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2025 · Week 15 · Dec 5, 2025 · AmFirst Stadium
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Win probability · JXST
modelJXST aheadKENN aheadconfidence bandkey playJXST scoreKENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGSAFETYTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:19 · (09:32) #87 C.Donaghy punt 42 yards to the KSU16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 16Home team on offense+0.2Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Pregame prior−2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:03: (13:08) Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Jax St00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:03 #27 B.Williams kick attempt good (H: #91 J.Huiet, LS: #43 B.Blanton) — KENN win probability +5.6 pts (now 58%) (top driver: KENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:20: (10:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush left for 1 yard gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:20 #37 G.Rippa kick attempt good (H: #8 C.Cunningham, LS: #50 C.Marszalek) — JXST win probability +7.7 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:26: Timeout Kennesaw State, clock 07:26 — KENN win probability +13.9 pts (now 77%) (top driver: KENN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:04: (04:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush middle for 19 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:04, 1ST DOWN #11 D.Johnson pass attempt Successful — JXST win probability +47.0 pts (now 85%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:51: (00:56) Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short right to #7 N.Dean caught at Jax St00, for 11 yards to the Jax St00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:51, 1ST DOWN #27 B.Williams kick attempt good (H: #91 J.Huiet, LS: #43 B.Blanton) — KENN win probability +77.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: KENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
JXST made the numbers' call on 6 of 8KENN made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 13:41JXST 4th & 11 at JXST 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:17KENN 4th & 8 at KENN 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:19JXST 4th & 3 at JXST 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:47KENN 4th & 1 at KENN 25, tied
    Close callPunted · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.5%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:43JXST 4th & 1 at KENN 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    48.7%−0.5
    74% to make
    Punt
    47.1%−2.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:49JXST 4th & 1 at KENN 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    39.2%−2.7
    89% to make
    Punt
    32.6%−9.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:16JXST 4th & 3 at JXST 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−2.0
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:57KENN 4th & 3 at JXST 20, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.1%−0.8
    75% to make
    Punt
    58.1%−8.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:31JXST 4th & 10 at KENN 18, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−1.6
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    17.3%−8.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:56KENN 4th & 2 at JXST 2, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    74.1%−2.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    66.0%−10.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:20KENN 4th & 18 at KENN 17, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%−8.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:14JXST 4th & 2 at JXST 49, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    27.5%−5.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:55KENN 4th & 1 at JXST 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    25.2%−3.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    14.9%−13.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:55KENN 4th & 14 at JXST 37, down 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 8.9 ptsWent for it · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.9%−8.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    21.8%
    40% to make
    Punt
    9.1%−12.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:21JXST 4th & 20 at JXST 15, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.9%−1.0
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JXST made the numbers' call on 0 of 1KENN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 13:03KENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 4:04JXST Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 2.2 ptsWent for two · converted
    Kick
    67.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    64.8%−2.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 0:51KENN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.2%−1.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
JXSTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:1147% → 48%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
47.3%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Jax St29 (#44 B.Hopson)Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
47.4%
(14:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush middle for 5 yards loss to the Jax St24 (#3 A.Stevens)Similar
Q1 13:52
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
47.5%
(13:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass incomplete deep right to #11 D.Johnson thrown to KSU40Similar
Q1 13:41
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
47.5%
(13:50) #87 C.Donaghy punt 47 yards to the KSU29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:1852% → 52%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
47.6%
