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WMU

Western Michigan 31 at Eastern Michigan 21

EMU
2025 · Week 14 · Nov 25, 2025 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+4.2EMU 7.4%(12:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kimpass complete short left to #81N.Devereaux caught at WMU00, for 1yard to the WMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock12:14 #1 N.Kim pass attempt failedAWAY 31 - HOME 13 · Q4 12:14
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:14 · (12:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #81 N.Devereaux caught at WMU00, for 1 yard to the WMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:14 #1 N.Kim pass attempt failed
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Home team on offense−26.2Pregame prior−5.2Score differential−19.4Garbage-time factor−11.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:13: (07:20) Shotgun #0 T.Williams rush left for 36 yards gain to the EMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:13, 1ST DOWN #20 P.Domschke kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 R.Todd) — WMU win probability +11.8 pts (now 67%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:31: (01:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush left for 33 yards gain to the EMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:31, 1ST DOWN #20 P.Domschke kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 R.Todd) — WMU win probability +12.9 pts (now 73%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:31: (07:38) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush right for 1 yard gain to the EMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:31 #20 P.Domschke kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 R.Todd) — WMU win probability +10.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:14: (12:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #81 N.Devereaux caught at WMU00, for 1 yard to the WMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:14 #1 N.Kim pass attempt failed — EMU win probability +4.2 pts (now 7%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:28: (02:31) Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush middle for 20 yards gain to the WMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:28, 1ST DOWN #87 J.Long pass attempt Successful — EMU win probability +8.4 pts (now 10%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:27EMU 4th & 11 at EMU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:25WMU 4th & 1 at EMU 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:39WMU 4th & 6 at WMU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:10EMU 4th & 4 at EMU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%−0.8
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%
    average punt
  5. Q3 11:58WMU 4th & 7 at WMU 46, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.7%
    average punt
  6. Q4 10:04WMU 4th & 4 at WMU 41, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%
    average punt
  7. Q4 5:36WMU 4th & 17 at EMU 44, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    97.4%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  8. Q4 3:00EMU 4th & 2 at WMU 36, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    2.1%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q4 1:08WMU 4th & 1 at EMU 33, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    93.4%−1.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    92.3%−2.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 3WMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 6:35EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:13WMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:31WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:31WMU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:31WMU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:14EMU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    5.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    5.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:28EMU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    6.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    5.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:1626% → 27%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
26.4%
(14:51) Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush left for 2 yards gain to the EMU24 (#91 M.Tyler)Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 8
OWN 24
-3
26.6%
(14:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim rush middle for 3 yards loss to the EMU21 (#91 M.Tyler)Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 11
OWN 21
0
26.8%
(13:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short left to #87 J.Long thrown to EMU38 QB hurried by #0 M.Al-GarawiSimilar
Q1 13:27
4TH & 11
OWN 21
+4
26.9%
(13:34) #30 M.Tomasek punt 41 yards to the WMU38 #86 B.Bosma return 4 yards to the WMU42 (#9 P.Rooks)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5573% → 72%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
26.9%
(13:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush left for 2 yards gain to the WMU44 (#0 Q.Byas), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+3
27.1%
(12:51) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WMU47 (#9 D.Green)Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+4
27.4%
(12:13) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush middle for 4 yards gain to the EMU49 (#5 T.Martin; #9 D.Green)Similar
Q1 11:25
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
27.8%
(11:32) #25 R.Millmore punt 47 yards to the EMU02Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 98 yds · 4:4328% → 34%
