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NIU

Northern Illinois 45 at Massachusetts 3

MASS
2025 · Week 12 · Nov 12, 2025 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:21 · (03:25) #36 J.Ference punt 51 yards to the UMass23 fair catch by #2 J.Gibson at UMass23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.5+29.80−29.8−59.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 121Home team on offense−49.1Score differential−28.1Pregame prior−9.6Garbage-time factor−11.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 10:41: (10:44) #60 A.Glass field goal attempt from 37 yards GOOD (H: #90 D.Vuckovic, LS: #44 R.Pedro), clock 10:41 — MASS win probability +0.2 pts (now 24%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:42: (11:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon pass complete short middle to #24 E.Porter caught at NIU48, for 67 yards to the UMass00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:42, 1ST DOWN #60 A.Glass kick attempt good (H: #90 D.Vuckovic, LS: #44 R.Pedro) — NIU win probability +7.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:29: (02:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UMass00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:29 #60 A.Glass kick attempt good (H: #90 D.Vuckovic, LS: #44 R.Pedro) — NIU win probability +4.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:20: (01:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush right for 1 yard gain to the UMass00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:20 #60 A.Glass kick attempt good (H: #90 D.Vuckovic, LS: #44 R.Pedro) — NIU win probability +2.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:05: (12:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush left for 36 yards gain to the UMass00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:05, 1ST DOWN #60 A.Glass kick attempt good (H: #90 D.Vuckovic, LS: #44 R.Pedro) — NIU win probability +0.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 6 of 9NIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 12:17MASS 4th & 7 at MASS 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:41NIU 4th & 4 at MASS 19, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.7%−<0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    69.2%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:59MASS 4th & 14 at MASS 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:22NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    68.9%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:56MASS 4th & 2 at NIU 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    28.2%−0.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    26.0%−2.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:06NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    70.5%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:22MASS 4th & 9 at NIU 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    20.6%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:52NIU 4th & 1 at MASS 37, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    79.6%−2.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    79.3%−2.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:08MASS 4th & 6 at NIU 37, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    4.9%
    40% to make
    Punt
    4.8%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:39MASS 4th & 5 at NIU 49, down 38
    Close callWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:47MASS 4th & 8 at MASS 27, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:21NIU 4th & 13 at NIU 26, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:08MASS 4th & 3 at MASS 46, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:53NIU 4th & 13 at NIU 38, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:13MASS 4th & 5 at NIU 26, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q2 11:42NIU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:29NIU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:20NIU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:05NIU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:16NIU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:3322% → 23%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
22.1%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 R.Griffin rush left for 1 yard gain to the UMass26 (#17 F.Maciorowski; #4 M.Jammeh)Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+17
22.3%
(14:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Hairston pass complete short middle to #2 J.Gibson caught at UMass40, for 17 yards to the UMass43 (#3 J.Finley; #22 J.Beeler), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
22.6%
(14:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 R.Griffin rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UMass46 (#3 J.Finley; #10 M.Hensley)Similar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+2
22.9%
(13:38) Shotgun #26 B.Hood rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMass48 (#95 L.Ingold; #32 Q.Urwiler)Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 5
OWN 48
-2
23.1%
(13:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 B.Hood rush middle for 2 yards loss to the UMass46 (#17 F.Maciorowski)Similar
Q1 12:17
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
23.3%
(12:21) #98 K.Andrews punt 0 yards to the UMass46 blocked by #57 K.Nelson, out of bounds at UMass25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1977% → 76%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
23.1%
(12:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon pass complete short right to #3 R.Taylor Jr. caught at UMass27, for 0 yards to the UMass25 (#19 R.Henry; #16 M.White)Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+4
23.3%
