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BGSU

Bowling Green 45 at Massachusetts 14

MASS
2025 · Week 14 · Nov 25, 2025 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:49 · (12:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 B.Hood rush middle for 0 yards to the BGSU43 (#0 K.Pascal; #23 M.Bradley), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 123Home team on offense−37.7Pregame prior−8.9Score differential−22.9Garbage-time factor−13.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:43: (13:45) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UMass00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:43, 1ST DOWN #14 J.Kleather kick attempt good (H: #85 T.Kenner, LS: #47 G.Carlson) — BGSU win probability +5.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:44: Blane Cleaver 4 Yd pass from Hunter Najm (Jackson Kleather Kick) — BGSU win probability +2.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:30: (03:33) Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass complete short middle to #83 R.Adkins caught at BGSU06, for 20 yards to the BGSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:30, 1ST DOWN #99 D.Morris kick attempt good (H: #98 K.Andrews, LS: #47 J.Borbon) — MASS win probability +4.1 pts (now 11%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:29: (00:30) Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass complete short right to #11 M.Dowling caught at BGSU00, for 2 yards to the BGSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:29 #99 D.Morris kick attempt good (H: #98 K.Andrews, LS: #47 J.Borbon) — MASS win probability +5.7 pts (now 16%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:41: (00:45) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 24 yards gain to the UMass00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:41, 1ST DOWN #14 J.Kleather kick attempt good (H: #85 T.Kenner, LS: #47 G.Carlson) — BGSU win probability +5.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 7 of 7BGSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5
  1. Q1 9:00MASS 4th & 3 at MASS 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:15MASS 4th & 25 at MASS 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−1.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:54BGSU 4th & 2 at BGSU 46, up 14
    Close callPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.6%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:11MASS 4th & 2 at MASS 33, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:40BGSU 4th & 7 at MASS 45, up 21
    Close callPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    91.6%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.8%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:55MASS 4th & 7 at MASS 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:25BGSU 4th & 2 at MASS 39, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    86.0%−1.7
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.1%−1.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:04MASS 4th & 2 at MASS 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.9%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:41BGSU 4th & 1 at MASS 24, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    87.5%−2.3
    68% to make
    Punt
    81.0%−8.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:49MASS 4th & 1 at BGSU 43, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%−1.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:38BGSU 4th & 5 at MASS 24, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.4%
    68% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:34MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 33, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1BGSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 10:18BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:18BGSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:44BGSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:30MASS Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:41BGSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:56BGSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 4:2884% → 83%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
15.7%
(14:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush left for 1 yard gain to the BGSU32 (#12 B.Bailey)Similar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+9
16.0%
(14:18) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush left for 9 yards gain to the BGSU41 (#3 K.Bournes; #19 R.Henry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+34
16.3%
(13:41) Shotgun #26 C.Pettaway rush right for 34 yards gain to the UMass25 (#38 Z.Daniel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
16.5%
(13:01) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UMass22 (#11 T.Grant-Randall; #5 T.Martin)Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+4
16.7%
(12:23) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UMass18 (#38 Z.Daniel; #3 K.Bournes)Similar
Q1 11:31
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+5
17.1%
(11:41) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass complete short left to #88 J.Harris caught at UMass20, for 5 yards to the UMass13 (#3 K.Bournes), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
17.2%
(11:06) Shotgun #25 M.Porter rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMass11 (#5 T.Martin)Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+11
16.6%
(10:26) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass complete short left to #14 A.Dendy caught at UMass16, for 11 yards to the UMass00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:18, 1ST DOWN #14 J.Kleather kick attempt good (H: #85 T.Kenner, LS: #47 G.Carlson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0517% → 17%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
17.0%
(10:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan rush left for 3 yards loss to the UMass22 (#4 G.Lampron)Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
17.1%
(09:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass incomplete short right to #2 J.Gibson thrown to UMass32Similar
Q1 9:38
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+10
17.0%
(09:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass complete short right to #11 M.Dowling caught at UMass25, for 10 yards to the UMass32 (#18 A.Hines III), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
