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AKR

Akron 19 at Bowling Green 16

BGSU
2025 · Week 13 · Nov 18, 2025 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
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Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGFGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:05 · (06:11) #95 J.Castle punt 39 yards to the BGSU47 #5 B.Ridley return 10 yards to the Akron43 (#15 T.Thomas), out of bounds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 119Home team on offense−4.0Pregame prior+2.1Garbage-time factor−0.4Score differential−2.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 1:47: (01:47) #47 M.Schramm field goal attempt from 37 yards GOOD (H: #34 B.Johnson, LS: #30 J.Dennis), clock 01:47 — AKR win probability +4.3 pts (now 48%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:53: (03:58) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass complete deep left to #88 J.Harris caught at Akron00, for 21 yards to the Akron00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:53, 1ST DOWN #14 J.Kleather kick attempt good (H: #85 T.Kenner, LS: #47 G.Carlson) — BGSU win probability +15.9 pts (now 73%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:42: (03:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass complete deep right to #5 I.Polk caught at BGSU38, for 75 yards to the BGSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:42, 1ST DOWN #47 M.Schramm kick attempt good (H: #34 B.Johnson, LS: #30 J.Dennis) — AKR win probability +24.8 pts (now 55%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 11:43: (11:43) #47 M.Schramm field goal attempt from 30 yards GOOD (H: #34 B.Johnson, LS: #30 J.Dennis), clock 11:43 — AKR win probability +8.4 pts (now 71%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 3:20: (03:22) #14 J.Kleather field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #85 T.Kenner, LS: #47 G.Carlson), clock 03:20 — BGSU win probability +3.9 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 12AKR made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 9:58BGSU 4th & 1 at AKR 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    58.1%−0.2
    84% to make
    Punt
    57.4%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:45BGSU 4th & 9 at AKR 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    57.2%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:14AKR 4th & 6 at BGSU 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    39.0%−1.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:01BGSU 4th & 21 at AKR 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.1%−0.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    57.5%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:00BGSU 4th & 7 at AKR 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    56.1%−2.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:24AKR 4th & 16 at BGSU 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−1.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:25BGSU 4th & 1 at BGSU 29, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:55BGSU 4th & 12 at AKR 41, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.0%−0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    60.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:47AKR 4th & 5 at BGSU 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    33.6%−6.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:29AKR 4th & 1 at BGSU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    46.1%−0.8
    28% to make
    Punt
    45.5%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:42AKR 4th & 6 at BGSU 30, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.8%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    44.0%−1.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:18BGSU 4th & 5 at AKR 44, down 3
    Close callPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    50.1%−2.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:34AKR 4th & 10 at AKR 13, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%−2.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:56BGSU 4th & 9 at BGSU 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.5%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.6%
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:05AKR 4th & 5 at AKR 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−1.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:32BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%−2.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:43AKR 4th & 4 at BGSU 12, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.1%−0.7
    86% to make
    Punt
    42.7%−17.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:15BGSU 4th & 1 at AKR 35, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    30.2%−7.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    28.0%−9.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:05BGSU 4th & 1 at AKR 23, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    28.7%−4.7
    70% to make
    Punt
    16.7%−16.7
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:20BGSU 4th & 13 at AKR 13, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−1.7
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    11.6%−11.7
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:12AKR 4th & 11 at AKR 19, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%−6.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AKR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 3:42AKR Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1FG
