2025 · Week 15 · Dec 5, 2025 · Bridgeforth Stadium
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Win probability · JMU
modelJMU aheadTROY aheadconfidence bandkey playJMU scoreTROY score
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:43 · (09:53) #28 E.Crenshaw punt 50 yards to the JMU20 #3 W.Knight return 11 yards to the JMU31 (#4 T.Thompson)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
This game in five plays
- TD · Q2 6:56: (07:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete deep middle to #10 B.Wisloski caught at TROY00, for 26 yards to the TROY00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:56, 1ST DOWN #5 M.Suarez kick attempt good (H: #11 P.Rea, LS: #47 J.Kennard) — JMU win probability +3.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
- TD · Q2 2:12: (02:14) #22 T.Meadows rush middle for 2 yards gain to the JMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:12 #40 S.Renfroe kick attempt good (H: #28 E.Crenshaw, LS: #87 C.Walls) #40 S.Renfroe kick attempt good (H: #28 E.Crenshaw, LS: #87 C.Walls) PENALTY #40 S.Renfroe kick attempt good (H: #28 E.Crenshaw, LS: #87 C.Walls) PENALTY JMU Holding declined — TROY win probability +6.0 pts (now 16%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
- KEY PLAY · Q3 5:05: (05:10) #22 T.Meadows rush middle for 0 yards to the JMU28 (#3 G.Weathersby; #97 A.Gobaira) — TROY win probability +5.4 pts (now 25%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
- TD · Q4 4:11: (04:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III rush middle for 26 yards gain to the TROY00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:11, 1ST DOWN #5 M.Suarez kick attempt good (H: #11 P.Rea, LS: #47 J.Kennard) — JMU win probability +15.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
- FUMBLE · Q4 3:17: (03:24) Shotgun #10 T.Kilcrease sacked for loss of 10 yards to the TROY22 (#15 S.West), fumble by #10 T.Kilcrease recovered by JMU #56 D.Spinogatti at TROY22 #56 D.Spinogatti return 22 yards to the TROY00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:17 #5 M.Suarez kick attempt good (H: #11 P.Rea, LS: #47 J.Kennard) — JMU win probability +3.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
Was that the right call?
Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works
Fourth downs
JMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9TROY made the numbers' call on 10 of 13
- Q1 13:39TROY 4th & 11 at TROY 41, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snapGo for it7.0%−0.126% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call7.1%average punt
- Q1 11:56JMU 4th & 14 at JMU 29, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 92.5% before the snapGo for it92.4%−0.118% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call92.5%average punt
- Q1 9:43TROY 4th & 9 at TROY 30, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snapGo for it7.9%−0.131% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call8.0%average punt
- Q1 8:05JMU 4th & 4 at JMU 37, tiedClose callPunted · 91.4% before the snapGo for it91.4%48% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call91.4%−<0.1average punt
- Q1 7:03TROY 4th & 11 at TROY 25, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snapGo for it8.7%−0.125% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call8.8%average punt
- Q1 6:01JMU 4th & 6 at JMU 31, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 90.6% before the snapGo for it90.6%−0.139% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call90.7%average punt
- Q1 4:23TROY 4th & 16 at TROY 7, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 9.4% before the snapGo for it9.2%−0.313% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call9.5%average punt
- Q1 1:55JMU 4th & 13 at TROY 22, tiedAgrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.4% before the snapGo for it89.1%−0.219% to convertField goalTheir call89.4%72% to makePunt88.6%−0.7average punt
- Q2 12:06TROY 4th & 15 at TROY 30, down 3Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snapGo for it10.6%−0.516% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call11.1%average punt
- Q2 9:44JMU 4th & 10 at JMU 45, up 3Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.0% before the snapGo for it86.7%−0.429% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call87.0%average punt
- Q2 8:20TROY 4th & 11 at TROY 14, down 3Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.3% before the snapGo for it11.7%−0.725% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call12.4%average punt
- Q2 1:14JMU 4th & 3 at JMU 42, up 3Close callPunted · 83.8% before the snapGo for it83.7%52% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call83.5%−0.2average punt
- Q2 0:35TROY 4th & 30 at TROY 32, down 3Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.9% before the snapGo for it13.1%−1.96% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call14.9%average punt
