Try the model
KENT

Kent State 35 at Northern Illinois 31

NIU
2025 · Week 14 · Nov 28, 2025 · Huskie Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · NIU
modelNIU aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playNIU scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:03 · (07:11) #36 J.Ference punt 54 yards to the KENT00, Touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differential
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 142Pregame prior+1.7Home team on offense+10.6Garbage-time factor+3.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3Score differential+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:15: (04:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #1 D.Martin caught at N IU00, for 17 yards to the N IU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:15, 1ST DOWN #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #61 C.Durkin, LS: #41 G.Goodell) — KENT win probability +12.6 pts (now 47%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:47: (00:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush left for 9 yards gain to the KENT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:47 #60 A.Glass kick attempt good (H: #90 D.Vuckovic, LS: #44 R.Pedro) — NIU win probability +12.5 pts (now 74%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:52: (13:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KENT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:52 #60 A.Glass kick attempt good (H: #90 D.Vuckovic, LS: #44 R.Pedro) — NIU win probability +15.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:23: (10:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 C.Wolford rush right for 31 yards gain to the N IU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:23, 1ST DOWN #1 D.Martin pass attempt Successful — KENT win probability +21.7 pts (now 33%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:11: (04:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush left for 26 yards gain to the N IU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:11, 1ST DOWN #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #61 C.Durkin, LS: #41 G.Goodell) — KENT win probability +61.0 pts (now 82%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6KENT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 13:18KENT 4th & 1 at NIU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    35.4%−0.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    35.5%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:02KENT 4th & 8 at NIU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    35.7%−<0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    35.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:49KENT 4th & 14 at NIU 17, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    35.4%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:26NIU 4th & 7 at NIU 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−0.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.9%
    average punt
  5. Q3 11:38NIU 4th & 6 at midfield, up 4
    Close callPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:49KENT 4th & 1 at NIU 16, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    31.7%−2.2
    81% to make
    Punt
    24.9%−9.0
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:20KENT 4th & 6 at NIU 11, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    25.3%−7.6
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:16NIU 4th & 5 at KENT 16, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−1.0
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.1%
    81% to make
    Punt
    52.3%−12.8
    average punt
  9. Q4 7:03NIU 4th & 3 at NIU 46, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.2%−1.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:55NIU 4th & 2 at NIU 46, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.9%−9.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:28NIU 4th & 10 at KENT 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.0%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    14.7%−4.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    10.6%−8.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4KENT made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 2:12NIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:17KENT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:20NIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:15KENT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:47NIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:52NIU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:23KENT Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    26.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    25.6%−0.9
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:11KENT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1DOWNS
11 plays · 35 yds · 2:4735% → 35%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
65.2%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 C.Wolford rush left for 21 yards gain to the KENT46 (#33 T.Powell; #3 J.Finley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
65.0%
(14:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short right thrown to N IU35Similar
Q1 14:11
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+8
65.0%
(14:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush middle for 8 yards gain to the N IU46 (#33 T.Powell; #22 J.Beeler)Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+1
64.9%
(13:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush middle for 1 yard gain to the N IU45 fumbled by #12 D.DeShields at N IU50 recovered by KENT #12 D.DeShields at N IU50 (#11 J.Williams)Similar
Q1 13:18
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+3
64.9%
(13:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush right for 3 yards gain to the N IU42 (#6 D.Dixon; #26 J.Finley IV), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
64.7%
(12:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short left to #21 C.Wolford thrown to N IU33 broken up by #3 J.FinleySimilar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+2
64.7%
(12:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush left for 2 yards gain to the N IU40 (#32 Q.Urwiler; #10 M.Hensley)Similar
Q1 12:03
3RD & 8
OPP 40
0
64.7%
(12:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete deep right to #30 D.Clark thrown to N IU10 broken up by #26 J.Finley IVSimilar
Q1 12:02
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
64.9%
(12:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short left to #21 C.Wolford thrown to N IU33 broken up by #3 J.Finley, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2FUMBLE