15 plays · 65 yds · 5:5856% → 57%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
56.1%
(14:55) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass complete short right to #88 J.Harris caught at BGSU33, for 8 yards to the BGSU33, out of bounds at BGSU33Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-8
56.1%
(14:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.Najm sacked for loss of 8 yards to the BGSU25 (#11 E.Reed), fumble by #10 H.Najm recovered by BGSU #89 B.Cleaver at BGSU25, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 13:33
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+38
56.1%
(13:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass complete short right to #7 J.Johnson caught at BGSU24, for 38 yards to the Akron37 (#4 J.Anderson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
56.5%
(13:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Pettaway rush left for 8 yards gain to the Akron29 (#9 A.Branch)Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 2
OPP 29
0
56.7%
(12:29) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass incomplete short right to #2 R.Garcia II thrown to Akron30 broken up by #41 B.DallSimilar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+6
56.6%
(12:27) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush left for 6 yards gain to the Akron23 (#17 M.DeWalt IV), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
56.8%
(12:05) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush left for 7 yards gain to the Akron16 (#42 M.Spriggs)Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 3
OPP 16
-5
56.9%
(11:29) Shotgun #10 H.Najm sacked for loss of 5 yards to the Akron21 (#5 R.Hull)Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+7
56.9%
(10:48) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass complete short right to #18 W.Sharp caught at Akron19, for 7 yards to the Akron14 (#9 A.Branch; #11 E.Reed)Similar
Q1 9:58
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+3
56.8%
(10:11) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Akron11 (#17 M.DeWalt IV), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
57.3%
(09:31) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush left for 1 yard gain to the Akron10 (#23 G.Summers; #17 M.DeWalt IV)Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
57.4%
(08:55) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass incomplete short left to #7 J.Johnson thrown to Akron00Similar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
57.0%
(08:51) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass incomplete short middle to #1 A.Middleton thrown to Akron00Similar
Q1 8:45
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+28
57.3%
(08:46) #14 J.Kleather field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #85 T.Kenner, LS: #47 G.Carlson), clock 08:45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2FG
9 plays · 51 yds · 3:1943% → 44%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
57.2%
(08:33) Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass incomplete short middle to #2 M.Williams thrown to Akron39 broken up by #8 J.McClendonSimilar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+12
57.5%
(08:05) Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass complete short right to #2 M.Williams caught at Akron39, for 12 yards to the Akron40 (#8 J.McClendon), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
57.0%
PENALTY Akron False Start (#72 C.Lyons) 5 yards from Akron40 to Akron35. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+40
57.6%
(07:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley rush middle for 40 yards gain to the BGSU25 (#8 J.McClendon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
56.5%
(06:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Gant rush right for 1 yard loss to the BGSU26 (#18 A.Hines III; #38 D.Kelly)Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+5
56.6%
(05:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Gant rush middle for 5 yards gain to the BGSU21 (#18 A.Hines III; #15 P.EstoEsta)Similar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 6
OPP 21
0
56.9%
(05:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass incomplete short middle to #9 J.Louis III thrown to BGSU19 broken up by #55 E.Branch-HaynesSimilar
Q1 5:14
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+39
56.1%
(05:14) #47 M.Schramm field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #34 B.Johnson, LS: #30 J.Dennis), clock 05:14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:0558% → 56%
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
50
+17
57.6%
(05:13) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 17 yards gain to the Akron33 (#11 E.Reed), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
58.0%
(04:36) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush left for 3 yards gain to the Akron30 (#17 M.DeWalt IV)Similar
Q1 3:38
2ND & 7
OPP 30
-4
58.2%
(03:58) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 4 yards loss to the Akron34 (#10 C.Durham)Similar
Q1 3:13
3RD & 11
OPP 34
0
57.5%
(03:16) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass incomplete short right to #88 J.Harris thrown to Akron27 QB hurried by #10 C.DurhamSimilar
Q1 3:01
4TH & 21
OPP 44
0
56.1%
(03:05) #19 J.Henderson punt 44 yards to the Akron00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4FUMBLE
