Try the model
BGSU

Bowling Green 21 at Kent State 24

KENT
2025 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2025 · Dix Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · KENT
modelKENT aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playKENT scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · End of 4th quarter.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:47: (08:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:47 #14 J.Kleather kick attempt good (H: #85 T.Kenner, LS: #47 G.Carlson) — BGSU win probability +11.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:24: (06:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete deep middle to #21 C.Wolford caught at BGSU00, for 29 yards to the BGSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:24, 1ST DOWN #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #61 C.Durkin, LS: #41 G.Goodell) — KENT win probability +11.7 pts (now 26%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:23: (04:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush left for 45 yards gain to the BGSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:23, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was inbounds". CALL UPHELD #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #61 C.Durkin, LS: #41 G.Goodell) — KENT win probability +18.8 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q4 3:15: (03:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 D.Clark pass complete short right to #6 W.Harris caught at BGSU00, for 12 yards to the BGSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:15, 1ST DOWN #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #61 C.Durkin, LS: #41 G.Goodell) — KENT win probability +44.1 pts (now 86%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:56: (01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush middle for 0 yards to the KSU43 (#7 D.Afogho) PENALTY KSU Holding declined — KENT win probability +19.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENT made the numbers' call on 7 of 8BGSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 14:07KENT 4th & 7 at KENT 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:27KENT 4th & 7 at BGSU 49, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    33.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:10BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:09KENT 4th & 6 at KENT 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:35BGSU 4th & 10 at BGSU 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:13KENT 4th & 6 at BGSU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    31.7%−1.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    32.0%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:12KENT 4th & 8 at BGSU 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.4%
    79% to make
    Punt
    26.6%−5.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:33BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 13, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.6%−1.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:56BGSU 4th & 2 at KENT 25, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.8%−2.0
    66% to make
    Punt
    56.8%−12.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:18KENT 4th & 19 at KENT 38, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−4.3
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:49BGSU 4th & 15 at BGSU 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−5.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:52KENT 4th & 1 at KENT 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.6%−7.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:07BGSU 4th & 11 at KENT 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.3%
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.7%−3.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:43KENT 4th & 9 at KENT 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%−4.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4732% → 32%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
32.0%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Nubin rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU28 (#7 D.Afogho)Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
32.2%
(14:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short right to #84 J.Kimbrough thrown to KSU34 broken up by #1 K.WashingtonSimilar
Q1 14:16
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
32.2%
(14:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short right to #6 W.Harris thrown to KSU40 QB hurried by #7 D.Afogho PENALTY KSU Illegal Shift declinedSimilar
Q1 14:07
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
32.3%
(14:09) #61 C.Durkin punt 33 yards to the BGSU39, out of bounds at BGSU39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 61 yds · 4:2568% → 68%
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
32.3%
(14:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May pass incomplete short right to #7 J.Johnson thrown to BGSU45Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
32.4%
(14:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.Roberts rush right for 7 yards gain to the BGSU46 (#31 D.Jackson III), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 13:06
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+20
32.6%
(13:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May pass complete deep middle to #7 J.Johnson caught at KSU34, for 20 yards to the KSU34 (#31 D.Jackson III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
32.6%
(12:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.McMillian rush middle for 11 yards gain to the KSU23 (#10 C.Williams; #21 J.Cordoba), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
32.8%
(12:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU20 (#0 M.Woods; #94 A.Williams)Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+8