(13:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush middle for 7 yards gain to the KSU36 (#43 T.Woods)Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+8
47.6%
(13:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short right to #0 C.Bennett caught at KSU37, for 8 yards to the KSU44 (#10 R.Rainer), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
47.6%
(12:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush middle for 1 yard loss to the KSU43 (#92 T.Carter)Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+3
47.8%
(12:08) Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU46 (#40 W.O'Steen)Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 8
OWN 46
0
47.9%
(11:30) Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete short right thrown to Jax St48 QB hurried by #59 M.SandersSimilar
Q1 11:17
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
48.2%
(11:19) #91 J.Huiet punt 31 yards to the Jax St23 fair catch by #1 C.Nix at Jax St23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:4748% → 49%
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
48.2%
(11:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short left to #11 D.Johnson caught at Jax St33, for 12 yards to the Jax St35 (#29 M.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
48.4%
(10:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short right to #9 C.Coombs caught at Jax St30, for 0 yards to the Jax St35 (#9 I.Paul; #44 B.Hopson)Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
48.4%
(10:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush left for 7 yards gain to the Jax St42 (#29 M.Jones)Similar
Q1 9:32
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
48.9%
(09:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass incomplete short right to #9 C.Coombs thrown to KSU40 broken up by #1 J.Washington Jr.Similar
Q1 9:19
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
48.5%
(09:32) #87 C.Donaghy punt 42 yards to the KSU16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2552% → 51%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
48.5%
(09:18) Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush middle for 1 yard loss to the KSU15 (#91 G.Stansbury)Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 11
OWN 15
0
48.5%
(08:43) Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete short middle to #17 G.Bullock Jr. thrown to KSU20Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 11
OWN 15
+10
48.9%
(08:38) Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short right to #18 C.Coppock caught at KSU25, for 10 yards to the KSU25 (#59 M.Sanders)Similar
Q1 7:47
4TH & 1
OWN 25
0
49.0%
(07:49) #91 J.Huiet punt 45 yards to the Jax St30 fair catch by #1 C.Nix at Jax St30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 5INT
10 plays · 61 yds · 5:0349% → 52%
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
48.8%
(07:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush right for 7 yards gain to the Jax St37 (#46 T.Christopher)Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+9
49.4%
(07:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Jax St46 (#1 J.Washington Jr.; #46 T.Christopher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+24
49.8%
(06:47) Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete deep left to #11 D.Johnson caught at KSU30, for 24 yards to the KSU30, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
50.3%
(06:18) Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short right to #22 K.Lando caught at KSU32, for 2 yards to the KSU28 (#44 B.Hopson)Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 8
OPP 28
-1
50.5%
(05:47) Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush left for 1 yard loss to the KSU29 (#96 J.Grimes)Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+8
50.3%
(05:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short middle to #4 C.Cook caught at KSU21, for 8 yards to the KSU21, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 4:43
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+5
49.9%
(04:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush middle for 5 yards gain to the KSU16 (#44 B.Hopson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+10
51.1%
(04:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush right for 10 yards gain to the KSU06, out of bounds at KSU06, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
51.3%
(03:24) Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush middle for 3 yards loss to the KSU09 (#5 T.Dunlap)Similar
Q1 2:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
51.7%
(02:41) Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass intercepted by #29 M.Jones at KSU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 6TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 4:2651% → 58%
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
49.1%
(02:36) Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short left to #0 C.Bennett caught at KSU18, for 8 yards to the KSU28 (#3 T.Fegans), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+3
48.6%
(02:17) Shotgun #2 A.Odom rush right for 3 yards gain to the KSU31, out of bounds at KSU31, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
49.0%
(01:55) Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short right to #17 G.Bullock Jr. caught at KSU38, for 11 yards to the KSU42 (#40 W.O'Steen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
48.3%
(01:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush middle for 7 yards gain to the KSU49 (#59 M.Sanders)Similar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+15
47.9%
(01:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short right to #6 C.Moss caught at Jax St42, for 15 yards to the Jax St36 (#40 W.O'Steen), 1ST DOWN. #40 W.O'Steen injured on the playSimilar
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
47.9%
(00:31) Shotgun #4 C.Belcher rush left for 1 yard gain to the Jax St35 (#99 E.Oyebadejo; #92 T.Carter)Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
