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NIU

Northern Illinois 21 at Ohio 48

OHIO
2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+0.8OHIO 99.9%Jalen Thomeson 91 Yd Fumble Return(David Dellenbach Kick)AWAY 21 - HOME 48 · Q4 2:52
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:52 · Jalen Thomeson 91 Yd Fumble Return (David Dellenbach Kick)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 165Home team on offense+35.1Pregame prior+1.4Score differential+32.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.8Garbage-time factor+10.4Blowout margin+16.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:08: Devon Akers 7 Yd pass from Josh Holst (Josh Holst Pass to George Dimopoulos for Two-Point Conversion) — NIU win probability +7.2 pts (now 18%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:08: Timeout Ohio, clock 10:08 — OHIO win probability +5.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:49: Duncan Brune run for 66 yds for a TD (David Dellenbach PAT MISSED) — OHIO win probability +6.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:49: Timeout Ohio, clock 13:49 — NIU win probability +4.9 pts (now 11%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:40: D. Brune run for 4 yds for a TD (D. Dellenbach KICK) — OHIO win probability +4.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 2 of 3NIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:26NIU 4th & 7 at NIU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:18NIU 4th & 9 at NIU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:18NIU 4th & 9 at NIU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:00NIU 4th & 12 at NIU 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:20OHIO 4th & 19 at NIU 36, up 13
    Close callPunted · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−1.3
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    84.4%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:52NIU 4th & 7 at NIU 18, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:54OHIO 4th & 1 at OHIO 44, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    85.0%−1.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:30NIU 4th & 7 at NIU 47, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:32OHIO 4th & 3 at NIU 24, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    98.6%−0.2
    68% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:52NIU 4th & 7 at OHIO 13, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%
    85% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:54NIU 4th & 5 at NIU 38, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 7 of 7NIU made the numbers' call on 0 of 3
  1. Q1 12:47OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:03OHIO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:13OHIO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:08NIU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    16.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    16.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:49OHIO Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:40OHIO Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:04NIU Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:55OHIO Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:08NIU Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.6%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.6%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 2:52OHIO Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NIUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3422% → 22%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.3%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the NIU 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
78.3%
Josh Holst pass incomplete to DeAree RogersSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+3
78.3%
Josh Holst pass complete to Gary Givens for 3 yds to the NIU 28Similar
Q1 13:26
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+52
78.0%
Jake Ference punt for 38 yds , Chase Hendricks returns for 52 yds to the NIU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2TD
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:3978% → 79%
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
78.1%
Parker Navarro run for 12 yds to the NIU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
78.5%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds for a TD (David Dellenbach KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:2922% → 22%
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
78.2%
Lazaro Rogers run for 9 yds to the NIU 39Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+2
78.1%
Josh Holst run for 2 yds to the NIU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
78.2%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIU 40Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+2
78.2%
Josh Holst pass complete to Jake Appleget for 2 yds to the NIU 42Similar
Q1 12:47
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
78.2%
Josh Holst pass incomplete to DeAree RogersSimilar
Q1 10:18
4TH & 9
OWN 42
0
78.4%
Jake Ference punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Chase Hendricks at the OHIO 19Similar
Q1 10:18
4TH & 9
OWN 42
0
78.4%
Jake Ference punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Chase Hendricks at the OHIO 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4TD
14 plays · 91 yds · 5:1578% → 83%
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+12
78.4%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 12 yds to the OHIO 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
78.5%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Dom DorwartSimilar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+11
78.5%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 11 yds to the OHIO 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
78.5%