(11:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush left for 4 yards gain to the UMass21 (#0 D.Craig; #38 Z.Daniel)Similar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+2
23.5%
(11:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush right for 2 yards gain to the UMass19 (#11 T.Grant-Randall)Similar
Q1 10:41
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+37
23.7%
(10:44) #60 A.Glass field goal attempt from 37 yards GOOD (H: #90 D.Vuckovic, LS: #44 R.Pedro), clock 10:41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:3224% → 24%
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
23.9%
(10:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 R.Griffin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UMass26 (#3 J.Finley; #32 Q.Urwiler)Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
24.1%
(10:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Hairston pass incomplete deep right to #12 D.Gray thrown to NIU43Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
23.9%
(10:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Hairston pass incomplete short middle to #0 K.Massey thrown to UMass30Similar
Q1 10:05
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+5
23.8%
PENALTY UMass False Start (#6 J.McGill) 5 yards from UMass26 to UMass21. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 9:59
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
23.8%
(09:59) #98 K.Andrews punt 45 yards to the NIU34 fair catch by #6 D.Rogers at NIU34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4TD
12 plays · 66 yds · 4:5876% → 77%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
24.2%
(09:57) Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NIU39 (#38 Z.Daniel; #49 S.Jackson)Similar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+3
24.1%
(09:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NIU42 (#19 R.Henry; #5 T.Martin)Similar
Q1 8:59
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+1
24.3%
(09:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush left for 1 yard gain to the NIU43 (#49 S.Jackson; #5 T.Martin)Similar
Q1 8:22
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+3
24.7%
(08:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NIU46 (#38 Z.Daniel; #3 K.Bournes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+22
24.5%
(07:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush right for 22 yards gain to the UMass32 (#12 B.Bailey; #3 K.Bournes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
24.3%
(07:28) Shotgun #14 J.Macon pass incomplete short left to #0 L.Bryant thrown to UMass17Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+6
24.4%
(07:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon pass complete short right to #3 R.Taylor Jr. caught at UMass27, for 6 yards to the UMass26 (#1 M.Greene)Similar
Q1 6:44
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+10
24.8%
(06:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush right for 10 yards gain to the UMass16 (#12 B.Bailey), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
24.6%
(06:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush right for 0 yards to the UMass16 (#49 S.Jackson; #16 M.White)Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+3
22.5%
(05:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush right for 3 yards gain to the UMass13, out of bounds at UMass13Similar
Q1 4:53
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+13
22.7%
(04:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush right for 13 yards gain to the UMass00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:53, 1ST DOWN #60 A.Glass kick attempt good (H: #90 D.Vuckovic, LS: #44 R.Pedro) #60 A.Glass kick attempt good (H: #90 D.Vuckovic, LS: #44 R.Pedro) PENALTY #60 A.Glass kick attempt good (H: #90 D.Vuckovic, LS: #44 R.Pedro) PENALTY UMass Offside declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5DOWNS
13 plays · 54 yds · 4:4823% → 24%
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
23.1%
(04:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Hairston pass complete short right to #86 J.Markovich caught at UMass25, for 4 yards to the UMass29 (#23 M.Pretto), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
23.3%
(04:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.Gray rush left for 8 yards gain to the UMass37 (#16 J.Thomas; #33 T.Powell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
23.5%
(03:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Gibson rush right for 0 yards to the UMass37 (#22 J.Beeler)Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
22.7%
(03:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Hairston pass incomplete short left to #2 J.Gibson thrown to NIU46Similar
Q1 3:03
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+21
22.3%
(03:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Hairston pass complete short middle to #26 B.Hood caught at UMass38, for 21 yards to the NIU42, out of bounds at NIU42, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
23.6%
(02:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Gibson pass complete short left to #8 A.Hairston caught at NIU37, for 5 yards to the NIU37 (#3 J.Finley)Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+8
23.7%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Rose rush middle for 8 yards gain to the NIU29 (#3 J.Finley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
24.2%
(01:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 B.Hood rush right for 0 yards to the NIU29 (#17 F.Maciorowski; #32 Q.Urwiler)Similar
Q1 0:49
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+5
24.2%
(00:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 B.Hood rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NIU24 (#32 Q.Urwiler; #10 M.Hensley)Similar
Q1 0:16
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+3
23.9%
