2025 · College Football Playoff Quarterfinal at the Capital One Orange Bowl · Jan 1, 2026 · Hard Rock Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadORE aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreORE score
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:54 · (14:58) #46 J.Ferguson-Reynolds punt 39 yards to the TTU22 fair catch by #20 J.Williams at TTU22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
This game in five plays
- FG · Q2 1:33: (01:36) #36 A.Sappington field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #46 J.Ferguson-Reynolds, LS: #43 L.Basso), clock 01:33 — ORE win probability +8.4 pts (now 60%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
- TD · Q3 11:20: (11:24) Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush right for 6 yards gain to the TTU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:20 #36 A.Sappington kick attempt good (H: #46 J.Ferguson-Reynolds, LS: #43 L.Basso) — ORE win probability +17.6 pts (now 76%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
- KEY PLAY · Q3 6:19: (06:30) Shotgun #23 D.Hill Jr rush left for 6 yards gain to the ORE41 (#27 A.Boyd; #6 J.Curry) — ORE win probability +8.9 pts (now 80%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
- KEY PLAY · Q3 3:00: (03:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush right for 4 yards gain to the TTU49 (#31 D.Thieneman) — TTU win probability +7.6 pts (now 24%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
- KEY PLAY · Q4 13:42: (13:47) Shotgun #6 N.Whittington rush left for 3 yards gain to the ORE23 (#10 J.Rodriguez) — ORE win probability +7.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?
Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works
Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8ORE made the numbers' call on 11 of 14
- Q1 10:41ORE 4th & 20 at TTU 32, tiedAgrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.4% before the snapGo for it44.1%−0.210% to convertField goalTheir call44.3%51% to makePunt44.2%−0.1average punt
- Q1 9:23TTU 4th & 2 at TTU 33, down 3Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.9% before the snapGo for it54.9%−<0.157% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call55.0%average punt
- Q1 9:23ORE 4th & 2 at midfield, up 3Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.0% before the snapGo for itTheir call45.0%56% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt44.9%−0.1average punt
- Q1 3:02ORE 4th & 1 at TTU 23, up 3Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.7% before the snapGo for itTheir call45.6%71% to convertField goal44.9%−0.770% to makePunt42.8%−2.8average punt
- Q1 1:25TTU 4th & 20 at TTU 15, down 3Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.1% before the snapGo for it52.0%−1.49% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call53.4%average punt
- Q2 14:54ORE 4th & 6 at ORE 39, up 3Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.0% before the snapGo for it46.0%−0.140% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call46.1%average punt
- Q2 12:44ORE 4th & 20 at TTU 43, up 3Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.0% before the snapGo for it45.3%−1.110% to convertField goal45.9%−0.528% to makePuntTheir call46.3%average punt
- Q2 10:53TTU 4th & 8 at ORE 36, down 3Close callKicked a field goal · 54.3% before the snapGo for it54.0%34% to convertField goalTheir call53.8%−0.342% to makePunt53.6%−0.5average punt
- Q2 8:33ORE 4th & 3 at ORE 43, up 3Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.5% before the snapGo for itTheir call47.8%52% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt47.7%−<0.1average punt
- Q2 6:13ORE 4th & 3 at TTU 39, up 3Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.3% before the snapGo for itTheir call49.4%53% to convertField goal47.8%−1.636% to makePunt47.8%−1.6average punt
- Q2 4:08ORE 4th & 2 at TTU 2, up 3Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.9% before the snapGo for itTheir call49.7%48% to convertField goal48.1%−1.694% to makePunt41.7%−7.9average punt
- Q2 1:33ORE 4th & 2 at TTU 21, up 3Close callKicked a field goal · 52.1% before the snapGo for it51.8%57% to convertField goalTheir call51.4%−0.474% to makePunt46.0%−5.8average punt
- Q2 0:37TTU 4th & 4 at TTU 31, down 6Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.3% before the snapGo for it43.1%−1.348% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call44.4%average punt
- Q3 13:43TTU 4th & 8 at TTU 27, down 6Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.1% before the snapGo for it42.8%−1.433% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call44.2%average punt
- Q3 12:06ORE 4th & 2 at TTU 33, up 6Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.1% before the snapGo for itTheir call59.1%57% to convertField goal56.9%−2.249% to makePunt55.6%−3.5average punt
- Q3 6:34TTU 4th & 1 at ORE 34, down 13Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.0% before the snapGo for itTheir call29.1%71% to convertField goal26.1%−3.047% to makePunt25.3%−3.8average punt
