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MISS

Ole Miss 39 at Georgia 34

UGA
2025 · College Football Playoff Quarterfinal at the Allstate Sugar Bowl · Jan 1, 2026 · Caesars Superdome
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadMISS aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreMISS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDFUMBLETDFGTDTDTDFGFGSAFETYEnd of GameFG-1.7UGA 64.4%Lucas Carneiro 56 yd FG GOODAWAY 6 - HOME 0 · Q1 2:13
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:13 · Lucas Carneiro 56 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 39Pregame prior+16.2Home team on offense−2.6Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 4:51: Kewan Lacy run for 7 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK) — MISS win probability +18.4 pts (now 41%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 11:29: Kewan Lacy 5 Yd Run (Trinidad Chambliss Pass to Harrison Wallace III for Two-Point Conversion) — MISS win probability +25.9 pts (now 63%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:03: Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 18 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK) — UGA win probability +29.4 pts (now 50%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. FG · Q4 0:56: Peyton Woodring 24 Yd Field Goal — UGA win probability +19.9 pts (now 63%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:06: Lucas Carneiro 47 yd FG GOOD — MISS win probability +41.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 7 of 10MISS made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 13:02MISS 4th & 10 at MISS 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:14UGA 4th & 10 at MISS 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    66.3%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:47MISS 4th & 9 at UGA 38, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.3%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    34.3%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:23UGA 4th & 2 at UGA 33, down 3
    Close callPunted · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:13MISS 4th & 5 at UGA 39, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.3%−0.4
    36% to make
    Punt
    36.3%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:48MISS 4th & 3 at MISS 32, down 9
    Close callPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:52UGA 4th & 7 at UGA 20, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.6%−1.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:24UGA 4th & 6 at UGA 29, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:10MISS 4th & 1 at MISS 49, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.1%−2.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:33UGA 4th & 8 at MISS 37, up 9
    Close callKicked a field goal · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.4%−0.4
    40% to make
    Punt
    79.2%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:01MISS 4th & 3 at UGA 44, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    17.5%−3.8
    27% to make
    Punt
    19.4%−1.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:38UGA 4th & 5 at UGA 30, up 2
    Close callWent for it · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.4%−0.9
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    64.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:30UGA 4th & 6 at MISS 19, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.1%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    54.7%−12.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:31UGA 4th & 2 at UGA 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    40.9%−1.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:33MISS 4th & 5 at MISS 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:00UGA 4th & 9 at UGA 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    26.8%−2.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:56UGA 4th & 6 at MISS 6, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−12.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    12.4%−34.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:06MISS 4th & 10 at UGA 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%−14.6
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    38.3%−15.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3MISS made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 13:37UGA Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:33MISS Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    41.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    41.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:05UGA Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:51MISS Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:29MISS Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    51.8%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    52.0%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:02MISS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.2%−0.5
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:03UGA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.5%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MISSDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 1:5230% → 30%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
70.5%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Cayden Lee for 7 yds to the MISS 32Similar
Q1 14:42
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
70.4%
Kewan Lacy run for 2 yds to the MISS 34Similar
Q1 14:12
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
70.4%
Kewan Lacy run for 3 yds to the MISS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
70.2%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Cayden Lee for no gain to the MISS 37Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
70.2%
Trinidad Chambliss pass incomplete to Cayden LeeSimilar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
70.3%
Trinidad Chambliss pass incomplete to De'Zhaun StriblingSimilar
Q1 13:02
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+12
70.3%
Oscar Bird punt for 48 yds , Zachariah Branch returns for 12 yds to the UGA 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:4270% → 70%
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
70.2%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Oscar Delp for 16 yds to the UGA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
70.3%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Nate Frazier for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 3
50
+6
70.4%
Gunner Stockton run for 6 yds to the MISS 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
70.3%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Zachariah BranchSimilar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
70.3%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for no gain to the MISS 44Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
70.0%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Cash Jones, broken up by Suntarine PerkinsSimilar
Q1 10:14
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
69.7%
Brett Thorson punt for 42 yds, downed at the MISS 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 3FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 4:2030% → 32%
