ARDLINETry the model
TOL

Toledo 21 at Central Michigan 3

CMU
2025 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Win probability · CMU
modelCMU aheadTOL aheadconfidence bandkey play
Q1Q2Q3Q4FUMBLEKEY PLAYKEY PLAYKEY PLAYKEY PLAYKEY PLAYKEY PLAYTD
What moved it - hover a play below
Q4 0:00 · End of 4th quarter.
01
Market gave CMU a 21% pregame chance
−39
02
CMU has the ball
−14
03
Blowout context favors the defense
−4
04
CMU trailing by 18
−2
Play by play - hover to pin the curve
Q1 15:00
(15:00) #47 C.Graham kickoff 65 yards to the Toledo00, Touchback
0.0
Q1 14:56
(15:00) Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush left for 5 yards gain to the Toledo30 (#2 E.Rikard; #96 Q.Bird)
-1.5
Q1 14:34
(14:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Toledo35 (#3 B.Deasfernandes), 1ST DOWN
-0.4
Q1 14:09
PENALTY Toledo False Start (#52 A.Boswell) 5 yards from Toledo35 to Toledo30. NO PLAY
0.0
Q1 13:43
(13:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Toledo32 (#1 D.Cochran)
0.0
Q1 13:11
(13:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short left to #1 C.Trayanum caught at Toledo26, for 5 yards to the Toledo37 (#1 D.Cochran)
0.0
Q1 12:20
(12:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short middle to #11 R.Treadway caught at Toledo40, for 6 yards to the Toledo43 (#6 K.Carroll)
-0.1
Q1 11:51
(12:01) #36 E.Duran punt 47 yards to the CMU10
-0.5
Q1 11:39
(11:51) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete deep middle to #19 T.McIntosh caught at CMU30, for 34 yards to the CMU44, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
+2.8
Q1 10:58
(11:06) Shotgun #20 L.Lewis rush left for 2 yards gain to the CMU46 (#3 A.Fuller; #49 C.D'Appolonia)
+0.8
Q1 10:25
(10:29) Shotgun #5 N.Biggins rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CMU49 (#20 L.Long; #7 E.McNeil-Warren)
0.0
Q1 9:42
(09:47) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short left to #20 L.Lewis caught at Toledo48, for 14 yards to the Toledo37 (#38 K.Sherman), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
-0.2
Q1 9:08
(09:13) Shotgun #22 B.Townsend rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Toledo31 (#3 A.Fuller)
+1.2
Q1 8:28
(08:33) Shotgun #22 B.Townsend rush middle for 12 yards gain to the Toledo19 (#4 A.Smith), 1ST DOWN
+0.1
Q1 7:47
(07:52) Shotgun #22 B.Townsend rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Toledo14 (#49 C.D'Appolonia)
0.0
Q1 7:03
(07:10) Shotgun #22 B.Townsend rush middle for 11 yards gain to the Toledo03 (#97 A.Dunn; #38 K.Sherman), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q1 6:40
(06:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 B.Townsend rush middle for 3 yards loss to the Toledo06 (#20 L.Long)
0.0
Q1 5:56
(06:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Labas rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Toledo03 (#93 M.Davis; #38 K.Sherman)
+0.1
Q1 5:13
(05:16) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass incomplete short middle to #19 T.McIntosh thrown to Toledo00 broken up by #7 E.McNeil-Warren
+0.1
Q1 5:08
(05:11) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short right to #19 T.McIntosh caught at Toledo03, for 2 yards to the Toledo01 (#3 A.Fuller), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
-0.3
Q1 4:58
(05:06) Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short right to #9 T.Rudolph caught at Toledo06, for 6 yards to the Toledo07 (#1 D.Cochran)
-4.1
Q1 5:08
Timeout Central Michigan, clock 05:08
+4.4
Q1 4:33
(04:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush left for 5 yards gain to the Toledo12 (#85 J.Douglas; #12 J.Kwiatkowski), 1ST DOWN
