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OHIO

Ohio 13 at Western Michigan 17

WMU
2025 · Week 12 · Nov 11, 2025 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:43 · (01:42) #42 M.Haines punt 39 yards to the WMU12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingBlowout margin
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 68Home team on offense−5.1Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4Score differential−2.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.5Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:09: (10:09) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush left for 1 yard gain to the OHI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:09 #20 P.Domschke kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 R.Todd) — WMU win probability +13.0 pts (now 65%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:55: (14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:55 #39 D.Dellenbach kick attempt failed (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #46 N.Hemer) — OHIO win probability +18.0 pts (now 61%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:43: (13:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OHI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:43 #20 P.Domschke kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 R.Todd) — WMU win probability +28.9 pts (now 76%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:03: Timeout Western Michigan, clock 00:03 — WMU win probability +9.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00: End of 4th quarter. — OHIO win probability +9.0 pts (now 13%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8OHIO made the numbers' call on 3 of 8
  1. Q1 10:19WMU 4th & 5 at OHIO 28, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.2%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    55.7%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:22OHIO 4th & 9 at OHIO 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:20WMU 4th & 7 at WMU 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:58OHIO 4th & 2 at WMU 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    42.0%−0.9
    30% to make
    Punt
    42.3%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:05WMU 4th & 7 at OHIO 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    53.8%−0.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    53.3%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:46WMU 4th & 6 at OHIO 8, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    47.5%−5.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:17OHIO 4th & 3 at OHIO 27, up 4
    Close callPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:02WMU 4th & 1 at OHIO 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    49.7%−2.6
    47% to make
    Punt
    48.4%−3.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:43OHIO 4th & 6 at OHIO 49, up 4
    Close callPunted · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.7%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:02WMU 4th & 6 at WMU 16, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−2.0
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:29OHIO 4th & 6 at WMU 47, up 4
    Close callPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:13OHIO 4th & 3 at WMU 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    35.8%−3.4
    32% to make
    Punt
    36.6%−2.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:29OHIO 4th & 5 at midfield, down 4
    Close callPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%−0.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:45WMU 4th & 4 at OHIO 19, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.0%−1.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    70.8%−14.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:37OHIO 4th & 20 at OHIO 10, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.7%−0.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:16WMU 4th & 12 at OHIO 12, up 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.8 ptsWent for it · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.7%−1.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    89.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    84.5%−4.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2OHIO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 1:18OHIO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:09WMU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:55OHIO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    56.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:43WMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1INT
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:2149% → 48%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
51.5%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush right for 26 yards gain to the WMU49 (#3 T.Hallock), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
51.5%
(14:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush right for 2 yards gain to the WMU47 (#9 J.Camden)Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+3
51.5%
(14:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WMU44 (#9 J.Camden)Similar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+5
51.5%
(13:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass incomplete deep left to #11 R.Harris II thrown to WMU04 broken up by #5 A.Wofford PENALTY WMU Offside (#0 M.Al-Garawi) 5 yards from WMU44 to WMU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
51.6%
(13:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush right for 1 yard gain to the WMU38 (#9 J.Camden)Similar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 9
OPP 38
-37
51.6%
(12:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass intercepted by #3 T.Hallock at WMU30 #3 T.Hallock return 37 yards to the OHI33 (#5 S.Bangura)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2FG
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:5952% → 53%