- Q3 3:06ORE 4th & 2 at TTU 46, up 13Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.9% before the snapGo for itTheir call83.7%57% to convertField goal79.9%−3.823% to makePunt82.0%−1.7average punt
- Q4 7:53ORE 4th & 2 at TTU 25, up 16Close callKicked a field goal · 93.7% before the snapGo for it93.8%57% to convertField goalTheir call93.2%−0.666% to makePunt90.1%−3.7average punt
- Q4 6:53TTU 4th & 5 at TTU 30, down 16Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.7% before the snapGo for itTheir call6.2%41% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt6.1%−0.1average punt
- Q4 4:45ORE 4th & 3 at TTU 18, up 16Close callKicked a field goal · 95.6% before the snapGo for it95.5%51% to convertField goalTheir call95.2%−0.379% to makePunt92.7%−2.9average punt
- Q4 3:10TTU 4th & 4 at TTU 36, down 16Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.9% before the snapGo for itTheir call3.5%48% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt3.2%−0.2average punt
- Q4 0:16ORE 4th & 1 at TTU 1, up 16Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.8% before the snapGo for itTheir call97.8%59% to convertField goal97.4%−0.494% to makePunt96.3%−1.5average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
- Q3 11:20ORE Touchdown, up 12 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call70.4%97% to makeGo for two70.2%−0.245% to convert
- Q4 0:16ORE Touchdown, up 22 before the tryClose callKicked · madeKickTheir call99.4%−<0.197% to makeGo for two99.4%45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chartOREDrive 1FG11 plays · 43 yds · 4:1946% → 46%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
53.7%
Shotgun #6 N.Whittington rush middle for 2 yards loss to the ORE23 (#2 L.Hunter)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
53.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short right to #9 J.Johnson caught at ORE28, for 5 yards to the ORE28 (#10 J.Rodriguez; #13 B.Roberts)Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+26
53.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short right to #9 J.Johnson caught at ORE45, for 26 yards to the TTU46 (#6 J.Curry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
53.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short left to #18 K.Sadiq caught at TTU44, for 2 yards to the TTU44 (#6 J.Curry; #7 B.Jordan)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+11
53.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short right to #18 K.Sadiq caught at TTU38, for 11 yards to the TTU33 (#13 B.Roberts), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
53.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short right to #11 J.McClellan caught at TTU23, for 11 yards to the TTU22 (#14 B.Pollock), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
53.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass incomplete deep left to #4 M.Benson thrown to TTU00 broken up by #27 A.BoydSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+2
53.7%
#6 N.Whittington rush left for 2 yards gain to the TTU20 (#7 B.Jordan)Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 20
-12
53.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore sacked for loss of 12 yards to the TTU32 (#31 D.Bailey)Similar
Q1 10:41
4TH & 20
OPP 32
+50
54.0%
#36 A.Sappington field goal attempt from 50 yards GOOD (H: #46 J.Ferguson-Reynolds, LS: #43 L.Basso), clock 10:41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 2PUNT5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1854% → 54%
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
53.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush left for 3 yards gain to the TTU28 (#44 T.Tuioti)Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
53.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush left for 1 yard gain to the TTU29 (#4 B.Finney)Similar
Q1 10:41
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
53.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass complete short left to #20 J.Williams caught at TTU27, for 4 yards to the TTU33 (#28 B.Boettcher), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 9:23
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
53.5%
#41 J.Burgess punt 39 yards to the ORE28 fair catch by #4 M.Benson at ORE28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3DOWNS14 plays · 47 yds · 6:2146% → 47%
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
53.8%
Shotgun #23 D.Hill Jr rush left for 4 yards gain to the ORE32 (#2 L.Hunter)Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 6
OWN 32
-4
53.7%
Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short left to #23 D.Hill Jr caught at ORE28, for 4 yards loss to the ORE28 (#5 C.Wisniewski)Similar
Q1 9:23
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+14
54.1%
Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short left to #0 J.Davison caught at ORE29, for 14 yards to the ORE42 (#5 C.Wisniewski), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
53.5%
Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ORE45 (#2 L.Hunter)Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
53.4%
Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass incomplete short right to #9 J.Johnson thrown to ORE40 broken up by #31 D.BaileySimilar
Q1 9:23
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+5
53.6%
Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short middle to #4 M.Benson caught at ORE50, for 5 yards to the ORE50 (#10 J.Rodriguez; #13 B.Roberts)Similar
Q1 9:23
4TH & 2
50
+4
53.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short left to #18 K.Sadiq caught at TTU46, for 4 yards to the TTU46 (#7 B.Jordan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
53.3%
No Huddle #0 J.Davison rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TTU41 (#10 J.Rodriguez; #13 B.Roberts)Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+9
53.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 N.Whittington rush right for 9 yards gain to the TTU32 (#27 A.Boyd), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
53.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass incomplete short left thrown to TTU30 PENALTY ORE Holding (#76 I.World) 10 yards from TTU32 to TTU42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 20
OPP 42
+4
53.5%
Shotgun #6 N.Whittington rush left for 4 yards gain to the TTU38 (#13 B.Roberts)Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 16
OPP 38
+13
53.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short right to #1 D.Moore caught at TTU27, for 13 yards to the TTU25 (#14 B.Pollock)Similar
Q1 9:23
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+2
53.4%
Shotgun #5 D.Moore rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TTU23 (#13 B.Roberts; #10 J.Rodriguez)Similar
Q1 3:02
4TH & 1
OPP 23
-2
53.2%
Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush right for 2 yards loss to the TTU25 (#2 L.Hunter), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4PUNT4 plays · -10 yds · 1:3753% → 52%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
53.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass complete short right to #7 T.Carter Jr. caught at TTU26, for 7 yards to the TTU32 (#22 J.Canady; #31 D.Thieneman)Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
54.0%
Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush right for 0 yards to the TTU32 (#44 T.Tuioti)Similar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-17
53.0%
Shotgun #2 B.Morton sacked for loss of 17 yards to the TTU15 (#44 T.Tuioti)Similar
Q1 1:25
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
52.0%
#41 J.Burgess punt 50 yards to the ORE35 fair catch by #4 M.Benson at ORE35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5PUNT5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2547% → 47%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
52.7%
(01:21) #5 D.Moore sacked for loss of 10 yards to the ORE25 (#9 R.Height)Similar
Q1 0:36
2ND & 20
OWN 25
+6
53.2%
(00:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short middle to #4 M.Benson caught at ORE30, for 6 yards to the ORE31 (#10 J.Rodriguez; #27 A.Boyd)Similar
Q1 0:10
3RD & 14
OWN 31
+8
53.7%
(00:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore rush middle for 8 yards gain to the ORE39 (#10 J.Rodriguez)Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
52.9%
(14:58) #46 J.Ferguson-Reynolds punt 39 yards to the TTU22 fair catch by #20 J.Williams at TTU22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6INT2 plays · 3 yds · 0:2553% → 53%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
52.8%
(14:54) Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TTU25 (#28 B.Boettcher; #26 D.Jackson)Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 7
OWN 25
-2
53.0%
(14:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass intercepted by #4 B.Finney at TTU35 #4 B.Finney return 2 yards to the TTU33, out of bounds at TTU33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7PUNT4 plays · -10 yds · 1:2649% → 47%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
50.6%
(14:18) Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush right for 1 yard gain to the TTU32 (#2 L.Hunter)Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 9
OPP 32
-11
50.4%
(13:43) Shotgun #5 D.Moore rush right for 11 yards loss to the TTU43 fumbled by #5 D.Moore at TTU38 recovered by ORE #5 D.Moore at TTU43, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 20
OPP 43
0
52.1%
(12:56) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass incomplete deep left to #18 K.Sadiq thrown to TTU18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8MISSED FG6 plays · 54 yds · 1:4553% → 53%
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
52.6%
(12:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush right for 2 yards gain to the TTU12 (#28 B.Boettcher)Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+50