33.0%
(11:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May pass complete short middle to #17 T.Johnson caught at KSU14, for 8 yards to the KSU12 (#22 J.Rawlison), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-4
33.1%
(10:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May sacked for loss of 4 yards to the KSU16 (#95 J.Davis)Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 14
OPP 16
+3
33.5%
(10:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.McMillian rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU13 (#31 D.Jackson III; #10 C.Williams)Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 11
OPP 13
+13
32.0%
(09:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May pass complete short left to #88 J.Harris caught at KSU00, for 13 yards to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:36, 1ST DOWN #14 J.Kleather kick attempt good (H: #85 T.Kenner, LS: #47 G.Carlson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 72 yds · 3:0133% → 33%
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
32.5%
(09:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Nubin rush middle for 1 yard loss to the KSU24 (#2 M.Cannon; #55 E.Branch-Haynes)Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+8
32.3%
(08:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 C.Wolford rush right for 8 yards gain to the KSU32 (#0 K.Pascal; #4 G.Lampron)Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+16
32.4%
(08:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Nubin rush middle for 16 yards gain to the KSU48 (#1 K.Washington), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
33.1%
(07:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 D.Clark rush left for 1 yard loss to the KSU47 (#0 K.Pascal)Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 11
OWN 47
0
32.9%
(07:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short left to #85 S.Brown thrown to BGSU48Similar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 11
OWN 47
+4
32.6%
(07:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush right for 4 yards gain to the BGSU49 (#12 C.Marshall)Similar
Q1 6:27
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
32.6%
(06:35) #61 C.Durkin punt 46 yards to the BGSU03 #5 B.Ridley return 0 yards to the BGSU03 fumbled by #5 B.Ridley at BGSU03 forced by #32 T.Rubinstein recovered by BGSU #5 B.Ridley at BGSU03, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4PUNT
12 plays · 40 yds · 6:0968% → 68%
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
32.5%
(06:27) No Huddle #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BGSU07 (#3 C.Young; #6 M.Maddox)Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+3
32.6%
(05:48) No Huddle #4 C.McMillian rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BGSU10 (#31 D.Jackson III)Similar
Q1 5:04
3RD & 3
OWN 10
+4
32.8%
(05:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BGSU14 (#21 J.Cordoba), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
32.5%
(04:32) No Huddle #1 A.Middleton rush left for 7 yards gain (4) to the BGSU21 (#21 J.Cordoba; #94 A.Williams) PENALTY BGSU Holding (#65 J.Burns) 9 yards from BGSU18 to BGSU09Similar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 15
OWN 9
+6
32.6%
(04:08) No Huddle #4 C.McMillian rush middle for 6 yards gain to the BGSU15 (#58 D.Blachewicz; #10 C.Williams)Similar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 9
OWN 15
-1
32.6%
(03:38) No Huddle #0 K.Roberts rush middle for 1 yard loss to the BGSU14 (#3 C.Young)Similar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 10
OWN 14
+12
32.9%
(02:58) No Huddle #8 B.May pass complete short right to #2 R.Garcia II caught at BGSU26, for 12 yards to the BGSU26 (#3 C.Young), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
32.2%
(02:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 M.Porter rush middle for 14 yards gain to the BGSU40 (#18 T.Miller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
31.3%
(01:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May rush left for 3 yards gain to the BGSU43 (#21 J.Cordoba), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
31.3%
(01:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May rush middle for 0 yards to the BGSU43 (#11 A.Campbell; #0 M.Woods)Similar
Q1 0:21
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
31.5%
(00:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May pass incomplete short middle to #2 R.Garcia II thrown to BGSU50 broken up by #3 C.YoungSimilar
Q1 0:10
4TH & 7
OWN 43
-2
32.3%
(00:18) #19 J.Henderson punt 42 yards to the KSU15 muffed by #6 W.Harris at KSU15 recovered by KSU #12 J.Boamah at KSU13, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:0033% → 32%
Q1 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
32.5%
(00:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Nubin rush middle for 5 yards gain to the KSU18 (#12 C.Marshall; #57 D.White)Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 5
OWN 18
-3
32.6%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Nubin rush middle for 3 yards loss to the KSU15 (#2 M.Cannon)Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 8
OWN 15
+12
32.0%
(14:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #6 W.Harris caught at KSU27, for 12 yards to the KSU27 (#2 M.Cannon), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
32.8%
(13:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU29 (#5 E.George; #4 G.Lampron)Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+2
32.9%
(13:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Nubin rush right for 2 yards gain to the KSU31 (#5 E.George; #23 M.Bradley)Similar
Q2 12:18
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
32.5%
(12:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short right to #82 Z.Fletcher thrown to BGSU50 broken up by #0 K.Pascal QB hurried by #23 M.BradleySimilar