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
52.4%
(12:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OHI31 (#27 J.Fries; #30 C.Christopher)Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+1
52.7%
(11:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OHI30 (#15 A.Luqman)Similar
Q1 10:59
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+2
52.7%
(11:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OHI28 (#27 J.Fries)Similar
Q1 10:19
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+46
53.1%
(10:18) #20 P.Domschke field goal attempt from 46 yards GOOD (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 R.Todd), clock 10:19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:4947% → 46%
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
52.8%
(10:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 7 yards gain to the OHI32 (#1 J.Franklin)Similar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+9
52.8%
(09:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass complete short right to #85 M.Williams caught at OHI31, for 9 yards to the OHI41 (#8 J.Sims; #6 J.Pope), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
52.7%
(08:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass complete short left to #7 C.Hendricks caught at OHI45, for 4 yards to the OHI45 (#6 J.Pope)Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
52.8%
(08:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass incomplete short right to #19 D.Dorwart thrown to WMU46 broken up by #1 J.FranklinSimilar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 6
OWN 45
-2
53.0%
(08:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro sacked for loss of 3 yards to the OHI42 (#4 R.McGraw, #9 J.Camden)Similar
Q1 7:22
4TH & 9
OWN 42
0
54.0%
(07:31) #42 M.Haines punt 30 yards to the WMU28 #86 B.Bosma return 0 yards to the WMU28 (#37 B.Guffey)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5653% → 53%
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
53.3%
(07:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass incomplete deep left to #0 T.Williams thrown to OHI40 QB hurried by #10 P.OdjugoSimilar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+3
53.2%
(07:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WMU31 (#30 C.Christopher)Similar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 7
OWN 31
0
53.2%
(06:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass incomplete short right to #0 T.Williams thrown to WMU41 QB hurried by #10 P.OdjugoSimilar
Q1 6:20
4TH & 7
OWN 31
+10
52.9%
(06:25) #25 R.Millmore punt 43 yards to the OHI26 #7 C.Hendricks return 10 yards to the OHI36 (#1 J.Franklin; #16 J.Lyles)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 4:5547% → 52%
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
53.5%
(06:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush right for 14 yards gain to the OHI50 (#9 J.Camden), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
50
+4
53.0%
(05:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WMU46 (#9 J.Camden; #10 S.Saipaia)Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
53.0%
(05:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass incomplete short left to #7 C.Hendricks thrown to WMU39 broken up by #5 A.Wofford QB hurried by #20 K.FisherSimilar
Q1 4:53
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+4
53.2%
(04:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WMU42 (#58 T.Lee)Similar
Q1 3:58
4TH & 2
OPP 42
+16
53.8%
(04:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass complete short right to #86 J.Bruno caught at WMU37, for 16 yards to the WMU26 (#6 J.Pope), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
52.6%
(03:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 8 yards gain to the WMU18 (#8 J.Sims)Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+15
52.5%
(02:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush left for 15 yards gain to the WMU03 (#3 T.Hallock), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
52.1%
(02:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WMU02 (#64 R.Stewart)Similar
Q1 1:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
48.4%
(01:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush right for 2 yards gain to the WMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:18 #39 D.Dellenbach kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #46 N.Hemer)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6MISSED FG
16 plays · 61 yds · 7:1650% → 50%
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
50.0%
(01:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short right to #82 B.Brooks caught at WMU34, for 10 yards to the WMU41 (#9 M.Mack II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
51.1%
(00:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush right for 5 yards gain to the WMU46 (#27 J.Fries)Similar
Q1 0:27
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+5
51.3%
PENALTY WMU Encroachment 5 yards from WMU46 to WMU41. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+21
50.3%
(14:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Leary rush left for 21 yards gain to the OHI38 (#27 J.Fries), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
51.7%
(14:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OHI35 (#27 J.Fries; #44 N.Dukes)Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+1
52.3%
(13:36) Shotgun #24 O.Mataele rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OHI34 (#10 P.Odjugo)Similar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 6
OPP 34
-1
51.4%
(12:55) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short right to #6 J.Buckley caught at OHI37, for 1 yard loss to the OHI35 (#2 D.Walker; #15 A.Luqman)Similar
Q2 12:05
4TH & 7
OPP 35
+10
50.0%
(12:12) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short left to #18 A.Chenault caught at OHI28, for 10 yards to the OHI25 (#22 J.Thomeson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