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
28.1%
(11:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EMU03 (#91 M.Tyler)Similar
Q1 10:28
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+50
28.5%
(10:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #28 D.McMillan caught at EMU09, for 50 yards to the WMU47 (#3 T.Hallock), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
29.3%
(10:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush right for 2 yards gain to the WMU45 (#9 J.Camden)Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+6
29.6%
(09:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 T.Dunlap rush right for 6 yards gain to the WMU39 (#9 J.Camden), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+1
30.0%
(08:50) Shotgun #8 T.Dunlap rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WMU38 (#0 M.Al-Garawi)Similar
Q1 8:04
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+10
30.1%
(08:04) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete deep middle to #81 N.Devereaux thrown to WMU11 broken up by #8 J.Sims PENALTY WMU Holding (#8 J.Sims) 10 yards from WMU38 to WMU28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
30.8%
(07:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 T.Dunlap rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WMU24 (#10 S.Saipaia; #3 T.Hallock)Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+8
31.2%
(07:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #7 J.Wheeler caught at WMU15, for 8 yards to the WMU16, out of bounds at WMU16, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
31.5%
(06:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short right to #81 N.Devereaux thrown to WMU00 broken up by #5 A.WoffordSimilar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+5
31.5%
PENALTY EMU False Start (#65 N.Gallegos) 5 yards from WMU16 to WMU21. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 15
OPP 21
+21
34.2%
(06:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #28 D.McMillan caught at WMU26, for 21 yards to the WMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:35, 1ST DOWN #46 R.Kessinger kick attempt good (H: #30 M.Tomasek, LS: #51 M.Dietzel)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 2:4367% → 64%
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
33.1%
(06:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WMU20 (#11 Z.Mowchan)Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+4
33.6%
(05:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush left for 4 yards gain to the WMU24 (#5 T.Martin; #3 B.Manning)Similar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+9
34.2%
(05:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 T.Williams rush right for 9 yards gain to the WMU33 (#9 D.Green), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
34.3%
(04:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass incomplete deep middle to #18 A.Chenault thrown to EMU21 broken up by #4 J.SalasSimilar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+4
34.6%
(04:29) Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush right for 4 yards gain to the WMU37 (#11 Z.Mowchan)Similar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
35.1%
(03:51) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass incomplete deep right to #82 B.Brooks thrown to EMU31Similar
Q1 3:39
4TH & 6
OWN 37
0
35.7%
(03:44) #25 R.Millmore punt 48 yards to the EMU15 fair catch by #9 P.Rooks at EMU15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5INT
11 plays · 66 yds · 3:5037% → 41%
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
36.5%
(03:38) Shotgun #8 T.Dunlap rush right for 7 yards gain to the EMU22 (#9 J.Camden) PENALTY EMU Holding (#23 H.Mack) 7 yards from EMU15 to EMU08. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 17
OWN 8
+14
37.0%
(03:10) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #23 H.Mack caught at EMU21, for 14 yards to the EMU22 (#6 J.Pope)Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+10
37.5%
(02:40) Shotgun #1 N.Kim rush left for 10 yards gain to the EMU32, out of bounds at EMU32, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
37.9%
PENALTY EMU False Start (#65 N.Gallegos) 5 yards from EMU32 to EMU27. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & 15
OWN 27
-3
38.3%
(01:45) Shotgun #8 T.Dunlap rush right for 3 yards loss to the EMU24 (#1 J.Franklin)Similar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 18
OWN 24
0
38.7%
(01:01) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short middle to #23 H.Mack thrown to EMU28Similar
Q1 0:48
3RD & 18
OWN 24
+54
38.6%
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush middle for 54 yards gain to the WMU22 (#58 T.Lee), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
41.4%
(00:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #8 T.Dunlap caught at WMU21, for 3 yards to the WMU19 (#9 J.Camden)Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 7
OPP 19
0
41.6%
(14:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short middle to #9 P.Rooks thrown to WMU00Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 7
OPP 19
0
41.2%
(14:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass intercepted by #6 J.Pope at WMU05, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6TD
13 plays · 95 yds · 7:2759% → 67%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
41.1%
(14:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush right for 1 yard gain to the WMU06 (#6 B.Llewellyn; #33 C.Evans)Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+18
41.9%
