KENT
Kent State 10 at Toledo 45
TOL2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · Glass Bowl
Speed4x
Win probability · TOL
modelTOL aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey play
What moved it - hover a play below
Q4 0:00 · K. Osborne takes a knee
01
Market gave TOL a 95% pregame chance
+35
02
TOL leading by 35
+3
03
TOL has the ball
+0
04
Blowout context favors the offense
+0
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
KENT · Drive 1TD · 2 plays · 75 yds
Q1 15:00
Robert Hammond III kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q1 14:50
Dru DeShields pass complete to Cade Wolford for 75 yds for a TD (Will Hryszko KICK)
-5.0
TOL · Drive 2PUNT · 5 plays · -1 yds
Q1 14:50
Will Hryszko kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q1 14:36
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 3 yds to the TOL 22
+0.6
Q1 14:09
Kenji Christian run for 2 yds to the TOL 24
0.0
Q1 13:36
Tucker Gleason pass incomplete to Junior Vandeross III
0.0
Q1 13:24
Emilio Duran punt for 50 yds , Wayne Harris returns for 8 yds to the KENT 34
0.0
KENT · Drive 3FG · 12 plays · 45 yds
Q1 13:17
Jordan Nubin run for 7 yds to the KENT 41
-1.4
Q1 12:56
Jordan Nubin run for 4 yds to the KENT 45 for a 1ST down
-0.7
Q1 12:29
Dru DeShields pass incomplete to Wayne Harris
0.0
Q1 12:13
Gavin Garcia run for 1 yd to the KENT 46
-0.1
Q1 11:32
Dru DeShields pass complete to Jay Jay Etheridge for 8 yds to the TOL 46
-0.5
Q1 11:07
Jordan Nubin run for 2 yds to the TOL 44 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q1 10:09
Dru DeShields pass complete to Terik Mulder for 17 yds to the TOL 27 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q1 9:53
(09:57) No Huddle-Shotgun DeShields,Dru pass complete short right to Wolford,Cade caught at TOLEDO23, for 6 yards to the TOLEDO21 (D'Appolonia,Chris) PENALTY KSU Holding (Meadows,Tyler) 10 yards from TOLEDO27 to TOLEDO37. NO PLAY.
-0.1
Q1 9:15
Dru DeShields pass complete to Wayne Harris for 4 yds to the TOL 41
+0.1
Q1 8:33
Dru DeShields pass complete to Zy'aire Fletcher for 20 yds to the TOL 21
-0.3
Q1 8:08
Gavin Garcia run for no gain to the TOL 21
0.0
Q1 7:33
Will Hryszko 38 yd FG GOOD
-2.0
TOL · Drive 4PUNT · 5 plays · 7 yds
Q1 7:29
Will Hryszko kickoff for 60 yds , Trayvon Rudolph return for 18 yds to the TOL 23
+1.2
Q1 7:16
Junior Vandeross III run for 1 yd to the TOL 24
-3.1
Q1 6:54
Kenji Christian run for 3 yds to the TOL 27
+1.6
Q1 6:03
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Eric Holley III for 3 yds to the TOL 30
-2.3
Q1 5:21
Emilio Duran punt for 52 yds , Wayne Harris returns for 11 yds to the KENT 29
0.0
KENT · Drive 5PUNT · 7 plays · 20 yds
Q1 5:06
Gavin Garcia run for 3 yds to the KENT 32
+1.3
Q1 4:31
Dru DeShields pass complete to Dashawn Martin for 10 yds to the KENT 42 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q1 3:55
Jordan Nubin run for 1 yd to the KENT 43
-1.7
Q1 3:14
Dru DeShields pass complete to Cade Wolford for 6 yds to the KENT 49
0.0
Q1 2:43
Dru DeShields pass incomplete to Cade Wolford
0.0
Q1 2:43
Timeout Toledo, clock 02:43
+2.1
Q1 2:37
Charlie Durkin punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Bryson Hammer at the TOL 11
-0.2
TOL · Drive 6TD · 4 plays · 89 yds
Q1 2:28
Kenji Christian run for 17 yds to the TOL 28 for a 1ST down
-0.2
Q1 2:01
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Ryder Treadway for 13 yds to the TOL 41 for a 1ST down
-1.0
Q1 1:44
Kenji Christian run for 1 yd to the TOL 42
+0.4
Q1 1:18
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 58 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)
+9.1
KENT · Drive 7PUNT · 6 plays · -2 yds
Q1 1:11
Robert Hammond III kickoff for 65 yds , Da'Realyst Clark return for 40 yds to the KENT 40
-0.2
Q1 1:03
Jordan Nubin run for 8 yds to the KENT 48
-1.9
Q1 0:25
(00:30) No Huddle-Shotgun DeShields,Dru pass incomplete short right thrown to TOLEDO43 QB hurried by Dunn Jr,Anthony PENALTY KSU Holding (Hopperton,Hunter) 10 yards from KSU48 to KSU38. NO PLAY.