52.4%
(11:37) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OHI22 (#27 J.Fries)Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+10
52.5%
(11:00) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush left for 10 yards gain to the OHI12 (#9 M.Mack II; #27 J.Fries), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
52.5%
(10:16) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OHI09 (#27 J.Fries)Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+1
52.1%
(09:36) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush left for 1 yard gain to the OHI08 (#16 J.Marsh)Similar
Q2 8:51
3RD & 6
OPP 8
0
51.1%
(08:51) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass incomplete short middle to #18 A.Chenault thrown to OHI00Similar
Q2 8:46
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+26
49.9%
(08:49) #20 P.Domschke field goal attempt from 26 yards NO GOOD (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 R.Todd), clock 08:46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1851% → 52%
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
48.8%
(08:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass complete short right to #5 S.Bangura caught at OHI21, for 6 yards to the OHI26 (#47 D.Moon)Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+1
46.8%
(08:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush left for 1 yard gain to the OHI27 (#1 J.Franklin)Similar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
46.8%
(07:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass incomplete short right to #88 C.Gossett thrown to OHI31Similar
Q2 7:17
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
48.2%
(07:17) #42 M.Haines punt 38 yards to the WMU35 fair catch by #86 B.Bosma at WMU35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8DOWNS
7 plays · 31 yds · 4:0248% → 49%
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
47.6%
(07:14) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush middle for 9 yards gain to the WMU44 (#30 C.Christopher)Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+3
49.8%
(06:29) Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush left for 3 yards gain to the WMU47 (#22 J.Thomeson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
49.6%
(05:39) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short right to #15 C.Conley caught at OHI43, for 10 yards to the OHI43 (#7 T.Pearson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
50.2%
(05:08) Shotgun #1 C.Leary rush left for 2 yards loss to the OHI45 (#22 J.Thomeson)Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+6
48.6%
(04:30) Shotgun #5 D.Miles rush middle for 6 yards gain to the OHI39 (#57 N.Hale)Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+5
49.5%
(03:48) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short left to #18 A.Chenault caught at OHI34, for 5 yards to the OHI34 (#9 M.Mack II)Similar
Q2 3:02
4TH & 1
OPP 34
0
48.6%
(03:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush middle for 0 yards to the OHI34 (#44 N.Dukes; #10 P.Odjugo), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:0856% → 54%
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
44.0%
(03:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass complete short left to #85 M.Williams caught at OHI34, for 11 yards to the OHI45 (#18 M.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
42.7%
(02:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass incomplete deep left to #7 C.Hendricks thrown to WMU30Similar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+9
43.1%
(02:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 9 yards gain to the WMU46 (#91 M.Tyler; #18 M.Davis)Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+5
42.5%
PENALTY OHI False Start (#55 J.Jones) 5 yards from WMU46 to OHI49. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
44.3%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass incomplete deep right to #19 D.Dorwart thrown to WMU28 QB hurried by #10 S.SaipaiaSimilar
Q2 1:43
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
45.7%
(01:42) #42 M.Haines punt 39 yards to the WMU12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:3145% → 44%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
45.4%
(01:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short right to #86 B.Bosma caught at WMU16, for 4 yards to the WMU16 (#7 T.Pearson)Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 6
OWN 16
0
45.3%
(01:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass incomplete short middle to #24 O.Mataele thrown to WMU20Similar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 6
OWN 16
0
44.4%
(01:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass incomplete short right thrown to WMU26Similar
Q2 1:02
4TH & 6
OWN 16
0
43.7%
(01:12) #25 R.Millmore punt 35 yards to the OHI49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:2757% → 56%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
43.5%
(01:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass incomplete short left to #11 R.Harris II thrown to WMU45Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
43.3%
(00:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush left for 4 yards gain to the WMU47 (#5 A.Wofford)Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
42.7%
(00:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass incomplete deep middle to #7 C.Hendricks thrown to WMU01 broken up by #1 J.FranklinSimilar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
44.2%
(00:35) #42 M.Haines punt 39 yards to the WMU08 fair catch by #86 B.Bosma at WMU08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
45.8%
(00:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WMU15 (#44 N.Dukes)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 4:3648% → 65%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
47.7%
(14:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush left for 9 yards gain to the WMU41 (#7 T.Pearson)Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+9