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:3465% → 65%
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
65.0%
(11:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush middle for 0 yards to the N IU40 (#6 M.Maddox; #5 T.Aden)Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
64.8%
(11:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush middle for 0 yards to the N IU40 fumbled by #14 J.Macon at N IU35 recovered by KENT #32 T.Rubinstein at N IU40, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3FG
9 plays · 23 yds · 2:3036% → 36%
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
64.3%
(11:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short right to #6 W.Harris thrown to N IU30, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY N IU Pass Interference 10 yards from N IU40 to N IU30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
64.2%
(11:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Nubin rush middle for 4 yards gain to the N IU26 (#17 F.Maciorowski; #32 Q.Urwiler)Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+13
64.0%
(10:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush middle for 13 yards gain to the N IU13 (#3 J.Finley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
63.9%
(10:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush middle for 6 yards gain to the N IU07 (#17 F.Maciorowski; #32 Q.Urwiler)Similar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+10
63.8%
(09:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush left for 4 yards gain to the N IU03 (#22 J.Beeler) PENALTY KENT Holding 10 yards from N IU07 to N IU17. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 14
OPP 17
0
63.6%
(09:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short right thrown to N IU13 QB hurried by #16 J.ThomasSimilar
Q1 8:54
3RD & 14
OPP 17
0
64.0%
(08:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short right to #30 D.Clark thrown to N IU10Similar
Q1 8:49
4TH & 14
OPP 17
+34
64.3%
(08:52) #47 W.Hryszko field goal attempt from 34 yards GOOD (H: #61 C.Durkin, LS: #41 G.Goodell), clock 08:49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4TD
14 plays · 71 yds · 6:2465% → 68%
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
65.3%
(08:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush right for 7 yards gain to the N IU36 (#13 T.Tucker; #31 D.Jackson III)Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+2
65.5%
(08:14) Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush middle for 2 yards gain to the N IU38 (#94 A.Williams)Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+1
65.3%
(07:36) Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush left for 1 yard gain to the N IU39 (#13 T.Tucker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
65.2%
(06:55) Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush middle for 6 yards gain to the N IU45 (#32 T.Rubinstein)Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+6
65.2%
(06:24) Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush middle for 6 yards gain to the KENT49 (#31 D.Jackson III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
65.5%
(05:54) Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush left for 2 yards gain to the KENT47 (#15 S.Abuhamdeh; #95 J.Davis)Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+7
65.6%
(05:23) Shotgun #24 E.Porter rush left for 7 yards gain to the KENT40 (#13 T.Tucker)Similar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+22
64.3%
(04:41) Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush left for 22 yards gain to the KENT18 (#13 T.Tucker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
64.7%
(04:12) Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush right for 5 yards gain to the KENT13 (#32 T.Rubinstein)Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+7
64.7%
(03:28) Shotgun #14 J.Macon pass complete short middle to #83 J.Fowler caught at KENT07, for 7 yards to the KENT06 (#0 M.Woods), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
64.7%
(02:51) Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush left for 4 yards gain to the KENT02 (#4 J.Mathis)Similar
Q1 2:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
67.8%
(02:16) Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KENT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:12 #60 A.Glass kick attempt good (H: #90 D.Vuckovic, LS: #44 R.Pedro)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5TD
13 plays · 81 yds · 4:3933% → 41%
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
67.5%
(02:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KENT23 (#32 Q.Urwiler)Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 6
OWN 23
0
67.5%
(01:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete deep right to #6 W.Harris thrown to KENT43 broken up by #26 J.Finley IVSimilar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+7
68.1%
(01:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short right to #1 D.Martin thrown to KENT30, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY N IU Pass Interference 7 yards from KENT23 to KENT30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
67.4%
(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Nubin rush left for 1 yard loss to the KENT29 (#23 M.Pretto)Similar
Q1 0:37
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+13
67.8%
(00:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush middle for 13 yards gain to the KENT42 (#3 J.Finley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+37
66.9%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete deep middle to #6 W.Harris caught at N IU23, for 37 yards to the N IU21 (#26 J.Finley IV), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+12
65.3%
(14:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush middle for 12 yards gain to the N IU09 (#33 T.Powell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
65.3%
(13:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush middle for 3 yards gain to the N IU06 (#32 Q.Urwiler; #33 T.Powell)Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
65.3%
(13:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush left for 1 yard gain to the N IU05 (#33 T.Powell; #11 J.Williams)Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
58.9%
(12:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #89 T.Mulder caught at N IU00, for 5 yards to the N IU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:17 #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #61 C.Durkin, LS: #41 G.Goodell)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:3761% → 60%
