70.9%
(10:52) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 3 yards gain to the IND20 (#97 K.Jackson Jr.; #98 K.McDonald)Similar
Q3 9:56
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+51
71.9%
(10:09) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete deep middle to #80 C.Becker caught at OSU34, for 51 yards to the OSU29 (#3 L.Styles Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
65.3%
(09:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 10 yards gain to the OSU19 (#92 C.Curry; #0 S.Styles), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
65.3%
(08:55) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush right for 2 yards gain to the OSU17 (#0 S.Styles; #1 D.Igbinosun)Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 8
OPP 17
0
65.1%
(08:16) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short left thrown to OSU10 QB hurried by #8 A.ReeseSimilar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+17
47.7%
(08:07) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #13 E.Sarratt caught at OSU00, for 17 yards to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:02, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14DOWNS
14 plays · 70 yds · 6:2354% → 55%
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
54.4%
(08:02) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush left for 7 yards gain to the OSU32 (#22 J.Sharpe)Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
57.0%
(07:28) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush left for 1 yard loss to the OSU31 (#21 R.Hardy; #7 L.Moore)Similar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
53.4%
(06:46) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #1 B.Inniss caught at OSU36, for 5 yards to the OSU36 (#5 D.Ponds; #4 A.Fisher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
55.3%
(06:10) #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #86 M.Klare caught at OSU38, for 20 yards to the IND44 (#1 A.Ferrell), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
58.7%
(05:38) Shotgun #32 I.West rush middle for 1 yard loss to the IND45 (#95 T.Tucker)Similar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+18
57.5%
(04:58) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #4 J.Smith caught at IND29, for 18 yards to the IND27 (#5 D.Ponds), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
60.4%
(04:25) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #86 M.Klare caught at IND23, for 8 yards to the IND19 (#5 D.Ponds)Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+5
60.3%
(03:48) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the IND14 (#21 R.Hardy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
60.3%
(03:08) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short middle to #89 W.Kacmarek caught at IND11, for 7 yards to the IND07 (#21 R.Hardy)Similar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+2
60.2%
(02:28) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the IND05 (#8 S.Daley)Similar
Q3 1:37
3RD & 1
OPP 5
0
56.9%
(01:43) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short left to #4 J.Smith thrown to IND00Similar
Q3 1:34
4TH & 1
OPP 5
0
55.0%
(01:38) #10 J.Sayin rush middle for 0 yards to the IND05, End Of Play, TURNOVER ON DOWNS. The previous play is under automatic review - "First down". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (01:38) #10 J.Sayin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the IND03, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15PUNT
12 plays · 44 yds · 5:1451% → 61%
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
49.2%
(01:04) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 0 yards to the IND05 (#98 K.McDonald)Similar
Q3 0:16
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+12
49.5%
(00:23) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #7 E.Williams Jr. caught at IND15, for 12 yards to the IND17 (#3 L.Styles Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
47.9%
(15:00) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 0 yards to the IND17 (#1 D.Igbinosun)Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+15
48.4%
(14:19) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #80 C.Becker caught at IND30, for 15 yards to the IND32 (#18 J.McClain), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
45.1%
(13:38) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush left for 4 yards gain to the IND36 (#2 C.Downs)Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+7
43.9%
(12:59) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short right to #80 C.Becker caught at IND41, for 7 yards to the IND43 (#7 J.Mathews Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
40.2%
(12:25) Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush left for 4 yards gain to the IND47 (#98 K.McDonald)Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+2
39.2%
(11:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 R.Hemby rush middle for 2 yards gain to the IND49 (#18 J.McClain)Similar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
36.6%
(11:01) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass incomplete short right thrown to OSU35 QB hurried by #8 A.ReeseSimilar
Q4 10:45
4TH & 4
OWN 49
+3
38.9%
