Try the model
M-OH

Miami (OH) 20 at Ohio 24

OHIO
2025 · Week 11 · Nov 4, 2025 · Peden Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:18 · #42 M.Haines punt 35 yards to the Miami 25, out of bounds at Miami 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 98Pregame prior+1.4Home team on offense−4.3Garbage-time factor−4.9Score differential−1.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q3 4:37: Shotgun #1 D.Finn pass complete short left to #0 K.Reynolds caught at Ohio34, for 0 yards to the Ohio29 (#2 D.Walker) — OHIO win probability +11.7 pts (now 63%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q4 13:29: Shotgun #1 D.Finn pass complete short middle to #18 B.Isom caught at Ohio00, for 4 yards to the Ohio00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:29 #31 D.Dzioban kick attempt good (H: #34 P.Stainton, LS: #59 H.Powell) — M-OH win probability +23.7 pts (now 58%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:15: #38 K.McLaughlin kickoff 62 yards to the Ohio03 #5 S.Bangura return 97 yards to the Miami 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:15 #39 D.Dellenbach kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #46 N.Hemer) — OHIO win probability +31.2 pts (now 71%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:29: Kam Perry 27 Yd pass from Dequan Finn (Dom Dzioban Kick) — M-OH win probability +30.2 pts (now 62%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:15: Rodney Harris II 49 Yd pass from Parker Navarro (David Dellenbach Kick) — OHIO win probability +44.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 1 of 3M-OH made the numbers' call on 3 of 8
  1. Q1 13:29OHIO 4th & 9 at OHIO 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:10M-OH 4th & 4 at OHIO 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    41.4%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:09OHIO 4th & 1 at OHIO 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:59M-OH 4th & 5 at M-OH 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:10M-OH 4th & 2 at M-OH 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.3%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:53M-OH 4th & 5 at OHIO 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    44.7%−1.9
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.9%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:15M-OH 4th & 3 at OHIO 29, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.7%−1.5
    58% to make
    Punt
    37.0%−9.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:37M-OH 4th & 1 at OHIO 41, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    31.4%−4.5
    32% to make
    Punt
    32.0%−3.9
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:29M-OH 4th & 9 at OHIO 27, down 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.5 ptsWent for it · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.3%−1.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    32.8%
    62% to make
    Punt
    22.7%−10.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:18OHIO 4th & 6 at OHIO 40, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.4%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:19M-OH 4th & 5 at M-OH 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1M-OH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q4 13:29M-OH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 9:29M-OH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.8%−1.3
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 2:15OHIO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.4%−1.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:3162% → 62%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass incomplete short left to #7 C.Hendricks thrown to Ohio30 QB hurried by #20 A.TrickSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
62.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 0 yards to the Ohio25 (#33 J.Kuwatch; #12 C.Hondru)Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
62.0%
PENALTY Ohio False Start (#55 J.Jones) 5 yards from Ohio25 to Ohio20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+6
62.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Ohio26 (#26 E.Coppess), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 13:29
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
61.9%
#42 M.Haines punt 42 yards to the Miami 32 fair catch by #10 L.Billups-Williams at Miami 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 2Uncategorized
5 plays · 28 yds · 2:1938% → 38%
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
61.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Brunson rush middle for 8 yards gain to the Miami 40 (#30 C.Christopher)Similar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+14
61.8%
Shotgun #1 D.Finn pass complete short left to #84 C.Weaver caught at Miami 47, for 14 yards to the Ohio46 (#5 A.Williams Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
61.8%
Shotgun #1 D.Finn pass incomplete deep right to #8 K.Perry thrown to Ohio20Similar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+6
61.8%
Shotgun #1 D.Finn pass complete short right to #0 K.Reynolds caught at Ohio49, for 6 yards to the Ohio40 (#22 J.Thomeson), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 11:10
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
61.7%
#34 P.Stainton punt 39 yards to the Ohio01Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 5:0162% → 61%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
61.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Ohio05 (#12 C.Hondru)Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+5
61.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Ohio10 (#12 C.Hondru)Similar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+1
61.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Ohio11 (#1 E.Blakey; #8 K.Beasley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
61.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Ohio17 (#12 C.Hondru; #3 M.McCain)Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+8