- Q3 10:09JMU 4th & 21 at JMU 39, up 3Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.8% before the snapGo for it78.9%−2.59% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call81.4%average punt
- Q3 8:26TROY 4th & 10 at JMU 42, down 3Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.3% before the snapGo for it19.3%−0.230% to convertField goal18.8%−0.830% to makePuntTheir call19.6%average punt
- Q3 4:24TROY 4th & 10 at JMU 28, down 3Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.3% before the snapGo for it20.2%−0.929% to convertField goalTheir call21.1%60% to makePunt14.8%−6.3average punt
- Q3 1:30TROY 4th & 5 at JMU 48, down 3Close callPunted · 22.9% before the snapGo for it23.6%41% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call23.4%−0.1average punt
- Q4 13:31JMU 4th & 4 at TROY 39, up 3Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.0% before the snapGo for itTheir call80.5%48% to convertField goal78.1%−2.436% to makePunt78.3%−2.1average punt
- Q4 12:04JMU 4th & 9 at TROY 33, up 3Close callWent for it · 78.7% before the snapGo for itTheir call77.3%−0.332% to convertField goal77.6%49% to makePunt75.8%−1.8average punt
- Q4 6:36TROY 4th & 7 at TROY 45, down 3Close callPunted · 26.4% before the snapGo for it24.4%37% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call23.9%−0.5average punt
- Q4 3:17TROY 4th & 19 at TROY 32, down 10Close callWent for it · 5.4% before the snapGo for itTheir call4.9%−0.811% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt5.7%average punt
- Q4 1:49TROY 4th & 8 at TROY 27, down 17Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snapGo for itTheir call1.4%33% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt1.4%−<0.1average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TROY made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
- Q2 14:01TROY Touchdown, up 3 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call13.1%97% to makeGo for two13.0%−<0.145% to convert
- Q2 13:41JMU Touchdown, up 2 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call89.0%97% to makeGo for two89.0%−<0.145% to convert
- Q2 6:56JMU Touchdown, up 9 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call90.8%97% to makeGo for two90.7%−<0.145% to convert
- Q2 2:12TROY Touchdown, down 4 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call15.1%97% to makeGo for two15.1%−<0.145% to convert
- Q4 4:11JMU Touchdown, up 9 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call93.7%97% to makeGo for two93.6%−0.145% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chartTROYDrive 1PUNT6 plays · 16 yds · 1:106% → 6%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
93.8%
(14:59) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short right to #2 P.Higgins caught at TROY42, for 17 yards to the TROY42 (#7 J.Thomas), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
93.8%
(14:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 T.Meadows rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TROY41 (#8 A.Thomas)Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 11
OWN 41
0
93.6%
(13:56) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete short middle to #18 D.Epps thrown to TROY50 broken up by #5 T.HendrickSimilar
Q1 13:48
3RD & 11
OWN 41
0
93.6%
(13:48) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete short right to #2 P.Higgins thrown to JMU40 broken up by #32 D.BarksdaleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 2PUNT6 plays · 12 yds · 1:3594% → 93%
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+16
93.6%
(13:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III rush right for 16 yards gain to the JMU33 (#14 D.Daniel-Sisavanh), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
93.5%
PENALTY JMU False Start (#55 R.Robell) 5 yards from JMU33 to JMU28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 15
OWN 28
0
93.4%
(12:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass incomplete deep right to #11 N.DeGennaro thrown to TROY45Similar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 15
OWN 28
+1
93.3%
(12:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush middle for 1 yard gain to the JMU29 (#2 S.Cattledge)Similar
Q1 12:04
3RD & 14
OWN 29
0
93.2%
(12:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass incomplete short right to #3 W.Knight thrown to JMU35 QB hurried by #99 J.PetersonSimilar
Q1 11:56
4TH & 14
OWN 29
0
93.1%
(12:02) #11 P.Rea punt 42 yards to the TROY29 fair catch by #2 P.Higgins at TROY29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 3PUNT4 plays · 1 yds · 1:547% → 7%
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
93.1%
(11:55) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short right to #88 J.Worley caught at TROY24, for 5 yards loss to the TROY24 (#13 T.Brown)Similar
Q1 11:03
2ND & 15
OWN 24
+13
92.9%
(11:17) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder rush middle for 13 yards gain to the TROY37 (#5 T.Hendrick; #13 T.Brown)Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 2