50.1%
(14:06) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush left for 9 yards gain to the WMU50 (#7 T.Pearson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
50
+1
50.5%
(13:19) Shotgun #24 O.Mataele rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OHI49 (#10 P.Odjugo; #30 C.Christopher)Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+16
50.2%
(12:43) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short right to #82 B.Brooks caught at OHI37, for 16 yards to the OHI33 (#9 M.Mack II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+13
52.3%
(12:06) Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 13 yards gain to the OHI20 (#22 J.Thomeson; #5 A.Williams Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
52.2%
(11:36) Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 7 yards gain to the OHI13 (#97 A.Mitchell)Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+12
52.3%
(10:59) Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 12 yards gain to the OHI01 (#57 N.Hale), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
65.3%
(10:09) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush left for 1 yard gain to the OHI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:09 #20 P.Domschke kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 R.Todd)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14TD
20 plays · 83 yds · 10:0140% → 61%
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
60.1%
(10:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OHI21 (#9 J.Camden; #10 S.Saipaia)Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+20
60.3%
(09:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush left for 20 yards gain to the OHI41 (#8 J.Sims), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
57.8%
(08:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush middle for 0 yards to the OHI41 (#20 K.Fisher)Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+9
58.5%
(08:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 9 yards gain to the OHI50 (#0 M.Al-Garawi; #18 M.Davis)Similar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 1
50
+2
57.0%
(07:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WMU48 (#9 J.Camden; #0 M.Al-Garawi), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
56.7%
PENALTY OHI Delay Of Game (#13 P.Navarro) 5 yards from WMU48 to OHI47. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+3
59.1%
(06:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush right for 3 yards gain to the OHI50 (#8 J.Sims)Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 12
50
+3
58.2%
(05:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WMU47 (#9 J.Camden; #8 J.Sims)Similar
Q3 4:56
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+6
58.2%
(05:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush right for 6 yards gain to the WMU41 (#18 M.Davis)Similar
Q3 4:13
4TH & 3
OPP 41
+10
60.5%
(04:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush right for 10 yards gain to the WMU31 (#6 J.Pope), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
56.6%
(03:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WMU27 (#0 M.Al-Garawi; #1 J.Franklin)Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+7
56.8%
(03:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush left for 7 yards gain to the WMU20 (#18 M.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
56.9%
(02:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass incomplete short left to #85 M.Williams thrown to WMU04 broken up by #3 T.HallockSimilar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+9
57.3%
(02:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush left for 9 yards gain to the WMU11 (#18 M.Davis)Similar
Q3 1:31
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+2
58.4%
(01:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 2 yards gain to the WMU09 (#11 N.Tucker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
56.8%
(00:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WMU06 (#58 T.Lee)Similar
Q3 0:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
56.9%
(00:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WMU03 (#3 T.Hallock; #10 S.Saipaia)Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
38.9%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:55 #39 D.Dellenbach kick attempt failed (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #46 N.Hemer)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0648% → 76%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
47.5%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WMU26 (#30 C.Christopher; #44 N.Dukes)Similar
Q4 13:58
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+71
47.2%
(14:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short right to #0 T.Williams caught at WMU25, for 71 yards to the OHI03 (#2 D.Walker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
76.2%
(13:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OHI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:43 #20 P.Domschke kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 R.Todd)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:0031% → 30%
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
68.8%
(13:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush left for 3 yards gain to the OHI36 (#1 J.Franklin)Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+9
68.1%
(13:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass complete short left to #7 C.Hendricks caught at OHI39, for 9 yards to the OHI45 (#8 J.Sims), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
67.1%
(12:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OHI48 (#10 S.Saipaia; #58 T.Lee)Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+1
66.3%
(11:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush left for 1 yard gain to the OHI49 (#0 M.Al-Garawi)Similar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+1