(00:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Rose rush left for 3 yards gain to the NIU21 (#95 L.Ingold)Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 2
OPP 21
0
23.5%
(14:57) No Huddle #8 A.Hairston pass incomplete short middle to #86 J.Markovich thrown to NIU03, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 79 yds · 3:0276% → 84%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
23.6%
(14:54) Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NIU26 (#5 T.Martin; #90 T.Passmore, Jr.)Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+3
23.2%
(14:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush right for 3 yards gain to the NIU29 (#16 M.White; #38 Z.Daniel)Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+1
23.4%
(13:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NIU30 (#19 R.Henry; #49 S.Jackson)Similar
Q2 13:06
4TH & 1
OWN 30
+1
23.8%
(13:06) No Huddle #5 J.Lynch rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NIU31 (#91 S.Davis; #90 T.Passmore, Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
23.3%
(12:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush left for 2 yards gain to the NIU33 (#16 M.White; #10 Z.Igwenagu)Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+67
15.8%
(11:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon pass complete short middle to #24 E.Porter caught at NIU48, for 67 yards to the UMass00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:42, 1ST DOWN #60 A.Glass kick attempt good (H: #90 D.Vuckovic, LS: #44 R.Pedro)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7MISSED FG
12 plays · 43 yds · 3:1318% → 18%
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
18.1%
(11:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Rose pass incomplete short right to #12 D.Gray thrown to UMass35 QB hurried by #16 J.ThomasSimilar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
17.9%
(11:34) Shotgun #1 B.Rose pass complete short left to #2 J.Gibson caught at UMass24, for 6 yards to the UMass31 (#4 M.Jammeh; #32 Q.Urwiler)Similar
Q2 10:49
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
17.8%
(10:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Rose pass complete short left to #12 D.Gray caught at UMass35, for 9 yards to the UMass40 (#3 J.Finley; #17 F.Maciorowski), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
18.3%
(10:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Rose pass complete short left to #12 D.Gray caught at UMass40, for 5 yards to the UMass45 (#4 M.Jammeh; #3 J.Finley)Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
18.4%
(09:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Rose pass incomplete short left to #17 D.Elliott thrown to NIU41Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+8
18.2%
(09:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Rose pass complete short middle to #11 M.Dowling caught at UMass50, for 8 yards to the NIU47 (#3 J.Finley; #17 F.Maciorowski), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
18.6%
(09:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Rose pass incomplete deep left to #12 D.Gray thrown to NIU21 PENALTY NIU Pass Interference (#3 J.Finley) 15 yards from NIU47 to NIU32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
18.8%
(09:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Faulkner rush right for 0 yards to the NIU32 (#32 Q.Urwiler)Similar
Q2 8:34
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
18.7%
(08:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Rose pass incomplete short middle to #2 J.Gibson thrown to NIU25 QB hurried by #16 J.ThomasSimilar
Q2 8:27
3RD & 9
OPP 31
0
18.3%
(08:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Rose pass incomplete deep left to #28 J.Price thrown to NIU00Similar
Q2 8:22
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+49
18.1%
(08:22) #99 D.Morris field goal attempt from 49 yards NO GOOD (H: #98 K.Andrews, LS: #47 J.Borbon), clock 08:22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8TD
13 plays · 68 yds · 5:5285% → 92%
Q2 8:21
1ST & 9
OWN 32
+8
14.8%
(08:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Rogers rush right for 8 yards gain to the NIU40 (#38 Z.Daniel)Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+14
15.1%
(07:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush middle for 14 yards gain to the UMass46 (#38 Z.Daniel; #3 K.Bournes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
14.9%
(07:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush left for 3 yards gain to the UMass43 (#5 T.Martin; #30 D.Dyson)Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+4
14.5%
(07:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UMass39 (#9 D.Onuoha)Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+2
14.2%
(06:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMass37 (#3 K.Bournes; #38 Z.Daniel)Similar
Q2 5:52
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+8
14.8%
(05:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush right for 8 yards gain to the UMass29 (#3 K.Bournes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
13.7%
(05:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UMass27 (#0 D.Craig)Similar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+23
13.5%
(04:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush left for 23 yards gain to the UMass04 (#38 Z.Daniel), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
13.1%
(03:56) Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush right for 3 yards gain to the UMass01 (#3 K.Bournes)Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
12.6%
(03:11) No Huddle #5 J.Lynch rush middle for 0 yards to the UMass01 (#49 S.Jackson)Similar
Q2 2:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
8.2%
(02:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UMass00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:29 #60 A.Glass kick attempt good (H: #90 D.Vuckovic, LS: #44 R.Pedro)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9FUMBLE