52.5%
(12:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush left for 50 yards gain to the ORE38, out of bounds at ORE38, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
55.0%
(11:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass incomplete short left to #20 J.Williams thrown to ORE40Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+2
54.9%
(11:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass complete short right to #20 J.Williams caught at ORE43, for 2 yards to the ORE36 (#31 D.Thieneman; #10 M.Uiagalelei)Similar
Q2 10:58
3RD & 8
OPP 36
0
54.6%
(10:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass incomplete short right thrown to ORE35 broken up by #54 J.MixonSimilar
Q2 10:53
4TH & 8
OPP 36
+54
53.3%
(10:53) #48 S.Harrington field goal attempt from 54 yards NO GOOD (H: #41 J.Burgess, LS: #89 J.Llewellyn), clock 10:53Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9DOWNS17 plays · 62 yds · 6:3349% → 51%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
51.4%
(10:53) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short right to #1 D.Moore caught at ORE31, for 2 yards loss to the ORE34 (#27 A.Boyd)Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+5
52.1%
PENALTY ORE False Start (#1 D.Moore) 5 yards from ORE34 to ORE29. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 17
OWN 29
+3
52.3%
(10:12) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short left to #23 D.Hill Jr caught at ORE25, for 3 yards to the ORE32 (#7 B.Jordan)Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+11
52.7%
(09:31) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short middle to #9 J.Johnson caught at ORE30, for 11 yards to the ORE43 (#10 J.Rodriguez; #27 A.Boyd)Similar
Q2 8:33
4TH & 3
OWN 43
+11
51.6%
(08:47) #46 J.Ferguson-Reynolds pass complete short right to #44 T.Tuioti caught at ORE44, for 11 yards to the TTU46 (#39 L.Dillingham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
49.0%
(08:19) #23 D.Hill Jr rush right for 2 yards gain to the TTU44 (#7 B.Jordan; #13 B.Roberts)Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 8
OPP 44
-2
47.9%
(07:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 D.Hill Jr rush left for 2 yards loss to the TTU46 (#13 B.Roberts)Similar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+7
48.6%
(07:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short middle to #2 G.Bryant Jr. caught at TTU40, for 7 yards to the TTU39 (#7 B.Jordan)Similar
Q2 6:13
4TH & 3
OPP 39
+4
48.7%
(06:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short right to #6 N.Whittington caught at TTU35, for 4 yards to the TTU35, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
46.2%
(05:53) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short right to #11 J.McClellan caught at TTU36, for 2 yards to the TTU33 (#5 C.Wisniewski)Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+24
46.0%
(05:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete deep left to #4 M.Benson caught at TTU10, for 24 yards to the TTU09, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
45.6%
(05:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass incomplete short left to #18 K.Sadiq thrown to TTU13 broken up by #14 B.PollockSimilar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+7
45.5%
(05:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TTU02 (#13 B.Roberts)Similar
Q2 4:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
46.5%
(04:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush middle for 0 yards to the TTU02 (#13 B.Roberts; #9 R.Height)Similar
Q2 4:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
48.9%
(04:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass incomplete short right to #2 G.Bryant Jr. thrown to TTU05 broken up by #31 D.Bailey, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 10FUMBLE7 plays · 27 yds · 1:3249% → 50%
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
49.3%
(04:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TTU06 (#26 D.Jackson; #1 B.Alexander)Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 6
OWN 6
0
49.1%
(03:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass incomplete deep right to #5 C.Douglas thrown to TTU35Similar
Q2 3:33
3RD & 6
OWN 6
+8
48.0%
(03:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass complete short middle to #7 T.Carter Jr. caught at TTU12, for 8 yards to the TTU14 (#21 A.Flowers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
49.5%
(03:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass incomplete short middle to #8 C.Dickey thrown to TTU16Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+1
49.4%
(03:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush left for 1 yard gain to the TTU15 (#4 B.Finney)Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 9
OWN 15
+11
47.8%