OWN 37
-7
92.7%
(10:31) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder sacked for loss of 7 yards to the TROY30 (#93 M.McMullin)Similar
Q1 9:43
4TH & 9
OWN 30
+11
92.7%
(09:53) #28 E.Crenshaw punt 50 yards to the JMU20 #3 W.Knight return 11 yards to the JMU31 (#4 T.Thompson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 4PUNT4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3293% → 92%
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
92.6%
(09:42) Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush left for 2 yards gain to the JMU33 (#3 D.Lafayette; #11 E.Davis)Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+4
92.4%
(09:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush right for 4 yards gain to the JMU37 (#14 D.Daniel-Sisavanh; #6 J.Powe)Similar
Q1 8:12
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
92.2%
(08:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass incomplete deep left to #10 B.Wisloski thrown to TROY35Similar
Q1 8:05
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
92.1%
(08:10) #11 P.Rea punt 37 yards to the TROY26 fair catch by #2 P.Higgins at TROY26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 5PUNT4 plays · -1 yds · 0:568% → 8%
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
92.1%
(08:03) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete short right to #8 T.Taylor thrown to TROY45Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-1
92.1%
(07:58) Shotgun #1 J.Lovett rush left for 1 yard loss to the TROY25 (#15 S.West)Similar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 11
OWN 25
0
91.9%
(07:17) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete short middle to #7 R.Thomas thrown to TROY40 broken up by #2 E.CulpSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 6PUNT4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5892% → 91%
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
91.8%
(07:02) Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass incomplete short right to #3 W.Knight thrown to JMU30 broken up by #0 J.WilliamsSimilar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+4
91.7%
(06:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 J.Malary rush middle for 4 yards gain to the JMU31 (#3 D.Lafayette; #20 K.Campbell)Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
91.5%
(06:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass incomplete deep left to #10 B.Wisloski thrown to TROY25 broken up by #14 D.Daniel-SisavanhSimilar
Q1 6:01
4TH & 6
OWN 31
+6
91.3%
(06:10) #11 P.Rea punt 46 yards to the TROY23 #2 P.Higgins return 6 yards to the TROY29 (#22 C.Regan) PENALTY TROY Holding 10 yards from TROY23 to TROY13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 7PUNT4 plays · -6 yds · 1:389% → 9%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
91.5%
Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete short right to #18 D.Epps thrown to TROY30 QB hurried by #3 G.WeathersbySimilar
Q1 5:44
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+3
91.4%
(05:47) Shotgun #22 T.Meadows rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TROY16 (#88 K.Bush; #93 M.McMullin)Similar
Q1 5:02
3RD & 7
OWN 16
-9
91.3%
(05:11) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder sacked for loss of 9 yards to the TROY07 (#9 X.Holmes)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 8FG6 plays · 11 yds · 2:2191% → 90%
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
91.4%
(04:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 J.Malary rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TROY26 (#44 L.Hodge; #4 T.Thompson)Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+7
91.3%
(03:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 J.Malary rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TROY19 (#11 E.Davis; #4 T.Thompson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
91.2%
(03:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 J.Malary rush left for 3 yards gain to the TROY16 (#6 J.Powe)Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 7
OPP 16
-6
91.0%
(02:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short right to #3 W.Knight caught at TROY22, for 6 yards loss to the TROY22 (#5 K.Levine)Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 13
OPP 22
0
90.5%
(02:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass incomplete short left to #11 N.DeGennaro thrown to TROY10 broken up by #14 D.Daniel-SisavanhSimilar
Q1 1:55
4TH & 13
OPP 22
+40
90.4%
(01:59) #5 M.Suarez field goal attempt from 40 yards GOOD (H: #11 P.Rea, LS: #47 J.Kennard), clock 01:55Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 9TD8 plays · 75 yds · 2:489% → 13%
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
90.6%
(01:53) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short left to #8 T.Taylor caught at TROY22, for 7 yards to the TROY32 (#2 E.Culp)Similar
Q1 1:06
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