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:1411% → 11%
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
10.9%
(02:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Rose rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UMass28, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-15
10.8%
(02:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Rose sacked for loss of 15 yards to the UMass13 (#95 L.Ingold), fumble by #1 B.Rose recovered by NIU #6 D.Dixon at UMass13, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10TD
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:3194% → 96%
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
6.5%
(01:56) Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush left for 12 yards gain to the UMass01 (#0 D.Craig; #38 Z.Daniel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
3.6%
(01:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush right for 1 yard gain to the UMass00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:20 #60 A.Glass kick attempt good (H: #90 D.Vuckovic, LS: #44 R.Pedro)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11END OF HALF
11 plays · 45 yds · 1:022% → 2%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
2.3%
(01:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Hairston pass complete short left to #2 J.Gibson caught at UMass30, for 6 yards to the UMass31 (#17 F.Maciorowski; #7 D.Harrison)Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
2.0%
(00:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Hairston pass incomplete short left to #0 K.Massey thrown to UMass33Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
1.9%
(00:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Hairston pass complete short left to #12 D.Gray caught at UMass36, for 5 yards to the UMass36 (#3 J.Finley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
2.2%
(00:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Hairston pass incomplete short middle to #26 B.Hood thrown to UMass41Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+23
2.0%
(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Hairston rush middle for 23 yards gain to the NIU41, out of bounds at NIU41, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
2.2%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Hairston pass incomplete short left to #86 J.Markovich thrown to NIU40Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-1
2.1%
(00:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Hairston rush left for 1 yard loss to the NIU42 (#32 Q.Urwiler), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 11
OPP 42
+5
2.0%
(00:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Hairston pass complete short left to #26 B.Hood caught at NIU40, for 5 yards to the NIU37 (#3 J.Finley)Similar
Q2 0:08
4TH & 6
OPP 37
+7
1.9%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Hairston pass complete short left to #0 K.Massey caught at NIU31, for 7 yards to the NIU30 (#17 F.Maciorowski; #3 J.Finley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:4496% → 98%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
3.8%
(14:54) Shotgun #45 T.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the NIU27 (#91 S.Davis)Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+27
3.6%
(14:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush middle for 27 yards gain to the UMass46 (#38 Z.Daniel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
3.2%
(13:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Rogers rush left for 6 yards gain to the UMass40 (#38 Z.Daniel)Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+5
3.1%
(13:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush right for 5 yards gain to the UMass35, out of bounds at UMass35, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
2.9%
(12:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UMass36 (#9 D.Onuoha; #5 T.Martin)Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+36
2.0%
(12:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush left for 36 yards gain to the UMass00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:05, 1ST DOWN #60 A.Glass kick attempt good (H: #90 D.Vuckovic, LS: #44 R.Pedro)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13DOWNS
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:162% → 1%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
1.9%
(12:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Hairston pass complete short left to #12 D.Gray caught at UMass30, for 5 yards to the UMass30 (#7 D.Harrison)Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
1.7%
(11:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Hairston pass complete short middle to #0 K.Massey caught at UMass35, for 6 yards to the UMass36 (#32 Q.Urwiler), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
1.8%
(11:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Hairston pass complete short left to #12 D.Gray caught at UMass41, for 5 yards to the UMass41 (#3 J.Finley)Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+5
1.6%
(10:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Hairston pass complete short left to #0 K.Massey caught at UMass46, for 5 yards to the UMass46 (#17 F.Maciorowski; #4 M.Jammeh), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
1.6%
(10:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Hairston pass complete short left to #12 D.Gray caught at UMass45, for 1 yard loss to the UMass45 (#3 J.Finley; #17 F.Maciorowski)Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+6
1.4%
(09:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Hairston pass complete short right to #7 J.McConnachie caught at UMass50, for 6 yards to the NIU49 (#3 J.Finley)Similar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