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:1444% → 45%
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
56.4%
(02:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass incomplete deep left to #22 J.Gant thrown to Akron45Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+15
56.5%
(02:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass incomplete deep right to #2 M.Williams thrown to BGSU47 PENALTY BGSU Pass Interference (#8 J.McClendon) 15 yards from Akron20 to Akron35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
55.8%
(02:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Gant rush left for 0 yards to the Akron35 (#23 M.Bradley; #0 K.Pascal)Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
55.9%
(02:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass incomplete deep left to #5 I.Polk thrown to BGSU43Similar
Q1 2:16
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-9
56.5%
(02:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley sacked for loss of 9 yards to the Akron26 (#4 G.Lampron) PENALTY BGSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#23 M.Bradley) 15 yards from Akron26 to Akron41, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
55.1%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley rush right for 12 yards gain to the BGSU47 (#15 P.EstoEsta), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
54.8%
(01:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Gant rush middle for 5 yards gain to the BGSU42 (#0 K.Pascal)Similar
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
54.6%
(00:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley sacked for loss of 8 yards to the BGSU50 (#18 A.Hines III), fumble by #10 B.Finley recovered by BGSU #18 A.Hines III at Akron50, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5FG
10 plays · 40 yds · 3:3059% → 59%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
50
0
58.5%
(00:40) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass incomplete short middle to #88 J.Harris thrown to Akron35Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 10
50
+1
58.3%
(00:30) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Akron49 (#54 K.Murphy)Similar
Q2 14:44
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+9
57.6%
(14:58) Shotgun #10 H.Najm rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Akron40 (#13 R.Hunter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
58.8%
(14:15) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass incomplete short left to #7 J.Johnson thrown to Akron32Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+27
58.8%
(14:11) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass complete short left to #14 A.Dendy caught at Akron40, for 27 yards to the Akron13 (#23 G.Summers), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
59.4%
(13:31) Shotgun #26 C.Pettaway rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Akron12 (#23 G.Summers)Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+2
59.5%
(12:52) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Akron10 (#10 C.Durham; #42 M.Spriggs)Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
58.9%
(12:05) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass incomplete short right to #88 J.Harris thrown to Akron00Similar
Q2 12:00
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+28
58.9%
(12:01) #14 J.Kleather field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #85 T.Kenner, LS: #47 G.Carlson), clock 12:00Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 4:1641% → 40%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
59.0%
(11:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Gant rush middle for 15 yards gain to the Akron40 (#4 G.Lampron), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
57.8%
(11:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Gant rush left for 0 yards to the Akron40 (#4 G.Lampron)Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
58.3%
(10:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley rush right for 2 yards gain to the Akron42 (#8 J.McClendon), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 9:53
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+17
58.3%
(10:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass complete short middle to #3 K.Mason caught at BGSU43, for 17 yards to the BGSU41 (#0 K.Pascal), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
56.9%
(09:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Gant rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BGSU40 (#7 D.Afogho)Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 9
OPP 40
-9
56.9%
(08:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley sacked for loss of 9 yards to the BGSU49 (#5 E.George)Similar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 18
OPP 49
+2
59.2%
(08:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley rush right for 2 yards gain to the BGSU47 (#7 D.Afogho)Similar
Q2 7:24
4TH & 16
OPP 47
0
60.3%
(07:33) #95 J.Castle punt 47 yards to the BGSU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5160% → 59%
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
60.1%
(07:24) Shotgun #26 C.Pettaway rush middle for 7 yards gain to the BGSU27 (#9 A.Branch)Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+1
60.6%
(07:01) Shotgun #26 C.Pettaway rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BGSU28 (#11 E.Reed)Similar
Q2 5:58
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+1