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
61.4%
(12:12) Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush right for 6 yards gain to the N IU24 (#13 T.Tucker)Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+6
61.5%
(11:34) Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush middle for 6 yards gain to the N IU30 (#15 S.Abuhamdeh), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
61.4%
(10:55) Shotgun #14 J.Macon pass incomplete short left to #0 L.Bryant thrown to N IU34Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
61.0%
(10:53) Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush middle for 2 yards gain to the N IU32 (#94 A.Williams; #18 T.Miller)Similar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+1
60.6%
(10:14) Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush right for 1 yard gain to the N IU33 (#95 J.Davis; #4 J.Mathis)Similar
Q2 9:26
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
59.5%
(09:36) #36 J.Ference punt 43 yards to the KENT24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 1:1540% → 41%
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
59.7%
(09:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush right for 2 yards gain to the KENT26 (#17 F.Maciorowski)Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+2
59.5%
(08:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short left to #6 W.Harris caught at KENT23, for 2 yards to the KENT28 (#32 Q.Urwiler; #22 J.Beeler)Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
58.9%
(08:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass intercepted by #32 Q.Urwiler at KENT43, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8TD
2 plays · 43 yds · 0:3760% → 70%
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
59.7%
(08:05) Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush right for 5 yards gain to the KENT38 (#10 C.Williams), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+38
69.7%
(07:30) Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush middle for 38 yards gain to the KENT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:20, 1ST DOWN #60 A.Glass kick attempt good (H: #90 D.Vuckovic, LS: #44 R.Pedro)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:5930% → 47%
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
69.9%
(07:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush right for 7 yards gain to the KENT32 (#7 D.Harrison)Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
68.9%
(06:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KENT34 (#10 M.Hensley)Similar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
68.9%
(06:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KENT35 (#57 K.Nelson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+44
69.7%
(05:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete deep left to #21 C.Wolford caught at N IU21, for 44 yards to the N IU21 (#7 D.Harrison), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
66.1%
(05:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Nubin rush right for 4 yards gain to the N IU17 (#32 Q.Urwiler)Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+17
53.5%
(04:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #1 D.Martin caught at N IU00, for 17 yards to the N IU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:15, 1ST DOWN #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #61 C.Durkin, LS: #41 G.Goodell)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:2056% → 74%
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
55.6%
(04:14) Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush middle for 8 yards gain to the N IU33 (#13 T.Tucker)Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
57.5%
(03:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush middle for 3 yards gain to the N IU36 (#15 S.Abuhamdeh), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
56.3%
(03:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush right for 1 yard gain to the N IU37 (#44 A.Bottiggi)Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+3
55.5%
(02:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush left for 3 yards gain to the N IU40 (#5 T.Aden)Similar
Q2 2:29
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+10
56.5%
(02:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush left for 10 yards gain to the N IU50 (#12 J.Boamah), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
50
+11
59.0%
(02:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush left for 11 yards gain to the KENT39 (#21 J.Cordoba), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+17
61.1%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush left for 17 yards gain to the KENT22 (#12 J.Boamah), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
62.5%
(01:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush left for 0 yards to the KENT22 (#15 S.Abuhamdeh; #4 J.Mathis)Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+13
61.9%
(01:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush middle for 13 yards gain to the KENT09 (#15 S.Abuhamdeh), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
74.4%
(00:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush left for 9 yards gain to the KENT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:47 #60 A.Glass kick attempt good (H: #90 D.Vuckovic, LS: #44 R.Pedro)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11END OF HALF
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:1627% → 27%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
73.5%
(00:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short left to #13 A.Banks caught at KENT29, for 4 yards to the KENT29 (#22 J.Beeler)Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
73.0%
(00:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short left to #84 J.Kimbrough caught at KENT30, for 5 yards to the KENT34 (#4 M.Jammeh)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:1268% → 67%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
67.5%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush right for 1 yard gain to the N IU36 (#6 M.Maddox)Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+7
67.7%
(14:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon pass complete short right to #6 D.Rogers caught at N IU35, for 7 yards to the N IU43 (#5 T.Aden)Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+3
68.6%
(13:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush middle for 3 yards gain to the N IU46 (#10 C.Williams; #0 M.Woods), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
69.6%