Q2 12:09
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
32.0%
(12:15) #61 C.Durkin punt 38 yards to the BGSU31 #5 B.Ridley return 0 yards to the BGSU31 (#32 T.Rubinstein)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2568% → 67%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
31.9%
(12:07) No Huddle #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BGSU32 (#3 C.Young)Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
32.0%
(11:32) No Huddle #8 B.May pass incomplete short middle to #7 J.Johnson thrown to BGSU47 broken up by #21 J.CordobaSimilar
Q2 11:04
3RD & 9
OWN 32
-1
32.7%
(11:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May pass complete short right to #0 K.Roberts caught at BGSU27, for 1 yard loss to the BGSU31 (#0 M.Woods)Similar
Q2 10:35
4TH & 10
OWN 31
0
33.3%
(10:43) #19 J.Henderson punt 34 yards to the KSU35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7FG
12 plays · 47 yds · 4:1433% → 38%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
33.1%
(10:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #1 D.Martin caught at KSU41, for 6 yards to the KSU41, out of bounds at KSU41Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+14
34.1%
(10:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short left to #1 D.Martin caught at KSU45, for 14 yards to the BGSU45 (#0 K.Pascal; #2 M.Cannon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
34.7%
(09:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Nubin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BGSU44 (#4 G.Lampron; #57 D.White)Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+8
34.7%
(08:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Nubin rush middle for 8 yards gain to the BGSU36 (#12 C.Marshall; #23 M.Bradley)Similar
Q2 8:38
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+5
34.6%
PENALTY KSU False Start 5 yards from BGSU36 to BGSU41. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 6
OPP 41
0
34.5%
(08:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete deep right to #21 C.Wolford thrown to BGSU16Similar
Q2 8:13
4TH & 6
OPP 41
+21
32.3%
(08:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #11 C.Berry caught at BGSU32, for 21 yards to the BGSU20 (#12 C.Marshall; #15 P.EstoEsta), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
34.9%
PENALTY KSU False Start (#54 D.Morell) 5 yards from BGSU20 to BGSU25. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 15
OPP 25
0
34.4%
(07:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete deep left to #6 W.Harris thrown to BGSU00Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 15
OPP 25
-3
33.8%
(07:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short middle to #27 J.Nubin caught at BGSU28, for 3 yards loss to the BGSU28 (#4 G.Lampron)Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 18
OPP 28
+10
32.5%
(06:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #84 J.Kimbrough rush middle for 10 yards gain to the BGSU18 (#15 P.EstoEsta), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 6:12
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+35
37.6%
(06:14) #47 W.Hryszko field goal attempt from 35 yards GOOD (H: #61 C.Durkin, LS: #41 G.Goodell), clock 06:12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:3064% → 76%
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
36.1%
(06:10) No Huddle #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 6 yards gain to the BGSU31 (#94 A.Williams)Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
35.3%
(05:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May pass complete short right to #1 A.Middleton caught at BGSU29, for 1 yard to the BGSU32 (#21 J.Cordoba; #1 A.Muhammad)Similar
Q2 4:47
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
36.4%
(04:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BGSU35 (#58 D.Blachewicz; #31 D.Jackson III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
35.9%
(04:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May pass incomplete short left to #1 A.Middleton thrown to KSU50Similar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
36.3%
(04:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 M.Porter rush middle for 5 yards gain to the BGSU40 (#0 M.Woods; #10 C.Williams)Similar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+15
35.4%
(03:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May pass incomplete deep left to #88 J.Harris thrown to KSU35 broken up by #31 D.Jackson III QB hurried by #4 J.Mathis, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY KSU Pass Interference (#31 D.Jackson III) 15 yards from BGSU40 to KSU45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
33.5%
(03:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 5 yards gain to the KSU40 (#21 J.Cordoba)Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+6
33.1%
(02:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 6 yards gain to the KSU34 (#3 C.Young; #21 J.Cordoba), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
32.1%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU31 (#3 C.Young)Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+15
31.8%
PENALTY KSU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#17 M.Carroll) 15 yards from KSU31 to KSU16, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
31.7%
(01:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 9 yards gain to the KSU07 (#0 M.Woods; #31 D.Jackson III)Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 1
OPP 7
+6
31.8%
(01:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 6 yards gain to the KSU01 (#1 A.Muhammad; #10 C.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
23.7%
(00:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:33 #14 J.Kleather kick attempt good (H: #85 T.Kenner, LS: #47 G.Carlson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9END OF HALF