17.1%
(09:06) #98 K.Andrews punt 58 yards to the BGSU10, out of bounds at BGSU10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3TD
2 plays · 90 yds · 0:3383% → 84%
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
17.2%
(08:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 M.Porter rush right for 3 yards gain to the BGSU13 (#49 S.Jackson; #5 T.Martin)Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+87
15.7%
(08:30) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass complete short right to #5 B.Ridley caught at BGSU11, for 87 yards to the UMass00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:18, 1ST DOWN #14 J.Kleather kick attempt good (H: #85 T.Kenner, LS: #47 G.Carlson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:5516% → 16%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
16.0%
(08:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Gibson rush left for 3 yards gain to the UMass28 (#0 K.Pascal; #23 M.Bradley)Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+20
16.2%
(07:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 R.Griffin rush left for 20 yards gain to the UMass48 (#10 J.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
16.6%
(07:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass complete short middle to #2 J.Gibson caught at BGSU40, for 12 yards to the BGSU40 (#8 J.McClendon; #18 A.Hines III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
16.7%
(06:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Faulkner rush right for 7 yards gain to the BGSU33 (#8 J.McClendon)Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 3
OPP 33
-15
16.9%
(05:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan sacked for loss of 15 yards to the BGSU48 (#8 J.McClendon)Similar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 18
OPP 48
-7
16.5%
(05:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan sacked for loss of 7 yards to the UMass45 (#5 E.George)Similar
Q1 4:15
4TH & 25
OWN 45
0
16.4%
(04:20) #98 K.Andrews punt 43 yards to the BGSU12, out of bounds at BGSU12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 4:1284% → 84%
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
15.8%
(04:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 5 yards gain to the BGSU17 (#49 S.Jackson; #29 Z.Farris)Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+7
15.8%
(03:41) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush right for 7 yards gain to the BGSU24 (#5 T.Martin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
15.7%
(03:04) Shotgun #26 C.Pettaway rush middle for 6 yards gain to the BGSU30 (#1 M.Greene; #3 K.Bournes)Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+8
15.5%
(02:30) Shotgun #26 C.Pettaway rush left for 8 yards gain to the BGSU38 (#3 K.Bournes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+20
15.4%
(01:50) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass complete short right to #7 J.Johnson caught at BGSU35, for 10 yards to the BGSU48 (#10 Z.Igwenagu; #30 D.Dyson) PENALTY BGSU Holding (#2 R.Garcia II) 10 yards from BGSU48 to BGSU38Similar
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
15.4%
(00:47) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush right for 1 yard gain to the BGSU39 (#5 T.Martin; #1 M.Greene), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 0:22
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
15.4%
(00:29) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass incomplete short left to #7 J.Johnson thrown to UMass47 broken up by #0 D.CraigSimilar
Q1 0:22
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+7
15.5%
(00:00) Shotgun #25 M.Porter rush middle for 7 yards gain to the BGSU46 (#9 D.Onuoha)Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
15.6%
(14:56) #19 J.Henderson punt 41 yards to the UMass13 fair catch by #2 J.Gibson at UMass13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6FUMBLE
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:2416% → 16%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
16.2%
(14:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan rush right for 3 yards gain to the UMass16 (#45 B.Booker; #57 D.White)Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+2
16.2%
(14:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 B.Hood rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMass18 fumbled by #26 B.Hood at UMass18 forced by #4 G.Lampron recovered by BGSU #0 K.Pascal at UMass18 #0 K.Pascal return 7 yards to the UMass11 (#9 G.Jordan)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7TD
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:2785% → 90%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
15.1%
(14:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UMass08 (#0 D.Craig)Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
9.8%
(13:45) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UMass00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:43, 1ST DOWN #14 J.Kleather kick attempt good (H: #85 T.Kenner, LS: #47 G.Carlson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1811% → 11%
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
11.4%
(13:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass complete short right to #18 M.Ogunniyi caught at UMass24, for 3 yards to the UMass28 (#15 P.EstoEsta)Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
11.4%
(13:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass incomplete deep left to #18 M.Ogunniyi thrown to BGSU35Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
11.2%
(12:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass complete short middle to #83 R.Adkins caught at UMass31, for 4 yards to the UMass32 (#2 M.Cannon)Similar
Q2 12:11
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
11.2%
(12:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass incomplete short middle to #7 J.McConnachie thrown to UMass38 broken up by #10 J.Johnson, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9TD
5 plays · 32 yds · 2:1891% → 94%
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
9.4%
(12:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 M.Porter rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMass30 (#16 M.White; #5 T.Martin)Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+11
9.1%
(11:28) Shotgun #25 M.Porter rush right for 11 yards gain to the UMass19 (#6 J.McGill; #38 Z.Daniel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