47.5%
(15:00) Shotgun #1 G.Benyard rush right for 0 yards to the Jax St35 (#59 M.Sanders; #40 W.O'Steen)Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+14
48.2%
(14:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom rush middle for 14 yards gain to the Jax St21, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
47.3%
(14:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete deep middle to #6 C.Moss thrown to Jax St00, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Jax St Pass Interference (#3 T.Fegans) 15 yards from Jax St21 to Jax St06, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 13:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
47.3%
(14:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Jax St05 (#40 W.O'Steen)Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
47.3%
(13:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Jax St03 (#91 G.Stansbury)Similar
Q2 13:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
42.1%
(13:08) Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Jax St00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:03 #27 B.Williams kick attempt good (H: #91 J.Huiet, LS: #43 B.Blanton)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 7DOWNS
14 plays · 58 yds · 6:0145% → 44%
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
44.5%
(12:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush left for 1 yard gain to the Jax St30 (#44 B.Hopson)Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+13
44.4%
(12:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short right to #4 C.Cook caught at Jax St29, for 13 yards to the Jax St43 (#8 R.Daniels), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
45.2%
(11:57) PENALTY Jax St False Start (#1 M.Pettway) 5 yards from Jax St43 to Jax St38. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 15
OWN 38
0
44.2%
(11:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short left to #4 C.Cook caught at Jax St36, for 0 yards to the Jax St38 (#9 I.Paul)Similar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 15
OWN 38
-10
44.1%
(11:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel sacked for loss of 10 yards to the Jax St28 (#56 E.Hill)Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 25
OWN 28
+34
42.8%
(10:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush middle for 34 yards gain to the KSU38 (#12 K.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
45.5%
(09:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass incomplete short middle to #11 D.Johnson thrown to KSU32 broken up by #12 K.Jones PENALTY KSU Pass Interference (#12 K.Jones) 6 yards from KSU38 to KSU32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
46.6%
(09:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 A.Paul rush middle for 8 yards gain to the KSU24 (#46 T.Christopher)Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+6
46.6%
(09:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short left to #11 D.Johnson caught at KSU25, for 6 yards to the KSU18 QB hurried by #44 B.Hopson (#6 M.Patterson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
46.6%
(08:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU15 (#46 T.Christopher)Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+5
45.6%
(07:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush middle for 5 yards gain to the KSU10 (#6 M.Patterson)Similar
Q2 7:08
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+1
44.3%
(07:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KSU09 (#44 B.Hopson)Similar
Q2 6:49
4TH & 1
OPP 9
-4
43.5%
(06:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush middle for 4 yards loss to the KSU13 (#2 C.Offord), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 8PUNT
13 plays · 38 yds · 4:5359% → 63%
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
41.1%
(06:49) Shotgun #2 A.Odom rush middle for 0 yards to the KSU13 (#96 D.Prater; #91 G.Stansbury)Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+7
41.1%
(06:16) Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short right to #18 C.Coppock caught at KSU18, for 7 yards to the KSU20 (#3 T.Fegans)Similar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+5
41.2%
(05:48) PENALTY KSU False Start (#76 N.Milovac) 5 yards from KSU20 to KSU15. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 8
OWN 15
+18
41.4%
(05:25) Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short left to #9 D.Bryson caught at KSU28, for 18 yards to the KSU33 (#1 C.Nix), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+21
39.6%
(05:06) Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete deep middle to #1 G.Benyard caught at Jax St46, for 21 yards to the Jax St46 (#3 T.Fegans), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
37.8%
(04:45) Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short left to #9 D.Bryson caught at Jax St40, for 6 yards to the Jax St40 (#40 W.O'Steen)Similar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+12
37.6%
(04:23) Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush middle for 12 yards gain to the Jax St28 (#40 W.O'Steen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-4
37.3%
(04:04) Shotgun #2 A.Odom sacked for loss of 4 yards to the Jax St32 (#96 D.Prater)Similar
Q2 2:58
2ND & 14
OPP 32
-13
36.5%
(03:21) Shotgun #2 A.Odom sacked for loss of 13 yards to the Jax St45 (#12 M.Jones), fumble by #2 A.Odom recovered by KSU #2 A.Odom at Jax St45, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 2:19
3RD & 27
OPP 45
-4
36.1%
(02:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom rush middle for 4 yards loss to the Jax St49 (#7 I.Walker)Similar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 31
OPP 49
0
36.7%
(01:59) #91 J.Huiet punt 44 yards to the Jax St05Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:2539% → 38%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
38.6%