-4.4
Q1 4:05
(04:09) Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short right to #2 J.Vandeross III caught at Toledo16, for 9 yards to the Toledo21 (#3 B.Deasfernandes; #10 E.Gordon)
0.0
Q1 3:26
(03:27) Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass incomplete short middle to #2 J.Vandeross III thrown to Toledo26 broken up by #12 J.Kwiatkowski
0.0
Q1 3:18
(03:25) Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Toledo24 (#12 J.Kwiatkowski; #94 D.Fisher), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q1 2:47
(02:52) Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass incomplete deep left to #2 J.Vandeross III thrown to Toledo48
0.0
Q1 2:42
(02:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 K.Christian rush left for 1 yard loss to the Toledo23 (#97 M.Heldman)
0.0
Q1 1:55
(02:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short right to #89 J.Petersen caught at Toledo27, for 7 yards to the Toledo30 (#4 J.Jackson; #3 B.Deasfernandes)
0.0
Q1 1:11
(01:20) #36 E.Duran punt 40 yards to the CMU30
+0.1
Q1 1:02
(01:10) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short left to #20 L.Lewis caught at CMU33, for 4 yards to the CMU34 (#4 A.Smith; #7 E.McNeil-Warren)
+2.9
Q1 1:11
Timeout Toledo, clock 01:11
-2.7
Q1 0:36
(00:36) Shotgun #10 M.Beamon rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CMU38 (#0 N.Bowers)
+2.7
Q1 0:00
End of 1st quarter.
+0.9
Q2 14:56
(14:59) Shotgun #10 M.Beamon rush middle for 6 yards loss to the CMU32 (#6 B.Awls)
+0.3
Q2 14:32
(14:37) #18 D.Duley punt 43 yards to the Toledo25 fair catch by #12 B.Hammer at Toledo25
-0.5
Q2 14:01
(14:01) Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass incomplete deep left to #2 J.Vandeross III thrown to Toledo46. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL UPHELD
-2.4
Q2 14:32
(14:32) Shotgun #10 K.Christian rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Toledo26 (#6 K.Carroll)
0.0
Q2 13:48
(13:57) Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short right to #81 E.Holley III caught at Toledo36, for 20 yards to the Toledo46 (#3 B.Deasfernandes), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q2 13:27
(13:31) No Huddle #1 C.Trayanum rush middle for 11 yards gain to the CMU43 (#4 J.Jackson), 1ST DOWN
-1.3
Q2 13:07
(13:11) No Huddle #1 C.Trayanum rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CMU41 (#12 J.Kwiatkowski)
-0.3
Q2 12:43
(12:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason rush middle for 23 yards gain to the CMU18 (#2 E.Rikard; #12 J.Kwiatkowski), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q2 12:19
(12:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush left for 1 yard gain to the CMU17 (#98 J.Decker; #12 J.Kwiatkowski) PENALTY Toledo Holding (#52 A.Boswell) 10 yards from CMU18 to CMU28. NO PLAY
-0.2
Q2 11:50
(11:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short right to #5 T.Crosby Jr. caught at CMU17, for 17 yards to the CMU11 (#6 K.Carroll)
0.0
Q2 11:19
(11:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass incomplete short middle to #5 T.Crosby Jr. thrown to CMU00
0.0
Q2 11:12
(11:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass incomplete short left to #89 J.Petersen thrown to CMU00 broken up by #15 C.Spann QB hurried by #1 D.Cochran
+0.4
Q2 11:04
(11:10) #45 D.Cunanan field goal attempt from 29 yards NO GOOD blocked by #1 D.Cochran (H: #36 E.Duran, LS: #40 J.Roe), clock 11:04 recovered by CMU #98 J.Decker at CMU09 #98 J.Decker return 8 yards to the CMU17 (#94 C.Campbell) PENALTY CMU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#15 C.Spann) 8 yards from CMU17 to CMU09
