Try the model
EMU

Eastern Michigan 24 at Ball State 9

BALL
2025 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2025 · Scheumann Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:12 · (00:15) Shotgun #1 N.Kim rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BSU46 (#0 A.Chea; #21 J.Stemler), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 33Home team on offense−3.8Score differential−1.2Pregame prior−9.0Garbage-time factor−1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 12:16: (12:16) #40 D.Pippin kickoff 65 yards to the EMU00 fair catch by #27 J.Norman at EMU00 — BALL win probability +4.3 pts (now 41%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:49: Jamarien Wheeler 43 Yd pass from Noah Kim (Rudy Kessinger Kick) — EMU win probability +9.5 pts (now 69%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:22: (00:25) #46 R.Kessinger field goal attempt from 43 yards GOOD (H: #30 M.Tomasek, LS: #51 M.Dietzel), clock 00:22 — EMU win probability +8.2 pts (now 81%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 10:04: (10:07) #40 D.Pippin field goal attempt from 25 yards GOOD (H: #43 A.Saul, LS: #45 C.Britton), clock 10:04 — BALL win probability +2.4 pts (now 26%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:53: (12:53) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short middle to #7 J.Wheeler caught at EMU40, for 20 yards to the BSU43, out of bounds at BSU43, 1ST DOWN — EMU win probability +11.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 6 of 8EMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 13:32BALL 4th & 11 at BALL 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:12EMU 4th & 2 at BALL 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    58.5%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:24EMU 4th & 8 at EMU 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:19BALL 4th & 16 at BALL 17, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−2.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:56BALL 4th & 2 at BALL 33, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:32BALL 4th & 5 at BALL 29, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:22EMU 4th & 7 at BALL 25, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.5%−0.9
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.4%
    66% to make
    Punt
    66.9%−3.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:04BALL 4th & 4 at EMU 8, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.6%−0.4
    90% to make
    Punt
    17.9%−6.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:33EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 46, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:56BALL 4th & 2 at EMU 15, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    21.5%−0.9
    83% to make
    Punt
    14.0%−8.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:13BALL 4th & 7 at EMU 20, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.7
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−3.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:03EMU 4th & 9 at BALL 48, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:21BALL 4th & 17 at EMU 35, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%−0.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    3.9%
    45% to make
    Punt
    3.2%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:19EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:49EMU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BALLDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:1838% → 39%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
38.3%
(14:59) Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BSU29 (#11 Z.Mowchan)Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
38.5%
(14:27) Shotgun #1 K.Kelly pass incomplete short left to #5 Q.Magwood thrown to BSU43Similar
Q1 14:18
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
38.5%
(14:23) Shotgun #1 K.Kelly sacked for loss of 5 yards to the BSU24 (#88 R.Hardin, #54 Q.Byas)Similar
Q1 13:32
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
38.7%
(13:37) #43 A.Saul punt 34 yards to the EMU42 fair catch by #9 P.Rooks at EMU42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 58 yds · 3:5661% → 62%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
38.8%
(13:31) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #81 N.Devereaux caught at BSU45, for 15 yards to the BSU43 (#7 A.Whitner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
38.9%
(12:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short middle to #23 H.Mack caught at BSU30, for 13 yards to the BSU30 (#21 J.Stemler; #4 E.McClain), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
38.9%
(12:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush middle for 7 yards gain to the BSU23 (#7 A.Whitner)Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+6
39.0%
(11:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #7 J.Wheeler caught at BSU18, for 6 yards to the BSU17 fumbled by #7 J.Wheeler at BSU18 forced by #4 E.McClain recovered by EMU #87 J.Long at BSU17, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