61.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass complete short left to #85 M.Williams caught at Ohio23, for 8 yards to the Ohio25 (#24 M.Yharbrough), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
61.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Ohio27 (#12 C.Hondru; #22 B.Jobe)Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
61.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Ohio32 (#12 C.Hondru; #33 J.Kuwatch)Similar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
61.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush left for 2 yards gain to the Ohio34 (#1 E.Blakey; #12 C.Hondru)Similar
Q1 6:09
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
61.2%
#42 M.Haines punt 34 yards to the Miami 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 4Uncategorized
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:1039% → 38%
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
61.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Finn rush right for 4 yards gain to the Miami 36 (#12 J.Crable)Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+4
61.1%
Shotgun #1 D.Finn pass complete short left to #0 K.Reynolds caught at Miami 31, for 4 yards to the Miami 40 (#22 J.Thomeson)Similar
Q1 6:09
3RD & 2
OWN 40
-2
60.9%
Shotgun #1 D.Finn sacked for loss of 3 yards to the Miami 37 (#27 J.Fries, #30 C.Christopher)Similar
Q1 3:59
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
61.7%
#34 P.Stainton punt 38 yards to the Ohio25 fair catch by #7 C.Hendricks at Ohio25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5Uncategorized
6 plays · 37 yds · 0:0062% → 63%
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass incomplete short left to #11 R.Harris II thrown to Ohio30Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
61.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush right for 4 yards gain to the Ohio29 (#12 C.Hondru; #32 J.Schott)Similar
Q1 3:59
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+14
61.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass complete short middle to #7 C.Hendricks caught at Ohio40, for 14 yards to the Ohio43 (#24 M.Yharbrough), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
62.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass complete short left to #11 R.Harris II caught at Ohio49, for 14 yards to the Miami 43 (#33 J.Kuwatch), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
62.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass complete short right to #19 D.Dorwart caught at Miami 38, for 5 yards to the Miami 38 (#17 K.Martin)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6Uncategorized
5 plays · 8 yds · 16:0039% → 43%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
60.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Finn rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Miami 21 (#12 J.Crable; #30 C.Christopher)Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+6
60.7%
Shotgun #6 J.Brunson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Miami 27 (#30 C.Christopher)Similar
Q2 14:10
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
61.3%
#34 P.Stainton punt 48 yards to the Ohio24 fair catch by #7 C.Hendricks at Ohio24 PENALTY Miami Illegal Formation (#1 E.Blakey) 5 yards from Ohio24 to Ohio29Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+1
57.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Finn rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Miami 28 (#30 C.Christopher; #15 A.Luqman)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 3:0744% → 44%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
56.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Finn pass incomplete deep middle to #8 K.Perry thrown to Ohio20Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
56.8%
Shotgun #6 J.Brunson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Miami 39 (#2 D.Walker; #27 J.Fries)Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+13
56.3%
Shotgun #1 D.Finn pass complete short left to #8 K.Perry caught at Ohio49, for 13 yards to the Ohio48 (#20 K.Bannister), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
54.0%
Shotgun #6 J.Brunson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Ohio45 (#27 J.Fries; #5 A.Williams Jr.)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+2
54.0%
Shotgun #1 D.Finn rush left for 2 yards gain to the Ohio43 (#9 M.Mack II), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
54.5%
Shotgun #1 D.Finn pass incomplete short left thrown to Ohio30Similar
Q3 11:53
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
55.8%
#34 P.Stainton punt 31 yards to the Ohio12 fair catch by #7 C.Hendricks at Ohio12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8FUMBLE
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:3160% → 60%
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
59.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Ohio16 (#3 M.McCain; #33 J.Kuwatch)Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 6
OWN 16
0
59.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass incomplete short middle to #6 D.Brune thrown to Ohio15 QB hurried by #33 J.Kuwatch and #94 J.LukusaSimilar
Q3 11:53
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+18
58.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass complete short left to #7 C.Hendricks caught at Ohio19, for 18 yards to the Ohio34 (#1 E.Blakey; #6 A.Walker Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
60.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass incomplete short right to #7 C.Hendricks thrown to Ohio39 QB hurried by #52 N.WashingtonSimilar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-2
60.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro sacked for loss of 2 yards to the Ohio36 (#12 C.Hondru), fumble by #13 P.Navarro recovered by Miami #12 C.Hondru at Ohio36, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9FG
5 plays · 7 yds · 5:4547% → 37%
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