59.7%
(06:19) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BGSU29 (#23 G.Summers; #41 B.Dall)Similar
Q2 5:25
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+1
59.1%
(05:25) #14 J.Kleather punt 54 yards to the Akron17 #13 S.Patrick return 1 yard to the Akron18 (#17 T.Johnson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8FUMBLE
2 plays · 21 yds · 0:1740% → 40%
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
59.9%
(05:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass complete short left to #5 I.Polk caught at Akron28, for 10 yards to the Akron28 (#10 J.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
60.0%
(05:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley rush left for 11 yards gain to the Akron39 fumbled by #10 B.Finley at Akron34 forced by #4 G.Lampron recovered by BGSU #10 J.Johnson at Akron39, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9MISSED FG
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:4463% → 60%
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
63.2%
(04:49) Shotgun #26 C.Pettaway rush middle for 2 yards loss to the Akron41 (#10 C.Durham)Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 12
OPP 41
0
62.7%
(04:04) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass incomplete short middle to #89 B.Cleaver thrown to Akron41 broken up by #54 K.MurphySimilar
Q2 4:01
3RD & 12
OPP 41
0
61.3%
(04:04) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass incomplete deep left to #7 J.Johnson thrown to Akron20Similar
Q2 3:55
4TH & 12
OPP 41
+59
59.6%
(03:55) #14 J.Kleather field goal attempt from 59 yards NO GOOD (H: #85 T.Kenner, LS: #47 G.Carlson), clock 03:55, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10FG
7 plays · 40 yds · 2:0141% → 48%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+28
58.6%
(03:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass complete deep left to #2 M.Williams caught at BGSU33, for 28 yards to the BGSU31 (#10 J.Johnson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-3
56.8%
(03:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Gant rush middle for 3 yards loss to the BGSU34 (#54 D.Garner)Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 13
OPP 34
+10
57.4%
(02:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass incomplete short left to #22 J.Gant thrown to BGSU30 PENALTY BGSU Holding (#2 M.Cannon) 10 yards from BGSU34 to BGSU24, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
56.3%
(02:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Gant rush left for 5 yards gain to the BGSU19 (#7 D.Afogho)Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 5
OPP 19
0
55.5%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass incomplete short left to #2 M.Williams thrown to BGSU17Similar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 5
OPP 19
0
56.7%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass incomplete short right to #8 B.Hills thrown to BGSU01Similar
Q2 1:47
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+37
52.4%
(01:47) #47 M.Schramm field goal attempt from 37 yards GOOD (H: #34 B.Johnson, LS: #30 J.Dennis), clock 01:47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11INT
4 plays · 24 yds · 0:3657% → 60%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+22
57.4%
(01:41) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass complete short right to #7 J.Johnson caught at BGSU31, for 22 yards to the Akron44 (#18 D.Johnson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
60.5%
(01:32) Shotgun #10 H.Najm rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Akron42 (#23 G.Summers)Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 8
OPP 42
-24
60.4%
(01:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass intercepted by #20 M.Flowers at Akron10 QB hurried by #9 A.Branch #20 M.Flowers return 24 yards to the Akron34 (#25 M.Porter), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12INT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:3347% → 50%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
52.7%
(00:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Akron37 (#11 C.Acheampong)Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+11
52.5%
(00:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley rush middle for 11 yards gain to the Akron48 (#7 D.Afogho), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
50.9%
(00:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass incomplete, SpikeSimilar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
51.5%
(00:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass incomplete short middle to #9 J.Louis III thrown to BGSU44Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+9
52.7%
(00:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass complete short left to #2 M.Williams caught at BGSU43, for 9 yards to the BGSU43, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+3
52.0%
(00:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass complete short middle to #2 M.Williams caught at BGSU40, for 3 yards to the BGSU40 (#18 A.Hines III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
49.6%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass incomplete, SpikeSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
50.0%
(00:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass intercepted by #2 M.Cannon at BGSU26, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
57.5%
(00:13) Kneel down by #10 H.Najm at BGSU25 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14FG