(14:13) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short right to #86 B.Bosma caught at WMU07, for 18 yards to the WMU24 (#11 Z.Mowchan), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
41.7%
(13:36) Shotgun #5 D.Miles rush left for 4 yards gain to the WMU28 (#99 W.Tayou)Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+7
41.9%
(12:59) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WMU35 (#3 B.Manning; #13 J.Marshall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
42.5%
(12:21) Shotgun #5 D.Miles rush right for 9 yards gain to the WMU44 (#13 J.Marshall)Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+10
41.3%
(11:43) Shotgun #5 D.Miles rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WMU46 (#90 H.Gonzalez) PENALTY WMU Holding (#86 B.Bosma) 10 yards from WMU44 to WMU34. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 11:07
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+8
44.1%
(11:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush left for 8 yards gain to the WMU42 (#8 J.Norman; #3 B.Manning)Similar
Q2 10:28
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+4
43.0%
(10:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WMU46 (#90 H.Gonzalez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
44.0%
(09:57) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short left to #6 J.Buckley caught at WMU50, for 8 yards to the EMU46 (#44 M.Patierno)Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+1
43.4%
(09:23) Shotgun #5 D.Miles rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EMU45 (#9 D.Green)Similar
Q2 8:31
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+7
44.1%
(08:37) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush right for 7 yards gain to the EMU38 (#91 R.Gardner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
45.3%
(08:01) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush middle for 2 yards gain to the EMU36 (#5 T.Martin; #40 B.Eliuk)Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+36
33.4%
(07:20) Shotgun #0 T.Williams rush left for 36 yards gain to the EMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:13, 1ST DOWN #20 P.Domschke kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 R.Todd)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7FUMBLE
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:3040% → 45%
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
40.0%
(07:12) Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush middle for 2 yards gain to the EMU27 (#4 R.McGraw)Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
40.7%
(06:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #17 B.Prosper caught at EMU34, for 6 yards to the EMU33 (#1 J.Franklin)Similar
Q2 5:43
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+48
41.5%
(05:53) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #28 D.McMillan caught at EMU33, for 48 yards to the WMU19 (#12 D.Moore), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
44.9%
(05:11) Shotgun #8 T.Dunlap rush middle for 1 yard loss to the WMU20 (#4 R.McGraw)Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+9
45.4%
(04:25) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short middle to #23 H.Mack caught at WMU15, for 9 yards to the WMU11 (#1 J.Franklin)Similar
Q2 3:37
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+20
45.4%
(03:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim rush right for 1 yard gain (-19) to the WMU10 fumbled by #1 N.Kim at WMU08 forced by #3 T.Hallock recovered by WMU #14 J.Peters at WMU10 #14 J.Peters return 20 yards to the WMU45 (#81 N.Devereaux) PENALTY WMU Sideline Inteference 5 yards from WMU30 to WMU25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0060% → 73%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
39.9%
(03:35) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush left for 3 yards gain to the WMU28, out of bounds at WMU28Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+25
40.0%
(03:04) Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 25 yards gain to the EMU47 (#6 B.Llewellyn), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
37.0%
(02:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Leary rush left for 5 yards loss to the WMU48 (#11 Z.Mowchan), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+19
39.9%
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short left to #2 M.Brescia caught at EMU39, for 19 yards to the EMU33 (#6 B.Llewellyn), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
26.9%
(01:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush left for 33 yards gain to the EMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:31, 1ST DOWN #20 P.Domschke kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 R.Todd)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:1732% → 34%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.1%
(01:30) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short right to #23 H.Mack thrown to EMU36Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
32.0%
(01:26) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short left thrown to EMU40Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
31.7%
(01:21) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #81 N.Devereaux caught at EMU30, for 6 yards to the EMU31 (#5 A.Wofford)Similar
Q2 1:10
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
34.2%
(01:13) #30 M.Tomasek punt 47 yards to the WMU22 fair catch by #86 B.Bosma at WMU22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 1:0168% → 76%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
32.3%
(01:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush middle for 9 yards gain to the WMU31 (#11 Z.Mowchan)Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+5