+0.5
Q2 11:04
Timeout Toledo, clock 11:04
0.0
Q2 10:15
(10:21) #5 N.Biggins rush right for 2 yards loss to the CMU10 (#3 A.Fuller)
+4.3
Q2 9:33
(09:37) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass incomplete short right to #20 L.Lewis thrown to CMU19 broken up by #6 B.Awls
0.0
Q2 9:26
(09:28) #18 D.Duley punt 43 yards to the Toledo47 fair catch by #12 B.Hammer at Toledo47
-0.2
Q2 9:21
(09:25) Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass incomplete deep left to #2 J.Vandeross III thrown to CMU27
-3.5
Q2 9:15
(09:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 K.Christian rush right for 4 yards gain to the CMU49 (#12 J.Kwiatkowski; #10 E.Gordon)
0.0
Q2 8:43
(08:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short left to #2 J.Vandeross III caught at CMU50, for 7 yards to the CMU42 (#2 E.Rikard; #10 E.Gordon) PENALTY Toledo Holding (#55 I.Traore) 10 yards from CMU49 to Toledo41. NO PLAY
-0.2
Q2 8:07
(08:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short middle to #2 J.Vandeross III caught at CMU43, for 24 yards to the CMU35 (#12 J.Kwiatkowski), 1ST DOWN
-0.6
Q2 7:50
(07:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush right for 1 yard loss to the CMU36 (#97 M.Heldman)
-1.0
Q2 7:10
(07:10) PENALTY Toledo Delay Of Game (#4 T.Gleason) 5 yards from CMU36 to CMU41. NO PLAY
0.0
Q2 7:06
(07:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass incomplete short right to #5 T.Crosby Jr. thrown to CMU32 QB hurried by #1 D.Cochran
+0.2
Q2 6:49
(07:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass complete short middle to #5 T.Crosby Jr. caught at CMU37, for 4 yards to the CMU37 (#6 K.Carroll; #4 J.Jackson)
0.0
Q2 6:20
(06:25) #36 E.Duran punt 34 yards to the CMU03
+1.4
Q2 6:00
(06:07) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass incomplete short right to #8 D.Temple thrown to CMU15 QB hurried by #8 M.Poynter
+5.7
Q2 6:07
Timeout Toledo, clock 06:07
-6.1
Q2 11:03
(11:03) #6 T.Cornist rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CMU12 (#49 C.D'Appolonia)
+3.9
Q2 5:55
(06:00) Shotgun #22 B.Townsend rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CMU07 (#12 E.Carter; #46 J.Peters)
+2.2
Q2 5:21
(05:21) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass incomplete deep right to #19 T.McIntosh thrown to CMU34 PENALTY Toledo Offside (#46 J.Peters) 5 yards from CMU07 to CMU12. NO PLAY
0.0
Q2 5:10
(05:15) #22 B.Townsend rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CMU15 (#49 C.D'Appolonia; #97 A.Dunn), 1ST DOWN
+0.2
Q2 4:30
(04:36) #5 N.Biggins rush right for 2 yards loss to the CMU13 (#9 L.Julien; #8 M.Poynter), out of bounds
+0.2
Q2 3:59
PENALTY CMU False Start (#76 M.Koivisto) 5 yards from CMU13 to CMU08. NO PLAY
0.0
Q2 3:30
(03:35) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short right to #8 D.Temple caught at CMU13, for 10 yards to the CMU18 (#3 A.Fuller), out of bounds
0.0
Q2 2:55
(03:01) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short right to #19 T.McIntosh caught at CMU23, for 21 yards to the CMU39, out of bounds at CMU39, 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q2 2:21
(02:26) Shotgun #22 B.Townsend rush right for 5 yards gain to the CMU44 (#4 A.Smith)
+0.7
Q2 1:53
(02:00) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete deep middle to #20 L.Lewis caught at Toledo19, for 37 yards to the Toledo19, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
+0.4
Q2 2:00
Timeout Central Michigan, clock 02:00
-0.2
Q2 1:28