1.3%
(08:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Hairston pass incomplete short middle to #17 D.Elliott thrown to NIU47 QB hurried by #95 L.IngoldSimilar
Q3 8:39
4TH & 5
OPP 49
+1
1.2%
(08:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 A.Hairston rush right for 1 yard gain to the NIU48 (#17 F.Maciorowski), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14TD
2 plays · 52 yds · 0:1599% → 99%
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
1.5%
(08:36) Shotgun #2 B.Davidson pass complete short left to #3 R.Taylor Jr. caught at NIU45, for 6 yards to the UMass46 (#38 Z.Daniel) PENALTY UMass Face Mask (#14 R.Barnes) 15 yards from UMass46 to UMass31, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
1.3%
(08:16) Shotgun #2 B.Davidson pass complete deep middle to #7 G.Givens III caught at UMass00, for 31 yards to the UMass00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:16, 1ST DOWN #60 A.Glass kick attempt good (H: #90 D.Vuckovic, LS: #44 R.Pedro)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:231% → 1%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
1.1%
(08:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Rose rush left for 7 yards gain to the UMass32, out of bounds at UMass32 PENALTY UMass UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#23 E.Faulkner) 15 yards from UMass32 to UMass17Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 18
OWN 17
0
1.0%
(07:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Rose pass incomplete short left to #86 J.Markovich thrown to UMass31Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+10
0.9%
(07:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Rose pass complete short right to #17 D.Elliott caught at UMass27, for 10 yards to the UMass27, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 6:47
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
0.8%
(06:59) #98 K.Andrews punt 56 yards to the NIU17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 3:1799% → 99%
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
1.3%
(06:47) Shotgun #21 L.Rogers rush middle for 4 yards gain to the NIU21 (#33 E.Hehl; #30 D.Dyson)Similar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+3
1.1%
(06:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 L.Rogers rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NIU24 (#10 Z.Igwenagu; #5 T.Martin)Similar
Q3 5:27
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+5
1.1%
(05:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Davidson pass complete short left to #6 D.Rogers caught at NIU26, for 5 yards to the NIU29 (#6 J.McGill), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
1.0%
(05:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 L.Rogers rush right for 3 yards gain to the NIU32 (#90 T.Passmore, Jr.; #33 E.Hehl)Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+5
1.0%
PENALTY NIU False Start (#66 L.Mahnesmith) 5 yards from NIU32 to NIU27. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 12
OWN 27
-1
1.0%
(04:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 L.Rogers rush left for 1 yard loss to the NIU26 (#16 M.White; #30 D.Dyson)Similar
Q3 3:28
3RD & 13
OWN 26
0
0.9%
(03:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Davidson pass incomplete short left to #24 E.Porter thrown to NIU30Similar
Q3 3:21
4TH & 13
OWN 26
0
1.1%
(03:25) #36 J.Ference punt 51 yards to the UMass23 fair catch by #2 J.Gibson at UMass23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 3:041% → 0%
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
0.6%
(03:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Rose rush right for 2 yards gain to the UMass25 (#93 F.Omotoso; #38 A.Williams)Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+1
0.5%
(02:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Faulkner rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UMass26 (#99 A.Washington)Similar
Q3 1:58
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+13
0.5%
(02:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Rose pass complete short right to #12 D.Gray caught at UMass39, for 13 yards to the UMass39 (#38 A.Williams), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
0.5%
(01:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Faulkner rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UMass45 (#14 M.Armstrong)Similar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
0.5%
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Rose pass incomplete short left to #12 D.Gray thrown to UMass43Similar
Q3 0:48
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+1
0.4%
(00:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Rose rush right for 1 yard gain to the UMass46 (#17 F.Maciorowski)Similar
Q3 0:08
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
0.4%
(00:16) #98 K.Andrews punt 44 yards to the NIU10 fair catch by #6 D.Rogers at NIU10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 4:1499% → 100%
Q3 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
0.7%
(00:07) Shotgun #24 E.Porter rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NIU13 (#49 S.Jackson; #0 D.Craig)Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+7
0.7%
(14:59) Shotgun #24 E.Porter rush middle for 7 yards gain to the NIU20 (#5 T.Martin; #30 D.Dyson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
0.6%
(14:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 E.Porter rush middle for 5 yards gain to the NIU25 (#49 S.Jackson; #38 Z.Daniel)Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+16
0.5%
(13:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 E.Porter rush left for 16 yards gain to the NIU41 (#0 D.Craig; #6 J.McGill), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-4
0.5%
(13:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 E.Porter rush middle for 4 yards loss to the NIU37 (#38 Z.Daniel)Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 14