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
25.7%
(00:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush middle for 5 yards gain to the KSU30 (#4 G.Lampron)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:0774% → 90%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
25.7%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.McMillian rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BGSU29 (#95 J.Davis; #31 D.Jackson III)Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
25.3%
(14:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.McMillian rush middle for 5 yards gain to the BGSU34 (#6 M.Maddox; #22 J.Rawlison)Similar
Q3 13:39
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
25.4%
(13:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BGSU38 (#88 M.Hazime), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
24.2%
(13:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BGSU40 (#0 M.Woods; #3 C.Young)Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
23.7%
(12:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May pass incomplete deep left to #5 B.Ridley thrown to KSU25 QB hurried by #10 C.WilliamsSimilar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+6
24.2%
(12:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May rush right for 12 yards gain (6) to the KSU48 (#0 M.Woods) PENALTY BGSU Holding (#7 J.Johnson) 10 yards from BGSU46 to BGSU36Similar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 12
OWN 36
+18
24.8%
(12:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May pass complete short middle to #2 R.Garcia II caught at KSU49, for 18 yards to the KSU46 QB hurried by #33 J.Roy (#18 T.Miller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
23.2%
(11:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 M.Porter rush middle for 5 yards gain to the KSU41 (#10 C.Williams)Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+29
22.3%
(10:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May pass complete short middle to #7 J.Johnson caught at KSU24, for 29 yards to the KSU12 (#21 J.Cordoba; #18 T.Miller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
22.0%
(10:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSU08 (#31 D.Jackson III; #3 C.Young)Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+3
21.8%
(09:53) No Huddle #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU05 (#0 M.Woods; #31 D.Jackson III)Similar
Q3 9:13
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+4
21.6%
(09:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSU01 (#58 D.Blachewicz), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
10.1%
(08:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:47 #14 J.Kleather kick attempt good (H: #85 T.Kenner, LS: #47 G.Carlson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 2:0213% → 26%
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
13.0%
(08:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short left to #1 D.Martin caught at KSU26, for 6 yards to the KSU27 (#1 K.Washington; #0 K.Pascal)Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+12
13.3%
(08:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #6 W.Harris caught at KSU32, for 12 yards to the KSU39 (#4 G.Lampron; #1 K.Washington), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
13.5%
(07:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short right to #21 C.Wolford thrown to BGSU42 QB hurried by #7 D.AfoghoSimilar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
13.0%
(07:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Nubin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU41 (#4 G.Lampron; #55 E.Branch-Haynes)Similar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+15
12.8%
(06:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush right for 15 yards gain to the BGSU44 (#2 M.Cannon), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY BGSU Personal Foul (#2 M.Cannon) 15 yards from BGSU44 to BGSU29, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
14.4%
(06:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete short left to #30 D.Clark thrown to BGSU25Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+29
26.1%
(06:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete deep middle to #21 C.Wolford caught at BGSU00, for 29 yards to the BGSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:24, 1ST DOWN #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #61 C.Durkin, LS: #41 G.Goodell)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 1:3677% → 77%
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-2
22.6%
(06:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 K.Roberts rush left for 2 yards loss to the BGSU07 (#58 D.Blachewicz; #21 J.Cordoba)Similar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 12
OWN 7
0
22.5%
(05:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May pass incomplete deep middle to #2 R.Garcia II thrown to BGSU45Similar
Q3 5:31
3RD & 12
OWN 7
+3
23.1%
PENALTY BGSU Delay Of Game (#8 B.May) 3 yards from BGSU07 to BGSU04. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 5:22
3RD & 15
OWN 4
+4
23.1%
(05:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BGSU08 (#6 M.Maddox; #11 A.Campbell)Similar
Q3 4:50
4TH & 11
OWN 8
+5
23.2%
PENALTY KSU Encroachment (#83 G.Long) 5 yards from BGSU08 to BGSU13. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 4:33
4TH & 6
OWN 13
0
22.8%
(04:41) #19 J.Henderson punt 32 yards to the BGSU45, out of bounds at BGSU45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13TD
1 play · 45 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
41.6%
(04:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush left for 45 yards gain to the BGSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:23, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was inbounds". CALL UPHELD #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #61 C.Durkin, LS: #41 G.Goodell)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14MISSED FG