(01:33) Shotgun #22 B.Townsend rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Toledo18 (#6 B.Awls)
+2.8
Q2 0:49
(00:52) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short right to #22 B.Townsend caught at Toledo17, for 5 yards to the Toledo13 (#4 A.Smith)
+0.9
Q2 0:49
PENALTY CMU False Start (#19 T.McIntosh) 5 yards from Toledo13 to Toledo18. NO PLAY
-0.2
Q2 0:43
(00:49) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short right to #20 L.Lewis caught at Toledo15, for 8 yards to the Toledo10 QB hurried by #8 M.Poynter (#3 A.Fuller), out of bounds
0.0
Q2 0:38
(00:41) #47 C.Graham field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #18 D.Duley, LS: #30 B.Pratt), clock 00:38
+4.3
Q2 0:32
(00:38) #47 C.Graham kickoff 57 yards to the Toledo08 #12 B.Hammer return 37 yards to the Toledo45 (#47 C.Graham), out of bounds
-0.5
Q2 0:27
(00:30) Shotgun #4 T.Gleason pass incomplete short right to #9 T.Rudolph thrown to Toledo47
-2.0
Q2 0:12
(00:15) Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush right for 0 yards to the CMU47 (#2 E.Rikard)
-1.5
Q2 0:18
Timeout Toledo, clock 00:18
+0.1
Q2 0:01
(00:01) Shotgun #7 K.Osborne sacked for loss of 12 yards to the Toledo41 (#12 J.Kwiatkowski), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
+0.2
Q2 0:01
Timeout Toledo, clock 00:01
-0.3
Q2 0:00
End of 2nd quarter.
+0.3
Q2 0:26
(00:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Gleason rush middle for 8 yards gain to the CMU47 fumbled by #4 T.Gleason at CMU48 forced by #12 J.Kwiatkowski recovered by Toledo #55 I.Traore at CMU47, End Of Play
+1.2
Q3 15:00
(15:00) #37 R.Hammond III kickoff 54 yards to the CMU11 fair catch by #22 B.Townsend at CMU11
+1.5
Q3 14:56
(15:00) #22 B.Townsend rush middle for 3 yards gain to the CMU28 (#6 B.Awls)
+1.1
Q3 14:14
(14:22) Shotgun #22 B.Townsend rush middle for 11 yards gain to the CMU39 (#3 A.Fuller; #20 L.Long), 1ST DOWN
+2.4
Q3 13:33
(13:37) #6 T.Cornist rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CMU40 (#12 E.Carter; #20 L.Long)
+0.6
Q3 12:48
(12:53) Shotgun #5 N.Biggins rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CMU42 (#4 A.Smith)
0.0
Q3 12:10
(12:13) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass incomplete short left to #20 L.Lewis thrown to CMU45 QB hurried by #93 M.Davis
-0.2
Q3 12:01
(12:09) #18 D.Duley punt 58 yards to the Toledo00, Touchback
-0.6
Q3 11:56
(12:00) Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Toledo24 (#1 D.Cochran; #98 J.Decker)
-1.4
Q3 12:01
Timeout Central Michigan, clock 12:01
+1.4
Q3 11:27
(11:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short left to #1 C.Trayanum caught at Toledo23, for 3 yards to the Toledo27 (#1 D.Cochran)
-1.4
Q3 10:54
(11:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Toledo29 (#12 J.Kwiatkowski)
0.0
Q3 10:18
(10:24) #36 E.Duran punt 40 yards to the CMU31 fair catch by #15 C.Spann at CMU31
+1.3
Q3 10:14
(10:18) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass incomplete short middle to #20 L.Lewis thrown to CMU43 broken up by #7 E.McNeil-Warren
+1.5
Q3 10:18
Timeout Toledo, clock 10:18
-1.5
Q3 10:09
(10:14) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass incomplete short right to #22 B.Townsend thrown to CMU25 QB hurried by #58 A.Dunn Jr
+4.1
Q3 10:03
(10:09) Shotgun #22 B.Townsend rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CMU37 (#7 E.McNeil-Warren; #97 A.Dunn)
+0.5
Q3 9:21
(09:36) #18 D.Duley punt 61 yards to the Toledo02
-0.2
Q3 9:13
(09:21) Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short left to #9 T.Rudolph caught at Toledo06, for 10 yards to the Toledo12 (#2 E.Rikard; #17 M.Blackwell), 1ST DOWN