39.0%
(11:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush left for 8 yards gain to the BSU09 (#7 A.Whitner), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+8
39.1%
(11:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush middle for 8 yards gain to the BSU01 (#2 M.Gravely Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
39.2%
(10:32) Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush middle for 0 yards to the BSU01 (#33 D.Conley)Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
39.4%
(09:56) Shotgun #8 T.Dunlap rush middle for 0 yards to the BSU01 (#21 J.Stemler; #33 D.Conley)Similar
Q1 9:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
37.7%
Noah Kim 1 Yd Run (Rudy Kessinger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 3INT
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:5938% → 40%
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
38.3%
(09:18) Shotgun #3 E.Weatherly rush right for 9 yards gain to the BSU34 (#1 J.Scott)Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+13
38.5%
(08:46) Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush right for 13 yards gain to the BSU47 (#5 T.Martin; #9 D.Green), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
38.7%
(08:06) Shotgun #22 J.Bonds rush middle for 5 yards gain to the EMU48 (#11 Z.Mowchan; #5 T.Martin)Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 5
OPP 48
0
39.0%
(07:29) Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush middle for 0 yards to the EMU48 (#42 A.Marshall)Similar
Q1 6:44
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+19
38.9%
(06:50) Shotgun #1 K.Kelly pass complete short left to #5 Q.Magwood caught at EMU46, for 19 yards to the EMU29 (#6 B.Llewellyn), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
39.4%
(06:14) Shotgun #22 J.Bonds rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EMU28 (#9 D.Green; #11 Z.Mowchan) PENALTY EMU Personal Foul (#11 Z.Mowchan) 14 yards from EMU28 to EMU14, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
39.5%
(05:47) Shotgun #22 J.Bonds rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EMU13 (#33 C.Evans)Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
39.5%
(05:14) Shotgun #1 K.Kelly pass intercepted by #1 J.Scott at EMU03 #1 J.Scott return 0 yards to the EMU03 (#5 Q.Magwood)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4DOWNS
11 plays · 51 yds · 4:5162% → 64%
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
37.9%
(05:07) #28 D.McMillan rush right for 3 yards gain to the EMU06 (#9 M.Wing)Similar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+2
37.9%
(04:31) #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #87 J.Long caught at EMU08, for 2 yards to the EMU08, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 5
OWN 8
+8
38.2%
(03:46) #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #23 H.Mack caught at EMU13, for 8 yards to the EMU16 (#7 A.Whitner), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+13
37.6%
(03:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #87 J.Long caught at EMU26, for 13 yards to the EMU29, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
37.2%
(02:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush right for 1 yard gain to the EMU30 (#4 E.McClain), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+15
37.1%
(02:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete deep right to #23 H.Mack thrown to BSU34 PENALTY BSU Pass Interference (#10 J.Harmon) 15 yards from EMU30 to EMU45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
36.3%
(02:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 T.Dunlap rush middle for 5 yards gain to the EMU50 (#2 M.Gravely Jr.)Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 5
50
+3
35.9%
(01:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim rush right for 3 yards gain to the BSU47, out of bounds at BSU47Similar
Q1 0:54
3RD & 2
OPP 47
0
36.0%
(01:00) Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush right for 0 yards to the BSU47 (#2 M.Gravely Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 0:12
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+1
36.5%
(00:15) Shotgun #1 N.Kim rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BSU46 (#0 A.Chea; #21 J.Stemler), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4359% → 58%
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
40.7%
(12:15) Shotgun #8 T.Dunlap rush right for 2 yards gain to the EMU27 (#18 J.Wiegold)Similar
Q2 11:36
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
40.7%
(11:38) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short left to #81 N.Devereaux thrown to EMU30Similar
Q2 11:32
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
41.4%
(11:35) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short middle to #7 J.Wheeler thrown to EMU38 broken up by #10 J.HarmonSimilar
Q2 11:24
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
42.1%
(11:29) #30 M.Tomasek punt 50 yards to the BSU23, out of bounds at BSU23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:5841% → 40%