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:5666% → 69%
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
33.9%
(03:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BGSU14 (#32 T.Rubinstein)Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+16
33.5%
(03:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush right for 16 yards gain to the BGSU30 (#21 J.Cordoba), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
32.7%
(03:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 9 yards gain to the BGSU39 (#32 T.Rubinstein; #21 J.Cordoba)Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
30.0%
(02:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May pass incomplete short middle to #2 R.Garcia II thrown to KSU50 broken up by #22 J.RawlisonSimilar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+28
30.3%
(02:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May rush right for 28 yards gain to the KSU33 (#0 M.Woods), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
28.1%
(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.McMillian rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSU29 (#95 J.Davis; #22 J.Rawlison)Similar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+3
27.7%
(01:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.McMillian rush right for 3 yards gain to the KSU26 (#3 C.Young)Similar
Q3 0:29
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+1
29.1%
(00:29) No Huddle #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KSU25 (#31 D.Jackson III; #15 S.Abuhamdeh)Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+43
30.8%
(14:59) #14 J.Kleather field goal attempt from 43 yards NO GOOD (H: #85 T.Kenner, LS: #47 G.Carlson), clock 14:56Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 4:3236% → 33%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
36.0%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #1 D.Martin caught at KSU30, for 7 yards to the KSU32 (#1 K.Washington; #2 M.Cannon), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
38.7%
(14:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short left to #1 D.Martin caught at KSU36, for 5 yards to the KSU37 (#0 K.Pascal; #8 J.McClendon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
37.2%
(13:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass incomplete deep middle to #30 D.Clark thrown to BGSU20 broken up by #0 K.PascalSimilar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
37.0%
(13:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Nubin rush middle for 0 yards to the KSU37 (#7 D.Afogho; #2 M.Cannon)Similar
Q4 12:49
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+10
35.0%
(12:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short right to #1 D.Martin caught at KSU38, for 10 yards to the KSU47 (#15 P.EstoEsta), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
40.5%
(12:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete short left to #6 W.Harris caught at KSU50, for 4 yards to the BGSU49 (#0 K.Pascal)Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 6
OPP 49
-2
41.3%
(11:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush middle for 2 yards loss to the KSU49 (#55 E.Branch-Haynes)Similar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 8
OWN 49
-11
38.7%
(11:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields sacked for loss of 11 yards to the KSU38 (#55 E.Branch-Haynes)Similar
Q4 10:18
4TH & 19
OWN 38
0
33.4%
(10:29) #61 C.Durkin punt 39 yards to the BGSU23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 3:2270% → 70%
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
29.6%
(10:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.McMillian rush middle for 7 yards gain to the BGSU30 (#10 C.Williams)Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+4
27.9%
(09:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May pass complete short left to #7 J.Johnson caught at BGSU31, for 4 yards to the BGSU34 (#18 T.Miller), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
28.6%
(09:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 C.McMillian rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BGSU38 (#21 J.Cordoba)Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 6
OWN 38
-11
25.4%
(08:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May sacked for loss of 11 yards to the BGSU27 (#11 A.Campbell), fumble by #8 B.May recovered by BGSU #7 J.Johnson at BGSU27, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 7:22
3RD & 17
OWN 27
+2
28.5%
(07:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May rush left for 2 yards gain to the BGSU29 (#3 C.Young)Similar
Q4 6:49
4TH & 15
OWN 29
0
29.6%
(06:56) #19 J.Henderson punt 33 yards to the KSU38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 3:2738% → 86%
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
37.8%
(06:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KSU39 (#55 E.Branch-Haynes)Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+7
37.5%
(06:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush left for 7 yards gain to the KSU46, out of bounds at KSU46Similar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+1
39.3%
(05:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Nubin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KSU47 (#1 K.Washington)Similar
Q4 4:52
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+2
35.0%
(04:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Nubin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU49 (#1 K.Washington; #5 E.George), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+37
37.0%
(04:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields pass complete deep left to #21 C.Wolford caught at BGSU28, for 37 yards to the BGSU14 (#8 J.McClendon), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