8.8%
(10:49) Shotgun #25 M.Porter rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UMass14 (#6 J.McGill; #38 Z.Daniel) PENALTY UMass UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#5 T.Martin) 7 yards from UMass14 to UMass07, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
8.7%
(10:23) Shotgun #25 M.Porter rush left for 3 yards gain to the UMass04 (#38 Z.Daniel; #19 R.Henry)Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
6.4%
Blane Cleaver 4 Yd pass from Hunter Najm (Jackson Kleather Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10TD
14 plays · 73 yds · 6:007% → 11%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
6.6%
(09:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 R.Griffin rush left for 2 yards gain to the UMass29 (#33 J.Olverson; #15 P.EstoEsta)Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+4
6.4%
(09:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass complete short left to #2 J.Gibson caught at UMass33, for 4 yards to the UMass33, out of bounds at UMass33Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+4
6.3%
(08:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 R.Griffin rush right for 4 yards gain to the UMass37 (#0 K.Pascal; #4 G.Lampron), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
6.5%
(07:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass complete short left to #2 J.Gibson caught at UMass40, for 8 yards to the UMass45 (#8 J.McClendon; #18 A.Hines III)Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+1
6.4%
(07:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan rush left for 1 yard gain to the UMass46 (#0 K.Pascal)Similar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+2
6.2%
(06:50) #9 G.Jordan rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMass48 (#8 J.McClendon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
6.5%
(06:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass incomplete deep left to #2 J.Gibson thrown to BGSU20Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+9
6.3%
(06:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass complete short right to #3 E.Pedro caught at BGSU47, for 9 yards to the BGSU43 (#18 A.Hines III; #15 P.EstoEsta)Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+9
6.2%
(05:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Faulkner rush middle for 9 yards gain to the BGSU34 (#2 M.Cannon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
6.4%
(05:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BGSU31 (#2 M.Cannon; #33 J.Olverson)Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+8
6.2%
(04:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass complete short left to #11 M.Dowling caught at BGSU27, for 8 yards to the BGSU23 (#2 M.Cannon), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
6.9%
(04:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass complete short right to #2 J.Gibson caught at BGSU20, for 3 yards to the BGSU20 (#10 J.Johnson), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+20
11.1%
(03:33) Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass complete short middle to #83 R.Adkins caught at BGSU06, for 20 yards to the BGSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:30, 1ST DOWN #99 D.Morris kick attempt good (H: #98 K.Andrews, LS: #47 J.Borbon)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 1:3593% → 94%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
7.5%
(03:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BGSU45 (#9 D.Onuoha; #38 Z.Daniel)Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+7
7.5%
(02:49) Shotgun #16 A.Clay rush left for 7 yards gain to the UMass48 (#3 K.Bournes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
7.2%
(02:10) Shotgun #26 C.Pettaway rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UMass47 (#11 T.Grant-Randall)Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 9
OPP 47
0
6.1%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass incomplete short middle to #88 J.Harris thrown to UMass48Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+2
6.1%
(01:52) Shotgun #26 C.Pettaway rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMass45 (#16 M.White)Similar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
6.4%
(01:48) #19 J.Henderson punt 45 yards to the UMass00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 1:079% → 16%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
9.4%
(01:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass complete short right to #2 J.Gibson caught at UMass31, for 12 yards to the UMass32 (#10 J.Johnson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
9.6%
(01:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass incomplete short middle to #12 D.Gray thrown to UMass45 broken up by #10 J.JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+48
9.4%
(01:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass complete deep left to #2 J.Gibson caught at BGSU35, for 48 yards to the BGSU20 QB hurried by #23 M.Bradley (#1 K.Washington), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
10.9%
(01:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass incomplete short left to #23 E.Faulkner thrown to BGSU16Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
10.8%
(01:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass incomplete deep right to #2 J.Gibson thrown to BGSU00 QB hurried by #23 M.BradleySimilar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+13
10.4%
(01:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan rush left for 13 yards gain to the BGSU07 (#1 K.Washington; #4 G.Lampron), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
10.8%
(00:38) Shotgun #9 G.Jordan rush right for 5 yards gain to the BGSU02 (#4 G.Lampron; #5 E.George)Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
16.1%
(00:30) Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass complete short right to #11 M.Dowling caught at BGSU00, for 2 yards to the BGSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:29 #99 D.Morris kick attempt good (H: #98 K.Andrews, LS: #47 J.Borbon)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
12.8%
(00:25) Kneel down by #10 H.Najm at BGSU23 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:5514% → 14%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
14.4%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass complete short right to #2 J.Gibson caught at UMass30, for 6 yards to the UMass31 (#26 J.Andrews)Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