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-4
41.2%
(11:23) Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush right for 4 yards loss to the BSU19 (#0 B.Manning)Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 14
OWN 19
-2
41.0%
(10:46) Shotgun #1 K.Kelly sacked for loss of 2 yards to the BSU17 (#0 B.Manning)Similar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 16
OWN 17
0
40.3%
(10:05) Shotgun #1 K.Kelly rush middle for 0 yards to the BSU17 (#99 W.Tayou)Similar
Q2 9:19
4TH & 16
OWN 17
0
39.6%
(09:23) #43 A.Saul punt 38 yards to the EMU45, out of bounds at EMU45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 1:2761% → 69%
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
39.4%
(09:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short left to #9 P.Rooks thrown to EMU50Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
39.8%
(09:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush middle for 0 yards to the EMU45 (#56 A.Glenn; #33 D.Conley)Similar
Q2 8:23
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+12
40.5%
(08:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #23 H.Mack caught at BSU44, for 12 yards to the BSU43 (#20 W.Yates), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
31.0%
Jamarien Wheeler 43 Yd pass from Noah Kim (Rudy Kessinger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4831% → 30%
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
31.2%
(07:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 E.Weatherly rush left for 6 yards gain to the BSU31 (#6 B.Llewellyn; #16 C.Coley), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
31.6%
(07:19) Shotgun #1 K.Kelly rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BSU34 (#11 Z.Mowchan)Similar
Q2 6:38
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
31.0%
(06:43) Shotgun #22 J.Bonds rush middle for 1 yard loss to the BSU33 (#5 T.Martin)Similar
Q2 5:56
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
30.2%
(06:02) #43 A.Saul punt 45 yards to the EMU22 fair catch by #9 P.Rooks at EMU22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9INT
7 plays · 31 yds · 3:2069% → 72%
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
31.3%
(05:56) Shotgun #1 N.Kim rush middle for 8 yards gain to the EMU30 (#2 M.Gravely Jr.)Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+2
30.6%
(05:23) Shotgun #8 T.Dunlap rush middle for 2 yards gain to the EMU32 (#93 S.Hudson; #47 D.Hughes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
30.6%
(04:47) Shotgun #1 N.Kim rush middle for 1 yard gain to the EMU33 (#47 D.Hughes)Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+10
30.1%
(04:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #28 D.McMillan caught at EMU31, for 10 yards to the EMU43 (#47 D.Hughes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
29.1%
(03:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush middle for 2 yards gain to the EMU45 (#9 M.Wing)Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+8
28.6%
(03:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short middle to #87 J.Long caught at BSU47, for 8 yards to the BSU47 (#2 M.Gravely Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
28.4%
(02:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass intercepted by #2 M.Gravely Jr. at BSU24, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:4629% → 27%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
29.0%
(02:29) Shotgun #1 K.Kelly pass complete short right to #3 E.Weatherly caught at BSU24, for 1 yard to the BSU25 (#0 B.Manning)Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 9
OWN 25
0
28.0%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Kelly pass incomplete short right to #4 T.Horton thrown to BSU23 QB hurried by #54 Q.ByasSimilar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+4
27.5%
(01:48) Shotgun #1 K.Kelly pass complete short middle to #2 T.Robinson caught at BSU28, for 4 yards to the BSU29 (#22 T.Deener)Similar
Q2 1:32
4TH & 5
OWN 29
0
27.4%
(01:40) #43 A.Saul punt 47 yards to the EMU24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11FG
13 plays · 42 yds · 1:0971% → 81%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
28.8%
(01:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short left to #7 J.Wheeler thrown to EMU26 QB hurried by #6 C.JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
27.8%
(01:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short right thrown to EMU33 QB hurried by #31 D.Echoles Jr.Similar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+21
28.2%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #7 J.Wheeler caught at EMU37, for 21 yards to the EMU45 (#20 W.Yates), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
26.2%
(01:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim rush right for 4 yards gain to the EMU49, out of bounds at EMU49Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+23
26.3%
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete deep to #7 J.Wheeler caught at BSU30, for 23 yards to the BSU28 (#15 D.Fields), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
25.0%