90.1%
(01:13) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short right to #14 E.Conner caught at TROY32, for 0 yards to the TROY32 (#2 E.Culp), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 0:21
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+30
90.2%
(00:31) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete deep right to #8 T.Taylor caught at JMU40, for 30 yards to the JMU38 (#13 T.Brown), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
89.5%
(14:59) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete short right to #18 D.Epps thrown to JMU35Similar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+37
89.4%
(14:56) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete deep left to #7 R.Thomas caught at JMU08, for 37 yards to the JMU01 (#32 D.Barksdale), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.0%
(14:07) #9 G.Crowder rush right for 1 yard gain to the JMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:01 #40 S.Renfroe kick attempt good (H: #28 E.Crenshaw, LS: #87 C.Walls)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 10TD2 plays · 73 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+73
89.6%
(13:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush middle for 73 yards gain to the TROY00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:41, 1ST DOWN #5 M.Suarez kick attempt good (H: #11 P.Rea, LS: #47 J.Kennard)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 11PUNT5 plays · -5 yds · 1:2511% → 10%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
89.5%
(13:40) #9 G.Crowder sacked for loss of 10 yards to the TROY25 (#13 T.Brown)Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 20
OWN 25
0
89.5%
(12:58) No Huddle #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete short right to #8 T.Taylor thrown to TROY40Similar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 20
OWN 25
+5
89.7%
(12:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short right to #14 E.Conner caught at TROY30, for 5 yards to the TROY30 (#56 D.Spinogatti; #7 J.Thomas)Similar
Q2 12:06
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
89.7%
(12:12) #28 E.Crenshaw punt 48 yards to the JMU22 fair catch by #3 W.Knight at JMU22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 12PUNT7 plays · 23 yds · 2:1589% → 88%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+23
88.9%
(12:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush left for 23 yards gain to the JMU45 (#5 K.Levine), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
89.3%
(11:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush middle for 1 yard gain to the JMU46 (#0 J.Williams; #44 L.Hodge)Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
89.1%
(10:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass incomplete short middle to #15 L.Dippre thrown to JMU50Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+4
88.8%
(10:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short right to #0 J.Sanchez caught at JMU49, for 4 yards to the JMU50 (#8 J.White)Similar
Q2 9:57
4TH & 5
50
+5
88.7%
PENALTY JMU Delay Of Game (#14 A.Barnett III) 5 yards from JMU50 to JMU45. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:44
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
88.2%
(09:49) #11 P.Rea punt 40 yards to the TROY15 fair catch by #2 P.Higgins at TROY15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 13PUNT4 plays · -1 yds · 1:1512% → 11%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
88.5%
(09:43) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short right to #7 R.Thomas caught at TROY12, for 2 yards to the TROY17 (#15 S.West)Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 8
OWN 17
-3
88.3%
(09:08) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder rush middle for 3 yards loss to the TROY14 (#15 S.West)Similar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 11
OWN 14
0
88.4%
(08:31) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete short middle to #14 E.Conner thrown to TROY23 broken up by #13 T.BrownSimilar
Q2 8:20
4TH & 11
OWN 14
0
88.6%
(08:27) #28 E.Crenshaw punt 30 yards to the TROY44 blocked by #22 C.ReganSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 14TD3 plays · 44 yds · 1:1889% → 92%
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
89.3%
(08:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TROY43 (#4 T.Thompson)Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+17
89.0%
(07:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short left to #3 W.Knight caught at TROY38, for 17 yards to the TROY26 (#14 D.Daniel-Sisavanh; #3 D.Lafayette), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
92.0%
(07:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete deep middle to #10 B.Wisloski caught at TROY00, for 26 yards to the TROY00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:56, 1ST DOWN #5 M.Suarez kick attempt good (H: #11 P.Rea, LS: #47 J.Kennard)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 15TD13 plays · 75 yds · 4:319% → 16%