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+8
69.8%
Kewan Lacy run for 8 yds to the MISS 10Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 2
OWN 10
+17
69.6%
Kewan Lacy run for 17 yds to the MISS 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
69.4%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 2 yds to the MISS 29Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+8
69.2%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Logan Diggs for 8 yds to the MISS 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
69.0%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 7 yds to the MISS 44Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+3
68.5%
Trinidad Chambliss run for 3 yds to the MISS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
68.3%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 14 yds to the UGA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
68.2%
Trinidad Chambliss pass incomplete to Dae'Quan Wright, broken up by Quintavius JohnsonSimilar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+1
68.1%
Kewan Lacy run for 1 yd to the UGA 38Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 9
OPP 38
0
68.1%
Trinidad Chambliss pass incomplete to De'Zhaun Stribling, broken up by Daylen EveretteSimilar
Q1 5:47
4TH & 9
OPP 38
+55
68.2%
Lucas Carneiro 55 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1868% → 67%
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
67.7%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 2 yds to the UGA 27Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
67.6%
Nate Frazier run for 6 yds to the UGA 33Similar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
67.6%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete, broken up by Tahj ChambersSimilar
Q1 4:23
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
67.0%
Brett Thorson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Harrison Wallace III at the MISS 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 5FG
8 plays · 42 yds · 1:5432% → 36%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
67.6%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 5 yds to the MISS 24Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+10
67.4%
Kewan Lacy run for 10 yds to the MISS 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+22
67.1%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 22 yds to the UGA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
66.3%
Kewan Lacy run for 5 yds to the UGA 39Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 5
OPP 39
0
65.6%
Trinidad Chambliss pass incomplete to Deuce AlexanderSimilar
Q1 2:18
3RD & 5
OPP 39
0
66.1%
Trinidad Chambliss pass incomplete, broken up by Quintavius JohnsonSimilar
Q1 2:13
4TH & 5
OPP 39
+56
64.4%
Lucas Carneiro 56 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:3066% → 71%
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
65.5%
Nate Frazier run for 13 yds to the UGA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
65.7%
Nate Frazier run for 6 yds to the UGA 44Similar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+13
66.1%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Colbie Young for 13 yds to the MISS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
66.3%
Chauncey Bowens run for 6 yds to the MISS 37Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+9
66.1%
Nate Frazier run for 9 yds to the MISS 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+16
66.7%
Nate Frazier run for 16 yds to the MISS 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
71.3%
Gunner Stockton run for 12 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 7TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5631% → 39%
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
68.8%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Winston Watkins for 7 yds to the MISS 32Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
68.0%
Kewan Lacy run for 2 yds to the MISS 34Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
68.3%
Kewan Lacy run for 2 yds to the MISS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+39
68.2%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 39 yds to the UGA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+17
66.3%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 9 yds to the UGA 16 for a 1ST down Georgia Penalty, Face Mask (8 yards) (Rasean Dinkins) to the UGA 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
66.1%
Trinidad Chambliss run for 5 yds to the UGA 3Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
66.0%
Trinidad Chambliss pass incomplete to Harrison Wallace IIISimilar
Q2 10:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
61.0%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Luke Hasz for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:2163% → 73%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
63.4%
Nate Frazier run for 6 yds to the UGA 31Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
63.9%
Nate Frazier run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 30Similar
Q2 9:05
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
62.1%
Cash Jones run for 8 yds to the UGA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
63.0%
Chauncey Bowens run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 37Similar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 11
OWN 37
-2
61.5%
Gunner Stockton sacked by Kam Franklin for a loss of 2 yards to the UGA 35Similar
Q2 7:08
3RD & 13
OWN 35
+15
59.9%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
50
+1
62.9%
Nate Frazier run for 1 yd to the MISS 49Similar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+24
62.7%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Nate Frazier for 24 yds to the MISS 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
63.4%
Josh McCray run for a loss of 2 yards to the MISS 27Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 12
OPP 27
0
63.0%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Talyn Taylor, broken up by Antonio KiteSimilar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 12
OPP 27
+26
60.7%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Cash Jones for 26 yds to the MISS 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.6%
Gunner Stockton run for 1 yd for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 9FUMBLE TD
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:2632% → 20%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
68.0%
Kewan Lacy run for 5 yds to the MISS 30Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
67.4%
Kewan Lacy run for 6 yds to the MISS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
67.2%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Deuce Alexander for 6 yds to the MISS 42Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+47
75.4%
Kewan Lacy run for 5 yds Kewan Lacy fumbled, forced by Elijah Griffin, recovered by UGA Daylen Everette , return for 47 yds (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
Q2 2:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
80.0%
Georgia Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the MISS 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:4023% → 22%