(01:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Jax St06 (#29 M.Jones)Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+1
38.4%
(01:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush left for 1 yard gain to the Jax St07 (#9 I.Paul)Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 8
OWN 7
+5
37.6%
(01:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Jax St12 (#29 M.Jones)Similar
Q2 0:16
4TH & 3
OWN 12
0
37.7%
(00:20) #87 C.Donaghy punt 36 yards to the Jax St48, out of bounds at Jax St48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 10END OF HALF
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:0966% → 67%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
33.6%
(00:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete deep left to #1 G.Benyard thrown to Jax St24 broken up by #43 T.Woods PENALTY Jax St Targeting (#43 T.Woods) 15 yards from Jax St48 to Jax St33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. The previous play is under automatic review - "Targeting". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
32.8%
(00:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete short left to #9 D.Bryson thrown to Jax St25 broken up by #31 M.WoodsSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-3
32.9%
(00:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom sacked for loss of 3 yards to the Jax St36 (#92 T.Carter) PENALTY KSU Intentional Grounding (#2 A.Odom)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 11FG
12 plays · 55 yds · 4:5764% → 69%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
36.1%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KSU26 (#99 E.Oyebadejo; #54 K.Bendolph)Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
36.1%
(14:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short right to #6 C.Moss caught at KSU30, for 15 yards to the KSU41 (#3 T.Fegans), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
33.8%
(14:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom rush right for 6 yards gain to the KSU47 (#96 D.Prater; #54 K.Bendolph)Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+3
33.6%
(13:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU50 (#92 T.Carter)Similar
Q3 13:08
3RD & 1
50
+9
33.3%
(13:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush left for 9 yards gain to the Jax St41 (#12 M.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
32.9%
(12:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short right to #0 C.Bennett caught at Jax St40, for 9 yards to the Jax St32 (#99 E.Oyebadejo; #59 M.Sanders)Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+5
32.3%
(12:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short right to #0 C.Bennett caught at Jax St34, for 5 yards to the Jax St27 (#31 M.Woods), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
31.8%
(11:52) Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short middle to #15 J.Rogers caught at Jax St25, for 3 yards to the Jax St24 (#40 W.O'Steen)Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 7
OPP 24
-6
31.7%
(11:27) Shotgun #9 D.Bryson rush right for 6 yards loss to the Jax St30 (#91 G.Stansbury)Similar
Q3 10:36
3RD & 13
OPP 30
+10
32.9%
(10:44) Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short left to #4 C.Belcher caught at Jax St35, for 10 yards to the Jax St20 (#1 C.Nix), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 9:57
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+38
30.9%
(09:59) #27 B.Williams field goal attempt from 38 yards GOOD (H: #91 J.Huiet, LS: #43 B.Blanton), clock 09:57Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 12MISSED FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 5:1730% → 35%
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
30.3%
(09:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short right to #1 M.Pettway caught at Jax St24, for 9 yards to the Jax St34 (#97 A.Watkins)Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
31.3%
(09:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush left for 4 yards gain to the Jax St38 (#97 A.Watkins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
30.9%
(08:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush left for 1 yard loss to the Jax St37 fumbled by #12 C.Creel at Jax St38 forced by #5 T.Dunlap recovered by Jax St #12 C.Creel at Jax St37, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+17
30.0%
(08:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short middle to #11 D.Johnson caught at Jax St50, for 17 yards to the KSU46 (#2 C.Offord), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+17
32.2%
(07:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush right for 17 yards gain to the KSU29 (#2 C.Offord; #14 D.Westmoreland), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
33.5%
(06:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short left to #1 M.Pettway caught at KSU30, for 3 yards to the KSU26 (#9 I.Paul)Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+8
31.7%
(06:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush middle for 8 yards gain to the KSU18 (#39 E.Leiataua), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
31.5%
(05:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass incomplete short right to #11 D.Johnson thrown to KSU10 PENALTY Jax St Holding (#13 P.Baldwin) 10 yards from KSU18 to KSU28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 5:19
1ST & 20
OPP 28
+10
30.7%
(05:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush middle for 10 yards gain to the KSU18 (#5 T.Dunlap)Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
30.9%
(04:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass incomplete short right to #11 D.Johnson thrown to KSU10 broken up by #2 C.OffordSimilar
Q3 4:37
3RD & 10
OPP 18
0
29.0%
(04:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass incomplete short right to #13 P.Baldwin thrown to KSU10 QB hurried by #46 T.ChristopherSimilar
Q3 4:31
4TH & 10
OPP 18
+35
35.2%