-3.9
Q3 8:52
(08:56) Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush left for 13 yards gain to the Toledo25 (#2 E.Rikard; #40 L.Brown), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q3 8:10
(08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short right to #2 J.Vandeross III caught at Toledo21, for 15 yards to the Toledo40 (#1 D.Cochran; #2 E.Rikard), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q3 7:38
(07:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush left for 33 yards gain to the CMU27 (#2 E.Rikard), 1ST DOWN
-0.8
Q3 7:08
(07:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CMU25 (#1 D.Cochran; #98 J.Decker)
-2.0
Q3 6:35
(06:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush middle for 0 yards to the CMU25 (#96 Q.Bird; #4 J.Jackson)
+0.1
Q3 6:02
(06:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short left to #89 J.Petersen thrown to CMU08
0.0
Q3 5:55
(06:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne sacked for loss of 4 yards to the CMU29 (#97 M.Heldman), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
+0.7
Q3 5:26
(05:55) Shotgun #2 J.Labas sacked for loss of 8 yards to the CMU21 (#55 D.Ray Jr.), fumble by #2 J.Labas recovered by CMU #2 J.Labas at CMU21, End Of Play
+6.2
Q3 5:55
Timeout Toledo, clock 05:55
-6.2
Q3 4:52
(04:58) Shotgun #22 B.Townsend rush right for 3 yards gain to the CMU24 (#58 A.Dunn Jr; #3 A.Fuller)
+6.5
Q3 3:59
(04:18) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete deep right to #3 T.Davis caught at Toledo40, for 36 yards to the Toledo40 (#0 N.Bowers), 1ST DOWN
+3.3
Q3 3:27
(03:30) Shotgun #22 B.Townsend rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Toledo39 (#20 L.Long; #7 E.McNeil-Warren)
+2.1
Q3 2:42
(02:47) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass incomplete short right to #88 H.Dryden thrown to Toledo38 broken up by #6 B.Awls QB hurried by #7 E.McNeil-Warren
0.0
Q3 2:36
(02:38) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short right to #19 T.McIntosh caught at Toledo38, for 5 yards to the Toledo34 (#49 C.D'Appolonia)
-0.3
Q3 2:00
(02:05) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short right to #20 L.Lewis caught at Toledo30, for 3 yards to the Toledo31 (#4 A.Smith), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
+0.2
Q3 1:54
(01:58) Shotgun #10 K.Christian rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Toledo39 (#85 J.Douglas; #40 L.Brown)
-4.3
Q3 1:28
(01:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush left for 2 yards gain to the Toledo41 (#12 J.Kwiatkowski), 1ST DOWN
-1.0
Q3 0:56
(01:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short right to #89 J.Petersen thrown to CMU42 broken up by #4 J.Jackson
-0.3
Q3 0:50
(00:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 K.Christian rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Toledo43 (#10 E.Gordon)
0.0
Q3 0:10
(00:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short middle to #1 C.Trayanum caught at Toledo42, for 57 yards to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:10, 1ST DOWN #45 D.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #36 E.Duran, LS: #40 J.Roe)
-23.3
Q3 0:11
(00:11) #37 R.Hammond III kickoff 57 yards to the CMU08 fair catch by #22 B.Townsend at CMU08
+0.9
Q3 0:06
(00:11) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass incomplete short left to #8 D.Temple thrown to CMU35 QB hurried by #12 E.Carter
+5.8
Q3 0:04
(00:04) Shotgun #5 N.Biggins rush middle for 6 yards gain to the CMU31 (#49 C.D'Appolonia; #38 K.Sherman)
0.0
Q3 0:00
End of 3rd quarter.