OWN 37
-2
0.4%
(12:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 R.Ware rush left for 2 yards loss to the NIU35 (#30 D.Dyson)Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 16
OWN 35
+3
0.4%
(11:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 R.Ware rush right for 3 yards gain to the NIU38 (#5 T.Martin)Similar
Q4 10:53
4TH & 13
OWN 38
0
0.4%
(11:02) #36 J.Ference punt 61 yards to the UMass01Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19FG
12 plays · 73 yds · 4:280% → 0%
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+9
0.2%
(10:52) Shotgun #1 B.Rose pass complete short right to #2 J.Gibson caught at UMass06, for 9 yards to the UMass10 (#34 J.Little IV; #29 R.Walker)Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 1
OWN 10
+7
0.2%
(10:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Rose pass complete short right to #2 J.Gibson caught at UMass09, for 7 yards to the UMass17 (#15 B.Windham), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
0.2%
(09:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Faulkner rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UMass21 (#99 A.Washington) PENALTY NIU Face Mask 15 yards from UMass21 to UMass36, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
0.2%
(09:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Rose rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UMass39 fumbled by #1 B.Rose at UMass36 forced by #99 A.Washington recovered by UMass #64 P.Miller at UMass39, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
0.2%
(08:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Rose pass incomplete short right to #87 O.Anderson thrown to UMass45Similar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+19
0.2%
(08:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Rose pass complete short middle to #2 J.Gibson caught at NIU45, for 19 yards to the NIU42 (#34 J.Little IV), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
0.2%
(08:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 E.Faulkner rush middle for 1 yard gain to the NIU41 (#57 K.Nelson)Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+10
0.2%
(07:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Rose pass complete short middle to #28 J.Price caught at NIU37, for 10 yards to the NIU31 (#57 K.Nelson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
0.2%
(07:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Rose pass complete short middle to #28 J.Price caught at NIU26, for 5 yards to the NIU26 (#57 K.Nelson)Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 5
OPP 26
0
0.2%
(06:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Rose pass incomplete deep left to #17 D.Elliott thrown to NIU00Similar
Q4 6:18
3RD & 5
OPP 26
0
0.2%
(06:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 B.Rose pass incomplete short middle to #2 J.Gibson thrown to NIU14Similar
Q4 6:13
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+44
0.2%
(06:13) #99 D.Morris field goal attempt from 44 yards GOOD (H: #98 K.Andrews, LS: #47 J.Borbon), clock 06:13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20END OF GAME
13 plays · 49 yds · 5:33100% → 100%
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
0.2%
(06:04) Shotgun #21 L.Rogers rush middle for 15 yards gain to the UMass47 (#55 J.Wiggins; #0 D.Craig), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:09
2ND & 1
OWN 47
0
0.2%
L. Rogers run for 0 ydsSimilar
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
0.2%
(04:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 L.Rogers rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UMass42 (#91 S.Davis)Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+7
0.2%
(04:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 L.Rogers rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UMass35 (#30 D.Dyson; #5 T.Martin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
0.2%
(03:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 L.Rogers rush left for 8 yards gain to the UMass27 (#30 D.Dyson)Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+3
0.1%
(03:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 L.Rogers rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UMass24 (#30 D.Dyson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
0.1%
(02:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 L.Rogers rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UMass23 (#33 E.Hehl; #20 K.Sarkodieh)Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+3
0.1%
(01:59) Shotgun #21 L.Rogers rush left for 3 yards gain to the UMass20 (#36 D.Timson)Similar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+9
0.1%
(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 L.Rogers rush left for 9 yards gain to the UMass11 (#30 D.Dyson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
0.1%
(00:24) Kneel down by #2 B.Davidson at UMass13 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:42
(11:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon pass complete short middle to #24 E.Porter caught at NIU48, for 67 yards to the UMass00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:42, 1ST DOWN #60 A.Glass kick attempt good (H: #90 D.Vuckovic, LS: #44 R.Pedro)
-7.5
TD · Q2 2:29
(02:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 C.Wright rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UMass00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:29 #60 A.Glass kick attempt good (H: #90 D.Vuckovic, LS: #44 R.Pedro)
-4.4
TD · Q2 1:20
(01:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 J.Macon rush right for 1 yard gain to the UMass00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:20 #60 A.Glass kick attempt good (H: #90 D.Vuckovic, LS: #44 R.Pedro)
-2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com