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.9%
Trinidad Chambliss pass incomplete to Cayden Lee, broken up by KJ BoldenSimilar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
77.0%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Deuce Alexander for 7 yds to the MISS 32Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
76.9%
Trinidad Chambliss pass incomplete to Dae'Quan WrightSimilar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
77.6%
Oscar Bird punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Zachariah Branch at the UGA 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:5178% → 77%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
78.3%
Gunner Stockton run for a loss of 2 yards to the UGA 15Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 12
OWN 15
+2
78.2%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 2 yds to the UGA 17Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+3
77.8%
Cash Jones run for 3 yds to the UGA 20Similar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 7
OWN 20
0
77.3%
Brett Thorson punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Harrison Wallace III at the MISS 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 12END OF HALF
5 plays · 39 yds · 0:3521% → 23%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
78.6%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Caleb Odom for 4 yds to the MISS 30Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+27
78.3%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Cayden Lee for 12 yds to the UGA 42 for a 1ST down Georgia Penalty, Personal Foul (JaCorey Thomas) to the UGA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
75.8%
Trinidad Chambliss pass incomplete to Harrison Wallace IIISimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
76.5%
Trinidad Chambliss pass incomplete to Caleb OdomSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+8
77.2%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 8 yds to the UGA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3178% → 77%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.6%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to London Humphreys, broken up by Zxavian HarrisSimilar
Q3 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
77.4%
Gunner Stockton run for 4 yds to the UGA 29Similar
Q3 14:02
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
77.4%
Gunner Stockton run for no gain to the UGA 29Similar
Q3 13:24
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
76.5%
Brett Thorson punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Harrison Wallace III at the MISS 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 14DOWNS
5 plays · 28 yds · 1:5523% → 22%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+19
77.2%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 19 yds to the MISS 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
77.1%
Kewan Lacy run for no gain to the MISS 40Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
77.5%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 9 yds to the MISS 49Similar
Q3 11:35
3RD & 1
OWN 49
0
76.7%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Cayden Lee for no gain to the MISS 49Similar
Q3 11:10
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
77.7%
Kewan Lacy run for no gain to the MISS 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15MISSED FG
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:3081% → 81%
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
81.2%
Nate Frazier run for 1 yd to the MISS 48Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
81.4%
Nate Frazier run for no gain to the MISS 48Similar
Q3 9:45
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+9
81.1%
Ole Miss Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Antonio Kite) to the MISS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
82.3%
Nate Frazier run for 2 yds to the MISS 37Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
82.4%
Dillon Bell pass incomplete to London HumphreysSimilar
Q3 8:38
3RD & 8
OPP 37
0
81.6%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Dillon BellSimilar
Q3 8:33
4TH & 8
OPP 37
+55
80.5%
Peyton Woodring 55 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 16TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 3:3522% → 41%
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
78.3%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 12 yds to the MISS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
79.1%
Kewan Lacy run for 8 yds to the UGA 43Similar
Q3 7:34
2ND & 2
OPP 43
0
78.4%
Kewan Lacy run for no gain to the UGA 43Similar
Q3 6:48
3RD & 2
OPP 43
-1
78.9%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 44Similar
Q3 6:01
4TH & 3
OPP 44
+36
80.6%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 36 yds to the UGA 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
77.7%
Trinidad Chambliss run for 1 yd to the UGA 7Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
59.3%
Kewan Lacy run for 7 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 4:1767% → 74%
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.7%
Gunner Stockton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
66.3%
Chauncey Bowens run for 5 yds to the UGA 30Similar
Q3 4:03
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
65.7%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete, broken up by Will EcholesSimilar
Q3 3:38
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+16
64.1%
Landon Roldan pass complete to Lawson Luckie for 16 yds to the UGA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
69.6%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to London HumphreysSimilar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+31
68.2%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Colbie Young for 31 yds to the MISS 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
71.4%
Gunner Stockton run for 1 yd to the MISS 22Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+3
71.4%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 3 yds to the MISS 19Similar
Q3 0:59
3RD & 6
OPP 19
0
70.5%
Gunner Stockton run for no gain to the MISS 19Similar
Q3 0:30
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+37
73.8%
Peyton Woodring 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 18TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:3130% → 63%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
70.4%
Deuce Alexander run for a loss of 1 yard to the MISS 24Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
70.7%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Kewan Lacy for 4 yds to the MISS 28Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
71.6%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Kewan Lacy for 8 yds to the MISS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+44
69.0%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 44 yds to the UGA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
63.2%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 8 yds to the UGA 12Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+2
63.1%
Kewan Lacy run for 2 yds to the UGA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
63.0%