Sieh Bangura run for 9 yds to the OHIO 41Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+15
78.8%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 15 yds to the NIU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
78.9%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the NIU 41Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+15
78.8%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 15 yds to the NIU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+10
78.9%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 10 yds to the NIU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
78.9%
Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the NIU 11Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+2
78.9%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the NIU 9Similar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+9
82.9%
Parker Navarro run for 9 yds for a TD (David Dellenbach KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 4:0319% → 19%
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
80.6%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the NIU 31Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+2
80.7%
Josh Holst pass complete to Pierce Oppong for 2 yds to the NIU 33Similar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+9
80.7%
Chavon Wright run for 9 yds to the NIU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
80.6%
Josh Holst sacked by Jay Crable for a loss of 5 yards to the NIU 37Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 15
OWN 37
+2
80.9%
Josh Holst pass complete to DeAree Rogers for 2 yds to the NIU 39Similar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 13
OWN 39
-5
80.9%
PENALTY NIU False Start (Hron,Landon) 5 yards from NIU39 to NIU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 18
OWN 34
+6
81.0%
Josh Holst pass complete to DeAree Rogers for 6 yds to the NIU 40Similar
Q1 1:00
4TH & 12
OWN 40
0
81.5%
Jake Ference punt for 26 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6TD
12 plays · 66 yds · 3:4784% → 91%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
84.2%
Duncan Brune run for 1 yd to the OHIO 35Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 9
OWN 35
0
84.1%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Chase HendricksSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+10
84.2%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Duncan Brune for 10 yds to the OHIO 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
85.1%
Parker Navarro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+9
85.0%
Duncan Brune run for 9 yds to the NIU 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+3
84.7%
Duncan Brune run for 3 yds to the NIU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
85.2%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 3 yds to the NIU 40Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+30
86.7%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 30 yds to the NIU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
86.5%
Duncan Brune run for 5 yds to the NIU 5 Duncan Brune fumbled, recovered by NIU Davion WeatherspoonSimilar
Q2 12:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
91.0%
Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds for a TD (David Dellenbach KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:5611% → 18%
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
89.0%
Josh Holst run for 2 yds to the OHIO 18Similar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+1
89.0%
Chavon Wright run for 1 yd to the OHIO 17Similar
Q2 12:04
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+10
89.3%
Josh Holst pass complete to Jake Appleget for 10 yds to the OHIO 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
82.1%
Devon Akers 7 Yd pass from Josh Holst (Josh Holst Pass to George Dimopoulos for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8PUNT
14 plays · 39 yds · 5:4888% → 88%
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
87.9%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Dom Dorwart for 8 yds to the OHIO 33Similar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
88.0%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 8 yds to the OHIO 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
88.5%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the OHIO 43Similar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+5
88.5%
Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the OHIO 48Similar
Q2 10:08
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+4
88.1%
Parker Navarro run for 4 yds to the NIU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
88.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the NIU 42Similar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+15
88.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Navarro,Parker pass incomplete deep right to Dorwart,Dom thrown to NIU08 broken up by Finley,Jacob PENALTY NIU Pass Interference (Finley,Jacob) 15 yards from NIU42 to NIU27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-4
87.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds Ohio Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jake Bruno) to the NIU 31Similar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 14
OPP 31
+2
89.3%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the NIU 29Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 12
OPP 29
0
89.4%
Parker Navarro pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 12
OPP 29
-7
89.0%
Parker Navarro sacked by Roy Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the NIU 36Similar
Q2 4:20
4TH & 19
OPP 36
0
87.9%
David Dellenbach punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NIU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2814% → 13%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
86.2%