-0.5
Q1 0:20
Dru DeShields pass incomplete to Dashawn Martin
+0.2
Q1 0:15
Dru DeShields pass incomplete to Ardell Banks
0.0
Q1 0:06
Charlie Durkin punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Bryson Hammer at the TOL 23
+0.1
TOL · Drive 8FG · 8 plays · 67 yds
Q1 0:00
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Eric Holley III for 23 yds to the TOL 46 for a 1ST down
+1.8
Q2 14:49
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for no gain to the TOL 46
+0.2
Q2 14:20
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 16 yds to the KENT 38 for a 1ST down
-0.3
Q2 14:01
Kent State Penalty, Personal Foul (Clinton Robinson) to the KENT 17 for a 1ST down
+0.6
Q2 13:41
Connor Walendzak run for 1 yd to the KENT 16
0.0
Q2 13:09
Kenji Christian run for 6 yds to the KENT 10
0.0
Q2 12:36
Tucker Gleason pass incomplete to Sam Lee
-0.1
Q2 12:31
Dylan Cunanan 28 yd FG GOOD
+1.1
KENT · Drive 9PUNT · 6 plays · -9 yds
Q2 12:27
Robert Hammond III kickoff for 60 yds , Da'Realyst Clark return for 16 yds to the KENT 21
-0.4
Q2 12:14
Gavin Garcia run for 3 yds to the KENT 24
-0.9
Q2 11:44
Kent State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Dru DeShields) to the KENT 12
-0.1
Q2 11:44
Timeout Toledo, clock 11:44
0.0
Q2 11:42
Dru DeShields pass incomplete to Sebastian Brown
0.0
Q2 11:35
Charlie Durkin punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TOL 42
0.0
TOL · Drive 10PUNT · 6 plays · 20 yds
Q2 11:28
Kenji Christian run for 9 yds to the KENT 49
+1.6
Q2 11:03
Kenji Christian run for 8 yds to the KENT 41 for a 1ST down
+0.3
Q2 10:23
Tucker Gleason pass incomplete
0.0
Q2 10:15
Kenji Christian run for 7 yds to the KENT 34
0.0
Q2 9:33
Connor Walendzak run for a loss of 4 yards to the KENT 38
-0.5
Q2 8:38
Emilio Duran punt for 38 yds for a touchback
-0.1
KENT · Drive 11PUNT · 11 plays · 22 yds
Q2 8:33
Dru DeShields pass incomplete to Dashawn Martin
-1.7
Q2 8:24
Jordan Nubin run for 4 yds to the KENT 24
0.0
Q2 7:44
Dru DeShields pass complete to Wayne Harris for 6 yds to the KENT 30 for a 1ST down
-0.6
Q2 7:09
Jordan Nubin run for 8 yds to the KENT 38
-0.1
Q2 6:53
Jordan Nubin run for 1 yd to the KENT 39
-0.3
Q2 6:23
Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the KENT 41 for a 1ST down
-1.4
Q2 5:52
Dru DeShields pass incomplete
-0.1
Q2 5:38
Gavin Garcia run for 3 yds to the KENT 44
0.0
Q2 5:06
PENALTY KSU False Start (Fletcher,Zy'Aire) 5 yards from KSU44 to KSU39. NO PLAY.