(10:55) #44 M.McCarthy punt 44 yards to the OSU07 #1 B.Inniss return 3 yards to the OSU10 (#46 I.Jones; #80 C.Becker)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16MISSED FG
16 plays · 81 yds · 7:5347% → 40%
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
46.5%
(10:45) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OSU14 (#7 L.Moore)Similar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+10
44.6%
(10:08) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush right for 10 yards gain to the OSU24 (#21 R.Hardy; #7 L.Moore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
45.2%
(09:30) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short right to #89 W.Kacmarek caught at OSU26, for 4 yards to the OSU28 (#4 A.Fisher)Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+1
45.7%
(08:50) #32 I.West rush right for 1 yard gain to the OSU29 (#8 S.Daley; #46 I.Jones)Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+8
44.1%
(08:12) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short middle to #12 C.Donaldson Jr caught at OSU31, for 8 yards to the OSU37 (#4 A.Fisher; #21 R.Hardy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
46.0%
(07:37) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #4 J.Smith caught at OSU29, for 5 yards loss to the OSU32 (#12 D.Boykin)Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+7
41.8%
(06:53) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short middle to #25 B.Jackson caught at OSU37, for 7 yards to the OSU39 (#46 I.Jones; #4 A.Fisher)Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+20
42.4%
(06:09) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete deep right to #17 C.Tate caught at IND41, for 20 yards to the IND41, out of bounds at IND41, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
46.7%
(05:31) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the IND39 (#5 D.Ponds)Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 8
OPP 39
0
46.3%
(04:48) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short right thrown to IND31Similar
Q4 4:33
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+6
45.5%
(04:43) Shotgun #1 B.Inniss pass complete short right to #25 B.Jackson caught at IND41, for 6 yards to the IND33 (#12 D.Boykin) PENALTY IND Personal Foul (#6 M.Kamara) 15 yards from IND33 to IND18, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
49.8%
(04:23) #25 B.Jackson rush left for 8 yards gain to the IND10 (#1 A.Ferrell)Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+1
48.8%
(03:37) Shotgun #25 B.Jackson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the IND09 (#91 D.Ratcliff)Similar
Q4 2:51
3RD & 1
OPP 9
0
45.2%
(02:56) #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete short right to #85 B.Christian thrown to IND00 broken up by #21 R.HardySimilar
Q4 2:48
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+27
39.5%
(02:51) #38 J.Fielding field goal attempt from 27 yards NO GOOD (H: #42 J.McGuire, LS: #43 J.Ferlmann), clock 02:48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17PUNT
12 plays · 42 yds · 2:2677% → 94%
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
23.3%
(02:48) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush left for 5 yards gain to the IND25 (#1 D.Igbinosun)Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-1
21.4%
(02:44) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 1 yard loss to the IND24 (#92 C.Curry)Similar
Q4 2:26
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+33
20.0%
(02:41) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete deep right to #80 C.Becker caught at OSU48, for 33 yards to the OSU43 (#7 J.Mathews Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
11.6%
(02:00) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 0 yards to the OSU43, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
8.8%
(01:14) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OSU40 (#96 E.Houston; #0 S.Styles)Similar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+2
8.7%
(01:10) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OSU38 (#96 E.Houston)Similar
Q4 0:18
4TH & 5
OPP 38
0
6.0%
(00:24) #44 M.McCarthy punt 24 yards to the OSU14 fair catch by #1 B.Inniss at OSU14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18END OF HALF
4 plays · 47 yds · 0:1113% → 11%
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
13.0%
(00:18) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete short left to #12 C.Donaldson Jr caught at OSU13, for 1 yard to the OSU15, out of bounds at OSU15Similar
Q4 0:02
2ND & 9
OWN 15
0
11.6%
(00:13) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass incomplete deep right thrown to IND40 broken up by #12 D.BoykinSimilar
Q4 0:02
3RD & 9
OWN 15
+46
11.1%
(00:02) Shotgun #10 J.Sayin pass complete deep right to #4 J.Smith caught at IND39, for 46 yards to the IND39 (#4 A.Fisher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:41
(02:44) Shotgun #8 K.Black rush middle for 1 yard loss to the IND24 (#92 C.Curry)
-35.7
TD · Q3 8:02
(08:07) Shotgun #15 F.Mendoza pass complete short left to #13 E.Sarratt caught at OSU00, for 17 yards to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:02, 1ST DOWN #15 N.Radicic kick attempt good (H: #44 M.McCarthy, LS: #47 M.Langston)
-17.4
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-11.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com