Josh Holst run for 1 yd to the NIU 16Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+2
86.4%
Josh Holst pass complete to Lazaro Rogers for 2 yds to the NIU 18Similar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 7
OWN 18
0
86.5%
Josh Holst pass incomplete to DeAree RogersSimilar
Q2 2:52
4TH & 7
OWN 18
0
87.3%
Jake Ference punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Chase Hendricks at the OHIO 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10INT
13 plays · 25 yds · 2:4189% → 89%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
89.2%
Duncan Brune run for 4 yds to the OHIO 39Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+4
89.7%
Duncan Brune run for 4 yds to the OHIO 43Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
88.7%
Duncan Brune run for 1 yd to the OHIO 44Similar
Q2 1:54
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+2
88.5%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the OHIO 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-10
89.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Navarro,Parker pass complete deep right to Gossett,Caleb caught at NIU22, for 42 yards to the NIU12 (Harrison,Donte) PENALTY Ohio Holding (Weatherspoon,Davion) 10 yards from Ohio46 to Ohio36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 20
OWN 36
+21
88.9%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Caleb Gossett for 21 yds to the NIU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
89.7%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 5 yds to the NIU 38Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 5
OPP 38
-5
89.4%
PENALTY Ohio False Start 5 yards from NIU38 to NIU43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
90.1%
Parker Navarro run for 3 yds to the NIU 40Similar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
88.9%
Parker Navarro pass intercepted, touchback. James Finley return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:1112% → 12%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
88.5%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 12 yds to the NIU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
88.3%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 13 yds to the NIU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:1187% → 94%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
86.5%
Duncan Brune run for 9 yds to the OHIO 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
86.8%
Parker Navarro run for no gain to the OHIO 34Similar
Q3 13:49
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+66
93.5%
Duncan Brune run for 66 yds for a TD (David Dellenbach PAT MISSED)Similar
Q3 13:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
93.9%
Dorwart,Dom pass attempt Successful PENALTY Ohio Holding (Allen,Trent) 10 yards from NIU03 to NIU13. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1311% → 10%
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
89.0%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the NIU 48Similar
Q3 13:43
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
88.5%
Josh Holst pass incomplete to George DimopoulosSimilar
Q3 13:43
3RD & 6
OWN 48
-1
89.2%
Josh Holst pass complete to Chavon Wright for a loss of 1 yard to the NIU 47Similar
Q3 12:30
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
89.8%
Jake Ference punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Chase Hendricks at the OHIO 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14TD
11 plays · 97 yds · 4:5094% → 99%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+49
93.9%
Sieh Bangura run for 49 yds to the NIU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
94.8%
Duncan Brune run for 2 yds to the NIU 46Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+15
94.7%
Parker Navarro run for 15 yds to the NIU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
94.8%
Parker Navarro pass incomplete to Rodney Harris IISimilar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+7
94.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 7 yds to the NIU 24Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+12
94.4%
Sieh Bangura run for 12 yds to the NIU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
94.4%
Duncan Brune run for 6 yds to the NIU 6Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+2
94.0%
Duncan Brune run for 2 yds to the NIU 4Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+4
98.8%
D. Brune run for 4 yds for a TD (D. Dellenbach KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 1:301% → 5%
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-6
98.7%
Josh Holst sacked by Joseph Marsh for a loss of 6 yards to the NIU 24Similar
Q3 7:34
2ND & 16
OWN 24
+7
98.6%
Josh Holst pass complete to George Dimopoulos for 7 yds to the NIU 31Similar
Q3 7:34
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+5
98.7%
PENALTY Ohio Offside (Odjugo,Pius) 5 yards from NIU31 to NIU36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:34
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+14
98.6%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
50
+50
95.5%
Josh Holst pass complete to DeAree Rogers for 50 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:0998% → 100%
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
97.8%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 9 yds to the OHIO 34Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
97.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the OHIO 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
97.9%
Duncan Brune run for 4 yds to the OHIO 42Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+4
97.9%
Duncan Brune run for 4 yds to the OHIO 46Similar
Q3 6:04
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+10
97.9%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 10 yds Chase Hendricks fumbled, recovered by OHIO for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