30.9%
(00:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 5 yards gain to the WMU36 (#64 N.Patterson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+22
31.0%
(00:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short right to #82 B.Brooks caught at WMU50, for 22 yards to the EMU42 (#11 Z.Mowchan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
28.1%
(00:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass incomplete short right to #82 B.Brooks thrown to EMU34Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+8
28.6%
(00:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush middle for 8 yards gain to the EMU34 (#6 B.Llewellyn; #13 J.Marshall)Similar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+8
27.4%
(00:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 T.Williams rush left for 8 yards gain to the EMU26 (#13 J.Marshall), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
27.1%
(00:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass incomplete, SpikeSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
26.0%
(00:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass incomplete deep left to #18 A.Chenault thrown to EMU00Similar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+44
24.3%
(00:04) #20 P.Domschke field goal attempt from 44 yards GOOD (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 R.Todd), clock 00:02Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:4876% → 77%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
23.9%
(14:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WMU33 (#9 D.Green; #11 Z.Mowchan)Similar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+10
23.9%
(14:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short right to #86 B.Bosma caught at WMU43, for 10 yards to the WMU43 QB hurried by #6 B.Llewellyn, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-9
22.9%
(13:37) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry sacked for loss of 9 yards to the WMU34 (#9 D.Green)Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 19
OWN 34
+12
23.7%
(12:50) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush middle for 12 yards gain to the WMU46 (#11 Z.Mowchan; #3 B.Manning)Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 7
OWN 46
0
22.5%
(12:08) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass incomplete short right to #0 T.Williams thrown to EMU45Similar
Q3 11:58
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
23.5%
(12:03) #25 R.Millmore punt 39 yards to the EMU15 fair catch by #9 P.Rooks at EMU15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13FUMBLE
3 plays · 22 yds · 1:1723% → 24%
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
22.9%
(11:56) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short middle to #23 H.Mack caught at EMU18, for 11 yards to the EMU26 (#18 M.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
23.3%
(11:12) Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush left for 11 yards gain to the EMU37 (#18 M.Davis; #5 A.Wofford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
23.7%
(10:32) Shotgun #1 N.Kim sacked for loss of 14 yards to the EMU23 (#11 N.Tucker), fumble by #1 N.Kim recovered by WMU #91 M.Tyler at EMU23, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Forward pass". CALL UPHELDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14TD
5 plays · 23 yds · 2:4678% → 89%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
21.6%
(10:22) Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 3 yards gain to the EMU20 (#3 B.Manning)Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+13
21.6%
(09:47) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short right to #17 M.Dieudonne caught at EMU08, for 13 yards to the EMU07, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
21.5%
(09:05) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush left for 2 yards loss to the EMU09 (#6 B.Llewellyn; #33 C.Evans)Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
21.4%
(08:27) Shotgun #18 A.Chenault rush left for 8 yards gain to the EMU01 (#22 T.Deener; #1 J.Scott), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 7:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
11.1%
(07:38) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush right for 1 yard gain to the EMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:31 #20 P.Domschke kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 R.Todd)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15INT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:2015% → 15%
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
14.7%
(07:29) Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush middle for 3 yards gain to the EMU28 (#3 T.Hallock)Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+15
14.7%
(06:57) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete deep right to #9 P.Rooks thrown to WMU48 broken up by #8 J.Sims PENALTY WMU Pass Interference (#8 J.Sims) 15 yards from EMU28 to EMU43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
16.1%
(06:51) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #7 J.Wheeler caught at EMU47, for 4 yards to the EMU47, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 6
OWN 47
0
15.8%
(06:10) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short right thrown to WMU35 QB hurried by #58 T.Lee and #4 R.McGrawSimilar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 6
OWN 47
-3
15.4%
(06:03) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass intercepted by #5 A.Wofford at WMU48 broken up by #1 J.Franklin #5 A.Wofford return 3 yards to the EMU49, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16TD