(02:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass complete short right to #3 C.Eakin caught at TTU20, for 11 yards to the TTU26 (#31 D.Thieneman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
49.5%
(02:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush left for 3 yards gain to the TTU29 fumbled by #8 C.Dickey at TTU26 forced by #28 B.Boettcher recovered by ORE #4 B.Finney at TTU29, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 11FG6 plays · 9 yds · 0:4555% → 60%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
45.3%
(02:27) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short right to #4 M.Benson caught at TTU24, for 8 yards to the TTU21 (#27 A.Boyd; #10 J.Rodriguez)Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+1
44.7%
(01:56) #6 N.Whittington rush left for 1 yard gain to the TTU20 (#13 B.Roberts)Similar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 1
OPP 20
-1
45.1%
(01:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 N.Whittington rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TTU21 (#31 D.Bailey)Similar
Q2 1:33
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+39
40.1%
(01:36) #36 A.Sappington field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #46 J.Ferguson-Reynolds, LS: #43 L.Basso), clock 01:33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12PUNT6 plays · 6 yds · 0:5343% → 43%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
43.0%
(01:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass incomplete short right to #7 T.Carter Jr. thrown to TTU30 broken up by #54 J.MixonSimilar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
42.7%
(01:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass complete short left to #1 R.Virgil caught at TTU23, for 5 yards to the TTU30 (#54 J.Mixon)Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+1
42.5%
(00:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TTU31 (#44 T.Tuioti)Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
43.1%
(00:41) #41 J.Burgess punt 47 yards to the ORE22 fair catch by #4 M.Benson at ORE22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 13END OF HALF6 plays · 19 yds · 0:2458% → 61%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
41.9%
(00:35) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short left to #4 M.Benson caught at ORE30, for 8 yards to the ORE30, out of bounds at ORE30Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+10
40.5%
(00:29) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short left to #1 D.Moore caught at ORE40, for 10 yards to the ORE40, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+24
38.9%
(00:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short right to #9 J.Johnson caught at TTU41, for 24 yards to the TTU36 (#7 B.Jordan), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-13
36.8%
(00:18) Shotgun Oregon rush middle for 13 yards loss to the TTU49 fumbled by Oregon at TTU36 recovered by ORE #5 D.Moore at TTU49, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 23
OPP 49
+10
39.2%
(00:09) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short middle to #9 J.Johnson caught at TTU35, for 16 yards to the TTU33 (#14 B.Pollock) PENALTY ORE Holding (#71 A.Harkey) 10 yards from TTU49 to ORE41. NO PLAYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 14PUNT5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0945% → 42%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
44.8%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush left for 1 yard loss to the TTU24, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
44.4%
(14:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass incomplete short middle to #7 T.Carter Jr. thrown to TTU24 broken up by #52 A.WashingtonSimilar
Q3 14:14
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+3
43.0%
(14:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass complete short right to #7 T.Carter Jr. caught at TTU25, for 3 yards to the TTU27 (#54 J.Mixon)Similar
Q3 13:43
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+28
42.4%
(13:43) #41 J.Burgess punt 42 yards to the ORE31 #4 M.Benson return 28 yards to the TTU41, out of bounds at TTU41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 15DOWNS4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1662% → 60%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
38.4%
(13:33) Shotgun #6 N.Whittington rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TTU39 (#10 J.Rodriguez; #33 A.Holmes Jr.)Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+6
38.0%
(12:59) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short left to #6 N.Whittington caught at TTU39, for 6 yards to the TTU33 (#5 C.Wisniewski)Similar
Q3 12:17
3RD & 2
OPP 33
0
37.9%
(12:21) Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass incomplete deep left to #1 D.Moore thrown to TTU12Similar
Q3 12:06
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+1
40.3%
(12:14) Shotgun #5 D.Moore rush left for 1 yard gain to the TTU32 (#10 J.Rodriguez; #31 D.Bailey), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16FUMBLE3 plays · -26 yds · 0:3744% → 42%