53.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Brunson rush left for 1 yard gain to the Ohio35 (#22 J.Thomeson; #44 N.Dukes)Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+6
52.2%
Shotgun #6 J.Brunson rush right for 6 yards gain to the Ohio29 (#30 C.Christopher)Similar
Q3 8:15
4TH & 3
OPP 29
+46
49.0%
#31 D.Dzioban field goal attempt from 46 yards GOOD (H: #34 P.Stainton, LS: #59 H.Powell), clock 08:15Similar
Q3 4:37
3RD & 3
OPP 29
0
63.2%
Shotgun #1 D.Finn pass complete short left to #0 K.Reynolds caught at Ohio34, for 0 yards to the Ohio29 (#2 D.Walker)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:3869% → 72%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
69.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass complete short left to #11 R.Harris II caught at Ohio30, for 9 yards to the Ohio34 (#21 C.Toney; #33 J.Kuwatch)Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+8
70.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass complete short right to #7 C.Hendricks caught at Ohio41, for 8 yards to the Ohio42 (#99 O.Alexander), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
71.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush left for 11 yards gain to the Miami 47 (#1 E.Blakey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
72.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush right for 3 yards gain to the Miami 44 (#20 A.Trick; #99 O.Alexander)Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+15
72.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass complete short right to #85 M.Williams caught at Miami 40, for 15 yards to the Miami 29 (#33 J.Kuwatch), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
72.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass incomplete short left thrown to Miami 24 QB hurried by #12 C.HondruSimilar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+7
72.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush left for 7 yards gain to the Miami 22 (#8 K.Beasley), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 4:37
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+22
72.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 22 yards gain to the Miami 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:37, 1ST DOWN #39 D.Dellenbach kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #46 N.Hemer)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11TD
17 plays · 60 yds · 6:0834% → 60%
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
65.6%
PENALTY Miami Delay Of Game 5 yards from Miami 40 to Miami 35. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 4:37
1ST & 15
OWN 35
0
67.7%
Shotgun #1 D.Finn pass incomplete short middle to #86 B.Shane thrown to Miami 35 broken up by #27 J.FriesSimilar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+15
68.1%
Shotgun #1 D.Finn pass incomplete deep right to #8 K.Perry thrown to Ohio27 broken up by #7 T.Pearson PENALTY Ohio Pass Interference (#7 T.Pearson) 15 yards from Miami 35 to Miami 50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
50
+10
63.3%
Shotgun #1 D.Finn rush left for 2 yards loss to the Miami 48 (#9 M.Mack II) PENALTY Miami Holding (#72 K.Manu) 10 yards from Miami 50 to Miami 40. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 4:37
1ST & 20
OWN 40
+5
67.3%
Shotgun #1 D.Finn pass complete short right to #8 K.Perry caught at Miami 46, for 5 yards to the Miami 45 (#2 D.Walker)Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+14
67.1%
Shotgun #1 D.Finn pass complete short left to #84 C.Weaver caught at Ohio41, for 14 yards to the Ohio41 (#5 A.Williams Jr.)Similar
Q3 4:37
3RD & 1
OPP 41
0
63.2%
Shotgun #6 J.Brunson rush middle for 0 yards to the Ohio41 (#22 J.Thomeson)Similar
Q3 4:37
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+2
65.4%
Shotgun #14 D.Jones rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Ohio39 (#27 J.Fries; #30 C.Christopher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
63.3%
Shotgun #1 D.Finn rush middle for 7 yards gain to the Ohio32 (#12 J.Crable; #30 C.Christopher)Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+3
61.6%
Shotgun #14 D.Jones rush middle for 3 yards gain to the Ohio29 (#97 A.Mitchell; #30 C.Christopher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
61.6%
Shotgun #1 D.Finn pass incomplete short left thrown to Ohio00 QB hurried by #10 P.Odjugo and #44 N.DukesSimilar
Q4 14:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
65.3%
Shotgun #1 D.Finn pass complete short left to #30 J.Ringer caught at Ohio06, for 1 yard to the Ohio04 (#7 T.Pearson), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 13:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
41.6%
Shotgun #1 D.Finn pass complete short middle to #18 B.Isom caught at Ohio00, for 4 yards to the Ohio00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:29 #31 D.Dzioban kick attempt good (H: #34 P.Stainton, LS: #59 H.Powell)Similar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+18
39.7%
Shotgun #1 D.Finn pass complete short left to #84 C.Weaver caught at Ohio24, for 18 yards to the Ohio11 (#7 T.Pearson), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Ohio Personal Foul (#15 A.Luqman) 6 yards from Ohio11 to Ohio05, 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 14TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:4629% → 62%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
70.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #14 D.Jones rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Miami 40 (#27 J.Fries; #12 J.Crable)Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+21
68.2%
Shotgun #14 D.Jones rush middle for 21 yards gain to the Ohio39 (#7 T.Pearson; #12 J.Crable), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
67.3%
Shotgun #1 D.Finn pass complete short right to #30 J.Ringer caught at Ohio39, for 11 yards to the Ohio28 (#24 C.Hollobaugh), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
65.4%
Shotgun #1 D.Finn pass complete short right to #30 J.Ringer caught at Ohio28, for 2 yards to the Ohio26, out of bounds at Ohio26Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+1