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.2%
(06:55) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short right to #22 T.Meadows caught at TROY24, for 5 yards to the TROY30 (#7 J.Thomas; #56 D.Spinogatti)Similar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
91.0%
(06:31) Shotgun #22 T.Meadows rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TROY33 (#2 E.Culp; #15 S.West)Similar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
90.9%
(05:53) #14 E.Conner rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TROY34 (#33 A.Taddeo; #56 D.Spinogatti)Similar
Q2 5:12
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+15
91.1%
(05:12) #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete deep right to #7 R.Thomas thrown to JMU45 PENALTY JMU Pass Interference (#2 E.Culp) 15 yards from TROY34 to TROY49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+20
90.3%
(05:06) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short middle to #18 D.Epps caught at JMU32, for 20 yards to the JMU31 (#2 E.Culp), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
89.7%
(04:26) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete short right to #18 D.Epps thrown to JMU18 QB hurried by #56 D.SpinogattiSimilar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
89.7%
(04:21) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete short left to #1 L.Medina thrown to JMU30 broken up by #7 J.ThomasSimilar
Q2 3:59
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+11
90.3%
(04:17) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short left to #18 D.Epps caught at JMU20, for 11 yards to the JMU20 (#2 E.Culp), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
89.6%
(03:34) Shotgun #22 T.Meadows rush middle for 1 yard gain to the JMU19 (#33 A.Taddeo; #15 S.West)Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+14
89.5%
(03:12) #9 G.Crowder pass complete short middle to #14 E.Conner caught at JMU05, for 14 yards to the JMU05, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
89.6%
(02:51) #7 R.Thomas rush left for 3 yards gain to the JMU02 (#13 T.Brown; #5 T.Hendrick), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 2:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
83.6%
(02:14) #22 T.Meadows rush middle for 2 yards gain to the JMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:12 #40 S.Renfroe kick attempt good (H: #28 E.Crenshaw, LS: #87 C.Walls) #40 S.Renfroe kick attempt good (H: #28 E.Crenshaw, LS: #87 C.Walls) PENALTY #40 S.Renfroe kick attempt good (H: #28 E.Crenshaw, LS: #87 C.Walls) PENALTY JMU Holding declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 16PUNT6 plays · 7 yds · 0:5086% → 85%
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
86.1%
(02:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush right for 0 yards to the JMU35 (#5 K.Levine; #14 D.Daniel-Sisavanh)Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
85.2%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short right to #0 J.Sanchez caught at JMU39, for 7 yards to the JMU42 (#6 J.Powe)Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
85.6%
(01:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass incomplete short right to #0 J.Sanchez thrown to JMU47Similar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
84.5%
(01:19) #11 P.Rea punt 34 yards to the TROY24 PENALTY JMU Kick Catch Interference (#29 K.Willis) 15 yards from TROY24 to TROY39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 17PUNT10 plays · -2 yds · 0:3016% → 14%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
84.1%
(01:08) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short right to #8 T.Taylor caught at TROY37, for 2 yards loss to the TROY37 (#2 E.Culp)Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 12
OWN 37
0
84.9%
(01:04) #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete short left to #2 P.Higgins thrown to TROY45Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 12
OWN 37
0
85.4%
(01:00) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete deep right to #7 R.Thomas thrown to JMU35, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY JMU Pass Interference (#2 E.Culp) 15 yards from TROY37 to JMU48, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
82.7%
(00:55) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete short right to #14 E.Conner thrown to JMU48Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
83.0%
(00:51) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete short left to #18 D.Epps thrown to JMU30 broken up by #32 D.BarksdaleSimilar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+15
83.7%
PENALTY TROY UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#0 R.Mothershed) 15 yards from JMU48 to TROY37. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 25
OWN 37
-3
85.3%