9 plays · 15 yds · 2:1849% → 51%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
50.9%
Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass incomplete short right to #2 M.Williams thrown to BGSU46 broken up by #55 E.Branch-HaynesSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
50.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass incomplete short left to #5 I.Polk thrown to BGSU35 broken up by #10 J.JohnsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+11
52.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass complete short middle to #2 M.Williams caught at BGSU34, for 11 yards to the BGSU34 (#8 J.McClendon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
50.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Gant rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BGSU33 (#5 E.George)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
50.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass incomplete short right to #12 C.Montiero thrown to BGSU29Similar
Q3 13:14
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+3
51.6%
(13:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Gant rush right for 3 yards gain to the BGSU30 (#4 G.Lampron)Similar
Q3 12:42
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+48
49.3%
(12:42) #47 M.Schramm field goal attempt from 48 yards GOOD (H: #34 B.Johnson, LS: #30 J.Dennis), clock 12:42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:0155% → 53%
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
54.8%
(12:33) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush right for 4 yards gain to the Akron45 (#10 C.Durham)Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+1
55.0%
(12:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Akron44 (#23 G.Summers; #7 S.Cooper)Similar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
54.5%
(11:30) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass incomplete short right to #26 C.Pettaway thrown to Akron37Similar
Q3 11:18
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
52.8%
(11:23) #19 J.Henderson punt 31 yards to the Akron13 muffed by #13 S.Patrick at Akron13 recovered by Akron #13 S.Patrick at Akron13, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3650% → 49%
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
49.9%
(11:17) Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass incomplete short left to #2 M.Williams thrown to Akron18 broken up by #0 K.PascalSimilar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 10
OWN 13
-6
50.0%
(11:08) Shotgun #22 J.Gant rush left for 6 yards loss to the Akron07 (#38 D.Kelly; #54 D.Garner)Similar
Q3 10:24
3RD & 16
OWN 7
+6
51.9%
(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Gant rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Akron13 (#55 E.Branch-Haynes; #18 A.Hines III)Similar
Q3 9:34
4TH & 10
OWN 13
0
50.6%
(09:38) #95 J.Castle punt 52 yards to the BGSU35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:3051% → 50%
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
51.1%
(09:31) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush left for 4 yards gain to the BGSU39 (#17 M.DeWalt IV)Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+5
54.0%
PENALTY Akron Offside (#54 K.Murphy) 5 yards from BGSU39 to BGSU44. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+4
54.4%
(08:40) Shotgun #26 C.Pettaway rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BGSU48 (#7 S.Cooper; #18 D.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
54.2%
(08:02) Shotgun #26 C.Pettaway rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Akron46 (#18 D.Johnson; #3 A.Branch)Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 4
OPP 46
0
55.1%
(07:19) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass incomplete short right thrown to Akron44Similar
Q3 7:07
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
54.1%
(07:12) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass incomplete short right to #11 F.Hogan thrown to Akron30Similar
Q3 7:07
4TH & 4
OPP 46
+5
52.4%
PENALTY BGSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from Akron46 to BGSU49. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 6:56
4TH & 9
OWN 49
0
50.1%
(07:05) #19 J.Henderson punt 42 yards to the Akron09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:3951% → 50%
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
48.6%
(06:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley rush right for 5 yards gain to the Akron14 (#0 K.Pascal)Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 5
OWN 14
0
47.4%
(06:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass incomplete short right to #2 M.Williams thrown to Akron20 broken up by #8 J.McClendonSimilar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 5
OWN 14
0
48.8%
(06:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass incomplete short right to #85 C.Cravaack thrown to Akron20Similar
Q3 6:05
4TH & 5
OWN 14
+10
50.1%
(06:11) #95 J.Castle punt 39 yards to the BGSU47 #5 B.Ridley return 10 yards to the Akron43 (#15 T.Thomas), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19TD
5 plays · 43 yds · 2:0255% → 73%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
54.9%
(06:04) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Akron38 (#20 M.Flowers; #41 B.Dall)Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+15
55.3%