(13:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon pass incomplete deep middle to #3 R.Taylor Jr. thrown to KENT10Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+6
68.5%
(12:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush left for 6 yards gain to the KENT48 (#31 D.Jackson III)Similar
Q3 12:13
3RD & 4
OPP 48
-2
69.1%
(12:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush right for 2 yards loss to the KENT50 (#0 M.Woods)Similar
Q3 11:38
4TH & 6
50
0
66.7%
(11:43) #36 J.Ference punt 33 yards to the KENT17 fair catch by #6 W.Harris at KENT17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13FG
11 plays · 72 yds · 5:1231% → 37%
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
69.1%
(11:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush middle for 1 yard loss to the KENT16 (#10 M.Hensley; #32 Q.Urwiler)Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 11
OWN 16
+59
71.1%
(10:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #1 D.Martin caught at KENT22, for 59 yards to the N IU25 (#3 J.Finley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
66.0%
(10:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short left to #6 W.Harris caught at N IU26, for 7 yards to the N IU18 (#22 J.Beeler)Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+2
66.0%
(09:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #84 J.Kimbrough rush middle for 2 yards gain to the N IU16 (#22 J.Beeler)Similar
Q3 8:56
3RD & 1
OPP 16
0
67.6%
(09:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short left to #11 C.Berry thrown to N IU03 broken up by #7 D.HarrisonSimilar
Q3 8:49
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+1
69.1%
(08:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush middle for 1 yard gain to the N IU15 (#22 J.Beeler), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
65.9%
(08:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush right for 5 yards gain to the N IU10 (#95 L.Ingold)Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+3
66.0%
(07:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush left for 3 yards gain to the N IU07 (#23 M.Pretto; #32 Q.Urwiler)Similar
Q3 6:51
3RD & 2
OPP 7
-4
67.7%
(06:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields sacked for loss of 4 yards to the N IU11 (#90 R.Jean)Similar
Q3 6:20
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+28
63.4%
(06:23) #47 W.Hryszko field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #61 C.Durkin, LS: #41 G.Goodell), clock 06:20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14FG
15 plays · 55 yds · 6:5168% → 76%
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
67.6%
(06:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush left for 2 yards gain to the N IU31 (#33 J.Roy)Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+9
67.5%
(05:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush right for 9 yards gain to the N IU40 (#13 T.Tucker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
68.9%
(04:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush middle for 8 yards gain to the N IU48 (#0 M.Woods)Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+7
70.1%
(04:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 E.Porter rush right for 7 yards gain to the KENT45 (#15 S.Abuhamdeh), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
70.7%
(03:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Rogers rush left for 7 yards gain to the KENT38 (#18 T.Miller)Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+4
70.8%
(03:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush right for 4 yards gain to the KENT34 (#18 T.Miller; #13 T.Tucker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
72.5%
(02:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 1 yard loss to the KENT35 (#33 J.Roy)Similar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+10
72.3%
(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush left for 10 yards gain to the KENT25 (#4 J.Mathis)Similar
Q3 1:09
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+4
70.9%
(01:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KENT21 (#55 J.Cordoba), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
72.8%
(00:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush middle for 9 yards gain to the KENT12 (#15 S.Abuhamdeh; #8 N.Brown)Similar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 1
OPP 12
-3
72.8%
(00:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush right for 3 yards loss to the KENT15 (#12 J.Boamah)Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 4
OPP 15
-1
71.3%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush right for 1 yard loss to the KENT16 (#19 D.Barnes)Similar
Q4 14:16
4TH & 5
OPP 16
+33
75.8%
(14:19) #60 A.Glass field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #90 D.Vuckovic, LS: #44 R.Pedro), clock 14:16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · -34 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+49
75.9%
(14:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #1 D.Martin caught at KENT32, for 15 yards to the KENT50 fumbled by #1 D.Martin at KENT48 forced by #32 Q.Urwiler recovered by N IU #33 T.Powell at KENT50 #33 T.Powell return 49 yards to the KENT01 (#5 G.Garcia)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q4 13:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.3%
(13:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KENT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:52 #60 A.Glass kick attempt good (H: #90 D.Vuckovic, LS: #44 R.Pedro)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 3:1711% → 33%
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
88.8%
(13:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Nubin rush middle for 10 yards gain to the KENT43 (#4 M.Jammeh), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
88.7%
(13:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Nubin rush right for 8 yards gain to the N IU49 (#4 M.Jammeh; #33 T.Powell)Similar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+5
87.5%
(12:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush middle for 5 yards gain to the N IU44 (#90 R.Jean), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
89.3%
(11:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short middle to #13 A.Banks caught at N IU33, for 12 yards to the N IU32 (#22 J.Beeler; #3 J.Finley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
88.6%
(11:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete deep right to #30 D.Clark thrown to N IU00Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+1
88.9%
(11:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush right for 1 yard gain to the N IU31 (#32 Q.Urwiler)Similar