(00:46) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder sacked for loss of 5 yards to the TROY32 (#15 S.West, #9 X.Holmes) PENALTY TROY Holding declinedSimilar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 30
OWN 32
0
85.9%
(00:40) #28 E.Crenshaw punt 38 yards to the JMU30 fair catch by #3 W.Knight at JMU30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 18END OF HALF5 plays · 8 yds · 0:1085% → 85%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
85.1%
(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short left to #11 N.DeGennaro caught at JMU40, for 10 yards to the JMU40 (#8 J.White), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
86.1%
(00:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass incomplete short middle to #18 L.Kyle thrown to TROY47Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
85.5%
(00:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass incomplete short right to #18 L.Kyle thrown to JMU45 broken up by #7 J.StringerSimilar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 10
OWN 40
-2
84.7%
(00:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III sacked for loss of 2 yards to the JMU38 (#22 D.Smith)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 19PUNT9 plays · 14 yds · 4:4385% → 82%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
84.5%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III rush right for 11 yards gain to the JMU36 (#6 J.Powe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
85.4%
(14:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III rush middle for 4 yards gain to the JMU40 (#6 J.Powe)Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
85.7%
(13:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush middle for 5 yards gain to the JMU45 (#6 J.Powe)Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+5
85.1%
(13:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush middle for 5 yards gain to the JMU50 (#7 J.Stringer), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
50
+1
85.4%
(12:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TROY49 (#14 D.Daniel-Sisavanh)Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-3
85.1%
(11:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III sacked for loss of 6 yards to the JMU45 (#11 E.Davis, #99 J.Peterson)Similar
Q3 10:50
3RD & 15
OWN 45
-6
82.6%
(11:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III sacked for loss of 6 yards to the JMU39 (#98 J.Fils-Aime)Similar
Q3 10:09
4TH & 21
OWN 39
+2
81.5%
(10:17) #11 P.Rea punt 33 yards to the TROY28 #2 P.Higgins return 2 yards to the TROY30 (#29 K.Willis)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 20PUNT6 plays · 28 yds · 1:4218% → 19%
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
81.8%
(10:08) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short right to #18 D.Epps caught at TROY39, for 9 yards to the TROY39, End Of Play PENALTY TROY Pass Interference (#18 D.Epps) 15 yards from TROY30 to TROY15. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 25
OWN 15
+43
82.1%
(09:45) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete deep left to #7 R.Thomas caught at TROY48, for 43 yards to the JMU42 (#2 E.Culp), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
79.3%
(09:24) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete short right to #7 R.Thomas thrown to JMU40Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
79.2%
(09:21) Shotgun #2 P.Higgins rush middle for 0 yards to the JMU42 (#5 T.Hendrick; #56 D.Spinogatti)Similar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
79.7%
(08:41) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete short right to #18 D.Epps thrown to JMU25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 21INT8 plays · 26 yds · 3:0882% → 81%
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
82.2%
(08:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush left for 8 yards gain to the JMU25 (#8 J.White)Similar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+6
82.3%
(07:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush middle for 6 yards gain to the JMU31 (#6 J.Powe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
82.0%
(07:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass incomplete short left to #13 L.Ellis thrown to JMU37 QB hurried by #93 K.CurrySimilar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+9
81.7%
(07:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III rush middle for 9 yards gain to the JMU40 (#44 L.Hodge)Similar
Q3 6:38
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+3
82.3%
(06:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 J.Malary rush middle for 3 yards gain to the JMU43 (#44 L.Hodge), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
82.7%
(06:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass incomplete short right to #0 J.Sanchez thrown to JMU50Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
82.1%
(05:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush middle for 0 yards to the JMU43 (#8 J.White; #22 D.Smith)Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 10