15.0%
(14:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Faulkner rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMass33 (#55 E.Branch-Haynes; #4 G.Lampron)Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
15.0%
(13:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan rush left for 5 yards loss to the UMass28 (#0 K.Pascal)Similar
Q3 12:55
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+12
13.7%
(13:03) #98 K.Andrews punt 57 yards to the BGSU15 #5 B.Ridley return 12 yards to the BGSU27 (#47 J.Borbon)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 5:2187% → 89%
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
13.3%
(12:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 8 yards gain to the BGSU35 (#38 Z.Daniel)Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+3
13.1%
(12:19) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush right for 3 yards gain to the BGSU38 (#19 R.Henry; #1 M.Greene), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
12.3%
(11:44) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BGSU41 (#16 M.White; #5 T.Martin)Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+2
12.0%
(11:07) Shotgun #26 C.Pettaway rush left for 2 yards gain to the BGSU43 (#5 T.Martin; #0 D.Craig)Similar
Q3 10:16
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+10
12.0%
(10:25) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass complete short left to #7 J.Johnson caught at BGSU40, for 10 yards to the UMass47 (#38 Z.Daniel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
10.8%
(09:39) Shotgun #26 C.Pettaway rush middle for 0 yards to the UMass47 (#3 K.Bournes)Similar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
10.8%
(09:00) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UMass42 (#5 T.Martin; #1 M.Greene)Similar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+3
10.7%
(08:19) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UMass39 (#9 D.Onuoha)Similar
Q3 7:25
4TH & 2
OPP 39
0
11.5%
(07:35) #19 J.Henderson punt 35 yards to the UMass04Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 16DOWNS
12 plays · 29 yds · 4:1513% → 12%
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
12.5%
(07:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Faulkner rush right for 1 yard loss to the UMass03 (#4 G.Lampron), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 11
OWN 3
0
12.3%
(06:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass incomplete deep right to #12 D.Gray thrown to UMass40 QB hurried by #18 A.Hines IIISimilar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 11
OWN 3
+13
12.1%
(06:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass complete short right to #2 J.Gibson caught at UMass16, for 13 yards to the UMass16 (#26 J.Andrews), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
12.5%
(06:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass incomplete short right to #2 J.Gibson thrown to UMass20Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+5
12.5%
(06:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 J.Price rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UMass17 (#55 E.Branch-Haynes; #7 D.Afogho) PENALTY BGSU Offside (#45 B.Booker) 5 yards from UMass16 to UMass21. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+4
12.7%
(05:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 B.Hood rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UMass25 (#4 G.Lampron)Similar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+2
12.6%
(05:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 B.Hood rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMass27 (#4 G.Lampron), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
12.2%
(05:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass complete short right to #12 D.Gray caught at UMass32, for 5 yards to the UMass32 (#26 J.Andrews; #15 P.EstoEsta), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+1
12.5%
(04:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 B.Hood rush right for 1 yard gain to the UMass33 (#26 J.Andrews; #2 M.Cannon)Similar
Q3 3:34
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+2
12.2%
(03:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass complete short middle to #86 J.Markovich caught at UMass35, for 2 yards to the UMass35 (#4 G.Lampron)Similar
Q3 3:04
4TH & 2
OWN 35
-2
12.0%
(03:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan sacked for loss of 2 yards to the UMass33 (#2 M.Cannon), TURNOVER ON DOWNS. The previous play is under automatic review - "Sack". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (03:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass complete short right to #11 M.Dowling caught at UMass39, for 6 yards to the UMass41 (#26 J.Andrews), 1ST DOWN)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17TD
4 plays · 33 yds · 1:4992% → 98%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
7.8%
(02:43) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass complete short left to #88 J.Harris caught at UMass35, for 1 yard to the UMass32 (#9 D.Onuoha), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+2
7.7%
(02:07) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMass30 (#90 T.Passmore, Jr.; #38 Z.Daniel)Similar
Q3 1:17
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+6
7.4%
(01:24) Shotgun #26 C.Pettaway rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UMass24 (#16 M.White)Similar
Q3 0:41
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+24
1.9%
(00:45) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 24 yards gain to the UMass00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:41, 1ST DOWN #14 J.Kleather kick attempt good (H: #85 T.Kenner, LS: #47 G.Carlson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 18DOWNS
10 plays · 31 yds · 2:393% → 3%
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
3.3%
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Gibson rush left for 0 yards to the UMass26 (#23 M.Bradley; #17 I.Thomison)Similar
Q3 0:02
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+12
3.2%
(00:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass complete short right to #12 D.Gray caught at UMass38, for 12 yards to the UMass38 (#26 J.Andrews), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