0.0
Q4 14:59
(14:59) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass incomplete deep middle to #22 B.Townsend thrown to Toledo45 PENALTY Toledo Pass Interference (#38 K.Sherman) 15 yards from CMU31 to CMU46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
0.0
Q4 14:47
(14:53) Shotgun #5 N.Biggins rush middle for 12 yards gain to the Toledo42 (#7 E.McNeil-Warren), 1ST DOWN
+1.3
Q4 14:06
(14:10) #6 T.Cornist rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Toledo38 (#20 L.Long; #97 A.Dunn)
+1.6
Q4 13:31
(13:31) #2 J.Labas pass complete deep middle to #20 L.Lewis caught at Toledo12, for 30 yards to the Toledo08 (#4 A.Smith) PENALTY CMU Illegal Formation (#19 T.McIntosh) 5 yards from Toledo38 to Toledo43. NO PLAY
+0.3
Q4 12:56
(12:59) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass incomplete short middle to #88 H.Dryden thrown to Toledo40 broken up by #93 M.Davis
-0.3
Q4 12:39
(12:52) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short left to #8 D.Temple caught at Toledo38, for 8 yards to the Toledo35 QB hurried by #12 E.Carter (#93 M.Davis; #0 N.Bowers)
-0.2
Q4 12:01
(12:08) Shotgun #20 L.Lewis rush right for 8 yards loss to the Toledo43 (#4 A.Smith), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
+1.1
Q4 11:55
(11:59) Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Toledo47 (#17 M.Blackwell; #47 C.Graham)
-10.3
Q4 12:01
Timeout Central Michigan, clock 12:01
+10.3
Q4 11:13
(11:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush middle for 8 yards gain to the CMU45 (#12 J.Kwiatkowski; #2 E.Rikard), 1ST DOWN
-10.5
Q4 10:36
(10:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush middle for 1 yard loss to the CMU46 (#1 D.Cochran)
-1.7
Q4 9:55
(10:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short right to #2 J.Vandeross III caught at CMU41, for 23 yards to the CMU23 (#2 E.Rikard), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
-0.8
Q4 9:15
(09:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 K.Christian rush right for 5 yards gain to the CMU18 (#40 L.Brown) PENALTY CMU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#6 K.Carroll) 9 yards from CMU18 to CMU09, 1ST DOWN
-1.5
Q4 8:41
(08:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 K.Christian rush middle for 9 yards gain to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:41 #45 D.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #36 E.Duran, LS: #40 J.Roe) #45 D.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #36 E.Duran, LS: #40 J.Roe) PENALTY #45 D.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #36 E.Duran, LS: #40 J.Roe) PENALTY CMU Personal Foul 15 yards from CMU00 to Toledo50 #45 D.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #36 E.Duran, LS: #40 J.Roe) PENALTY CMU Personal Foul (#15 C.Spann) 15 yards from CMU00 to Toledo50
-10.9
Q4 8:41
(08:41) #37 R.Hammond III kickoff 50 yards to the CMU00, Touchback
+0.1
Q4 8:35
(08:38) Shotgun #2 J.Labas sacked for loss of 7 yards to the CMU18 (#38 K.Sherman)
+4.5
Q4 7:54
(07:58) Shotgun #2 J.Labas sacked for loss of 7 yards to the CMU11 (#8 M.Poynter)
0.0
Q4 7:18
(07:18) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass intercepted by #7 E.McNeil-Warren at CMU34, End Of Play. Toledo is challenging the ruling on the field - "Interception". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (07:18) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass incomplete deep left to #20 L.Lewis thrown to CMU35)
+0.1
Q4 7:04
(07:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush right for 7 yards gain to the CMU27 (#96 Q.Bird; #27 T.Campbell)
-4.9
Q4 6:22
(06:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CMU23 (#15 C.Spann; #96 Q.Bird), 1ST DOWN
+0.1
Q4 5:38
(05:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush right for 3 yards gain to the CMU20 (#15 C.Spann)
-0.1
Q4 4:53
(04:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush left for 1 yard gain to the CMU19 (#1 D.Cochran)
-0.2
Q4 4:10
(04:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush middle for 1 yard loss to the CMU20 (#12 J.Kwiatkowski)