OWN 43
-20
80.6%
(05:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass intercepted by #8 J.White at JMU48 broken up by #22 D.Smith #8 J.White return 20 yards to the JMU28 (#52 C.Sweazie)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 22MISSED FG4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4125% → 21%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
75.3%
(05:10) #22 T.Meadows rush middle for 0 yards to the JMU28 (#3 G.Weathersby; #97 A.Gobaira)Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
74.9%
(04:37) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete short middle to #89 T.Swartz thrown to JMU25 QB hurried by #56 D.SpinogattiSimilar
Q3 4:29
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
76.2%
(04:33) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete deep right to #7 R.Thomas thrown to JMU05Similar
Q3 4:24
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+46
79.2%
(04:28) #40 S.Renfroe field goal attempt from 46 yards NO GOOD (H: #28 E.Crenshaw, LS: #87 C.Walls), clock 04:24, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 23FUMBLE3 plays · 25 yds · 1:1380% → 81%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
80.1%
(04:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush left for 13 yards gain to the JMU41 (#15 T.Robbins; #3 D.Lafayette), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
81.3%
(03:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush middle for 3 yards gain to the JMU44 (#0 J.Williams; #93 K.Curry)Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+9
81.3%
(03:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short left to #13 L.Ellis caught at JMU49, for 9 yards to the TROY47 fumbled by #13 L.Ellis at TROY47 forced by #6 J.Powe recovered by TROY #6 J.Powe at TROY47, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 24PUNT4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2624% → 22%
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-7
76.5%
(03:02) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder sacked for loss of 7 yards to the TROY40 (#15 S.West)Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 17
OWN 40
+12
78.9%
(02:24) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass complete short right to #18 D.Epps caught at JMU48, for 12 yards to the JMU48 (#13 T.Brown), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 1:38
3RD & 5
OPP 48
0
75.4%
(01:41) Shotgun #9 G.Crowder pass incomplete deep right to #8 T.Taylor thrown to JMU25 broken up by #13 T.Brown QB hurried by #56 D.SpinogattiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 25DOWNS11 plays · 54 yds · 4:1778% → 79%
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+21
78.3%
(01:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III rush left for 21 yards gain to the JMU41 (#14 D.Daniel-Sisavanh), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
79.8%
(00:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short middle to #11 N.DeGennaro caught at TROY45, for 14 yards to the TROY45 (#14 D.Daniel-Sisavanh), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
80.8%
(00:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III rush left for 1 yard gain to the TROY44 (#7 J.Stringer)Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+1
80.4%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TROY43 (#44 L.Hodge; #93 K.Curry)Similar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+4
82.0%
(14:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TROY39 (#93 K.Curry)Similar
Q4 13:31
4TH & 4
OPP 39
+5
80.3%
(13:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short left to #10 B.Wisloski caught at TROY34, for 5 yards to the TROY34 (#6 J.Powe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
83.2%
(13:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass incomplete short right to #3 W.Knight thrown to TROY30Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+1
83.1%
(12:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 J.Malary rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TROY33 (#93 K.Curry)Similar
Q4 12:10
3RD & 9
OPP 33
0
81.5%
(12:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass incomplete short middle to #10 B.Wisloski thrown to TROY20Similar
Q4 12:04
4TH & 9
OPP 33
+7
79.0%
(12:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III pass complete short middle to #6 G.Pettaway caught at TROY26, for 7 yards to the TROY26, End Of Play, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 26PUNT10 plays · 19 yds · 5:2223% → 26%
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
76.8%
(12:03) Shotgun #1 J.Lovett rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TROY33 (#93 M.McMullin)Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+2
74.0%
(11:26) Shotgun #10 T.Kilcrease rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TROY35 (#5 T.Hendrick; #56 D.Spinogatti)Similar
Q4 10:36