-0.2
Q2 4:23
Dru DeShields pass complete to Dashawn Martin for 3 yds to the KENT 42
+0.3
Q2 4:06
Charlie Durkin punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Bryson Hammer at the TOL 19
-0.2
TOL · Drive 12TD · 12 plays · 81 yds
Q2 3:57
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 15 yds to the TOL 34 for a 1ST down
+3.2
Q2 3:26
Tucker Gleason pass incomplete to Junior Vandeross III
0.0
Q2 3:19
Kenji Christian run for no gain to the TOL 34
0.0
Q2 2:41
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 32 yds to the KENT 34 for a 1ST down
-0.5
Q2 2:11
Connor Walendzak run for 3 yds to the KENT 31
+0.7
Q2 2:00
Timeout Toledo, clock 02:00
-0.1
Q2 1:46
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 4 yds to the KENT 27
0.0
Q2 1:37
Connor Walendzak run for 4 yds to the KENT 23 for a 1ST down
-0.1
Q2 1:27
Tucker Gleason pass incomplete to Jacob Petersen
+0.1
Q2 1:20
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 11 yds to the KENT 12 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q2 1:02
Connor Walendzak run for 1 yd to the KENT 11
0.0
Q2 0:32
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Ryder Treadway for 11 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)
+3.3
KENT · Drive 13END OF HALF · 2 plays · 3 yds
Q2 0:32
Robert Hammond III kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
-0.2
Q2 0:00
Jahzae Kimbrough run for 3 yds to the KENT 28
-0.6
TOL · Drive 14PUNT · 9 plays · 28 yds
Q3 14:54
Will Hryszko kickoff for 65 yds , Trayvon Rudolph return for 32 yds to the TOL 32
-0.8
Q3 14:41
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 9 yds to the TOL 41
+0.9
Q3 14:23
Tucker Gleason pass incomplete to Kenji Christian
+0.1
Q3 14:13
Connor Walendzak run for 11 yds to the KENT 48 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 13:40
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jacob Petersen for 12 yds to the KENT 36 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q3 13:13
Connor Walendzak run for no gain to the KENT 36
+0.3
Q3 12:37
Kenji Christian run for 4 yds to the KENT 32
0.0
Q3 12:04
Toledo Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Tucker Gleason) to the KENT 40
0.0
Q3 11:57
Emilio Duran punt for 40 yds for a touchback
-0.1
KENT · Drive 15INT · 3 plays · 13 yds
Q3 11:42
Jordan Nubin run for 12 yds to the KENT 32 for a 1ST down
-1.3
Q3 11:15
Jordan Nubin run for 1 yd to the KENT 33
-0.6
Q3 10:42
Dru DeShields pass intercepted Braden Awls return for no gain to the TOL 49
-0.1
TOL · Drive 16TD · 4 plays · 51 yds
Q3 10:28
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 2 yds to the KENT 49
+1.4
Q3 9:59
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Kenji Christian for 11 yds to the KENT 38 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 9:37
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 17 yds to the KENT 21 for a 1ST down
+0.3
Q3 9:24
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 21 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)
+3.2
KENT · Drive 17PUNT · 5 plays · 6 yds
Q3 9:24
Robert Hammond III kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q3 9:16
Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the KENT 28
-0.8
Q3 8:34
Dru DeShields pass complete to Dashawn Martin for 3 yds to the KENT 31
0.0
Q3 8:08
Dru DeShields pass incomplete to Cade Wolford
0.0
Q3 7:58
Charlie Durkin punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TOL 43
0.0
TOL · Drive 18TD · 4 plays · 57 yds
Q3 7:46
Kenji Christian run for 37 yds to the KENT 20 for a 1ST down
+0.9
Q3 7:21
Kenji Christian run for 2 yds to the KENT 18
0.0
Q3 6:36
Kenji Christian run for 2 yds to the KENT 16
-0.1
Q3 6:04
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Javon Brown for 16 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)
+1.1
KENT · Drive 19PUNT TD · 5 plays · -6 yds
Q3 6:04
Robert Hammond III kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.0
Q3 5:59
Dru DeShields pass incomplete to Wayne Harris
-0.5
Q3 5:52
Gavin Garcia run for 2 yds to the KENT 27
0.0
Q3 5:05
Dru DeShields sacked by Hudson Miller for a loss of 8 yards to the KENT 19
0.0
Q3 4:25
Eric Williams 19 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Dylan Cunanan Kick)
+0.5
KENT · Drive 20PUNT · 10 plays · 15 yds
Q3 4:25
Robert Hammond III kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+0.2
Q3 4:18
Jordan Nubin run for 8 yds to the KENT 33
-0.2
Q3 3:38
(03:46) No Huddle-Shotgun DeShields,Dru pass complete short middle to Fletcher,Zy'Aire caught at KSU35, for 15 yards to the KSU48 (McKinstry,Tyler) PENALTY KSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass 5 yards from KSU33 to KSU28. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q3 3:06
Dru DeShields pass complete to Cade Wolford for 6 yds to the KENT 34
0.0
Q3 2:37
Jordan Nubin run for 2 yds to the KENT 36 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q3 2:08
PENALTY KSU False Start (Morell,Dustyn) 5 yards from KSU36 to KSU31. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q3 1:44
Dru DeShields pass incomplete to Hunter Hopperton
0.0
Q3 1:30
Jahzae Kimbrough run for no gain to the KENT 31
0.0
Q3 0:48
Dru DeShields pass complete to Sebastian Brown for 9 yds to the KENT 40
0.0
Q3 0:11
Charlie Durkin punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Bryson Hammer at the TOL 25
0.0
TOL · Drive 21TD · 11 plays · 75 yds
Q3 0:00
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Kenji Christian for 10 yds to the TOL 35 for a 1ST down
+0.1
Q4 14:52
Kenji Christian run for 2 yds to the TOL 37
0.0
Q4 14:02
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 13:33
Kenji Christian run for 3 yds to the KENT 47
0.0
Q4 12:50
Kenji Christian run for 10 yds to the KENT 37 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 12:35
Tucker Gleason pass incomplete to Terrell Crosby Jr.