0.0
Q4 3:23
(03:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush middle for 7 yards gain (7) to the CMU13 fumbled by #7 K.Osborne at CMU15 forced by #85 J.Douglas recovered by CMU #56 K.Demma at CMU13, End Of Play PENALTY Toledo UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#65 S.Gales) 15 yards from CMU13 to CMU28, 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q4 3:08
(03:17) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short middle to #19 T.McIntosh caught at CMU34, for 6 yards to the CMU34 (#49 C.D'Appolonia)
+1.9
Q4 2:49
(02:58) Shotgun #2 J.Labas sacked for loss of 12 yards to the CMU22 (#38 K.Sherman)
0.0
Q4 2:18
(02:25) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short left to #19 T.McIntosh caught at CMU30, for 15 yards to the CMU37 (#6 B.Awls)
-0.3
Q4 1:56
(02:00) Shotgun #2 J.Labas rush middle for 0 yards to the CMU37 (#93 M.Davis), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
0.0
Q4 2:00
Timeout Central Michigan, clock 02:00
+0.1
Q4 1:56
PENALTY Toledo False Start (#65 S.Gales) 5 yards from CMU37 to CMU42. NO PLAY
-1.9
Q4 1:49
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush middle for 42 yards gain to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:49, 1ST DOWN #45 D.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #36 E.Duran, LS: #40 J.Roe)
-2.2
Q4 1:42
(01:49) #37 R.Hammond III kickoff 60 yards to the CMU05 #5 N.Biggins return 32 yards to the CMU37 (#22 N.Thompson), out of bounds
0.0
Q4 1:35
(01:41) Shotgun #2 J.Labas rush middle for 1 yard gain to the CMU38 (#55 D.Ray Jr.; #49 C.D'Appolonia)
+1.2
Q4 1:07
(01:16) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short right to #5 N.Biggins caught at CMU40, for 8 yards to the CMU46 (#3 A.Fuller; #93 M.Davis)
0.0
Q4 0:49
(00:51) Shotgun #5 N.Biggins rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Toledo49 (#93 M.Davis), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q4 0:39
(00:43) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass incomplete short middle to #20 L.Lewis thrown to Toledo39 broken up by #49 C.D'Appolonia
0.0
Q4 0:31
(00:37) Shotgun #5 N.Biggins rush middle for 19 yards gain to the Toledo30 (#7 E.McNeil-Warren), 1ST DOWN
0.0
Q4 0:21
(00:27) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short left to #3 T.Davis caught at Toledo31, for 17 yards to the Toledo13 (#6 B.Awls), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
+0.1
Q4 0:12
(00:21) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short left to #20 L.Lewis caught at Toledo10, for 5 yards to the Toledo08 (#49 C.D'Appolonia)
0.0
Q4 0:01
(00:01) Shotgun #2 J.Labas pass complete short left to #8 D.Temple caught at Toledo04, for 4 yards to the Toledo04 (#49 C.D'Appolonia; #0 N.Bowers)
0.0
Q4 0:00
End of 4th quarter.
0.0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q3 0:10
(00:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short middle to #1 C.Trayanum caught at Toledo42, for 57 yards to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:10, 1ST DOWN #45 D.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #36 E.Duran, LS: #40 J.Roe)
-23.3
TD · Q4 8:41
(08:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 K.Christian rush middle for 9 yards gain to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:41 #45 D.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #36 E.Duran, LS: #40 J.Roe) #45 D.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #36 E.Duran, LS: #40 J.Roe) PENALTY #45 D.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #36 E.Duran, LS: #40 J.Roe) PENALTY CMU Personal Foul 15 yards from CMU00 to Toledo50 #45 D.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #36 E.Duran, LS: #40 J.Roe) PENALTY CMU Personal Foul (#15 C.Spann) 15 yards from CMU00 to Toledo50
-10.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 11:13
(11:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush middle for 8 yards gain to the CMU45 (#12 J.Kwiatkowski; #2 E.Rikard), 1ST DOWN
-10.5
YardLine · model v2Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com