(00:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 T.Dunlap rush middle for 0 yards to the BSU28 (#22 J.Beebe; #44 N.Voorhis)Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+10
25.2%
(00:49) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short right thrown to BSU22 PENALTY EMU Holding (#56 S.Miles) EMU Personal Foul declined 10 yards from BSU28 to BSU38. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 20
OPP 38
-1
25.5%
(00:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #8 T.Dunlap caught at BSU39, for 1 yard loss to the BSU39, out of bounds at BSU39Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 21
OPP 39
+5
25.9%
PENALTY BSU Offside (#44 N.Voorhis) 5 yards from BSU39 to BSU34. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 16
OPP 34
+9
25.3%
(00:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short middle to #17 B.Prosper caught at BSU28, for 9 yards to the BSU25 (#15 D.Fields)Similar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+43
19.3%
(00:25) #46 R.Kessinger field goal attempt from 43 yards GOOD (H: #30 M.Tomasek, LS: #51 M.Dietzel), clock 00:22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
23.9%
(00:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush right for 1 yard gain to the BSU24 (#88 R.Hardin)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13INT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4377% → 78%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
22.8%
(14:59) Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush right for 4 yards gain to the EMU29 (#0 A.Chea; #31 D.Echoles Jr.)Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
22.2%
(14:22) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short middle to #81 N.Devereaux thrown to EMU44 broken up by #4 E.McClainSimilar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
22.5%
(14:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass intercepted by #16 M.McCargo at EMU48 broken up by #4 E.McClain, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 14FG
11 plays · 40 yds · 3:5625% → 26%
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
25.4%
(14:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Kelly rush middle for 2 yards gain to the EMU46 (#33 C.Evans) PENALTY EMU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting BSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsettingSimilar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+6
25.2%
(13:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 E.Weatherly rush right for 6 yards gain to the EMU40 (#6 B.Llewellyn)Similar
Q3 13:11
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+14
25.0%
(13:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Kelly rush middle for 14 yards gain to the EMU26 (#21 J.Monds III; #5 T.Martin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
25.0%
(12:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush middle for 7 yards gain to the EMU19 (#6 B.Llewellyn)Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+5
24.8%
PENALTY BSU False Start (#62 O.Hess) 5 yards from EMU19 to EMU24. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 8
OPP 24
0
24.7%
(11:58) Shotgun #1 K.Kelly pass incomplete short right to #84 T.Hoover thrown to EMU24Similar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+10
23.6%
(11:56) Shotgun #1 K.Kelly pass incomplete deep left to #3 E.Weatherly thrown to EMU03 PENALTY EMU Holding (#13 J.Marshall) 10 yards from EMU24 to EMU14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
24.6%
(11:51) Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush middle for 0 yards to the EMU14 (#21 J.Monds III; #13 J.Marshall)Similar
Q3 11:04
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+2
24.3%
(11:09) Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush left for 2 yards gain to the EMU12 (#11 Z.Mowchan)Similar
Q3 10:49
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+4
23.5%
(10:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Kelly rush middle for 4 yards gain to the EMU08 (#9 D.Green; #6 B.Llewellyn)Similar
Q3 10:04
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+25
25.9%
(10:07) #40 D.Pippin field goal attempt from 25 yards GOOD (H: #43 A.Saul, LS: #45 C.Britton), clock 10:04Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 3:2075% → 76%
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
25.3%
(09:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush middle for 6 yards gain to the EMU36 (#6 C.Johnson)Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+2
24.3%
(09:22) Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush left for 2 yards gain to the EMU38, out of bounds at EMU38Similar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+3
23.6%
(08:46) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #28 D.McMillan caught at EMU37, for 3 yards to the EMU41 (#10 J.Harmon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
22.9%
(08:04) Shotgun #8 T.Dunlap rush middle for 1 yard loss to the EMU40 (#22 J.Beebe; #33 D.Conley)Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+6
22.8%