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+2
74.1%
(10:41) Shotgun #22 T.Meadows rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TROY37 (#2 E.Culp), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
74.0%
PENALTY TROY False Start (#74 T.Townsend) 5 yards from TROY37 to TROY32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 9:32
1ST & 15
OWN 32
0
75.1%
(09:43) Shotgun #8 T.Taylor rush right for 0 yards to the TROY32 (#56 D.Spinogatti; #2 E.Culp)Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+10
75.2%
(09:02) Shotgun #10 T.Kilcrease pass complete short right to #22 T.Meadows caught at TROY32, for 1 yard to the TROY33 (#5 T.Hendrick) PENALTY JMU Holding (#2 E.Culp) 10 yards from TROY32 to TROY42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
71.9%
(08:45) Shotgun #10 T.Kilcrease rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TROY45 (#5 T.Hendrick)Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 7
OWN 45
-1
69.8%
(08:05) Shotgun #10 T.Kilcrease rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TROY44 (#8 A.Thomas; #15 S.West)Similar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+1
71.2%
(07:21) Shotgun #10 T.Kilcrease rush right for 1 yard gain to the TROY45 (#13 T.Brown), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 27TD5 plays · 83 yds · 2:1978% → 94%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
78.2%
(06:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III rush middle for 7 yards gain to the JMU24 (#14 D.Daniel-Sisavanh)Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+7
78.2%
(05:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush right for 7 yards gain to the JMU31 (#7 J.Stringer; #6 J.Powe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
78.3%
(05:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush middle for 3 yards gain to the JMU34 (#6 J.Powe; #2 S.Cattledge)Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+40
78.9%
(04:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 W.Knight rush left for 40 yards gain to the TROY26 (#3 D.Lafayette), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
94.1%
(04:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III rush middle for 26 yards gain to the TROY00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:11, 1ST DOWN #5 M.Suarez kick attempt good (H: #11 P.Rea, LS: #47 J.Kennard)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 28FUMBLE TD5 plays · -65 yds · 0:418% → 2%
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
92.1%
(04:01) Shotgun #10 T.Kilcrease pass incomplete short middle to #18 D.Epps thrown to JMU45Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-5
92.4%
(03:58) Shotgun #10 T.Kilcrease sacked for loss of 9 yards to the TROY32 (#15 S.West, #8 A.Thomas)Similar
Q4 3:26
3RD & 19
OWN 32
0
94.4%
(03:29) Shotgun #10 T.Kilcrease pass incomplete short right to #18 D.Epps thrown to TROY45 broken up by #30 J.EaglinSimilar
Q4 3:17
4TH & 19
OWN 32
+22
98.3%
(03:24) Shotgun #10 T.Kilcrease sacked for loss of 10 yards to the TROY22 (#15 S.West), fumble by #10 T.Kilcrease recovered by JMU #56 D.Spinogatti at TROY22 #56 D.Spinogatti return 22 yards to the TROY00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:17 #5 M.Suarez kick attempt good (H: #11 P.Rea, LS: #47 J.Kennard)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 29DOWNS6 plays · 2 yds · 1:092% → 2%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.2%
(03:15) Shotgun #10 T.Kilcrease pass complete short right to #18 D.Epps caught at TROY32, for 7 yards to the TROY32 (#1 M.Rodgers; #21 C.Harris-Lopez)Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-5
98.1%
(02:38) Shotgun #10 T.Kilcrease sacked for loss of 5 yards to the TROY27 (#9 X.Holmes)Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
98.3%
(01:58) Shotgun #10 T.Kilcrease pass incomplete short left to #2 P.Higgins thrown to TROY36 broken up by #32 D.BarksdaleSimilar
Q4 1:49
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
98.3%
(01:53) Shotgun #10 T.Kilcrease pass incomplete short middle to #2 P.Higgins thrown to TROY45, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 30END OF HALF5 plays · 11 yds · 1:1599% → 99%
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:11
(04:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Barnett III rush middle for 26 yards gain to the TROY00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:11, 1ST DOWN #5 M.Suarez kick attempt good (H: #11 P.Rea, LS: #47 J.Kennard)
+15.2
TD · Q2 2:12
(02:14) #22 T.Meadows rush middle for 2 yards gain to the JMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:12 #40 S.Renfroe kick attempt good (H: #28 E.Crenshaw, LS: #87 C.Walls) #40 S.Renfroe kick attempt good (H: #28 E.Crenshaw, LS: #87 C.Walls) PENALTY #40 S.Renfroe kick attempt good (H: #28 E.Crenshaw, LS: #87 C.Walls) PENALTY JMU Holding declined
-6
KEY PLAY · Q3 5:05
(05:10) #22 T.Meadows rush middle for 0 yards to the JMU28 (#3 G.Weathersby; #97 A.Gobaira)
-5.4