(04:33) #37 G.Rippa field goal attempt from 35 yards NO GOOD (H: #29 C.Backe, LS: #50 C.Marszalek), clock 04:31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 13DOWNS
14 plays · 79 yds · 6:2869% → 76%
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
31.2%
(04:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush middle for 20 yards gain to the KSU40 (#12 M.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
28.6%
(04:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short right to #18 C.Coppock caught at KSU38, for 4 yards to the KSU44 (#3 T.Fegans), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+2
27.7%
(03:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short left to #0 C.Bennett caught at KSU38, for 2 yards to the KSU46 (#1 C.Nix)Similar
Q3 2:57
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+5
27.9%
(03:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short middle to #6 C.Moss caught at KSU50, for 5 yards to the Jax St49 (#40 W.O'Steen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
26.7%
(02:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush middle for 1 yard loss to the Jax St50 (#13 J.Cruz)Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 11
50
+2
26.7%
(01:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short right to #4 C.Belcher caught at KSU47, for 2 yards to the Jax St48 (#59 M.Sanders), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 1:12
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+14
26.7%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short left to #6 C.Moss caught at Jax St40, for 14 yards to the Jax St34 (#2 T.Franklin, Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
25.4%
(00:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short left to #7 N.Dean caught at Jax St29, for 8 yards to the Jax St26 (#40 W.O'Steen)Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+17
24.2%
(15:00) Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush left for 17 yards gain to the Jax St09 (#3 T.Fegans), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
22.2%
(14:39) Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short left to #0 C.Bennett caught at Jax St09, for 4 yards to the Jax St05 (#59 M.Sanders; #92 T.Carter)Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
21.8%
(14:12) Shotgun #2 A.Odom rush left for 1 yard loss to the Jax St06 (#53 I.Mitchell)Similar
Q4 13:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
22.2%
(13:34) Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Jax St02 (#96 D.Prater)Similar
Q4 12:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
24.3%
(12:56) Shotgun #2 A.Odom rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Jax St01 (#59 M.Sanders; #49 T.Gallagher), TURNOVER ON DOWNS. The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the goal line". CALL UPHELDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 14SF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0729% → 29%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
28.8%
PENALTY Jax St False Start (#54 A.Grayson). NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
28.5%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 15TD
7 plays · 48 yds · 1:5534% → 44%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
34.3%
(12:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush left for 12 yards gain to the KSU36 (#5 T.Dunlap), 1ST DOWN. #44 B.Hopson injured on the playSimilar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
34.4%
(12:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass complete short right to #4 C.Cook caught at KSU35, for 2 yards to the KSU34 (#12 K.Jones), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
36.3%
(11:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass incomplete short right to #13 P.Baldwin thrown to KSU21Similar
Q4 11:23
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+12
33.9%
(11:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush left for 12 yards gain to the KSU22 (#9 I.Paul), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
36.2%
(11:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 G.Wimsatt rush right for 9 yards gain to the KSU13 (#1 J.Washington Jr.). #9 I.Paul injured on the playSimilar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+12
36.1%
(10:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush middle for 12 yards gain to the KSU01 (#4 A.Ford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.7%
(10:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush left for 1 yard gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:20 #37 G.Rippa kick attempt good (H: #8 C.Cunningham, LS: #50 C.Marszalek)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:5271% → 69%
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
29.1%
(10:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush middle for 2 yards loss to the KSU23 (#49 T.Gallagher; #92 T.Carter)Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+3
28.6%
(09:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short middle to #9 D.Bryson caught at KSU25, for 3 yards to the KSU26 (#49 T.Gallagher)Similar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-5
29.4%
(09:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom sacked for loss of 9 yards to the KSU17 (#40 W.O'Steen, #59 M.Sanders)Similar
Q4 8:20
4TH & 18
OWN 17
-2
31.2%
(08:24) #91 J.Huiet punt 40 yards to the Jax St43 #1 C.Nix return for loss of 2 yards to the Jax St41 (#11 L.Ravare)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 17TD
11 plays · 59 yds · 4:0840% → 85%
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
39.5%
(08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Jax St46 (#2 C.Offord)Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+3
37.3%
(08:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 J.Savage rush left for 3 yards gain to the Jax St49 (#46 T.Christopher)Similar
Q4 7:26
3RD & 2
OWN 49
0
36.6%