(05:27) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush left for 15 yards gain to the Akron23 (#20 M.Flowers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
56.9%
(04:44) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Akron21 (#41 B.Dall; #23 G.Summers)Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
56.8%
(04:03) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass incomplete short middle to #82 E.Jacon-Duffy thrown to Akron16 QB hurried by #17 M.DeWalt IVSimilar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+21
72.8%
(03:58) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass complete deep left to #88 J.Harris caught at Akron00, for 21 yards to the Akron00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:53, 1ST DOWN #14 J.Kleather kick attempt good (H: #85 T.Kenner, LS: #47 G.Carlson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20TD
2 plays · 67 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
45.5%
(03:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass complete deep right to #5 I.Polk caught at BGSU38, for 75 yards to the BGSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:42, 1ST DOWN #47 M.Schramm kick attempt good (H: #34 B.Johnson, LS: #30 J.Dennis)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:4850% → 47%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
50.2%
(03:33) Shotgun #26 C.Pettaway rush middle for 0 yards to the BGSU31 (#42 M.Spriggs; #41 B.Dall)Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
49.8%
(02:57) Shotgun #26 C.Pettaway rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BGSU33 (#18 D.Johnson; #7 S.Cooper)Similar
Q3 2:02
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+1
48.4%
(02:08) Shotgun #10 H.Najm rush right for 1 yard gain to the BGSU34, out of bounds at BGSU34Similar
Q3 1:32
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
46.8%
(01:32) #14 J.Kleather punt 45 yards to the Akron21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22FG
12 plays · 67 yds · 4:4255% → 71%
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
45.1%
(01:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Gant rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Akron29 (#4 G.Lampron)Similar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 2
OWN 29
0
43.2%
(01:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass incomplete short right to #5 I.Polk thrown to Akron34 broken up by #10 J.JohnsonSimilar
Q3 0:51
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+6
44.6%
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Gant rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Akron35 (#4 G.Lampron), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY BGSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#54 D.Garner) 15 yards from Akron35 to Akron50, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
50
-2
40.9%
(00:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley sacked for loss of 2 yards to the BGSU48 (#23 M.Bradley), fumble by #10 B.Finley recovered by Akron #22 J.Gant at BGSU48, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+11
40.7%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass complete short left to #2 M.Williams caught at BGSU42, for 11 yards to the BGSU37 (#15 P.EstoEsta), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
40.4%
(14:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Gant rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BGSU33 (#4 G.Lampron; #23 M.Bradley)Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+15
38.5%
(13:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Gant rush middle for 15 yards gain to the BGSU18 (#10 J.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
38.0%
(13:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Gant rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BGSU16 (#0 K.Pascal)Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+4
35.7%
(12:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 S.Patrick rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BGSU12 (#55 T.Fatukasi)Similar
Q4 11:48
3RD & 4
OPP 12
0
37.3%
(11:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass incomplete short middle to #3 K.Mason thrown to BGSU12 broken up by #2 M.CannonSimilar
Q4 11:43
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+30
28.9%
(11:43) #47 M.Schramm field goal attempt from 30 yards GOOD (H: #34 B.Johnson, LS: #30 J.Dennis), clock 11:43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 23FG
17 plays · 44 yds · 8:0743% → 38%
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
42.9%
(11:34) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 13 yards gain to the Akron44 (#20 M.Flowers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
41.9%
(11:03) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Akron42 (#23 G.Summers; #54 K.Murphy)Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
41.0%
(10:19) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass incomplete short middle to #2 R.Garcia II thrown to Akron30 broken up by #6 J.SomervilleSimilar
Q4 10:02
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+7
39.8%
(10:16) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass complete short middle to #18 W.Sharp caught at Akron44, for 7 yards to the Akron35 (#41 B.Dall)Similar
Q4 9:15
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+3
39.2%
(09:35) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Akron32 (#41 B.Dall; #17 M.DeWalt IV), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
44.1%