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
43.8%
(12:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush left for 1 yard loss to the TTU31 (#54 J.Mixon)Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 11
OWN 31
0
43.0%
(11:33) Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass incomplete short left to #20 J.Williams thrown to TTU30Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 11
OWN 31
+16
41.7%
(11:33) Shotgun #2 B.Morton sacked for loss of 9 yards to the TTU22 (#10 M.Uiagalelei), fumble by #2 B.Morton recovered by ORE #10 M.Uiagalelei at TTU22 #10 M.Uiagalelei return 16 yards to the TTU07 fumbled by #10 M.Uiagalelei at TTU07 forced by #2 B.Morton recovered by ORE #10 M.Uiagalelei at TTU06, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 17TD1 play · 6 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q3 11:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
24.2%
(11:24) Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush right for 6 yards gain to the TTU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:20 #36 A.Sappington kick attempt good (H: #46 J.Ferguson-Reynolds, LS: #43 L.Basso)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18DOWNS13 plays · 57 yds · 4:3730% → 29%
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
30.4%
(11:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass complete short right to #8 C.Dickey caught at TTU05, for 8 yards to the TTU16 (#31 D.Thieneman; #26 D.Jackson)Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 2
OWN 16
+1
30.5%
(10:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush right for 1 yard gain to the TTU17 (#21 A.Flowers)Similar
Q3 10:04
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+3
29.2%
(10:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush left for 3 yards gain to the TTU20 (#28 B.Boettcher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
29.9%
(09:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass incomplete short left to #8 C.Dickey thrown to TTU17Similar
Q3 9:31
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+24
29.6%
(09:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass complete deep right to #1 R.Virgil caught at TTU44, for 24 yards to the TTU44, out of bounds at TTU44, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
30.8%
(09:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush left for 1 yard gain to the TTU45 (#28 B.Boettcher)Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+4
29.9%
(09:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TTU49 (#31 D.Thieneman)Similar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+8
29.6%
(08:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass complete short right to #7 T.Carter Jr. caught at TTU46, for 8 yards to the ORE43 (#31 D.Thieneman; #28 B.Boettcher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
30.3%
(08:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass incomplete deep middle to #5 C.Douglas thrown to ORE03. #22 J.Canady injured on the playSimilar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-1
29.9%
(08:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush right for 1 yard loss to the ORE44 (#31 D.Thieneman)Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+10
27.9%
(07:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass complete short right to #7 T.Carter Jr. caught at ORE37, for 10 yards to the ORE34 (#5 T.Johnson; #28 B.Boettcher), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 6:34
4TH & 1
OPP 34
-1
28.6%
(06:34) Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush left for 1 yard loss to the ORE35 (#22 J.Canady), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 19INT7 plays · 19 yds · 3:1380% → 83%
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
19.7%
(06:30) Shotgun #23 D.Hill Jr rush left for 6 yards gain to the ORE41 (#27 A.Boyd; #6 J.Curry)Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
18.5%
(06:11) Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ORE44 (#9 R.Height)Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
18.2%
(05:29) Shotgun #5 D.Moore rush right for 2 yards gain to the ORE46, out of bounds at ORE46, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
17.1%
(04:45) Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush right for 2 yards gain to the ORE48 (#5 C.Wisniewski; #18 T.Tilmon)Similar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+4
17.0%
(04:25) Shotgun #5 D.Moore rush right for 4 yards gain to the TTU48 (#5 C.Wisniewski; #13 B.Roberts)Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+2
15.8%
(03:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 N.Whittington rush right for 2 yards gain to the TTU46 (#31 D.Bailey)Similar
Q3 3:06
4TH & 2
OPP 46
-8
16.8%