(07:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 J.Savage pass incomplete deep right to #3 B.Rechsteiner thrown to KSU15 broken up by #1 J.Washington Jr.Similar
Q4 7:14
4TH & 2
OWN 49
+7
36.1%
(07:17) No Huddle #12 C.Creel rush right for 7 yards gain to the KSU44 (#46 T.Christopher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
37.8%
(06:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush right for 3 yards gain to the KSU41 (#46 T.Christopher)Similar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+4
36.7%
(06:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush right for 4 yards gain to the KSU37 (#2 C.Offord), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 5:09
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+13
35.0%
(05:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush middle for 13 yards gain to the KSU24 (#29 M.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
38.2%
(04:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.Cook rush middle for 5 yards gain to the KSU19 (#96 J.Grimes)Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+19
85.2%
(04:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush middle for 19 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:04, 1ST DOWN #11 D.Johnson pass attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENNDrive 18TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 3:0631% → 95%
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.1%
(04:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete short right to #0 C.Bennett thrown to KSU27Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
69.6%
(03:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete deep left to #9 D.Bryson thrown to Jax St45 PENALTY Jax St Pass Interference (#12 M.Jones) 15 yards from KSU25 to KSU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
65.6%
(03:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short left to #9 D.Bryson caught at KSU50, for 15 yards to the Jax St45 (#12 M.Jones; #3 T.Fegans), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
62.3%
(03:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete short right to #6 C.Moss thrown to Jax St40 broken up by #10 R.Rainer PENALTY KSU Chop Block (#65 J.Pennington) 15 yards from Jax St45 to KSU40. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 25
OWN 40
-2
69.3%
(03:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush left for 2 yards loss to the KSU38 (#92 T.Carter; #96 D.Prater)Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 27
OWN 38
0
74.0%
(02:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete short right to #18 C.Coppock thrown to KSU48 broken up by #2 T.Franklin, Jr.Similar
Q4 2:16
3RD & 27
OWN 38
+26
75.1%
(02:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete deep middle to #6 C.Moss caught at Jax St42, for 26 yards to the Jax St36 (#2 T.Franklin, Jr.)Similar
Q4 1:55
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+3
68.9%
(02:00) Shotgun #0 C.Bennett rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Jax St33 (#96 D.Prater; #59 M.Sanders), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
66.0%
(01:33) Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short middle to #0 C.Bennett caught at Jax St29, for 6 yards to the Jax St27 (#59 M.Sanders)Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 4
OPP 27
-10
64.5%
(01:06) Shotgun #2 A.Odom sacked for loss of 10 yards to the Jax St37 (#59 M.Sanders). The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was down by contact". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (01:06) Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete short right thrown to Jax St35 QB hurried by #59 M.Sanders PENALTY KSU Intentional Grounding (#2 A.Odom). NO PLAY)Similar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 14
OPP 37
0
78.5%
(01:07) Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass incomplete short right to #18 C.Coppock thrown to Jax St30 broken up by #1 C.NixSimilar
Q4 0:55
4TH & 14
OPP 37
+14
82.3%
(01:03) Shotgun #2 A.Odom rush left for 14 yards gain to the Jax St23 (#31 M.Woods), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Jax St Personal Foul (#92 T.Carter) 12 yards from Jax St23 to Jax St11, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
4.9%
(00:56) Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short right to #7 N.Dean caught at Jax St00, for 11 yards to the Jax St00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:51, 1ST DOWN #27 B.Williams kick attempt good (H: #91 J.Huiet, LS: #43 B.Blanton)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · -10 yds · 0:2520% → 13%
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
20.4%
(00:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass incomplete short left to #11 D.Johnson thrown to Jax St35Similar
Q4 0:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
16.4%
(00:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel sacked for loss of 10 yards to the Jax St15 (#56 E.Hill)Similar
Q4 0:34
3RD & 20
OWN 15
0
14.8%
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass incomplete deep right to #11 D.Johnson thrown to Jax St40Similar
Q4 0:21
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
13.1%
(00:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel pass incomplete deep left to #9 C.Coombs thrown to Jax St45, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:51
(00:56) Shotgun #2 A.Odom pass complete short right to #7 N.Dean caught at Jax St00, for 11 yards to the Jax St00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:51, 1ST DOWN #27 B.Williams kick attempt good (H: #91 J.Huiet, LS: #43 B.Blanton)
-77.4
TD · Q4 4:04
(04:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 C.Creel rush middle for 19 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:04, 1ST DOWN #11 D.Johnson pass attempt Successful
+47
KEY PLAY · Q4 7:26
Timeout Kennesaw State, clock 07:26
-13.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com