Trinidad Chambliss run for 4 yds to the UGA 6Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
37.1%
Kewan Lacy 5 Yd Run (Trinidad Chambliss Pass to Harrison Wallace III for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19FUMBLE
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:4448% → 43%
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
47.6%
Gunner Stockton run for 4 yds to the UGA 29Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
47.1%
Nate Frazier run for 3 yds to the UGA 32Similar
Q4 9:59
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
44.4%
Gunner Stockton run for 1 yd to the UGA 33Similar
Q4 9:31
4TH & 2
OWN 33
-10
43.0%
Gunner Stockton sacked by Suntarine Perkins for a loss of 10 yards to the UGA 23 Gunner Stockton fumbled, forced by Suntarine Perkins, recovered by MISS Suntarine Perkins , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 20TD
2 plays · 23 yds · 0:1968% → 85%
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
32.3%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 10 yds to the UGA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
15.0%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to Harrison Wallace III for 13 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:5418% → 50%
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
18.0%
Stockton, Gunner pass incomplete to Taylor, Talyn, PENALTY MISS pass interference (Braxton, Jaylon) 15 yards to the UGA40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UGA.Similar
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
18.7%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Nate Frazier for 11 yds to the MISS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
19.9%
Nate Frazier run for 11 yds to the MISS 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
20.0%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Colbie YoungSimilar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+20
19.2%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Sacovie White-Helton for 20 yds to the MISS 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
20.8%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Noah ThomasSimilar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+18
50.3%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 18 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2066% → 66%
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
34.3%
Kewan Lacy run for 7 yds to the MISS 32Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-2
31.0%
Kewan Lacy run for a loss of 2 yards to the MISS 30Similar
Q4 5:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
31.2%
Trinidad Chambliss pass incomplete, broken up by Joseph Jonah-AjonyeSimilar
Q4 5:33
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+11
33.8%
Oscar Bird punt for 45 yds , Zachariah Branch returns for 11 yds to the UGA 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23FG
16 plays · 58 yds · 4:3041% → 63%
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
40.9%
Nate Frazier run for 11 yds to the UGA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
44.1%
Nate Frazier run for 2 yds to the UGA 49Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 8
OWN 49
-1
43.9%
Josh McCray run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 48Similar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
39.4%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Cash Jones for no gain to the UGA 48Similar
Q4 3:00
4TH & 9
OWN 48
+16
38.8%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 16 yds to the MISS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
42.0%
Georgia Penalty, Offensive Holding (Earnest Greene III) to the MISS 46Similar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 20
OPP 46
0
38.9%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Zachariah Branch, broken up by Will EcholesSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 20
OPP 46
+11
38.6%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 11 yds to the MISS 35Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+15
39.9%
Stockton, Gunner pass incomplete to Luckie, Lawson, PENALTY MISS pass interference (Gushiken, Kapena) 15 yards to the MISS20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UGA.Similar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
45.8%
Chauncey Bowens run for 3 yds to the MISS 17Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+9
43.2%
Stockton, Gunner pass incomplete to Young, Colbie, PENALTY MISS holding (Gushiken, Kapena) 9 yards to the MISS8, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UGA.Similar
Q4 1:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
43.7%
Gunner Stockton run for 5 yds to the MISS 3Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
43.6%
Chauncey Bowens run for a loss of 3 yards to the MISS 6Similar
Q4 0:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
42.9%
Gunner Stockton pass incomplete to Oscar DelpSimilar
Q4 0:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
62.8%
Peyton Woodring 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 24FG
9 plays · 45 yds · 0:4548% → 92%
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
51.8%
Kewan Lacy run for 5 yds to the MISS 30Similar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
50.5%
Trinidad Chambliss pass incomplete to Cayden Lee, broken up by Zion BranchSimilar
Q4 0:26
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+40
52.2%
Trinidad Chambliss pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 40 yds to the UGA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
41.7%
Trinidad Chambliss pass incomplete to Winston Watkins, broken up by Daylen EveretteSimilar
Q4 0:13
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
41.6%
Trinidad Chambliss pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
44.8%
Trinidad Chambliss pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:06
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+47
7.8%
Lucas Carneiro 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 25SF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q4 0:01
4TH & 10
OWN 35
-35
6.6%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -12 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
14.4%
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Colbie Young for 2 yds to the UGA 20 lat. to Cash Jones for 1 yd to the UGA 20 lat. to Lawson Luckie for a loss of 3 yards to the UGA 20 lat. to Cash Jones for no gain to the UGA 20 lat. to Colbie Young for a loss of 5 yards to the UGA 20 lat. to Lawson Luckie for 6 yds to the UGA 20 lat. to Cash Jones for no gain to the UGA 20 lat. to Colbie Young for a loss of 3 yards to the UGA 20 lat. to Dillon Bell for a loss of 8 yards to the UGA 20 lat. to Gunner Stockton for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 30 Georgia Penalty, Illegal Block (Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:06
Lucas Carneiro 47 yd FG GOOD
-41.3
TD · Q4 7:03
Gunner Stockton pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 18 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)
+29.4
TD · Q4 11:29
Kewan Lacy 5 Yd Run (Trinidad Chambliss Pass to Harrison Wallace III for Two-Point Conversion)
-25.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com