(07:24) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short right to #87 J.Long caught at EMU44, for 6 yards to the EMU46 (#4 E.McClain), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 6:40
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
22.3%
(06:45) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete deep left to #7 J.Wheeler thrown to BSU23Similar
Q3 6:33
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
23.8%
(06:39) #30 M.Tomasek punt 54 yards to the BSU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 16DOWNS
17 plays · 61 yds · 6:3124% → 21%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
24.0%
(06:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Kelly pass incomplete deep right to #5 Q.Magwood thrown to EMU48Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
23.9%
(06:26) Shotgun #1 K.Kelly pass complete short middle to #4 T.Horton caught at BSU18, for 5 yards to the BSU25 (#22 T.Deener)Similar
Q3 5:27
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+5
23.0%
(05:44) Shotgun #1 K.Kelly pass complete short right to #44 M.Webster caught at BSU23, for 5 yards to the BSU30 (#22 T.Deener), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
24.0%
(05:05) Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BSU31 (#99 W.Tayou)Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+4
22.6%
(04:29) Shotgun #1 K.Kelly rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BSU35 (#44 M.Patierno; #64 N.Patterson)Similar
Q3 3:37
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+5
21.9%
(03:45) Shotgun #1 K.Kelly pass complete short right to #2 T.Robinson caught at BSU38, for 5 yards to the BSU40 (#22 T.Deener), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "First down". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
23.3%
(03:15) Shotgun #1 K.Kelly rush middle for 7 yards gain to the BSU47 (#9 D.Green)Similar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+18
24.2%
(02:41) Shotgun #3 E.Weatherly rush right for 18 yards gain to the EMU35 (#17 C.Dobbs), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
25.5%
(02:10) Shotgun #1 K.Kelly pass complete short right to #3 E.Weatherly caught at EMU38, for 4 yards to the EMU31 (#42 A.Marshall), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+8
25.7%
(01:37) Shotgun #5 Q.Magwood rush left for 8 yards gain to the EMU23 (#0 B.Manning; #90 H.Gonzalez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
24.2%
(00:52) Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush right for 19 yards gain to the EMU04 (#17 C.Dobbs), out of bounds PENALTY BSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from EMU23 to EMU28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 0:37
1ST & 15
OPP 28
0
23.2%
(00:37) Shotgun #1 K.Kelly pass incomplete short right to #3 E.Weatherly thrown to EMU23 broken up by #0 B.ManningSimilar
Q3 0:32
2ND & 15
OPP 28
+5
22.8%
(00:34) Shotgun #3 E.Weatherly rush left for 5 yards gain to the EMU23 (#44 M.Patierno), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 0:32
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+8
22.1%
(00:00) Shotgun #1 K.Kelly pass complete short right to #6 K.Gross caught at EMU15, for 8 yards to the EMU15 (#4 J.Salas)Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 2
OPP 15
-4
21.2%
(14:59) Shotgun #1 K.Kelly sacked for loss of 4 yards to the EMU19 (#42 A.Marshall), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17TD
7 plays · 81 yds · 2:5682% → 96%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
18.3%
(14:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 H.Mack rush left for 5 yards gain to the EMU24 (#44 N.Voorhis)Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+10
18.4%
(14:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush middle for 10 yards gain to the EMU34 (#2 M.Gravely Jr.; #33 D.Conley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
16.5%
(13:29) Shotgun #1 N.Kim rush middle for 3 yards gain to the EMU37 (#7 A.Whitner)Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
15.8%
(12:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short right to #81 N.Devereaux thrown to BSU48Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+20
4.7%
(12:53) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short middle to #7 J.Wheeler caught at EMU40, for 20 yards to the BSU43, out of bounds at BSU43, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
4.2%
(12:17) Shotgun #8 T.Dunlap rush middle for 7 yards gain to the BSU36 (#21 J.Stemler; #31 D.Echoles Jr.)Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+36
3.8%
Tavierre Dunlap 36 Yd Run (Rudy Kessinger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 18FG
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:176% → 8%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
6.2%
(11:38) Shotgun #4 T.Horton rush left for 4 yards gain to the EMU30 (#40 B.Eliuk)Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+7
6.2%
(11:00) Shotgun #1 K.Kelly pass complete short middle to #85 K.Anthony caught at EMU24, for 7 yards to the EMU23 (#44 M.Patierno), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
6.0%