(03:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass intercepted by #13 B.Roberts at TTU37 #13 B.Roberts return 8 yards to the TTU45 (#9 J.Johnson; #72 I.Laloulu)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20INT13 plays · 46 yds · 4:1224% → 22%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
24.4%
(03:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush right for 4 yards gain to the TTU49 (#31 D.Thieneman)Similar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+5
24.8%
PENALTY TTU False Start (#70 J.Ponton) 5 yards from TTU49 to TTU44. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+5
23.6%
PENALTY TTU False Start (#79 H.Sampson) 5 yards from TTU44 to TTU39. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 16
OWN 39
+13
22.2%
(02:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush middle for 13 yards gain to the ORE48 (#21 A.Flowers)Similar
Q3 2:05
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+3
24.1%
(02:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ORE45 (#99 T.Green; #4 B.Finney), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "First down". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
24.3%
(01:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass complete short right to #20 J.Williams caught at ORE45, for 3 yards to the ORE42 (#28 B.Boettcher)Similar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+5
24.0%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush left for 5 yards gain to the ORE37 (#28 B.Boettcher; #31 D.Thieneman)Similar
Q3 0:52
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+4
23.7%
(00:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ORE33 (#31 D.Thieneman; #28 B.Boettcher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+24
24.9%
(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass complete deep left to #7 T.Carter Jr. caught at ORE11, for 24 yards to the ORE09 (#4 B.Finney), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
24.9%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush left for 0 yards to the ORE09 (#4 B.Finney)Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
23.9%
(14:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass complete short middle to #7 T.Carter Jr. caught at ORE13, for 0 yards to the ORE09 (#31 D.Thieneman)Similar
Q4 13:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
21.8%
(13:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass intercepted by #4 B.Finney at ORE00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 21FG11 plays · 55 yds · 5:4986% → 94%
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
14.1%
(13:47) Shotgun #6 N.Whittington rush left for 3 yards gain to the ORE23 (#10 J.Rodriguez)Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+4
11.8%
(13:07) Shotgun #6 N.Whittington rush right for 4 yards gain to the ORE27 (#27 A.Boyd)Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+1
11.8%
(12:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ORE28 (#13 B.Roberts)Similar
Q4 11:40
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+5
11.0%
(11:40) #46 J.Ferguson-Reynolds punt 46 yards to the TTU26 PENALTY TTU Offside (#1 A.McCarty) 5 yards from ORE28 to ORE33. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
8.0%
(11:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 D.Hill Jr rush left for 3 yards gain to the ORE36 (#33 A.Holmes Jr.)Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+4
7.4%
(10:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short right to #23 D.Hill Jr caught at ORE32, for 4 yards to the ORE40 (#7 B.Jordan)Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+27
6.7%
(10:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short right to #27 J.Limar caught at ORE42, for 27 yards to the TTU33 (#6 J.Curry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
6.3%
(09:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore rush left for 3 yards gain to the TTU30 (#9 R.Height)Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 7
OPP 30
0
6.0%
(08:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Limar rush right for 0 yards to the TTU30 (#13 B.Roberts; #31 D.Bailey)Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+5
5.9%
(08:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Moore pass complete short middle to #18 K.Sadiq caught at TTU25, for 5 yards to the TTU25, End Of Play. #71 A.Harkey injured on the playSimilar
Q4 7:53
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+43
6.2%
(07:56) #36 A.Sappington field goal attempt from 43 yards GOOD (H: #46 J.Ferguson-Reynolds, LS: #43 L.Basso), clock 07:53Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22DOWNS6 plays · 0 yds · 0:577% → 7%
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
7.3%
(07:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass incomplete short left to #20 J.Williams thrown to TTU25Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
7.1%
PENALTY TTU Illegal Snap (#72 S.Wilson) 5 yards from TTU25 to TTU20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+8
6.7%