8 plays · 49 yds · 3:1692% → 98%
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
7.6%
(05:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Miles rush left for 5 yards gain to the EMU44 (#16 C.Coley)Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+14
7.2%
(05:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Leary rush right for 14 yards gain to the EMU30 (#8 J.Norman; #6 B.Llewellyn), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
6.9%
(04:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 D.Miles rush middle for 2 yards gain to the EMU28 (#9 D.Green; #5 T.Martin)Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+12
6.3%
(04:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 T.Williams rush left for 12 yards gain to the EMU16 (#11 Z.Mowchan; #33 C.Evans), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
5.8%
(03:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass incomplete short left to #7 M.Hrabowski thrown to EMU15Similar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
5.5%
(03:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass incomplete short left to #18 A.Chenault thrown to EMU00Similar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+12
5.7%
(03:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Leary rush right for 12 yards gain to the EMU04 (#4 J.Salas), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
1.8%
(02:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 4 yards gain to the EMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:31 #20 P.Domschke kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 R.Todd)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17TD
15 plays · 92 yds · 5:034% → 7%
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+9
3.9%
(02:24) Shotgun #8 T.Dunlap rush right for 9 yards gain to the EMU17 (#47 D.Moon; #18 M.Davis)Similar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 1
OWN 17
+11
3.9%
(01:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 T.Dunlap rush middle for 11 yards gain to the EMU28 (#12 D.Moore), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
3.7%
(01:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #7 J.Wheeler caught at EMU36, for 9 yards to the EMU37 (#5 A.Wofford), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+2
3.7%
(01:02) Shotgun #8 T.Dunlap rush middle for 2 yards gain to the EMU39 (#47 D.Moon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+17
3.6%
(00:32) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #23 H.Mack caught at EMU49, for 17 yards to the WMU44 (#3 T.Hallock; #18 M.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
3.4%
(00:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short right thrown to WMU36 QB hurried by #11 N.TuckerSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
3.4%
PENALTY EMU False Start (#50 O.Snively) 5 yards from WMU44 to WMU49. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 15
OPP 49
+13
3.3%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #23 H.Mack caught at WMU38, for 13 yards to the WMU36 (#5 A.Wofford; #1 J.Franklin)Similar
Q4 14:21
3RD & 2
OPP 36
0
3.5%
(14:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush middle for 0 yards to the WMU36 (#4 R.McGraw)Similar
Q4 13:41
4TH & 2
OPP 36
+15
2.9%
(13:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete deep right to #81 N.Devereaux thrown to WMU12 broken up by #5 A.Wofford PENALTY WMU Pass Interference (#5 A.Wofford) 15 yards from WMU36 to WMU21, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+20
3.2%
(13:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete deep left to #7 J.Wheeler caught at WMU01, for 20 yards to the WMU01 (#8 J.Sims), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
3.2%
(13:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush middle for 0 yards to the WMU01 (#0 M.Al-Garawi)Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
7.4%
(12:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #81 N.Devereaux caught at WMU00, for 1 yard to the WMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:14 #1 N.Kim pass attempt failedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:0084% → 85%
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
16.2%
(12:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WMU38 (#34 R.Hester; #0 Q.Byas)Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+1
15.3%
(11:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush right for 1 yard gain to the WMU39 (#5 T.Martin; #9 D.Green)Similar
Q4 10:39
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+2
15.2%
(10:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 T.Williams rush right for 2 yards gain to the WMU41 (#6 B.Llewellyn), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 10:04
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
15.3%
(10:09) #25 R.Millmore punt 39 yards to the EMU20 fair catch by #9 P.Rooks at EMU20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19INT
7 plays · 31 yds · 1:484% → 4%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
4.4%
(10:04) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short left to #8 T.Dunlap thrown to EMU21Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+11
4.4%
(09:59) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short middle to #9 P.Rooks caught at EMU31, for 11 yards to the EMU31 (#5 A.Wofford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+28
4.4%
(09:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete deep left to #7 J.Wheeler caught at WMU47, for 28 yards to the WMU41 (#5 A.Wofford), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
4.9%