3.2%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass complete short right to #12 D.Gray caught at UMass45, for 7 yards to the UMass45 (#15 P.EstoEsta), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+3
3.2%
(14:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass complete short left to #11 M.Dowling caught at UMass46, for 3 yards to the UMass48 (#2 M.Cannon; #18 A.Hines III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
2.9%
(14:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass complete short left to #2 J.Gibson caught at UMass50, for 9 yards to the BGSU43, out of bounds at BGSU43Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 1
OPP 43
0
3.0%
(13:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass incomplete short left to #2 J.Gibson thrown to BGSU35Similar
Q4 13:26
3RD & 1
OPP 43
0
2.9%
(13:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Faulkner rush middle for 0 yards to the BGSU43 (#17 I.Thomison)Similar
Q4 12:49
4TH & 1
OPP 43
0
2.6%
(12:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 B.Hood rush middle for 0 yards to the BGSU43 (#0 K.Pascal; #23 M.Bradley), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19FG
8 plays · 33 yds · 5:0499% → 99%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
1.4%
(12:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Pettaway rush middle for 6 yards gain to the BGSU49 (#16 M.White)Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+12
1.4%
(12:00) Shotgun #26 C.Pettaway rush middle for 12 yards gain to the UMass39 (#0 D.Craig; #38 Z.Daniel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
1.2%
(11:15) Shotgun #26 C.Pettaway rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UMass31 (#6 J.McGill)Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+2
1.1%
(10:32) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush right for 2 yards gain to the UMass29 (#16 M.White), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
1.0%
(09:46) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush left for 2 yards gain to the UMass27 (#1 M.Greene; #5 T.Martin)Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+1
1.0%
(09:02) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UMass26 (#38 Z.Daniel)Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+2
1.0%
(08:15) Shotgun #26 C.Pettaway rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMass24 (#19 R.Henry; #11 T.Grant-Randall)Similar
Q4 7:38
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+42
0.9%
(07:41) #14 J.Kleather field goal attempt from 42 yards GOOD (H: #85 T.Kenner, LS: #47 G.Carlson), clock 07:38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:401% → 1%
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+23
1.1%
(07:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass complete short left to #2 J.Gibson caught at UMass28, for 23 yards to the UMass33 (#0 K.Pascal; #26 J.Andrews), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
1.1%
(06:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass incomplete short middle to #83 R.Adkins thrown to UMass45Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
1.1%
(06:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass incomplete short left to #83 R.Adkins thrown to UMass45Similar
Q4 6:44
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
1.1%
(06:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass incomplete deep right to #83 R.Adkins thrown to BGSU30 broken up by #8 J.McClendonSimilar
Q4 6:34
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
1.1%
(06:42) #98 K.Andrews punt 22 yards to the BGSU45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 21TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 4:2499% → 100%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+18
0.6%
(06:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 18 yards gain to the UMass37 (#1 M.Greene; #3 K.Bournes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
0.6%
(05:43) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UMass38 (#30 D.Dyson; #38 Z.Daniel)Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+13
0.6%
(05:06) Shotgun #30 P.Wimberly rush right for 13 yards gain to the UMass25 (#13 R.Sexil), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
0.5%
(04:08) Shotgun #30 P.Wimberly rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UMass21 (#30 D.Dyson)Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+2
0.4%
(03:22) Shotgun #30 P.Wimberly rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMass19 (#27 M.Pangaro; #38 Z.Daniel)Similar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+18
0.4%
(02:36) Shotgun #30 P.Wimberly rush middle for 18 yards gain to the UMass01 (#38 Z.Daniel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.1%
(01:56) Shotgun #30 P.Wimberly rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UMass00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:56 #85 T.Kenner kick attempt good (H: #19 J.Henderson, LS: #47 G.Carlson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22END OF HALF
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:160% → 0%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
0.1%
(01:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Faulkner rush middle for 14 yards gain to the UMass39 (#9 D.Lorfils), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
0.1%
(01:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Faulkner rush middle for 2 yards loss to the UMass37 (#17 I.Thomison)Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+7
0.1%
(00:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Faulkner rush right for 7 yards gain to the UMass44 (#55 E.Branch-Haynes; #24 J.Eklund)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:29
(00:30) Shotgun #9 G.Jordan pass complete short right to #11 M.Dowling caught at BGSU00, for 2 yards to the BGSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:29 #99 D.Morris kick attempt good (H: #98 K.Andrews, LS: #47 J.Borbon)
+5.7
TD · Q3 0:41
(00:45) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 24 yards gain to the UMass00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:41, 1ST DOWN #14 J.Kleather kick attempt good (H: #85 T.Kenner, LS: #47 G.Carlson)
-5.5
TD · Q2 13:43
(13:45) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UMass00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:43, 1ST DOWN #14 J.Kleather kick attempt good (H: #85 T.Kenner, LS: #47 G.Carlson)
-5.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com