(07:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass complete short left to #7 T.Carter Jr. caught at TTU26, for 8 yards to the TTU28 (#26 D.Jackson)Similar
Q4 6:53
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+2
6.7%
(06:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass complete short right to #20 J.Williams caught at TTU25, for 2 yards to the TTU30 (#44 T.Tuioti)Similar
Q4 6:53
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-5
6.7%
(06:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton sacked for loss of 5 yards to the TTU25 (#44 T.Tuioti), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 23MISSED FG4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5895% → 96%
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
5.1%
(06:53) Shotgun #6 N.Whittington rush left for 1 yard gain to the TTU24 (#13 B.Roberts)Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+1
4.7%
(06:07) Shotgun #6 N.Whittington rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TTU23 (#31 D.Bailey; #2 L.Hunter)Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+5
4.2%
(05:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 N.Whittington rush left for 5 yards gain to the TTU18 (#31 D.Bailey)Similar
Q4 4:45
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+36
4.4%
(04:47) #36 A.Sappington field goal attempt from 36 yards NO GOOD (H: #46 J.Ferguson-Reynolds, LS: #43 L.Basso), clock 04:45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 24DOWNS6 plays · 8 yds · 1:274% → 4%
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
4.3%
(04:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass complete short left to #20 J.Williams caught at TTU15, for 6 yards to the TTU26 (#54 J.Mixon), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+4
4.1%
(04:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass complete short left to #7 T.Carter Jr. caught at TTU30, for 4 yards to the TTU30 (#4 B.Finney; #28 B.Boettcher), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
4.0%
(03:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass incomplete deep left to #5 C.Douglas thrown to ORE34 broken up by #21 A.FlowersSimilar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
3.8%
(03:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass incomplete deep left thrown to ORE48 QB hurried by #1 B.AlexanderSimilar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+6
3.7%
(03:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TTU36 (#31 D.Thieneman)Similar
Q4 3:10
4TH & 4
OWN 36
-8
3.9%
(03:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton sacked for loss of 8 yards to the TTU28 (#9 B.Purchase), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 25TD13 plays · 27 yds · 2:4797% → 100%
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
2.8%
(03:09) Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TTU22 (#13 B.Roberts)Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+4
2.4%
(02:51) Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush right for 4 yards gain to the TTU18 (#31 D.Bailey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
1.4%
(02:02) Shotgun #27 J.Limar rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TTU16 (#2 L.Hunter; #6 J.Curry)Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+1
1.3%
(01:59) Shotgun #27 J.Limar rush right for 1 yard gain to the TTU15 (#9 R.Height; #31 D.Bailey) PENALTY TTU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#31 D.Bailey) 8 yards from TTU15 to TTU07, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
1.3%
(01:49) Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush left for 1 yard loss to the TTU08 (#7 B.Jordan)Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
1.3%
(01:46) Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TTU03 (#8 E.Banks)Similar
Q4 0:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
1.2%
(00:59) Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TTU01 (#33 A.Holmes Jr.)Similar
Q4 0:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.3%
(00:16) #0 J.Davison rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TTU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:16 #36 A.Sappington kick attempt good (H: #46 J.Ferguson-Reynolds, LS: #43 L.Basso)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 26END OF GAME3 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
0.3%
(00:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 9 yards gain to the TTU28 (#9 B.Purchase)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:20
(11:24) Shotgun #0 J.Davison rush right for 6 yards gain to the TTU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:20 #36 A.Sappington kick attempt good (H: #46 J.Ferguson-Reynolds, LS: #43 L.Basso)
-17.6
KEY PLAY · Q3 6:19
(06:30) Shotgun #23 D.Hill Jr rush left for 6 yards gain to the ORE41 (#27 A.Boyd; #6 J.Curry)
-8.9
FG · Q2 1:33
(01:36) #36 A.Sappington field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #46 J.Ferguson-Reynolds, LS: #43 L.Basso), clock 01:33
-8.4