0.0
Q4 12:28
Tucker Gleason run for 3 yds to the KENT 34
0.0
Q4 11:53
Connor Walendzak run for 7 yds to the KENT 27 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 11:19
Kalieb Osborne run for 6 yds to the KENT 21
0.0
Q4 10:44
Kalieb Osborne run for 3 yds to the KENT 18
0.0
Q4 10:00
Kalieb Osborne pass complete to Terrell Crosby Jr. for 18 yds for a TD Kent State Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Mason Woods) declined (Dylan Cunanan KICK)
0.0
KENT · Drive 22PUNT · 5 plays · 7 yds
Q4 9:48
Robert Hammond III kickoff for 59 yds , Da'Realyst Clark return for 22 yds to the KENT 28
0.0
Q4 9:40
Jahzae Kimbrough run for 4 yds to the KENT 32
-0.1
Q4 9:10
Jahzae Kimbrough run for 3 yds to the KENT 35
0.0
Q4 8:31
Kent State Penalty, Illegal Shift (Mason Woods) declined
0.0
Q4 8:19
Charlie Durkin punt for 58 yds , Bryson Hammer returns for 2 yds to the TOL 9
0.0
TOL · Drive 23END OF GAME · 16 plays · 85 yds
Q4 8:05
Dane Nauman run for a loss of 1 yard to the TOL 8
+0.1
Q4 7:32
Dane Nauman run for 9 yds to the TOL 17
0.0
Q4 6:52
Kalieb Osborne run for 4 yds to the TOL 21 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 6:08
Kalieb Osborne pass complete to Terrell Crosby Jr. for 21 yds to the TOL 42 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 5:21
Kalieb Osborne pass complete to Bryson Hammer for 21 yds to the KENT 37 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 4:45
Dane Nauman run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENT 38
0.0
Q4 4:09
PENALTY TOLEDO False Start (Harder,Jonathan) 5 yards from KSU38 to KSU43. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q4 3:32
Kalieb Osborne run for 18 yds Toledo Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ryder Treadway) to the KENT 35
0.0
Q4 3:27
Kalieb Osborne pass complete to Sam Lee for 20 yds to the KENT 15 for a 1ST down
0.0
Q4 2:50
Dane Nauman run for 2 yds to the KENT 13
0.0
Q4 2:15
Kalieb Osborne run for 4 yds to the KENT 9
0.0
Q4 2:00
Timeout Toledo, clock 02:00
0.0
Q4 1:56
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun Osborne,Kalieb pass incomplete short right to Braceful,Tashi thrown to KSU00 PENALTY KSU Pass Interference (Boamah,Joel) 7 yards from KSU09 to KSU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
0.0
Q4 1:43
K. Osborne takes a knee
0.0
Q4 0:52
K. Osborne takes a knee
0.0
Q4 0:00
K. Osborne takes a knee
0.0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 1:18
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 58 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)
+9.1
TD · Q1 14:50
Dru DeShields pass complete to Cade Wolford for 75 yds for a TD (Will Hryszko KICK)
-5
TD · Q2 0:32
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Ryder Treadway for 11 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)
+3.3