(09:00) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Akron28 (#23 G.Summers; #7 S.Cooper)Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+5
44.0%
(08:23) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Akron23 (#6 J.Somerville; #7 S.Cooper)Similar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 1
OPP 23
0
38.6%
(07:44) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 0 yards to the Akron23 (#1 J.Laventure)Similar
Q4 7:05
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+2
34.8%
(07:24) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Akron21 (#1 J.Laventure; #16 D.Frazier), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
39.7%
(06:44) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Akron12 (#23 G.Summers; #20 M.Flowers)Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 1
OPP 12
0
39.2%
(06:12) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 0 yards to the Akron12 (#1 J.Laventure)Similar
Q4 5:27
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+3
35.7%
(05:34) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush left for 3 yards gain to the Akron09 (#42 M.Spriggs), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
37.4%
(04:53) Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Akron08 (#41 B.Dall; #5 R.Hull)Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
35.7%
(04:09) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass incomplete short right to #7 J.Johnson thrown to Akron00 broken up by #17 M.DeWalt IVSimilar
Q4 3:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
34.2%
(04:04) Shotgun #10 H.Najm sacked for loss of 5 yards to the Akron13 (#1 J.Laventure, #5 R.Hull)Similar
Q4 3:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+31
38.1%
(03:22) #14 J.Kleather field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #85 T.Kenner, LS: #47 G.Carlson), clock 03:20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:5275% → 75%
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
25.1%
(03:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Gant rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Akron21 (#38 D.Kelly)Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
22.7%
(02:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass incomplete deep left to #5 I.Polk thrown to Akron45 broken up by #10 J.JohnsonSimilar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+5
24.2%
PENALTY Akron False Start (#57 D.Morris) 5 yards from Akron21 to Akron16. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 2:23
3RD & 14
OWN 16
+3
24.4%
(02:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Gant rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Akron19 (#23 M.Bradley)Similar
Q4 2:12
4TH & 11
OWN 19
+15
25.1%
(02:20) #95 J.Castle punt 38 yards to the BGSU43 #5 B.Ridley return 15 yards to the Akron42 (#72 C.Lyons)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 25INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:0042% → 39%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
41.7%
(02:11) Shotgun #26 C.Pettaway rush left for 3 yards gain to the Akron39 (#20 M.Flowers)Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+3
41.1%
(01:59) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass complete short right to #7 J.Johnson caught at Akron36, for 3 yards to the Akron36 (#3 A.Branch)Similar
Q4 1:26
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+5
39.3%
(01:37) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass complete short to #2 R.Garcia II caught at Akron31, for 5 yards to the Akron31 (#11 E.Reed), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
41.2%
(01:03) Shotgun #10 H.Najm rush left for 1 yard gain to the Akron30 (#7 S.Cooper; #41 B.Dall)Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
39.0%
(01:00) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass intercepted by #41 B.Dall at Akron20, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 26END OF GAME
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:4187% → 89%
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
13.2%
PENALTY BGSU Personal Foul (#55 T.Fatukasi) 15 yards from Akron20 to Akron35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
12.9%
(00:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Gant rush middle for 2 yards loss to the Akron33 (#55 E.Branch-Haynes; #4 G.Lampron)Similar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+18
13.2%
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 J.Gant rush right for 18 yards gain to the BGSU49 (#8 J.McClendon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
10.2%
(00:24) Kneel down by #10 B.Finley at Akron49 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:08
2ND & 12
OWN 49
-3
10.9%
(00:08) Kneel down by #10 B.Finley at Akron46 for loss of 3 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:42
(03:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 B.Finley pass complete deep right to #5 I.Polk caught at BGSU38, for 75 yards to the BGSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:42, 1ST DOWN #47 M.Schramm kick attempt good (H: #34 B.Johnson, LS: #30 J.Dennis)
-24.8
TD · Q3 3:53
(03:58) Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass complete deep left to #88 J.Harris caught at Akron00, for 21 yards to the Akron00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:53, 1ST DOWN #14 J.Kleather kick attempt good (H: #85 T.Kenner, LS: #47 G.Carlson)
+15.9
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-10.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com