66.9%
(11:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OHI50 (#58 T.Lee)Similar
Q4 10:29
4TH & 5
50
0
70.1%
(10:28) #42 M.Haines punt 38 yards to the WMU12 fair catch by #86 B.Bosma at WMU12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17MISSED FG
14 plays · 69 yds · 7:3672% → 88%
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
72.0%
(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 8 yards gain to the WMU20 (#22 J.Thomeson)Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 2
OWN 20
+3
73.2%
(09:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush right for 3 yards gain to the WMU23 (#11 E.Herrmann), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
73.1%
(09:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush right for 4 yards gain to the WMU27 (#27 J.Fries)Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+6
74.4%
(08:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 O.Mataele rush middle for 6 yards gain to the WMU33 (#5 A.Williams Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
77.0%
(07:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush middle for 13 yards gain to the WMU46 (#30 C.Christopher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
81.4%
(07:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 4 yards gain to the WMU50 (#27 J.Fries)Similar
Q4 6:26
2ND & 6
50
+10
82.6%
(06:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 10 yards gain to the OHI40 (#7 T.Pearson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
84.8%
(05:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush middle for 7 yards gain to the OHI33 (#27 J.Fries)Similar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+8
88.7%
(05:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush middle for 8 yards gain to the OHI25 (#15 A.Luqman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
89.2%
(04:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 0 yards to the OHI25 (#22 J.Thomeson)Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+5
89.4%
(03:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Leary rush left for 5 yards gain to the OHI20 (#97 A.Mitchell)Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+1
89.3%
(02:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 B.Lowry pass complete short right to #24 O.Mataele caught at OHI22, for 1 yard to the OHI19 (#5 A.Williams Jr.)Similar
Q4 2:45
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+37
87.9%
(02:47) #20 P.Domschke field goal attempt from 37 yards NO GOOD (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 R.Todd), clock 02:45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · -10 yds · 1:0316% → 10%
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
84.5%
(02:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OHI24 (#10 S.Saipaia; #9 J.Camden)Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+10
85.0%
(02:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush right for 5 yards gain to the OHI29 (#3 T.Hallock) PENALTY OHI Holding (#60 T.Allen) 10 yards from OHI24 to OHI14. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 16
OWN 14
0
86.3%
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass incomplete deep middle to #11 R.Harris II thrown to OHI50 QB hurried by #91 M.TylerSimilar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 16
OWN 14
-4
87.3%
(01:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro sacked for loss of 4 yards to the OHI10 (#11 N.Tucker)Similar
Q4 1:37
4TH & 20
OWN 10
0
90.3%
(01:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass incomplete deep middle to #19 D.Dorwart thrown to OHI50, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19DOWNS
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:0695% → 96%
Q4 1:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
95.0%
(01:31) Kneel down by #12 B.Lowry at OHI11 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
Q4 0:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-1
95.8%
(00:54) Kneel down by #12 B.Lowry at OHI12 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
Q4 0:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
-1
96.4%
(00:32) Kneel down by #12 B.Lowry at OHI12 for loss of 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+10
95.8%
(00:17) #12 B.Lowry rush right for 10 yards gain to the OHI02 (#30 C.Christopher), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20END OF GAME
5 plays · 38 yds · 0:0510% → 13%
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+23
90.0%
(00:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush left for 23 yards gain to the OHI25 (#16 J.Lyles), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
88.9%
(00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass complete short left to #11 R.Harris II caught at OHI38, for 13 yards to the OHI38, out of bounds at OHI38, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
87.2%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass complete short right to #88 C.Gossett caught at OHI48, for 2 yards to the OHI40 lateral to #5 S.Bangura for 6 yards loss to the OHI40 fumbled by #5 S.Bangura at OHI40, out of bounds at OHI40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:43
(13:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Buckley rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OHI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:43 #20 P.Domschke kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 R.Todd)
+28.9
TD · Q4 14:55
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 3 yards gain to the WMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:55 #39 D.Dellenbach kick attempt failed (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #46 N.Hemer)
-18
TD · Q3 10:09
(10:09) Shotgun #12 B.Lowry rush left for 1 yard gain to the OHI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:09 #20 P.Domschke kick attempt good (H: #25 R.Millmore, LS: #46 R.Todd)
+13
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com