(09:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short middle to #23 H.Mack thrown to WMU39 QB hurried by #10 S.SaipaiaSimilar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-8
4.8%
(09:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #8 T.Dunlap caught at WMU48, for 8 yards loss to the WMU49 QB hurried by #11 N.Tucker (#5 A.Wofford)Similar
Q4 8:12
3RD & 18
OPP 49
-22
4.2%
(08:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass intercepted by #10 S.Saipaia at WMU41 #10 S.Saipaia return 22 yards to the EMU37 (#23 H.Mack; #79 E.Small)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · -7 yds · 2:2758% → 86%
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
41.7%
(08:09) Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 4 yards gain to the EMU33 (#0 Q.Byas)Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 6
OPP 33
-1
38.2%
(07:25) Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 1 yard loss to the EMU34 (#40 B.Eliuk; #99 W.Tayou)Similar
Q4 6:41
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+25
37.1%
(06:41) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short right to #86 B.Bosma caught at EMU33, for 10 yards to the EMU24 (#40 B.Eliuk) PENALTY WMU Personal Foul (#18 A.Chenault) 15 yards from EMU24 to EMU39Similar
Q4 6:09
3RD & 12
OPP 39
+5
17.0%
PENALTY WMU False Start (#62 R.Anderson) 5 yards from EMU39 to EMU44. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 5:41
3RD & 17
OPP 44
0
13.5%
(05:45) Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 0 yards to the EMU44 (#88 R.Hardin; #11 Z.Mowchan)Similar
Q4 5:36
4TH & 17
OPP 44
0
14.1%
(05:41) #25 R.Millmore punt 36 yards to the EMU08 fair catch by #9 P.Rooks at EMU08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21TD
14 plays · 92 yds · 3:041% → 10%
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
1.1%
(05:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short right to #6 Z.Griffin thrown to EMU24 QB hurried by #1 J.FranklinSimilar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+7
1.0%
(05:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #28 D.McMillan caught at EMU04, for 7 yards to the EMU15 (#3 T.Hallock)Similar
Q4 5:04
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+16
1.0%
(05:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush middle for 16 yards gain to the EMU31 (#18 M.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
1.0%
(04:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short right thrown to EMU33 QB hurried by #4 R.McGrawSimilar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+25
1.0%
(04:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #9 P.Rooks caught at EMU43, for 25 yards to the WMU44 (#6 J.Pope; #18 M.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
1.1%
(04:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short right to #6 Z.Griffin thrown to WMU33Similar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
1.3%
(04:09) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short middle to #7 J.Wheeler caught at WMU39, for 3 yards to the WMU41 (#3 T.Hallock)Similar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+5
1.3%
(03:35) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short middle to #87 J.Long caught at WMU36, for 5 yards to the WMU36 (#6 J.Pope)Similar
Q4 3:00
4TH & 2
OPP 36
+16
1.2%
(03:10) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #87 J.Long caught at WMU26, for 16 yards to the WMU20 QB hurried by #11 N.Tucker (#9 J.Camden), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
1.4%
(02:38) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short to #28 D.McMillan thrown to WMU30 QB hurried by #11 N.Tucker and #20 K.FisherSimilar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
9.8%
(02:31) Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush middle for 20 yards gain to the WMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:28, 1ST DOWN #87 J.Long pass attempt SuccessfulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 22END OF HALF
10 plays · 10 yds · 1:4597% → 98%
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
3.2%
(02:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 5 yards gain to the EMU37 (#91 R.Gardner; #44 M.Patierno)Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+2
2.4%
(02:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 2 yards gain to the EMU35 (#90 H.Gonzalez; #6 B.Llewellyn)Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+2
2.0%
(01:59) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush middle for 2 yards gain to the EMU33 (#40 B.Eliuk)Similar
Q4 1:08
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+2
2.3%
(01:09) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush right for 2 yards gain to the EMU31 (#91 R.Gardner; #6 B.Llewellyn), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
2.0%
(00:36) Kneel down by #12 B.Lowry at EMU32 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:31
(01:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush left for 33 yards gain to the EMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:31, 1ST DOWN #20 P.Domschke kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 R.Todd)
-12.9
TD · Q2 7:13
(07:20) Shotgun #0 T.Williams rush left for 36 yards gain to the EMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:13, 1ST DOWN #20 P.Domschke kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 R.Todd)
-11.8
TD · Q3 7:31
(07:38) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush right for 1 yard gain to the EMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:31 #20 P.Domschke kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 R.Todd)
-10.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com