Q4 10:23
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+31
67.1%
(10:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 C.Wolford rush right for 31 yards gain to the N IU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:23, 1ST DOWN #1 D.Martin pass attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18PUNT
11 plays · 21 yds · 3:1477% → 77%
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
77.2%
(10:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush middle for 8 yards gain to the N IU33 (#32 T.Rubinstein)Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-1
78.9%
(09:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush middle for 1 yard loss to the N IU32 (#0 M.Woods; #21 J.Cordoba)Similar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
74.8%
(09:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon pass complete short middle to #83 J.Fowler caught at N IU31, for 7 yards to the N IU39 (#32 T.Rubinstein), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
77.3%
(08:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush right for 1 yard gain to the N IU40 (#0 M.Woods)Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+5
79.0%
PENALTY KENT Offside 5 yards from N IU40 to N IU45. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+1
80.2%
(07:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush middle for 1 yard gain to the N IU46 (#8 N.Brown)Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
78.9%
(07:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon pass incomplete short right to #8 P.Oppong thrown to KENT40Similar
Q4 7:03
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
77.0%
(07:11) #36 J.Ference punt 54 yards to the KENT00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:4424% → 82%
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
76.2%
(07:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush right for 2 yards gain to the KENT22 (#32 Q.Urwiler)Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+29
77.3%
(06:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush right for 29 yards gain to the N IU49 (#26 J.Finley IV; #15 B.Windham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
71.5%
(05:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush middle for 2 yards gain to the N IU47 (#23 M.Pretto)Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
71.9%
(05:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short right thrown to N IU33 QB hurried by #95 L.IngoldSimilar
Q4 5:04
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+15
73.7%
(05:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete deep right to #1 D.Martin thrown to N IU20 PENALTY N IU Pass Interference 15 yards from N IU47 to N IU32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
79.3%
(04:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush middle for 6 yards gain to the N IU26 (#22 J.Beeler; #10 M.Hensley)Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+26
18.3%
(04:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush left for 26 yards gain to the N IU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:11, 1ST DOWN #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #61 C.Durkin, LS: #41 G.Goodell)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20DOWNS
17 plays · 48 yds · 3:3648% → 13%
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
47.5%
(04:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush left for 1 yard gain to the N IU26 (#15 S.Abuhamdeh)Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+12
46.7%
(03:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush left for 12 yards gain to the N IU38 (#8 N.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
46.7%
(03:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush right for 4 yards gain to the N IU42 (#13 T.Tucker; #15 S.Abuhamdeh)Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+3
48.7%
(02:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush middle for 3 yards gain to the N IU45 (#15 S.Abuhamdeh; #58 D.Blachewicz)Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+1
30.3%
(02:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush right for 1 yard gain to the N IU46 (#33 J.Roy)Similar
Q4 1:55
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+5
28.4%
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon pass complete short left to #6 D.Rogers caught at KENT49, for 5 yards to the KENT49, out of bounds at KENT49, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
34.4%
(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush middle for 11 yards gain to the KENT38 (#5 T.Aden; #13 T.Tucker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
35.6%
(01:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush middle for 6 yards gain to the KENT32 (#8 N.Brown)Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+5
42.6%
(01:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush right for 3 yards gain to the KENT29 (#18 T.Miller), out of bounds PENALTY KENT Illegal Substitution 5 yards from KENT32 to KENT27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
39.6%
(01:13) Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush middle for 1 yard loss to the KENT28 (#5 T.Aden)Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 11
OPP 28
0
30.3%
(00:45) Shotgun #14 J.Macon pass incomplete short right to #7 G.Givens III thrown to KENT19 broken up by #18 T.MillerSimilar
Q4 0:33
3RD & 11
OPP 28
+1
17.2%
(00:39) Shotgun #14 J.Macon pass complete short right to #45 T.Johnson Jr. caught at KENT30, for 1 yard to the KENT27 (#8 N.Brown)Similar
Q4 0:28
4TH & 10
OPP 27
0
12.5%
(00:31) Shotgun #14 J.Macon pass incomplete deep right to #7 G.Givens III thrown to KENT03, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
4.5%
(00:26) Kneel down by #12 D.DeShields at KENT26 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:11
(04:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush left for 26 yards gain to the N IU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:11, 1ST DOWN #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #61 C.Durkin, LS: #41 G.Goodell)
-61
TD · Q4 10:23
(10:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 C.Wolford rush right for 31 yards gain to the N IU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:23, 1ST DOWN #1 D.Martin pass attempt Successful
-21.7
TD · Q4 13:52
(13:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KENT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:52 #60 A.Glass kick attempt good (H: #90 D.Vuckovic, LS: #44 R.Pedro)
+15.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com