41.7%
(03:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BGSU12 (#12 C.Marshall)Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+12
85.8%
(03:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 D.Clark pass complete short right to #6 W.Harris caught at BGSU00, for 12 yards to the BGSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:15, 1ST DOWN #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #61 C.Durkin, LS: #41 G.Goodell)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:0130% → 22%
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
70.1%
(03:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 8 yards gain to the BGSU33 (#21 J.Cordoba)Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-2
70.6%
(02:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 A.Dendy rush middle for 2 yards loss to the BGSU31 (#11 A.Campbell)Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+21
75.6%
(02:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May pass complete short middle to #1 A.Middleton caught at BGSU30, for 21 yards to the KSU48 (#3 C.Young), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-8
68.4%
(01:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May sacked for loss of 8 yards to the BGSU44 (#95 J.Davis)Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 18
OWN 44
+7
76.6%
(01:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May pass complete short left to #25 M.Porter caught at BGSU41, for 7 yards to the KSU49 (#3 C.Young; #0 M.Woods)Similar
Q4 1:17
3RD & 11
OPP 49
0
74.6%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May pass incomplete deep left to #11 F.Hogan thrown to KSU29 broken up by #18 T.MillerSimilar
Q4 1:07
4TH & 11
OPP 49
+10
78.4%
(01:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May pass complete short right to #88 J.Harris caught at KSU45, for 10 yards to the KSU39 (#17 M.Carroll; #33 J.Roy), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:1992% → 93%
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
92.2%
(01:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Nubin rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSU43 (#2 M.Cannon)Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
92.7%
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush middle for 0 yards to the KSU43 (#7 D.Afogho) PENALTY KSU Holding declinedSimilar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 6
OWN 43
-3
92.0%
(00:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 J.Nubin rush middle for 3 yards loss to the KSU40 (#18 A.Hines III)Similar
Q4 0:43
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
92.7%
(00:49) #61 C.Durkin punt 39 yards to the BGSU21 #5 B.Ridley return 0 yards to the BGSU21 (#41 G.Goodell) PENALTY BGSU Running Into The Kicker declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20END OF GAME
12 plays · 25 yds · 0:3712% → 14%
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
88.3%
(00:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May pass incomplete short right to #7 J.Johnson thrown to BGSU30 QB hurried by #95 J.Davis. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+10
88.4%
(00:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May pass incomplete short right to #1 A.Middleton thrown to BGSU40 PENALTY BGSU Holding (#55 T.Fatukasi) 10 yards from BGSU21 to BGSU11. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 20
OWN 11
0
88.6%
(00:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.May pass incomplete short middle to #0 K.Roberts thrown to BGSU10Similar
Q4 0:28
3RD & 20
OWN 11
+5
89.2%
(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass incomplete short right to #7 J.Johnson thrown to BGSU20 broken up by #17 M.Carroll PENALTY KSU Offside (#95 J.Davis) 5 yards from BGSU11 to BGSU16. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:17
3RD & 15
OWN 16
+18
89.3%
(00:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass complete short middle to #2 R.Garcia II caught at BGSU32, for 18 yards to the BGSU34 (#21 J.Cordoba), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
87.2%
(00:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass incomplete, SpikeSimilar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
87.8%
(00:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass incomplete short right to #2 R.Garcia II thrown to BGSU50Similar
Q4 0:05
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+12
89.5%
(00:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass complete short right to #11 F.Hogan caught at BGSU38, for 12 yards to the BGSU46 (#17 M.Carroll), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
86.0%
(00:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass incomplete, SpikeSimilar
Q4 0:02
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
86.3%
(00:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.Najm pass incomplete short left to #2 R.Garcia II thrown to KSU45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:15
(03:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #30 D.Clark pass complete short right to #6 W.Harris caught at BGSU00, for 12 yards to the BGSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:15, 1ST DOWN #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #61 C.Durkin, LS: #41 G.Goodell)
+44.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:56
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 D.DeShields rush middle for 0 yards to the KSU43 (#7 D.Afogho) PENALTY KSU Holding declined
+19.7
TD · Q3 4:23
(04:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 G.Garcia rush left for 45 yards gain to the BGSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:23, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was inbounds". CALL UPHELD #47 W.Hryszko kick attempt good (H: #61 C.Durkin, LS: #41 G.Goodell)
+18.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com