65.4%
Shotgun #1 D.Finn rush right for 1 yard gain to the Ohio25 (#27 J.Fries)Similar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 7
OPP 25
-2
67.8%
Shotgun #1 D.Finn sacked for loss of 2 yards to the Ohio27 (#16 J.Marsh)Similar
Q4 9:29
4TH & 9
OPP 27
+27
37.6%
Kam Perry 27 Yd pass from Dequan Finn (Dom Dzioban Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:1145% → 43%
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
44.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass complete short left to #11 R.Harris II caught at Ohio31, for 6 yards to the Ohio31 (#24 M.Yharbrough), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
47.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass incomplete short right to #7 C.Hendricks thrown to Ohio36Similar
Q4 9:29
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
44.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro rush middle for 5 yards gain to the Ohio36 (#3 M.McCain; #26 E.Coppess), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
46.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Brune rush middle for 4 yards gain to the Ohio40 (#12 C.Hondru; #94 J.Lukusa)Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
48.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass incomplete short right to #7 C.Hendricks thrown to Ohio47 broken up by #8 K.BeasleySimilar
Q4 9:29
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
45.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass incomplete short left thrown to Ohio45 QB hurried by #1 E.BlakeySimilar
Q4 7:18
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
43.0%
#42 M.Haines punt 35 yards to the Miami 25, out of bounds at Miami 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:5965% → 67%
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
34.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.Reynolds rush left for 1 yard gain to the Miami 26 (#30 C.Christopher; #20 K.Bannister) PENALTY Miami Holding (#18 B.Isom) 10 yards from Miami 25 to Miami 15. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+9
35.2%
Shotgun #14 D.Jones rush middle for 9 yards gain to the Miami 24 (#22 J.Thomeson; #44 N.Dukes)Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
35.3%
Shotgun #14 D.Jones rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Miami 30 (#2 D.Walker)Similar
Q4 7:18
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
35.2%
Shotgun #1 D.Finn pass incomplete short left to #18 B.Isom thrown to Miami 30 broken up by #24 C.HollobaughSimilar
Q4 5:19
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+5
33.5%
#34 P.Stainton punt 50 yards to the Ohio20 #7 C.Hendricks return 5 yards to the Ohio25 (#59 H.Powell; #12 C.Hondru)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:0440% → 90%
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
39.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush right for 15 yards gain to the Ohio40 (#92 R.Andrews; #8 K.Beasley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
43.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Ohio42 (#33 J.Kuwatch)Similar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+10
43.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Miami 48 (#26 E.Coppess) PENALTY Ohio Holding (#60 T.Allen) 10 yards from Ohio46 to Ohio36. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 14
OWN 36
+15
37.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro sacked for loss of 10 yards to the Ohio26 (#12 C.Hondru) PENALTY Miami Face Mask (#20 A.Trick) 15 yards from Ohio36 to Miami 49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
46.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass incomplete short left to #5 S.Bangura thrown to Miami 45Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+49
90.2%
Rodney Harris II 49 Yd pass from Parker Navarro (David Dellenbach Kick)Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+4
89.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #13 P.Navarro pass complete short right to #86 J.Bruno caught at Ohio42, for 4 yards to the Ohio46, out of bounds at Ohio46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2419% → 24%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+27
80.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Finn pass complete deep left to #18 B.Isom caught at Miami 46, for 27 yards to the Miami 46 QB hurried by #12 J.Crable (#5 A.Williams Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
76.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Finn pass intercepted by #22 J.Thomeson at Miami 49, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Interception". CALL UPHELDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19END OF GAME
8 plays · 11 yds · 0:5091% → 94%
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
91.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush right for 7 yards gain to the Miami 42 (#94 J.Lukusa)Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+13
92.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 S.Bangura rush middle for 13 yards gain to the Miami 29 (#3 M.McCain; #12 C.Hondru), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-3
93.5%
Kneel down by #13 P.Navarro at Miami 32 for loss of 3 yardsSimilar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 13
OPP 32
-3
94.7%
Kneel down by #13 P.Navarro at Miami 35 for loss of 3 yardsSimilar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 16
OPP 35
-3
94.1%
Kneel down by #13 P.Navarro at Miami 38 for loss of 3 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:15
Rodney Harris II 49 Yd pass from Parker Navarro (David Dellenbach Kick)
+44
TD · Q4 13:15
#38 K.McLaughlin kickoff 62 yards to the Ohio03 #5 S.Bangura return 97 yards to the Miami 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:15 #39 D.Dellenbach kick attempt good (H: #42 M.Haines, LS: #46 N.Hemer)
+31.2
TD · Q4 9:29
Kam Perry 27 Yd pass from Dequan Finn (Dom Dzioban Kick)
-30.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com