97.9%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 5 yds to the NIU 39Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+23
97.8%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Mason Williams for 23 yds to the NIU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
97.8%
Duncan Brune run for 2 yds to the NIU 14Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+10
97.8%
Parker Navarro pass complete to Dom Dorwart for 10 yds to the NIU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.1%
Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the NIU 1Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd for a TD (David Dellenbach KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:470% → 1%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.8%
Josh Holst run for 16 yds to the NIU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Josh Holst pass incomplete to DeAree RogersSimilar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+19
99.8%
Josh Holst pass complete to DeAree Rogers for 19 yds to the OHIO 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
99.8%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 7 yds to the OHIO 33Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+2
99.7%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the OHIO 31Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+8
99.7%
Josh Holst run for 8 yds to the OHIO 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+22
99.7%
Josh Holst pass complete to DeAree Rogers for 22 yds to the OHIO 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.7%
Chavon Wright 1 Yd Run (Andrew Glass Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:35100% → 100%
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
99.7%
PENALTY Ohio False Start (Allen,Trent) 5 yards from NIU48 to Ohio47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+7
99.7%
Parker Navarro run for 7 yds to the NIU 46Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+15
99.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 15 yds to the NIU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
99.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the NIU 27Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+1
99.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the NIU 26Similar
Q4 12:07
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+2
99.7%
Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the NIU 24Similar
Q4 8:32
4TH & 3
OPP 24
0
99.7%
Parker Navarro run for no gain to the NIU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 19FUMBLE RETURN TD
15 plays · 67 yds · 5:401% → 0%
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
99.2%
Josh Holst pass complete to Telly Johnson Jr. for 9 yds to the NIU 33Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+17
99.2%
Josh Holst run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
50
+6
99.2%
Josh Holst pass complete to Gary Givens for 6 yds to the OHIO 44Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+5
99.2%
Josh Holst pass complete to DeAree Rogers for 5 yds to the OHIO 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
99.2%
Josh Holst run for 7 yds to the OHIO 32Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+2
99.1%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the OHIO 30Similar
Q4 8:32
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+2
99.2%
Josh Holst pass complete to George Dimopoulos for 2 yds to the OHIO 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.0%
Josh Holst pass incomplete to George DimopoulosSimilar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+2
99.1%
Josh Holst run for 2 yds to the OHIO 26Similar
Q4 8:32
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+10
99.2%
Telly Johnson Jr. run for 10 yds to the OHIO 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.0%
Josh Holst pass complete to George Dimopoulos for no gain to the OHIO 16Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+3
99.0%
Josh Holst pass complete to DeAree Rogers for 3 yds to the OHIO 13Similar
Q4 8:32
3RD & 7
OPP 13
0
99.1%
Josh Holst pass incomplete to La'Don BryantSimilar
Q4 2:52
4TH & 7
OPP 13
+91
99.9%
Jalen Thomeson 91 Yd Fumble Return (David Dellenbach Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:530% → 0%
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
100.0%
Josh Holst pass complete to Gary Givens for 3 yds to the NIU 36Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Josh Holst pass incomplete to DeAree RogersSimilar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+2
100.0%
Josh Holst pass complete to George Dimopoulos for 2 yds to the NIU 38Similar
Q4 1:54
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Brady Davidson pass incomplete to Telly Johnson Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21END OF GAME
8 plays · 12 yds · 1:54100% → 100%
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
100.0%
Doe Boyland run for 5 yds to the NIU 33Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+4
100.0%
Doe Boyland run for 4 yds to the NIU 29Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 1
OPP 29
-5
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Boyland,Dorian rush middle for 0 yards to the NIU29 (McRae,KJ) PENALTY Ohio Illegal Formation 5 yards from NIU29 to NIU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+10
100.0%
Doe Boyland run for 10 yds to the NIU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
100.0%
N. Poulos takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 25
-1
100.0%
N. Poulos takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:08
Devon Akers 7 Yd pass from Josh Holst (Josh Holst Pass to George Dimopoulos for Two-Point Conversion)
-7.2
TD · Q3 13:49
Duncan Brune run for 66 yds for a TD (David Dellenbach PAT MISSED)
+6.7
TD · Q2 10:08
Timeout Ohio, clock 10:08
+5.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com