(10:28) Shotgun #1 K.Kelly pass complete short right to #22 J.Bonds caught at EMU29, for 2 yards loss to the EMU25 (#6 B.Llewellyn)Similar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 12
OPP 25
+5
5.7%
(09:53) Shotgun #3 E.Weatherly rush left for 5 yards gain to the EMU20 (#13 J.Marshall)Similar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 7
OPP 20
0
5.7%
(09:21) Shotgun #1 K.Kelly pass incomplete short right to #88 D.Hamilton thrown to EMU13 broken up by #1 J.ScottSimilar
Q4 9:13
4TH & 7
OPP 20
+38
7.8%
(09:13) #40 D.Pippin field goal attempt from 38 yards GOOD (H: #43 A.Saul, LS: #45 C.Britton), clock 09:13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 4:0394% → 96%
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
5.9%
(09:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush middle for 5 yards gain to the EMU30 (#6 C.Johnson)Similar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
5.6%
(08:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush middle for 5 yards gain to the EMU35 (#42 L.Starks), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
5.3%
(07:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush middle for 2 yards loss to the EMU33 (#42 L.Starks)Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+18
5.1%
(07:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short left to #7 J.Wheeler caught at EMU50, for 18 yards to the BSU49 (#2 M.Gravely Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
4.1%
(06:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush middle for 5 yards gain to the BSU44 (#6 C.Johnson)Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 5
OPP 44
-4
3.9%
(05:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush middle for 4 yards loss to the BSU48 (#41 B.Marsh)Similar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 9
OPP 48
0
3.9%
(05:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass incomplete short middle to #87 J.Long thrown to BSU45 broken up by #0 A.CheaSimilar
Q4 5:03
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
3.8%
(05:09) #30 M.Tomasek punt 23 yards to the BSU25, out of bounds at BSU25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 20DOWNS
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:315% → 4%
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
4.6%
(05:02) Shotgun #1 K.Kelly rush middle for 24 yards gain to the BSU49 (#13 J.Marshall; #9 D.Green), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
3.7%
(04:19) Shotgun #1 K.Kelly rush middle for 8 yards gain to the EMU43 (#52 J.Thomas; #33 C.Evans)Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+15
4.0%
PENALTY EMU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#16 C.Coley) 15 yards from EMU43 to EMU28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
4.5%
(04:04) Shotgun #1 K.Kelly pass incomplete short right to #88 D.Hamilton thrown to EMU23Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
4.3%
(03:58) Shotgun #1 K.Kelly rush middle for 4 yards gain to the EMU24 (#44 M.Patierno) PENALTY BSU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#3 E.Weatherly) 15 yards from EMU24 to EMU39Similar
Q4 3:39
3RD & 21
OPP 39
+4
3.5%
(03:51) Shotgun #1 K.Kelly pass complete short left to #11 I.Thacker caught at EMU40, for 4 yards to the EMU35 (#0 B.Manning; #8 J.Norman)Similar
Q4 3:21
4TH & 17
OPP 35
-8
3.5%
(03:25) Shotgun #1 K.Kelly sacked for loss of 15 yards to the EMU50 (#9 D.Green, #54 Q.Byas), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21END OF GAME
10 plays · 4 yds · 2:5098% → 99%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
50
+10
2.5%
(03:20) Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush right for 19 yards gain to the BSU31 (#2 M.Gravely Jr.; #22 J.Beebe) PENALTY EMU Holding (#74 S.Webb) 10 yards from EMU50 to EMU40. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 2:41
1ST & 20
OWN 40
+11
2.6%
(02:46) Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush middle for 11 yards gain to the BSU49 (#2 M.Gravely Jr.)Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+8
1.5%
(01:59) Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush middle for 8 yards gain to the BSU41 (#22 J.Beebe)Similar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+1
1.4%
(01:53) Shotgun #28 D.McMillan rush left for 1 yard gain to the BSU40 (#0 A.Chea), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
1.4%
(01:45) Kneel down by Eastern Mich. at BSU42 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 12
OPP 42
-2
1.4%
(01:02) Kneel down by Eastern Mich. at BSU44 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 14
OPP 44
-2
1.4%
(00:30) Kneel down by Eastern Mich. at BSU46 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 12:53
(12:53) Shotgun #1 N.Kim pass complete short middle to #7 J.Wheeler caught at EMU40, for 20 yards to the BSU43, out of bounds at BSU43, 1ST DOWN
-11.1
TD · Q2 7:49
Jamarien Wheeler 43 Yd pass from Noah Kim (Rudy Kessinger Kick)
-9.5
FG · Q2 0:22
(00:25) #46 R.Kessinger field goal attempt from 43 yards GOOD (H: #30 M.Tomasek, LS: #51 M.Dietzel), clock 00:22
-8.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com